Government should take a middle road approach to automated vehicles by neither significantly leading nor lagging community choices. This involves a four-phase national process: 1) understanding community attitudes; 2) developing concurrent federal and state legislation; 3) reporting on AV use and infrastructure needs; and 4) continually assessing uptake and identifying opportunities. The role of government is to engage stakeholders, address safety and liability, and plan infrastructure while allowing industry and public preferences to guide automated vehicle adoption.
4. 3.5 billion live in cities today and 7 billion will
live in cities by 2050.
1.2 million people are moving into cities each week.
The number of cars on the road will double by 2050,
even accounting for new technologies.
By 2050 there will be 600% more people on the move
every day.
5. Sustainable energy and climate change
Increasing computational power
Community expectations
New and evolving industries:
• Automation
• CAVs
• Zero emission vehicles
• Mobility as a Service
• Adaptive traffic management
Economics and industry
$, Choices, Flexibility
Artificial Intelligence
Efficiency and Productivity
Urbanisation and congestion
Many drivers will lead to new technologies and industries
6. Governments have a major role and
will - by action or inaction - strongly
influence the outcomes.
14. A ‘low road’ – where regulation and investment severely
lags AV adoption
A ‘middle road’ – where regulation is responsive, but
follows observed community choices
A ‘high road’- where the government sector ‘pick winners’
in advance of community adoption.
1.
2.
3.
Driving the middle road
15. Government should take a path of
middle road leadership where
transport policy and investment decisions
neither significantly lead, nor significantly
lag, community choices.
16. A four phase national process
1. Understand the opportunity
2. Develop legislation and regulation
3. Infrastructure and data collection
4. Planning and choices
17. Engage with transport industry partners and road users to
benchmark community needs, hesitations and choices regarding AVs
Understand
the opportunity
1
19. Considerations
• How will the public embrace adoption?
• How will AVs affect mobility, urban planning, transport?
• What new laws and regulations will be required?
• How should the introduction of AVs be staged?
• Will it begin with short trip shuttles, a right-of-way for AVs
on assigned, controlled corridors or a mix?
20. Possible solutions
Regular benchmarking of community and user group opinions
Consult with industry (local and overseas) to gauge emerging trends
and preferences
Significantly increase community engagement and communications
during test and trials
Ensure trials have sound scientific and engineering basis
21. Develop concurrent federal and state legislation and regulations
to allow AVs and Driverless Vehicles (DVs) to enter Australian roads
Develop legislation
and regulation
2
23. Considerations
• How and when will AVs operate legally on Australian Roads?
• At present fully autonomous vehicles are illegal outside of approved trials
• How does the private sector get involved?
• What about security and privacy?
24. Possible solutions
Earn the trust of the community through open communication
Discuss the real issues, removed from the hype
Clarity around certification for vehicles
Prepare coordinated plans to align legislation
Learn from international experience
Harmonise state and federal legislation
25. Report on the number, type and location of AVs
entering the vehicle fleet
Plan for the changes we need to make now
to capture the full potential of AVs
Infrastructure and
Data Collection
3
26. If roads could talk, we could…
• Understand and respond to opportunities to enable
and enhance the introduction of AVs
• Develop smart infrastructure: vehicle to “anything”
• Fully leverage artificial intelligence and machine learning
• Review and optimise road design
• Plan for change
27. Possible solutions
Road authorities to switch from asset centric to data centric
• Real time traffic/road condition data for traffic and asset performance
• Adaptive and predictive traffic management
• Seamless multi mode transport management
Investigate cyber resilience
Prepare existing infrastructure – future proof
28. Assess AV uptake in long-term infrastructure, land use
and wider strategic planning
Identify other opportunities that will emerge
Planning and Choices
4
29. Possible solutions
A national approach to collecting and sharing information broadly
Identify a programme of potential investments
Engage the federal and state Infrastructure “bodies”
Identify possible adjustments to existing regulations or legislation
Explore options to shift the road funding paradigm
32. Government should take the middle road
Four-phase national process:
1. Benchmark community attitudes
2. Develop concurrent Federal and state legislation and regulations
3. Report on the number, type and location of AVs entering the vehicle fleet
4. Routinely assess AV uptake and constantly identify opportunities
33. DISCLAIMER
This presentation has been prepared by a representative of Advisian.
The presentation contains the professional and personal opinions of the presenter, which are given in good faith. As such, opinions presented herein may not always necessarily reflect the position of
Advisian as a whole, its officers or executive.
Any forward-looking statements included in this presentation will involve subjective judgment and analysis and are subject to uncertainties, risks and contingencies—many of which are outside the
control of, and may be unknown to, Advisian.
Advisian and all associated entities and representatives make no representation or warranty as to the accuracy, reliability or completeness of information in this document and do not take responsibility
for updating any information or correcting any error or omission that may become apparent after this document has been issued.
To the extent permitted by law, Advisian and its officers, employees, related bodies and agents disclaim all liability—direct, indirect or consequential (and whether or not arising out of the negligence,
default or lack of care of Advisian and/or any of its agents)—for any loss or damage suffered by a recipient or other persons arising out of, or in connection with, any use or reliance on this presentation or
information.
For more information contact:
Zoltan Maklary
Principal, Advisian
Email: zoltan.maklary@advisian.com
Notas do Editor
The quality of our lives, prosperity of our economies and sustainability of our environment is under threat if we don’t respond to these challenges and transportation is a key component.
