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2018 Full Year Results
11 February 2019
www.bancaifis.it
2
BANCA IFIS
Table of contents
01
02
Summary results
Segment results
03 Conclusions
04 Appendix
3
BANCA IFIS
Summary results
Net banking income Operating costs LLPNet income
Customer loans IFIS NPL Funding CET1 ratio
• Cost of risk of €31.2mln
(€28.9mln in 3Q)
• €58mln net income
(€23mln in 3Q)
€7.31bn (+€0.39bn QoQ)
• +€0.20bn QoQ trade
receivables
• +€0.15bn QoQ IFIS NPL
• 10.30% La Scogliera
• 13.74% Banca IFIS
• €65mln stable QoQ€173mln (€125mln in 3Q)
• +€23mln QoQ NII on NPLs
segment
• €17mln income from NPLs
disposals and Liability
Management
• +€12mln QoQ income from
corporate banking
• €0.98bn Wholesale
• €4.67bn customer deposits
(-€0.31bn QoQ) due to
excess liquidity and expected
year end seasonality
• New Rendimax campaign:
ca. +€140mln deposits in
1/1/2019 – 6/2/2019
4Q 2018
STOCK
• ERC €2.3bn*
• €181mln annual cash
collected in 2018 (€128mln
in 2017)
• €1.7bn NPLs purchased in
4Q
* Source: management accounting, risk management data
In this presentation, financial statements, net impairment losses/reversals on receivables of the NPL segment were entirely reclassified to interest receivable and similar income
as they represent an integral part of the return on the investment
4
BANCA IFIS
Full year and quarterly results
3Q 18 4Q 18 2017 2018
Net interest income 99.7 140.0 414.7 469.3
Net commission income 20.2 24.5 73.8 84.5
Trading and other income 5.6 8.4 36.9 22.7
Net banking income 125.4 173.0 525.3 576.5
Loan loss provisions (LLP) (28.9) (31.2) (26.1) (100.1)
Net banking income – LLP 96.6 141.8 499.2 476.4
Personnel expenses (27.8) (28.3) (98.3) (111.6)
Other administrative expenses (38.7) (42.7) (152.6) (176.5)
Other net income/expenses 1.9 6.4 0.2 14.7
Operating costs (64.7) (64.6) (250.6) (273.4)
Pre-tax profit 31.9 77.2 248.6 203.0
Taxes (9.0) (19.4) (67.8) (56.2)
Net income 22.8 57.8 180.8 146.8
Data 1/1/18
Customer loans 6,919 7,314 6,402 7,314
- of which IFIS NPL 945 1,093 799 1,093
Total assets 9,843 9,382 9,563 9,382
Direct funding 7,080 6,652 6,933 6,652
- of which customer deposits 4,985 4,673 5,293 4,673
Shareholders Equity 1,397 1,459 1,372 1,459
Highlights
• 2018 results impacted by:
o €62mln one-offs provisions
on a few large tickets
o €92mln PPA (€125mln in
2017) of which €85mln in
Enterprises and €7mln in
G&S
• In 2018FY cost / income ratio at
47.4% (47.7% in 2017FY)
In this financial statements, net impairment losses/reversals on receivables of the NPL segment were entirely reclassified to interest receivable and similar income as they
represent an integral part of the return on the investment
2017 figures according to IFRS 9
5
BANCA IFIS
Customer loans: focus on short term SMEs lending
• Focus on short term loans, very selective on long term
maturities
• +€198mln and €54mln customer loans QoQ increase in
trade receivables and leasing, respectively
o Ongoing repricing of new loans to reflect general cost
of funding increase in line with market trend. Banca
IFIS is facilitated by short term maturity
• +€148mln QoQ growth in NPLs is driven by portfolio
acquired in 4Q 18
• Current trend expected to continue in coming quarters
Enterprises Segment
Highlights
4Q 17 balance sheet figures according to IFRS 9
3,382 3,386 3,584
679 802
798
1,271 1,346
1,400
131
136
136799
945
1,093140
305
303
4Q 17 3Q 18 4Q 18
Trade receivables Corporate banking
Leasing Tax receivables
NPL Governance & Services
Customer loans (€ mln)
6,402
6,919 7,314
6
BANCA IFIS
Funding: focus on term deposits
HighlightsFunding (€ mln)
4Q 17 3Q 18 4Q 18
LCR >2,000% >2,000% >600%**
NSFR >100% >100% >100%
• The flexibility of Rendimax customer deposits allows
timely adjustments to funding requirements
• In 2018, the decrease in funding was driven by an excess
of liquidity compared to lending expectations
• 4Q18 customer deposits came in at €4,673mln (-€312mln
QoQ), impacted also by expected year end seasonality
• In mid January 2019, in order to benefit from positive
market momentum in lending to SMEs, as included in our
funding plan, Banca IFIS launched a new campaign on
Rendimax
o New campaign is focused on term deposits at
attractive yields: ca. +€140mln net customer deposit
inflow on Rendimax in 1/1/2019 – 6/2/2019
• New bond issuance to be considered only if financial
markets stabilize
*TLTRO with maturity in March 2021, cost -0.4%; Collateral represented by €423mln Italian Government Bonds and ca. €377mln leasing securitization (rating A)
** LCR decrease due liability management and lending pick up in 4Q 18
7,725 7,918
7,438
5,293 4,985 4,673
790 1,095
979
850 1,000
1,000
700 696
695
92 142
90
4Q 17 3Q 18 4Q 18
Customer Deposits Bonds
Factoring securitization TLTRO
Other
*
7
BANCA IFIS
Capital structure
• Retained earnings
• Progressive winding down of former Interbanca PPA
(€229mln gross of taxes as at 31 Dec 18, indicative
maturity of ca. 3Y)
• Progressive use of DTA against future profits (€144.5mln
as at 31 Dec 18) currently fully deducted from CET1
• Ordinary winding down of former Interbanca customer
loans (€0.6bn as at 31 Dec 18)
Expected impact on 1Q 19 CET1
• +0.26% (expected) due to increase in Capital Conservation
Buffer from 1.9% to 2.5% due to regulation 2013/36/EU.
