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Infrastructure Investment
   Latin America 2011
Infrastructure Investment
   Latin America 2011
Executive Summary
  The development of infrastructure works and services in Latin America needs of successful partner-
ships between the public and private sectors. Our history has shown that any infrastructure program
led by one of those one sectors without the other will fail to meet the results needed to improve the
region’s competitiveness and welfare. With this report we intend to provide our readers a comprehen-
sive description of the current state of infrastructure development in LatAm and a thorough analysis of
what the public and private sectors in Latin America are supposed to contribute to achieve successful
partnerships.

    The report starts with a look at the public sector in Latin America. To be an effective partner in the
development of infrastructure, this sector needs highly specialized and independent units capable
of describing to the private sector exactly what it is expected to do, negotiating the allocation of risks
and monitoring performance. The report navigates through these and other measures being taken to
foster the private sector’s involvement in infrastructure development and also focuses on areas that
need improvement highlighting costly mistakes that led to less than satisfactory projects.

                                                                                                     -
cuses on the latter and analyzes the role of banks, pension and specialized infrastructure funds, and



and Peru, two increasingly popular countries in the region when it comes to infrastructure investment
as well as their current and upcoming projects.

   The report also dedicates a section to the International Finance Corporation as the largest multi-


With my best personal regards,




Patricio Abal
Infrastructure Editor




                                                                                                         3
Contents
Executive Summary .............................................................................................................................3

Introduction ...........................................................................................................................................5

Public Sector ........................................................................................................................................9
       Fostering Private Sector Involvement in Public Infrastructure Projects...................................10
       Areas for Improvement ...........................................................................................................13
       Mistakes Made: Failed Projects ..............................................................................................14

Private Sector ....................................................................................................................................16
       Infrastructure Funds.................................................................................................................17
       Pension Funds .......................................................................................................................18
       Capital Markets.......................................................................................................................18
       A quick note on the “Latin American Trust” .............................................................................19

Multilateral Financial Institutions - IFC ..............................................................................................20


          Peru.........................................................................................................................................24
          Colombia.................................................................................................................................25

Acknowledgments..............................................................................................................................28




4
Introduction



I
    n the last two decades, investment in infrastruc-       in 2009. Mexico, Peru, and Chile account for
    ture projects that rely on private-public partner-      most of the rest.
    ships (PPPs) has steadily increased in Latin
    America, and the region is expected to invest           The highly active energy subsector accounted
US$450 billion in infrastructure assets between             for the most investment, with 43 new projects
2011 and 2015, mostly in the surface transport and          and US$25.1 billion, up 127% from 2008. That
energy sectors. A recent World Bank report states           amounts to 48% of the year´s total investment.
that, in 2009, “69 infrastructure projects with private     There were 31 projects and US$19.9 billion
                                                            devoted to energy generation, with a 10.4GW
sing in eight low-and-middle income countries in            rise in capacity, much of it from two large hy-
Latin America and the Caribbean, involving invest-          dropower plants in Brazil. Electricity transmis-
ment commitments of US$31 billion.” This total              sion had twelve projects and US$1.5 billion of
represents an 83% increase from 2008. There was             investment.
additional private investment in ongoing projects
which had originated between 1990 and 2008, with            The boom in energy compensated for declines in
a total investment in infrastructure PPPs in 2009           the other subsectors. Investment in telecom fell
of $52 billion. In terms of total investment in 2009,       37% in 2009, to $14.8 billion, with no new projects,
Latin America boasted more private participation            though this subsector has accounted for the most
in infrastructure projects than any other developing        total investment in dollars in the past two decades.
region in the world (34%).                                  Investment in transport fell 6%, to US$12.1 billion,
                                                            with 23 new projects, mostly in Brazil, Mexico, and
As Norman Anderson, CEO and President of LG/CA              Peru. Water and sewerage received its lowest
Infrastructure LLC, puts it, “The pipeline of infrastruc-   investment in two decades, with US$14.8 million
ture projects is increasingly robust in the region´s        invested in three new projects.
big countries,” including Brazil, Chile, Colombia, and
Peru, where private investment is strongest.                Most projects since 1990 have been either green-
                                                                                                          -
Brazil accounts for most of the new projects (47
of the 69) and new investment (75% of the total)            concessions.
                                                                                                              5
Source: The World Bank Group




6
Investment in Projects in the Primary Sector




Source: The World Bank Group




                                                               7
The rise in infrastructure PPPs bodes well for the     assets in Latin America. This report is a contribu-
region. As Andrew Bogan, Managing Member of            tion to that conversation. In the following sec-
Bogan Associates LLC, notes, “When you look            tions, we examine the various factors that con-
at countries that have allowed a fair amount of        tribute to the success and failure of infrastructure
                                                       PPPs, laying out the current state of affairs and
concession operators in infrastructure, they have      the ways in which the infrastructure community
better infrastructure and higher GDP growth.           expects things to improve. We focus especially
                                                       on the larger economies of South America, with
and its people. Getting it built is a good idea, and   particular focus on Colombia and Peru. Our
governments simply can´t build all of it with the      information is based largely on interviews with
capital constraint they all have today.”               observers and players from both the public and
                                                       private sectors in several Latin American coun-
“There is a continuous conversation,” Mr. Bogan        tries, as well as private sector experts from the
adds, “about what the role of government should        U.S., all of whom are intimately aware of the chal-
and shouldn´t be” with respect to infrastructure       lenges and promises of infrastructure PPPs.




8
The Public Sector




                    9
Fostering Private Sector
Involvement in Public
Infrastructure Projects

T
        he public sector´s attitudes, policies, and   many governments are coming to understand
        frameworks regarding PPPs determine           that, as he puts it, “capital is constraint….They
        to a large extent how private investment      can´t pay for their desired projects with their tax
        in infrastructure projects will fare. As      base alone.” He uses Brazil as an example of a
Mr. Anderson notes, a fundamental aspect of the       country that has followed an innovative model,
                                                      generally maintaining public control of projects
                                                      during the construction phase, when employment
to want to participate, and the public has to have    opportunities are greatest, and then transferring
a sense that private operation of infrastructure is   their assets to private hands during the operation
                                                      phase, recycling the capital from the sale back
and not just a few people.” He singles out Chile      into new projects.

                                                      Mr. Anderson also mentions a general shortage
for every other country.                              of skilled labor, especially in engineering, as a
                                                      reason for governments to solicit private involve-
Mr. Bogan observes three main causes of resis-
tance to private involvement: deep-seated socio-      careers, dating back to the 70s, when there isn´t
political prejudices against the private sector, as   enough talent available” to build what govern-
is especially evident in countries such as Venezu-    ments need to build.
ela; a desire to protect assets of sovereign na-
tional importance, which accounts for why Brazil      As Mr. Bogan sums it up: “There are some pro-
has yet to privatize its airport operations, for      jects it makes tremendous sense for the govern-
                                                  -   ment to build and operate, but there are others
                                                      where private investment really is the best mod-
three factors, among others, have inhibited the       el.” He expects to see a strong shift toward wel-
public sector´s acceptance of private investment      coming private investment across Latin America.
and ownership.                                        In a recent report entitled Infrascope 2010, the
                                                      Economist Intelligence Unit (EIU) gauges the
                                                      legal, political, and regulatory frameworks with res-
proved increasingly irresistible. As Mr. Bogan ob-    pect to PPPs across Latin America, and remarks
serves, although most infrastructure projects are     on the overall improvement of conditions. Of the
currently government-owned across the world,          19 countries examined, 4 (Chile, Mexico, Guate-
10
mala, and Panama) have implemented appropri-          tional framework, and operational maturity. The
                                                      EIU also notes that Argentina, Uruguay, and the
are in the process of doing so. Chile, Brazil, and    Dominican Republic “have reduced the risk of
Peru get the highest ratings in the report´s index,
followed by Mexico, Colombia, and Guatemala.          obligations….[In each country,] the likelihood and/
Those six countries, in some combination, get         or track record of government payments to private
the best grades for regulatory framework, institu-    partners for infrastructure projects has improved.”


