2. Six deadly glitches in the system
1. Starting models
2. Does evidence matter
3. Compliance
4. State avoiding
5. Emergency
6. Market seduction
2
3. 1: Poor starting models
Afghanistan is post Taliban non-conflict
Darfur is Islamic Arab raiders V Non Islamic Settled villagers
3
4. 2: Does evidence matter?
Data
Analysis Impartiality
Response
“Without data and
analysis there is no
impartiality” 4
5. Evidence
Fit to
Context
Proven
model Evidence
Driven
Feedback
Monitoring
6. Sex and Age
1. Collecting & using data is good! But ….
2. Virtually no collection in Phase I & II
3. Education & Shelter do better
4. When collected , little used
5. Where used, demonstrable difference
6
7. Why?
• Evidence doesn’t
matter
• Donors and cluster
leaders not interested
• Don’t believe it is
possible
• Collecting evidence
makes us accountable
7
8. Does Needs Assessment matter?
We have always done
it this way
Needs Assessment Disaster
Programming
Political calculus
Cash flow needs
8
9. What you Measure is What you Get
Input Process Output Outcome Impact
9
10. Why don’t you collect?
• “We report against
deliverables. Our HQ
and donors only want to
hear success.”
• “Donors and cluster
leaders are not
interested”
• “Collecting evidence
makes us accountable
and open to risk.”
10
12. Counter-Bureaucracy
Risk &
Quality
Compliance
“The demands of [compliance] are now so intrusive that they have
distorted, misdirected, and disfigured USAID‘s development practice to
such a degree that it is compromising U.S. national security objectives
12
and challenging established principles of good development practice.”
13. 4:Not all states are bad
Relief
Dev’
Host State Host State
Avoiding Enhancing
13
14. Managing risk and response is normal
• National Disaster
Response Law
• New partnerships
• Citizen expectations
• Quality assurance
expectations
14
15. 5: Emergency?
Column1
10%
20%
>8 years
4-8 years
70%
<4 years
15
Source: Development Initiatives 2011
17. 6 Show me the money
• Gov Pakistan. 1.5
million people via Visa
• Horn of Africa 600,000
via cash through
Hawala
17
18. Normal
Abnormal
Evidence
Anecdote
Risk transfer
Interventionist
Agile
Powerful
18
Notas do Editor
It can tie in incorrect models, which have momentum and are difficult to challenge
At the core of humanitarian action is a belief that it should be needs-driven, and only needs-driven. The challenge is that to be impartial one has to have a good understanding of what the needs are. Another challenge is that to prioritize assistance requires one to have a good understanding of the needs across a whole population, and thus the ability to identify the most urgent cases.
In this we increasingly need to be driven by evidence. Evidence that creats and verifies models upon which we base our interventions. Evidence to adjust those models to context. Evidence to monitor and adjust our programming.
SO, lets do a reality check.
We asked why data was not gathered, analyzed and used.
We asked why data was not gathered, analyzed and used.