This applies only to La Scogliera scope capital
requirements; the CET1 increase is due to excess capital
reduction
• Ca. -30/45bps in CET1 (preliminary estimate) due to
acquisition of FBS. The final results will depend on the
purchase price allocation on FBS assets and liabilities
14.63%
10.67%
10.30%
Net income
2H 2018
excluding
dividends
IFIS NPL: RWA NPLs
acquired in 4Q 18
(ca. 0.24%)
+
IFIS NPL - FAQ EBA
ex Art 127 CRR:
increase in RWA
weight on stock in
4Q 18 (ca. 0.45%)
Business
growth
Capital generation in future quarters
13.74%
Data in €bn
Banca IFIS Group Scope 3Q 18 4Q 18
RWA 8.1 9.0
CET1 1.2 1.2
Total Capital 1.6 1.6
Total Capital % 19.6% 18.2%
Excess CET1 not inc. in La Scogliera 0.3 0.3
La Scogliera Group scope
RWA 8.1 9.0
CET1 0.9 0.9
Total Capital 1.2 1.3
Total Capital % 14.7% 14.0%
*The application of the 2013/36/EU (CRD IV) Directive and EU Regulation 575/2013 (CRR) envisages that only 50.2% of the excess capital of Banca IFIS Group Scope is included in the
CET1 of La Scogliera Group Scope. Excess Capital of €0.3bn is not included in CET1 of La Scogliera Group Scope
** SREP received in draft by the Bank of Italy in January 2019, to be applied in 2019. In 2018, according to previous SREP, the CET1 requirement was 7.2%
0.71% -0.69%
-0.39%
SREP**
8.12%
3Q 18 CET1 4Q 18 CET1
B IFIS
scope*
La
Scogliera
scope*
8
BANCA IFIS
In 2018, CET1 impacted by -0.82% due to regulation
Net
income
-
expected
dividends
DTA and
other
Phase-in
RWA
weight for
NPLs based
on FAQ EBA
SREP
8.12%**
Transformation
of NPL
segment into
IFIS NPL plc
Italian
Government
Bonds (BTP
Bund spread
widening)
RWA
business
growth
excluding
IFIS NPL
10.30%
11.66% 0.87% -0.10% -0.45%-0.27% -0.30% -0.05%
2017 CET1 2018 CET1
15.64% 13.74%B IFIS
scope*
La Scogliera
scope*
• - 0.82% due to regulation (i.e. DTA and other phase-in, EBA FAQ Art. 127 on RWA on NPL, transformation of NPL segment
into IFIS NPL plc)
• - 0.05% due to BTP-Bund spread widening in 2018
• + 0.87% organic capital generation less expected dividends
• - 1.36% RWA increase due to business growth
CET 1: ca. 1.36% decrease YoY of which ca. 0.82% due to regulation
*The application of the 2013/36/EU (CRD IV) Directive and EU Regulation 575/2013 (CRR) envisages that only 50.2% of the excess capital of Banca IFIS Group Scope is included in the
CET1 of La Scogliera Group Scope. Excess Capital of €0.3bn is not included in CET1 of La Scogliera Group Scope
** SREP received by the Bank of Italy in January 2019, to be applied in 2019. In 2018, CET 1 requirement was 7.2%
-0.82% regulation effect
IFIS NPL:
RWA NPLs
acquired in
2018FY
(ca. 0.24% in
4Q 18)
-1.06%
-1.36% business growth
9
BANCA IFIS
Calendar
Provisioning to
be approved by
EU Parliament
(Pillar 1)
Considerations on main NPLs regulations
• According to EBA’s answer to Art. 127 of
the CRR 575/2013, if NPLs are written-
down by more than 20%, RWA should be
100%, otherwise 150%
• Only write-downs made by the NPLs buyer
shall be accounted for (i.e. not previous
write-downs made by previous owners of
the exposure)
EBA
FAQ Art 127
Capital
Requirements
Regulation
• New regulation under review; final draft
shall be approved by EU Parliament
• Timeframe for enforcement and final
calendar provision to be defined
• Current proposal envisages, for new
originated loans only, full coverage for
NPLs over [9] and [3] years for secured
and unsecured NPEs, respectively
IFIS NPL – Capital impact included in 4Q 18
• No major impact expected on our business model for future
acquisitions
• CET1 impact of ca. -45bps from the NPLs portfolio as at 4Q 18
• New NPLs acquired will be weighted at 150% on the net
consideration paid
IFIS NPL
• We estimate there may be time lag of [3-6] years from
enforcement before it may impact Banca IFIS capital
requirements:
o We assume that banks may sell NPLs [1-3] years after
classification into NPEs
o We estimate further [2-3] years before newly acquired
NPLs represent a significant portion of IFIS NPL portfolio
• In the medium term we expect new business opportunity for
Banca IFIS as banks speed up recoveries / disposals
Banca IFIS
• Strict credit policy. Bad loans coverage > 80% for Enterprise
Segment (excluding POCI)
Regulation
10
BANCA IFIS
Table of contents
01
02
Summary results
Segment results
03 Conclusions
04 Appendix
11
BANCA IFIS
Segment breakdown
Business diversification and client fragmentation across all business segments
Enterprises NPL G&S Total
Trade
Receivables
Leasing
Corporate
Banking
Tax
Receivables
Net banking income 170 52 100 14 244 (3) 577
- of which PPA 7 - 78 - - 7 92
Loan loss provisions (LLP) (75) (11) (12) 0 - (3) (100)
Net banking income - LLP 95 41 89 13 244 (6) 476
% total 20% 9% 19% 3% 51% (1)%
Net loans 3,584 1,400 798 136 1,093 303 7,314
RWA from counterparty risk 4,793 1,584 116* 6,494
% total 74% 24% 2%
Data in € mln
1,508
973
Counterparty RWA on other group assets
(i.e. DTA, other assets, financial assets)
Operating and market risks and CVA
8,975Total RWA
*Data includes only loans in G&S
12
BANCA IFIS
Trade Receivables
Highlights*
• QoQ growth in turnover driven by seasonality, new
customer development and positive market momentum
• Strategy in trade receivables:
o SMEs: ca. 80% of customers are SMEs with total
revenues less than €10mln
o Short term lending: average factoring duration of ca.
3-4 months
o Customer fragmentation: average ticket of ca. €400k
well diversified across all major business segments
• Ongoing repricing: +0.3% in 4Q 18 vs. 3Q 18 in net banking
income / average customer loans (+0.6% vs. 1Q 18)
• In 2018, Banca IFIS started medium / long term lending
guaranteed by the Central Guarantee Fund
o Factoring / total loans decreased slightly, from 88% in
1Q 18 to 85% in 4Q 18
• In 2018, loan loss provisions were impacted by one-offs
provisions on a few large tickets
Turnover* - €bn
2.9 3.2 3.4 3.8
1Q 18 2Q 18 3Q 18 4Q 18
Data in euro million* 1Q 18 2Q 18 3Q 18 4Q 18
Net banking income 40 40 43 46
- of which PPA 1 3 1 1
Net banking income
/ average customer loans
5.0% 5.0% 5.3% 5.6%
Loan loss provisions (7) (22) (26) (20)
- of which
Factoring*
3,208 3,382 3,386 3,584
Net customer
loans - €mln
2,738 2,992 2,824 2,983
* Data based on management accounting. Factoring includes Polish business
13
BANCA IFIS
Leasing
Highlights*
• New business growth (+20% QoQ) due to:
o Seasonality in the auto and technology
industries
o Final rush of investments to benefit of the fast
depreciation (“Super Ammortamento”) fiscal
incentive in the equipment industry
• Customer fragmentation to minimize asset quality
risk: ca. 70k clients, mainly SMEs
• Forefront in innovation with targeted campaigns on
hybrid and electric automotive, new medical
equipment, full service rental, new insurance
coverages, high added value services for
customers
• Third party contracts for re-marketing of returned
leasing/rentals provide clear recovery estimates
New business* - €mln
88 91 79 92
58 45 71
78
26 25 20
33
1Q 18 2Q 18 3Q 18 4Q 18
Autolease Equipment Technology
Data in euro million* 1Q 18 2Q 18 3Q 18 4Q 18
Net banking income 12 14 12 13
Net banking income
/ average customer loans
4.0% 4.2% 3.6% 3.8%
Loan loss provisions (2) (2) (3) (3)
1,298 1,328 1,346 1,400
172 161 170 204Total
Net
customer
loans
* Data based on management accounting.
