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Concrete 
Experimentation in Scrum 
Scrum Australia 21/10/2014 Bernd Schiffer
Moving to Australia
Move to 
Australia 
Is it 
nice? 
Yes 
Get 
pregnant 
Our 
foPrl aOnz 
No Move 
back
20% Chance of getting pregnant 
per ovulation cycle 
if absolutely everything’s okay.
Getting pregnant is COMPLEX (not complicated) 
complicated 
complex
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Complexity 
“Complexity is generally used to characterise something with many 
parts where those parts interact with each other in multiple ways. 
[…] 
…even among scientists, there is no unique definition of complexity…”
staying aware of danger signals, and avoiding inappropriate reactions, managers can lead effectively in a variety of situations. 
EXPERIMENTS 
THE CONTEXT’S 
RESPONSE TO 
CHARACTERISTICS THE LEADER’S JOB DANGER SIGNALS 
DANGER SIGNALS 
A Leader’s Framework for Decision Making by David J. Snowden and Mary E. Boone in Harvard Business Review (11.2007) SIMPLE 
Repeating patterns and 
consistent events 
Clear cause-and-effect 
relationships evident to every-one; 
right answer exists 
Known knowns 
Fact-based management 
Sense, categorize, respond 
Ensure that proper processes are 
in place 
Delegate 
Use best practices 
Communicate in clear, direct ways 
Understand that extensive 
interactive communication may 
not be necessary 
Complacency and comfort 
Desire to make complex 
problems simple 
Entrained thinking 
No challenge of received wisdom 
Overreliance on best practice if 
context shifts 
Create communication 
channels to challenge orthodoxy 
Stay connected without 
micromanaging 
Don’t assume things 
are simple 
Recognize both the value and 
the limitations of best practice 
COMPLICATED 
Expert diagnosis required 
Cause-and-effect relationships 
discoverable but not immediately 
apparent to everyone; more than 
one right answer possible 
Known unknowns 
Fact-based management 
Sense, analyze, respond 
Create panels of experts 
Listen to conflicting advice 
Experts overconfident in their 
own solutions or in the efficacy of 
past solutions 
Analysis paralysis 
Expert panels 
Viewpoints of nonexperts 
excluded 
Encourage external and internal 
stakeholders to challenge expert 
opinions to combat entrained 
thinking 
Use experiments and games to 
force people to think outside the 
familiar 
COMPLEX 
Flux and unpredictability 
No right answers; emergent 
instructive patterns 
Unknown unknowns 
Many competing ideas 
A need for creative and innova-tive 
approaches 
Pattern-based leadership 
Probe, sense, respond 
Create environments and 
experiments that allow patterns 
to emerge 
Increase levels of interaction and 
communication 
Use methods that can help gener-ate 
ideas: Open up discussion (as 
through large group methods); 
set barriers; stimulate attractors; 
encourage dissent and diversity; 
and manage starting conditions 
and monitor for emergence 
Temptation to fall back into 
habitual, command-and-control 
mode 
Temptation to look for facts 
rather than allowing patterns to 
emerge 
Desire for accelerated resolution 
of problems or exploitation of 
opportunities 
Be patient and allow time for 
reflection 
Use approaches that 
encourage interaction so 
patterns can emerge 
CHAOTIC 
High turbulence 
No clear cause-and-effect rela-tionships, 
so no point in looking 
for right answers 
Unknowables 
Many decisions to make and no 
time to think 
High tension 
Pattern-based leadership 
Act, sense, respond 
Look for what works instead of 
seeking right answers 
Take immediate action to 
reestablish order (command and 
control) 
Provide clear, direct 
communication 
Applying a command-and-control 
