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LSU Post-Katrina Research
on Disaster Recovery & Community Resilience
   (Supported by the National Science Foundation)

                   Rick Weil
           Department of Sociology, LSU



                  fweil@lsu.edu
                  www.fweil.com
LSU Post-Katrina Research
  on Disaster Recovery & Community Resilience

                     Data Basis:

        7,000 interviews in main Household Survey
          over 10,000 total interviews, all surveys
ca. 100 interviews with Neighborhood Association Leaders
       Ethnographic research with over 200 groups
 over 100 Filmed interviews, with ca. forty more planned
LSU Post-Katrina Research
on Disaster Recovery & Community Resilience


   Maps of Flooding & Damage
                  Rick Weil
          Department of Sociology, LSU


                fweil@lsu.edu
                www.fweil.com
Mapped from U.S. Geological Survey Data
Mapped from City of New Orleans Data
Source: LSU Disaster Recovery Survey
LSU Post-Katrina Research
on Disaster Recovery & Community Resilience
   (Supported by the National Science Foundation)

    Data Collection Challenges
                   Rick Weil
           Department of Sociology, LSU


                  fweil@lsu.edu
                  www.fweil.com
We have Partnered with lots of Organizations
     in Conducting Surveys (some listed)
     7th Ward Neighborhood Center            DeSaix Area Neighborhood Association              LouisianaRebuilds.info                        RALLY Foundation
                                                                                         Lower 9th Ward NBH Empowerment
          Acorn, Baton Rouge                     Desire Area Residents Council                     Network Assn                                    Rand
          Acorn, New Orleans                     Episcopal Diocese of Louisiana            Lutheran Disaster Response                     Red Cross, New Orleans
                                                                                     Mary Queen of Vietnam Catholic Church &
          American Red Cross               Faith Temple Church of God The Holy Ghost                  CDC                              Red Cross, St. Bernard Parish
        Backbeat Foundation, Inc                      Family Road of GBR                       Mater Dolorosa Church                    Renaissance Village Council
              Bard College                                   FEMA                       McKendall Estates Homeowners Assoc.                    Roots of Music
   Bayou Interfaith Shared Community                                                     Miracle Faith Healing and Deliverance
               Organizing                        First Baptist Church of Houma                          Temple                             Save the Children USA
    Beacon of Hope Resource Center                Freret Neighborhood Center               Mount Nebo Bible Baptist Church           Second Gretaer Mount Sinai MBC
  Broadmoor Development Corporation          Gentilly Civic Improvement Association      Mt. Ararat Missionary Baptist Church            Shir Chadash Synagogue
  Broadmoor Improvement Association        Gert Town Enterprise Econ Redevelopment       Neighborhoods Partnership Network         Spring Lake Neighborhood Association
Campus-Community Partnerships, Tulane              Gert Town Revival Intiative              Neighbors United Association                St. Dominic Catholic Church
  Capital Area Human Services District      GNOCDC - GNO Community Data Center            New Orleans Bible Fellowship B.C.       St. Gabriel the Archangel in New Orleans
                                                                                        N.O. Social Aid and Pleasure Club Task
  Catholic Archdiocese of New Orleans       GNO Fair Housing Action Center Housing                       Force                    St. Louis King of France Catholic Church
            Catholic Charities                      Hands On Baton Rouge                    New Orleans Times-Picayune                St. Maria Goretti Catholic Church
      Catholic Communtiy Services                   Hands On New Orleans                      New Orleans United Way                       St. Paul AME Church
      Central Carrollton Association              Harmony Outreach Services                     NOLA YURP Initiative                  St. Peter Claver Catholic Church
         Central City Partnership                    Hollygrove Neighbors               NOLACPP, Citizen Participation Project          Sugar Hill FEMA Trailer Park
    Central City Renaissance Alliance         Holy Cross Neighborhood Association                 Nonprofit Central                      Sweet Home New Orleans
Chabad Lubavitch of Louisiana - Metairie        Institute of Southern Jewish Life          Northshore Jewish Congregation                      Temple Sinai
 Chabad Lubavitch of Louisiana - Uptown                 Jeremiah Group                  Operation Brother's Keeper [Red Cross]               Touro Synagogue
     Christian Unity Baptist Church                       Jericho Road                           Operation Nehemiah              Terrebonne Readiness Assistance Coalition
     Churches Supporting Churches                    Jewish Family Service                Our Lady of Prompt Succor Church              Trinity Christian Community
               City-Works                  Jewish Federation of Greater New Orleans                Oxfam America                        United Jewish Communities
 Claiborne-University Neighborhood Assn             Jewish Women's Archive                  Plymouth Rock Baptist Church              United Methodist Hope Ministries
                                                                                            PNOLA: The Phoenix of N.O.            United Way for the Greater New Orleans
    Community Center of St. Bernard                    Katrina Aid Today                          (Tulane/Gravier)                                 Area
             Concordia LLC                             Kids with Cameras                             Policy Link                      Urban Conservancy + Stay Local!
      Congregation Anshe Sphard             Lakeview Civic Improvement Association        Pontilly Neighborhood Association                  Ursuline Academy
        Congregation Beth Israel             Louisiana Association of Nonprofit Orgs              PRC Compassion                                  WWOZ
      Congregation Gates of Prayer         Louisiana Delta Service Corps [Americorps]      Providence Community Housing           Hurricane Response, Renaissance Village
                                                                                                                                 Young Men Olympians Social Aid & Pleasure
  Corinthian Missionary Baptist Church          Louisiana Family Recovery Corps                        Puentes                                     Club
Images of Data Collection:
Pontchartrain Park & Gentilly Woods (Pontilly),
                January 2008




 We worked with the Pontilly Neighborhood Association, who brought in 40 law
student volunteers from around the country. We went door-to-door with them,
         doing the survey, and shared the results with the community.
Images of Data Collection:
          Interviewing Door-to-Door
in Tremé and the Seventh Ward, Summer 2009
Images of Data Collection:
Young Men Olympians Social Aid & Pleasure Club
         (Central City), January 2009




   We worked with the Young Men Olympians, the oldest Social Aid & Pleasure
 Club, celebrating its 125th anniversary, and student volunteers from New Orleans
       colleges. We shared a meal & danced to the Free Agents Brass Band.
Images of Data Collection:
Interviewing with the Vietnamese-language
  Questionnaire at a Respondent’s Home
      in Village De l’Est, Summer 2009
Images of Data Collection:
Renaissance Village, FEMA Trailer Park, July 2007




   We worked with the resident leaders of Renaissance Village, served a
     Jambalaya dinner, brought in a New Orleans brass band … and
      conducted the survey with the help of 30 resident volunteers.
LSU Post-Katrina Research
on Disaster Recovery & Community Resilience
   (Supported by the National Science Foundation)

   Hypotheses About Recovery:
Individual and Collective Resources
                   Rick Weil
           Department of Sociology, LSU


                 fweil@lsu.edu
                 www.fweil.com
Hypotheses: Individual & Collective Resources
               and Recovery

                               Individual-Level Resources
                                    Yes                            No
                                                         High to Medium level of
                          High level of Recovery.
                                                                Recovery.