14
BANCA IFIS
IFIS NPL: portfolio evolution
NPL evolution Key numbers
• 1.7mln tickets, #1.2mln borrowers
• Extensive portfolio diversification by geography, type and
age of borrower
NPLs acquired in 4Q: €1.7bn GBV
• Positive market momentum
• Portfolios consistent with Banca IFIS business model:
o Personal loans, current accounts and SMEs loans
o Small tickets (ca. 190k tickets), predominately
unsecured
o Strong seller knowledge (i.e. MPS, other small banks)
from which Banca IFIS has already acquired several
portfolios
NPLs disposed in 4Q: €0.5bn GBV
• Already worked out by IFIS NPL
• Disposal to specialized operators
• €10mln capital gain in 4Q
NBV
€mln
14.7
15.8
1.7 -0.5
945 1,093
GBV
€bn
€3.6bn NPLs acquired in 2018FY
15
BANCA IFIS
IFIS NPL: ERC
ERC €2.3bn* ERC assumptions
• ERC based proprietary statistical models built using
internal historical data series and homogeneous clusters of
borrowers
o Type of borrower, geography, age, amount due,
employment status
o Timeframe of recovery
o Probability of decay
• Monthly ERC review according to management actions and
periodic review of assumptions based on update of
historical data
Recovery strategy
• Banca IFIS strategy is to offer to borrowers, in alternative
to immediate cash repayment, long term sustainable
voluntary / judicial recovery plans
1.3
2.3
1.0
Up to 5Y >5Y Total
NPLs: GBV and Cash recovery in 2014-2018*
€0.7bn cash recovery
(including proceeds from
disposals) in 2014-18
(€0.2bn in 2018)
Expected further
synergies Banca IFIS +
FBS
* Source: management accounting, risk management data
Proprietary statistical
models built on
several years of
experience and
based on cash
recovery
16
BANCA IFIS
2018 annual data GBV 3Q GBV 4Q
Carrying
amount 4Q
Carrying
amount/GBV
4Q
Waiting for the workout 1,818 3,082 200 6%
Processed at least one
time
9,148 8,114 151 2%
Internal and external
recovery department
Non-judicial
payment plans
593 592 149 25%
Legal recovery
department
Waiting for judicial
workout
2,240 3,000 278 9%
Ongoing judicial
workout
379 412 106 26%
Order of
assignment
498 556 209 38%
14,676 15,756 1,093 7%Total
IFIS NPL: stock by recovery phase
Stock by recovery phase* Description
• Waiting for workout (positions under analysis
to select the best recovery strategy): QoQ
increase due to NPLs portfolio acquired in 4Q
• Processed at least one time (positions
managed collectively): -€1bn due to disposals
in 4Q 18 and migration to other classifications
• Internal and external recovery department
(positions with a settlement plan with at least 3
instalments paid)
• The QoQ increase in the positions of the legal
department is linked to the normal proceed of
the legal processes:
o Waiting for judicial workout (positions
with collaterals or order to pay [“decreto”] to
be issued)
o Ongoing judicial workout (positions for
which the court injunction [“precetto”] has
been issued)
o Order of assignment (positions with
enforcement order already issued)
* Source: split according to management accounting
17
BANCA IFIS
IFIS NPL: cash recovery
Cash collection vs. contribution to P&L
• Difference between cash collection and contribution to P&L
mainly due to NPLs managed by legal recovery
department:
o Legal proceeds to get court injunctions (“precetto”) last
on average ca. 6-12 months
o Once the court injunctions have been issued, NPLs are
valued based on internal recovery models. This leads
to an increase in accounting value due to the increased
recoverable amount
o Once the order of assignment has been issued, there
is another update in the accounting value due to the
completion of the legal process
o Judicial actions to get the final order assignment last
on average ca. 1.5-2.5 years from the acquisition date
• Cost of ongoing judicial actions are expensed in P&L
partially at issuance of court injunctions (“precetto”) and the
remaining at the issuance of the order of assignment
• Cash collection starts following the issuance of the order of
assignment. Costs of judicial actions have been already
expensed
Cash recovery*
* Source: split according to management accounting
** The vast majority depends on mortgages positions
Contribution p&L does not include cost of funding
Data in € mln 1Q 18 2Q 18 3Q 18 4Q 18
Total
2018
Dispo-
sals
2018
Total 2018
including
disposals
Cash collection 40 41 45 55 181 21 203
Contribution to P&L 67 56 46 69 238 17 255
Cash collection /
contribution to P&L
60% 73% 98% 80% 76% 80%
2018 annual data P&L
Cash
collection
Waiting for the workout 0 0
Processed at least one time -13 13
Internal and external recovery
department
Non-judicial
payment plans
75 72
Legal recovery department
Waiting for judicial
workout*
25 24
Ongoing judicial
workout
68 0
Order of assignment 83 72
238 181
17 21
255 203
Total
Disposals
Total including disposals
18
BANCA IFIS
Small ticket
Judicial recovery: order of assignment
Extrajudicial recovery voluntary payment
IFIS NPL best positioned to select the best recovery strategy
• 15Y experience in unsecured retail loans
• 1.7 million loans, 1.2 million borrowers
• GBV ca. €15.8bn property portfolio
• Extensive proprietary database and performance
monitoring tools
• Internal call center, consolidated network of
home collectors and of internal and external
lawyers
• Judicial and extrajudicial recovery experience
• Over 20 years of experience in UTPs and NPLs
management
• GBV ca. €7bn under servicing and ca. €1bn
property portfolio
• Extensive bankruptcy experience
• Judicial and extrajudicial recovery experience
• Rated by agencies since 2003. Fitch rating:
Italian residential and commercial special
servicer ratings at “RSS2+” and “CSS2+”; S&P
“Above Average”
Medium/High tickets
Judicial recovery: bankruptcies and foreclosure
Extrajudicial voluntary sale / foreclose
Unsecured retail loans Secured and corporate unsecured
Full services in the NPLs market
19
BANCA IFIS
#4 servicer in Italy with portfolio purchasing capabilities
Company Shareholders
NPLs AuM
(€bn)
Average Ticket
(€k)
Secured (%) Unsecured (%)
DO BANK Fortress/public market 81.3 163
CERVED Public company 39.5 65
INTRUM ITALIA INTRUM 38.8(1) 30(1)
BANCA IFIS
La Scogliera 50.2%/public
market
23.5 12
PRELIOS
DAVIDSON
KEMPNER/public market
12.4 288
PHOENIX Anacap/Pimco 9.0 315
GUBER Vӓrde/funders 8.9 60
SISTEMIA KKR 7.8 25
HOIST ITALIA Hoist 7.1 10
CREDITO
FONDIARIO
Morgan Stanley/Elliot 6.2 35
Top 10 Italian special servicers ranked by NPLs AuM
33% 67%
53% 47%
55% 45%
20% 80%
1%
10% 90%
44% 56%
79% 21%
4% 96%
54% 46%
65% 35%
*Source: company data, PWC. Data as at 30 June 2018
(1) Includes CAF and Gextra and excludes ca. €4.4bn managed by Italfondiario (doBank). Average ticket excludes the acquisition of Intesa JV
20
BANCA IFIS
Consolidated operating costs
73.4
70.8
64.7 64.6
1Q 18 2Q 18 3Q 18 4Q 18
Operating costs (€mln) Highlights
Personnel expenses (€mln)
Other administrative expenses and other income /
expenses (€mln)
26.8
28.6 27.8 28.3
1Q 18 2Q 18 3Q 18 4Q 18
Banca IFIS
employees
1,541 1,577 1,622 1,638
• Other administrative and other income / expenses
came in at €36.3mln (-€0.6mln QoQ). However,
adjusting for €3.9mln one off for the consolidation of
Credifarma, they would report a decrease of €4.5mln
• 2018FY operating costs include €2.3mln and
€3.7mln on FITD and Resolution Fund, respectively
• In 2018FY cost / income ratio at 47.4% (47.7% in
2017FY)
46.6 42.1
36.9 36.3
1Q 18 2Q 18 3Q 18 4Q 18
21
BANCA IFIS
Asset quality – 4Q 18
Enterprises Gross Coverage % Net
Bad loans 251 73% 68
UTP 234 37% 147
Past due 107 11% 95
Total 592 48% 310
Enterprises
Net of POCI
Gross Coverage % Net
Bad loans 224 82% 41
UTP 194 44% 108
Past due 107 11% 95
Total 525 54% 244
Highlights
• IFIS NPL not included in this analysis
• Enterprises (net of POCI): bad loans and UTP coverage at
82% and 44%, respectively
• NPEs that arose from the acquisition of Interbanca, in
accordance with IFRS 9 are qualified as POCI (“purchased
or originated credit-impaired”) and are booked net of
provisions
• NPEs ratio in Enterprises
o Gross NPE %: 9.5% (9.9% as at 1Jan 2018)
o Net NPE %: 5.2% (6.2% as at 1Jan 2018)
• In addition to Enterprises Segment (highlighted in the left
table), as at 31 Dec 2018, G&S had €43mln gross NPEs, of
which:
o €26mln gross other loans (of which €4mln gross bad
loans, €17mln gross UTP and €5mln gross past due)
o €18mln POCI
• It is worth noting that total write-off as at 4Q 18 amounted to
€241.8mln, of which €220.5mln in IFRS9 FTA
POCI Gross Coverage % Net
Bad loans 27 0% 27
UTP 39 0% 39
Past due 0 0% 0
Total 67 0% 67
22
BANCA IFIS
Table of contents
01
02
Summary results
Segment results
03 Conclusions
04 Appendix
23
BANCA IFIS
Macroeconomic environment
Source: *Economic Bulletin Bank of Italy –January 2019; Banca IFIS research “Market Watch”
Potential slowdown in Italian GDP growth BTP-Bund Spread may remain high
NPLs disposal expected to continue in Italian market – GBV €bn
3.8%
0.9%
0.6%
2018 2019
Investment
Growth %
0.6%
19 17
71 66
50
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
Pipeline
Actual
% Secondary 31% 51% 4% 2% 39%
GDP
Growth %
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
24
BANCA IFIS
2019 business guidance
BUSINESS
GUIDELINES
• Streamline recovery strategy
• NPLs portfolio purchase
• Expand NPLs servicing business
• Focus on SMEs lending mainly through factoring and leasing
• Ordinary winding down of former Interbanca long term loans
2019
GUIDELINES
Guidances assuming no further deterioration on current
macroeconomic environment:
• Single digit increase in net banking income vs. 2018YE, despite the
contribution from the reversal of the PPA is expected to decrease by
ca. 50% from €92mln in 2018
• Net income of around €140-€160mln despite ca. 50% lower
contribution from the reversal of the PPA vs. 2018
• In 2019FY, CET1 at La Scogliera Group level is expected to slightly
increase from 2018YE level, despite tightening in banking capital
regulatory requirements
25
BANCA IFIS
Table of contents
01
02
Summary results
Segment results
03 Conclusions
04
Appendix:
• La Scogliera: CRD IV and potential solutions
• Focus on DTA
• Focus on PPA
• NPL portfolio diversification
26
BANCA IFIS
La Scogliera: implications of CRD IV
• The application of the 2013/36/EU (CRD IV) Directive and EU Regulation 575/2013
(CRR) envisages that only 50.2% of the excess capital of Banca IFIS Group Scope is
included in the CET1 of La Scogliera Group Scope. CET1 excess capital of €0.3bn is not
included in La Scogliera Group Scope
• La Scogliera has communicated to Banca IFIS that even after the next Shareholders'
Meeting scheduled in April 2019 it will continue to review potential transactions to
achieve substantially equivalent regulatory results to the abandoned reverse merger
between the Bank and La Scogliera, safeguarding the capitalization requirements of the
Bank, taking into account the interests of the family shareholders of La Scogliera and
providing full commitment to support the growth of the Bank
La Scogliera S.p.A.
