The road to 5G from 4G/LTE via LTE-Advanced Pro systems, moving towards borderless mass market broadband, ensuring the best user experience, deploying capacity for mobile video, enabling new use cases/markets including connected vehicles, IoT, VR, enabling the industrial Internet. A presentation by Alan Hadden, Independent Consultant, Hadden Telecoms Ltd. President of GSA Oct 1998 - Jan 2015.

1. Drivers for 5G
Alan Hadden
alanhadden
www.haddentelecoms.com
1
Amsterdam
November 10-11, 2016

2. Moving towards borderless broadband
Consign to history
2

3. Global mobile broadband with 3G
MBB began with the introduction of 3G/WCDMA-HSPA
601 commercially launched 3G/HSPA networks in 221 countries
72% launched HSPA+
2.23 billion users (Q2 2016)
40.4 million HSPA subs added in Q2 2016
75% of the world population is covered by 3G/HSPA systems
(end 2014 = 65%
3
Source: GSA, Ovum WCIS, Ericsson

4. 3G/HSPA subs forecast to 20203G/HSPAsubscriptions:billions
Dec 2020 = 2.9 billion
670 million more than today !
(Q2 2016)
Source: Ovum
4
Over 90% of the world’s population will be covered by 3G/HSPA systems by 2021
Ericsson

5. Network traffic
Source: GSMA Intelligence
Smartphone usage & video services
are driving data consumption
Mid 2015: 3G networks handled 70%
of mobile data traffic
5

6. Expanding global MBB footprint with 4G/LTE
October 26, 2016
4G MARKET and TECHNOLOGY UPDATE
INTRODUCTION
LTE is a global success with 1.453 billion
subscriptions by Q2 2016. LTE connects almost 1 in
5 mobile users worldwide (19.5%). New subscriptions
signed up during Q2 2016 at an average of 53 million
per month. LTE is the fastest developing mobile
system technology ever.
LTE is specified by 3GPP as a single global standard
for paired and unpaired spectrum users. The vast
majority of the standard is the same for FDD & TDD.
GSA’s Evolution to LTE report provides an
independent in-depth status view and analysis of the
global 4G/LTE, LTE-Advanced and LTE-Advanced
Pro market, supported by facts, and confirms the
trends. Information is researched and verified by
GSA. This report is updated quarterly and referenced
widely by industry and across the whole ecosystem.
In this report:
Page
Introduction 1 - 3
LTE deployments: operators, countries, regions 3 - 91
LTE-Advanced global status 92 - 101
VoLTE, EVS, ViLTE global status 102 - 103
LTE TDD global status 104
LTE1800 global status 105 - 107
APT700 global status 108 - 101
LTE Broadcast / multicast (eMBMS) 108 - 110
LTE-Advanced Pro background 111
LTE deployment commitments, studies, trials 111 – 117
LTE subscriptions / charts 117
LTE user devices ecosystem 118
About GSA, links, LinkedIn groups 119
LTE networks growth globally 2009-2016
LTE Market Status
GSA’s Evolution to LTE report – OCTOBER 2016
771 operators investing in LTE in 195 countries
• 744 operator commitments in 190 countries
• 27 pre-commitment trials in 5 more countries
537 commercially launched LTE or LTE-
Advanced networks in 170 countries
incl. 80 LTE TDD (TD-LTE) launched in 47 countries
166 launched networks are LTE-Advanced
or LTE-Advanced Pro in 76 countries
GSA forecasts 560+ commercially launched
LTE networks by end 2016
6,504 LTE user devices announced
(GSA – October 10, 2016)
1.453 billion LTE subscriptions globally: Q2 2016
© GSA www.gsacom.com
LTE-Advanced / LTE-Advanced Pro networks
6
Over 50% of the world’s population was covered by
LTE systems in 2015. This will exceed 75% by 2021
160 million LTE subs added in Q2 2016

7. Improving the user experience
166 (31%) launched LTE-Advanced or
LTE-Advanced Pro systems
Category 4
Category 6
Category 9
Category 11/12
101-150 Mbps
151-300 Mbps
451-600 Mbps
301-450 Mbps
40% of operators are investing in LTE-Advanced
or LTE-Advanced Pro
i.e. studies, trials, or network deployments
7

8. Mobile video traffic is increasingly dominant
Mobile video is forecast to
grow by 55% annually
through 2021 at which
time video will account for
70% of mobile video traffic
© Ericsson
8

9. LTE-Advanced Pro (4.5G)
LTE-Advanced Pro users enables the Gigabit LTE era
and new business opportunities
• LTE deployment in unlicensed spectrum
• NB-IoT for LPWA applications
• Extends/enhances CA
• D2D
• Lower latency
• Higher order MIMO
• Advanced antenna features
• Faster speeds: Gigabit MBB
• Mission critical PTT
• and more ….
• Essential bridge from 4G to 5G
3GPP Release 13 & beyond
12 commercially
launched
LTE-Advanced
Pro networks
9

10. Current 3GPP CIoT solutions
10

11. The Internet of Things
11
© Ericsson
IoT includes:
Connected cars
Machinery
Utility meters
Remote metering
Consumer electronics
From 2018 mobile phones will be surpassed by IoT
16 billion IoT devices forecast by 2021

12. VR poised for lift off ?
Virtual reality and augmented reality to grow
from US$4.5 billion in 2015 to US$105.2
billion in 2020 (BBC Research)
Fixed and mobile operators need to prepare
Headsets (HMDs) being launched in
increasing numbers
Questions for operators:
How would VR traffic impact my network?
Are there new business opportunities I can exploit?
Can I participate in the value chain for VR
applications? Source: Heavy Reading
12

13. Not only about speed
Industry transformation
Spectrum
Smart Cities / IoT
13
Enables the
industrial Internet

14. Opportunities using 5G
Cloudification
Big data
NFV and SDN
Connecting the unconnected
Enterprise mobility / digital transformation
Addressing the needs of vertical industries
Autonomous vehicles
14
5G is “the foundation for realising the full potential of the Networked Society“ and
is absolutely necessary:
q to address mass-market adoption scale
q To enable many new use cases
q to allow organisations to move into new markets and build new revenue
streams with new business models and use cases
Major 5G research activities under way
q APAC incl. China
q Europe
q USA
5G service launch by 2020

15. Standards
15
3GPP continues to expand the LTE platform to new services, efficiency improvements to meet
increasing MBB demand, including LAA, LTE-WiFi interworking, CIoT enhancements, V2X, low
latency LTE, eMBMS enhancements … and much more
Work is underway in 3GPP on the 5G system:
1st release by September 2018 (Release 15) for the most urgent subset of commercial needs
2nd release by March 2020 (Release 16)
3GPP
As 5G is an evolution, expect some elements to be commercialised before full 5G systems

16. Spectrum
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New spectrum is needed for 5G systems
Greatest economies of scale will come if number of different bands used for 5G is kept small
Leading system vendors* favour these bands as a basis for harmonisation on a global or
regional basis
• 600 MHz, 700 MHz
• 3.3–3.4 GHz, 3.4–3.6 GHz, 3.6–3.8 GHz, 3.8–4.2 GHz o 4.4–4.99 GHz
• 24.25–29.5 GHz
• 29.5–33.4 GHz
• 37–43.5 GHz
• 66–86 GHz
* Members of the GSA Spectrum Group