                   Yes
                                                        e.g. Vietnamese community;
                           e.g. Jewish community
                                                               SAPC members

  Collective
  Resources               High to Medium level of
                                                         Low level of Recovery.
                                 Recovery.
(Social Capital)

                   No    (Rare: High Individual-Level
                          Resources usually permit
                           formation of Collective       e.g. Renaissance Village
                           Resources, as needed)
Compensating Collective (“Institutional”) Resources:
        The Verba-Nie-Kim Hypotheses.




                                                                 100
                                                                                   People With Collective Resources


                                                                          Collective
                                                                     Resources help
                                                                             People
                                                                    Compensate for
                                                                         the Lack of
                                                                    Individual-Level                   People with
                                                                          Resources                    Individual-Level
                                                                                                       Resources (only)


                                                                   0



       Source: Sidney Verba, Norman H. Nie, Jae-on Kim, Participation and Political Equality:
       A Seven-Nation Comparison. Cambridge: Cambridge UP, 1978, page 85. (Plus own diagram.)
Hypotheses: Storm Damage, Resources, and Recovery:
 Individual & Collective Paths to Hurricane Recovery
LSU Post-Katrina Research
on Disaster Recovery & Community Resilience
   (Supported by the National Science Foundation)

  Individual-Level Data Analyses
                   Rick Weil
           Department of Sociology, LSU


                  fweil@lsu.edu
                  www.fweil.com
Individual Level Regressions:
 Social Capital, Higher Social Status, Low Damage, & Resources Promote
                 Recovery and reduce Negative Outcomes.
                                Stay or
                                Return Personal             Depressed,        Social     Social    State of   Spiritual Punitive
                                to N.O. Recovery   Stress    Anxious Hopeful Solidarity Conflict   Health     Theology Theology

Demographic
  Age                            .08**     -.01       .01       .03*     -.02     .05**   -.08**    -.13**       -.01    -.05**
  Female                         .04**     -.01     .14**      .11**    .03+        .02    -.03*      -.01      .07**     -.02
  Education                        .01      .00      -.02      .09**      .03      -.01   -.05**     .16**     -.09**    -.13**
  Estimated Income                -.01    .11**    -.08**     -.04+     -.04*    -.06**     -.03     .14**     -.03+       .01
  Unemployed                    -.07**   -.11**     .08**      .06**    -.04*     -.03*     .03*     -.05*        .00      .03
  Married w Children               .00      .01       .01        .01      .00      .04*     -.02       .01        .01     -.01
  Black                          .09**   -.07**    -.14**     -.19**    .03+      .04**   -.05**    -.07**      .21**     -.03
  Time since Katrina             .07**    .07**      -.02       -.03     -.02     .03+     .07**      -.01        .01    -.03+

Damage & Resources
  Damage to Residence           -.13**   -.33**     .12**      .11**     .00     -.01       .00     -.04+        .01     .05**
  Damage to Business            -.08**   -.07**      .02       .03+      .00      .00      -.02     -.05*       -.01     .06**
  Have Resources for Repair      .08**    .23**    -.13**     -.09**    .08**    .04*     -.03*     .12**       -.01     -.04**

Social Capital
   Associational Involvement     .05+      .02     -.08**     -.04+      .02     .07**      .03      .03        .10**      .00
   Civic Leadership                .02    -.01      .10**      .08**     .04     .06**     .11**     .00         -.02    .09**
   Informal Socializing           -.03   .03+        -.02       -.02     .01     .09**      .01     .17**       .03+      -.04*
   Social Trust                  .11**   .04**     -.14**     -.13**    .14**    .19**    -.08**     .03        .03+     -.12**

Faith-Based Social Capital
    Church service attendance   -.05**   -.03+     -.06**     -.11**     -.04*    .00      -.02      -.01       .24**    -.10**
    Spiritual Theology           .07**    -.01      .09**      .08**     .20**   .37**    .08**       .02         -         -
    Punitive Theology           -.05**   -.04**     .24**      .15**    -.07**   -.03+    .27**     -.06**        -         -



   Adj R-Sq                      .08      .30       .20        .13       .08      .24      .14       .20        .16       .06
Individual Level: Social Capital Reduces Stress:
                     Church Attendance is most effective

                        Angry                                      Trouble concentrating
80%                                                   50%



                                                      40%

60%
                                                      30%



                                                      20%
40%

                                                      10%



20%                                                   0%
      No flood damage   Up to 8 feet    Over 8 feet         No flood damage   Up to 8 feet    Over 8 feet
             Attend Church Every Week     Less                     Attend Church Every Week     Less
LSU Post-Katrina Research
    on Disaster Recovery & Community Resilience
In Partnership with New Orleans Community Leaders
      (Supported by the National Science Foundation)
          Total Number of interviews = ca. 7,000

    Comparison of Selected Groups
                      Rick Weil
              Department of Sociology, LSU

                    fweil@lsu.edu
                    www.fweil.com
Civic Engagement in
                  Selected Social Groups
                   Civic Engagement in Selected Social Groups
                   (Showing percentage points above or below New Orleans average)
20%


15%


10%


 5%


 0%


-5%


-10%
        FEMA      Vietnamese   Black   Church     White   High Income     High      Jewish    SAPC
       Trailers                        Member                           Education            Member
LSU Post-Katrina Research
on Disaster Recovery & Community Resilience
   (Supported by the National Science Foundation)

      Aggregate Data Analyses
                   Rick Weil
           Department of Sociology, LSU


                  fweil@lsu.edu
                  www.fweil.com
With a large enough N (7,000), we can aggregate (average) data
   to geographical districts and conduct aggregate analyses.
          We use Census Tracts, the finest (smallest) district size we can,
                  consistent with reliable averages per district.
Repopulation Data (from Postal deliveries)
             Can be analyzed with our aggregated survey data.




