7. Disclaimer
Some of this class
Is based on theories
I'm currently researching
And using
8. Key Takeaways from Tutorial
Now:
- Ideas are easy, execution is hard
- Most FLOSS projects fail
- Lack of resources
Financing Freedom:
- Most popular FLOSS foundations aggressively pursue funding
- Success requires a methodical process
- Mastery of Internet marketing
9. Software Development Project Methodologies
Waterfall
Microsoft Solutions Framework
Rational (IBM) Model
Open Source
Expert Programming
Agile/SCRUM Development Method
Lean Startup
10. Eric Ries – The Lean Startup
Financing Freedom - “How to organize and fund free culture projects”
- Slides
- Handout
- eBook
Supporting Materials
- Background
- Data
- Illustrations (Graphs)
- Vision for Maximum Strategy
Community
11. So far...Startup Progress
Funding Free Culture:
- Blog: news.financingfreedom.com
- Homepage: www.financingfreedom.com
- @_ff12
One Blogger post triggers:
- 5 automated social messages on 5 different accounts
- 3 Twitter accounts
- Linked In
- Financing Freedom Page on Facebook
14. Free Culture Assumptions
Free culture projects often fail
- Never shipping
- Unable to attract a community
Division makes free culture weaker
- Contributors must choose
- Only able to sustain two or three projects
15. “Free” Assumptions
Ambiguity between free and open source software
In many cases there is a an unequal value transaction:
- Many use “free” software
- Few look for ways to give back to the community
- Projects need to convert users into contributors
16. State of FLOSS?
Projects in growth, maturity, and decline stages
State is Mixed
- Enterprise recognition
- Limited user recognition/support
- Finances (resources) are limited (often to just one person)
17. Top 10 FLOSS Hall of Fame
1. Linux Kernel
2. GNU Utilities & Compilers
3. Ubuntu
4. BSD
5. Samba
(Top 10 Open Source Hall of Famers. (2009). http://mstrb.us/zjn6zK)
18. Top 10 FLOSS Hall of Fame
6. MySQL
7. BIND
8. SendMail
9. OpenSSH & OpenSSL
10. Apache
19. Measuring FLOSS
Through search, Google Trends
Through search, Google Scholar
Through investigation, Mining SourceForge.net Repository
20. What Can SEO Tells Us?
Many Thanks to Stephen O'Grady and his SEO research, which he shared: “The State of
Open Source: Startup, Growth, Maturity or Decline?”
33. Google Scholar Advanced Search
Google version 0.7, circa 1996?
Parameters
- “Open Source” exact phrase all in title
- “Engineering, Computer Science, and Mathematics” subject area
- Year to Year (eg; 2012 to 2012, 2011 to 2011, etc.)
34. Open Source Academic Papers by Year
900
800
700
600
500
Direct Results
400
300
200
100
0
2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997
36. Two Distinct Stories
Strong growth by open source. 2012 may be the most important year ever
Free software has received limited researched attention:
- Out-published by a margin of 8 to 1 by open source.
37. Academic Paper Questions
Has research on “open source peaked?
Why isn't anyone researching “free software?”
Has “open source” obscured the importance of free software?
39. SourceForge Research Data Archive (SRDA)
Many tables archived from February 2005 to present
Data includes any churn in any count of: active users, projects, messages, etc.
Slides
40. Observations
User base is still growing, but it's slowing down
There is a sharp increase in the number of new projects
And the number of new packages are also up
- But:
- Releases are down
- Number of files are down
42. SourceForge and GitHub Smackdown
Four comparisons
- Number of Users
- Number of Academic Papers
- Number of Repositories
- Bonus
Round One - Number of Users:
- SF (3 Million to 1.6 Million)
Round Two – Academic papers
- SF (195 to 8)
Round Three – Repositories
- No correlation for repositories
45. Project Execution Assumptions
Most projects end in failure
A successful project organization has emerged
FLOSS projects are similar to startups
Execution is achieved through testing assumptions
46. What is Open Source Failure?
A project that is unable to grow a community beyond the founder.
A project that fails to ship anything.
Abandoned projects
47. Open Source Failure
A project that is unable to grow a community beyond the founder.
A project that fails to ship anything.
