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The expert witness in court

                          Dr Niamh Nic Daéid
                      Reader in Forensic Science,
                      Centre for Forensic Science,
                        University of Strathclyde




    Some key questions

Expertise .. What is it and how is it defined in a legal context ?

How is expertise used in court ?

How are expert opinions formed/evaluated and what effects this ?

How are expert opinions best communicated ?




                                                                     1
Criminal Procedure Rules
Lord Justice Auld , 2005

“Expert evidence may take the form of opinion on facts
established by the expert or others, admissible by reason of
his/her extensive knowledge and/or experience.”

                               Or
                     This raises some fundamental
                     Issues for scientific experts
“…the expertness of his/her evidence may be essentially
                   and for some evidence types.
factual derived from his/her technical knowledge and ability in
identifying the subject matter or as a result of careful analysis
and/or observation.”        It is particularly problematic for
                              evidence involving an expression of the
An expert must help thelikelihoodby an event or other statistical
                            court of giving objective, unbiased
opinion of matters within their expertise.
                              interpretations which are common in science




Expertise

                      Evidence given IN COURT by
                            4 different experts in
                           facial comparison from
                           different backgrounds




                                   ‘Stockwell’ revisited: the unhappy state of facial mapping
                            A.Campbell-Tiech and A.Byrnes, Archibold News, Issue 6, June 24, 2005
                                                    With thanks to Ian Evett




                                                                                                    2
Superimposition is dangerous and misleading

     Superimposition is a good technique

                                                Morphological examination can only be
                                             undertaken by an expert with medical training
       Morphological examination does not
     require any particular medical knowledge

                                             Morphological examination is the only reliable

  Morphological examination is hopelessly subjective           technique

               It has no scientific basis


                                                        Image enhancement is
       Image enhancement is indispensable             Misleading and dangerous




Expertise … not straight forward

How can this happen ?

Is this ‘junk science’ ? If it is, why is it allowed in court ?

If it isn’t, why are the opinions of the experts so at odds with each
other ?

Who makes the choice about admissibility and expertise ?




                                                                                              3
Assessment of evidential value




                          Hypothesis testing




        Mathematical
                                                   Databases
             systems
                       Probabilistic
Statistics
                        reasoning




                  Assessment of evidential value
                                                   Source Sub source
                                                   Activity
                                                   Offence
                          Hypothesis testing




        Mathematical
                                                   Databases
             systems
                       Probabilistic
Statistics
                        reasoning




                                                                       4
Evaluation of scientific information
  Either: the defendant left the crime stain
                                                                 MATCH
 Or: some unknown person left the crime stain



 What is the probability that the crime profile would match the defendant
                              if he had left it?

 What is the probability that the crime profile would match the defendant
                    if some unknown person had left it?


                                                   Statisticians agree
  P(E|Hp)                                      that this is correctly termed
  P(E|Hd)                                          a match probability




P(E|Hp)
P(E|Hd)

                                               Relevance of evidence
 Transfer of evidence
 onto receptor

                                       LR                 Frequency of evidence
 Persistence of                                           in the population
 evidence on receptor

                                                          Random presence of
                                                          evidence
 Recovery of evidence
                            Frequency of evidence given
                            other scenarios of activity




                                                                                  5
Observations
                                     BALANCE



                      LOGIC                            TRANSPARENCY




                                      ROBUSTNESS                    Issues the Jury
                                                                    must consider


                                                                                          With thanks to Ian Evett




                                                Crime scene stain

   BALANCE           LOGIC
                                                                            MATCH

A man is assaulted in the car park of a pub                                 observation

A suspect is observed at the scene                                                             suspect

His jacket is bloodstained
Evidence of the suspects involvement in the assault is required




                   I have observed the blood staining on
                   the suspects jacket. The evidence is
                   consistent with the blood having come
                   from the suspect


                     The evidence is entirely consistent
                     with the suspects involvement with
                     the assault


                                                                                          With thanks to Ian Evett




                                                                                                                     6
Crime scene stain

  BALANCE          LOGIC
                                                                           MATCH

                                                                          observation


                                                                                             suspect

In evidence, the suspect says that he saw the fight and gave
first aid to the victim and this is why there was blood on his jacket.



                 I have observed the blood staining on
                 the suspects jacket. The evidence is
                 consistent with the blood having come
                 from the suspect


                   The evidence is entirely consistent
                   with the suspects involvement with
                   the assault
                                                                  Errrr…. It’s consistent with
                                                                  that explanation as well !!!
                                                                                        With thanks to Ian Evett




ROBUSTNESS                 The prosecutor’ fallacy

                The probability of finding that profile
                  if the crime stain had come from
                    someone else is 1 in a billion

                         So it follows that there is a 1 in a billion
                           probability that the crime stain had
                               come from someone else...