 Sources: HUD; USPS; Valassis &
Greater New Orleans Community
          Data Center
Blight Data can be analyzed in the same way.




Sources: HUD; USPS;
City of New Orleans
Aggregate Level:
                   Social Capital and Higher Social Status promote
                    Repopulation and reduce Negative Outcomes.

                      Correlations                                                          Correlations
                          Repopulation                                                  Damage            Blight    Crime

Associational Involvement                                           Associational Involvement
         Civic Engagement                                                    Civic Engagement
           Perform Service                                                     Perform Service
 Attended public meeting                                             Attended public meeting
                Social Trust                                                        Social Trust


                 Education                                                           Education
                   Income                                                              Income


       Disadvantage Index                                                  Disadvantage Index
            Percent Black                                                       Percent Black
                               -.30 -.20 -.10 .00 .10 .20 .30 .40                                  -.50      -.25    .00    .25   .50
For instance, Church Membership
Is associated with Reduced Violent Crime




Survey Data (N = 2,648) & Police Reports, Aggregated to Neighborhood Level (N = 62)
Aggregate Level:
          Church Membership’s Effect on Reducing Violent Crime:
                       1. Bivariate Correlations

                               Survey Data (N = 6,945) & Aggregate Data at Tract Level (N = 182)
                                                    Bivariate Correlations

                                                       All                          White                          Black
Natural Log (Ln) Rates                      Combined Murder Assault        Combined Murder Assault        Combined Murder Assault
Associational Involvement                    -.414** -.327** -.383**        -.388** -.412** -.336**        -.248**  -.050 -.276**
Civic Engagement                             -.444** -.355** -.396**        -.357** -.336** -.301*         -.280**  -.094 -.290**

Church member                                -.283**   -.219**   -.359**    -.425**   -.361**   -.439**    -.297**   -.231*    -.396**
Church service attendance                      .086      .143     -.059      -.204     -.232     -.184      -.118     .020     -.332**

Social Trust                                 -.596**   -.508**   -.525**    -.512**   -.429**   -.485**    -.386**   -.237*    -.344**
Inter-Racial Trust                           -.258**   -.199**   -.299**     -.274*    -.194     -.289*     -.019     .027      -.157

ACS 2005-09 Median household income          -.646**   -.565**   -.622**    -.497**   -.448**   -.539**    -.547**   -.324**   -.482**
Disadvantage Index (from ACS 2005-09)        .522**    .489**     .335**     .370**   .486**     .307*      .308**     .159      .032

ACS 2005-09 Pct Non-Hispanic Black            .549**   .559**    .405**     .396**    .514**    .320**      .124      .146     -.057

ACS 2005-09 Pct Age 15-34                      .016     .112      -.007      -.077     .052      -.044      .002      .085     -.062
ACS 2005-09 Pct Vacant Housing Units          .486**   .342**    .391**     .434**    .253*     .461**     .401**    .220*     .180
Aggregate Level:
Church Membership’s Effect on Reducing Violent Crime:
        2. Standard Multivariate Regressions
                      Survey Data (N = 6,945) & Aggregate Data at Tract Level (N = 198)
                                           Multiple Regressions


                                                                   Combined Crime Rate (Natural Log)
                                                                                                       Wh       Bl     InterAct
     ACS 2005-09   Median household income          -.012 -.011
     ACS 2005-09   Pct Population 25+ HS or Less     .053 .053 .055
     ACS 2005-09   Unemployed over Age 16          -.121+ -.121+ -.128+ -.113+ -.099
     ACS 2005-09   Pct Below Poverty level           .101 .100 .105 .105 .124+ .134*                   .189   .166+      .134*

     ACS 2005-09 Pct Age 15-34                     -.097+ -.097+ -.095+ -.111* -.125* -.108*         -.234* -.082       -.110*
     ACS 2005-09 Pct Married-couple family          -.088 -.088 -.092 -.100

     ACS 2005-09 Pct Vacant Housing Units          .153+ .151* .150* .143* .105+ .156**                .103   .225**    .156**
     Mean Blight 2006-2010 (USPS-HUD)               -.003
     ACS 2005-09 Pct Owner Occupied                -.209+ -.210+ -.216* -.236* -.324** -.252**       -.302+ -.273**     -.254**

     ACS 2005-09 Pct Non-Hispanic Black            .163+ .162+      .163* .209** .208** .162*          .113   .097       .162*

     Associational Involvement                      .011    .012
     Civic Engagement                              -.057   -.058     -.049
     Family is Rooted in New Orleans               -.009   -.010

     Church member                                 -.147* -.147* -.150* -.149** -.155** -.171**        -.022 -.264**    -.173**
     Church service attendance                      .030 .029 .029

     Social Trust                                  -.346** -.347** -.349** -.354** -.316** -.315**   -.355** -.279**    -.318**
     Inter-Racial Trust                              .083 .083 .087 .075

     Church member x Race Interaction                                                                                    -.017

     Adjusted R-Sq                                  .613    .616     .624    .627   .625    .610       .521   .436       .608
Aggregate Level:
Church Membership’s Effect on Reducing Violent Crime:
              3. Spatial Regressions
                Factors Influencing Crime Rates in Orleans Parish, 2007-2009
              Survey Data (N = 6,945) & Aggregate Data at Tract Level (N = 182)
        Regression Models, Testing for Spatial Auto-correlation: t-Statistics or z-values


     Natural Log (Ln) Rates                    Combined         Murder          Assault
     Constant                                   4.813**         1.925+          3.506**

     Spatial Lag                               13.024**         9.740**        10.662**

     ACS 2005-09 Pct Below Poverty level        2.149*          2.305*
     ACS 2005-09 Unemployed over Age 16                                        -3.360**
     ACS 2005-09 Pct Age 15-34                   -1.197
     ACS 2005-09 Pct Vacant Housing Units       4.181**         2.362*
     ACS 2005-09 Pct Owner Occupied              -1.004                        -3.812**

     ACS 2005-09 Pct Non-Hispanic Black         3.096**         4.024**         3.327**

     Church member                             -3.343**        -2.914**        -4.293**
     Social Trust                              -3.594**         -2.227*        -2.968**
LSU Post-Katrina Research
 on Disaster Recovery & Community Resilience
    (Supported by the National Science Foundation)