Abandoned projects...when either of the 1 two conditions reoccurs
st
48. SourceForge Projects
324,000 projects
268,554 projects with only 1 developer (83%)
Only 21 projects with > 100 developers
50. Open Source Success
Constant and synchronous communication
Consistency in methodological development approach
Geographical dispersion management through an extensive testing culture
FLOSSD experience in accepting and handling the environmental limitations
51. An Infinite Marketplace
Thousands of new OSS projects every month
Thousands of new apps on Android and Apple
A hundred thousand new e-Books
Millions of social media updates
- Photos
- Videos
- Blog entries
53. Thought Experiment
Put the following non-profits in order of their revenues:
- Apache Foundation
- Free Software Foundation
- GNOME Foundation
- Mozilla Foundation
- Perl Foundation
- Wikimedia Foundation
55. Free LOSS
Section Two – How to Organize
and Fund Free Culture Projects
56. Project Funding Assumptions
Our software (product) is sufficient to obtain resources
- Build it and they will come
- Free beer will fuel our project
Not much is known about how to raise funds effectively
- Only one level “information”
Funding is an independent function, different from __________________
57. Resources = Time = Opportunity
Most projects fail
They fail due to a lack of resources
What resources?
- Community
- Contributions
- Participation
- Money
- Attention
58. Paying for FLOSS
Software is “free.”
Recognition that projects are highly sensitive to resource constraints
Usual methods available:
- Project donation page
- Merchandise
Missing most lucrative donors:
- Corporations
- Governments
- Customers
61. Foundation Metrics
If they are a 501(c)(3), they must file publicly their financial statements
IRS Form 990 or 990EZ
62. Case Study: Perl Foundation
Perl Foundation Revenues
$350,000.00
$300,000.00
$250,000.00
$200,000.00
$150,000.00
$100,000.00
$50,000.00
$-
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
63. Case Study: GNOME Foundation
GNOME Foundation Revenues
$500,000
$450,000
$400,000
$350,000
$300,000
$250,000
$200,000
$150,000
$100,000
$50,000
$-
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
64. Case Study: Apache Foundation
Apache Foundation Revenues
$600,000
$500,000
$400,000
$300,000
$200,000
$100,000
$-
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
65. Case Study: Free Software Foundation
Free Software Foundation Revenues
$1,400,000
$1,200,000
$1,000,000
$800,000
$600,000
$400,000
$200,000
$-
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
66. Case Study: Mozilla Foundation
Mozilla Foundation Revenues
$35,000,000
$30,000,000
$25,000,000
$20,000,000
$15,000,000
$10,000,000
$5,000,000
$-
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
67. Case Study: Wikimedia Foundation
Wikimedia Foundation Revenues
$30,000,000
$25,000,000
$20,000,000
$15,000,000
$10,000,000
$5,000,000
$-
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
68. Mozilla Foundation Drill Down
July 15, 2003 - The Mozilla Foundation is born with a $2 million start-up support from
America Online's Netscape division
FY 2005 - The Mozilla Foundation added $28 million in revenues in royalties
August 3, 2005 - The Mozilla Corporation was established to handle the revenue-related
operations of the Mozilla Foundation.
- The Mozilla Corporation (abbreviated MoCo) is a wholly owned subsidiary of the Mozilla
Foundation
72. Free Software Foundation Drill Down
Primary channels are:
- Website
- Email
- Conference participation
Little or no social media
73. Assumption Take Aways...
Mixed State of Open Source
- Acceptance of open source decline is misguided
Best projects use project methodology
- Growing a community
- Shipping in iterations
Financial support (donations, purchases, memberships) is lacking
Large difference between public relationship strategies
- Most successful projects use modern strategies
Niche groups who are content with scratching their own itch
- Dogmatic approach to community
75. Top Ten Startup Fund-raising Lies
1. All we have to do is get 1% of the market
2. We filed patents so our intellectual property is protected
3. Our management team is proven
4. The large companies in our market are too big, dumb, and slow to compete with us
5. Our product will go viral
76. Top Ten Startup Fund-raising Lies (Continued)
6. Hurry up because our other investors are about to do our deal
7. No one else can do what we're doing
8. Several Fortune 500 companies are set to do business with us
9. Jupiter says our market will be worth $50 billion in ten years
10. Our projections are conservative (Kawasaki, 2012)
77. Fund-raising Best Practices
Build a Foundation
501(c)(3)
Establish a Fund-raising Program
Obtain Grants
Corporate Donors
Community
78. Best Practices for Startups
Build something interesting
Innovation Accounting
- Testing
- Methodology
Team
- Talent
Leadership
Use Web2.0 and Cloud Computing
79. Build a Foundation
Incorporation
- Think about SEO first
Mission/Vision
- Ensure your mission matches up with the charitable activities you plan for your 501(c)(3)
Board of Directors
Transparency
- Expect to make all of your founding documents public
- Required by IRS for all 501(c)(3)
80. Setting up a 501(c)(3)
Supporting documentation:
- Formal articles of incorporation
- Create corporate bylaws
- Appointment and record of every board meeting and action.
