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Apps: Friends or Foes?
Agenda

•   Why apps matter
•   Apps are your friend
•   Apps are your foe
•   Making money with apps




                        Copyright, Strategy Analytics, Inc.   2
3
4
Friend: Apps are everywhere!
                     60


                     50


                     40
     Downloads (B)




                     30


                     20


                     10


                     0
                      2008     2009              2010             2011              2012          2013

Source: App Ecosystems Opportunities; Apps Forecast 2008-2013; Virtual Goods Drive Real Revenue          5
Apps are your Friend

1. Apps offer an unrivaled direct consumer relationship




                                  Copyright, Strategy Analytics, Inc.   6
Popular App Categories - iPhone
  50%

  45%

  40%

  35%

  30%

  25%

  20%

  15%

  10%

   5%

   0%
                 Games                 Entertainment                Utilities              Photography & Video         Social Networks

        Asia Pacific   Central & Eastern Europe   Central & Latin America       Middle East & Africa   North America   Western Europe




                                                       Copyright, Strategy Analytics, Inc.                                               7
Popular Categories - iPad
  60%



  50%



  40%



  30%



  20%



  10%



  0%
        Games             Entertainment                  Utilities                Productivity                Education

          Asia Pacific          Central & Eastern Europe    Central & Latin America    Middle East & Africa
          North America         Western Europe              Grand Total



                                          Copyright, Strategy Analytics, Inc.                                             8
Tablet – More Popular on iPad than iPhone
 6%



 4%



 2%



 0%
       Asia Pacific       Central & Eastern      Central & Latin    Middle East &      North America   Western Europe       Grand Total
                               Europe               America            Africa
 -2%



 -4%



 -6%

           Productivity              Education                 Books & Reference      Business              Games
           Lifestyle                 Utilities                 Healthcare & Fitness   Photography & Video   Entertainment




                                                             Copyright, Strategy Analytics, Inc.                                          9
Apps are your Friend

1. Apps offer an unrivaled direct consumer relationship

2. Apps offer a controlled second screen environment




                                  Copyright, Strategy Analytics, Inc.   10
Friend: Apps drive engagement




                   Copyright, Strategy Analytics, Inc.   11
Friend: They Drive Engagement?
180                                                                                                                         60

160
                                                                                                                            50
140

120                                                                                                                         40

100
                                                                                                                            30
 80

 60                                                                                                                         20

 40
                                                                                                                            10
 20

  0                                                                                                                         0
      Netflix   HBO GO   Twitter      ABC’s     Hulu Plus     Fandango           Bones   Shazam for   IntoNow The Walking
                                      Grey’s                  Movies –                      iPad                 Dead
                                     Anatomy                   Times &
                                       Sync                     Tickets

                                   Average of Rank            Number of Appearances
                                           Copyright, Strategy Analytics, Inc.                                              12
Apps are your Friend

1. Apps offer an unrivaled direct consumer relationship

2. Apps offer a controlled second screen environment

3. Apps offer increased revenue opportunities




                                  Copyright, Strategy Analytics, Inc.   13
Four Main Business Models

•   Paid Download
•   Advertising
•   Virtual Goods
•   Subscription
•   Unforeseen revenue uplift
•   More coming




                          Copyright, Strategy Analytics, Inc.   14
Q. Which business models do you plan
to use to generate revenue next year?
 70%

 60%

 50%

 40%

 30%

 20%

 10%

 0%
        A la carte (users   Advertising          In-App Virtual             Subscription   Not generating
       pay per download)                           Good sales                                 revenue

                                 Last Year          Today            Next Year
                                      Copyright, Strategy Analytics, Inc.                                   15
n=1,298
Increased Revenue Opportunities

                 $30

                 $25

                 $20
  Revenue ($B)




                 $15

                 $10

                 $5

                 $0
                   2008           2009            2010               2011               2012         2013
                       Download Revenue       Advertising Revenue             Virtual Good Revenue
Source: App Ecosystems Opportunities; Apps Forecast 2008-2013; Virtual Goods Drive Real Revenue
Apps are your Friend

1. Apps offer an unrivaled direct consumer relationship

2. Apps offer a controlled second screen environment

3. Apps offer increased revenue opportunities

4. Apps enable global distribution without partners

5. Apps provide leverage for content owners




                                  Copyright, Strategy Analytics, Inc.   17
Apps are your Foe

1. Apps flatten the competitive landscape




                                  Copyright, Strategy Analytics, Inc.   18
Apps are your Foe

1. Apps flatten the competitive landscape

2. Ecosystem and device fragmentation make apps costly to maintain




                                  Copyright, Strategy Analytics, Inc.   20
There are too many devices needing apps…