                            Hence it is almost certain that the
                           crime stain came from the defendant

              The second statement does not follow from the first
                      This mistake was made in the Deen,
                           Doheny and G. Adams trials
                                                                                        With thanks to Ian Evett




                                                                                                                   7
ROBUSTNESS




                    “…the chance of 2 children dying naturally in
                  these circumstances is very long odds indeed:
                                       1 in 73 million”


                               The chance of 2 children being murdered in
        these circumstances is also very small… and not articulated in court


                     The statistic was shown to be unreliable in appeal




With thanks to Ian Evett                            R v. Sally Clarke, Court of appeal , Oct 2000




     TRANSPARENCY


     …professor xxxxx accepted that he could not totally
        exclude the possibility that the hemorrhages were
                           consistent with death by asphyxia



       He stated that “they are consistent with that because
                           I believe they might be there anyway”


                           What does this mean ??!!??
                           Can you understand it ??!!!
               What would this convey to a jury ???


With thanks to Ian Evett                            R v. Sally Clarke, Court of appeal , Oct 2000




                                                                                                    8
TRANSPARENCY

                               Why should the jury believe you ?



                                                  ...because of my vast
                                                  experience in this field

                            ...because I have done a thousand
                                      cases like this one


                                     ...because I have attempted to place before the
                                        court all of the data and literature that may
                                                        assist the jury.
                                       I can show the court where my opinion has
                                         been tested under controlled conditions
With thanks to Ian Evett




                                                  The evolution of scientific
                                                  reasoning in forensic science.
                Observations
                                        BALANCE



                           LOGIC                        TRANSPARENCY




  Logical framework                      ROBUSTNESS            Issues the Jury
  Databases
                                                               must consider
  Literature and pool of knowledge
  Reasoned opinion given opposing propositions




                                                                                        9
Expert opinion


    Observations
                              Juror’s common
                                  sense



             Expert opinion                    Judicial guidance



                               Juror’s appreciation
                               of the expert opinion     Issues the Jury
                                                          must consider




                                               Science v Experience
Critical cases:
                                               Science v Technology
Davies v Edinburgh magistrates
R v Adams
R v Deen
R v Doheny
R v Reed and Reed
R v Weller                                     Controlling the pace
RvT
                                               Controlling bias
Daubert
                                               Communication
Frye
                                               Disclosure




                                                                           10
Key issues

Do Legal practitioners need to know about science or
technology ?

How do we deal with bias and the suggestion of bias ?

How do we understand the subtitles of communication of
science in the courts

Data without rigorous underpinning of published scientific
research .. Developing legal confusion on this point




                    Thank you !

                     Dr Niamh Nic Daéid
                    PhD,BSc,BA,FFSSoc,FICI,FHEA,FRSS,MRSC


                     n.nicdaeid@strath.ac.uk




                                                             11

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Expert Witness Evidence: Key Questions and Challenges

