SlideShare uma empresa Scribd logo
1 de 21
Peace
of
mind
RISK ANALYSIS
Sunday, January 29, 2023 1
AUTOMATIC PILOT
you are being
flown by an
automatic
pilot
Sunday, January 29, 2023 2
Sunday, January 29, 2023 3
RISK
• A situation involving exposure to danger.
• chance of something happening that will
have a negative effect.
• Such as a contractor delay, COVID-19
pandemic, and a low fuel sign.
Sunday, January 29, 2023 4
GOAL
• learn how to Estimate risk
and to deal with it
Sunday, January 29, 2023 5
OUTLINE
 Risk analysis
 Risk Types
 Risk assessment
 Risk analysis methods
 Dealing with risks
Sunday, January 29, 2023 6
Sunday, January 29, 2023 7
RISK ANALYSIS
• the process of identifying and analyzing
potential issues that could negatively
impact key business initiatives or
projects.
Sunday, January 29, 2023
Event Likelihoo
d (A)
Impact
(B)
Risk factor
(A x B)
Fire in data center 0.7 0.9 0.63
Loss of power 0.5 0.8 0.40
Staff illness 0.6 0.5 0.30
Water leak 0.3 0.5 0.15
Employee forgot
to log off
0.8 0.3 0.24
Table 1: risk assessment for an IT department
8
TYPES OF RISKS
Sunday, January 29, 2023
1
Personal
risks
loss of life - injury
2
Property
Risks
natural disasters - theft -
cyberattacks
3
Liability
risks
regulations - compliance
requirements.
9
FIVE
STEPS
TO RISK
ASSESS
MENT
• identify all the risks
• Use risk identification techniques
Identify
• determine likelihood and consequences
• impact on goals and objectives
Analysis
• rank on their impact
Rank
• Starting with the highest level of risk
• Create a plan that reduce the likelihood and
impact of risks
Response
• review and update regularly
Review
Sunday, January 29, 2023 10
RISK ANALYSIS
METHODS
Bow tie Risk matrix
Risk log SWOT
Sunday, January 29, 2023 11
RISK ANALYSIS METHODS
• Bow ties method
Sunday, January 29, 2023
Method concept Method example
12
RISK ANALYSIS METHODS
• Risk matrix method
Sunday, January 29, 2023
Frozen
classroom
Low
charge
.ppt
damage
Sleepy
audience
Outside
noise
Upsent
member
No chairs Bad
projector
Fire
Method concept Method example
13
RISK ANALYSIS METHODS
• SWOT method
Sunday, January 29, 2023 14
RISK ANALYSIS METHODS
• Risk log method
• risk description
• impact
• impact level
• probability level
• priority level
• handling
• responsibility
Sunday, January 29, 2023 15
RISK HANDLING
What to do if
stuff went
south?!
Sunday, January 29, 2023 16
FOUR
METHOD
S TO
HANDLE
RISK
• stopping activities that lead to the occurrence of a
risk.
• Ex: branch robbed daily → close
Avoidance
• if the impact in the event of an accident is very
high, but the probability is very low.