                                           21
Fragmentation is bad
Android Fragmentation

                        2.3.3, 4%                1.1, 1%
              2.3, 0%
                                                                         1.5, 15%
   2.2, 17%


                                                                                    1.6, 27%




   2.1, 30%

                                                               2.0, 3%
                                             2.0.1, 3%
                         Copyright, Strategy Analytics, Inc.                              23
Apps are your Foe

1. Apps flatten the competitive landscape

2. Ecosystem and device fragmentation make apps costly to maintain

3. Difficult to quantify ROI




                                  Copyright, Strategy Analytics, Inc.   24
Apps are your Foe

1. Apps flatten the competitive landscape

2. Ecosystem and device fragmentation make apps costly to maintain

3. Difficult to quantify ROI

4. Create unreasonable consumer expectation

5. Create friction with MSOs




                                  Copyright, Strategy Analytics, Inc.   25
Quantifying ROI

How does a company quantify the ROI for an app?
   –   Paid apps are easy
   –   Ad supported apps are easy
   –   Purely mobile subscription apps are easy
   –   Social network initiatives become trickier
   –   Hybrid mobile-PC become more difficult
   –   Brand extensions are increasingly difficult




                                   Copyright, Strategy Analytics, Inc.   26
Driving revenue from apps

1. Do not expect HTML5 to be your savior




                        Copyright, Strategy Analytics, Inc.   27
Pure HTML5 is not your savior

                       1. HTML5 does not secure your
                          video content
                       2. HTML5 does not allow for
                          audio
                       3. HTML5 apps are less capable
                          than native apps
                       4. HTML5 apps will need to be
                          tweaked per device
                       5. Finding HTML5 apps will be
                          difficult
                                                    28
Driving revenue from apps

1. Do not expect HTML5 to be your savior
2. Invest in new business models




                        Copyright, Strategy Analytics, Inc.   29
Top Grossing iPhone Apps that were Free (US)

   90%

   80%

   70%

   60%

   50%

   40%                                           Top 100
   30%                                           Top 10
   20%

   10%

    0%




Source: App Ecosystems Opportunities; AppTRAX             30
Driving revenue from apps

1. Do not expect HTML5 to be your savior
2. Invest in new business models
3. Leverage your brand to offset broken discovery




                         Copyright, Strategy Analytics, Inc.   31
33
A big box store
      250’




 40,000      ft2




                   160’
 80,842

                   34
Floor Space Needed

                   10 copies of each app
10’




                   5 copies of each app



                   2 copies of each app

                       1 copy of each app   35
Conclusions

1. If not utilized properly apps will be a foe by flattening the
   competition and reducing available viewer attention
2. …however if utilized properly apps can extend a brand to
   screens/locations once thought inaccessible
3. Set quantifiable objectives when developing apps and create
   internal metrics to gauge success
4. Leverage new technology to make engaging apps
5. Utilize well known brands to drive users to your apps