2010 Infrascope




Source: Economist Intelligence Unit

                                                                                                        11
We interviewed experts from Chile, Colombia,
Peru, and Argentina, asking their opinions of the    but we´ve also approved adequate sums of state
current state of affairs and what they expected
from the future.
                                                     In Colombia, Jean Philippe Pening Gaviria, Di-
In Chile, Rigoberto Garcia Gonzalez, the Interna-    rector of Sustainable Energy and Infrastructure
tional Coordinator and National Coordinator for      in the National Department of Planning, gives
IIRSA in the Ministry of Public Works, cited two     the construction of the Ruta del Sol (Route of
concessions-related laws passed in 2010 and a        the Sun) as an exemplary case of public-private
law regarding the freedom and transparency of        partnership. Part of a larger effort to connect the
information passed in 2008 as propitious devel-      interior of the country with the ports of the Atlantic
opments for private investment in his country. “In   coast, the Ruta has been characterized, he says,
general,” he said, “public works projects have       by a long-term vision, an optimal distribution of
been characterized by an excellent interaction       risks, and a large portion of the investment con-
between the public and private sectors.” As ex-      centrated in future operating and maintenance
amples of exemplary PPP projects, he mentioned       stages.
the Tran-Santiago public transport system, the
construction of the Plaza de la Ciudadanía, and
the highways connecting Santiago and San Anto-       more detailed discussion of projects, policies, and
nio (Ruta 78) and Santiago, Valparaíso and Viña      overall conditions in Colombia and Peru.)
del Mar (Ruta 68).
                                                     Argentina ranked 12 of 19 in the Infrascope 2010
In Peru, Conrado Falco Scheuch, the Chief of In-     report, indicating that there is substantial room for
formation and Economic Studies for ProInversión      improvement in creating conditions conducive to
                                                     private investment in infrastructure. In an interview,
with fostering private investment in Peru), points
to the construction of the country´s major high-     that certain sectors are improving, especially ag-
way grid as an exemplary project. Much of this       riculture, real estate, tourism, and mining, all with
construction involved coordination with IIRSA,       help from foreign private investment. He was pes-
including integrating Peru and Brazil. Falco says    simistic, however, about the prospects of improving
that these projects “are of major importance and     private investment under the current administration.
their effective use has been much greater than       “It´s not so much that it´s a lef-tist administration,”
the original projections. We have developed          he said, “but that there aren´t clear and transparent
diffe-rent innovative procedures and facilitated     rules for private investment in infrastructure.”




12
Areas for Improvement

I
     n spite of the optimism and success stories,      Mr. Falco Scheuch concurred, saying that, in
     there is much room for improvement. As the        Peru, “there is much room to shorten the pro-
     EIU notes, summing up its Infrascope 2010         cesses, simplify administration, and reduce costs
     report, the recent, encouraging reforms have      with respect to private projects in public services.”
been necessary “because of widespread weak-            He also suggested that more attention could be
nesses” in existing legal and regulatory frame-        given to public relations, “to ensure a better re-
works and skills throughout the region, which          ception of private investment on the part of local
they had reported in Infrascope 2009. And while        public opinion.”
there is a marked upward trend in such countries
as Chile, Brazil, and Peru, there are still many       Mr. Pening Gaviria of Colombia agrees that “ef-
countries in the region with weak private sector
cooperation, including several “which have shown       He gives the following recommendations in gen-
no interest or have been damagingly inconsistent       eral:
in their attitude towards private sector participa-
tion.” PPP conditions across the continent are            Optimizing the transfer and distribution of risk
poorer at the local, regional, and federal – as op-       between the public and private sectors;
posed to the national – levels.                           Improving studies to accurately gauge the
                                                          requirements of the infrastructure projects and
Anderson adds that attracting private investment,         their services;
and developing infrastructure in general, is partic-      Designing new forms of public-private as-
                                                                                                           -
“Small countries are having real problems,” he            sary for the active participation of institutional
said, “it´s just so expensive to do projects. Their       investors.
public sectors aren´t as capable as they need to
                                                  -    Mr. Grosman pointed to the following problematic
line of infrastructure projects. I think you have a    areas in Argentina:
‘has/has-not’ situation in Latin America.”
                                                          Regulatory discretion, especially involving
In Chile, Colombia, and Peru, however, the cur-           tariffs;
rent concern is less over political will or overall       The lack of institutionalization in the decision-
capabilities and size than on improving the politi-       making process, which hinders private invest-
cal and legal frameworks surrounding PPPs. In             ment;
                                                          The lack of guarantees to back up invest-
environments need to improve.                             ments;

Regarding Chile, Mr. García González said: “The           defaulted in 2002;
processes, requirements, and waiting periods have         The current administration’s lack of emphasis
to be sped up and streamlined as they are in de-          in productive infrastructure such as railroads
veloping countries, and generally the rules need to       and ports.
become more and more clear and transparent.”




                                                                                                         13
Mistakes Made: Failed Projects
M
           uch as conditions have improved,           The lone project in Chile was the Américo Vespu-
                                                      cio Oriente urban highway in the metropolitan area
             PPP have persisted, manifesting often    of Santiago. The tendering process has dragged
             in canceled or distressed operations.    on for six years, with a total investment of US$1.37
The World Bank reports that, between 1990 and         billion. Mr. García González explains: “One of the
2009, 131 PPP infrastructure projects were re-        reasons for the delay has been the faulty decision-
ported canceled or distressed, representing a total   making process regarding the construction alter-
of $50.3 billion of investment. The country-by-       natives (above-surface vs. subterranean) and the
country breakdown is as follows.                      concession model to employ.”




14
Mr. Falco Scheuch said that, in Peru, perhaps        Mr. Pening Gaviria explained that Colombia has
the worst case of distressed projects involved       had projects fail at various stages. “Some have
the transfer of electrical companies to the south-   been declared abandoned in the tendering stage,
ern region of the country. “Due to certain dis-      while in others it´s been necessary to declare that
agreements, much of it at governmental level         the contract has fallen through.” He gives the fol-
and having to do with political pressures…the        lowing causes as possibilities: “Weak structuring of
process was halted and the program´s general                                                             -
strategy had to be changed.” He adds that gen-       signs for tendering; unclear contracts; and projects
erally most of the problems and inconveniences
with respect to private investment have been in
the water/sanitation sector.




                                                                                                        15
The Private Sector




16
A
          lthough the success of PPPs depends             speed rail investments, for instance, than for
          to a large extent on public sector readi-       investments in energy distribution or telecom.
          ness and execution, there remain the            There are other factors that increase risk, as well,
          questions of how and why private sector         such as unpredictable political factors; the possi-
parties can and should invest. The answers vary           bility of overzealous governmental regulation and
from country to country, and depend largely on in-        price-capping, or even nationalization; and the
                                                          risks inherent in large markets. But in terms of
recent EIU report rates such conditions across            the fundamentals that determine long-term risks,
                                                          infrastructure companies tend to be strong.

tegory, leading the region with an almost perfect         Mr. Bogan remarks on the dependability of infra-
score.” Brazil, Mexico, Panama and Peru also              structure investment. Speaking of funds devoted
scored relatively well. The EIU states, however,          exclusively to infrastructure assets (see “Infra-
that there is vast room for improvement almost            structure Funds” below), he says that if inves-
everywhere.                                               tors want exposure to an economy like Brazil´s,
                                                          it is better to be invested in infrastructure than,
                                               -          for instance, certain commodities, as the value
ture assets is that they tend to offer consistent         of infrastructure is determined more directly by
returns. Infrastructure companies usually have            Brazil´s expanding economy. “If you want expo-
solid fundamentals, hold concession rights or             sure to some big sugar or soybean producer,” he
licenses that restrict competition and protect them       remarks, “then you´re not making a bet on the
                                                 -        Brazilian economy. You´re betting on commodity
mune to the economic cycle. Though there are              prices, which are very volatile.”
high development costs, including design and
construction, there are relatively low marginal           There are several sources through which the
costs for production, and little or no competition
once in operation.                                        infrastructure. In the sections that follow, we look
                                                          at these sources, examining their unique roles.
Risk-return will vary according to subsector, with
greater risk-return for airport, sea port, and high



