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The Real Estate Report
Two major changes in the mortgage
market go into effect this month, and
both could help millions more
borrowers qualify for a home loan.
First, the three major credit reporting
agencies will drop tax liens and civil
judgments from consumer profiles if
the data is not complete. Specifically,
the data must include the person’s
name, address, and either date of
birth or social security number. It
seems many profiles do not have all
this data. This alone could raise FICO
scores by as much as 20 points for
affected consumers.
Second, mortgage giants Fannie Mae
and Freddie Mac are allowing
borrowers to have higher levels of
debt and still qualify for a home loan.
The two are raising their debt-to-
income ratio limit to 50 percent of
pretax income from 45 percent.
Inventory Keeps Tightening
Realtor.com reports that “there were
11 percent fewer homes on the
market (nationally) in June 2017 than
during the same time last year,
marking 24 consecutive months of
year-over-year inventory declines.”
Down Payment Assistance
Home Buyers using the C.A.R.'s
Down Payment Assistance could be
eligible for a $50,000 award! Find out
which programs you qualify for with
the C.A.R.'s FREE Down Payment
Resource Directory!
http://www.car.org/tools/downpayment
resource/
AMSI Real Estate Services
2800 Van Ness Avenue
San Francisco, CA 94109
(415) 447-2009
rfleischer@amsiemail.com
http://www.amsires.com/
CA BRE #01403882
Robb Fleischer
ROBB FLEISCHER | (415) 447-2009 | RFLEISCHER@AMSIEMAIL.COM
Mortgages Easier to Get
Local Market Trends July/August 2017San Francisco
Jun 17 May 17 Jun 16
Home Sales: 219 212 245
Median Price: 1,470,000$ 1,512,338$ 1,325,000$
Average Price: 1,756,765$ 1,860,795$ 1,752,261$
SP/LP: 112.3% 111.1% 105.8%
Days on Market: 27 24 29
Jun 17 May 17 Jun 16
Condo Sales: 304 216 268
Median Price: 1,147,500$ 1,200,000$ 1,175,000$
Average Price: 1,374,469$ 1,371,817$ 1,218,386$
SP/LP: 104.2% 104.5% 104.6%
Days on Market: 37 30 35
(Lofts/Tow nhomes/TIC)
Trends at a Glance
(Single-family Homes)
-25.0
-20.0
-15.0
-10.0
-5.0
0.0
5.0
10.0
15.0
20.0
25.0
0
6
MM J S N 0
7
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8
MM J S N 0
9
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San Francisco Homes: Sales Momentum
Sales Pricing © 2017 rereport.com
Jun. 30, 2017 -- A little over four years ago, then-Fed
Chairman Ben Bernanke famously inferred that the
Fed might, if appropriate, soon begin the process of
winding down the extraordinary stimulus it was using
to power the economy. At the time, global markets
were shaky enough to take this to mean a fairly immi-
nent end to easy monetary policy, and reacted by
selling off bonds over a period of eight weeks in the
so-called "taper tantrum", lifting 30-year fixed mort-
gage rates by a full percentage point over that time.
This week, heads of three central banks -- the Euro-
pean Central Bank, Bank of England and the Bank of
Canada -- all expressed sentiments that economic
growth and inflation are moving in the right direction,
and that at some point they would also begin to cur-
tail large-scale asset purchases of bonds and even
start to lift their key policy rates at some point.
Global bond investors of course took this change in
rhetoric to mean that monetary policy would start to
be tightened before long, and so sold off holdings of
bonds in response, or at least enough to lift market
interest rates to levels last seen a month ago or
more. Not exactly a taper tantrum (which occurred
over a period of months) but certainly the raising of a
wary investor eyebrow at the change. As well, the
potential for imminent change was later talked down,
but to little immediate effect. Mortgage rates had
been stable to slightly falling as this week pro-
gressed, but abruptly reversed course, and look to
move measurably higher when the next national tally
becomes available.
