Prediction of energy mix in power production bangladesh context 2030

1. Prediction of Energy-mix in power
production: Bangladesh Context
2030
INSTITUTE OF ENERGY
University of Dhaka
Mohammad Alimuzzaman
bappy.ce.buet@gmail.com

2. Introduction
• Energy : Most important factors for better
economic growth and people’s life in our country.
• Not equipped with sufficient energy resources in
our land.
• Gradually rely on imported fuels.
• Fossil energy: Increases Greenhouse Gas
emission, which accelerates global warming and
causes climate change, and suffers our country by
natural calamities.

3. Energy Demand: Present Scenario
Bangladesh:
• 161 million people ,
• 147,570 square kilometers of land
• GDP growth of 7%/year up to 2020
• In the past decade, primary energy
consumption increased over 100%

4. Energy Demand: Present Scenario

5. Energy Demand: Present Scenario

6. Trend of Consumption of Grid Electricity

7. Estimated Breakdown of Grid Electricty

8. Energy Demand: Present Scenario

9. Energy Supply :Present Scenario
• Three-quarters of energy supply depends on
natural gas.
• Gas supply will reach its peak in 2018 and
gradually decrease thereafter.
• Coals and liquefied natural gas (LNG) for
power generations from after 2021 and 2022
• Nuclear and hydro power awaits negotiation
with partner countries, and seems not able to
start operation before 2030.

10. Trend of Source of Energy Supply

11. Energy Balance in Bangladesh
Primary energy supply : 33,172 ktoe.
• 55% is dependent on domestic natural gas.
• 27% of biomass & waste in rural area
• 15% of imported oil.
Demand side: out of 24,445 ktoe Fina
consumption,
• Industrial sector uses 24%
• Residential sector (excluding biomass & waste)
15%, as a secondary energy basis.

12. Energy Balance in Bangladesh

13. Present Electricity Generation Fuel
Mix

14. Electricity Supply Expansion Plan

15. Electricity Supply Expansion Plan

16. Electricity Supply Expansion Plan