Infrastructure Funds
I
    nfrastructure funds purchase shares in infra-         have emerged in Latin America. Examples in-
    structure project companies and work with             clude a fund established by Ashmore Investment
    strategic investors such as operators and cons-       and Inverlink in Colombia (see the country-speci-
    truction companies to maximize revenue and
increase equity value over time. The performance          Management´s Colombian and Peruvian funds
of such funds is tied to their ability to extract divi-   (see below), and a Macquarie Group fund in Me-
                                                          xico. The Brazilian investment bank BTG Pactual
cing. They may ultimately sell their shares to other      and the domestic conglomerate EBX have each
owning members of the project´s consortium, a third       announced plans to set up major infrastructure
party, or the public through an IPO.
                                                          gest investment banks, has an infrastructure
In recent years, several major infrastructure funds

                                                                                                            17
Pension Funds
M
             any countries in the region allow            pation of pension funds in the infrastructure invest-
             domestic pension funds to commit             ment will reduce the political and regulatory risk, as
             capital to infrastructure funds and          one expects better discipline on the part of govern-
             hold long-term debt issues. In a re-         ments with respect to contracts and the rules of the
cent report, the Banco Bilbao y Vizcaya Argentaria        game, if the wellbeing of local workers is at stake
                                                          through private pensions,” says the report. Pension
between pension funds and infrastructure PPPs in          funds might also be attracted to the relatively good
the Latin American context. From the point of view
of the funds, for one, they are often interested in       the report notes that private pension funds “can gar-
infrastructure funds because the long-term life-cycle     ner public favor if the public sees that the funds are
of infrastructure assets tends to match their long-       investing in projects that improve their daily lives as
term liabilities and “permits optimal planning.” At
the same time, “It´s to be expected that the partici-     funds.”



Capital Markets
L
         isted infrastructure shares in capital markets   the one hand, and that country´s ability to expand
         are seen by investors as an attractive option
         because of intrinsic characteristics of both                                                     -
         the underlying business and the investment       cial center, one of the few in the southern hemi-
vehicle. They represent a dependable way to diver-
sify portfolio risk. The highly local nature of infra-    recent growth of their economy to have a domes-
structure businesses and projects and their relative
immunity from the economic cycle gives them a low         scope and international presence.”
correlation with broader stock trends.
                                                          For this reason, he is “very encouraged” by the
In recent years, shares of Latin American infra-          recent joining of the Chilean, Peruvian, and Co-
structure companies have outperformed their               lombian capital markets. “Of those three mar-
benchmarks: the S&P Global Infrastructure Fund;           kets,” he says, “Peru´s and Colombia´s are less
Macquarie Global Infrastructure 100 ETF; and the          familiar to typical international investors. There´s
S&P Emerging Markets Infrastructure Index Fund”           a sense that there will be better access to private
                                                          company listings from other parts of the Andean
Andrew Bogan observes four reasons why inves-             region that could be very attractive but are cur-
ting in listed shares is particularly attractive: the     rently off the radar screen.”

greater clarity of dividend yields; added liquidity;      Norman Anderson concurs, saying that the mer-
and higher standards of transparency and repor-           ging gives the three countries “a critical mass
                                                          that´s useful….I see them as being incredibly
last point can be especially important for a skepti-      energetic potential protagonists in the whole in-
cal public sector.                                        frastructure business. And it´s infrastructure and
                                                          education that make countries grow year after
He also observes a correlation between the depth          year.”
and breadth of a country´s capital markets, on
18
A quick note on the “Latin
American Trust”

T
        he Latin American Trust, also known as         the payments by the public sector to the private
                                                                                                      -
                                                       cessions” of several provincial airports.
          regional governments have been able
to attract private sector resources into infrastruc-   The expansion of the Bogotá-Girardot highway is
                                                  -    without a doubt one of the most important works
comiso is used to guarantee obligations, access        in the history of ground transportation in Colom-
domestic and international capital markets, and        bia. The consortium that was granted the conces-
carry out projects as the “special purpose vehicle”    sion of the project transferred all the economic
(SPV) needed to contain all the contractual and                                                      -

                                                       services institution. One of the purposes of isolat-
Within its framework, a settlor transfers a group      ing these rights was to provide credit support for
                                                       the asset backed securities issued by the same
property to a trustee, who in turn administers the     trust and sold in the capital markets to investors.
                                                       The bonds issued by “Fideicomiso Concesión Au-
completion of the contract the assets are trans-       topista Bogotá – Girardot S.A” were rated Triple A
                                                       and Double A.

transferred assets constitute a special patrimony
immune to the creditors of any of the parties          project. In this case, project sponsors transfer
                                                       all the project assets to the trust and constitute

kept aside.                                            has a mandate to both administer the assets
                                                       and enter into the contractual relations typical
                                          -                                                              -
deicomiso a suitable way to guarantee that the         est construction company in Latin America, the
                                                       Brazilian “Construtora Norberto Odebrecht S.A”,
kept aside. The Peruvian national government           was hired to install 1700km of gas pipelines that
                                                       will run from north to south in Argentine territory.
monetary resources to pay for the expropriation        This massive project, valued in billions of dollars,
of the land needed to carry out the second phase
of the expansion of Lima’s international airport
would be there when needed. Since the inter-           Odebrecht signed an EPC (Engineering, Procure-
national consortium operating the airport had to       ment & Construction) contract with the winners of
raise the money for the expansion works in the         the project’s public tender, the rights and duties
international capital markets the strength of the      emerging from the contract were immediately as-
                                                -
more, this same trust guarantees the regularity of     new client.
                                                                                                            19
Multilateral Financial Institutions




20
The International Finance
Corporation (IFC)

T
        he IFC, part of the World Bank Group,        Recently the IFC established its Asset Manage-
                                                     ment Company (AMC), owned entirely by the
          and supporting private sector investment   IFC, to be a fund manager for third-party and
          in development-oriented projects in nu-    IFC’s capital mobilized under various IFC initia-
merous sectors including infrastructure. The IFC     tives, including investors from pension funds,
operates worldwide, though the largest portion of    sovereign wealth funds, and others. The purpose
its commitments are in Latin America, with over      of the AMC is to mobilize capital to address the
$3 billion of its own accounts invested in 133 new                                                     -
                                                     ger-term development needs around the world.
2010 representing 24% of its total commitments.
18% of its Latin American commitments in that        We spoke to Gabriel Goldschmidt, the IFC´s
year were in the infrastructure sector. Since        Manager for Infrastructure in Latin America and
2000, the IFC has invested $4.2 billion in infra-    the Caribbean, about IFC´s approach to and role
                                                     in infrastructure development in the region.
has invested more than $4.2 billion in infrastruc-
ture projects in the region since 2000.              He explained the IFC´s general institutional strat-
                                                     egy for investing in collective investment vehicles
Among the aspects of the IFC´s mission are           focused on infrastructure assets:
“supporting private sector participation in infra-
structure” and “improving the investment climate     “By leveraging new capital sources through IFC
by promoting reforms for dynamic private sector      AMC’s funds, IFC is able to make more invest-
development.”
                                                     from increased access to IFC programs and a new
Some major IFC-backed projects in the region
include the Totoral Wind Farm in Chile, which in-    to IFC’s unparalleled expertise in developing and
volved a $30.8 million investment and 30.8 million   frontier markets, as well as its track record of strong
syndication and is “expected to reduce carbon        returns in these markets. These investments are
dioxide emissions by about 70,000 tons a year,”
and Ruta del Sol Highway (see above), a $2.6 bil-    development without replacing what we do through
lion project for which the IFC structured the PPP.   direct equity or loan investments.”
                                                                                                         21
Mr. Goldschmidt gave several factors that the IFC       kind – wind, hydro, biomass, solar, etc. -- but
considers when investing in infrastructure projects:    also promoting ways of using resources more

