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ALTERNATIVES TO THE F E D ? Bennett T. McCallum I must begin by saying that I have been extremely disappointed— the word "appalled" may be more accurate—by several develop- ments over the last two years involving tlie Federal Reserve. It was, I believe, appropriate that the Fed would respond widi expansionary monetary policy in the face of a major macroeconomic downtum, which it did. But it did not have to do so by means of operations tliat incorporated major excursions into credit policy, as weU as monetary policy, and thereby into the unauthorized exercise of fiscal policy. ̂ By engaging in such operations on a very large sctile, die Fed's actions are iJmost certain to have detrimental effects on tlie Fed's independ- ence—and thereby on its resulting ability to focus attention on what shotild be its principal objective, namely, price level stability. Furthermore, tlie Fed has not been moving quickly—if at all—to explain and correct this situation. AH in aU, die recent experience has had flie effect of moving the Fed away from die type of policy behavior tliat niixinstream academic analysts have been promoting over tlie past 15 years—namely, an activist but mle-based monetary stabilization policy fliat emphasizes Catojounwl, Vol. 30, No. 3 (Fall 2010). Copyright © Cato Institute. All rights reserved. Bennett T. McCiilhtin is Professor of Econotnics at Carnegie Mellon University. He thanks Marvin Coodfriend for helpful cotntnents. 'Coodfriend and McCallum (2009) distinguish between pure monetary policy (changes in base money by central bank purchase or sale of Treasury securities), pttre credit policy (changes in the cotnposition of central bank assets witli no change in base tnoney), and ititerest-on-reserves policy (with no balance sheet changes). Since the Fed returns to the Treasury the interest received on the Treasury securities that it holds, it is the case that when the Fed sells Treasuries to fund expansionary credit policy the net results are the satne as if the Treasury fttianced credit extensions by selling its securities to (i.e., borrowing from) the public. 439 CATO JOURNAL die avoidance of significant inflation while also avoiding deflation. In saying this, I do recognize that the term "inflation targeting" has been gradually corrupted so as to pemiit excessive aspects of "fine tuning" relating to output and employment levels, but by and large I believe that the academic literature has been mosdy constructive and that much ofthe commentary tending to discredit it on the basis of recent events has done so mistakenly. Monetary Policy and Exchange Rates In previous writings, I have argued that monetary policy and exchange rate policy are linked togedier so intimately that diey should be considered as two sides of the same coin. From that per- spective, it seems an unfortunate anachronism that official exchange- rate responsibility is assigned to the Treasury or Finance Ministry in many economies, including the United.
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