Partnerships: “Social Action” Research
                    Rick Weil
            Department of Sociology, LSU


                   fweil@lsu.edu
                   www.fweil.com
The Neighborhoods Partnership Network (NPN)
              A nonprofit, citywide network of neighborhoods.
  We have collaborated with NPN on an organizational survey,
              and created a multi-level data set.
The Neighborhoods Partnership Network (NPN):
   Neighborhood Associations that Responded to our Survey




              Note: Some Neighborhood Associations overlap with Others
Example of Blight Reduction:
    1. Storm Damage




       Source: City of New Orleans
Example of Blight Reduction:
2. Blight (average over time)




      Source: U.S. Postal Service, HUD
Example of Blight Reduction:
3. Blight Reduction in the Flooded Areas




            Source: U.S. Postal Service, HUD
Example of Blight Reduction:
4. Demolitions by the City in 2011




   Sources: U.S. Postal Service, HUD; City of New Orleans
Example of Blight Reduction:
                    Social Capital’s Effect on Reducing Blight:
                             1. Multiple Regressions
                         Factors Influencing Blight Reduction in Greater New Orleans, 2007-2010
                              Survey Data (N = 6,945) & Aggregate Data at Tract Level* (N = 108)
                                                    Multiple Regressions

                                       1        2      3        4      5       6      7           8      9      10     11     12
City's Damage Assessment            -.309*      -      -
                                             .480** .440**

Storm Repairs completed             .123 .188 .145           .291** .266** .250**
Have Resources for Repair           -.164 -.186+ -.141                                          .226* .224* .225* .210* .209*

Median household income             -.217 -.052
Median Home Value                   .398*       .258+        .566** .557** .545** .565**
Disadvantage Index                  -.005                                                      -.298*

Pct Non-Hispanic Black              .056     -.097   .106    .423** .436** .443** .381**        .278*   .138   .138   .138

Source of $ - Government Agencies   .054     .063    .032                                       -.152 -.135 -.135
Source of $ - My own money          -.139    -.143   -.132    -.131   -.125                    -.163+ -.169+ -.169+ -.153+ -.161+
Source of $ - Insurance             .136     .067    .071     -.073                             -.098         -.001 .029

Associational Involvement           .259      .263   .259     .168    .157    .182+ .206*      .299** .351** .351** .377** .327**
Civic Engagement                    -.027     .021   -.019

Adj RSq                             .387      .342   .387     .365    .368    .358   .291       .199    .176   .168   .159   .161

*Blight Reduction in Flooded tracts that had (a) over 10% blight, and (b) were not housing projects that the government demolished
& rebuilt.
Example of Blight Reduction:
              Social Capital’s Effect on Reducing Blight:
               2. Multiple Regressions with Spatial Lag
           Factors Influencing Blight Reduction in Greater New Orleans, 2007-2010
                 Survey Data (N = 6,945) & Aggregate Data at Tract Level* (N = 108)
           Regression Models, Testing for Spatial Auto-correlation: t-Statistics or z-values



                                        8             8a      8b      8c      8d      8e      8f
Constant                             3.707**       2.921** 3.111** 3.310** 3.382** 3.391** 3.157**

Spatial Lag                                        6.263** 6.306** 6.465** 6.801** 6.716** 7.097**

Have Resources for Repair            2.381*         1.574     1.385   1.328     1.290    1.511
Disadvantage Index                   -2.227*       -1.693+   -1.509   -1.484   -1.161

Pct Non-Hispanic Black               2.348*         1.022    1.004     .931

Source of $ - Government Agencies     -1.627        -1.133  -.990
Source of $ - My own money           -1.847+       -1.933+ -1.858+ -1.756+ -1.820+ -1.855+ -1.725+
Source of $ - Insurance                -.833         -.761

Associational Involvement            2.832**       2.254*    2.161*   2.404*   2.240* 3.214** 3.239**



*Blight Reduction in Flooded tracts that had (a) over 10% blight, and (b) were not housing projects that
the government demolished & rebuilt.
Example of Blight Reduction:
  Neighborhood Associations’ Effect on Reducing Blight:
               3. Multiple Regressions
                                  LSU/NPN Survey of Neighborhood Association Leaders (N = 67)
                                         and LSU Disaster Recovery Survey (N = 7,000)
                                              Regressions (with Fixed Controls)

                                                          Blight Reduction

                                                                 Wet areas: all                             Wet areas: NBOs only
                                                    1       2     3                4       5         1       2      3        4          5
Damage Assessment                                .277+    .189 .328*                              .259+              .318*
Median household income                           .006          .074                               .021               .101
Unemployed                                       -.457* -.302+ -.442*                             -.438*   -.222    -.433*
Pct Black                                         .324   .308*  .302              .260   .344*    .394+    .383*     .384+    .294    .409*
Married with Children                            .328+         .341*                              .333+              .364*
Pct Owner Occupied                                -.276        -.316+                              -.281            -.327+

Disadvantage Index                                                            -.168      -.243                               -.149    -.262

Associational Involvement                        .271    .411**     .260+     .291+      .407**   .199     .437**   .222      .218    .401**
Family is Rooted in New Orleans                  .179                          .254               .268                       .341+
Church service attendance                        -.215                        -.090               -.248                      -.083

Cooperation with Other Organizations: Count       .090   .274*       .180      .160      .281*     .025     .202     .144      .047   .215+
Organizational Activities: Blight (q 41)         .321*   .240*      .242*     .295*      .223+    .361**   .308*    .262*    .353**   .267*
Organization Structural Assets (Block Capts)      .117                         .157                .148                       .217+

Adj R-Sq                                         .602     .567      .607          .560    .553     .658     .577    .641      .621     .582
Analyses for “Sweet Home New Orleans:”
   Where did Musicians from Flooded Areas Move?
Analyses for “Sweet Home New Orleans:”
    Musicians have a harder time Earning a Living
The “Roots of Music”
   After-school music program for middle school kids.
     Social Action Research: Building social capital for the kids and their families,
                     while conducting our survey of their parents.