The distant early warning about potential policy
changes by other central banks is the rough equiva-
lent of a long-range weather forecast. The probability
for a change may have increased slightly, but there
are a lot of unknown and unusual forces at work that
will shape when and where a weather event will
eventually come. It will rain again; it always has in the
past, but when still remains an open question.
Moves in the required net yields that approximate
thirty-year fixed rate mortgage rates were a little bet-
ter behaved than were their influential Treasury coun-
terparts, but indications are that we'll see bump of a
tenth of a percentage point or perhaps a bit more
when Freddie Mac reports next week.
ROBB FLEISCHER
AMSI REAL ESTATE SERVICES
(415) 447-2009
RFLEISCHER@AMSIEMAIL.COM
CA BRE #01403882
2 Local Market Trends | San Francisco |
Though Down, Rates To Rebound
The chart above shows the National
monthly average for 30-year fixed rate mort-
gages as compiled by http://
July/August 2017
3.0% 4.0% 5.0% 6.0%
01-10
07-10
01-11
07-11
01-12
07-12
01-13
07-13
01-14
07-14
01-15
07-15
01-16
07-16
01-17
30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rates
Unit
Median Average Sales DOM SP/LP Median Average Sales Median Average Sales
San Francisco 1,470,000$ 1,756,765$ 219 27 112.3% 10.9% 0.3% -10.6% -2.8% -5.6% 3.3%
D1: Northwest 1,915,000$ 1,962,136$ 22 24 110.2% 23.5% 13.3% 29.4% 17.8% 0.7% 69.2%
D2: Central West 1,299,000$ 1,301,751$ 38 20 126.8% -1.1% -4.0% -5.0% -14.5% -14.0% -9.5%
D3: Southwest 1,050,000$ 1,130,921$ 15 26 108.5% 6.1% 13.2% 25.0% -11.0% 0.4% 15.4%
D4: Twin Peaks 1,660,000$ 1,804,000$ 35 14 116.0% 7.1% 14.8% 25.0% 16.5% 10.6% 40.0%
D5: Central 2,275,000$ 2,314,616$ 25 25 108.0% 24.7% 14.6% 4.2% -8.5% -18.5% -30.6%
D6: Central North 3,685,000$ 3,382,500$ 4 56 102.8% 23.0% 12.9% 300.0% n/a n/a n/a
D7: North 5,650,000$ 5,407,143$ 7 36 102.9% 24.2% 5.8% -12.5% 52.7% 1.7% -36.4%
D8: Northeast 2,200,000$ 2,733,333$ 3 42 94.3% -40.5% -37.9% 0.0% 4.8% 26.3% 0.0%
D9: Central East 1,778,500$ 1,857,704$ 30 23 112.7% 34.2% 25.5% 3.4% 12.0% 10.5% 25.0%
D10: Southeast 959,000$ 981,826$ 38 46 120.4% 17.2% 13.1% 2.7% 3.1% 3.6% -15.6%
June Sales Statistics
(Single-family Homes)
Prices Yearly Change Monthly Change
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
$300
$500
$700
$900
$1,100
$1,300
$1,500
$1,700
$1,900
0
9
M M J S N 1
0
M M J S N 1
1
MM J S N 1
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M M J S N 1
3
M M J S N 1
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M M
San Francisco Homes: Sold Prices & Unit Sales
(3-month moving average — $000's)
Ave Med Units © 2017 rereport.com
Table Definitions
_______________
Median Price
The price at which 50% of prices
were higher and 50% were lower.
Average Price
Add all prices and divide by the
number of sales.
SP/LP
Sales price to list price ratio or the
price paid for the property divided
by the asking price.
DOI
Days of Inventory, or how many
days it would take to sell all the
property for sale at the current rate
of sales.
Pend
Property under contract to sell that
hasn’t closed escrow.
Inven
Number pf properties actively for
sale as of the last day of the month.