     The stability and quality of the legal and regu-
     latory framework in which the project will be      The logistics sector, which Mr. Goldschmidt
     situated;                                          says is essential in helping, for instance,
     The stability of the company and its track         coastal countries integrate their coasts with
     record working with such regulatory and legal      their interiors and centers of consumption,
     frameworks;                                        and generally improve their competitiveness;
     The quality and track record of the sponsor or     Water in general, including improving potabil-
     group behind the project;                          ity and access, in accordance with the U.N.
     The general rationale of the project: Why is       Millennium Development Goals. (He notes
     it necessary to invest? Is it delivering a valu-   that, although there is relatively less private
     able service to a population in need? Etc.         sector involvement in water when compared
                                                        to power and transport activities, this is on
He points to three general subsectors in line with      the rise, and most new projects are under the
IFC´s development interests which he considers          Public Private Partnership framework (PPP))
the most active and important currently:

     Infrastructure related to climate change, which
     includes not only renewable energy of every




22
Country-Specific:
Peru and Colombia




                    23
P
          eru and Colombia both have expanding          We interviewed people in Peru and Colombia to
          economies and rapidly improving condi-        get their observations and expectations regarding
          tions for private investment in infrastruc-
          ture. As Norman Anderson says, “After         pertain to PPP infrastructure projects, as well as
twenty years of not doing anything, Colombia            their opinions regarding the most important sec-
could explode like Spain did between 1995 and           tors and current activity.
2005.” He expects continuous long-term infra-
structure development in Peru, as well, especially
with the precipitous rise of commodity prices.



Peru
     Politics                                             Legal Framework
Peru has a governmental agency devoted ex-              Ms. Maraví Sumar and Mr. Harman say that the
clusively to the promotion of private investment,       legal framework for private concessions is good
called ProInversión. As Conrad Falco Scheuch            in Peru. “However,” they added, “there continue
said, “The Peruvian state has an ambitious pro-         to be institutional problems that introduce ob-
gram of concessions and PPP headed by ProIn-            stacles to the process. For example there are
versión, with approximately 60 projects requiring
investments of over US$8 billion, principally in        injunctions -- when a court can suspend a con-
infrastructure for public use.” He added that one       cession during the tendering process” and effec-
of the most important aspects of ProInversión is        tively close it down. They claimed that the speed
how it “coordinates with regional and municipal         of this judicial process often “depends on who
governments to collaborate with them in the pro-        the plaintiffs are. It´s a matter of political connec-
cesses of attracting private investment.”               tions, and it´s hard to trust in judicial decisions.”

Milagros Maraví Sumar and Diego Harman, of                Financing
agreed that ProInversión was a major factor in          Ms. Maraví Sumar and Mr. Harman explain that
improving the overall conditions for PPP infra-
structure projects. They claimed, however, that         the project and investment. For projects that cost
                                                        over $80 million, most investment comes from
with expertise, that expertise is lacking at the
regional and local levels, and that often there are     with investment banks such as Morgan Stanley,
problems of coordination and implementation.            Merrill Lynch, and Deutsche Bank. Smaller pro-
                                                        jects usually rely on local bank loans. The IFC
Ms. Maraví Sumar and Mr. Harman added that,             and other development banks are also active in
while the country is preparing for national elec-       Peru.
tions in April 2011, they do not expect the out-
come to have much bearing on Peru´s improving             Sectors
conditions for private investment, as both of the
major candidates are pro-business with platforms        Ms. Maraví Sumar and Mr. Harman give a long
promoting private investment.                           list of promising infrastructure sectors: Roads;
24
Ocean and river ports; urban electric rail trans-          operators that will be devoted exclusively to the
port; water and sanitation projects, including for         strengthening of the petrochemical industry;
water desalination; and hospitals.
                                                           Lorenzo, 4km from Lima, integrating it into the
  Current and Upcoming Projects                            capital with a series of bridges, and creating a
                                                           sort of “satellite city on the sea, with special ar-
Mr. Falco Sheuch gave us some examples of                  eas for production or recreation with the latest
exciting projects in the pipeline:                         technologies.”

   The government´s promotion of the development
   of a zone chosen by the corresponding private




Colombia
  Politics                                              transportation, energy, and telecommunications,
                                                        among other subsectors, now incorporates other
Mr. Pening Garavia explained the recent history         sectors as well, such as health, education, infant
of Colombia´s political posture with respect to         care, and justice.”
private investment: “The process of increasing
private sector participation in infrastructure ser-       Legal Framework
vices began in the early 1990´s with the liquida-
tion of public entities and the privatization of part
of state businesses and industries and part of the      Ruiz, an expert on the legal aspect of infrastruc-
national bank. It proceeded with the private con-       ture development in Colombia noted that the legal
struction, operation, and maintenance of public         framework currently is less than ideal for PPPs.
infrastructure, particularly through transportation     “We have a set of rules governing procurement
concessions, the opening of the telecommunica-          contracts,” she explained, “and this set of rules
tions services market, and the sale of shares of        was enacted in 1993.” Originally the rules actually
state-owned companies in the energy sector.             facilitated the structuring of PPPs, “because you
Since the year 2000, the process has continued          were just applying some simple principles. But
through a consolidation and strengthening phase         since 1993 we have amended that initial statute,
with national and municipal projects.”                  and today we have a rather constraining statute
                                                        whereby the regulations applicable to the structu-
The entire process has been aided by the Pro-           ring of PPP agreements are the same rules that
grama de Apoyo al Proceso de Participación
Privada y Concesión en Infraestructura (Program
to Support the Process of Private Participation         “Right now,” she said, “there´s a general plan
and Concession in Infrastructure), headed by the        among lawyers and the government to discuss
National Department of Planning and the Ministry                                                               -
of Works. “As the results have been excellent,”         plicable only to PPPs, to try to separate general
Mr. Pening Garavia says, “the program, which            procurement from structuring big projects with
was initially focused on transportation, urban          private investment.”
                                                                                                            25
dardized sector “with its own set of rules and
government rules and regulations often don´t         uniform and stable regulation from both the
                                                     technical and legal standpoints,” adding that
                                                     it works as a free but appropriately regulated
international standards. For instance, with trans-   market. She was also enthusiastic about the
port concession projects – a highway project, for    transport sector, noting that that is where the
instance -- currently the private concessioner has   lion´s share of government-sponsored develop-
to deal with real estate issues surrounding the      ment will be happening in coming years – in
project, instead of the government transferring a    highways, ports, and airports. She singled out
complete rite of passage directly. Such an ar-                                                       -
rangement “generally scares away foreign inves-      vested in Colombian transport projects.
tors” and needs to be reformed.
                                                       Current and Upcoming Projects
     Financing
                                                     Mr. Pening Garavia named the following notewor-
Ms. Abello notes that several infrastructure funds   thy current or near-future projects:
have been incorporated in Colombia recently,
“because that sector is the upcoming investment         The aforementioned Ruta del Sol, a work-in-
                                                        progress connecting the interior of the country
                                               -
lombia Infrastructure Fund, which includes Brook-       three parts, two of which have signed con-
                                                        tracts to begin and one of which is ready to be
its investors. Ashmore Investment and Inverlink         signed;
also manage a recently created US$500 million           The Central Railroad System (Sistema Fer-
infrastructure fund focused on Colombia.                roviario Central), a concession project about
                                                        to be tendered, which will connect the cities of
     Sectors                                            Honda and Chiriguana;
                                                        The structuring of a project to link up private
According to Ms. Abello, “The safest sector to          capital with infrastructure projects for legal
invest in from a fund perspective is the electric                                                       -
sector.” She explained that it is a highly stan-        intendent Notary and Registrar.




