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The Brazilian Economy - Recycling: Who pays for it? - october 2011
1. ThE
BRAZILIAN
ECONOMY
FGV
Economy, politics and policy issues • OCTOBER 2011 • vol. 3 • nº 10
A publication of the Getulio Vargas Foundation
Paulo Nogueira Batista Jr., IMF Executive Director:
The euro was an initiative of European elites
RECYCLING:
WHO PAYS FOR IT?
The National Solid Waste Policy
Politics
The economic team’s
credibility gap
Creative economy
The potential
for Brazil
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consumer surveys of the Brazilian economy.
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Claudio Accioli
Solange Monteiro
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Contributing Editors
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João Augusto de Castro Neves – Politics and Foreign Policy
Thais Thimoteo – Economy
3. IN THIS ISSUE 3
The
BRAZILIAN
ECONOMY
19
12
News Briefs
26
COVER STORY
4 A fifth minister resigns … Former 12 Recycling: Who pays for it?
SEMINAR
26 Untapped wealth
President Lula negotiates 2012 PT
After decades of discussion there
Because it is a relatively new way
alliances … Tax receipts, industrial
is now a draft National Solid Waste
to classify economic activities
confidence, production, and retail
Policy that seeks to integrate
that have a cultural or intellectual
sales all down … Productivity lags
government, business, and civil
property element, and it covers
… Taxes on imported cars go up
society. Claudio Accioli, Solange
such varied activities as game
… Central Bank sees less growth
Monteiro, and Kalinka Iaquinto
development and regional
and more inflation … The real
explain why revisions are needed if
handicrafts, the potential of the
depreciates … Rousseff calls for
the effort is not to be wasted.
creative economy in Brazil has
change at the UN.
Politics
8 The economic team’s
credibility gap
Rousseff’s economic team lacks
not yet been prioritized by either
INTERVIEW
19 Is European monetary
unification sustainable?
the market or the government, so
As the International Monetary Fund
International Conference on the
public policies for its development
are lacking. Experts at the First
Executive Director for Brazil and
in previous administrations,
Creative Economy, organized by
other Latin American and Caribbean Conjuntura Econômica and The
countries, Paulo Nogueira Batista Jr., Brazilian Economy magazines, look
says João Augusto de Castro
has had a privileged view of efforts
at all the ramifications. Claudio
Neves. He analyzes what this
to mitigate a continuing global
Accioli, Solange Monteiro, and Thais
implies for effective policy-
crisis whose consequences are still
Thimoteo report.
making amid faltering domestic
unpredictable. In an interview with
economic indicators and political
Claudio Accioli, he gives his personal
uncertainties.
opinion on risks to the survival of
the balance and credibility shown
the euro and the decision of Brazil’s
central bank to start cutting the
benchmark interest rate.
October 2011 Ÿ The Brazilian Economy
4. 4
BRAZIL NEWS BRIEFS
POLITICS
A fifth minister resigns
Tourism Minister Pedro Novais has resigned over allegations
that he misused public funds. He is the 5th minister to leave the
Rousseff administration. The president named Congressman
Gastão Vieira of the government-allied Democratic Movement
Party (PMDB) as his successor. (September 15)
Former President Lula negotiates 2012 PT alliances
President Rousseff is staying away from the quarrelling
about the 2012 municipal elections among the 17 parties
that support her administration. She has called upon
former President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva to act as in effect
an “extraordinary minister for electoral matters.” Lula has
already met with Workers’ Party (PT) leaders in Belo Horizonte,
Salvador, Rio, Recife, and Goiania states. (September 15)
PSDB internal disagreements continue
Senator Aloysio Nunes Ferreira has criticized the São Paulo
state PSDB party leadership for excluding him and former
São Paulo Governor José Serra from party electoral ads.
Two groups within the PSDB are clashing. One is led by
Serra, the other by Senator Aecio Neves, Governor Geraldo
Alckmin, and PSDB President Sergio Guerra. The internal
fight within the main opposition party centers on the 2012
municipal elections and the presidential election in 2014.
(September 30)
ECONOMY
Tax receipts slow in August
Federal taxes totaled R$74.6 billion in August, 8% more
than in August 2010, adjusted for inflation, but 18% percent
less than in July 2011. The fall in corporate income tax by
13% in August may reflect a slowing of economic activity.
(September 20)
Industrial confidence is also lower
For the ninth consecutive month, the Industry Confidence
Index has declined, according to the Getulio Vargas
Foundation. The index fell 1.6% in September after falling
2.2% in August. The recent decline was mainly influenced by
a worsening outlook for companies. (September 30)
Sharp real depreciation in September
The Brazilian real depreciated against the U.S. dollar by 18% in
September and closed the month at R$1.8544 per dollar, the
fifth highest monthly value since June 1994. (October 3)
1.95
Selling exchange rate: Brazilian reais per U.S. dolllar
1.90
1.85
according to the U.S. Conference Board. From 2005 to
2010, Brazil’s productivity grew an average of 2.1% per year,
compared to 9.8% in China, 5.8% in India, and 3.2% in Russia.
http://www.conference-board.org/data/economydatabase/
(October 3)
Trade surplus surges in September
Brazil posted a trade surplus of US$3 billion in September, up
from US$1.1 billion year-on-year, according to the Ministry of
Trade. The surge beat market expectations as exports held
firm despite worries over a global recession. The main reason
was better export prices, principally for commodities, which
have been supported by robust growth in commodity-hungry
China. (October 3)
Industrial production down
After increasing 0.3% in July, industrial production fell 0.2% in
August, according to the IBGE (Brazilian Institute of Geography
and Statistics). Industry contracted by 0.4% in the three months
ended in August, a sign that production is accommodating to
a slowing economy. (October 4)
1.80
Unexpected drop in retail sales
1.75
Retail sales fell more than expected in August from the previous
month, signaling ebbing consumer demand. Volumes fell 0.4%
in August from July, according to IBGE. July’s retail sales were
also revised downward, to a 1.2% increase over the preceding
month. Demand-side indicators such as credit have lagged
supply data like industrial output, which has stagnated this
year. (October 11)
1.70
1.65
1.60
1.55
1.50
Source: Central Bank of Brazil.
Brazilian productivity behind the world average
Brazilian worker productivity is not only below the world
average but has grown much more slowly than productivity
in other emerging countries. In 2010 a Brazilian produced on
average one fifth of the wealth generated by an American,
a third of a South Korean, and about half of an Argentinian,
October 2011 Ÿ The Brazilian Economy
Inflation accelerates
Consumer inflation grew 0.53% month-to-month on housing
costs, driving 12-month inflation to 7.31%, above the central
bank target ceiling of 6.5%. Nevertheless, markets still expect
monetary policy to ease, a view supported by Central Bank
Governor Tombini, who recently said that moderate rate cuts
could help shield the economy from the European debt crisis.
(October 7)
5. BRAZIL NEWS BRIEFS 5
Photo: Wilson Dias/Agencia Brasil
FOREIGN POLICY
President Rousseff at opening of the United Nations Assembly.
President Rousseff promotes change
at the UN
During the opening of the 66th General Assembly
of the United Nations (UN), President Rousseff spoke
up for a union of countries to face up to the global
economic crisis, the reform of the Security Council (with
a permanent seat for Brazil), and creation of a Palestinian
state. On the last, once again Brazilian foreign policy
clashes with that of the United States. Rousseff especially
emphasized that “The world needs a Security Council
that reflects present-day reality; a Security Council
that includes new permanent and non-permanent
members, in particular representatives of the emerging
countries.” (September 21)
ECONOMIC POLICY
Brazil raises taxes
on imported cars
Following a surge in shipments from
China and elsewhere fueled by a rally in
the real, to protect jobs, Brazil has raised
the excise tax (IPI) on cars with a high
content of imported components. The
government announced an increase
in the IPI, which had been 7% to 25%,
depending on the model and power
of the car, to 37% to 55%. Those mainly
affected should be Chinese, Korean,
and luxury cars, which have gained
market share in Brazil.
(September 15)
Central Bank forecasts less
growth and more inflation
for 2011
In its Inflation Report for the third
quarter, the Central Bank reduced
its projection for 2011 GDP growth
from 4% to 3.5% because the external
outlook is deteriorating, and increased
its inflation projection from 5.8% to
6.4%. For 2012 the inflation forecast
was revised from 4. 8 % to 4.7% .
(September 29)
Rousseff pushes more rate cuts
Brazil can’t let pass the opportunity
afforded by the global financial crisis
to lower interest rates, President Dilma
Rousseff said today in her strongest
call yet for the Central Bank to continue
cutting borrowing costs. The Monetary
Policy Committee cut the benchmark
interest rate by a half-point, to 12
percent, on August 31 even as inflation
climbed to a six-year high, citing a
“substantial deterioration” in the global
economy. However, that cut prompted
speculation that Central Bank President
Alexandre Tombini had give in to
political pressure. (October 2)
October 2011 Ÿ The Brazilian Economy
6. IBRE HAS ALL THE NUMBERS THAT YOU
April 2011
NEED FOR YOUR BUSINESS TO THRIVE
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7. FROM THE EDITORS 7
Let’s talk trash
T
he draft National Solid Waste Policy (PNRS)
exemplifies the difficulty Brazil has in getting
anything done. First, there’s the talk, talk, talk
problem: Successive Congresses had been discussing
this for 21 years before it was presented late in 2010
and published this year for actual public discussion.