Local Market Trends | San Francisco | 3July/August 2017
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
0
9
A J O 1
0
A J O 1
1
A J O 1
2
A J O 1
3
A J O 1
4
A J O 1
5
A J O 1
6
A J O 1
7
A
San Francisco Homes: Days on Market
© 2017 rereport.com
-50.0
-40.0
-30.0
-20.0
-10.0
0.0
10.0
20.0
30.0
40.0
0
6
MM J S N 0
7
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0
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7
MM
San Francisco Condos/Lofts: SalesMomentum
Sales Pricing © 2017 rereport.com
ROBB FLEISCHER
AMSI REAL ESTATE SERVICES
(415) 447-2009
RFLEISCHER@AMSIEMAIL.COM
CA BRE #01403882
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
$300
$500
$700
$900
$1,100
$1,300
$1,500
0
9
M M J S N 1
0
M M J S N 1
1
M M J S N 1
2
M M J S N 1
3
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4
M M J S N 1
5
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6
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7
M M
San Francisco Condos: Sold Prices & Unit Sales
(3-month moving average — $000's)
Ave Med Units © 2017 rereport.com
Unit
Median Average Sales DOM SP/LP Median Average Sales Median Average Sales
San Francisco 1,147,500$ 1,374,469$ 304 37 104.2% -2.3% 12.8% 13.4% -4.4% 0.2% 40.7%
D1: Northwest 1,200,000$ 1,268,500$ 9 27 112.1% 7.1% 16.7% -52.6% -2.4% 4.3% 0.0%
D2: Central West 1,015,000$ 941,672$ 4 30 118.7% -4.7% -11.3% 33.3% -16.6% -24.9% 0.0%
D3: Southwest 580,000$ 753,333$ 3 52 105.3% -39.3% -17.1% -50.0% -17.9% 6.6% 50.0%
D4: Twin Peaks 820,000$ 782,208$ 4 61 105.8% 2.5% -16.0% 33.3% 10.9% 14.6% 0.0%
D5: Central 1,306,000$ 1,410,068$ 56 24 110.0% 0.5% 10.9% 55.6% 0.5% 8.9% 43.6%
D6: Central North 1,205,000$ 1,251,662$ 37 27 109.7% 10.3% 11.8% 54.2% 4.8% -6.7% 76.2%
D7: North 1,405,000$ 2,199,547$ 38 34 99.2% -17.4% 15.8% 22.6% -14.1% 20.9% 5.6%
D8: Northeast 917,500$ 1,286,856$ 52 47 101.3% -5.9% 5.1% 26.8% -24.9% -15.1% 33.3%
D9: Central East 1,150,000$ 1,241,803$ 96 44 102.9% 4.5% -1.7% 10.3% -0.6% -2.4% 84.6%
D10: Southeast 450,000$ 455,800$ 5 44 100.4% -42.1% -42.8% -37.5% -24.4% -32.5% -37.5%
June Sales Statistics
(Condos/TICs/Co-ops/Lofts)
Prices Yearly Change Monthly Change
THE REAL ESTATE REPORT
San Francisco
This Real Estate Report is published and copyrighted by http://rereport.com.
Information contained herein is deemed accurate and correct, but no warranty is implied or given.