26
Disclosure
A
           lternative Latin Investor has neither     necessary seek professional advice. Information
           been paid for, nor sought payment for,    throughout this article, whether charts, articles,
           work relating to producing this report    or any other statement or statements regard-
           and no payments have been made for
participating in this report.                        obtained from sources which we, and our sup-
                                                     pliers, believe reliable, but we do not warrant
The material and opinions on this report are for     or guarantee the timeliness or accuracy of this
informational purposes only. This report is not      information. Nothing on this article should be
intended to serve as any type of recommenda-         interpreted to state or imply that past results are
tion, reference suggestion, and/or proposal for      any indication of future performance. Neither we
the design and/or execution of any and all types     nor our information providers shall be liable for
                                                -    any errors or inaccuracies, regardless of cause,
gies and/or commercial transactions. Nor is this     or the lack of timeliness of, or for any delay or
                                               -     interruption in the transmission thereof to the
counting or tax advice and should not be relied      user. There are no warranties, expressed or
upon in this regard. Prior to acting on any infor-   implied, as to accuracy, completeness, or results
mation contained in this report you should take      obtained from any information posted on this
                                                     website or any linked website.




                                                                                                     27
Acknowledgments
Alternative Latin Investor would like to thank the following professionals for
their cooperation in the creation of this report.



                                              Rigoberto Garcia Sanchez –Ministerio de Obras Públicas - Chile




                                              Conrado Falco Scheuch– ProInversion - Perú



                                              Jean Phillippe Pening Gaviria - Departamento
                                              Nacional de Planeación – Colombia




                                              Andrew Bogan – Bogan Associates LLC




                                              Milagros Maraví Sumar and Diego Harman - Rubio, Leguia
                                              & Normand Law Firm




                                              Alessia Abello – Posse, Herrera & Ruiz Law Firm




                                              Gabriel Goldschmidt – International Finance Corporation



                                              Norman Anderson - CG/LA Infrastructure



                                              Nicolás Grosman – Fundación Pensar


 28

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Infrastructure investment latin america 2011

