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Ajai Rana
6th August 2014
1
306
438
121.6
77.8
109 118.2
48.9 24.5 15.9 27.6
1440
1040
377
282
205
348
122
85 77 6767.2
35.6 48.8 58 28.5 44.2 39.6 51 66.5
36.4
China India Indonesia Vietnam Thailand Bangladesh Philippines Brazil Japan Pakistan
Rice Area, Production and Productivity of top 10 contries
Area Harvested (Lac HA) Milled Rice Production (Lac MT) Yield (Rough) (Quintal/HA)
2
Source:
USDA, FAS 2014
• Land - 110 million acres
• Water – 5000 lts / kg of milled rice
• Labour – 8 man days per acre only for transplanting
– Rs 1600 – 2500/acre
• Fuel – 16 lt diesel per acre only for puddling
– Rs 1000/acre
3
Population (Billion)
Per Capita Consumption
(kg per person per year)
Rice Consumption
(Mio MT)
Peak Buffer Stock
Requirement (Mio MT)
Assuming export to remain the
same (Mio MT)
Total Rice Requirement
(Mio MT)
Productivity
(MT / Ha) (Rough)
1.25
73
80
14
10
104
3.56
1.52
73
110.96
17
10
138
4.48
Source:
United Nation Population Front FCI Buffer Stock Norm
USDA, FAS
4
104
3.56 44
138
6.7
30
Present Milled
Rice Production
(Mio MT)
Present
Productivity
(MT / Ha)
Required land
(Mio Ha)
Milled Rice
required in
2030 (Mio MT)
If productivity
Incresed to
China level (MT
/ Ha)
Required land
(Mio Ha
India can free as much as 14mio ha of rice land
for other uses if we reach China’s productivity level
5
3.6 3.6
0.2
0.2
0.4
0.4
0.6
0.6
Present 3.6 MT Agronomic
Intervention
(5%)
Herbicide /
disease
Tolerance (10%)
Genetics (15%) Total (4.8 MT)
Assuming rice acre to remain constant till 2030
(Average Yield in MT / Hectare)
Present Agronomic practices Herbicide / Disease tolerance Genetics
Challenges
Labor
Scarcity
and
Cost
Water
Problem
Marketing
Problem –
Ease and
priceGovernment
procurement
System … no
transparency
Disease /
Pest
occurrence
Counterfeit
seeds
Lack of
awareness
Source : Market Research, May 2011 (8 states) 6
-
Y 2010 Y 2013 Y 2014
4800
7800
4455
12000
17000
9350
18200
24000
Fertilizer Retail Price Trend
(MRP Rs. per MT)
SSP MOP DAP
0
200
400
68
137 154
77 93
191
306 304
175
218
Average Daily Wage Rate (Rs.
per Day)
Year 2009 Vs 2013 2009
2013
34
38
39
49
55
63
0
20
40
60
80
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Diesel Price (Rs. Per Liter)
238
%
256
%
185
%
7
Units required (Hectare)
Cost (Rs. / Ha) at 2014 Price
Increase in Cost over 2009 (Rs. / Ha.)
Additional Cost in RPS 2014 over 2009 (Cr)
Manpower for
Transplanting
20 Mandays
4360
2500 (234%)
1095 Cr. Rs.
Diesel for
Puddling
40 Lt
2520
1360 (185%)
596 Cr. Rs
Increased labour cost since last four years
2010 2011 2012 2013
Nursery Expenses 497 505 573 600
Transplanting Cost 1500 1800 2100 2500
Impact on Convenience with rice transplanting
Impact on Cost – Rs/acre
Impact on Rice production System Efficiency
Optimum
35 – 40 Plants per Mt2
Actual
15 – 20 Plants per Mt2
8
Nursery
Preparation
Field
Preparation
Transplanting
Transplanted Rice SSS
Not Needed
Field Preparation Flooding Puddling
Field
Preparation /
Levelling
Maintain
Moisture
Transplanting
done
manually
9
Convenience,
Cost & Peace
of mind
Cost Water Saving
Efficient Rice
Production system by
maintaining optimum
plant population
10
Weeds growing
faster than rice
plants
New generation herbicides has provided wider and effective control
• Azimsulfuron-50% DF
• Bispyricbac Sodium
Farmer’s perception of poor germination and growth
60 plants per meter square
Critical is to handhold farmers in the
initial 30 days 11
• Planting Machinery & Weed Control
– Different Weed flora in SSS fields.
– Traditional herbicides were ineffective.