Robb Fleischer
AMSI Real Estate Services
2800 Van Ness Avenue
San Francisco, CA 94109
Go online to see the full report with the district by district breakdown:
-40.0%
-30.0%
-20.0%
-10.0%
0.0%
10.0%
20.0%
30.0%
40.0%
50.0%
0
9
M M J S N 1
0
M M J S N 1
1
M M J S N 1
2
M M J S N 1
3
M M J S N 1
4
M M J S N 1
5
M M J S N 1
6
M M J S N 1
7
M M
San Francisco Homes: Year-Over-Year Median SalesPrice Change
© 2017 rereport.com
-30.0%
-20.0%
-10.0%
0.0%
10.0%
20.0%
30.0%
40.0%
0
9
M M J S N 1
0
M M J S N 1
1
M M J S N 1
2
M M J S N 1
3
M M J S N 1
4
M M J S N 1
5
M M J S N 1
6
M M J S N 1
7
M M
San Francisco Condos/Lofts: Year-Over-Year Median Sales Price Change
© 2017 rereport.com

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Mortgages Easier to Get - July/August Real Estate Report

  • 1. The Real Estate Report Two major changes in the mortgage market go into effect this month, and both could help millions more borrowers qualify for a home loan. First, the three major credit reporting agencies will drop tax liens and civil judgments from consumer profiles if the data is not complete. Specifically, the data must include the person’s name, address, and either date of birth or social security number. It seems many profiles do not have all this data. This alone could raise FICO scores by as much as 20 points for affected consumers. Second, mortgage giants Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac are allowing borrowers to have higher levels of debt and still qualify for a home loan. The two are raising their debt-to- income ratio limit to 50 percent of pretax income from 45 percent. Inventory Keeps Tightening Realtor.com reports that “there were 11 percent fewer homes on the market (nationally) in June 2017 than during the same time last year, marking 24 consecutive months of year-over-year inventory declines.” Down Payment Assistance Home Buyers using the C.A.R.'s Down Payment Assistance could be eligible for a $50,000 award! Find out which programs you qualify for with the C.A.R.'s FREE Down Payment Resource Directory! http://www.car.org/tools/downpayment resource/ AMSI Real Estate Services 2800 Van Ness Avenue San Francisco, CA 94109 (415) 447-2009 rfleischer@amsiemail.com http://www.amsires.com/ CA BRE #01403882 Robb Fleischer ROBB FLEISCHER | (415) 447-2009 | RFLEISCHER@AMSIEMAIL.COM Mortgages Easier to Get Local Market Trends July/August 2017San Francisco Jun 17 May 17 Jun 16 Home Sales: 219 212 245 Median Price: 1,470,000$ 1,512,338$ 1,325,000$ Average Price: 1,756,765$ 1,860,795$ 1,752,261$ SP/LP: 112.3% 111.1% 105.8% Days on Market: 27 24 29 Jun 17 May 17 Jun 16 Condo Sales: 304 216 268 Median Price: 1,147,500$ 1,200,000$ 1,175,000$ Average Price: 1,374,469$ 1,371,817$ 1,218,386$ SP/LP: 104.2% 104.5% 104.6% Days on Market: 37 30 35 (Lofts/Tow nhomes/TIC) Trends at a Glance (Single-family Homes) -25.0 -20.0 -15.0 -10.0 -5.0 0.0 5.0 10.0 15.0 20.0 25.0 0 6 MM J S N 0 7 MM J S N 0 8 MM J S N 0 9 MM J S N 1 0 MM J S N 1 1 MM J S N 1 2 MM J S N 1 3 MM J S N 1 4 MM J S N 1 5 MM J S N 1 6 MM J S N 1 7 MM San Francisco Homes: Sales Momentum Sales Pricing © 2017 rereport.com