  • 1. Infrastructure Investment Latin America 2011
  • 2. Infrastructure Investment Latin America 2011
  • 3. Executive Summary The development of infrastructure works and services in Latin America needs of successful partner- ships between the public and private sectors. Our history has shown that any infrastructure program led by one of those one sectors without the other will fail to meet the results needed to improve the region’s competitiveness and welfare. With this report we intend to provide our readers a comprehen- sive description of the current state of infrastructure development in LatAm and a thorough analysis of what the public and private sectors in Latin America are supposed to contribute to achieve successful partnerships. The report starts with a look at the public sector in Latin America. To be an effective partner in the development of infrastructure, this sector needs highly specialized and independent units capable of describing to the private sector exactly what it is expected to do, negotiating the allocation of risks and monitoring performance. The report navigates through these and other measures being taken to foster the private sector’s involvement in infrastructure development and also focuses on areas that need improvement highlighting costly mistakes that led to less than satisfactory projects. - cuses on the latter and analyzes the role of banks, pension and specialized infrastructure funds, and and Peru, two increasingly popular countries in the region when it comes to infrastructure investment as well as their current and upcoming projects. The report also dedicates a section to the International Finance Corporation as the largest multi- With my best personal regards, Patricio Abal Infrastructure Editor 3
  • 4. Contents Executive Summary .............................................................................................................................3 Introduction ...........................................................................................................................................5 Public Sector ........................................................................................................................................9 Fostering Private Sector Involvement in Public Infrastructure Projects...................................10 Areas for Improvement ...........................................................................................................13 Mistakes Made: Failed Projects ..............................................................................................14 Private Sector ....................................................................................................................................16 Infrastructure Funds.................................................................................................................17 Pension Funds .......................................................................................................................18 Capital Markets.......................................................................................................................18 A quick note on the “Latin American Trust” .............................................................................19 Multilateral Financial Institutions - IFC ..............................................................................................20 Peru.........................................................................................................................................24 Colombia.................................................................................................................................25 Acknowledgments..............................................................................................................................28 4
  • 5. Introduction I n the last two decades, investment in infrastruc- in 2009. Mexico, Peru, and Chile account for ture projects that rely on private-public partner- most of the rest. ships (PPPs) has steadily increased in Latin America, and the region is expected to invest The highly active energy subsector accounted US$450 billion in infrastructure assets between for the most investment, with 43 new projects 2011 and 2015, mostly in the surface transport and and US$25.1 billion, up 127% from 2008. That energy sectors. A recent World Bank report states amounts to 48% of the year´s total investment. that, in 2009, “69 infrastructure projects with private There were 31 projects and US$19.9 billion devoted to energy generation, with a 10.4GW sing in eight low-and-middle income countries in rise in capacity, much of it from two large hy- Latin America and the Caribbean, involving invest- dropower plants in Brazil. Electricity transmis- ment commitments of US$31 billion.” This total sion had twelve projects and US$1.5 billion of represents an 83% increase from 2008. There was investment. additional private investment in ongoing projects which had originated between 1990 and 2008, with The boom in energy compensated for declines in a total investment in infrastructure PPPs in 2009 the other subsectors. Investment in telecom fell of $52 billion. In terms of total investment in 2009, 37% in 2009, to $14.8 billion, with no new projects, Latin America boasted more private participation though this subsector has accounted for the most in infrastructure projects than any other developing total investment in dollars in the past two decades. region in the world (34%). Investment in transport fell 6%, to US$12.1 billion, with 23 new projects, mostly in Brazil, Mexico, and As Norman Anderson, CEO and President of LG/CA Peru. Water and sewerage received its lowest Infrastructure LLC, puts it, “The pipeline of infrastruc- investment in two decades, with US$14.8 million ture projects is increasingly robust in the region´s invested in three new projects. big countries,” including Brazil, Chile, Colombia, and Peru, where private investment is strongest. Most projects since 1990 have been either green- - Brazil accounts for most of the new projects (47 of the 69) and new investment (75% of the total) concessions. 5
  • 6. Source: The World Bank Group 6
  • 7. Investment in Projects in the Primary Sector Source: The World Bank Group 7
  • 8. The rise in infrastructure PPPs bodes well for the assets in Latin America. This report is a contribu- region. As Andrew Bogan, Managing Member of tion to that conversation. In the following sec- Bogan Associates LLC, notes, “When you look tions, we examine the various factors that con- at countries that have allowed a fair amount of tribute to the success and failure of infrastructure PPPs, laying out the current state of affairs and concession operators in infrastructure, they have the ways in which the infrastructure community better infrastructure and higher GDP growth. expects things to improve. We focus especially on the larger economies of South America, with and its people. Getting it built is a good idea, and particular focus on Colombia and Peru. Our governments simply can´t build all of it with the information is based largely on interviews with capital constraint they all have today.” observers and players from both the public and private sectors in several Latin American coun- “There is a continuous conversation,” Mr. Bogan tries, as well as private sector experts from the adds, “about what the role of government should U.S., all of whom are intimately aware of the chal- and shouldn´t be” with respect to infrastructure lenges and promises of infrastructure PPPs. 8
  • 10. Fostering Private Sector Involvement in Public Infrastructure Projects T he public sector´s attitudes, policies, and many governments are coming to understand frameworks regarding PPPs determine that, as he puts it, “capital is constraint….They to a large extent how private investment can´t pay for their desired projects with their tax in infrastructure projects will fare. As base alone.” He uses Brazil as an example of a Mr. Anderson notes, a fundamental aspect of the country that has followed an innovative model, generally maintaining public control of projects during the construction phase, when employment to want to participate, and the public has to have opportunities are greatest, and then transferring a sense that private operation of infrastructure is their assets to private hands during the operation phase, recycling the capital from the sale back and not just a few people.” He singles out Chile into new projects. Mr. Anderson also mentions a general shortage for every other country. of skilled labor, especially in engineering, as a reason for governments to solicit private involve- Mr. Bogan observes three main causes of resis- tance to private involvement: deep-seated socio- careers, dating back to the 70s, when there isn´t political prejudices against the private sector, as enough talent available” to build what govern- is especially evident in countries such as Venezu- ments need to build. ela; a desire to protect assets of sovereign na- tional importance, which accounts for why Brazil As Mr. Bogan sums it up: “There are some pro- has yet to privatize its airport operations, for jects it makes tremendous sense for the govern- - ment to build and operate, but there are others where private investment really is the best mod- three factors, among others, have inhibited the el.” He expects to see a strong shift toward wel- public sector´s acceptance of private investment coming private investment across Latin America. and ownership. In a recent report entitled Infrascope 2010, the Economist Intelligence Unit (EIU) gauges the legal, political, and regulatory frameworks with res- proved increasingly irresistible. As Mr. Bogan ob- pect to PPPs across Latin America, and remarks serves, although most infrastructure projects are on the overall improvement of conditions. Of the currently government-owned across the world, 19 countries examined, 4 (Chile, Mexico, Guate- 10
  • 11. mala, and Panama) have implemented appropri- tional framework, and operational maturity. The EIU also notes that Argentina, Uruguay, and the are in the process of doing so. Chile, Brazil, and Dominican Republic “have reduced the risk of Peru get the highest ratings in the report´s index, followed by Mexico, Colombia, and Guatemala. obligations….[In each country,] the likelihood and/ Those six countries, in some combination, get or track record of government payments to private the best grades for regulatory framework, institu- partners for infrastructure projects has improved.” 2010 Infrascope Source: Economist Intelligence Unit 11
  • 12. We interviewed experts from Chile, Colombia, Peru, and Argentina, asking their opinions of the but we´ve also approved adequate sums of state current state of affairs and what they expected from the future. In Colombia, Jean Philippe Pening Gaviria, Di- In Chile, Rigoberto Garcia Gonzalez, the Interna- rector of Sustainable Energy and Infrastructure tional Coordinator and National Coordinator for in the National Department of Planning, gives IIRSA in the Ministry of Public Works, cited two the construction of the Ruta del Sol (Route of concessions-related laws passed in 2010 and a the Sun) as an exemplary case of public-private law regarding the freedom and transparency of partnership. Part of a larger effort to connect the information passed in 2008 as propitious devel- interior of the country with the ports of the Atlantic opments for private investment in his country. “In coast, the Ruta has been characterized, he says, general,” he said, “public works projects have by a long-term vision, an optimal distribution of been characterized by an excellent interaction risks, and a large portion of the investment con- between the public and private sectors.” As ex- centrated in future operating and maintenance amples of exemplary PPP projects, he mentioned stages. the Tran-Santiago public transport system, the construction of the Plaza de la Ciudadanía, and the highways connecting Santiago and San Anto- more detailed discussion of projects, policies, and nio (Ruta 78) and Santiago, Valparaíso and Viña overall conditions in Colombia and Peru.) del Mar (Ruta 68). Argentina ranked 12 of 19 in the Infrascope 2010 In Peru, Conrado Falco Scheuch, the Chief of In- report, indicating that there is substantial room for formation and Economic Studies for ProInversión improvement in creating conditions conducive to private investment in infrastructure. In an interview, with fostering private investment in Peru), points to the construction of the country´s major high- that certain sectors are improving, especially ag- way grid as an exemplary project. Much of this riculture, real estate, tourism, and mining, all with construction involved coordination with IIRSA, help from foreign private investment. He was pes- including integrating Peru and Brazil. Falco says simistic, however, about the prospects of improving that these projects “are of major importance and private investment under the current administration. their effective use has been much greater than “It´s not so much that it´s a lef-tist administration,” the original projections. We have developed he said, “but that there aren´t clear and transparent diffe-rent innovative procedures and facilitated rules for private investment in infrastructure.” 12