Financial data
- Financial statements
- A current balance sheet
Open to foreign corporations
- Donations are not exempt
81. IRS Application
Form SS-4 – Employer Identification Number
IRS Form 1023 – Application for Recognition of Exemption
IRS Form 2848– Power of Attorney
Organizations must usually file a form 990 (or 990-EZ) every year
82. How to Start a Fund-raising Program
Create a fund-raising committee
- 5-7 members
Put your fund raising goals in writing
Develop a plan of action
Revise your plans
- Build-Measure-Learn
- Contingency
Share your plans
83. Finding Government Grants
Grants.gov
Department of Health and Human Services
- http://www.hhs.gov/grants/
National Institute of General Medical Sciences
- http://www.nigms.nih.gov/Research/
National Institute of Health
- http://grants.nih.gov/grants/guide/
- http://grants1.nih.gov/grants/funding/sbir.htm (*)
84. Finding Government Grants (continued)
National Science Foundation
- http://nsf.gov/funding/
National Endowment of the Arts
- http://www.nea.gov/grants/index.html
Department of Defense
- http://www.dodsbir.net/ (*)
85. How Can Grants Fund A Project?
Must be able to align project's needs with needs of the CFP
Whether it is research or development, the needs can be the same
Examples:
- DARPANet
- The US DoD has spent > $100 million on social network sentiment analysis
- The NSF just initiated a multimillion dollar CFP for Big Data projects
86. Finding Private Foundation Grants
Other 501(c)(3) Organizations
- Private Foundations
The Number One Complaint of Foundations:
- People do NOT do thorough RESEARCH!
- If you do NOT qualify – do NOT apply!
- When in doubt, reach out...
Best Practices; Be clear about:
- Purpose of your program or project.
- Type of support that is needed to carry out the project.
- Total amount of money that will be needed to complete the project.