        Organizing meeting at Café du Monde                    Mardi Gras, February, 2010.
during JazzFest, 2008. Derrick Tabb, at right, Program   We marched in 5 top parades & the Saints
Director & snare drummer for the Rebirth Brass Band.      victory parade, and played at Jazzfest.
Jewish Federation of Greater New Orleans:
 Where did people from Flooded Areas Move?
Vietnamese and Jewish Community Leaders
       Comparing Notes on Recovery Strategies.
Item: It’s not all “Culture.” Lots of it is Strategy and Planning that others can adapt.
NOLA YURP (Young Urban Rebuilding Professionals) “Brain Gain:”
             Where are they from?
    New Young Leader survey completed in 2010 with “504ward”




                      N=426. Data collected summer, 2008.
LSU Post-Katrina Research
  on Disaster Recovery & Community Resilience
     (Supported by the National Science Foundation)

Adding a Documentary Film to the Study
                     Rick Weil
             Department of Sociology, LSU


                    fweil@lsu.edu
                    www.fweil.com
Some of the people and groups
                     We have filmed and plan to film
7th Ward                                                         Improvement Association                           Membership and/or Committee Mtgs, Jewish Federation
Abram Himelstein, Rachel Breunlin, Neighborhood Story    Greg Phares, former EBR Sheriff                                   of GNO
        Project, the Porch                               Harrison Ave Marketplace, Lakeview                        Membership Mtg, Lakeview Community Improvement
Allison Plyer, GNOCDC - Greater New Orleans              Hubert Dixon (others), The Porch                                  Association
        Community Data Center                            Iray Nabatoff, Community Center of St. Bernard            Nonprofit Central in NOLA
Arlene Barron, Leslie Fishman, Jewish Community Center   Jennifer Weishaupt, Jennifer Farwell, Mid-City            Purim, Uptown Jewish Community Center
Audrey Browder, Central City Partnership & Pontilly              Neighborhood Organization (MCNO)                  Ray Nichols, Gonzo Civic Volunteer
        Disaster Recovery Center                         Jessica White, Barbara Johnson, 504ward                   Rev. Danny C. Digal, Our Lady of Prompt Succor Church
Bobby Garon, Alan Bissinger, Michael Wasserman, &        Joe Sherman, Carol Dotson, Hollygrove                     Rita LeGrand, Lakeview Blight inspections &
        Julie Wise Oreck, Jewish Federation of GNO                                                                         enforcement
                                                         John Koeferl, Holy Cross NA
Capacity College, NPN                                                                                              Ronald Baptiste, McKendall Estates Homeowners Assn
                                                         Jordan Hirsch, Sweet Home New Orleans
Capacity College, NPN                                                                                              Saundra Reed, Keisha Brown Robinson, Central City
                                                         Katherine Prevost, Bunny Friends NA
Capacity College, NPN                                                                                                      Renaissance Alliance
                                                         Kevin Brown, Evelyn Turner, Trinity Christian Community
Chalmette Tomato Festival, OLPS                                  - Hollygrove                                      Seabrook Neighborhood Association
Cheryl Diggins, Melia                                    LANO                                                      Social Aid & Pleasure Clubs, Second Line Parade
City Council Mtg, Master Plan, Dist B                                                                                      (Sundays)
                                                         LaToya Cantrell, Hal Roark, Broadmoor Improvement
Clients, Sweet Home New Orleans                                  Association                                       Steven Bingler, Concordia - Nexus tour of French Quarter
Dena Gerber, Jewish Family Service                       LimmudFest - Main day, Jewish Community                   Steven Bingler, Concordia - sit-down interview
Denise Thornton, Tina Marquardt, Connie Uddo, Milissa    Lisa Smith, Unmet Needs Committee, Red Cross              Tamara Jackson, SAPC Task Force Peace March
        Orzolek, Beacons of Hope/St. Paul's Homecoming   LJ Goldstein, Renee Heinlein, David Freedman, Jewish      Tamara Jackson, Social Aid & Pleasure Club Task Force
        Center                                                   Community                                         Tet Vietnamese New Year celebration, Mary Queen of
Derrick Tabb, Roots of Music, various                    LJ Goldstein, Renee Heinlein: Seder planning, Krewe du            Vietnam Catholic Church
Derrick Tabb, Roots of Music: NOMTOC Parade                      Jieux                                             Timolynn Sams, Neighborhood Partnership Network
Derrick Tabb, Roots, Parading in Neighborhoods to        Loren Pickford, Musician, Sweet Home Client               Tony Fernandez, St Bernard Deputy Sheriff & Parish
        Recruit & show need                              Mardi Gras Indians, I, Dryades & 2nd, Central City, MG            President OLPS
Diem Nguyen, Mary Tran, Mary Queen of Vietnam CDC                Day                                               Victor Gordon, Clara Carey, King Wells Sr., Pontilly
Erich Sternberg & Richard Lipsey, Jewish Federation of   Mardi Gras Indians, II, St Joseph's Day                           Association
        Greater BR                                       Mardi Gras Indians, III, Background w Harrison family     YMO, 9Times, Prince of Wales, Social Aid & Pleasure
Erin Patton, family were caterers in Chalmette                                                                             Clubs
                                                         Mary LeBlanc, Arcenia Crayton, & Wilbert Ross,
Fr. Vien, Mary Queen of Vietnam Catholic Church                  Renaissance Village                               Youth Think Tank, Work with Audrey at Central City
Gert Town                                                                                                                  Partnership
                                                         Mary W Rowe, New Orleans Institute, City-Works
Gill Benedek, Moishe House                                                                                         Zack Rosenburg, St. Bernard Project
                                                         Meg Lousteau, VCPORA (French Quarter)
Gill Benedek, Neighborhood Partnership Network           Membership and/or Committee Mtgs, Broadmoor
Glenn Stoudt, Al Petrie, Lakeview Community                      Improvement Association
A few of the community leaders we have filmed
                         Al Petrie, Lakeview   Katherine Prevost, Upper 9th Ward




Denise Thornton, Beacon of Hope                            Allan Bissinger, Jewish Federation




   Audrey Browder, Central City
                                                       Sue Press, Ole & New
                                                       Style Fellas SAPC, Treme
LSU Post-Katrina Research
 on Disaster Recovery & Community Resilience
    (Supported by the National Science Foundation)