Consolidating Group
entity
50.2%
Banca IFIS S.p.A.
Data in €billion
Data as at
31 Dec 2018
Banca IFIS
Group Scope
Capital
requirements*
Excess capital
Minority stake of
La Scogliera
Excess capital
not included
La Scogliera
Group Scope
CET1 1.2 0.7 49% 0.3 0.9
Total Capital 1.6 0.8 49% 0.4 1.3
CET1 % 13.7% 6.4% 49% 10.3%
Total Capital % 18.2% 9.9% 49% 14.0%
RWA 9.0 9.0
*Capital requirements at parent company level. Capital requirements will increase to ca. 7.0% and 10.5% for CET1 and Total Capital, respectively, due to increase in
Capital Conservation Buffer from 1.9% to 2.5% as per regulation 2013/36/EU
27
BANCA IFIS
218.4
144.5
(102+42.5*)
27.8
Focus on DTA
Convertible
DTA
DTA due to tax
losses
(non-
convertible)
Other
non-convertible
DTAs
• DTAs related to write downs of loans convertible into tax credits (under Law 214/2011)
• Their recovery is certain regardless of the presence of future taxable income and is
defined by fiscal law (range ca. 5%-12% per annum, with full release by 2026)
• No time and amount limit in the utilization of converted DTA
• Capital requirements: 100% weight on RWA
• DTAs on losses carried forward (non-convertible) and DTAs on ACE (Allowance for
Corporate Equity) deductions can be recovered in subsequent years only if there is
positive taxable income
• No time limit to the use of fiscal losses against taxable income of subsequent years
• Capital requirements: 100% deduction from CET1
• DTAs generated due to negative valuation reserves and provisions for risks and
charges
• Capital requirements: deduction from CET1 or weighted in RWA depending on certain
thresholds. For Banca IFIS they are weighted at 250% and are partially offset by DTL
* Includes €42.5mln of tax credits booked as loans towards La Scogliera as part of the consolidated fiscal accounts. The tax credit stemmed from Interbanca’s PPA in fiscal year 2017, following the merger of
Interbanca into Banca IFIS
Data in €/mln
28
BANCA IFIS
Average
duration
Focus on PPA
Description
• In 2016, following the acquisition of Interbanca,
Banca IFIS valued the performing and non
performing loans of Interbanca by applying a
market discount and a liquidity discount to reflect
purchase price
• The purchase price allocation (PPA) is written
back with the progressive maturity or the disposal
of Interbanca’s loans
o As at 31 Dec 18, the residual amount of pre
tax PPA was €229mln
o The average maturity of the loan is ca. 3Y
Net customer loans and PPA - €mln
1,014
835
562
455
329
229
2016 2017 2018
Net customer loans PPA
~3Y
~3Y
Performing: 98.2
PD: 0.4
UTP: 77.7
Bad loans: 53.0
PPA Reversal in
P&L
1Q 18 2Q 18 3Q 18 4Q 18
Outstanding
2018
Enterprises 20 20 15 29 186
G&S 1 2 1 2 44
Total 22 22 17 31 229
29
BANCA IFIS
Italian Government bonds
4Q 2018 data
• Nominal Value €423mln (Accounting Value €410mln) – 95% BTP Italia linked to Italian inflation
• Duration: 2.2Y (source Bloomberg)
• Strategy: collateral for TLTRO II
• Sensitivity to +100bps yield curve: 16bps at Banca IFIS Group Scope
Italian banks: Italian government Bonds / Shareholders Equity
4.0 3.9
3.2
2.7
1.5 1.5 1.4 1.2 1.0 1.0 1.0
0.7
0.3
Bank 1 Bank 2 Bank 3 Bank 4 Bank 5 Bank 6 Bank 7 Bank 8 Bank 9 Bank 10 Bank 11 Bank 12 Banca IFIS
*Source: company data as at 3Q 18
30
BANCA IFIS
5k 12%
from 5k to
20k 33%
from 20k
to 100k
32%
> 100k
23%
24.7%
36.9%
32.3%
IFIS NPL: portfolio diversification
NORTH
CENTER
SOUTH
&
ISLANDS
Breakdown of GBV by type Breakdown of GBV by borrower age
Breakdown of Gross Bad Loans by ticket size Gross NPL breakdown by region
Other 2%
Consumer 54%
Banking 44%
18-39
15%
40-49
29%
50-59
28%
>60
28%
6.1%
OTHER/
ABROAD
Data as at 31 December 2018
Source: management accounting, risk management data
31
BANCA IFIS
Disclaimer
• This Presentation may contain written and oral “forward-looking statements”, which includes all statements that do not relate solely to historical
or current facts and which are therefore inherently uncertain. All forward-looking statements rely on a number of assumptions, expectations,
projections and provisional data concerning future events and are subject to a number of uncertainties and other factors, many of which are
outside the control of Banca IFIS (the “Company”). There are a variety of factors that may cause actual results and performance to be materially
different from the explicit or implicit contents of any forward-looking statements and thus such forward-looking statements are not a reliable
indicator of future performance. The Company undertakes no obligation to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statements, whether as
a result of new information, future events or otherwise, except as may be required by applicable law. The information and opinions contained in
this Presentation are provided as at the date hereof and are subject to change without notice. Neither this Presentation nor any part of it nor the
fact of its distribution may form the basis of, or be relied on or in connection with, any contract or investment decision.
• The information, statements and opinions contained in this Presentation are for information purposes only and do not constitute a public offer
under any applicable legislation or an offer to sell or solicitation of an offer to purchase or subscribe for securities or financial instruments or any
advice or recommendation with respect to such securities or other financial instruments. None of the securities referred to herein have been, or
will be, registered under the U.S. Securities Act of 1933, as amended, or the securities laws of any state or other jurisdiction of the United
States or in Australia, Canada or Japan or any other jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation would be unlawful (the “Other Countries”),
and there will be no public offer of any such securities in the United States. This Presentation does not constitute or form a part of any offer or
solicitation to purchase or subscribe for securities in the United States or the Other Countries.