Then there’s the problem of counter-productive
taxation; for instance, when waste is transported from
one state to another for recycling state value-added
tax is charged. And the problem of
conflicting state rules for dumpsites
and landfills. And the informal
employment of up to a million
collectors. And unfunded mandates
like the requirements that cities
close dumpsites and carr y out
selective collection, which most
municipalities simply cannot afford.
And the fact that the new policy will
hit consumers’ wallets hard.
Obviously, waste has to be
disposed of, and Brazil hasn’t been
doing a very good job. Data from
the Brazilian Association of Waste
(Abetre) show that in 2010, only
4% of 61 million metric tons of
solid waste was recycled — so last
year alone almost 59 million tons
piled up across the country, on top
of what was dumped in previous
years.
And we’re literally throwing
money away. Victor Bicca, president
of Business Committed to Recycling
(Cempre), thinks that just by recycling plastic containers,
aluminum, and cardboard, Brazil could have economic
gains of R$8 billion a year, and today we recycle less
than R$3 billion.
The PNRS also overregulates recycling activities,
increasing their cost. One of the biggest problems with
the PNRS is “reverse logistics” — the requirement that
waste materials be returned to those who generated the
products so they can be reused or turned into other
products. That means it’s impossible for companies
making different products to share responsibilities in
ways that would reduce costs. A supermarket chain
may deal with 50,000 different products, made by
different companies but often resulting in similar
waste products that could be more efficiently handled
in a decentralized way. The reverse logistics costs
will be huge — and they’ll have to be passed on to
consumers, who are hard-pressed to keep up with
inflation as it is.
Some industries are already
leading the way. The lubricating
oil industry Play Clean program is
very efficient: gas stations collect
the packaging, which is sent to be
pressed, baled, and forwarded to
plants that recycle polyethylene. Last
year Sindicom, the National Union
of Fuel and Lubricant Distributors,
collected 23 million packages; it
expects to collect 40 million this
year; and by 2015, it expects to be
recycling 60% of the packaging used
by its members.
Our cover article not only sets out
the problems the PNRS could cause;
it also offers plenty of suggestions
for how at least some of them
might be solved. But first everybody
— Congress, the administration,
states, municipalities, producers,
consumers — has to admit honestly
that there are problems to carrying
out the PNRS as it is, and everybody
has to be willing to share responsibility for helping
to solve them. Second, the PNRS should rely less on
compulsory and arbitrary regulation and better align
economic incentives so that states, municipalities,
producers, consumers can figure out how best to reduce
waste and recycle materials within their budgets. Heavy
top-down regulation is usually the reason that it’s often
hard to get things done in Brazil. At the end of the day,
the best of intentions become dead letters.
The National
Solid Waste Policy
should rely less on
compulsory and
arbitrary regulation
and better align
economic incentives
so that states,
municipalities,
producers,
consumers can figure
out how best to
reduce waste and
recycle materials.
October 2011 Ÿ The Brazilian Economy
8. 8
POLItics
The economic team’s credibility gap
Rousseff’s economic team lacks the balance and credibility of previous
administrations. As domestic economic indicators falter and with
political uncertainties, this may well undermine the effectiveness of
the administration’s policies.
João Augusto de Castro Neves, Washington D.C.
(2003–2010) followed roughly the same recipe
A
for sound economic policies.
sked how the global f inancial
meltdown of 2008–2009 would
impact the Brazilian economy,
former president Lula compared the negative
externalities to small ripples that would
wash ashore safely. At the time that actually
seemed to be the case, and Brazil rebounded
from the crisis easily. But now, amid faltering
domestic economic indicators and political
uncertainties, the persistent turbulence of
global markets is calling into question the
resilience of the Brazilian economy.
As risky as they may seem, inflationary
pressures, extreme fluctuations of the
currency, and pressure from congressional
allies to increase spending are recurrent
features in Brazil’s public policy landscape. For
nearly 10 years, the federal government has
responded unwaveringly to these challenges
with a combination of fiscal responsibility,
monetary tightening … and a significant
dose of political maneuvering. Regardless of
the changes they faced in the international
environment, the Cardoso administration
(1995–2002) and the Lula administration
October 2011 Ÿ The Brazilian Economy
Although it is still early to tell whether the
Rousseff administration will deal similarly
with the economy, clouds of uncertainty are
massing on the horizon. The most recent
cause for concern was the Central Bank’s
decision to lower interest rates. Since inflation
is expected to exceed the ceiling for this year’s
target range — and probably for 2012 as well
— many political and economic observers
considered the decision to be a conscious
attempt by the administration to reach a
new economic policy mix, one that gives
priority to economic growth over inflation.
This perception was enhanced by the fact that
the monetary loosening was accompanied by
only a very limited promise of government
fiscal restraint in the near future.
Beyond faltering economic indicators and
the policy choices, the cast of characters
in President Rousseff’s economic team is
another source of uncertainty. So far, the
apparent shift in the economic policy mix has
been interpreted as an indication of undue
joao@brazilpolitics.com.br
9. Photo: Valter Campanato/Agencia Brasil
Photo: Wilson Dias/Agencia Brasil
POLITICS 9
Photo: Jose Cruz/Agencia Brasil
Photo: Valter Campanato/Agencia Brasil
Finance Minister Mantega (left) and Central Bank Governor Tombini are less politically savvy than ...
... their predecessors Governor Meirelles (left) and Finance Minister Palocci.
political influence over monetary decision-
from political influence. Though he had to
making. Although Brazil’s Central Bank has
find room in his cabinet for more expansionist
enjoyed a reasonable degree of autonomy
groups and ideas (creating, for example,
for the past decade or so, this independence
the Ministry of Industrial Development),
is not written in stone. The Central Bank is not
legally independent; it can only operate with
autonomy if it has conscious political support
from the president.
To demonstrate the federal government’s
commitment to economic stability, Cardoso
and Lula adopted similar political strategies.
Despite considerable pressure for more
economic growth coming from political
circles and the industrial sector, the two
attempted to shield the monetary authorities
Beyond faltering economic
indicators and the policy
choices, the cast of
characters in President
Rousseff’s economic
team is another source of
uncertainty.
October 2011 Ÿ The Brazilian Economy
10. 10
POLItics
Cardoso was always careful to show political
support for unpopular measures taken by his
finance minister and Central Bank governors.
Similarly, Lula sought to counterbalance his
lack of responsible economic credentials by
anointing as the government’s main economic
interlocutors Antonio Palocci as Minister of
Finance and later Henrique Meirelles, a former
private banker, as Central Bank governor.
Having the right amount of political savvy, the
When picking her economic
advisors, President Rousseff
decided to keep from
the Lula administration
important players who
were notorious for more
state-centric approaches.
Palocci-Meirelles team became the anchor of
economic stability for Brazil.
administration players who were notorious for
Even though President Rousseff inherited
more state-centric approaches, such as Guido
the economic policy framework and the
Mantega at the Ministry of Finance. It is true that
political blueprint of her two predecessors,
for the Central Bank she opted for Alexandre
her economic team seems at this point to
Tombini, who has recognized technical
be projecting less credibility. Certainly some
expertise, but he has much less political viability
responsibility for this lies in a more murky and
as a credible counterweight to Mantega.
therefore challenging international economic
The president could quite easily compensate
environment. A lagging U.S. economy and the
for this handicap by a show of direct political
specter of sovereign debt defaults and banking
support for the Central Bank. Rousseff’s
crises haunting Europe, for example, highlight
low-profile style of governing, however, has
the ineffectiveness of the policy tools the main
prevented this.
economies have been using. The lack of global
Without interlocutors who combine
economic coordination seems to be causing
political girth with discernable market-friendly
negative externalities (such as a currency war)
credentials, Rousseff’s economic team lacks the
for an emerging country like Brazil, which has
political savvy and technical balance shown
limited resources to respond.
in previous administrations. In a domestic
But another source of uncertainty seems to
environment where politics has significant
be rooted within the Rousseff administration.
impact on economic policy decision-making,
When picking economic advisors, President
this situation will most likely trigger even more
Rousseff decided to keep from the Lula
speculation … and instability.
October 2011 Ÿ The Brazilian Economy
11. Theatro
Municipal:
after the
restoration,
even more
beautiful
and modern.
Theatres:
Showing
more than
200 plays
US$ 1,2 billion
What to expect from a city that
has everything? everything.
São Paulo reinvents itself every day. New people,
different cultures, an increasing number of places
to visit. A city that tells its story on the streets, in
the buildings and in the parks, such as the recentlyrenewed Guarapiranga lake. Visiting São Paulo
allows you to immerse yourself in the stories of
its restaurants, museums, such as Brazil’s unique
Soccer museum, and its theaters, such as the
Theatro Municipal, which is now even more modern
and exciting. São Paulo welcomes all those who
are willing to dive into this sea of attractions that
suit all tastes and budgets. São Paulo is culture,
entertainment, art and creativity. São Paulo.
A creative city.