  • 13. Areas for Improvement I n spite of the optimism and success stories, Mr. Falco Scheuch concurred, saying that, in there is much room for improvement. As the Peru, “there is much room to shorten the pro- EIU notes, summing up its Infrascope 2010 cesses, simplify administration, and reduce costs report, the recent, encouraging reforms have with respect to private projects in public services.” been necessary “because of widespread weak- He also suggested that more attention could be nesses” in existing legal and regulatory frame- given to public relations, “to ensure a better re- works and skills throughout the region, which ception of private investment on the part of local they had reported in Infrascope 2009. And while public opinion.” there is a marked upward trend in such countries as Chile, Brazil, and Peru, there are still many Mr. Pening Gaviria of Colombia agrees that “ef- countries in the region with weak private sector cooperation, including several “which have shown He gives the following recommendations in gen- no interest or have been damagingly inconsistent eral: in their attitude towards private sector participa- tion.” PPP conditions across the continent are Optimizing the transfer and distribution of risk poorer at the local, regional, and federal – as op- between the public and private sectors; posed to the national – levels. Improving studies to accurately gauge the requirements of the infrastructure projects and Anderson adds that attracting private investment, their services; and developing infrastructure in general, is partic- Designing new forms of public-private as- - “Small countries are having real problems,” he sary for the active participation of institutional said, “it´s just so expensive to do projects. Their investors. public sectors aren´t as capable as they need to - Mr. Grosman pointed to the following problematic line of infrastructure projects. I think you have a areas in Argentina: ‘has/has-not’ situation in Latin America.” Regulatory discretion, especially involving In Chile, Colombia, and Peru, however, the cur- tariffs; rent concern is less over political will or overall The lack of institutionalization in the decision- capabilities and size than on improving the politi- making process, which hinders private invest- cal and legal frameworks surrounding PPPs. In ment; The lack of guarantees to back up invest- environments need to improve. ments; Regarding Chile, Mr. García González said: “The defaulted in 2002; processes, requirements, and waiting periods have The current administration’s lack of emphasis to be sped up and streamlined as they are in de- in productive infrastructure such as railroads veloping countries, and generally the rules need to and ports. become more and more clear and transparent.” 13
  • 14. Mistakes Made: Failed Projects M uch as conditions have improved, The lone project in Chile was the Américo Vespu- cio Oriente urban highway in the metropolitan area PPP have persisted, manifesting often of Santiago. The tendering process has dragged in canceled or distressed operations. on for six years, with a total investment of US$1.37 The World Bank reports that, between 1990 and billion. Mr. García González explains: “One of the 2009, 131 PPP infrastructure projects were re- reasons for the delay has been the faulty decision- ported canceled or distressed, representing a total making process regarding the construction alter- of $50.3 billion of investment. The country-by- natives (above-surface vs. subterranean) and the country breakdown is as follows. concession model to employ.” 14
  • 15. Mr. Falco Scheuch said that, in Peru, perhaps Mr. Pening Gaviria explained that Colombia has the worst case of distressed projects involved had projects fail at various stages. “Some have the transfer of electrical companies to the south- been declared abandoned in the tendering stage, ern region of the country. “Due to certain dis- while in others it´s been necessary to declare that agreements, much of it at governmental level the contract has fallen through.” He gives the fol- and having to do with political pressures…the lowing causes as possibilities: “Weak structuring of process was halted and the program´s general - strategy had to be changed.” He adds that gen- signs for tendering; unclear contracts; and projects erally most of the problems and inconveniences with respect to private investment have been in the water/sanitation sector. 15
  • 17. A lthough the success of PPPs depends speed rail investments, for instance, than for to a large extent on public sector readi- investments in energy distribution or telecom. ness and execution, there remain the There are other factors that increase risk, as well, questions of how and why private sector such as unpredictable political factors; the possi- parties can and should invest. The answers vary bility of overzealous governmental regulation and from country to country, and depend largely on in- price-capping, or even nationalization; and the risks inherent in large markets. But in terms of recent EIU report rates such conditions across the fundamentals that determine long-term risks, infrastructure companies tend to be strong. tegory, leading the region with an almost perfect Mr. Bogan remarks on the dependability of infra- score.” Brazil, Mexico, Panama and Peru also structure investment. Speaking of funds devoted scored relatively well. The EIU states, however, exclusively to infrastructure assets (see “Infra- that there is vast room for improvement almost structure Funds” below), he says that if inves- everywhere. tors want exposure to an economy like Brazil´s, it is better to be invested in infrastructure than, - for instance, certain commodities, as the value ture assets is that they tend to offer consistent of infrastructure is determined more directly by returns. Infrastructure companies usually have Brazil´s expanding economy. “If you want expo- solid fundamentals, hold concession rights or sure to some big sugar or soybean producer,” he licenses that restrict competition and protect them remarks, “then you´re not making a bet on the - Brazilian economy. You´re betting on commodity mune to the economic cycle. Though there are prices, which are very volatile.” high development costs, including design and construction, there are relatively low marginal There are several sources through which the costs for production, and little or no competition once in operation. infrastructure. In the sections that follow, we look at these sources, examining their unique roles. Risk-return will vary according to subsector, with greater risk-return for airport, sea port, and high Infrastructure Funds I nfrastructure funds purchase shares in infra- have emerged in Latin America. Examples in- structure project companies and work with clude a fund established by Ashmore Investment strategic investors such as operators and cons- and Inverlink in Colombia (see the country-speci- truction companies to maximize revenue and increase equity value over time. The performance Management´s Colombian and Peruvian funds of such funds is tied to their ability to extract divi- (see below), and a Macquarie Group fund in Me- xico. The Brazilian investment bank BTG Pactual cing. They may ultimately sell their shares to other and the domestic conglomerate EBX have each owning members of the project´s consortium, a third announced plans to set up major infrastructure party, or the public through an IPO. gest investment banks, has an infrastructure In recent years, several major infrastructure funds 17
  • 18. Pension Funds M any countries in the region allow pation of pension funds in the infrastructure invest- domestic pension funds to commit ment will reduce the political and regulatory risk, as capital to infrastructure funds and one expects better discipline on the part of govern- hold long-term debt issues. In a re- ments with respect to contracts and the rules of the cent report, the Banco Bilbao y Vizcaya Argentaria game, if the wellbeing of local workers is at stake through private pensions,” says the report. Pension between pension funds and infrastructure PPPs in funds might also be attracted to the relatively good the Latin American context. From the point of view of the funds, for one, they are often interested in the report notes that private pension funds “can gar- infrastructure funds because the long-term life-cycle ner public favor if the public sees that the funds are of infrastructure assets tends to match their long- investing in projects that improve their daily lives as term liabilities and “permits optimal planning.” At the same time, “It´s to be expected that the partici- funds.” Capital Markets L isted infrastructure shares in capital markets the one hand, and that country´s ability to expand are seen by investors as an attractive option because of intrinsic characteristics of both - the underlying business and the investment cial center, one of the few in the southern hemi- vehicle. They represent a dependable way to diver- sify portfolio risk. The highly local nature of infra- recent growth of their economy to have a domes- structure businesses and projects and their relative immunity from the economic cycle gives them a low scope and international presence.” correlation with broader stock trends. For this reason, he is “very encouraged” by the In recent years, shares of Latin American infra- recent joining of the Chilean, Peruvian, and Co- structure companies have outperformed their lombian capital markets. “Of those three mar- benchmarks: the S&P Global Infrastructure Fund; kets,” he says, “Peru´s and Colombia´s are less Macquarie Global Infrastructure 100 ETF; and the familiar to typical international investors. There´s S&P Emerging Markets Infrastructure Index Fund” a sense that there will be better access to private company listings from other parts of the Andean Andrew Bogan observes four reasons why inves- region that could be very attractive but are cur- ting in listed shares is particularly attractive: the rently off the radar screen.” greater clarity of dividend yields; added liquidity; Norman Anderson concurs, saying that the mer- and higher standards of transparency and repor- ging gives the three countries “a critical mass that´s useful….I see them as being incredibly last point can be especially important for a skepti- energetic potential protagonists in the whole in- cal public sector. frastructure business. And it´s infrastructure and education that make countries grow year after He also observes a correlation between the depth year.” and breadth of a country´s capital markets, on 18
  • 19. A quick note on the “Latin American Trust” T he Latin American Trust, also known as the payments by the public sector to the private - cessions” of several provincial airports. regional governments have been able to attract private sector resources into infrastruc- The expansion of the Bogotá-Girardot highway is - without a doubt one of the most important works comiso is used to guarantee obligations, access in the history of ground transportation in Colom- domestic and international capital markets, and bia. The consortium that was granted the conces- carry out projects as the “special purpose vehicle” sion of the project transferred all the economic (SPV) needed to contain all the contractual and - services institution. One of the purposes of isolat- Within its framework, a settlor transfers a group ing these rights was to provide credit support for the asset backed securities issued by the same property to a trustee, who in turn administers the trust and sold in the capital markets to investors. The bonds issued by “Fideicomiso Concesión Au- completion of the contract the assets are trans- topista Bogotá – Girardot S.A” were rated Triple A and Double A. transferred assets constitute a special patrimony immune to the creditors of any of the parties project. In this case, project sponsors transfer all the project assets to the trust and constitute kept aside. has a mandate to both administer the assets and enter into the contractual relations typical - - deicomiso a suitable way to guarantee that the est construction company in Latin America, the Brazilian “Construtora Norberto Odebrecht S.A”, kept aside. The Peruvian national government was hired to install 1700km of gas pipelines that will run from north to south in Argentine territory. monetary resources to pay for the expropriation This massive project, valued in billions of dollars, of the land needed to carry out the second phase of the expansion of Lima’s international airport would be there when needed. Since the inter- Odebrecht signed an EPC (Engineering, Procure- national consortium operating the airport had to ment & Construction) contract with the winners of raise the money for the expansion works in the the project’s public tender, the rights and duties international capital markets the strength of the emerging from the contract were immediately as- - more, this same trust guarantees the regularity of new client. 19
