learn about risk analysis methods and how to handle them.
this presentation was presented in the 2023- industrial quality course held at jazan university.
4. RISK
• A situation involving exposure to danger.
• chance of something happening that will
have a negative effect.
• Such as a contractor delay, COVID-19
pandemic, and a low fuel sign.
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5. GOAL
• learn how to Estimate risk
and to deal with it
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8. RISK ANALYSIS
• the process of identifying and analyzing
potential issues that could negatively
impact key business initiatives or
projects.
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Event Likelihoo
d (A)
Impact
(B)
Risk factor
(A x B)
Fire in data center 0.7 0.9 0.63
Loss of power 0.5 0.8 0.40
Staff illness 0.6 0.5 0.30
Water leak 0.3 0.5 0.15
Employee forgot
to log off
0.8 0.3 0.24
Table 1: risk assessment for an IT department
8
9. TYPES OF RISKS
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1
Personal
risks
loss of life - injury
2
Property
Risks
natural disasters - theft -
cyberattacks
3
Liability
risks
regulations - compliance
requirements.
9
10. FIVE
STEPS
TO RISK
ASSESS
MENT
• identify all the risks
• Use risk identification techniques
Identify
• determine likelihood and consequences
• impact on goals and objectives
Analysis
• rank on their impact
Rank
• Starting with the highest level of risk
• Create a plan that reduce the likelihood and
impact of risks
Response
• review and update regularly
Review
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17. FOUR
METHOD
S TO
HANDLE
RISK
• stopping activities that lead to the occurrence of a
risk.
• Ex: branch robbed daily → close
Avoidance
• if the impact in the event of an accident is very
high, but the probability is very low.
• Ex: fire risk → insurance
Transfer
• developing control procedures that reduce
probability of
• occurrence
• outcome
Reduction
• Low impact
• Low probability
Acceptance
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“ … you are being flown by an automatic pilot directed by an automatic navigator.
Everything within this fail – safe structure is so carefully engineered that nothing can go wrong …. Go wrong … go wrong .. Go … “
“ … you are being flown by an automatic pilot directed by an automatic navigator.
Everything within this fail – safe structure is so carefully engineered that nothing can go wrong …. Go wrong … go wrong .. Go … “
If we come to see the risks, we will find them in the hundreds, if not thousands
we found that the 3-type classification is more general and widely accepted
لو جينا نشوف المخاطر بنلاقيها بالمئات اذا مو بالالوف
ووجدنا ان التقسيم اللي اماكم اعم واشمل تقسيم حيث قسمها الى ثلاث اقسام
من ممكن تقرا الأنواع الثلاث وامثلتها
Risk assessment allow us to make the best decision in facing risks
Poor judgment may lead to unwanted costs or the opposite
تقييم المخاطر يمكننا من اتخاذ أفضل قرار في مواجهة المخاطر
سوء الحكم قد يؤدي الى تكاليف غير مطلوبة او عكس ذلك
بعدها ممكن تقرأ السلايد
الخطوة واللي جنبها ومن ثم اللي بعدها
وفي رأي الشخصي اول خطوتين جدا مهمة
What is the role of risk analysis methods
1. identifying the risks
2. Finding probability of occurrence,
3. the resulting impact,
4. and the additional safety measure that prevent this impact.
We will mention, four methods that differ slightly and are used according to the situation
ما هو دور طرق تحليل المخاطر
سنذكر ان شاء الله أربع طرق تختلف قليلا وتستعمل حسب الحالة
* This method group sources of risks and consequences
* It can be applied for a special case as mentioned in the example
We have a case of unauthorized access to a sensitive data
For example, hacking the application may lead to the destruction of the company's reputation
تتميز هذه الطريقة بربطها للمخاطر والعواقب
يمكن تطبيقها لحالة خاصة كما هو مذكور في المثال
لدينا حالة دخول غير مصرح به الى قاعدة بيانات حساسة
فمثلا اختراق التطبيق قد يؤدي الى تدمير سمعة الشركة
Perhaps the risk matrix is the most common form of risk analysis
To the right we have an example of the risk matrix for this presentation
لعل مصفوفة المخاطر هو الشكل الأكثر شيوعا في تحليل المخاطر
لدينا في اليمين مثال لمصفوفة المخاطر لهذا العرض الذي نقدمه
المثال على اليمين يوضح مصفوفة المخاطر لنا
مثلا لو الشحن خلص فهذا له تأثير متوسط + احتمالية حدوث عالية
لو مثلا البرجكتر عطلان هذا له تاثير متوسط واحتمالية حدوث قليلة
ممكن تذكر اسمها عالسريع وكل حرف والاسم اللي تحته
ممكن تقراها قراية
اللي عاليسار
ممكن تقرا اول جملة
ثم
توقف وتقرا العبارة اللي تحت بتأني
How do you deal with risks
There are four ways
كيف تتعامل مع المخاطر
توجد اربع طرق
يا انك تتجنب
يا انك تحولها لشخص/مكان اخر
يا انك تحاول تقللها
يا انها تكسبها لان تأثيرها جدا قليل
ممكن بعدها تقرا كل طريقة والكلام اللي يتبعها
طبعا في مثال لأول طريقتين
في وظيفة مختصة فقط في إدارة المخاطر
مو كل مرة تسلم الجرة
Not every time you save the jar