Photo credits: Caio Silveira, Dede Fredrizzi, Jefferson Pancieri, Sylvia
Masini, Caio Pimenta, Fábio Góis, Alex André Diniz, Nage Gonzaga,
COME TO SÃO PAULO.
Fernando Conti (Secom), Paulo Dias (Seme), Luiz Guadagnoli (Secom)
CITYOFSAOPAULO.COM
e Ronaldo Franco. Subway: publicity photo.
CONSULT YOUR TRAVEL AGENT.
COME TO SÃO PAULO.
cityofsaopaulo.com
consult your travel agent.
October 2011 Ÿ The Brazilian Economy
12. 12
COVER STORY
Recycling:
Who pays for it?
The National Solid Waste Policy seeks to
integrate government, business, and civil
society but revisions are needed if the
effort is not to be wasted.
Claudio Accioli, Solange Monteiro, and Kalinka Iaquinto, Rio de Janeiro
October 2011 Ÿ The Brazilian Economy
13. COVER STORY 13
be returned to those who generated
In 2010 Brazilians threw away 61
the products to be treated or reused
million tons of municipal solid waste,
in new products. It will be mandatory
about half of which was not properly
for many industries. By year-end the
disposed of, according to the Brazilian
sectors that are supposed to suggest
Association of Public Hygiene and
options for recycling in their activities
Special Waste (Abrelpe). To keep growth
are packaging in general; electronics;
sustainable, Brazil should minimize
fluorescent, sodium vapor, and mercury
both industrial and household waste,
lighting; drugs; and packaging for oils
extend product life cycles, and commit
and lubricants. T he
to reusing or recycling
A fundamental, and law covers pesticides,
products.
The National Solid highly controversial, tires, and bat teries,
but these are already
Waste Policy (PNRS)
aspect of the law is s u b j e c t t o s p e c i f i c
s e t s ou t p r i n c ip l e s ,
guidelines, goals,
“reverse logistics,” regulations. W hen a
sector cannot reach a
and actions to those
which requires that consensus, the federal
ends. Presented in late
2010 a f ter 21 ye a rs
waste materials be government can do so
by decree. “B ecause
of congressional
returned to waste immediate deadlines
discussions, the draft
wou ld b e a rbit ra r y
PNRS aims to promote
generators to be
and difficult to comply
cooperation bet ween
treated or reused in with, econom ic and
government, civil society
f i na ncia l feasibi l it y
a nd m a nu f a c t u r e r s ,
new products.
studies are being
importers, distributors,
conducted to establish benchmarks,”
retailers, consumers, and public waste
says Nabil Georges Bonduki, Ministry
collectors in finding ways to correctly
of Environ ment (M M A) S ecretar y
dispose of organic waste and to recycle
of Water Resources and the Urban
all waste, whether food or the rubble of
Environment.
a building. The emphasis is on shared
So far progress in recycling has been
responsibility. The draft was circulated
made in a few segments where the
this September and public consultation,
economic viability was evident. For
and heated debate, is expected to last
aluminum cans (see box), for instance,
until December.
the recycling rate is already approaching
100%. Without any support or training,
EACH SECTOR A CHALLENGE
collectors have recognized cans as a
A fundamental, and highly controversial,
source of income and strive to get them
aspect of the law is “reverse logistics,”
quickly back to their point of origin.
which requires that waste materials
October 2011 Ÿ The Brazilian Economy
14. 14
COVER STORY
A CNM survey found that
only 37% of Brazilian
cities have landfills, most
relying on dumpsites.
In sectors like electronics, the situation
is not so simple. The sheer variety of
products, from refrigerators to mobile
phones, adds huge complexity.
Emilio Loures, manager of technology
programs of Brazil’s Intel, cites the
Brazilian market for PCs — 14 million
units in 2010. “In a computer, there
are valuable components like platinum,
gold, silver, but you need to know how
to handle them appropriately,” he says,
adding that in Southeast Asia, some
people burned computer cards to extract
gold, causing pollution, and “we do
not want that to happen here.” And
the used materials themselves are not
the only problem, he explains: “The
tax treatment for recycled products
is not harmonized; this type of waste
transported from one state to another
pays state value-added tax … if there
were more incentive, local industry
would be very interested in taking back
all the machines on the market.”
Other sectors are negotiating
prog ressive rec ycli ng goals a nd
incentives, though so far, “It’s a trend
mainly driven by large companies, which
have both an image to preserve and a
need for more sustainable production
to continue growing,” says Ricardo
Rose, director of the Brazil-Germany
October 2011 Ÿ The Brazilian Economy
Chamber of Commerce Department of
Renewable Energy, Sustainability and
Energy Efficiency. This can be a force
for progress. “Take supermarkets,”
Ro s e p o i nt s o u t . “O n o n e h a n d
they force suppliers to adopt certain
standards and on the other they raise
consumer awareness regarding disposal
of waste.”
According to Ligia Korkes, manager
of sustainability, Pão de Açúcar group,
the biggest challenge of the new PNRS
w ill be formation of intersec toral
alliances. “For example, the recycling
stations we have allow us to share
responsibilities with companies that
are our partners and thereby reduce
costs, but in reverse logistics it is not
possible to share this type of activity,”
she says. “For instance, just one of the
group’s companies, Extra supermarkets,
works with 50,000 different products.
It is almost impossible to deal with
this universe without the help of other
players, including consumers.”
PUBLIC SECTOR SUPPORT
E specially for sectors in which
t he re t u r n of used waste is more
complex, “It is essential that there
be partnerships between producers
and local governments,” says Lucien
B e l m o nt e , s up e r i nt e n d e nt of t h e
Technical Association of Brazilian Glass
(Abividro). By law, municipalities must
clean up trash. The PNRS mandates that
by 2014 all cities will have to close open
dumpsites, carry out selective collection,
and properly dispose of organic waste
15. COVER STORY 15
Our daily garbage
NOSSO LIXO DEsolid waste
Collection of CADA DIA
A coleta de resíduos sólidos urbanos (RSU)
Regions (metric tons per day)
200,000
160,000
120,000
80,000
40,000
0
North
Northwest Mid-West Southwest
South
BRAZIL
South
BRAZIL
Region (kilograms per person per day)
2.0
1.6
1.2
0.8
0.4
0.0
North
Northwest Mid-West Southwest
Sources: Abrelpe and IBGE.
2009
2010
i n la nd f i l ls. Un for t u n ately, m a ny
municipalities simply do not have the
financial resources to comply.
“At t he moment replaci ng open
dumpsites by landfills is unrealistic.
The Ministry [of Environment] has
complicated the life of mayors,” says
Pau lo Z iu l kosk i , pre sident of t he
National Confederation of Municipalities
(CNM). To comply, the municipalities
wou ld have to sp end about R $52
billion (US$28 billion) in less than
three years. Research by FGV Projects
for the Brazilian Association of Waste
(Abetre) found that the lifecycle costs
of a large landfill, capable of receiving
2,000 tons of garbage a day, is about
R$525 million, an annual cost of R$14
to R$18 per capita. The estimate covers
everything from studies to installation
to post-closure activities for a landfill
with a life of 20 years. “We do not have
the technical or financial resources for
this,” Ziulkoski says.
Diadema city in São Paulo state has
about 400,000 inhabitants and for
more than 10 years has been disposing
of waste in a landfill. In its Clean
Life program, the city has also hired
scavengers who used to work in the
Alvarenga dump site (closed in 2001)
and separately collect about 150 metric
ton a month. “Today, we pay R$2
million a month to collect waste; waste
management has high maintenance and
operation costs,” says Mayor Mário
Reali (Workers Party-PT).
But municipalities that have addressed
the problem of waste disposal are
October 2011 Ÿ The Brazilian Economy
16. 16
COVER STORY
In 2010, Brazilians
threw away 61 million
tons of municipal solid
waste, about half of
which is not properly
disposed of.
the exception. In 2010, according to
Abrelpe, 58% of the 5,565 municipalities
repor ted some initiative for waste
management, but a CNM survey found
that only 37% of Brazilian cities have
landfills, most rely on dumpsites, and
only 20% do composting, which turns
organic waste into fertilizers. “Selective
collection costs 70% more than normal,
and composting also has a very high
cost. The government demands that we
must do it but does not indicate with
what resources. This is irresponsible,”
Ziulkoski says.
Felipe Zakari Antunes, manager of
sustainability for Wal-Mart, stresses
the need to reconcile eradication of the
dumpsites, which has set deadlines,
with processes for selective collection:
“Recycling stations in retail stores
cannot be the only solution to ensure
that packaging is recycled, for example.
We need a selective collection program
with municipal support to increase the
volume of material collected and raise
public awareness.”
To make the necessar y changes,
especially in smaller municipalities,
there are two possible options. The
October 2011 Ÿ The Brazilian Economy
first is private waste management. “The
private sector has technical and human
resources and can offer solutions at
reasonable costs,” says Diógenes Del
Bel, Abetre chief executive. Second, the
PNRS suggests creation of consortia of
municipalities that could share costs
and receive resources from the federal
government. For Ziulkoski, however,
there is no guarantee that there will be
money to maintain these consortia.
Carlos Roberto Vieira da Silva Filho,
Abrelpe executive director, believes
that dumpsites can be closed within the
deadline if “we quit talking and begin
doing.” Cacilda Teixeira de Carvalho,
president of the Brazilian Association
of Sa n ita r y a nd E nvi ron mental
Engineering (ABES), points out the need
to educate people for selective collection.