87. Top Private Foundations by Giving (June 2012)
1. Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation - $2,486,342,209
2. Walton Family Foundation, Inc. - $1,479,636,053
3. Genentech Access To Care Foundation - $587,337,392
4. Pfizer Patient Assistance Foundation, Inc. - $569,495,443
5. GlaxoSmithKline Patient Access Programs Foundation - $555,867,032
88. Top Private Foundations by Giving (June 2012) - Continued
6. Abbott Patient Assistance Foundation - $482,610,604
7. Ford Foundation - $424,695,000
8. Johnson & Johnson Patient Assistance Foundation, Inc. - $416,443,559
9. Sanofi-aventis Patient Assistance Foundation - $392,778,999
10. The Bristol-Myers Squibb Patient Assistance Foundation, Inc. - $392,567,134
$7,787,773,425
89. Total Giving By Top 100 US Private Foundations (June 2012)
$18,498,784,792
$46,900,000,000
90. Why Corporations Give?
Creating programs to use company employees as volunteers
Forming partnerships
Promoting the corporation
Gaining cost effectiveness
Creating a win-win situation
91. Best Practices for Corporate Donations
Create list of corporations
Identify A-list prospects
Personal contacts make a difference
Stay in touch
- Add to social network
- Engage with your network directly (Thank you, RT, posts)
Don't take “No” for an answer
92. Corporate Solicitation Kit
Current list of board of directors
Mission statement
Budget information
Purpose of funding request
93. Most Common Forms of Corporate Support
Cash
Matching donations of employees
Employee time
In-kind
96. The Crowd Funding Battle Royale
There will be an estimated 530 platforms by the end of 2012
$280,600,000 raised by CFPs in 2012
Majority are ONLY for 501(c)(3)
98. Drill Down on Kickstarter Success
Success Rate By Category
80.00%
70.00% 69.00%
63.81%
60.00%
54.18%
50.00%
48.22%
45.49%
Over all Aver age is 44%
40.83%
39.62%
40.00%
38.30%
35.47%
33.83%
31.86%
30.00% 28.80%
27.29%
20.00%
10.00%
0.00%
Fashion Technology Publishing Games Design Photography Film & Video Food Comics Art Music Theater Dance
99. Kickstarter Failure Analysis
Funding for Failed Kickstarter Projects, by Percent
0.52% 1.19% 3.89%
22.51% 11.19%
0% Funded
1% to 20% Funded
21% to 40% Funded
41% to 60% Funded
61% to 80% Funded
81% to 99% Funded
60.70%
100. Kickstarter Best Practices
You're already a 501(c)(3) non-profit
You have an existing brand, fan base, or personality
Extensive pre-launch preparation
Social networking:
- Your social engagement platform is working optimally
- You consistently share valuable status and progress and communicate effectively
- You maintain constant contact with anyone granting you permission
Kickstarter platform:
- Your project explanation is clear and concise
- Imbalance between offer and value
- Getting too greedy
102. The Crowd as Customer
Merchandise
- Make it cool
- Make it limited
- Use it to drive engagement
- Badges (The gamification of community)
Services
- The most successful open source businesses model
103. The Crowd as Donor?
In 2009, the Giving USA Foundation reported individual donations were $217.79 B
Of a grand amounts donated, the top 5 types recipients were:
- Religion (32%)
- Education (14%)
- Human Services (12%)
- Gifts to Foundations (9%)
- Public-Society Benefit (7%)
Direct marketing to the crowd is the most challenging
104. Why Do People Give?
1. Belief in the cause
2. Recognition and honor
3. For a tax deduction
4. Family tradition
5. Religious beliefs
6. Joy
7. Guilt
8. Fear
9. To make a difference
105. Why we give, or don't
Different kinds of giving, and therefore different explanations
- People who are religious give more
- People who plan donations, give more
- People who have more, don't necessarily give more
- Senior citizens who volunteer live longer
106. How giving makes us feel
Experience internal satisfaction, the “warm glow”
Helper's high, which increases our feelings of self-worth
Some research links oxytocin to generosity:
- Amygdala has oxytocin receptors
that control feelings of safety
107. Crowd Sourcing = Building Community
Who ever has the biggest social network wins
Build-Measure-Learn
Using Social Media
121. How big is ∞?
Facebook – 700,000,000
Twitter – 140,000,000
LinkedIn – 125,000,000
MySpace –19,7000,000
Flickr – 32,000,000
YouTube – 3,000,000,000
122. ∞ Needs Max-Strategy
∞ means you can’t predict:
- Who will become a customer
- Where you will find them
- What products they will buy
Need to:
- Simplify around keywords
- Find better tools
- Data & AI
124. Social Media Is About
Your customers:
- How do you give THEM more value than you get?
- How do you gain your customer’s trust?
With trust comes permission
125. Using Social Media
Doing nothing is not an option
Have to answer the critical question: “Now what?”
- Engage/Converse/Ask/Answer
Can’t implement and forget
Deliver value
126. Final Suggestions
Those who use social media will learn what works
Break it down:
- 3-5 simple tasks
- Do them daily
And…
128. The Biggest Social Graph Wins
All major networks:
- FB, LI, Twitter, & YouTube...
All the large networks:
- Flickr, Tumblr, Hi5, & MySpace...
All the small networks:
- About.Me, Paper.li, PhotoBucket, Pinterest, Wikia...
All future social network systems...
129. Cutting Costs
Significantly reduces cost of advertising
- Nothing is unacceptable
- Cost approaches $0
- Less direct or email costs
- Generate leads (24/7/365)
E-Commerce
- Potential to sell (24/7/365)
- Cost approaches $0
130. Cutting Costs
If you can spend less time marketing,
recruiting, and networking…
Spend more time producing
131. The Era of Big Data
Many accepted business metrics are obsolete
Engagement is the only metric that counts now
Only a max-strategy has a chance
Mining the Internet for permission
Using Artificial Intelligence to predict engagement and permission
132. The Singularity is Coming
Sentiment analysis is coming:
- HLD: Predicting terrorist activity
- CDC: Tracking epidemics
- Big Data
- Data Mining
- Machine Intelligence
A Minority Report Future
- Followed and interrupted
- Face recognition will track us
- We already carry a tracking device