• Mariacristina Taormina, Manager charged with preparing the financial reports of Banca IFIS S.p.A., pursuant to the provisions of Art. 154 bis,
paragraph 2 of Italian Legislative Decree no.58 dated 24 February 1998, declares that the accounting information included into this document
corresponds to the related books and accounting records.
• Neither the Company nor any member of Banca IFIS nor any of its or their respective representatives directors or employees accept any liability
whatsoever in connection with this Presentation or any of its contents or in relation to any loss arising from its use or from any reliance placed
upon it.

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2018 FULL YEAR RESULTS

  • 1. 2018 Full Year Results 11 February 2019 www.bancaifis.it
  • 2. 2 BANCA IFIS Table of contents 01 02 Summary results Segment results 03 Conclusions 04 Appendix
  • 3. 3 BANCA IFIS Summary results Net banking income Operating costs LLPNet income Customer loans IFIS NPL Funding CET1 ratio • Cost of risk of €31.2mln (€28.9mln in 3Q) • €58mln net income (€23mln in 3Q) €7.31bn (+€0.39bn QoQ) • +€0.20bn QoQ trade receivables • +€0.15bn QoQ IFIS NPL • 10.30% La Scogliera • 13.74% Banca IFIS • €65mln stable QoQ€173mln (€125mln in 3Q) • +€23mln QoQ NII on NPLs segment • €17mln income from NPLs disposals and Liability Management • +€12mln QoQ income from corporate banking • €0.98bn Wholesale • €4.67bn customer deposits (-€0.31bn QoQ) due to excess liquidity and expected year end seasonality • New Rendimax campaign: ca. +€140mln deposits in 1/1/2019 – 6/2/2019 4Q 2018 STOCK • ERC €2.3bn* • €181mln annual cash collected in 2018 (€128mln in 2017) • €1.7bn NPLs purchased in 4Q * Source: management accounting, risk management data In this presentation, financial statements, net impairment losses/reversals on receivables of the NPL segment were entirely reclassified to interest receivable and similar income as they represent an integral part of the return on the investment
  • 4. 4 BANCA IFIS Full year and quarterly results 3Q 18 4Q 18 2017 2018 Net interest income 99.7 140.0 414.7 469.3 Net commission income 20.2 24.5 73.8 84.5 Trading and other income 5.6 8.4 36.9 22.7 Net banking income 125.4 173.0 525.3 576.5 Loan loss provisions (LLP) (28.9) (31.2) (26.1) (100.1) Net banking income – LLP 96.6 141.8 499.2 476.4 Personnel expenses (27.8) (28.3) (98.3) (111.6) Other administrative expenses (38.7) (42.7) (152.6) (176.5) Other net income/expenses 1.9 6.4 0.2 14.7 Operating costs (64.7) (64.6) (250.6) (273.4) Pre-tax profit 31.9 77.2 248.6 203.0 Taxes (9.0) (19.4) (67.8) (56.2) Net income 22.8 57.8 180.8 146.8 Data 1/1/18 Customer loans 6,919 7,314 6,402 7,314 - of which IFIS NPL 945 1,093 799 1,093 Total assets 9,843 9,382 9,563 9,382 Direct funding 7,080 6,652 6,933 6,652 - of which customer deposits 4,985 4,673 5,293 4,673 Shareholders Equity 1,397 1,459 1,372 1,459 Highlights • 2018 results impacted by: o €62mln one-offs provisions on a few large tickets o €92mln PPA (€125mln in 2017) of which €85mln in Enterprises and €7mln in G&S • In 2018FY cost / income ratio at 47.4% (47.7% in 2017FY) In this financial statements, net impairment losses/reversals on receivables of the NPL segment were entirely reclassified to interest receivable and similar income as they represent an integral part of the return on the investment 2017 figures according to IFRS 9
  • 5. 5 BANCA IFIS Customer loans: focus on short term SMEs lending • Focus on short term loans, very selective on long term maturities • +€198mln and €54mln customer loans QoQ increase in trade receivables and leasing, respectively o Ongoing repricing of new loans to reflect general cost of funding increase in line with market trend. Banca IFIS is facilitated by short term maturity • +€148mln QoQ growth in NPLs is driven by portfolio acquired in 4Q 18 • Current trend expected to continue in coming quarters Enterprises Segment Highlights 4Q 17 balance sheet figures according to IFRS 9 3,382 3,386 3,584 679 802 798 1,271 1,346 1,400 131 136 136799 945 1,093140 305 303 4Q 17 3Q 18 4Q 18 Trade receivables Corporate banking Leasing Tax receivables NPL Governance & Services Customer loans (€ mln) 6,402 6,919 7,314
  • 6. 6 BANCA IFIS Funding: focus on term deposits HighlightsFunding (€ mln) 4Q 17 3Q 18 4Q 18 LCR >2,000% >2,000% >600%** NSFR >100% >100% >100% • The flexibility of Rendimax customer deposits allows timely adjustments to funding requirements • In 2018, the decrease in funding was driven by an excess of liquidity compared to lending expectations • 4Q18 customer deposits came in at €4,673mln (-€312mln QoQ), impacted also by expected year end seasonality • In mid January 2019, in order to benefit from positive market momentum in lending to SMEs, as included in our funding plan, Banca IFIS launched a new campaign on Rendimax o New campaign is focused on term deposits at attractive yields: ca. +€140mln net customer deposit inflow on Rendimax in 1/1/2019 – 6/2/2019 • New bond issuance to be considered only if financial markets stabilize *TLTRO with maturity in March 2021, cost -0.4%; Collateral represented by €423mln Italian Government Bonds and ca. €377mln leasing securitization (rating A) ** LCR decrease due liability management and lending pick up in 4Q 18 7,725 7,918 7,438 5,293 4,985 4,673 790 1,095 979 850 1,000 1,000 700 696 695 92 142 90 4Q 17 3Q 18 4Q 18 Customer Deposits Bonds Factoring securitization TLTRO Other *
  • 7. 7 BANCA IFIS Capital structure • Retained earnings • Progressive winding down of former Interbanca PPA (€229mln gross of taxes as at 31 Dec 18, indicative maturity of ca. 3Y) • Progressive use of DTA against future profits (€144.5mln as at 31 Dec 18) currently fully deducted from CET1 • Ordinary winding down of former Interbanca customer loans (€0.6bn as at 31 Dec 18) Expected impact on 1Q 19 CET1 • +0.26% (expected) due to increase in Capital Conservation Buffer from 1.9% to 2.5% due to regulation 2013/36/EU. This applies only to La Scogliera scope capital requirements; the CET1 increase is due to excess capital reduction • Ca. -30/45bps in CET1 (preliminary estimate) due to acquisition of FBS. The final results will depend on the purchase price allocation on FBS assets and liabilities 14.63% 10.67% 10.30% Net income 2H 2018 excluding dividends IFIS NPL: RWA NPLs acquired in 4Q 18 (ca. 0.24%) + IFIS NPL - FAQ EBA ex Art 127 CRR: increase in RWA weight on stock in 4Q 18 (ca. 0.45%) Business growth Capital generation in future quarters 13.74% Data in €bn Banca IFIS Group Scope 3Q 18 4Q 18 RWA 8.1 9.0 CET1 1.2 1.2 Total Capital 1.6 1.6 Total Capital % 19.6% 18.2% Excess CET1 not inc. in La Scogliera 0.3 0.3 La Scogliera Group scope RWA 8.1 9.0 CET1 0.9 0.9 Total Capital 1.2 1.3 Total Capital % 14.7% 14.0% *The application of the 2013/36/EU (CRD IV) Directive and EU Regulation 575/2013 (CRR) envisages that only 50.2% of the excess capital of Banca IFIS Group Scope is included in the CET1 of La Scogliera Group Scope. Excess Capital of €0.3bn is not included in CET1 of La Scogliera Group Scope ** SREP received in draft by the Bank of Italy in January 2019, to be applied in 2019. In 2018, according to previous SREP, the CET1 requirement was 7.2% 0.71% -0.69% -0.39% SREP** 8.12% 3Q 18 CET1 4Q 18 CET1 B IFIS scope* La Scogliera scope*