“Establishing landfills will depend on
institutional and technical support,
and equipment, making room for new
technologies. But this is all meaningless
without informed people, “she says.
Adalgiso Teles, Bunge Brazil director
of corporate affairs and sustainability,
agrees, emphasizing that “The biggest
challenge is to promote consu mer
awareness.”
Abividro’s Belmonte says consumers
do not realize the changes the new
policy will make in their lives, pointing
out, “This is a program with huge
players who depend on the consumer,
and consumers have not been educated
ab out t hei r role.” A l í sio Jac que s
Mendes Vaz, executive chairman of the
National Union of Distributors Fuel and
17. COVER STORY 17
Lubricants (Sindicom), thinks there is a
risk that the effects of the new policy
on consumers will first show up on their
pockets: “The entire chain of production
and distribution will bear the recycling
costs, and it is important that consumers
know that they will paying more for it.
[Recycling] is a society demand but its
costs must be recognized.”
MUCH TO GAIN
Despite the doubts, Rose of the BrazilG er m a ny C h a mb er of C om m erc e
believes the PNRS is necessary, but
says one of the biggest obstacles to the
new policy is the lack of research: “We
accept the fallacious argument that to
adapt to a sustainable process is more
expensive; that is not so. Streamlining
processes tends to make costs drop.”
Some argue that achieving the PNRS
t a rgets depends on bot h reduci ng
recycling costs and expanding the
recycler sector. “Today, making a
recycled product is more expensive
than using raw material. Having more
recycling parks is important because we
are very focused on selective collection,”
says Victor Bicca, president of Business
Committed to Recycling (Cempre).
Nelson Pereira dos Reis, director
of the Department of Environment,
Federation of Industries of São Paulo
State (FIESP), underlines the need for
a tax review, particularly in certain
segments: “One example is paint sludge.
The tax burden on this material prevents
its recycling because the difference
in VAT between buying and selling
Another good exercise
is to look for sectors that
have already addressed
recycling. For example,
the lubricating oils sector
already has an agreement
to collect 60% of the
packages distributed
to service stations and
dealerships through 2015.
the sludge generates a credit that the
recycler cannot use.”
To Wanderley Baptista, policy and
industry analyst, National Confederation
of Industry (CNI), economic support for
PNRS-related activities demands more
discussion of alternatives such as special
VAT rates for recycled material and
equal tax treatment by states.
Although Brazil stands out in recycling
of some materials, it is still far short of
being able to fully comply with the PNRS.
Abrelpe data show that in 2010 only 4%
of 61 million metric tons of solid waste
was recycled. André Luís Saraiva of the
Brazilian Association of Electrical and
Electronics Industry (Abinee) suggests
that providing adequate infrastructure
for rec ycl i ng h is i ndust r y’s waste
products could make the market for
recycling more attractive.
Cempre’s Bicca points out other
opp o r t u n it i e s . “ T h i s n e w p ol i c y
October 2011 Ÿ The Brazilian Economy
18. 18
COVER STORY
will allow Brazil to profit from huge
economic opportunities that we have
been wasting,” he says. “Just by recycling
plastic containers, aluminum, and
cardboard, it is estimated that Brazil
could have economic gains of R$8
billion a year, and so far we do not reach
even R$3 billion.”
Arguments and debates aside, the
various sectors are unanimous that
the PNRS must define the role of each
player to ensure that economic growth is
environmentally sustainable. Companies
operating nationally are being pressed to
comply with local legislation, as in São
Paulo and Curitiba cities. “We welcome
the adoption of the new National Policy
of Solid Waste because we are under
pressure from local governments to comply
with requirements for recycling materials,
[but their protocols] lack standardization
and allocation of responsibilities,” says
Rino Abbondi, vice president of logistics
for Coca-Cola. “We hope [the PNRS]
will be a national umbrella … making it
possible to address [waste management]
from Amazonas state to Rio Grande do
Sul state with the same approach.”
Nationally, it is still difficult to ensure
that decisions will occur quickly. For
Abinee’s Saraiva, the ideal would be
to select products from every industry
and some municipalities with different
specificities to pilot total recycling. He
explains that “With this, we would
have a map of the difficulties, material
conditions, and tax document of title of
ownership. From these pilots, we could
October 2011 Ÿ The Brazilian Economy
assess the country’s installed recycling
capacity and its specificities.”
Another good exercise is to look at
sectors that have already addressed
recycling. For example, the lubricating
oils sector already has an agreement to
collect 60% of the packages distributed
to service stations and dealerships
through 2015. A program Sindicom put
together five years ago is the baseline for
its projections. The Play Clean program
began in Rio Grande do Sul state and
has already reached the other two
Southern states and Rio de Janeiro and
São Paulo states. Gas stations collect
the packaging, which is sent to receiving
stations where it pressed, baled, and
sent to plants that recycle polyethylene.
“There they become raw material,
including for new packaging,” says
Mendes Vaz. “Last year, we collected 23
million packages; this year, we expect
to collect 40 million.”
“We are anxious to start a more
structured and formalized [recycling]
process,” says FIESP’s Reis. He believes
that it is most important to seek solutions
that take into account local structure
and educational levels and avoid any
ideological bias. “We cannot expect
industry to pay for everything,” he says.
Sindicom’s Mendes Vaz reiterates that
at present, more than setting goals the
important thing is to start taking steps,
recognizing that “the best can be the
enemy of the good,” and keeping in mind
that to even get to the good, it is necessary
to keep up the pace.
19. INTERVIEW 19
Photo: divulgação FMI
Is European monetary
unification sustainable?
Paulo Nogueira
Batista Jr.
International Monetary Fund Executive Director
Claudio Accioli,
Rio de Janeiro
Economist Paulo Nogueira Batista Jr. probably never
imagined seeing Brazil become a creditor of the
International Monetary Fund (IMF) or seeing the
United States and major European countries mired
in financial crises similar to those Brazil experienced
in the past. However, as IMF executive director in
Washington for a constituency of Latin American and
Caribbean countries * since 2007, after 10 years at the
Getulio Vargas Foundation, he has had a privileged
view of these events, especially efforts to mitigate
a continuing global crisis whose consequences are
still unpredictable. Here Nogueira Batista, whose
opinions are personal rather than those of the IMF
or any country he represents, identifies risks to the
The Brazilian Economy — At the IMF
annual meeting in September Managing
Director Christine Lagarde said that IMF
reserves may not be sufficient to help
European countries in crisis. How do you
see the IMF situation?
Paulo Nogueira Batista Jr. — It is not
clear whether the IMF needs more lending
capacity — it depends on the international economy and member country
demands. In the Joint Communique
issued during the IMF annual meeting
in September, the BRICS (Brazil, Russia,
India, China, and South Africa) expressed
cautious willingness to provide additional
resources in a time of crisis when the
need is demonstrated, but also expressed
concern about the slow pace of reforms
to redistribute decision-making power
within the institution. Quota and voice
reforms in 2008 benefited some emerging
countries, including Brazil, and there is
agreement for a further review of quotas
survival of the euro but he is optimistic: “I believe
there is still a strong commitment of European elites
* Brazil, Colombia, Ecuador, Guyana, Haiti, Panama, Dominican
to the monetary union project.”
Republic, Suriname and Trinidad and Tobago.
October 2011 Ÿ The Brazilian Economy
20. 20
INTERVIEW
by January 2014. But this issue exposes
the imbalance in IMF decision-making
power. The BRICS communiqué therefore
reinforces the understanding that reforms
must continue, so that the IMF becomes
more representative of today’s world
rather than a world long past in which
great powers on both sides of the North
Atlantic had much greater relative weight
than they have today.
Europeans have tried to make up for the
lack of union with strict fiscal policy
rules. When times were good, the imbalance was not evident, but with the crisis
it became very visible. What’s worse, the
mistake of the past is repeating itself now,
with increased penalties on countries that
fail to meet fiscal targets, in much more
difficult economic circumstances.
Some economists have argued that if the
stronger countries in the euro area do not
adopt expansionary fiscal and monetary
policies, attempts to rescue the ailing
economies will fail, producing a general
recession. Do you agree?
I agree in part because the question
transcends Europe. In the euro area,
expansionary policies were already in use
in 2008. In general, after Lehman Brothers
collapsed, developed countries, even with
IMF support and encouragement, were
led to practice countercyclical fiscal and
monetary policies to avoid a great depression. It worked then because there was a
coordinated effort not only from developed countries but in emerging economies
like China and Brazil, which also adopted
expansionary fiscal and monetary policies. However, though a major depression
may have been averted, the crisis has
In an interview with The Brazilian
Economy, former Minister Delfim Netto
asserted that the European Economic
Community was the victim of a “selfdeception” in requiring that no member
countries could have fiscal deficits
exceeding 3% of GDP or domestic debt
greater than 60% of GDP. Were the
targets indeed utopian?
Yes. The rigid definition of the targets
primarily reflects the thinking of northern
Europeans, mainly Germany. These
simple rigid rules do not deal with the
complexity of reality. Over the past 10
years, even before the current crisis, one
of the countries that did not meet these
requirements was Germany, pressed
by extraordinary circumstances. So if
Germany itself violated the targets, the
credibility of the system was already
compromised.
