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Humanitarian System




                      1
Six deadly glitches in the system
1.   Starting models
2.   Does evidence matter
3.   Compliance
4.   State avoiding
5.   Emergency
6.   Market seduction




                                      2
1: Poor starting models

Afghanistan is post Taliban non-conflict
Darfur is Islamic Arab raiders V Non Islamic Settled villagers




                                                                 3
2: Does evidence matter?
    Data




  Analysis   Impartiality




  Response
                   “Without data and
                   analysis there is no
                   impartiality”     4
Evidence
                      Fit to
                     Context
Proven
model    Evidence
          Driven

                        Feedback
                        Monitoring
Sex and Age
1.   Collecting & using data is good! But ….
2.   Virtually no collection in Phase I & II
3.   Education & Shelter do better
4.   When collected , little used
5.   Where used, demonstrable difference




                                               6
Why?
• Evidence doesn’t
  matter
• Donors and cluster
  leaders not interested
• Don’t believe it is
  possible
• Collecting evidence
  makes us accountable


                              7
Does Needs Assessment matter?

We have always done
    it this way



 Needs Assessment         Disaster
                        Programming




   Political calculus




   Cash flow needs
                                      8
What you Measure is What you Get




Input   Process   Output   Outcome   Impact




                                              9
Why don’t you collect?
• “We report against
  deliverables. Our HQ
  and donors only want to
  hear success.”
• “Donors and cluster
  leaders are not
  interested”
• “Collecting evidence
  makes us accountable
  and open to risk.”

                                  10
3: Quality & Compliance
• Standards & Systems   • Flexibility, Context
Counter-Bureaucracy


                                             Risk &
                                             Quality
               Compliance




“The demands of [compliance] are now so intrusive that they have
distorted, misdirected, and disfigured USAID‘s development practice to
such a degree that it is compromising U.S. national security objectives
                                                                     12
and challenging established principles of good development practice.”
4:Not all states are bad

                       Relief
                       Dev’


Host State                              Host State
 Avoiding                               Enhancing




                                                     13
Managing risk and response is normal
• National Disaster
  Response Law
• New partnerships
• Citizen expectations
• Quality assurance
  expectations




                                   14
5: Emergency?
                                       Column1



                                10%

                   20%
                                                       >8 years
                                                       4-8 years
                                                 70%
                                                       <4 years




                                                                   15
Source: Development Initiatives 2011
Chronic crisis 1990, 2010




Sudan      Ethiopia   Somalia   Angola   Mozambique




                                                  16
6 Show me the money




• Gov Pakistan. 1.5
  million people via Visa
• Horn of Africa 600,000
  via cash through
  Hawala

                                17
Normal
   Abnormal


  Evidence
   Anecdote

Risk transfer
 Interventionist

     Agile
    Powerful


                   18

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Cracks in the machine: is the humanitarian system fit for purpose? (Peter Walker, Tufts)

  • 2. Six deadly glitches in the system 1. Starting models 2. Does evidence matter 3. Compliance 4. State avoiding 5. Emergency 6. Market seduction 2
  • 3. 1: Poor starting models Afghanistan is post Taliban non-conflict Darfur is Islamic Arab raiders V Non Islamic Settled villagers 3
  • 4. 2: Does evidence matter? Data Analysis Impartiality Response “Without data and analysis there is no impartiality” 4
  • 5. Evidence Fit to Context Proven model Evidence Driven Feedback Monitoring
  • 6. Sex and Age 1. Collecting & using data is good! But …. 2. Virtually no collection in Phase I & II 3. Education & Shelter do better 4. When collected , little used 5. Where used, demonstrable difference 6
  • 7. Why? • Evidence doesn’t matter • Donors and cluster leaders not interested • Don’t believe it is possible • Collecting evidence makes us accountable 7
  • 8. Does Needs Assessment matter? We have always done it this way Needs Assessment Disaster Programming Political calculus Cash flow needs 8
  • 9. What you Measure is What you Get Input Process Output Outcome Impact 9
  • 10. Why don’t you collect? • “We report against deliverables. Our HQ and donors only want to hear success.” • “Donors and cluster leaders are not interested” • “Collecting evidence makes us accountable and open to risk.” 10
  • 11. 3: Quality & Compliance • Standards & Systems • Flexibility, Context
  • 12. Counter-Bureaucracy Risk & Quality Compliance “The demands of [compliance] are now so intrusive that they have distorted, misdirected, and disfigured USAID‘s development practice to such a degree that it is compromising U.S. national security objectives 12 and challenging established principles of good development practice.”
  • 13. 4:Not all states are bad Relief Dev’ Host State Host State Avoiding Enhancing 13
  • 14. Managing risk and response is normal • National Disaster Response Law • New partnerships • Citizen expectations • Quality assurance expectations 14
  • 15. 5: Emergency? Column1 10% 20% >8 years 4-8 years 70% <4 years 15 Source: Development Initiatives 2011
  • 16. Chronic crisis 1990, 2010 Sudan Ethiopia Somalia Angola Mozambique 16
  • 17. 6 Show me the money • Gov Pakistan. 1.5 million people via Visa • Horn of Africa 600,000 via cash through Hawala 17
  • 18. Normal Abnormal Evidence Anecdote Risk transfer Interventionist Agile Powerful 18

Notas do Editor

  1. It can tie in incorrect models, which have momentum and are difficult to challenge
  2. At the core of humanitarian action is a belief that it should be needs-driven, and only needs-driven. The challenge is that to be impartial one has to have a good understanding of what the needs are. Another challenge is that to prioritize assistance requires one to have a good understanding of the needs across a whole population, and thus the ability to identify the most urgent cases.
  3. In this we increasingly need to be driven by evidence. Evidence that creats and verifies models upon which we base our interventions. Evidence to adjust those models to context. Evidence to monitor and adjust our programming.
  4. SO, lets do a reality check.
  5. We asked why data was not gathered, analyzed and used.
  6. We asked why data was not gathered, analyzed and used.
  7. Abnormal &gt; NormalAnecdote &gt; EvidenceInterventionist &gt; EmpoweringObjective driven &gt; Goal driven