Community Strategies and Resources
          for Recovery
                    Rick Weil
            Department of Sociology, LSU


                  fweil@lsu.edu
                  www.fweil.com
Community Strategies and Resources
              for Recovery 1
• Increasing organizational capacity and
  autonomy.
  – Use of Committees, Block Captains, etc.
  – Doing own Data Collection.
  – New technologies, like Mapping, Data Bases.
  – Use of Volunteers.
  – Taking the initiative and not waiting for outside
    help.
Community Strategies and Resources
               for Recovery 2
• Greater strategic sophistication.
  – Creating “Critical Masses” or “Tipping Points”
  – Branding
  – Community planning
     • E.g., Broadmoor, Vietnamese, Jews
Community Strategies and Resources
            for Recovery 3
• Increasing citizen participation.
   – People who had never participated before
• A new                                 Relations among Neighborhood
  Cooperative                                 Associations (N = 56)
  Orientation           100%

  among                 80%

  community             60%
  leaders               40%
   – 91% of
                        20%
     Neighborhood
     leaders affirmed    0%
     that relations                 There are other         See your relationships      Your organization
     with other                      neighborhood
                               organizations whose roles
                                                           with other neighborhood compares activities and
                                                            groups as cooperative,       strategies with
     leaders are                   overlap with your       rather than competitive organizations in other
     cooperative                      organization                                  neighborhoods, in order
                                                                                   to learn from each others’
                                                                                           experiences
Community Strategies and Resources
               for Recovery 4
• Emergence of new Umbrella Groups from
  outside the organizational eco-system they
  work with
   – Convening Groups.
   – Find areas of
     common concern on
     which they can work
     together.
   – Find synergies on
     issues that would
     otherwise produce
     competition/conflict.
   – Learn from each
     other.                  Barbara Lacen Keller teaching NPN’s Capacity College
Community Strategies and Resources
              for Recovery 5
• New recovery resources from “Outside-inside”
  the community
  – Extra-Regional, National, & International
    assistance from within the communities
  – Vietnamese Community
     • Houston & West Bank Neighbors
  – Jewish Community
     • National & Baton Rouge organizations
  – Cultural Community
     • Assistance to Musicians from Musicians
Cautions and Implications for
          Future Policy and Actions 1
• Lower and middle- status citizens must be
  able to overcome elite resistance to their
  participation.
  – Social Aid & Pleasure Clubs as Community Leaders



                                         Prince of Wales
                                         Social Aid &
                                         Pleasure Club
Cautions and Implications for
           Future Policy and Actions 2
• Citizens must overcome government
  resistance to their participation, as well as
  avoid being “captured” by government.
  – New “hardball” tactics:
     • Broadmoor’s Plan
     • Vietnamese Landfill issue
  – Sharing new techniques:
     • “Capacity College”
  – Avoiding Government “Capture:”
     • Autonomy of Neighborhood Associations
Cautions and Implications for
          Future Policy and Actions 3
• Communities must find ways to sustain
  participation beyond the euphoric period of
  recovery, into the more mundane tasks of
  further improvement that are often more
  technical rather than popular in nature.
  – Issue of Expertise & Leadership
LSU Post-Katrina Surveys
      in Baton Rouge:
      Impact on the Community;
     Helping cope with the Disaster
              (supported by NSF)

   Total Interviews = 2,960 in 3 waves:

•September 27 to November 29, 2005 (N=1,349)
•February to April, 2006 (N=1,008)
•March to April, 2007 (N=603)
Half the households in Baton Rouge housed Evacuees
       … almost entirely relatives and friends.

       Evacuees Staying in Your Residence                           Whom Did People House?*
             Staying Now      Stayed Earlier   No One               Total Staying     Relatives   Friends     Others

100%                                                          60%

                                                              50%
 75%
                                                              40%

                                                              30%
 50%
                                                              20%

 25%                                                          10%

                                                              0%
                                                                      Total Staying      Friends &          Others
 0%                                                                                      Relatives
  Oct-2005   Feb-2006      Jun-2006     Oct-2006   Feb-2007
                                                                              *Multiple mentions possible




Factoid: Southern Louisiana has some of the densest social networks in America.
                                  Question:
   •Where would disaster evacuees have gone if this had happened some other place?
   •Hint: The Authorities would have to figure that out…
Two thirds of people in Baton Rouge did
       volunteer relief work – most more than once.
      Most of them volunteered with Religious Organizations.

                                           Did Volunteer work to Help Evacuees -
   Did Volunteer work to Help Evacuees          with Religious Organization

                                                               No answer
                                            More than
                                                                  2%
                                            Once with
                                   No
                                             Church                         None
                                  34%         24%                           37%


More than
 Once                                    Once with
  54%                                     Church
                                            7%

                           Once
                           12%                       Worked, but
                                                     not w Church
                                                         30%
Social Capital and Stress
        People with the best social networks were initially most
       stressed because they were most involved in relief work.
                   They also recovered the fastest.

       Afraid to Walk Alone at Night                         Feel Depressed, Angry
                                                                                       Legend
0.4                                                  0.4
                                                                                       Associational
0.3                                                  0.3                               Involvement
                                                                                       Civic
0.2                                                                                    Leadership
                                                     0.2
                                                                                       Faith-Based
0.1
                                                                                       Engagement
                                                     0.1
  0                                                                                    Informal
                                                                                       Socializing
                                                       0
-0.1                                                                                   Social Trust


-0.2                                                 -0.1                              Inter-Racial
                                                                                       Trust
-0.3                                                 -0.2
   Aug-00   Dec-01 May-03 Sep-04   Feb-06   Jun-07      Jul-05      May-06    Mar-07
LSU Post-Katrina Research
on Disaster Recovery & Community Resilience
   (Supported by the National Science Foundation)

                   Rick Weil
           Department of Sociology, LSU



                  fweil@lsu.edu
                  www.fweil.com

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Weil, LSU Post-Katrina Survey - 120409 - Doug Ahler's Class