  • 1. The expert witness in court Dr Niamh Nic Daéid Reader in Forensic Science, Centre for Forensic Science, University of Strathclyde Some key questions Expertise .. What is it and how is it defined in a legal context ? How is expertise used in court ? How are expert opinions formed/evaluated and what effects this ? How are expert opinions best communicated ? 1
  • 2. Criminal Procedure Rules Lord Justice Auld , 2005 “Expert evidence may take the form of opinion on facts established by the expert or others, admissible by reason of his/her extensive knowledge and/or experience.” Or This raises some fundamental Issues for scientific experts “…the expertness of his/her evidence may be essentially and for some evidence types. factual derived from his/her technical knowledge and ability in identifying the subject matter or as a result of careful analysis and/or observation.” It is particularly problematic for evidence involving an expression of the An expert must help thelikelihoodby an event or other statistical court of giving objective, unbiased opinion of matters within their expertise. interpretations which are common in science Expertise Evidence given IN COURT by 4 different experts in facial comparison from different backgrounds ‘Stockwell’ revisited: the unhappy state of facial mapping A.Campbell-Tiech and A.Byrnes, Archibold News, Issue 6, June 24, 2005 With thanks to Ian Evett 2
  • 3. Superimposition is dangerous and misleading Superimposition is a good technique Morphological examination can only be undertaken by an expert with medical training Morphological examination does not require any particular medical knowledge Morphological examination is the only reliable Morphological examination is hopelessly subjective technique It has no scientific basis Image enhancement is Image enhancement is indispensable Misleading and dangerous Expertise … not straight forward How can this happen ? Is this ‘junk science’ ? If it is, why is it allowed in court ? If it isn’t, why are the opinions of the experts so at odds with each other ? Who makes the choice about admissibility and expertise ? 3
  • 4. Assessment of evidential value Hypothesis testing Mathematical Databases systems Probabilistic Statistics reasoning Assessment of evidential value Source Sub source Activity Offence Hypothesis testing Mathematical Databases systems Probabilistic Statistics reasoning 4
  • 5. Evaluation of scientific information Either: the defendant left the crime stain MATCH Or: some unknown person left the crime stain What is the probability that the crime profile would match the defendant if he had left it? What is the probability that the crime profile would match the defendant if some unknown person had left it? Statisticians agree P(E|Hp) that this is correctly termed P(E|Hd) a match probability P(E|Hp) P(E|Hd) Relevance of evidence Transfer of evidence onto receptor LR Frequency of evidence Persistence of in the population evidence on receptor Random presence of evidence Recovery of evidence Frequency of evidence given other scenarios of activity 5
  • 6. Observations BALANCE LOGIC TRANSPARENCY ROBUSTNESS Issues the Jury must consider With thanks to Ian Evett Crime scene stain BALANCE LOGIC MATCH A man is assaulted in the car park of a pub observation A suspect is observed at the scene suspect His jacket is bloodstained Evidence of the suspects involvement in the assault is required I have observed the blood staining on the suspects jacket. The evidence is consistent with the blood having come from the suspect The evidence is entirely consistent with the suspects involvement with the assault With thanks to Ian Evett 6
  • 7. Crime scene stain BALANCE LOGIC MATCH observation suspect In evidence, the suspect says that he saw the fight and gave first aid to the victim and this is why there was blood on his jacket. I have observed the blood staining on the suspects jacket. The evidence is consistent with the blood having come from the suspect The evidence is entirely consistent with the suspects involvement with the assault Errrr…. It’s consistent with that explanation as well !!! With thanks to Ian Evett ROBUSTNESS The prosecutor’ fallacy The probability of finding that profile if the crime stain had come from someone else is 1 in a billion So it follows that there is a 1 in a billion probability that the crime stain had come from someone else... Hence it is almost certain that the crime stain came from the defendant The second statement does not follow from the first This mistake was made in the Deen, Doheny and G. Adams trials With thanks to Ian Evett 7
  • 8. ROBUSTNESS “…the chance of 2 children dying naturally in these circumstances is very long odds indeed: 1 in 73 million” The chance of 2 children being murdered in these circumstances is also very small… and not articulated in court The statistic was shown to be unreliable in appeal With thanks to Ian Evett R v. Sally Clarke, Court of appeal , Oct 2000 TRANSPARENCY …professor xxxxx accepted that he could not totally exclude the possibility that the hemorrhages were consistent with death by asphyxia He stated that “they are consistent with that because I believe they might be there anyway” What does this mean ??!!?? Can you understand it ??!!! What would this convey to a jury ??? With thanks to Ian Evett R v. Sally Clarke, Court of appeal , Oct 2000 8
  • 9. TRANSPARENCY Why should the jury believe you ? ...because of my vast experience in this field ...because I have done a thousand cases like this one ...because I have attempted to place before the court all of the data and literature that may assist the jury. I can show the court where my opinion has been tested under controlled conditions With thanks to Ian Evett The evolution of scientific reasoning in forensic science. Observations BALANCE LOGIC TRANSPARENCY Logical framework ROBUSTNESS Issues the Jury Databases must consider Literature and pool of knowledge Reasoned opinion given opposing propositions 9
  • 10. Expert opinion Observations Juror’s common sense Expert opinion Judicial guidance Juror’s appreciation of the expert opinion Issues the Jury must consider Science v Experience Critical cases: Science v Technology Davies v Edinburgh magistrates R v Adams R v Deen R v Doheny R v Reed and Reed R v Weller Controlling the pace RvT Controlling bias Daubert Communication Frye Disclosure 10
  • 11. Key issues Do Legal practitioners need to know about science or technology ? How do we deal with bias and the suggestion of bias ? How do we understand the subtitles of communication of science in the courts Data without rigorous underpinning of published scientific research .. Developing legal confusion on this point Thank you ! Dr Niamh Nic Daéid PhD,BSc,BA,FFSSoc,FICI,FHEA,FRSS,MRSC n.nicdaeid@strath.ac.uk 11