approach longer than needed 
“Cult of the leader” 
Missed opportunity for innovation 
Chaos unabated 
Set up mechanisms (such as 
parallel teams) to take advantage 
of opportunities afforded by a 
chaotic environment 
Encourage advisers to challenge 
your point of view once the crisis 
has abated 
Work to shift the context from 
chaotic to complex 
COMPLICATED 
Expert diagnosis required 
Cause-and-effect relationships 
discoverable but not immediately 
apparent to everyone; more than 
one right answer possible 
Known unknowns 
Fact-based management 
Sense, analyze, respond 
Create panels of experts 
Listen to conflicting advice 
Experts overconfident in their 
own solutions or in the efficacy past solutions 
Analysis paralysis 
Expert panels 
Viewpoints of nonexperts 
excluded 
COMPLEX 
Flux and unpredictability 
No right answers; emergent 
instructive patterns 
Unknown unknowns 
Many competing ideas 
A need for creative and innova-tive 
approaches 
Pattern-based leadership 
Probe, sense, respond 
Create environments and 
experiments that allow patterns 
to emerge 
Increase levels of interaction and 
communication 
Use methods that can help gener-ate 
ideas: Open up discussion (as 
through large group methods); 
set barriers; stimulate attractors; 
encourage dissent and diversity; 
and manage starting conditions 
and monitor for emergence 
Temptation to fall back into 
habitual, command-and-control 
mode 
Temptation to look for facts 
rather than allowing patterns to 
emerge 
Desire for accelerated resolution 
of problems or exploitation of 
opportunities 
High turbulence 
No clear cause-and-effect rela-tionships, 
so no point in looking 
Act, sense, respond 
Look for what works instead of 
seeking right answers 
Applying a command-and-control 
approach longer than needed 
“Cult of the leader”
So, experimenting…
Not our own chart!
Preferences over Plans
CAT SHOE, SIC! 
clear goal 
arranged 
trackable through metrics 
small 
has due date 
out in the open 
evalutated through hypothesis 
safe-to-fail 
impelled by champions 
communicated before start 
Thus!
Another example Fix It or Trash It
Clear Goal 
Stop piling up bugs.
Arranged 
cf. ”How We Deal With Software Defects in Production" by Oliver Lorenz 
(10.09.2013, http://www.technology-ebay.de/the-teams/mobile-de/blog/how-we-deal-with-software-defects-in-production.html )
Trackable Through 
Metrics 
6 
5 
4 
3 
2 
1 
0 
#bugs 
6 
5 
4 
3 
2 
1 
0 
bugs raised bugs fixed and trashed 
-8 -7 -6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 1 2 3 4 5 6 
week 
Experiment starts here
Small 
“Only” 6 weeks. Only one team. 
small
Has a Due Date 
After 6 weeks, incl. presentation of final results 
after standup scheduled in advance.
Out in the 
Todo Arrange 
Open 
Experi-menting 
Ready for 
Reflection 
Done 
3 
Smaller 
Teams 
Hire 
internal 
Coach 
First 
Open 
Space 
Fix It or 
Trash 
It 
Happi-ness 
Index 
cf. “7 Steps to Build a Kanban Board for a Scrum Team’s Impediments” by Bernd Schiffer 
(05/09/2011, http://agiletrail.com/2011/09/05/7-steps-to-build-a-kanban-board-for-a-scrum-teams-impediments ) 
Yes, that’s a Kanban board.
Evaluated through 
Hypothesis 
h = We can handle more or equal amount 
of bugs than currently coming in. 
h0 = The amount of bugs keeps increasing.
Safe-to-Fail 
Source: 
http://thinkvitamin.com/design/backstage-star-wars-photos/
Impelled by Champions
Communicated 
before Start
CAT SHOE, SIC! 
clear goal 
arranged 
trackable through metrics 
small 
has due date 
out in the open 
evalutated through hypothesis 
safe-to-fail 
impelled by champions 
communicated before start 
Thus!
Tip 1: 
Do Retrospectives 
Treat every action as an 
experiment.