• Ex: fire risk → insurance
Transfer
• developing control procedures that reduce
probability of
• occurrence
• outcome
Reduction
• Low impact
• Low probability
Acceptance
Sunday, January 29, 2023 17
JOB
OPPORTU N ITY
Sunday, January 29, 2023 18
NOT EVERY TIME YOU
SAVE THE JAR
Sunday, January 29, 2023 19
THANK YOU
PRESENTED BY
Sunday, January 29, 2023 20
201915782 ‫شالو‬ ‫محمد‬ ‫عبدالعزيز‬
201616231 ‫سيفين‬ ‫عيسى‬ ‫محمد‬
201908736 ‫الحكمي‬ ‫علي‬ ‫حازم‬
201917080 ‫هزازي‬ ‫احمد‬ ‫رداد‬
SOURCES
[1] https://visuresolutions.com/ar/blog/risk-analysis/
[2] https://www.almuraba.net/
[3] https://www.techtarget.com/searchsecurity/definition/risk-analysis
[4] https://www.investopedia.com/terms/r/risk-analysis.asp
[5]
https://ar.wikipedia.org/wiki/%D8%A5%D8%AF%D8%A7%D8%B1%D8%A9_
%D8%A7%D9%84%D9%85%D8%AE%D8%A7%D8%B7%D8%B1
Sunday, January 29, 2023 21

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Risk analysis .pptx

  • 2. AUTOMATIC PILOT you are being flown by an automatic pilot Sunday, January 29, 2023 2
  • 4. RISK • A situation involving exposure to danger. • chance of something happening that will have a negative effect. • Such as a contractor delay, COVID-19 pandemic, and a low fuel sign. Sunday, January 29, 2023 4
  • 5. GOAL • learn how to Estimate risk and to deal with it Sunday, January 29, 2023 5
  • 6. OUTLINE  Risk analysis  Risk Types  Risk assessment  Risk analysis methods  Dealing with risks Sunday, January 29, 2023 6
  • 8. RISK ANALYSIS • the process of identifying and analyzing potential issues that could negatively impact key business initiatives or projects. Sunday, January 29, 2023 Event Likelihoo d (A) Impact (B) Risk factor (A x B) Fire in data center 0.7 0.9 0.63 Loss of power 0.5 0.8 0.40 Staff illness 0.6 0.5 0.30 Water leak 0.3 0.5 0.15 Employee forgot to log off 0.8 0.3 0.24 Table 1: risk assessment for an IT department 8
  • 9. TYPES OF RISKS Sunday, January 29, 2023 1 Personal risks loss of life - injury 2 Property Risks natural disasters - theft - cyberattacks 3 Liability risks regulations - compliance requirements. 9
  • 10. FIVE STEPS TO RISK ASSESS MENT • identify all the risks • Use risk identification techniques Identify • determine likelihood and consequences • impact on goals and objectives Analysis • rank on their impact Rank • Starting with the highest level of risk • Create a plan that reduce the likelihood and impact of risks Response • review and update regularly Review Sunday, January 29, 2023 10
  • 11. RISK ANALYSIS METHODS Bow tie Risk matrix Risk log SWOT Sunday, January 29, 2023 11
  • 12. RISK ANALYSIS METHODS • Bow ties method Sunday, January 29, 2023 Method concept Method example 12
  • 13. RISK ANALYSIS METHODS • Risk matrix method Sunday, January 29, 2023 Frozen classroom Low charge .ppt damage Sleepy audience Outside noise Upsent member No chairs Bad projector Fire Method concept Method example 13
  • 14. RISK ANALYSIS METHODS • SWOT method Sunday, January 29, 2023 14
  • 15. RISK ANALYSIS METHODS • Risk log method • risk description • impact • impact level • probability level • priority level • handling • responsibility Sunday, January 29, 2023 15
  • 16. RISK HANDLING What to do if stuff went south?! Sunday, January 29, 2023 16
  • 17. FOUR METHOD S TO HANDLE RISK • stopping activities that lead to the occurrence of a risk. • Ex: branch robbed daily → close Avoidance • if the impact in the event of an accident is very high, but the probability is very low. • Ex: fire risk → insurance Transfer • developing control procedures that reduce probability of • occurrence • outcome Reduction • Low impact • Low probability Acceptance Sunday, January 29, 2023 17