  • 8. 8 BANCA IFIS In 2018, CET1 impacted by -0.82% due to regulation Net income - expected dividends DTA and other Phase-in RWA weight for NPLs based on FAQ EBA SREP 8.12%** Transformation of NPL segment into IFIS NPL plc Italian Government Bonds (BTP Bund spread widening) RWA business growth excluding IFIS NPL 10.30% 11.66% 0.87% -0.10% -0.45%-0.27% -0.30% -0.05% 2017 CET1 2018 CET1 15.64% 13.74%B IFIS scope* La Scogliera scope* • - 0.82% due to regulation (i.e. DTA and other phase-in, EBA FAQ Art. 127 on RWA on NPL, transformation of NPL segment into IFIS NPL plc) • - 0.05% due to BTP-Bund spread widening in 2018 • + 0.87% organic capital generation less expected dividends • - 1.36% RWA increase due to business growth CET 1: ca. 1.36% decrease YoY of which ca. 0.82% due to regulation *The application of the 2013/36/EU (CRD IV) Directive and EU Regulation 575/2013 (CRR) envisages that only 50.2% of the excess capital of Banca IFIS Group Scope is included in the CET1 of La Scogliera Group Scope. Excess Capital of €0.3bn is not included in CET1 of La Scogliera Group Scope ** SREP received by the Bank of Italy in January 2019, to be applied in 2019. In 2018, CET 1 requirement was 7.2% -0.82% regulation effect IFIS NPL: RWA NPLs acquired in 2018FY (ca. 0.24% in 4Q 18) -1.06% -1.36% business growth
  • 9. 9 BANCA IFIS Calendar Provisioning to be approved by EU Parliament (Pillar 1) Considerations on main NPLs regulations • According to EBA’s answer to Art. 127 of the CRR 575/2013, if NPLs are written- down by more than 20%, RWA should be 100%, otherwise 150% • Only write-downs made by the NPLs buyer shall be accounted for (i.e. not previous write-downs made by previous owners of the exposure) EBA FAQ Art 127 Capital Requirements Regulation • New regulation under review; final draft shall be approved by EU Parliament • Timeframe for enforcement and final calendar provision to be defined • Current proposal envisages, for new originated loans only, full coverage for NPLs over [9] and [3] years for secured and unsecured NPEs, respectively IFIS NPL – Capital impact included in 4Q 18 • No major impact expected on our business model for future acquisitions • CET1 impact of ca. -45bps from the NPLs portfolio as at 4Q 18 • New NPLs acquired will be weighted at 150% on the net consideration paid IFIS NPL • We estimate there may be time lag of [3-6] years from enforcement before it may impact Banca IFIS capital requirements: o We assume that banks may sell NPLs [1-3] years after classification into NPEs o We estimate further [2-3] years before newly acquired NPLs represent a significant portion of IFIS NPL portfolio • In the medium term we expect new business opportunity for Banca IFIS as banks speed up recoveries / disposals Banca IFIS • Strict credit policy. Bad loans coverage > 80% for Enterprise Segment (excluding POCI) Regulation
  • 10. 10 BANCA IFIS Table of contents 01 02 Summary results Segment results 03 Conclusions 04 Appendix
  • 11. 11 BANCA IFIS Segment breakdown Business diversification and client fragmentation across all business segments Enterprises NPL G&S Total Trade Receivables Leasing Corporate Banking Tax Receivables Net banking income 170 52 100 14 244 (3) 577 - of which PPA 7 - 78 - - 7 92 Loan loss provisions (LLP) (75) (11) (12) 0 - (3) (100) Net banking income - LLP 95 41 89 13 244 (6) 476 % total 20% 9% 19% 3% 51% (1)% Net loans 3,584 1,400 798 136 1,093 303 7,314 RWA from counterparty risk 4,793 1,584 116* 6,494 % total 74% 24% 2% Data in € mln 1,508 973 Counterparty RWA on other group assets (i.e. DTA, other assets, financial assets) Operating and market risks and CVA 8,975Total RWA *Data includes only loans in G&S
  • 12. 12 BANCA IFIS Trade Receivables Highlights* • QoQ growth in turnover driven by seasonality, new customer development and positive market momentum • Strategy in trade receivables: o SMEs: ca. 80% of customers are SMEs with total revenues less than €10mln o Short term lending: average factoring duration of ca. 3-4 months o Customer fragmentation: average ticket of ca. €400k well diversified across all major business segments • Ongoing repricing: +0.3% in 4Q 18 vs. 3Q 18 in net banking income / average customer loans (+0.6% vs. 1Q 18) • In 2018, Banca IFIS started medium / long term lending guaranteed by the Central Guarantee Fund o Factoring / total loans decreased slightly, from 88% in 1Q 18 to 85% in 4Q 18 • In 2018, loan loss provisions were impacted by one-offs provisions on a few large tickets Turnover* - €bn 2.9 3.2 3.4 3.8 1Q 18 2Q 18 3Q 18 4Q 18 Data in euro million* 1Q 18 2Q 18 3Q 18 4Q 18 Net banking income 40 40 43 46 - of which PPA 1 3 1 1 Net banking income / average customer loans 5.0% 5.0% 5.3% 5.6% Loan loss provisions (7) (22) (26) (20) - of which Factoring* 3,208 3,382 3,386 3,584 Net customer loans - €mln 2,738 2,992 2,824 2,983 * Data based on management accounting. Factoring includes Polish business
  • 13. 13 BANCA IFIS Leasing Highlights* • New business growth (+20% QoQ) due to: o Seasonality in the auto and technology industries o Final rush of investments to benefit of the fast depreciation (“Super Ammortamento”) fiscal incentive in the equipment industry • Customer fragmentation to minimize asset quality risk: ca. 70k clients, mainly SMEs • Forefront in innovation with targeted campaigns on hybrid and electric automotive, new medical equipment, full service rental, new insurance coverages, high added value services for customers • Third party contracts for re-marketing of returned leasing/rentals provide clear recovery estimates New business* - €mln 88 91 79 92 58 45 71 78 26 25 20 33 1Q 18 2Q 18 3Q 18 4Q 18 Autolease Equipment Technology Data in euro million* 1Q 18 2Q 18 3Q 18 4Q 18 Net banking income 12 14 12 13 Net banking income / average customer loans 4.0% 4.2% 3.6% 3.8% Loan loss provisions (2) (2) (3) (3) 1,298 1,328 1,346 1,400 172 161 170 204Total Net customer loans * Data based on management accounting.