A key aspect of the European The BRIC communique reinforces
Union project, which has now become
the understanding that reforms must
much more evident, was a monetary
union with a common central bank continue, so that the IMF becomes
but without fiscal and policy union. more representative of today’s world
The Germans and other northern
rather than a world long past.
October 2011 Ÿ The Brazilian Economy
21. INTERVIEW 21
I think there is still a
never been fully resolved.
One problem of the euro
Now, with the resurging
governance system is that
strong commitment
crisis since mid-2011,
many decisions require
of the European
developed countries have
the unanimous approval
elites to the design
much le ss f is c a l a nd
of 17 member country
monetary ammunition
parliaments, which makes
of monetary
than they had before …
the process very slow
unification, which is considering the crisis
today’s fiscal deficits and
public debt are much
part of the euro.
and the speed of market
higher in almost all these
reaction. Since the EFSF
economies. Monetary policy has been
decision was announced on July 21, for
used extensively; basic interest rates are
almost three months the situation has been
approaching zero in nominal terms and
changing daily. EFSF resources may no
negative in real terms.
longer be sufficient to address the sovereign
I agree with the thesis in that countries
debt crisis of some countries, and that will
that still have some fiscal room, such as
threaten the single currency itself because
Germany and the United States, should
it overburdens the ECB. The German
adopt expansionary policies, as proposed
Minister of Finance has stated that restrucrecently by President Obama, or at least
turing of Greek private debt may have
soften contractionary policy, phasing it
to be revised because the concessions of
out over time. As for monetary policy,
creditors were very limited, overburdening
the European Central Bank (ECB) still
Greece and requiring more adjustments by
has a little more leeway than other central
European governments, the ECB, and the
banks issuing currency with international
IMF. An important issue, too, is how the
liquidity, such as the Federal Reserve, the
EFSF will be implemented, whether there
Bank of England, and the Bank of Japan,
will be scope to leverage resources and
that were already adopting more expanincrease its firepower, because it would
sionary monetary policies. But countries
be unthinkable to return to parliaments
that are under market pressure, such
to ask for more resources.
as Greece, Ireland, Portugal, Italy, and
What is the role of Germany in the region’s
Spain, have no alternative but to adopt
recovery?
contractionary fiscal policies, despite the
Germany is central due to its economic
risk of recession.
and political weight. Because the country
Will the European Financial Stabilization
has great influence, even hegemony, in
Fund (EFSF) suffice and will it be operathe ECB, it may favor a more flexible
tional in time to address the debt crisis in
monetary policy. Or Germany could take
the euro area?
advantage of its fiscal space and introduce
October 2011 Ÿ The Brazilian Economy
22. 22
INTERVIEW
European citizens of different countries.
some stimulus to the economy. But here
there is a caveat. In developed countries
I was in Germany just before the euro
like the United States and Japan, public
was adopted and the Germans wanted
debt has shot up and there are structural
to retain their own currency. The euro
fiscal problems resulting from aging popuwas an initiative of European elites. For
lations, increasing expenditures on social
Germany, joining the proposal was a
security and health, and large social secustrategic decision in order to break the
rity systems. The economic crisis of 2008
resistance of other countries, especially
thus exacerbated an already problematic
France, to German reunification.
situation. The IMF has therefore recomIs there a real risk of the euro or the Euromended that countries that still have space
pean Union collapsing? What would be
and intend to adopt expansionary fiscal
the consequences for the world?
policies to avoid recession do so, but while
Yes, there is a risk to the euro. There is
signaling measures they intend to take
a risk that countries heavily affected by
immediately to reduce their deficits in the
the crisis — Greece is the most notorious
medium and long term. If Germany and
case — will at some point no longer be
other northern European countries do not
interested in the euro. It would be a very
adopt more flexible or moderately expandifficult decision to return to a national
sionary fiscal policies, they might at least
currency, but if the situation is not resolved
consider slowing the pace of fiscal consoliin a reasonable time, some countries may
dation. But it is likely that, if they do so,
leave the euro or the project itself may
they will do it quietly to avoid questions
be revised. In my opinion, this is not the
about the consistency of their policies.
most likely outcome. I believe there is still
Finally, I think that Germany could
a strong commitment of European elites
provide a new direction for the Euroto monetary unification.
pean Union, which could either go back
Possible developments are difficult
to the adoption of national monetary
to predict. If something is reasonably
policies and support for some vulnerplanned, there will be one result; if there
able countries, or make substantial
is collapse and chaos, it will
progress in fiscal and
be highly destabilizing.
political harmonizaIt is important
The most recent example I
tion to strengthen the
that [Brazil’s] policy can think of is Argentina,
monetary union. The
which during the Menem
current middle way is
of cutting interest
administration had almost
highly vulnerable.
rates is accompanied a monetary union with
It is a very difficult
the United States. Its exit
by great fiscal
situation because there
from dollarization was
is little solidarity among
discipline.
October 2011 Ÿ The Brazilian Economy
23. INTERVIEW 23
extraordinarily difficult but ultimately
was conducted effectively. The euro
case is different, however, because it is
a monetary union on an unprecedented
scale.
You usually place the United States at the
epicenter of the crisis, along with euroarea countries. But companies and U.S.
banks are well-capitalized, and despite
the severe fiscal situation, U.S. Treasury
bonds still appeal to investors. Is the U.S.
in a more comfortable situation than
Europe?
Yes, for several reasons. One is that
America is a unified country, while the
European Union is a collection of sovereign nations. I would say the world stage
today is to some extent worse than in
2008, just because the epicenter of the
crisis is more in Europe than in America.
But the American situation obviously is
not easy, because the economy is still
more or less stagnant, unemployment
is very high, and there is a very sharp
political division in the country. Despite
long and repeated efforts by President
Obama to reach bipartisan agreement,
the Republican opposition is determined
not to accept it. Many in the opposition
reveal an extraordinary hostility to the
president, and next year’s presidential
The IMF has become more
important, having resources for
lending that are remarkably higher
after the crisis.
campaign has already taken to the streets,
affecting economic issues. Similarly,
several other major countries have elections ahead, which further reduces the
scope for governments to make decisions
about the crisis.
We have observed street demonstrations
in Greece in protest against IMF austerity
measures and the Greek government. The
situation resembles what happened in
Brazil and other Latin American countries in the 1980s, when the people saw
IMF as the “enemy” to be fought. Three
decades later, does the IMF still have an
image problem?
I think so. There is resistance to IMF
measures resulting from the practical
consequences of Greece’s situation at
this time, as there was in Brazil and
other Latin American countries then,
which even today remain in the collective memory of some countries. But there
is one important difference. In Greece,
the adjustment involves a troika: the
IMF, the ECB, and European governments. In Latin America, the IMF did
not have partners. Sometimes it had the
U.S. government, which came in with
resources, as in Mexico in 1994. So in
Greece, the resistance is not only against
the IMF but also against the northern
Europeans, who have taken positions
even more rigid than the IMF has.
The image problem is quite serious in
much of Latin America and in East Asia.
There is a stigma attached to resorting
to the IMF. In part, it is inevitable; it
October 2011 Ÿ The Brazilian Economy
24. 24
INTERVIEW
My expectation
was slow to cut. But it
is the same stigma that
is important that this
attaches to a financial
is that President
policy of cutting interest
institution that resorts to
Rousseff will carry
rates is accompanied by
a central bank discount
window. But there has
forward the changes great fiscal discipline.
Strictly speaking, that
been change since 2008.
that had already been
would mean a shift to
Today, the IMF has flexoccurring.
a more favorable mix
ible credit lines, without
of macroeconomic polirequiring conditionality,
cies: moderate interest rates, slightly
that were created in 2009 largely through
more depreciated exchange rates, and
Brazil’s influence. Another significant
stronger fiscal policy. Is the inflation
change, besides the review of quotas,
target threatened? Not necessarily. The
is that the IMF has become much more
framework operates over time and should
important, having financial resources for
be evaluated on the basis of the calendar
lending that are remarkably higher since
year rather than continuously; that gives
the crisis. This does not solve the image
the central bank space to adjust its poliproblem but increases the projection and
cies in light of inflation expectations.
the responsibility of an institution that
In its latest forecast, the IMF estimated
was marginalized in 2007 and has now
Brazil’s inflation at slightly below the
become a kind of right arm of the G-20.
target ceiling in 2011 and at its center
How do you assess the decision of Brazil’s
in 2012 — this is a little more favorable
central bank to change direction and
than the median market expectations as
signal the start of a policy of cutting the
measured by the central bank inflation
benchmark interest rate? Is the inflation
survey. The government and the central
target threatened?
bank should always be concerned with
Even after the latest cut, Brazil’s basic
monitoring inflation, but, if confirmed by
interest rate is one of the highest among
the more difficult international outlook
major countries. Weighing into the central
and assuming a tight fiscal policy, there
bank’s decision was the deterioration of the
is scope for gradually reducing the benchworld economy, although some commenmark interest rate.
tators thought the bank was exaggerating
[the deterioration]; what happened later
What is your assessment of the Rousseff
showed that the decision was correct. I
administration?
think the main concern was not to repeat
From a broad political perspective the
what happened in 2008, when the Federal
Rousseff administration is the continuaReserve raised interest rates just before
tion of the Lula administration, but each
Lehman Brothers collapsed and then
has its own characteristics. The second
October 2011 Ÿ The Brazilian Economy
25. INTERVIEW 25
Lula government itself was different from
the first. My expectation is that President
Rousseff will carry forward the changes
that had already been occurring. Lula had
an initial phase of caution from 2002 to
2006, playing defense to win the championship. To the extent that the defense
worked and the crisis at the outset of his
government was overcome, Lula gained
confidence and started to move to the
attack, especially in the second term,
in terms of both economic and foreign
policy. With the appointment of Rousseff
as chief of staff and Mantega as minister
of finance, the Lula government was
reoriented in the direction of development polices without abandoning fiscal
and monetary stability. This direction
remains in the Rousseff administration,
as does Lula’s legacy of promoting the
affirmation of Brazil in the world with
greater independence and autonomy. To
follow this direction, however, we must
maintain sound economic policies, with
fiscal discipline and inflation control, and
also sustain growth.