  • 2. Jun. 30, 2017 -- A little over four years ago, then-Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke famously inferred that the Fed might, if appropriate, soon begin the process of winding down the extraordinary stimulus it was using to power the economy. At the time, global markets were shaky enough to take this to mean a fairly immi- nent end to easy monetary policy, and reacted by selling off bonds over a period of eight weeks in the so-called "taper tantrum", lifting 30-year fixed mort- gage rates by a full percentage point over that time. This week, heads of three central banks -- the Euro- pean Central Bank, Bank of England and the Bank of Canada -- all expressed sentiments that economic growth and inflation are moving in the right direction, and that at some point they would also begin to cur- tail large-scale asset purchases of bonds and even start to lift their key policy rates at some point. Global bond investors of course took this change in rhetoric to mean that monetary policy would start to be tightened before long, and so sold off holdings of bonds in response, or at least enough to lift market interest rates to levels last seen a month ago or more. Not exactly a taper tantrum (which occurred over a period of months) but certainly the raising of a wary investor eyebrow at the change. As well, the potential for imminent change was later talked down, but to little immediate effect. Mortgage rates had been stable to slightly falling as this week pro- gressed, but abruptly reversed course, and look to move measurably higher when the next national tally becomes available. The distant early warning about potential policy changes by other central banks is the rough equiva- lent of a long-range weather forecast. The probability for a change may have increased slightly, but there are a lot of unknown and unusual forces at work that will shape when and where a weather event will eventually come. It will rain again; it always has in the past, but when still remains an open question. Moves in the required net yields that approximate thirty-year fixed rate mortgage rates were a little bet- ter behaved than were their influential Treasury coun- terparts, but indications are that we'll see bump of a tenth of a percentage point or perhaps a bit more when Freddie Mac reports next week. ROBB FLEISCHER AMSI REAL ESTATE SERVICES (415) 447-2009 RFLEISCHER@AMSIEMAIL.COM CA BRE #01403882 2 Local Market Trends | San Francisco | Though Down, Rates To Rebound The chart above shows the National monthly average for 30-year fixed rate mort- gages as compiled by http:// July/August 2017 3.0% 4.0% 5.0% 6.0% 01-10 07-10 01-11 07-11 01-12 07-12 01-13 07-13 01-14 07-14 01-15 07-15 01-16 07-16 01-17 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rates Unit Median Average Sales DOM SP/LP Median Average Sales Median Average Sales San Francisco 1,470,000$ 1,756,765$ 219 27 112.3% 10.9% 0.3% -10.6% -2.8% -5.6% 3.3% D1: Northwest 1,915,000$ 1,962,136$ 22 24 110.2% 23.5% 13.3% 29.4% 17.8% 0.7% 69.2% D2: Central West 1,299,000$ 1,301,751$ 38 20 126.8% -1.1% -4.0% -5.0% -14.5% -14.0% -9.5% D3: Southwest 1,050,000$ 1,130,921$ 15 26 108.5% 6.1% 13.2% 25.0% -11.0% 0.4% 15.4% D4: Twin Peaks 1,660,000$ 1,804,000$ 35 14 116.0% 7.1% 14.8% 25.0% 16.5% 10.6% 40.0% D5: Central 2,275,000$ 2,314,616$ 25 25 108.0% 24.7% 14.6% 4.2% -8.5% -18.5% -30.6% D6: Central North 3,685,000$ 3,382,500$ 4 56 102.8% 23.0% 12.9% 300.0% n/a n/a n/a D7: North 5,650,000$ 5,407,143$ 7 36 102.9% 24.2% 5.8% -12.5% 52.7% 1.7% -36.4% D8: Northeast 2,200,000$ 2,733,333$ 3 42 94.3% -40.5% -37.9% 0.0% 4.8% 26.3% 0.0% D9: Central East 1,778,500$ 1,857,704$ 30 23 112.7% 34.2% 25.5% 3.4% 12.0% 10.5% 25.0% D10: Southeast 959,000$ 981,826$ 38 46 120.4% 17.2% 13.1% 2.7% 3.1% 3.6% -15.6% June Sales Statistics (Single-family Homes) Prices Yearly Change Monthly Change 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 $300 $500 $700 $900 $1,100 $1,300 $1,500 $1,700 $1,900 0 9 M M J S N 1 0 M M J S N 1 1 MM J S N 1 2 M M J S N 1 3 M M J S N 1 4 M M J S N 1 5 MM J S N 1 6 MM J S N 1 7 M M San Francisco Homes: Sold Prices & Unit Sales (3-month moving average — $000's) Ave Med Units © 2017 rereport.com