  • 14. 14 BANCA IFIS IFIS NPL: portfolio evolution NPL evolution Key numbers • 1.7mln tickets, #1.2mln borrowers • Extensive portfolio diversification by geography, type and age of borrower NPLs acquired in 4Q: €1.7bn GBV • Positive market momentum • Portfolios consistent with Banca IFIS business model: o Personal loans, current accounts and SMEs loans o Small tickets (ca. 190k tickets), predominately unsecured o Strong seller knowledge (i.e. MPS, other small banks) from which Banca IFIS has already acquired several portfolios NPLs disposed in 4Q: €0.5bn GBV • Already worked out by IFIS NPL • Disposal to specialized operators • €10mln capital gain in 4Q NBV €mln 14.7 15.8 1.7 -0.5 945 1,093 GBV €bn €3.6bn NPLs acquired in 2018FY
  • 15. 15 BANCA IFIS IFIS NPL: ERC ERC €2.3bn* ERC assumptions • ERC based proprietary statistical models built using internal historical data series and homogeneous clusters of borrowers o Type of borrower, geography, age, amount due, employment status o Timeframe of recovery o Probability of decay • Monthly ERC review according to management actions and periodic review of assumptions based on update of historical data Recovery strategy • Banca IFIS strategy is to offer to borrowers, in alternative to immediate cash repayment, long term sustainable voluntary / judicial recovery plans 1.3 2.3 1.0 Up to 5Y >5Y Total NPLs: GBV and Cash recovery in 2014-2018* €0.7bn cash recovery (including proceeds from disposals) in 2014-18 (€0.2bn in 2018) Expected further synergies Banca IFIS + FBS * Source: management accounting, risk management data Proprietary statistical models built on several years of experience and based on cash recovery
  • 16. 16 BANCA IFIS 2018 annual data GBV 3Q GBV 4Q Carrying amount 4Q Carrying amount/GBV 4Q Waiting for the workout 1,818 3,082 200 6% Processed at least one time 9,148 8,114 151 2% Internal and external recovery department Non-judicial payment plans 593 592 149 25% Legal recovery department Waiting for judicial workout 2,240 3,000 278 9% Ongoing judicial workout 379 412 106 26% Order of assignment 498 556 209 38% 14,676 15,756 1,093 7%Total IFIS NPL: stock by recovery phase Stock by recovery phase* Description • Waiting for workout (positions under analysis to select the best recovery strategy): QoQ increase due to NPLs portfolio acquired in 4Q • Processed at least one time (positions managed collectively): -€1bn due to disposals in 4Q 18 and migration to other classifications • Internal and external recovery department (positions with a settlement plan with at least 3 instalments paid) • The QoQ increase in the positions of the legal department is linked to the normal proceed of the legal processes: o Waiting for judicial workout (positions with collaterals or order to pay [“decreto”] to be issued) o Ongoing judicial workout (positions for which the court injunction [“precetto”] has been issued) o Order of assignment (positions with enforcement order already issued) * Source: split according to management accounting
  • 17. 17 BANCA IFIS IFIS NPL: cash recovery Cash collection vs. contribution to P&L • Difference between cash collection and contribution to P&L mainly due to NPLs managed by legal recovery department: o Legal proceeds to get court injunctions (“precetto”) last on average ca. 6-12 months o Once the court injunctions have been issued, NPLs are valued based on internal recovery models. This leads to an increase in accounting value due to the increased recoverable amount o Once the order of assignment has been issued, there is another update in the accounting value due to the completion of the legal process o Judicial actions to get the final order assignment last on average ca. 1.5-2.5 years from the acquisition date • Cost of ongoing judicial actions are expensed in P&L partially at issuance of court injunctions (“precetto”) and the remaining at the issuance of the order of assignment • Cash collection starts following the issuance of the order of assignment. Costs of judicial actions have been already expensed Cash recovery* * Source: split according to management accounting ** The vast majority depends on mortgages positions Contribution p&L does not include cost of funding Data in € mln 1Q 18 2Q 18 3Q 18 4Q 18 Total 2018 Dispo- sals 2018 Total 2018 including disposals Cash collection 40 41 45 55 181 21 203 Contribution to P&L 67 56 46 69 238 17 255 Cash collection / contribution to P&L 60% 73% 98% 80% 76% 80% 2018 annual data P&L Cash collection Waiting for the workout 0 0 Processed at least one time -13 13 Internal and external recovery department Non-judicial payment plans 75 72 Legal recovery department Waiting for judicial workout* 25 24 Ongoing judicial workout 68 0 Order of assignment 83 72 238 181 17 21 255 203 Total Disposals Total including disposals
  • 18. 18 BANCA IFIS Small ticket Judicial recovery: order of assignment Extrajudicial recovery voluntary payment IFIS NPL best positioned to select the best recovery strategy • 15Y experience in unsecured retail loans • 1.7 million loans, 1.2 million borrowers • GBV ca. €15.8bn property portfolio • Extensive proprietary database and performance monitoring tools • Internal call center, consolidated network of home collectors and of internal and external lawyers • Judicial and extrajudicial recovery experience • Over 20 years of experience in UTPs and NPLs management • GBV ca. €7bn under servicing and ca. €1bn property portfolio • Extensive bankruptcy experience • Judicial and extrajudicial recovery experience • Rated by agencies since 2003. Fitch rating: Italian residential and commercial special servicer ratings at “RSS2+” and “CSS2+”; S&P “Above Average” Medium/High tickets Judicial recovery: bankruptcies and foreclosure Extrajudicial voluntary sale / foreclose Unsecured retail loans Secured and corporate unsecured Full services in the NPLs market
  • 19. 19 BANCA IFIS #4 servicer in Italy with portfolio purchasing capabilities Company Shareholders NPLs AuM (€bn) Average Ticket (€k) Secured (%) Unsecured (%) DO BANK Fortress/public market 81.3 163 CERVED Public company 39.5 65 INTRUM ITALIA INTRUM 38.8(1) 30(1) BANCA IFIS La Scogliera 50.2%/public market 23.5 12 PRELIOS DAVIDSON KEMPNER/public market 12.4 288 PHOENIX Anacap/Pimco 9.0 315 GUBER Vӓrde/funders 8.9 60 SISTEMIA KKR 7.8 25 HOIST ITALIA Hoist 7.1 10 CREDITO FONDIARIO Morgan Stanley/Elliot 6.2 35 Top 10 Italian special servicers ranked by NPLs AuM 33% 67% 53% 47% 55% 45% 20% 80% 1% 10% 90% 44% 56% 79% 21% 4% 96% 54% 46% 65% 35% *Source: company data, PWC. Data as at 30 June 2018 (1) Includes CAF and Gextra and excludes ca. €4.4bn managed by Italfondiario (doBank). Average ticket excludes the acquisition of Intesa JV
  • 20. 20 BANCA IFIS Consolidated operating costs 73.4 70.8 64.7 64.6 1Q 18 2Q 18 3Q 18 4Q 18 Operating costs (€mln) Highlights Personnel expenses (€mln) Other administrative expenses and other income / expenses (€mln) 26.8 28.6 27.8 28.3 1Q 18 2Q 18 3Q 18 4Q 18 Banca IFIS employees 1,541 1,577 1,622 1,638 • Other administrative and other income / expenses came in at €36.3mln (-€0.6mln QoQ). However, adjusting for €3.9mln one off for the consolidation of Credifarma, they would report a decrease of €4.5mln • 2018FY operating costs include €2.3mln and €3.7mln on FITD and Resolution Fund, respectively • In 2018FY cost / income ratio at 47.4% (47.7% in 2017FY) 46.6 42.1 36.9 36.3 1Q 18 2Q 18 3Q 18 4Q 18
  • 21. 21 BANCA IFIS Asset quality – 4Q 18 Enterprises Gross Coverage % Net Bad loans 251 73% 68 UTP 234 37% 147 Past due 107 11% 95 Total 592 48% 310 Enterprises Net of POCI Gross Coverage % Net Bad loans 224 82% 41 UTP 194 44% 108 Past due 107 11% 95 Total 525 54% 244 Highlights • IFIS NPL not included in this analysis • Enterprises (net of POCI): bad loans and UTP coverage at 82% and 44%, respectively • NPEs that arose from the acquisition of Interbanca, in accordance with IFRS 9 are qualified as POCI (“purchased or originated credit-impaired”) and are booked net of provisions • NPEs ratio in Enterprises o Gross NPE %: 9.5% (9.9% as at 1Jan 2018) o Net NPE %: 5.2% (6.2% as at 1Jan 2018) • In addition to Enterprises Segment (highlighted in the left table), as at 31 Dec 2018, G&S had €43mln gross NPEs, of which: o €26mln gross other loans (of which €4mln gross bad loans, €17mln gross UTP and €5mln gross past due) o €18mln POCI • It is worth noting that total write-off as at 4Q 18 amounted to €241.8mln, of which €220.5mln in IFRS9 FTA POCI Gross Coverage % Net Bad loans 27 0% 27 UTP 39 0% 39 Past due 0 0% 0 Total 67 0% 67
  • 22. 22 BANCA IFIS Table of contents 01 02 Summary results Segment results 03 Conclusions 04 Appendix