  • 1. LSU Post-Katrina Research on Disaster Recovery & Community Resilience (Supported by the National Science Foundation) Rick Weil Department of Sociology, LSU fweil@lsu.edu www.fweil.com
  • 2. LSU Post-Katrina Research on Disaster Recovery & Community Resilience Data Basis: 7,000 interviews in main Household Survey over 10,000 total interviews, all surveys ca. 100 interviews with Neighborhood Association Leaders Ethnographic research with over 200 groups over 100 Filmed interviews, with ca. forty more planned
  • 3. LSU Post-Katrina Research on Disaster Recovery & Community Resilience Maps of Flooding & Damage Rick Weil Department of Sociology, LSU fweil@lsu.edu www.fweil.com
  • 4.
  • 5. Mapped from U.S. Geological Survey Data
  • 6. Mapped from City of New Orleans Data
  • 7. Source: LSU Disaster Recovery Survey
  • 8. LSU Post-Katrina Research on Disaster Recovery & Community Resilience (Supported by the National Science Foundation) Data Collection Challenges Rick Weil Department of Sociology, LSU fweil@lsu.edu www.fweil.com
  • 9. We have Partnered with lots of Organizations in Conducting Surveys (some listed) 7th Ward Neighborhood Center DeSaix Area Neighborhood Association LouisianaRebuilds.info RALLY Foundation Lower 9th Ward NBH Empowerment Acorn, Baton Rouge Desire Area Residents Council Network Assn Rand Acorn, New Orleans Episcopal Diocese of Louisiana Lutheran Disaster Response Red Cross, New Orleans Mary Queen of Vietnam Catholic Church & American Red Cross Faith Temple Church of God The Holy Ghost CDC Red Cross, St. Bernard Parish Backbeat Foundation, Inc Family Road of GBR Mater Dolorosa Church Renaissance Village Council Bard College FEMA McKendall Estates Homeowners Assoc. Roots of Music Bayou Interfaith Shared Community Miracle Faith Healing and Deliverance Organizing First Baptist Church of Houma Temple Save the Children USA Beacon of Hope Resource Center Freret Neighborhood Center Mount Nebo Bible Baptist Church Second Gretaer Mount Sinai MBC Broadmoor Development Corporation Gentilly Civic Improvement Association Mt. Ararat Missionary Baptist Church Shir Chadash Synagogue Broadmoor Improvement Association Gert Town Enterprise Econ Redevelopment Neighborhoods Partnership Network Spring Lake Neighborhood Association Campus-Community Partnerships, Tulane Gert Town Revival Intiative Neighbors United Association St. Dominic Catholic Church Capital Area Human Services District GNOCDC - GNO Community Data Center New Orleans Bible Fellowship B.C. St. Gabriel the Archangel in New Orleans N.O. Social Aid and Pleasure Club Task Catholic Archdiocese of New Orleans GNO Fair Housing Action Center Housing Force St. Louis King of France Catholic Church Catholic Charities Hands On Baton Rouge New Orleans Times-Picayune St. Maria Goretti Catholic Church Catholic Communtiy Services Hands On New Orleans New Orleans United Way St. Paul AME Church Central Carrollton Association Harmony Outreach Services NOLA YURP Initiative St. Peter Claver Catholic Church Central City Partnership Hollygrove Neighbors NOLACPP, Citizen Participation Project Sugar Hill FEMA Trailer Park Central City Renaissance Alliance Holy Cross Neighborhood Association Nonprofit Central Sweet Home New Orleans Chabad Lubavitch of Louisiana - Metairie Institute of Southern Jewish Life Northshore Jewish Congregation Temple Sinai Chabad Lubavitch of Louisiana - Uptown Jeremiah Group Operation Brother's Keeper [Red Cross] Touro Synagogue Christian Unity Baptist Church Jericho Road Operation Nehemiah Terrebonne Readiness Assistance Coalition Churches Supporting Churches Jewish Family Service Our Lady of Prompt Succor Church Trinity Christian Community City-Works Jewish Federation of Greater New Orleans Oxfam America United Jewish Communities Claiborne-University Neighborhood Assn Jewish Women's Archive Plymouth Rock Baptist Church United Methodist Hope Ministries PNOLA: The Phoenix of N.O. United Way for the Greater New Orleans Community Center of St. Bernard Katrina Aid Today (Tulane/Gravier) Area Concordia LLC Kids with Cameras Policy Link Urban Conservancy + Stay Local! Congregation Anshe Sphard Lakeview Civic Improvement Association Pontilly Neighborhood Association Ursuline Academy Congregation Beth Israel Louisiana Association of Nonprofit Orgs PRC Compassion WWOZ Congregation Gates of Prayer Louisiana Delta Service Corps [Americorps] Providence Community Housing Hurricane Response, Renaissance Village Young Men Olympians Social Aid & Pleasure Corinthian Missionary Baptist Church Louisiana Family Recovery Corps Puentes Club
  • 10. Images of Data Collection: Pontchartrain Park & Gentilly Woods (Pontilly), January 2008 We worked with the Pontilly Neighborhood Association, who brought in 40 law student volunteers from around the country. We went door-to-door with them, doing the survey, and shared the results with the community.
  • 11. Images of Data Collection: Interviewing Door-to-Door in Tremé and the Seventh Ward, Summer 2009
  • 12. Images of Data Collection: Young Men Olympians Social Aid & Pleasure Club (Central City), January 2009 We worked with the Young Men Olympians, the oldest Social Aid & Pleasure Club, celebrating its 125th anniversary, and student volunteers from New Orleans colleges. We shared a meal & danced to the Free Agents Brass Band.
  • 13. Images of Data Collection: Interviewing with the Vietnamese-language Questionnaire at a Respondent’s Home in Village De l’Est, Summer 2009
  • 14. Images of Data Collection: Renaissance Village, FEMA Trailer Park, July 2007 We worked with the resident leaders of Renaissance Village, served a Jambalaya dinner, brought in a New Orleans brass band … and conducted the survey with the help of 30 resident volunteers.
  • 15. LSU Post-Katrina Research on Disaster Recovery & Community Resilience (Supported by the National Science Foundation) Hypotheses About Recovery: Individual and Collective Resources Rick Weil Department of Sociology, LSU fweil@lsu.edu www.fweil.com