  • 3. Table Definitions _______________ Median Price The price at which 50% of prices were higher and 50% were lower. Average Price Add all prices and divide by the number of sales. SP/LP Sales price to list price ratio or the price paid for the property divided by the asking price. DOI Days of Inventory, or how many days it would take to sell all the property for sale at the current rate of sales. Pend Property under contract to sell that hasn’t closed escrow. Inven Number pf properties actively for sale as of the last day of the month. Local Market Trends | San Francisco | 3July/August 2017 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 0 9 A J O 1 0 A J O 1 1 A J O 1 2 A J O 1 3 A J O 1 4 A J O 1 5 A J O 1 6 A J O 1 7 A San Francisco Homes: Days on Market © 2017 rereport.com -50.0 -40.0 -30.0 -20.0 -10.0 0.0 10.0 20.0 30.0 40.0 0 6 MM J S N 0 7 MM J S N 0 8 M M J S N 0 9 MM J S N 1 0 MM J S N 1 1 M M J S N 1 2 MM J S N 1 3 MM J S N 1 4 M M J S N 1 5 MM J S N 1 6 M M J S N 1 7 MM San Francisco Condos/Lofts: SalesMomentum Sales Pricing © 2017 rereport.com ROBB FLEISCHER AMSI REAL ESTATE SERVICES (415) 447-2009 RFLEISCHER@AMSIEMAIL.COM CA BRE #01403882 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 $300 $500 $700 $900 $1,100 $1,300 $1,500 0 9 M M J S N 1 0 M M J S N 1 1 M M J S N 1 2 M M J S N 1 3 M M J S N 1 4 M M J S N 1 5 M M J S N 1 6 M M J S N 1 7 M M San Francisco Condos: Sold Prices & Unit Sales (3-month moving average — $000's) Ave Med Units © 2017 rereport.com Unit Median Average Sales DOM SP/LP Median Average Sales Median Average Sales San Francisco 1,147,500$ 1,374,469$ 304 37 104.2% -2.3% 12.8% 13.4% -4.4% 0.2% 40.7% D1: Northwest 1,200,000$ 1,268,500$ 9 27 112.1% 7.1% 16.7% -52.6% -2.4% 4.3% 0.0% D2: Central West 1,015,000$ 941,672$ 4 30 118.7% -4.7% -11.3% 33.3% -16.6% -24.9% 0.0% D3: Southwest 580,000$ 753,333$ 3 52 105.3% -39.3% -17.1% -50.0% -17.9% 6.6% 50.0% D4: Twin Peaks 820,000$ 782,208$ 4 61 105.8% 2.5% -16.0% 33.3% 10.9% 14.6% 0.0% D5: Central 1,306,000$ 1,410,068$ 56 24 110.0% 0.5% 10.9% 55.6% 0.5% 8.9% 43.6% D6: Central North 1,205,000$ 1,251,662$ 37 27 109.7% 10.3% 11.8% 54.2% 4.8% -6.7% 76.2% D7: North 1,405,000$ 2,199,547$ 38 34 99.2% -17.4% 15.8% 22.6% -14.1% 20.9% 5.6% D8: Northeast 917,500$ 1,286,856$ 52 47 101.3% -5.9% 5.1% 26.8% -24.9% -15.1% 33.3% D9: Central East 1,150,000$ 1,241,803$ 96 44 102.9% 4.5% -1.7% 10.3% -0.6% -2.4% 84.6% D10: Southeast 450,000$ 455,800$ 5 44 100.4% -42.1% -42.8% -37.5% -24.4% -32.5% -37.5% June Sales Statistics (Condos/TICs/Co-ops/Lofts) Prices Yearly Change Monthly Change
  • 4. THE REAL ESTATE REPORT San Francisco This Real Estate Report is published and copyrighted by http://rereport.com. Information contained herein is deemed accurate and correct, but no warranty is implied or given. Robb Fleischer AMSI Real Estate Services 2800 Van Ness Avenue San Francisco, CA 94109 Go online to see the full report with the district by district breakdown: -40.0% -30.0% -20.0% -10.0% 0.0% 10.0% 20.0% 30.0% 40.0% 50.0% 0 9 M M J S N 1 0 M M J S N 1 1 M M J S N 1 2 M M J S N 1 3 M M J S N 1 4 M M J S N 1 5 M M J S N 1 6 M M J S N 1 7 M M San Francisco Homes: Year-Over-Year Median SalesPrice Change © 2017 rereport.com -30.0% -20.0% -10.0% 0.0% 10.0% 20.0% 30.0% 40.0% 0 9 M M J S N 1 0 M M J S N 1 1 M M J S N 1 2 M M J S N 1 3 M M J S N 1 4 M M J S N 1 5 M M J S N 1 6 M M J S N 1 7 M M San Francisco Condos/Lofts: Year-Over-Year Median Sales Price Change © 2017 rereport.com