  • 23. 23 BANCA IFIS Macroeconomic environment Source: *Economic Bulletin Bank of Italy –January 2019; Banca IFIS research “Market Watch” Potential slowdown in Italian GDP growth BTP-Bund Spread may remain high NPLs disposal expected to continue in Italian market – GBV €bn 3.8% 0.9% 0.6% 2018 2019 Investment Growth % 0.6% 19 17 71 66 50 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Pipeline Actual % Secondary 31% 51% 4% 2% 39% GDP Growth % 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350
  • 24. 24 BANCA IFIS 2019 business guidance BUSINESS GUIDELINES • Streamline recovery strategy • NPLs portfolio purchase • Expand NPLs servicing business • Focus on SMEs lending mainly through factoring and leasing • Ordinary winding down of former Interbanca long term loans 2019 GUIDELINES Guidances assuming no further deterioration on current macroeconomic environment: • Single digit increase in net banking income vs. 2018YE, despite the contribution from the reversal of the PPA is expected to decrease by ca. 50% from €92mln in 2018 • Net income of around €140-€160mln despite ca. 50% lower contribution from the reversal of the PPA vs. 2018 • In 2019FY, CET1 at La Scogliera Group level is expected to slightly increase from 2018YE level, despite tightening in banking capital regulatory requirements
  • 25. 25 BANCA IFIS Table of contents 01 02 Summary results Segment results 03 Conclusions 04 Appendix: • La Scogliera: CRD IV and potential solutions • Focus on DTA • Focus on PPA • NPL portfolio diversification
  • 26. 26 BANCA IFIS La Scogliera: implications of CRD IV • The application of the 2013/36/EU (CRD IV) Directive and EU Regulation 575/2013 (CRR) envisages that only 50.2% of the excess capital of Banca IFIS Group Scope is included in the CET1 of La Scogliera Group Scope. CET1 excess capital of €0.3bn is not included in La Scogliera Group Scope • La Scogliera has communicated to Banca IFIS that even after the next Shareholders' Meeting scheduled in April 2019 it will continue to review potential transactions to achieve substantially equivalent regulatory results to the abandoned reverse merger between the Bank and La Scogliera, safeguarding the capitalization requirements of the Bank, taking into account the interests of the family shareholders of La Scogliera and providing full commitment to support the growth of the Bank La Scogliera S.p.A. Consolidating Group entity 50.2% Banca IFIS S.p.A. Data in €billion Data as at 31 Dec 2018 Banca IFIS Group Scope Capital requirements* Excess capital Minority stake of La Scogliera Excess capital not included La Scogliera Group Scope CET1 1.2 0.7 49% 0.3 0.9 Total Capital 1.6 0.8 49% 0.4 1.3 CET1 % 13.7% 6.4% 49% 10.3% Total Capital % 18.2% 9.9% 49% 14.0% RWA 9.0 9.0 *Capital requirements at parent company level. Capital requirements will increase to ca. 7.0% and 10.5% for CET1 and Total Capital, respectively, due to increase in Capital Conservation Buffer from 1.9% to 2.5% as per regulation 2013/36/EU
  • 27. 27 BANCA IFIS 218.4 144.5 (102+42.5*) 27.8 Focus on DTA Convertible DTA DTA due to tax losses (non- convertible) Other non-convertible DTAs • DTAs related to write downs of loans convertible into tax credits (under Law 214/2011) • Their recovery is certain regardless of the presence of future taxable income and is defined by fiscal law (range ca. 5%-12% per annum, with full release by 2026) • No time and amount limit in the utilization of converted DTA • Capital requirements: 100% weight on RWA • DTAs on losses carried forward (non-convertible) and DTAs on ACE (Allowance for Corporate Equity) deductions can be recovered in subsequent years only if there is positive taxable income • No time limit to the use of fiscal losses against taxable income of subsequent years • Capital requirements: 100% deduction from CET1 • DTAs generated due to negative valuation reserves and provisions for risks and charges • Capital requirements: deduction from CET1 or weighted in RWA depending on certain thresholds. For Banca IFIS they are weighted at 250% and are partially offset by DTL * Includes €42.5mln of tax credits booked as loans towards La Scogliera as part of the consolidated fiscal accounts. The tax credit stemmed from Interbanca’s PPA in fiscal year 2017, following the merger of Interbanca into Banca IFIS Data in €/mln
  • 28. 28 BANCA IFIS Average duration Focus on PPA Description • In 2016, following the acquisition of Interbanca, Banca IFIS valued the performing and non performing loans of Interbanca by applying a market discount and a liquidity discount to reflect purchase price • The purchase price allocation (PPA) is written back with the progressive maturity or the disposal of Interbanca’s loans o As at 31 Dec 18, the residual amount of pre tax PPA was €229mln o The average maturity of the loan is ca. 3Y Net customer loans and PPA - €mln 1,014 835 562 455 329 229 2016 2017 2018 Net customer loans PPA ~3Y ~3Y Performing: 98.2 PD: 0.4 UTP: 77.7 Bad loans: 53.0 PPA Reversal in P&L 1Q 18 2Q 18 3Q 18 4Q 18 Outstanding 2018 Enterprises 20 20 15 29 186 G&S 1 2 1 2 44 Total 22 22 17 31 229
  • 29. 29 BANCA IFIS Italian Government bonds 4Q 2018 data • Nominal Value €423mln (Accounting Value €410mln) – 95% BTP Italia linked to Italian inflation • Duration: 2.2Y (source Bloomberg) • Strategy: collateral for TLTRO II • Sensitivity to +100bps yield curve: 16bps at Banca IFIS Group Scope Italian banks: Italian government Bonds / Shareholders Equity 4.0 3.9 3.2 2.7 1.5 1.5 1.4 1.2 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.7 0.3 Bank 1 Bank 2 Bank 3 Bank 4 Bank 5 Bank 6 Bank 7 Bank 8 Bank 9 Bank 10 Bank 11 Bank 12 Banca IFIS *Source: company data as at 3Q 18
  • 30. 30 BANCA IFIS 5k 12% from 5k to 20k 33% from 20k to 100k 32% > 100k 23% 24.7% 36.9% 32.3% IFIS NPL: portfolio diversification NORTH CENTER SOUTH & ISLANDS Breakdown of GBV by type Breakdown of GBV by borrower age Breakdown of Gross Bad Loans by ticket size Gross NPL breakdown by region Other 2% Consumer 54% Banking 44% 18-39 15% 40-49 29% 50-59 28% >60 28% 6.1% OTHER/ ABROAD Data as at 31 December 2018 Source: management accounting, risk management data
  • 31. 31 BANCA IFIS Disclaimer • This Presentation may contain written and oral “forward-looking statements”, which includes all statements that do not relate solely to historical or current facts and which are therefore inherently uncertain. All forward-looking statements rely on a number of assumptions, expectations, projections and provisional data concerning future events and are subject to a number of uncertainties and other factors, many of which are outside the control of Banca IFIS (the “Company”). There are a variety of factors that may cause actual results and performance to be materially different from the explicit or implicit contents of any forward-looking statements and thus such forward-looking statements are not a reliable indicator of future performance. The Company undertakes no obligation to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise, except as may be required by applicable law. The information and opinions contained in this Presentation are provided as at the date hereof and are subject to change without notice. Neither this Presentation nor any part of it nor the fact of its distribution may form the basis of, or be relied on or in connection with, any contract or investment decision. • The information, statements and opinions contained in this Presentation are for information purposes only and do not constitute a public offer under any applicable legislation or an offer to sell or solicitation of an offer to purchase or subscribe for securities or financial instruments or any advice or recommendation with respect to such securities or other financial instruments. None of the securities referred to herein have been, or will be, registered under the U.S. Securities Act of 1933, as amended, or the securities laws of any state or other jurisdiction of the United States or in Australia, Canada or Japan or any other jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation would be unlawful (the “Other Countries”), and there will be no public offer of any such securities in the United States. This Presentation does not constitute or form a part of any offer or solicitation to purchase or subscribe for securities in the United States or the Other Countries. • Mariacristina Taormina, Manager charged with preparing the financial reports of Banca IFIS S.p.A., pursuant to the provisions of Art. 154 bis, paragraph 2 of Italian Legislative Decree no.58 dated 24 February 1998, declares that the accounting information included into this document corresponds to the related books and accounting records. • Neither the Company nor any member of Banca IFIS nor any of its or their respective representatives directors or employees accept any liability whatsoever in connection with this Presentation or any of its contents or in relation to any loss arising from its use or from any reliance placed upon it.