Brazil is currently quite orthodox, but
the world is becoming less orthodox, as
often happens in times of great crisis.
During one period of world history, the
dominant view was that markets regulate
themselves and governments should play
a secondary economic role. The crisis is
changing these concepts. The IMF is no
longer the same and the U.S., like the
Europeans and the Japanese, also has a
different attitude. Brazil is not experiencing a crisis as severe as those countries
but does need to grow and continue to
reduce social inequality. I believe the
Rousseff administration will work in this
direction.
The
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October 2011 Ÿ The Brazilian Economy
26. SEMINAR
Creative Economy
Restoration of the Municipal Theater of Rio de Janeiro.
26
Untapped wealth
Experts discuss how to boost
the creative economy.
Claudio Accioli, Solange Monteiro
and Thais Thimoteo, Rio de Janeiro
T
he creative economy now represents
almost 3% of Brazil’s GDP and certain
sectors generate even more intense
demand. Recognized in other countries for its
importance in boosting economies during hard
times, the creative economy is now beginning to
draw attention in Brazil. However, because it is a
relatively new way to classify economic activities
that have some cultural or intellectual property
element, and it covers such varied activities as
game development and regional handicrafts,
the potential of the creative economy in Brazil
has not yet been prioritized by either the
market or the government, so public policies
for its development are lacking. That was one
of the issues discussed at the First International
Conference on the Creative Economy, organized
by the Conjuntura Econômica/The Brazilian
Economy magazines of the Brazilian Institute
of Economics of the Getulio Vargas Foundation
(IBRE-FGV) and the Cultural Initiative Institute
on September 20–21.
“Today many people still see the creative
economy as limited to cultural matters, fashion
or design, or even social inclusion. Actually,
we’re talking about a major activity of segments
capable of generating competitiveness and
adding value even to traditional sectors, which
today would not survive without breadth of
knowledge and technology. In the real world,
things are not separate,” said economist Lidia
Goldenstein, moderator of one of the panels.
To Heliana Marino, manager of the Creative
Economy for the Agency for Supporting Micro
and Small Businesses (Sebrae), this industry
represents a simple and brilliant idea with the
advantage of an inclusive character focused
on local, social, and sustainable development.
“It’s a concept in motion. It requires identifying
Photos of seminar's participants: Américo Vermelho
October 2011 Ÿ The Brazilian Economy
27. SEMINAR 27
Creative Economy
typical activities of a region that can generate
a network of services,” she said, pointing out
the dynamism inherent in activities that require
such ingredients as creativity and innovation.
Among the difficulties the sector faces in
gaining autonomy, Goldenstein highlighted the
lack of comparable data and methodologies
that allow better measurement of performance.
“We have the English standard, which I find
very limited, and also UNCTAD and Federation
of Industries of Rio de Janeiro State (Firjan)
definitions, to name a few. It is necessary to unify
and enhance these concepts,” she affirmed. The
Secretary of Finance of Rio de Janeiro State,
Renato Vilella, agreed: “Although this has been a
constant concern since the beginning of Sérgio
Cabral’s government, defining public policies
requires knowledge of the area.” Goldenstein,
however, mentioned early policy initiatives of
Rio de Janeiro and São Paulo cities to map the
main poles of the creative economy in their
own territories.
RIO-SÃO PAULO: THE CREATIVE AXIS
Luciane Leite, São Paulo Tourism director of
tourism and entertainment, said the volume of
funds handled by tourism and entertainment
in the state capital, counting support activities,
is about R$40 billion a year, equivalent to
10% of city GDP. According to a study by the
Foundation for Administrative Development of
Lidia Goldenstein
Heliana Marinho
the State of São Paulo (Fundap), between 2006
and 2009 formal employment in the creative
economy grew 6.3%, well above the 3.5% in
other sectors, with an average wage of R$3,100,
compared to a national average of R$2,000.
No less than 21% of all formal employment
in the creative economy in Brazil is in São
Paulo, especially in information technology
(36%), editing / printing (19%), advertising /
marketing (17%), and audiovisual (12%). Leite
mentioned three features essential for creative
cities: innovation, not only in sophisticated
technologies but in solving everyday problems;
connections, which means creating systemic
interaction between various areas; and culture,
recognizing architecture,
art, design, fashion, and
gastronomy. “São Paulo
No less than 21% of
has all three, which puts
all formal employment
us in a very privileged
in the creative
position,” she said.
economy in Brazil is in
To attract business
São Paulo, especially
tourism the city offers a
in information
wide range of entertainment. According to the
technology (36%),
Tourism Observatory of
editing / printing
São Paulo, the capital
(19%), advertising /
has 288 theaters, 110
marketing (17%), and
museums, some 12,000
audiovisual (12%).
restaurants, and 42,000
rooms in 410 hotels,
Renato Vilella
Luciane Leite
October 2011 Ÿ The Brazilian Economy
28. SEMINAR
Creative Economy
Programa Porto Maravilha
28
which have an average occupancy rate of 70%.
According to the study, São Paulo attracts 75%
of the trade fairs in Brazil and is the only town
that annually has two international auto events
(Formula 1 and Indy) as well as other regular
attractions, such as São Paulo Fashion Week,
which brings the city R$1.5 billion each time.
Experts at the debate suggested, however, that
this privileged position means the state capital
has paid too little attention to policies to boost
the creative economy. Goldenstein claimed that
“São Paulo suffers from an excess of confidence
and success; it was less affected by the crisis and
has more fat to spend.”
Washington Fajardo
October 2011 Ÿ The Brazilian Economy
Julia Zardo
For Rio, the urgency to respond to economic
decline since the 1980s has been much higher.
“Hitting rock bottom generated pragmatism,
which is behind this political union that
allows changes,” said Washington Fajardo,
Rio de Janeiro city undersecretary for cultural
heritage, urban intervention, architecture
and design. “For São Paulo, what is missing
is to do what Rio has been doing very well:
promote attractions, despite problems faced
daily.” Leite responded “We are not hiding
weaknesses but showing that, even with
the difficulties common to most large cities
in the world, São Paulo has huge creative
Mario Borghini
Marcos André Carvalho
29. SEMINAR 29
Creative Economy
potential and positive aspects that are not
well known.”
In fact, when it comes to the creative
economy, Rio now leads the nation. Julia Zardo,
manager of the Catholic University Genesis
Institute (PUC-RIO) said that, according to the
Firjan study, in Rio 4% of GDP is generated by the
creative economy, compared with 3.4% in São
Paulo and an average of 2.6% for Brazil. Another
survey, presented by Mario Borghini, director of
economic development of the Instituto Pereira
Passos (IPP), showed that in 2009 Rio h ad
approximately 68,000 employees in creativeeconomy core activities and their wages were
14% above the state average. Creative-economy
sectors account for 11% of total employment and
10% of payroll in the state.
Marcos André Carvalho, coordinator of the
creative economy for the Secretary of Culture
of Rio de Janeiro state, talked about the
plan for analysis and diagnosis of the state’s
cultural landscape and its regional potential.
He explained that “The Program of Support for
Cultural Development of Municipalities (Padec)
has four lines of support: training in public
management of culture, heritage recovery and
conservation, strengthening of local cultural
identity, and improving infrastructure for
cultural activities.”
Marcelo Haddad, executive director of the
trade promotion Agência Rio Negócios, pointed
Marcelo Haddad
Leydi Higidio
out some of the advantages of Rio de Janeiro
city: “Rio is at the top in attracting investments,
including six of the ten largest projects underway
in Brazil,” he said, indicating that this is a benefit
of a thriving creative industry. He added that
this virtuous circle can earn an additional push
from events the city will host in the next five
years: Rio+20, the UN conference on sustainable
development in June 2012, the World Cup in
2014, the 450-year anniversary of the city in 2015,
and the Olympics in 2016.
