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Technical Analysis Class-2
Chart Basics, Volume, Support and Resistance, Trendlines, Moving Averages (SPY Daily Chart July 2007-Presnt Stage 3 Top and Stage 4 Decline) Yellow=50 Day Moving Average Blue= 200 Day Moving Average
Trendlines and Pivots
Candlesticks ,[object Object]
Candlesticks: Hammer “Hammering out a bottom”
Candlesticks: Shooting Star “There’s Trouble Ahead”
Candlesticks: Stars, Dojis, Hanging Man and Engulfing Candles
Simple and Exponential Moving Averages Yellow= 50 Day Simple Moving Average  Blue= 200 Day Simple Moving Average Yellow Dot= 50 Day Exponential Moving Average Blue Dot= 200 Day Exponential Moving Average
The Four Stages of a Market : 1 Base/Accumulation 2 Mark-up/Advance 3 Top/Distribution 4 Decline (HOV 9-Day Chart 2000-2008) Yellow=approx 50-day M.A. Blue=approx 200-Day M.A.
Stage 1: Base Breakout Pullback Volume Advance (HOV 3-Day Chart 1999-2001)
Stage: 2 Advance Fractal-Staging  (HOV 3-Day Chart 2000-2005)
Stage 3-Top Yellow= 50-day moving average Blue= 200-day moving average Fractal Staging (HOV Daily Chart 2004-2008)
Stage 4 Decline (HOV Daily Chart 2007-Present) Yellow=50-Day Moving Average Blue= 200-Day Moving Average
Moving Averages: Simple vs. Exponential Yellow= 50-Day Simple moving average Blue= 200-Day Simple  moving average Yellow= 50-Day Exponential moving average Blue= 200-Day Exponential  moving average
Moving Averages: 5 and 10 Day Simple Moving Averages The direction of a  5-sma on a daily chart often signals the character of the short-term trend. A breakout above a 10-sma/ema often signals the start of a short-term move. (SMH Daily Chart, Sept 2007-Feb 2008)
Macro/Micro: 5 and 10 sma on a Weekly Chart A: 5 sma rising and x-over the 10 sma +7.64% B: Lateral Trend +.54% C: Rising 5 sma and X-over the 10 sma 3.45%-8.83% D: Lateral Trend =+1.03% E: Declining 5 sma and X-under the 10 sma= -15.13%/-21.67%
Gaps: Breakaway, Continuation (measuring/run away), and Exhaustion (IMO Daily Chart Oct 2007-Present)
Gaps: Filling the Gap, Volume Confirmation, Support and Resistance (VLO Daily Chart, March 2007-Feb 2008)
Exhaustion Gaps
Breakaway Gap
Wilder’s RSI: Divergence Analysis A) Negative Divergence between 1 & 2 B) Positive Divergence between 3 & 4 C) Positive Divergence between 4 & 5 D) Positive Divergence between 6 & 7 (SKF 10-min Chart  1/24/2008 - 2/4/2008)
Wilder’s RSI A) Positive Divergence between 1 & 2 B) Negative (Relative) Divergence between 3 & 4 C) Negative Divergence between 4 & 5 C) Negative Divergence between 5 & 6 B/C) Negative (Relative) Divergence between 7 & 8
 

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Technical Analysis Class 2

  • 2. Chart Basics, Volume, Support and Resistance, Trendlines, Moving Averages (SPY Daily Chart July 2007-Presnt Stage 3 Top and Stage 4 Decline) Yellow=50 Day Moving Average Blue= 200 Day Moving Average
  • 4.
  • 6. Candlesticks: Shooting Star “There’s Trouble Ahead”
  • 7. Candlesticks: Stars, Dojis, Hanging Man and Engulfing Candles
  • 8. Simple and Exponential Moving Averages Yellow= 50 Day Simple Moving Average Blue= 200 Day Simple Moving Average Yellow Dot= 50 Day Exponential Moving Average Blue Dot= 200 Day Exponential Moving Average
  • 9. The Four Stages of a Market : 1 Base/Accumulation 2 Mark-up/Advance 3 Top/Distribution 4 Decline (HOV 9-Day Chart 2000-2008) Yellow=approx 50-day M.A. Blue=approx 200-Day M.A.
  • 10. Stage 1: Base Breakout Pullback Volume Advance (HOV 3-Day Chart 1999-2001)
  • 11. Stage: 2 Advance Fractal-Staging (HOV 3-Day Chart 2000-2005)
  • 12. Stage 3-Top Yellow= 50-day moving average Blue= 200-day moving average Fractal Staging (HOV Daily Chart 2004-2008)
  • 13. Stage 4 Decline (HOV Daily Chart 2007-Present) Yellow=50-Day Moving Average Blue= 200-Day Moving Average
  • 14. Moving Averages: Simple vs. Exponential Yellow= 50-Day Simple moving average Blue= 200-Day Simple moving average Yellow= 50-Day Exponential moving average Blue= 200-Day Exponential moving average
  • 15. Moving Averages: 5 and 10 Day Simple Moving Averages The direction of a 5-sma on a daily chart often signals the character of the short-term trend. A breakout above a 10-sma/ema often signals the start of a short-term move. (SMH Daily Chart, Sept 2007-Feb 2008)
  • 16. Macro/Micro: 5 and 10 sma on a Weekly Chart A: 5 sma rising and x-over the 10 sma +7.64% B: Lateral Trend +.54% C: Rising 5 sma and X-over the 10 sma 3.45%-8.83% D: Lateral Trend =+1.03% E: Declining 5 sma and X-under the 10 sma= -15.13%/-21.67%
  • 17. Gaps: Breakaway, Continuation (measuring/run away), and Exhaustion (IMO Daily Chart Oct 2007-Present)
  • 18. Gaps: Filling the Gap, Volume Confirmation, Support and Resistance (VLO Daily Chart, March 2007-Feb 2008)
  • 21. Wilder’s RSI: Divergence Analysis A) Negative Divergence between 1 & 2 B) Positive Divergence between 3 & 4 C) Positive Divergence between 4 & 5 D) Positive Divergence between 6 & 7 (SKF 10-min Chart 1/24/2008 - 2/4/2008)
  • 22. Wilder’s RSI A) Positive Divergence between 1 & 2 B) Negative (Relative) Divergence between 3 & 4 C) Negative Divergence between 4 & 5 C) Negative Divergence between 5 & 6 B/C) Negative (Relative) Divergence between 7 & 8
  • 23.  

Notas do Editor

  1. Feb 4, 2008