Tip 2: 
Uncover What’s Really 
Going on
http://thechive.com/2014/04/23/this-will-get-your-ocd-boiling-27-photos/funny-ocd-17/ http://www.jokideo.com/ocd-overdrive/ 
Tip 3: Don’t Be Perfect 
http://www.clickypix.com/funny-ocd-pictures-drive-crazy/funny-ocd-pictures-26/ 
http://www.funnyjunk.com/funny_pictures/4044631/Ocd+20/
Our 
Experi- 
Omuetcnotm’s e
Result of 
Our Experiment’s Outcome
Concrete 
Experimen-tation 
in Scrum 
Scrum Australia 21/10/2014 
Bernd Schiffer 
‣@berndschiffer 
‣@bold_mover 
‣ coaching@berndschiffer.com 
‣ http://slideshare.net/berndschiffer 
‣ http://berndschiffer.com 
‣ http://boldmover.com 
‣ http://agiletrail.com 
Thank 
you!

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Concrete Experimentation in Scrum at Scrum Australia 2014

  • 1. Concrete Experimentation in Scrum Scrum Australia 21/10/2014 Bernd Schiffer
  • 3. Move to Australia Is it nice? Yes Get pregnant Our foPrl aOnz No Move back
  • 4. 20% Chance of getting pregnant per ovulation cycle if absolutely everything’s okay.
  • 5. Getting pregnant is COMPLEX (not complicated) complicated complex
  • 6. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Complexity “Complexity is generally used to characterise something with many parts where those parts interact with each other in multiple ways. […] …even among scientists, there is no unique definition of complexity…”
  • 7. staying aware of danger signals, and avoiding inappropriate reactions, managers can lead effectively in a variety of situations. EXPERIMENTS THE CONTEXT’S RESPONSE TO CHARACTERISTICS THE LEADER’S JOB DANGER SIGNALS DANGER SIGNALS A Leader’s Framework for Decision Making by David J. Snowden and Mary E. Boone in Harvard Business Review (11.2007) SIMPLE Repeating patterns and consistent events Clear cause-and-effect relationships evident to every-one; right answer exists Known knowns Fact-based management Sense, categorize, respond Ensure that proper processes are in place Delegate Use best practices Communicate in clear, direct ways Understand that extensive interactive communication may not be necessary Complacency and comfort Desire to make complex problems simple Entrained thinking No challenge of received wisdom Overreliance on best practice if context shifts Create communication channels to challenge orthodoxy Stay connected without micromanaging Don’t assume things are simple Recognize both the value and the limitations of best practice COMPLICATED Expert diagnosis required Cause-and-effect relationships discoverable but not immediately apparent to everyone; more than one right answer possible Known unknowns Fact-based management Sense, analyze, respond Create panels of experts Listen to conflicting advice Experts overconfident in their own solutions or in the efficacy of past solutions Analysis paralysis Expert panels Viewpoints of nonexperts excluded Encourage external and internal stakeholders to challenge expert opinions to combat entrained thinking Use experiments and games to force people to think outside the familiar COMPLEX Flux and unpredictability No right answers; emergent instructive patterns Unknown unknowns Many competing ideas A need for creative and innova-tive approaches Pattern-based leadership Probe, sense, respond Create environments and experiments that allow patterns to emerge Increase levels of interaction and communication Use methods that can help gener-ate ideas: Open up discussion (as through large group methods); set barriers; stimulate attractors; encourage dissent and diversity; and manage starting conditions and monitor for emergence Temptation to fall back into habitual, command-and-control mode Temptation to look for facts rather than allowing patterns to emerge Desire for accelerated resolution of problems or exploitation of opportunities Be patient and allow time for reflection Use approaches that encourage interaction so patterns can emerge CHAOTIC High turbulence No clear cause-and-effect rela-tionships, so no point in looking for right answers Unknowables Many decisions to make and no time to think High tension Pattern-based leadership Act, sense, respond Look for what works instead of seeking right answers Take immediate action to