NOT JUST A FACADE
According to economist Leydi Higidio, representing the Proyecto Industrias Culturales de
Cali, Colombia, the bonuses generated by demand for infrastructure
for international events is
undeniable. “One of the
“Rio is at the
remarkable urban transtop in attracting
formations Cali experiinvestments, with
enced was in 1971 when
six of the ten largest
the city hosted the Pan
projects underway
American Games,” she
in Brazil, and this
said. Today, Cali works
movement benefits
to prioritize its cultural
from a thriving
events, creating cultural
spaces such as a theater
creative industry.”
festival and the ballroom
Marcelo Haddad
for salsa, the popular
rhythm in Colombia.
Karen Cesar
Lilian Natal
October 2011 Ÿ The Brazilian Economy
30. SEMINAR
Creative Economy
Viaduto do Chá e Teatro Municipal de São Paulo. Jefferson Pancieri/SPTuris.
30
Fajardo of Rio city hall said that the two great
legacies the Olympics will leave to Rio residents
relate to urban transportation and revival of
the city’s downtown. “The Wonder Harbor
program, for example, also includes cultural
facilities like museums,” he said. Experts at the
seminar pointed out that the advantages of
urban revitalization are not limited to its purely
logistical or cultural value but can also mean the
economic and demographic recovery of some
regions. “We need investments and policies that
have an urban facade,” Fajardo said. He believes
one of the goals of major projects for his city
should be to promote sustainable and quality
development downtown. “The city center has
the lowest population density, and the people
who live there are in historical areas. That is why
heritage is important — to reduce the process
of desertification,” he said.
October 2011 Ÿ The Brazilian Economy
Another challenge, Fajardo said, is to revitalize
the urban architectural heritage by housing
new businesses in old buildings. As an example
he cited the revitalization of Tiradentes Square,
which included removal of railings around
the monument, facilitating the movement of
people, and association of the space with the
Carioca Design Center. “Within a year and a
half, the Carioca Design Center has brought
in Studio-X, a project of Columbia University,
around it new restaurants were opened, design
offices moved in, and a French group acquired a
hotel [the Hotel Paris] that had been of doubtful
character,” he said.
Lilia Natal, communications manager of
São Paulo City Tourism, gave examples of
programs carried out in that city’s creative core,
in Roosevelt Square and Augusta Street, where
artistic and theatrical groups are clustering, and
31. SEMINAR 31
Creative Economy
there are free events in public spaces. “The most
significant is the ‘Virada Cultural,’ a program
to promote culture that last time attracted 4.5
million people,” she said. Natal also stressed
the importance of such laws as the 2007 Clean
City Law, which regulates outdoor advertising
to fight visual pollution.
According to Karen Cesar, director of Red
Bandana Multiexperiências de Marca, urban
diversity is a key to the creative industry. Cesar,
who studied at the Berlin School of Creative
Leadership, discussed the example of the
German capital, Berlin: “The country has always
harbored a boom of ideas and expressions,
with Berlin at its center. Today, this is reflected
in 24,000 companies in [the creative] industry,
generating 170,000 jobs,” she said, noting
that UNESCO has identified Berlin as a City of
Design.
Zardo of the Genesis Institute indicated that
in restructuring, many cities, such as Barcelona
and Dubai, have favored spaces designed to
serve as centers of excellence in areas like
digital media. “Currently, in Brazil, we have 400
incubators with 2,800 hatched businesses,”
she said.
WHO PAYS?
A challenge for the creative sector is access to
credit, especially because some parts of the
sector are highly informal. The study “Territories
of Fashion — The Fashion Industry in Rio de
Janeiro City” conducted for the city by the
Center for Technology and Society at FGV Law
School in partnership with the IPP and SebraeRJ, looked into the universe of fashion and
clothing. It found that in this segment, which
handles about R$900 million a year in Rio, more
than 48% of people are working informally; due
to taxes on labor most companies outsource
part of their production.
Therefore, financial institutions are designing
new forms of support for businesses that
are not based on traditional collateral. Itaú
bank, for example, provides microcredit,
a small loan scheme. “Our calculation is
that in Brazil there are about 12 million
informal small urban entrepreneurs,” said Carlos
Eduardo Ferreira, superintendent of Microinvest
Itaú. “Microfinance is not welfare or social
responsibility. It is sustainability: it combines
the concepts of robust management of projects
with respecting the idiosyncrasies of small
customers, so it has high social impact.”
To reach these small entrepreneurs, Itaú
eliminated the requirement of a physical base
and created banking agents who, using smartphones, go to the customer to determine credit
needs and ability to pay. “A different relationship is created, especially
because this agent also
takes financial educaThe advantages of
tion to the entrepreurban revitalization
neur,” Ferreira said. He
are not limited to
stressed that this initiaits purely logistical
tive increases the chance
or cultural value
that small businesses
but can also mean
will succeed and helps
the economic
build the self-esteem of
and demographic
clients, who see the offer
of help as a recognition
recovery of some
of the importance of
regions.
their work.
The informal sector
is not alone in coping
with limited access to financing. The Firjan
study points out that in Brazil 87% of creative
businesses have fewer than 20 employees;
along with those that carry out related or
supporting activities, this percentage exceeds
90%. That constitutes another large group that
due to size or inability to provide the guarantees
traditionally required by banks has limited
access to credit.
According to Luciane Gorgulho Fernandes,
head of the Culture Department of the National
October 2011 Ÿ The Brazilian Economy
32. SEMINAR
Creative Economy
Lapa Legal/ Divulgação Prefeitura do Rio
32
Bank for Economic and Social Development
(BNDES), the most effective tool BNDES offers is
the BNDES Card, which like a credit card finances
purchases by micro and small enterprises. “We
have issued 350,000 cards and granted R$15.6
billion in loans with an average credit limit of
R$43,000,” she said.
Re garding the core ac tivities of the
cultural economy (as BNDES refers to the
creative economy), the bank has increased
its disbursements considerably since 2006,
when it created its first cultural economy
product, the Procult, for activities that include
restoration of cultural assets, financing the
Eduardo Carlos Ferreira
October 2011 Ÿ The Brazilian Economy
Luciane Fernandes Gorgulho
publishing sector, and entertainment, among
others. BNDES disbursements have risen
from R$42 million in 2005 to R$261 million in
2010. Fernandes explained that “We seek to
prioritize integrated projects that encourage
urban development, generating employment
and income.”
The apple of the BNDES eye at the moment is
the audiovisual sector. “We focus on the supply
chain, introducing market logic and seeking
greater professionalism, better management,
and profitability,” she said, making a comparison
with systems like the Rouanet Law, which does
not require positive financial results. To this
David Parrish
Fabio Fonseca
33. SEMINAR 33
Creative Economy
end, the bank analyzes film
to creative businesses,
BRAZIL's CREATIVE ECONOMY
projects in terms of three
argued in the seminar that
Ranking of states
categories:
the first step to transform a
GDP share
Income per capita
• Those that have business
business within the creative
(Brazilian reais)
(in %)
strength, with guaranteed Rio de Janeiro
economy and stimulate
2,182 Rio de Janeiro
4.0
2,124 São Paulo
3.4
distribution and box office São Paulo
growth and inclusion is to
Brasil
1,666 Brasil
2.6
potential. “We analyze Amazonas
have an action plan and
1,429 Minas Gerais
2.0
1,427 Pernambuco
1.9
the production and the Pernambuco
professional management
Bahia
1,320 Santa Catarina
1.9
business plan,” Fernandes Espírito Santo
in an activity that generates
1,307 Paraná
1.8
Rio Grande do Sul 1,228 Espírito Santo
1.8
said.
jobs and boosts the
Pará
1,203 Rio Grande do Sul 1.8
• Those producing films
economy. “That does not
Paraná
1,154 Bahia
1.8
that have the capacity to Source: Ministry of Labor.
mean selling your soul to
win prizes by participating
the devil, forgetting your
in festivals and marketing
values,” he said.
in foreign markets.
Author of the book T-shirts and Suits • Animation, a priority that includes TV programs A Guide to Business Creativity, Parrish said
aimed at children, such as Fishnaut and My he spoke from his own
Big Big Friend, which are both supported by experience, not only as
in Brazil 87%
BNDES. Fernandes explained that “This kind a consultant advising in
25 countries, including
of project has the potential to boost other
of creative
businesses, such as licensing of products Colombia and Spain, but
businesses have
as an entrepreneur, when
featuring characters from the series.”
fewer than 20
From 1995 to 2010 BNDES supported 340 at age 20 he opened his
employees; along
films, lending R$133 million. In the audiovisual first business with friends:
with those that
sector as a whole, it has disbursed R$165 a bookstore. “For me,
carry out related
million. Support can be returned as notices, business was a dirty word,
or supporting
credit (Procult), and equity in companies. For related to exploitation.
activities, this
this, the bank has eased its risk rules, replacing But ironically, I had to
percentage exceeds
guarantees by receivables, such as box office learn a lot about business
90%.
because I had to sign
revenue.
contracts, manage
people, market my
UNITING THOUGHTS
business,” he said. “And I learned
Financial institutions focus on
that there are tools you can use for
management and governance
your purposes, and it encouraged
for a simple reason. In some
me to learn more. I went for an
segments of the industry, rather
MBA, where I sometimes felt like
than intangible assets the risks
a spy trying to steal the secrets
of which are difficult to analyze,
of big business to adapt to our
what hurts a business more is
culture, our interests.” He came to
the belief that some creative
the conclusion that it is possible
professionals still profess that
to use the clothes — and the
art and profit are incompatible.
correct strategy — appropriate
David Parrish, a British consultant
Alessandra Meleiro
October 2011 Ÿ The Brazilian Economy
34. 34
SEMINAR
Creative Economy
to each occasion, without contaminating the
creative portion of the business.
