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AACIMP 2011 Summer School. Science of Global Challenges Stream. Lecture by Yoshio Matsuki.
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Energy Security Costs
1.
Energy Security Costs
Y. Matsuki, D.Sc. Professor, IASA/KPI
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
8.
World Oil Price
9.
History of World
Oil Price
10.
11.
12.
Economic Rent with
Vertical Supply Curve
13.
Economic Rent with
an upward sloping supply curve
14.
Price Elasticity of
Supply
15.
Monopoly and Monopsony
16.
Profit Maximization
17.
18.
Monopsony power
19.
20.
21.
Calculation of monopsony
premium
22.
23.
24.
Descriptive statistics of
the variables
25.
Production Price Index,
PPI Consumer Price Index, CPI
26.
Natural Gas Import
Price and GDP
27.
Temporal change of
GDP and Gas Import Price
28.
GDP and
Imported Natural Gas Volume
29.
Temporal change of
Imported Natural Gas Volume
30.
31.
Model of the
relations of GDP, the gas import price and the other variables
32.
Model (2)
33.
Industries in Ukraine
34.
Correlations between the
variables
35.
GDP and Gas
Price
36.
GDP and PPI
for the food industry
37.
PPI for the
food industry and Consumed Gas Volume by smaller industries
38.
Consumed Gas Volume
by smaller industries and Gas Price
39.
Energy Security Cost
in Ukraine?
40.
Regression Analysis
41.
42.
43.
The premium price
of natural gas import (US dollars/1000 m 3 ) at the gas import price of 264 US dollars/1000m 3
44.
45.
Autocorrelation and Partial
Correlation of GDP Included observations: 84 Autocorrelation Partial Correlation AC PAC Q-Stat Prob . |*******| . |*******| 1 0.953 0.953 78.984 0.000 . |*******| . | . | 2 0.905 -0.024 151.18 0.000 . |*******| . | . | 3 0.858 -0.025 216.81 0.000 . |****** | .*| . | 4 0.799 -0.146 274.51 0.000 . |****** | . | . | 5 0.741 -0.033 324.71 0.000 . |***** | . | . | 6 0.682 -0.035 367.84 0.000 . |***** | . |*** | 7 0.656 0.337 408.24 0.000 . |***** | . | . | 8 0.630 -0.017 445.97 0.000 . |***** | . | . | 9 0.604 -0.017 481.09 0.000 . |**** | . | . | 10 0.585 -0.035 514.55 0.000 . |**** | . | . | 11 0.567 -0.019 546.37 0.000 . |**** | . | . | 12 0.549 -0.019 576.56 0.000 . |**** | **| . | 13 0.498 -0.294 601.76 0.000 . |*** | . | . | 14 0.447 -0.035 622.36 0.000 . |*** | . | . | 15 0.396 -0.036 638.77 0.000 . |*** | . |** | 16 0.353 0.221 651.97 0.000 . |** | . | . | 17 0.309 -0.023 662.28 0.000 . |** | . | . | 18 0.266 -0.024 670.02 0.000 . |** | . | . | 19 0.250 0.039 676.94 0.000 . |** | . | . | 20 0.233 -0.022 683.08 0.000
46.
Forecast of the
GDP increase
47.
Forecast of GDP
with Auto-regression (-1, -4, -7)
48.
Forecast of GDP
by Gas Import Price with Auto-regression (-1, -7)
49.
50.
international energy problems
and the world economy
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