12
• Land - By improving productivity potential to reduce nearly
10 million ha rice acreage
– By optimizing plant population
– Genetic gain and agronomic practices
• Labour & Fuel - 32% saving in Cost of Cultivation
– Rs. 2800/acre translates to Rs 8400 crore if 1/3 rice area is
converted to Smart Seeding System
• Water & other Intangible benefits:
– Crop duration is reduced by 4-7 days
– Reduced labor dependency
– Saving natural resource-Water
– Reduce Green House impact
13
• Stage 1 - System performance validated
– 3 years in house studies
– 3 years PAU studies
– USA & Brazil already using this system
• Stage 2 - Validate performance in farmers field
– More than 200 demonstration in farmer field
– Show case to key stake holders
• State & central government officials
• Progressive farmers
• Drill manufacturers & input suppliers
• Stage 3 – Public & Private sector collaboration to scale up
adoption
14
15

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Smart Seeding System at CII-ICAR conference on Optimal Utilization of Resource in Agriculture

  • 2. 306 438 121.6 77.8 109 118.2 48.9 24.5 15.9 27.6 1440 1040 377 282 205 348 122 85 77 6767.2 35.6 48.8 58 28.5 44.2 39.6 51 66.5 36.4 China India Indonesia Vietnam Thailand Bangladesh Philippines Brazil Japan Pakistan Rice Area, Production and Productivity of top 10 contries Area Harvested (Lac HA) Milled Rice Production (Lac MT) Yield (Rough) (Quintal/HA) 2 Source: USDA, FAS 2014
  • 3. • Land - 110 million acres • Water – 5000 lts / kg of milled rice • Labour – 8 man days per acre only for transplanting – Rs 1600 – 2500/acre • Fuel – 16 lt diesel per acre only for puddling – Rs 1000/acre 3
  • 4. Population (Billion) Per Capita Consumption (kg per person per year) Rice Consumption (Mio MT) Peak Buffer Stock Requirement (Mio MT) Assuming export to remain the same (Mio MT) Total Rice Requirement (Mio MT) Productivity (MT / Ha) (Rough) 1.25 73 80 14 10 104 3.56 1.52 73 110.96 17 10 138 4.48 Source: United Nation Population Front FCI Buffer Stock Norm USDA, FAS 4
  • 5. 104 3.56 44 138 6.7 30 Present Milled Rice Production (Mio MT) Present Productivity (MT / Ha) Required land (Mio Ha) Milled Rice required in 2030 (Mio MT) If productivity Incresed to China level (MT / Ha) Required land (Mio Ha India can free as much as 14mio ha of rice land for other uses if we reach China’s productivity level 5 3.6 3.6 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.6 0.6 Present 3.6 MT Agronomic Intervention (5%) Herbicide / disease Tolerance (10%) Genetics (15%) Total (4.8 MT) Assuming rice acre to remain constant till 2030 (Average Yield in MT / Hectare) Present Agronomic practices Herbicide / Disease tolerance Genetics
  • 6. Challenges Labor Scarcity and Cost Water Problem Marketing Problem – Ease and priceGovernment procurement System … no transparency Disease / Pest occurrence Counterfeit seeds Lack of awareness Source : Market Research, May 2011 (8 states) 6
  • 7. - Y 2010 Y 2013 Y 2014 4800 7800 4455 12000 17000 9350 18200 24000 Fertilizer Retail Price Trend (MRP Rs. per MT) SSP MOP DAP 0 200 400 68 137 154 77 93 191 306 304 175 218 Average Daily Wage Rate (Rs. per Day) Year 2009 Vs 2013 2009 2013 34 38 39 49 55 63 0 20 40 60 80 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Diesel Price (Rs. Per Liter) 238 % 256 % 185 % 7 Units required (Hectare) Cost (Rs. / Ha) at 2014 Price Increase in Cost over 2009 (Rs. / Ha.) Additional Cost in RPS 2014 over 2009 (Cr) Manpower for Transplanting 20 Mandays 4360 2500 (234%) 1095 Cr. Rs. Diesel for Puddling 40 Lt 2520 1360 (185%) 596 Cr. Rs
  • 8. Increased labour cost since last four years 2010 2011 2012 2013 Nursery Expenses 497 505 573 600 Transplanting Cost 1500 1800 2100 2500 Impact on Convenience with rice transplanting Impact on Cost – Rs/acre Impact on Rice production System Efficiency Optimum 35 – 40 Plants per Mt2 Actual 15 – 20 Plants per Mt2 8
  • 9. Nursery Preparation Field Preparation Transplanting Transplanted Rice SSS Not Needed Field Preparation Flooding Puddling Field Preparation / Levelling Maintain Moisture Transplanting done manually 9
  • 10. Convenience, Cost & Peace of mind Cost Water Saving Efficient Rice Production system by maintaining optimum plant population 10
  • 11. Weeds growing faster than rice plants New generation herbicides has provided wider and effective control • Azimsulfuron-50% DF • Bispyricbac Sodium Farmer’s perception of poor germination and growth 60 plants per meter square Critical is to handhold farmers in the initial 30 days 11 • Planting Machinery & Weed Control – Different Weed flora in SSS fields. – Traditional herbicides were ineffective.
  • 12. 12
  • 13. • Land - By improving productivity potential to reduce nearly 10 million ha rice acreage – By optimizing plant population – Genetic gain and agronomic practices • Labour & Fuel - 32% saving in Cost of Cultivation – Rs. 2800/acre translates to Rs 8400 crore if 1/3 rice area is converted to Smart Seeding System • Water & other Intangible benefits: – Crop duration is reduced by 4-7 days – Reduced labor dependency – Saving natural resource-Water – Reduce Green House impact 13
  • 14. • Stage 1 - System performance validated – 3 years in house studies – 3 years PAU studies – USA & Brazil already using this system • Stage 2 - Validate performance in farmers field – More than 200 demonstration in farmer field – Show case to key stake holders • State & central government officials • Progressive farmers • Drill manufacturers & input suppliers • Stage 3 – Public & Private sector collaboration to scale up adoption 14
  • 15. 15