In his book, Parrish indicates that is a
mistake to think that having creative talent
means automatic success: “Nor is there a
single formula to develop a creative economy.
Liverpool took its strength, the music, as
a star ting point. In other countries, the
characteristics may be different, just as the
business environment changes.” He indicated
that strategies must similarly be tailored
so that a creative business does not lose its
competitive differential; it must be guided
by a management formula designed for it
alone.
In a letter to seminar participants (read by
Alessandra Meleiro, president of the Cultural
Initiative Institute), the head of the UNCTAD
Creative Economy program, Edna dos Santos,
stressed the need to encourage creative
entrepreneurs and raise society’s awareness
of the importance of cultural and creative
industry in defining strategies for developing
countries to diversify their economies. “It’s the
right time to put in place public policies and
mechanisms that help to bind the interface
economy-culture-technology and tourism,”
she said.
Fabio Fonseca of the Institute of Cultural
Initiative pointed out that the seminar had a
symbolic importance in the trajectory of the
creative economy in Brazil in helping to extend
the debate from the public to the private
sector: “We need to mobilize the business
community to tap its potential. Among the
various sectors that were represented in this
two-day debate, our level of mobilization
became clear: Now we need to convert that
energy into action.”
October 2011 Ÿ The Brazilian Economy
CHAIN REACTION: LIVERPOOL, UK
Claudio Accioli
A port city in deep
recession, with
bankrupt companies, empty buildings, unskilled
labor, and a high
u n e m p l oy m e n t
rate — known
Kevin McManus
worldwide as the
birthplace of the Beatles — Liverpool, situated in the
northwest of England, was far from a cozy place in the
1990s, when it was considered an area of economic
depression. Its comeback began in 2000, boosted by a
plan launched by then-Prime Minister Tony Blair with
the aim of encouraging an industry that at the time did
not formally exist: the creative industry.
According to the view now prevailing in the United
Kingdom, the concept of “creative industry” involves
activities that generate wealth out of knowledge and
intellectual property, such as art, architecture, design,
fashion, film, music, and television. “The government
now understands the importance of the creative
economy for revitalization of the city, but had no
policies to foster its growth,” said the founder of the
private Creative Industries Business Support Agency,
Kevin McManus, who attended the International
Seminar on Creative Economy, sponsored by Conjuntura
35. SEMINAR 35
Creative Economy
Econômica/The Brazilian Economy magazine of IBRE-FGV
and the Cultural Initiative Institute. Pioneering work to
support government actions to foster the sector, the agency
was crucial in mobilizing resources and attracting investors
to establish a creative hub in Liverpool.
“It seems that was not long ago, but when we started our
activities in 1997, not everybody in the UK had cell phones. The
Internet was just beginning and many companies did not even
have websites. Imagine talking about the creative economy
in this context,” McManus said. But the discussion grew, and
the city reacted very positively to the initiatives taken to
encourage especially the cultural and information industries.
In response to some £4 billion of investments over in the last
decade, mostly from European Union restructuring funds,
Liverpool’s economic growth is second only to London’s.
Today, in its creative sector this city of half a million people has
about 30,000 direct high-income jobs and 4,500 businesses;
it is the third most visited destination in the UK after London
and Edinburgh; it was one of two European cities that the
EU named a Cultural Capital in 2008; and UNESCO will soon
declare it a City of Music.
Contrary to those who see the public sector as the agent
most able to foster development of creative markets,
McManus did not hesitate to point out his agency’s flexibility
and nongovernmental approach as fundamental elements
for a successful relationship with its target audience —
mostly actors, designers, musicians, publishers, and software
developers. “The local and national governments only had
the tools to support traditional businesses. Also, I think the
bleakness of the public sector does not match with these
people whose lifestyle is more relaxed,” he said, adding that
most people are surprised when they discover that the agency
actually works in partnership with the government.
The recipe for success, McManus said, includes such
ingredients as proximity and support to entrepreneurs;
establishing a bridge between professionals with common
interests; creating networks to connect businesses;
stimulating the exchange of information and resources;
doing research to collect sector data; and continuous ongoing
advocacy of creative industry with the government. “We
have created, for example, a social network that enables the
sharing of portfolios at very low cost, and we’ve partnered
with companies that have purchased property at the docks to
turn it into clusters of related creative enterprises, especially
in the case of games.” he said.
However, despite significant achievements, McManus
complains that even today, the British government is
ineffective in supporting entrepreneurs: “Politicians like
our current prime minister always stress the importance of
the sector, but public policy does not reflect this. It takes
patience and above all perseverance to move forward.”
Photos: Liverpool Creative Growth Initiative
October 2011 Ÿ The Brazilian Economy
36. 36
SEMINAR
Creative Economy
TECHNOLOGY AND COPYRIGHT REGULATION
Solange Monteiro
The creative economy
— books, songs, and video
games, — is s aturate d
with intellectual property,
demanding rules that
gu i d e re p ro du c ti o n o f
such products and their
economic use. However,
the increasingly widespread
use of new media, which
facilitated the production and
dissemination of the most
diverse creations, has created
a new environment: Now,
while traditional industry
complains about economic
losses, there has been a
windfall for consumers, who
now have broad access to
cultural products.
“The world music
industry is the one that
has complained the most,
arguing that its economic
activity in the last 10 years
has fallen by half due to new
ways of sharing [music],” said
Pablo Ortellado, professor
in the Research Group on
Public Policies for Access to
Information (Gpopai) of the
São Paulo State University
(USP). “Yes, there was a
decline in sales, and this will
also happen with books as
October 2011 Ÿ The Brazilian Economy
Pablo Ortellado
Oona Castro
Volker Grassmuk
a result of [their] migration
to electronic platforms. But
the conclusion from this is
doubtful, since on the other
hand new technologies
have substantially increased
consumption of cultural
goods,” he pointed out at
the seminar.
Ortellado considers the
music industry’s view to
be dangerous at a time of
worldwide heated debate
about the revision of
copyright laws. “This leads
to the argument that we
should turn the clock back
and return to the world of
the past, instead of taking
the opportunity to adapt the
legislation to embrace new
uses,” he said.
For the German sociologist Volker Grassmuk, this
risk stems from the fact
that, until recently, the logic behind copyrights was
that musicians’ inspiration
should be related to their
remuneration, and the obligation prescribed by law
gave consumers incentive
to pay for cultural products.
“At the moment, we see
that different forms of mo-
37. SEMINAR 37
Creative Economy
tivation lead to creativity,
said Grassmuk, highlighting
alternative businesses developed for the Internet. For
example, there is collaborative funding on specialized
sites, like the Catarse site in
Brazil and others on which
payment is made after access to the product and the
price is established by the
user, as in the case of Flattr.
“Studies of free-payment
sites suggests that the artists
would collect more than the
amount collected under copyright law,” he said.
“Today, restricting access
to increase product value is no
longer enough,” argued Oona
Castro, executive director,
Overmundo Institute. “What
we need now is … strategies
to promote Brazil and its
cultural products.” Castro
believes it is necessary to
emphasize that, without
the exclusivity of sharing,
there will be no shortage
of cultural products. “It’s
frightening and discouraging
to hear that you cannot
download albums that have
not been pressed for years. If
it is not for sale, out of print,
it remains in the editors’
drawers. Either you require
editors to publish them, or
you have to share them,”
she said.
The question is how these
models are legalized. In
Brazil, there has recently
been introduced the license
to share (creative commons),
a project that already exists
in more than 40 countries
and here is coordinated by
the FGV Law School in Rio
de Janeiro. Castro reminded
the audience that through
this project, Maranhão state
movies like “Oh, What a Life”
(“Ai que vida” ) could be
downloaded, copied, and
distributed for free, becoming
a hit and eventually making
it to the big screen. Yet the
challenges are many.
Clifford Luiz Guimarães de
Abreu, general coordinator
of copyright dissemination
and access to culture of the
Ministry of Culture, pointed
out that the Brazilian law
does not cover the internet,
but said there has already
been an improvement by
including a consumer in
Clifford Luiz de
Abreu Guimarães
the picture while before
only creation, production,
and distribution of cultural
products were considered.
“We are reviewing statutory
limitations and exceptions,
opening, for example, the
possibility for consumers
to privately copy [cultural
products],” he explained.
Guimarães pointed
out that Brazil is under
international pressure to
comply with copyright laws,
since the World Intellectual
Property Organization (WIPO)
“favors the protection and
expansion of the materials
that must be protected,” and
that crackdowns on illegal
copying have intensified
since the TRIPS Agreement in
1996, which tied intellectual
property to international
trade and stipulated that
all signatories comply with
the agreement within 16
years. “Many groups who
did not question intellectual
property [law] before have
… join e d th e deb ate,”
he said. The Agenda for
Development, led by Brazil
and Argentina, has argued
that the development level
of a country and its ability
to make use of intellectual
property should be
considered when enforcing
copyright laws.
October 2011 Ÿ The Brazilian Economy