So what does this mean? Many drivers and inputs,
our transportation systems are under stress and under funded,
Will technology come to the rescue
There are many paths and options – industry, govt, community and economics will lead to both the expected and unexpected
Govts have a major role and will either by action or inaction strongly influence outcomes
smarter use of energy
Zero emission vehicles
shared travel resources
Smarter infrastructure – connected and adaptive
We need to do more with less
Key areas of govt touch points - A long list - Where do governments start, and stop!
Safety
Energy
Legislation, regulation and enforcement
Liability
Service provision/transition/facilitation
Employment and training
New industries – support
Social equity
Land usage, city and transportation planning
Public transport impacts and planning
Funding for existing maintenance and new road infrastructure
Will they really be safer?
Can I trust them with my family, livelihood and life?
What about privacy and cyber security?
Who’s to blame in event of accidents?
Are they really more sustainable, better for our world?
Will they reduce congestion?
Are they reliable?
Can I still drive if I want to?
Can I use them everywhere?
What about social equity and access?
Currently more questions than answers, but there is a growing appetite
Certification and ADRs
Liability
Change management
Mode shift
Cheap and easy
Shared roads
Road and transport funding
A ‘low road’ – where regulation and investment severely lags AV adoption;
A ‘middle road’ –where regulation is responsive, but follows observed community choices; and
A ‘high road’- where the government sector ‘pick winners’ in advance of community adoption.
Each brings a degree of challenge.
For example, taking the ‘low road’ could constrain important benefits; such as improved safety and reduced road network congestion; whereas taking the ‘high road’ could well see investments in the wrong enabling technologies or infrastructure. It would not make much sense to sink taxpayer funding into ‘smart’ intersections, for example, if adoption of AVs is lower or slower than policymakers assume.
To a very great degree, governments will need to understand the choices made by the community about technology and vehicle types and driver behaviours – because these will dictate the pace, shape and cost of investments in technology – and the legal changes that will also be needed.
Government should take a path of middle road leadership where transport policy and investment decisions neither significantly lead, nor significantly lag, community choices.
A four phase national process:
Benchmark community attitudes – and coordinate national policy on AVs
Develop concurrent Federal and state legislation and regulations to allow AVs to enter Australian roads
Report on the number, type and location of AVs entering the vehicle fleet
Routinely assess AV uptake in long-term infrastructure, land use and wider strategic planning. The four phases highlight an approach that would assist government in breaking down the otherwise complex topic of AVs and their synchronisation with the broader transport landscape. The challenges posed to government range from the need to adjust existing legislation and regulation to allow AVs onto our roads to the significant technical and fiscal infrastructure challenge to the need for community buy-in and industry consultation.
But, the People will ultimately choose the what and when
Will they really be safer?
Can I trust them with my family, livelihood and life?
What about privacy and cyber security?
Understand community concerns, educate and respond – collect data
Who’s to blame in event of accidents?
Are they really more sustainable, better for our world?
Will they reduce congestion?
Are they reliable?
Can I still drive if I want to?
Can I use them everywhere?
Will the public embrace adoption? How will they know?
How will AVs affect mobility, urban planning, traditional traffic modelling and transport operations?
What new laws and regulations will be required? Will road rules, infrastructure standards, and insurance and liability frameworks need to be harmonised across Australian states?
How should the introduction of AVs be staged?
Will it begin with a right-of-way for AVs on assigned, controlled corridors? If so, will these corridors eventually take over the road network and become the norm?
Detailed analysis, modelling and strategic planning will be needed by governments to understand the range of technological possibilities – but also, the community’s choices, over time.
These questions and many others will need to be addressed to allow AVs and subsequently DVs to enter the road network and to play their proper role in Australia’s mobility.
Will the public embrace adoption? How will they know?
How will AVs affect mobility, urban planning, traditional traffic modelling and transport operations?
What new laws and regulations will be required? Will road rules, infrastructure standards, and insurance and liability frameworks need to be harmonised across Australian states?
How should the introduction of AVs be staged?
Will it begin with a right-of-way for AVs on assigned, controlled corridors? If so, will these corridors eventually take over the road network and become the norm?
Detailed analysis, modelling and strategic planning will be needed by governments to understand the range of technological possibilities – but also, the community’s choices, over time.
These questions and many others will need to be addressed to allow AVs and subsequently DVs to enter the road network and to play their proper role in Australia’s mobility.
Policy leadership
Enabling the private sector to innovate, introduce and do so safely
Security and privacy concerns
Certainty in investment – don’t pick winners
NTC, COAG etc are making good progress – harmonised national legislation to facilitate CAVs by 2020 is a great sign
Avoid the Uber syndrome – don’t be surprised
Certification – learn from other industries e.g. aerospace, certify manufacturers and maintainers
Will they really be safer?
Can I trust them with my family, livelihood and life?
What about privacy and cyber security?
Who’s to blame in event of accidents?
Are they really more sustainable, better for our world?
Will they reduce congestion?
Are they reliable?
Can I still drive if I want to?
Can I use them everywhere?
Informed decisions will need governments to collect and publish:
The number of AVs on the network
Locations and usage patterns
Level and type of autonomy
Level of connectedness
Future funding
The convergence of autonomous and electric vehicles presents a unique political, economic and technical opportunity to shift funding from carbon to consumption
I note that the Vic State govt has tasked IV with looking at what Infra investments should be made for CAVs