  • 21. The International Finance Corporation (IFC) T he IFC, part of the World Bank Group, Recently the IFC established its Asset Manage- ment Company (AMC), owned entirely by the and supporting private sector investment IFC, to be a fund manager for third-party and in development-oriented projects in nu- IFC’s capital mobilized under various IFC initia- merous sectors including infrastructure. The IFC tives, including investors from pension funds, operates worldwide, though the largest portion of sovereign wealth funds, and others. The purpose its commitments are in Latin America, with over of the AMC is to mobilize capital to address the $3 billion of its own accounts invested in 133 new - ger-term development needs around the world. 2010 representing 24% of its total commitments. 18% of its Latin American commitments in that We spoke to Gabriel Goldschmidt, the IFC´s year were in the infrastructure sector. Since Manager for Infrastructure in Latin America and 2000, the IFC has invested $4.2 billion in infra- the Caribbean, about IFC´s approach to and role in infrastructure development in the region. has invested more than $4.2 billion in infrastruc- ture projects in the region since 2000. He explained the IFC´s general institutional strat- egy for investing in collective investment vehicles Among the aspects of the IFC´s mission are focused on infrastructure assets: “supporting private sector participation in infra- structure” and “improving the investment climate “By leveraging new capital sources through IFC by promoting reforms for dynamic private sector AMC’s funds, IFC is able to make more invest- development.” from increased access to IFC programs and a new Some major IFC-backed projects in the region include the Totoral Wind Farm in Chile, which in- to IFC’s unparalleled expertise in developing and volved a $30.8 million investment and 30.8 million frontier markets, as well as its track record of strong syndication and is “expected to reduce carbon returns in these markets. These investments are dioxide emissions by about 70,000 tons a year,” and Ruta del Sol Highway (see above), a $2.6 bil- development without replacing what we do through lion project for which the IFC structured the PPP. direct equity or loan investments.” 21
  • 22. Mr. Goldschmidt gave several factors that the IFC kind – wind, hydro, biomass, solar, etc. -- but considers when investing in infrastructure projects: also promoting ways of using resources more The stability and quality of the legal and regu- latory framework in which the project will be The logistics sector, which Mr. Goldschmidt situated; says is essential in helping, for instance, The stability of the company and its track coastal countries integrate their coasts with record working with such regulatory and legal their interiors and centers of consumption, frameworks; and generally improve their competitiveness; The quality and track record of the sponsor or Water in general, including improving potabil- group behind the project; ity and access, in accordance with the U.N. The general rationale of the project: Why is Millennium Development Goals. (He notes it necessary to invest? Is it delivering a valu- that, although there is relatively less private able service to a population in need? Etc. sector involvement in water when compared to power and transport activities, this is on He points to three general subsectors in line with the rise, and most new projects are under the IFC´s development interests which he considers Public Private Partnership framework (PPP)) the most active and important currently: Infrastructure related to climate change, which includes not only renewable energy of every 22
  • 24. P eru and Colombia both have expanding We interviewed people in Peru and Colombia to economies and rapidly improving condi- get their observations and expectations regarding tions for private investment in infrastruc- ture. As Norman Anderson says, “After pertain to PPP infrastructure projects, as well as twenty years of not doing anything, Colombia their opinions regarding the most important sec- could explode like Spain did between 1995 and tors and current activity. 2005.” He expects continuous long-term infra- structure development in Peru, as well, especially with the precipitous rise of commodity prices. Peru Politics Legal Framework Peru has a governmental agency devoted ex- Ms. Maraví Sumar and Mr. Harman say that the clusively to the promotion of private investment, legal framework for private concessions is good called ProInversión. As Conrad Falco Scheuch in Peru. “However,” they added, “there continue said, “The Peruvian state has an ambitious pro- to be institutional problems that introduce ob- gram of concessions and PPP headed by ProIn- stacles to the process. For example there are versión, with approximately 60 projects requiring investments of over US$8 billion, principally in injunctions -- when a court can suspend a con- infrastructure for public use.” He added that one cession during the tendering process” and effec- of the most important aspects of ProInversión is tively close it down. They claimed that the speed how it “coordinates with regional and municipal of this judicial process often “depends on who governments to collaborate with them in the pro- the plaintiffs are. It´s a matter of political connec- cesses of attracting private investment.” tions, and it´s hard to trust in judicial decisions.” Milagros Maraví Sumar and Diego Harman, of Financing agreed that ProInversión was a major factor in Ms. Maraví Sumar and Mr. Harman explain that improving the overall conditions for PPP infra- structure projects. They claimed, however, that the project and investment. For projects that cost over $80 million, most investment comes from with expertise, that expertise is lacking at the regional and local levels, and that often there are with investment banks such as Morgan Stanley, problems of coordination and implementation. Merrill Lynch, and Deutsche Bank. Smaller pro- jects usually rely on local bank loans. The IFC Ms. Maraví Sumar and Mr. Harman added that, and other development banks are also active in while the country is preparing for national elec- Peru. tions in April 2011, they do not expect the out- come to have much bearing on Peru´s improving Sectors conditions for private investment, as both of the major candidates are pro-business with platforms Ms. Maraví Sumar and Mr. Harman give a long promoting private investment. list of promising infrastructure sectors: Roads; 24
  • 25. Ocean and river ports; urban electric rail trans- operators that will be devoted exclusively to the port; water and sanitation projects, including for strengthening of the petrochemical industry; water desalination; and hospitals. Lorenzo, 4km from Lima, integrating it into the Current and Upcoming Projects capital with a series of bridges, and creating a sort of “satellite city on the sea, with special ar- Mr. Falco Sheuch gave us some examples of eas for production or recreation with the latest exciting projects in the pipeline: technologies.” The government´s promotion of the development of a zone chosen by the corresponding private Colombia Politics transportation, energy, and telecommunications, among other subsectors, now incorporates other Mr. Pening Garavia explained the recent history sectors as well, such as health, education, infant of Colombia´s political posture with respect to care, and justice.” private investment: “The process of increasing private sector participation in infrastructure ser- Legal Framework vices began in the early 1990´s with the liquida- tion of public entities and the privatization of part of state businesses and industries and part of the Ruiz, an expert on the legal aspect of infrastruc- national bank. It proceeded with the private con- ture development in Colombia noted that the legal struction, operation, and maintenance of public framework currently is less than ideal for PPPs. infrastructure, particularly through transportation “We have a set of rules governing procurement concessions, the opening of the telecommunica- contracts,” she explained, “and this set of rules tions services market, and the sale of shares of was enacted in 1993.” Originally the rules actually state-owned companies in the energy sector. facilitated the structuring of PPPs, “because you Since the year 2000, the process has continued were just applying some simple principles. But through a consolidation and strengthening phase since 1993 we have amended that initial statute, with national and municipal projects.” and today we have a rather constraining statute whereby the regulations applicable to the structu- The entire process has been aided by the Pro- ring of PPP agreements are the same rules that grama de Apoyo al Proceso de Participación Privada y Concesión en Infraestructura (Program to Support the Process of Private Participation “Right now,” she said, “there´s a general plan and Concession in Infrastructure), headed by the among lawyers and the government to discuss National Department of Planning and the Ministry - of Works. “As the results have been excellent,” plicable only to PPPs, to try to separate general Mr. Pening Garavia says, “the program, which procurement from structuring big projects with was initially focused on transportation, urban private investment.” 25
  • 26. dardized sector “with its own set of rules and government rules and regulations often don´t uniform and stable regulation from both the technical and legal standpoints,” adding that it works as a free but appropriately regulated international standards. For instance, with trans- market. She was also enthusiastic about the port concession projects – a highway project, for transport sector, noting that that is where the instance -- currently the private concessioner has lion´s share of government-sponsored develop- to deal with real estate issues surrounding the ment will be happening in coming years – in project, instead of the government transferring a highways, ports, and airports. She singled out complete rite of passage directly. Such an ar- - rangement “generally scares away foreign inves- vested in Colombian transport projects. tors” and needs to be reformed. Current and Upcoming Projects Financing Mr. Pening Garavia named the following notewor- Ms. Abello notes that several infrastructure funds thy current or near-future projects: have been incorporated in Colombia recently, “because that sector is the upcoming investment The aforementioned Ruta del Sol, a work-in- progress connecting the interior of the country - lombia Infrastructure Fund, which includes Brook- three parts, two of which have signed con- tracts to begin and one of which is ready to be its investors. Ashmore Investment and Inverlink signed; also manage a recently created US$500 million The Central Railroad System (Sistema Fer- infrastructure fund focused on Colombia. roviario Central), a concession project about to be tendered, which will connect the cities of Sectors Honda and Chiriguana; The structuring of a project to link up private According to Ms. Abello, “The safest sector to capital with infrastructure projects for legal invest in from a fund perspective is the electric - sector.” She explained that it is a highly stan- intendent Notary and Registrar. 26
  • 27. Disclosure A lternative Latin Investor has neither necessary seek professional advice. Information been paid for, nor sought payment for, throughout this article, whether charts, articles, work relating to producing this report or any other statement or statements regard- and no payments have been made for participating in this report. obtained from sources which we, and our sup- pliers, believe reliable, but we do not warrant The material and opinions on this report are for or guarantee the timeliness or accuracy of this informational purposes only. This report is not information. Nothing on this article should be intended to serve as any type of recommenda- interpreted to state or imply that past results are tion, reference suggestion, and/or proposal for any indication of future performance. Neither we the design and/or execution of any and all types nor our information providers shall be liable for - any errors or inaccuracies, regardless of cause, gies and/or commercial transactions. Nor is this or the lack of timeliness of, or for any delay or - interruption in the transmission thereof to the counting or tax advice and should not be relied user. There are no warranties, expressed or upon in this regard. Prior to acting on any infor- implied, as to accuracy, completeness, or results mation contained in this report you should take obtained from any information posted on this website or any linked website. 27
  • 28. Acknowledgments Alternative Latin Investor would like to thank the following professionals for their cooperation in the creation of this report. Rigoberto Garcia Sanchez –Ministerio de Obras Públicas - Chile Conrado Falco Scheuch– ProInversion - Perú Jean Phillippe Pening Gaviria - Departamento Nacional de Planeación – Colombia Andrew Bogan – Bogan Associates LLC Milagros Maraví Sumar and Diego Harman - Rubio, Leguia & Normand Law Firm Alessia Abello – Posse, Herrera & Ruiz Law Firm Gabriel Goldschmidt – International Finance Corporation Norman Anderson - CG/LA Infrastructure Nicolás Grosman – Fundación Pensar 28