reestablish order (command and control) Provide clear, direct communication Applying a command-and-control approach longer than needed “Cult of the leader” Missed opportunity for innovation Chaos unabated Set up mechanisms (such as parallel teams) to take advantage of opportunities afforded by a chaotic environment Encourage advisers to challenge your point of view once the crisis has abated Work to shift the context from chaotic to complex COMPLICATED Expert diagnosis required Cause-and-effect relationships discoverable but not immediately apparent to everyone; more than one right answer possible Known unknowns Fact-based management Sense, analyze, respond Create panels of experts Listen to conflicting advice Experts overconfident in their own solutions or in the efficacy past solutions Analysis paralysis Expert panels Viewpoints of nonexperts excluded COMPLEX Flux and unpredictability No right answers; emergent instructive patterns Unknown unknowns Many competing ideas A need for creative and innova-tive approaches Pattern-based leadership Probe, sense, respond Create environments and experiments that allow patterns to emerge Increase levels of interaction and communication Use methods that can help gener-ate ideas: Open up discussion (as through large group methods); set barriers; stimulate attractors; encourage dissent and diversity; and manage starting conditions and monitor for emergence Temptation to fall back into habitual, command-and-control mode Temptation to look for facts rather than allowing patterns to emerge Desire for accelerated resolution of problems or exploitation of opportunities High turbulence No clear cause-and-effect rela-tionships, so no point in looking Act, sense, respond Look for what works instead of seeking right answers Applying a command-and-control approach longer than needed “Cult of the leader”
  • 9. Not our own chart!
  • 11. CAT SHOE, SIC! clear goal arranged trackable through metrics small has due date out in the open evalutated through hypothesis safe-to-fail impelled by champions communicated before start Thus!
  • 12. Another example Fix It or Trash It
  • 13. Clear Goal Stop piling up bugs.
  • 14. Arranged cf. ”How We Deal With Software Defects in Production" by Oliver Lorenz (10.09.2013, http://www.technology-ebay.de/the-teams/mobile-de/blog/how-we-deal-with-software-defects-in-production.html )
  • 15. Trackable Through Metrics 6 5 4 3 2 1 0 #bugs 6 5 4 3 2 1 0 bugs raised bugs fixed and trashed -8 -7 -6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 1 2 3 4 5 6 week Experiment starts here
  • 16. Small “Only” 6 weeks. Only one team. small
  • 17. Has a Due Date After 6 weeks, incl. presentation of final results after standup scheduled in advance.
  • 18. Out in the Todo Arrange Open Experi-menting Ready for Reflection Done 3 Smaller Teams Hire internal Coach First Open Space Fix It or Trash It Happi-ness Index cf. “7 Steps to Build a Kanban Board for a Scrum Team’s Impediments” by Bernd Schiffer (05/09/2011, http://agiletrail.com/2011/09/05/7-steps-to-build-a-kanban-board-for-a-scrum-teams-impediments ) Yes, that’s a Kanban board.
  • 19. Evaluated through Hypothesis h = We can handle more or equal amount of bugs than currently coming in. h0 = The amount of bugs keeps increasing.
  • 23. CAT SHOE, SIC! clear goal arranged trackable through metrics small has due date out in the open evalutated through hypothesis safe-to-fail impelled by champions communicated before start Thus!
  • 24. Tip 1: Do Retrospectives Treat every action as an experiment.
  • 25. Tip 2: Uncover What’s Really Going on
  • 26. http://thechive.com/2014/04/23/this-will-get-your-ocd-boiling-27-photos/funny-ocd-17/ http://www.jokideo.com/ocd-overdrive/ Tip 3: Don’t Be Perfect http://www.clickypix.com/funny-ocd-pictures-drive-crazy/funny-ocd-pictures-26/ http://www.funnyjunk.com/funny_pictures/4044631/Ocd+20/
  • 28. Result of Our Experiment’s Outcome
  • 29. Concrete Experimen-tation in Scrum Scrum Australia 21/10/2014 Bernd Schiffer ‣@berndschiffer ‣@bold_mover ‣ coaching@berndschiffer.com ‣ http://slideshare.net/berndschiffer ‣ http://berndschiffer.com ‣ http://boldmover.com ‣ http://agiletrail.com Thank you!