  • 18. JOB OPPORTU N ITY Sunday, January 29, 2023 18
  • 19. NOT EVERY TIME YOU SAVE THE JAR Sunday, January 29, 2023 19 THANK YOU
  • 20. PRESENTED BY Sunday, January 29, 2023 20 201915782 ‫شالو‬ ‫محمد‬ ‫عبدالعزيز‬ 201616231 ‫سيفين‬ ‫عيسى‬ ‫محمد‬ 201908736 ‫الحكمي‬ ‫علي‬ ‫حازم‬ 201917080 ‫هزازي‬ ‫احمد‬ ‫رداد‬
  • 21. SOURCES [1] https://visuresolutions.com/ar/blog/risk-analysis/ [2] https://www.almuraba.net/ [3] https://www.techtarget.com/searchsecurity/definition/risk-analysis [4] https://www.investopedia.com/terms/r/risk-analysis.asp [5] https://ar.wikipedia.org/wiki/%D8%A5%D8%AF%D8%A7%D8%B1%D8%A9_ %D8%A7%D9%84%D9%85%D8%AE%D8%A7%D8%B7%D8%B1 Sunday, January 29, 2023 21

Notas do Editor

  1. “ … you are being flown by an automatic pilot directed by an automatic navigator. Everything within this fail – safe structure is so carefully engineered that nothing can go wrong …. Go wrong … go wrong .. Go … “
  2. “ … you are being flown by an automatic pilot directed by an automatic navigator. Everything within this fail – safe structure is so carefully engineered that nothing can go wrong …. Go wrong … go wrong .. Go … “
  3. If we come to see the risks, we will find them in the hundreds, if not thousands we found that the 3-type classification is more general and widely accepted لو جينا نشوف المخاطر بنلاقيها بالمئات اذا مو بالالوف ووجدنا ان التقسيم اللي اماكم اعم واشمل تقسيم حيث قسمها الى ثلاث اقسام من ممكن تقرا الأنواع الثلاث وامثلتها
  4. Risk assessment allow us to make the best decision in facing risks Poor judgment may lead to unwanted costs or the opposite تقييم المخاطر يمكننا من اتخاذ أفضل قرار في مواجهة المخاطر سوء الحكم قد يؤدي الى تكاليف غير مطلوبة او عكس ذلك بعدها ممكن تقرأ السلايد الخطوة واللي جنبها ومن ثم اللي بعدها وفي رأي الشخصي اول خطوتين جدا مهمة
  5. What is the role of risk analysis methods 1. identifying the risks 2. Finding probability of occurrence, 3. the resulting impact, 4. and the additional safety measure that prevent this impact. We will mention, four methods that differ slightly and are used according to the situation ما هو دور طرق تحليل المخاطر سنذكر ان شاء الله أربع طرق تختلف قليلا وتستعمل حسب الحالة
  6. * This method group sources of risks and consequences * It can be applied for a special case as mentioned in the example We have a case of unauthorized access to a sensitive data For example, hacking the application may lead to the destruction of the company's reputation تتميز هذه الطريقة بربطها للمخاطر والعواقب يمكن تطبيقها لحالة خاصة كما هو مذكور في المثال لدينا حالة دخول غير مصرح به الى قاعدة بيانات حساسة فمثلا اختراق التطبيق قد يؤدي الى تدمير سمعة الشركة
  7. Perhaps the risk matrix is the most common form of risk analysis To the right we have an example of the risk matrix for this presentation لعل مصفوفة المخاطر هو الشكل الأكثر شيوعا في تحليل المخاطر لدينا في اليمين مثال لمصفوفة المخاطر لهذا العرض الذي نقدمه المثال على اليمين يوضح مصفوفة المخاطر لنا مثلا لو الشحن خلص فهذا له تأثير متوسط + احتمالية حدوث عالية لو مثلا البرجكتر عطلان هذا له تاثير متوسط واحتمالية حدوث قليلة
  8. ممكن تذكر اسمها عالسريع وكل حرف والاسم اللي تحته
  9. ممكن تقراها قراية اللي عاليسار
  10. ممكن تقرا اول جملة ثم توقف وتقرا العبارة اللي تحت بتأني
  11. How do you deal with risks There are four ways كيف تتعامل مع المخاطر توجد اربع طرق يا انك تتجنب يا انك تحولها لشخص/مكان اخر يا انك تحاول تقللها يا انها تكسبها لان تأثيرها جدا قليل ممكن بعدها تقرا كل طريقة والكلام اللي يتبعها طبعا في مثال لأول طريقتين
  12. في وظيفة مختصة فقط في إدارة المخاطر
  13. مو كل مرة تسلم الجرة Not every time you save the jar