                          Copyright, Strategy Analytics, Inc.      36

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  • 2. Agenda • Why apps matter • Apps are your friend • Apps are your foe • Making money with apps Copyright, Strategy Analytics, Inc. 2
  • 3. 3
  • 4. 4
  • 5. Friend: Apps are everywhere! 60 50 40 Downloads (B) 30 20 10 0 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Source: App Ecosystems Opportunities; Apps Forecast 2008-2013; Virtual Goods Drive Real Revenue 5
  • 6. Apps are your Friend 1. Apps offer an unrivaled direct consumer relationship Copyright, Strategy Analytics, Inc. 6
  • 7. Popular App Categories - iPhone 50% 45% 40% 35% 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% Games Entertainment Utilities Photography & Video Social Networks Asia Pacific Central & Eastern Europe Central & Latin America Middle East & Africa North America Western Europe Copyright, Strategy Analytics, Inc. 7
  • 8. Popular Categories - iPad 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% Games Entertainment Utilities Productivity Education Asia Pacific Central & Eastern Europe Central & Latin America Middle East & Africa North America Western Europe Grand Total Copyright, Strategy Analytics, Inc. 8
  • 9. Tablet – More Popular on iPad than iPhone 6% 4% 2% 0% Asia Pacific Central & Eastern Central & Latin Middle East & North America Western Europe Grand Total Europe America Africa -2% -4% -6% Productivity Education Books & Reference Business Games Lifestyle Utilities Healthcare & Fitness Photography & Video Entertainment Copyright, Strategy Analytics, Inc. 9
  • 10. Apps are your Friend 1. Apps offer an unrivaled direct consumer relationship 2. Apps offer a controlled second screen environment Copyright, Strategy Analytics, Inc. 10
  • 11. Friend: Apps drive engagement Copyright, Strategy Analytics, Inc. 11
  • 12. Friend: They Drive Engagement? 180 60 160 50 140 120 40 100 30 80 60 20 40 10 20 0 0 Netflix HBO GO Twitter ABC’s Hulu Plus Fandango Bones Shazam for IntoNow The Walking Grey’s Movies – iPad Dead Anatomy Times & Sync Tickets Average of Rank Number of Appearances Copyright, Strategy Analytics, Inc. 12
  • 13. Apps are your Friend 1. Apps offer an unrivaled direct consumer relationship 2. Apps offer a controlled second screen environment 3. Apps offer increased revenue opportunities Copyright, Strategy Analytics, Inc. 13
  • 14. Four Main Business Models • Paid Download • Advertising • Virtual Goods • Subscription • Unforeseen revenue uplift • More coming Copyright, Strategy Analytics, Inc. 14
  • 15. Q. Which business models do you plan to use to generate revenue next year? 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% A la carte (users Advertising In-App Virtual Subscription Not generating pay per download) Good sales revenue Last Year Today Next Year Copyright, Strategy Analytics, Inc. 15 n=1,298
  • 16. Increased Revenue Opportunities $30 $25 $20 Revenue ($B) $15 $10 $5 $0 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Download Revenue Advertising Revenue Virtual Good Revenue Source: App Ecosystems Opportunities; Apps Forecast 2008-2013; Virtual Goods Drive Real Revenue
  • 17. Apps are your Friend 1. Apps offer an unrivaled direct consumer relationship 2. Apps offer a controlled second screen environment 3. Apps offer increased revenue opportunities 4. Apps enable global distribution without partners 5. Apps provide leverage for content owners Copyright, Strategy Analytics, Inc. 17
  • 18. Apps are your Foe 1. Apps flatten the competitive landscape Copyright, Strategy Analytics, Inc. 18
  • 19.
  • 20. Apps are your Foe 1. Apps flatten the competitive landscape 2. Ecosystem and device fragmentation make apps costly to maintain Copyright, Strategy Analytics, Inc. 20
  • 21. There are too many devices needing apps… 21
  • 23. Android Fragmentation 2.3.3, 4% 1.1, 1% 2.3, 0% 1.5, 15% 2.2, 17% 1.6, 27% 2.1, 30% 2.0, 3% 2.0.1, 3% Copyright, Strategy Analytics, Inc. 23
  • 24. Apps are your Foe 1. Apps flatten the competitive landscape 2. Ecosystem and device fragmentation make apps costly to maintain 3. Difficult to quantify ROI Copyright, Strategy Analytics, Inc. 24
  • 25. Apps are your Foe 1. Apps flatten the competitive landscape 2. Ecosystem and device fragmentation make apps costly to maintain 3. Difficult to quantify ROI 4. Create unreasonable consumer expectation 5. Create friction with MSOs Copyright, Strategy Analytics, Inc. 25
  • 26. Quantifying ROI How does a company quantify the ROI for an app? – Paid apps are easy – Ad supported apps are easy – Purely mobile subscription apps are easy – Social network initiatives become trickier – Hybrid mobile-PC become more difficult – Brand extensions are increasingly difficult Copyright, Strategy Analytics, Inc. 26
  • 27. Driving revenue from apps 1. Do not expect HTML5 to be your savior Copyright, Strategy Analytics, Inc. 27
  • 28. Pure HTML5 is not your savior 1. HTML5 does not secure your video content 2. HTML5 does not allow for audio 3. HTML5 apps are less capable than native apps 4. HTML5 apps will need to be tweaked per device 5. Finding HTML5 apps will be difficult 28
  • 29. Driving revenue from apps 1. Do not expect HTML5 to be your savior 2. Invest in new business models Copyright, Strategy Analytics, Inc. 29
  • 30. Top Grossing iPhone Apps that were Free (US) 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% Top 100 30% Top 10 20% 10% 0% Source: App Ecosystems Opportunities; AppTRAX 30
  • 31. Driving revenue from apps 1. Do not expect HTML5 to be your savior 2. Invest in new business models 3. Leverage your brand to offset broken discovery Copyright, Strategy Analytics, Inc. 31
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  • 34. A big box store 250’ 40,000 ft2 160’ 80,842 34
  • 35. Floor Space Needed 10 copies of each app 10’ 5 copies of each app 2 copies of each app 1 copy of each app 35
  • 36. Conclusions 1. If not utilized properly apps will be a foe by flattening the competition and reducing available viewer attention 2. …however if utilized properly apps can extend a brand to screens/locations once thought inaccessible 3. Set quantifiable objectives when developing apps and create internal metrics to gauge success 4. Leverage new technology to make engaging apps 5. Utilize well known brands to drive users to your apps Copyright, Strategy Analytics, Inc. 36