  • 16. Hypotheses: Individual & Collective Resources and Recovery Individual-Level Resources Yes No High to Medium level of High level of Recovery. Recovery. Yes e.g. Vietnamese community; e.g. Jewish community SAPC members Collective Resources High to Medium level of Low level of Recovery. Recovery. (Social Capital) No (Rare: High Individual-Level Resources usually permit formation of Collective e.g. Renaissance Village Resources, as needed)
  • 17. Compensating Collective (“Institutional”) Resources: The Verba-Nie-Kim Hypotheses. 100 People With Collective Resources Collective Resources help People Compensate for the Lack of Individual-Level People with Resources Individual-Level Resources (only) 0 Source: Sidney Verba, Norman H. Nie, Jae-on Kim, Participation and Political Equality: A Seven-Nation Comparison. Cambridge: Cambridge UP, 1978, page 85. (Plus own diagram.)
  • 18. Hypotheses: Storm Damage, Resources, and Recovery: Individual & Collective Paths to Hurricane Recovery
  • 19. LSU Post-Katrina Research on Disaster Recovery & Community Resilience (Supported by the National Science Foundation) Individual-Level Data Analyses Rick Weil Department of Sociology, LSU fweil@lsu.edu www.fweil.com
  • 20. Individual Level Regressions: Social Capital, Higher Social Status, Low Damage, & Resources Promote Recovery and reduce Negative Outcomes. Stay or Return Personal Depressed, Social Social State of Spiritual Punitive to N.O. Recovery Stress Anxious Hopeful Solidarity Conflict Health Theology Theology Demographic Age .08** -.01 .01 .03* -.02 .05** -.08** -.13** -.01 -.05** Female .04** -.01 .14** .11** .03+ .02 -.03* -.01 .07** -.02 Education .01 .00 -.02 .09** .03 -.01 -.05** .16** -.09** -.13** Estimated Income -.01 .11** -.08** -.04+ -.04* -.06** -.03 .14** -.03+ .01 Unemployed -.07** -.11** .08** .06** -.04* -.03* .03* -.05* .00 .03 Married w Children .00 .01 .01 .01 .00 .04* -.02 .01 .01 -.01 Black .09** -.07** -.14** -.19** .03+ .04** -.05** -.07** .21** -.03 Time since Katrina .07** .07** -.02 -.03 -.02 .03+ .07** -.01 .01 -.03+ Damage & Resources Damage to Residence -.13** -.33** .12** .11** .00 -.01 .00 -.04+ .01 .05** Damage to Business -.08** -.07** .02 .03+ .00 .00 -.02 -.05* -.01 .06** Have Resources for Repair .08** .23** -.13** -.09** .08** .04* -.03* .12** -.01 -.04** Social Capital Associational Involvement .05+ .02 -.08** -.04+ .02 .07** .03 .03 .10** .00 Civic Leadership .02 -.01 .10** .08** .04 .06** .11** .00 -.02 .09** Informal Socializing -.03 .03+ -.02 -.02 .01 .09** .01 .17** .03+ -.04* Social Trust .11** .04** -.14** -.13** .14** .19** -.08** .03 .03+ -.12** Faith-Based Social Capital Church service attendance -.05** -.03+ -.06** -.11** -.04* .00 -.02 -.01 .24** -.10** Spiritual Theology .07** -.01 .09** .08** .20** .37** .08** .02 - - Punitive Theology -.05** -.04** .24** .15** -.07** -.03+ .27** -.06** - - Adj R-Sq .08 .30 .20 .13 .08 .24 .14 .20 .16 .06
  • 21. Individual Level: Social Capital Reduces Stress: Church Attendance is most effective Angry Trouble concentrating 80% 50% 40% 60% 30% 20% 40% 10% 20% 0% No flood damage Up to 8 feet Over 8 feet No flood damage Up to 8 feet Over 8 feet Attend Church Every Week Less Attend Church Every Week Less
  • 22. LSU Post-Katrina Research on Disaster Recovery & Community Resilience In Partnership with New Orleans Community Leaders (Supported by the National Science Foundation) Total Number of interviews = ca. 7,000 Comparison of Selected Groups Rick Weil Department of Sociology, LSU fweil@lsu.edu www.fweil.com
  • 23. Civic Engagement in Selected Social Groups Civic Engagement in Selected Social Groups (Showing percentage points above or below New Orleans average) 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% -5% -10% FEMA Vietnamese Black Church White High Income High Jewish SAPC Trailers Member Education Member
  • 24. LSU Post-Katrina Research on Disaster Recovery & Community Resilience (Supported by the National Science Foundation) Aggregate Data Analyses Rick Weil Department of Sociology, LSU fweil@lsu.edu www.fweil.com
  • 25. With a large enough N (7,000), we can aggregate (average) data to geographical districts and conduct aggregate analyses. We use Census Tracts, the finest (smallest) district size we can, consistent with reliable averages per district.
  • 26. Repopulation Data (from Postal deliveries) Can be analyzed with our aggregated survey data. Sources: HUD; USPS; Valassis & Greater New Orleans Community Data Center
  • 27. Blight Data can be analyzed in the same way. Sources: HUD; USPS; City of New Orleans
  • 28. Aggregate Level: Social Capital and Higher Social Status promote Repopulation and reduce Negative Outcomes. Correlations Correlations Repopulation Damage Blight Crime Associational Involvement Associational Involvement Civic Engagement Civic Engagement Perform Service Perform Service Attended public meeting Attended public meeting Social Trust Social Trust Education Education Income Income Disadvantage Index Disadvantage Index Percent Black Percent Black -.30 -.20 -.10 .00 .10 .20 .30 .40 -.50 -.25 .00 .25 .50
  • 29. For instance, Church Membership Is associated with Reduced Violent Crime Survey Data (N = 2,648) & Police Reports, Aggregated to Neighborhood Level (N = 62)
  • 30. Aggregate Level: Church Membership’s Effect on Reducing Violent Crime: 1. Bivariate Correlations Survey Data (N = 6,945) & Aggregate Data at Tract Level (N = 182) Bivariate Correlations All White Black Natural Log (Ln) Rates Combined Murder Assault Combined Murder Assault Combined Murder Assault Associational Involvement -.414** -.327** -.383** -.388** -.412** -.336** -.248** -.050 -.276** Civic Engagement -.444** -.355** -.396** -.357** -.336** -.301* -.280** -.094 -.290** Church member -.283** -.219** -.359** -.425** -.361** -.439** -.297** -.231* -.396** Church service attendance .086 .143 -.059 -.204 -.232 -.184 -.118 .020 -.332** Social Trust -.596** -.508** -.525** -.512** -.429** -.485** -.386** -.237* -.344** Inter-Racial Trust -.258** -.199** -.299** -.274* -.194 -.289* -.019 .027 -.157 ACS 2005-09 Median household income -.646** -.565** -.622** -.497** -.448** -.539** -.547** -.324** -.482** Disadvantage Index (from ACS 2005-09) .522** .489** .335** .370** .486** .307* .308** .159 .032 ACS 2005-09 Pct Non-Hispanic Black .549** .559** .405** .396** .514** .320** .124 .146 -.057 ACS 2005-09 Pct Age 15-34 .016 .112 -.007 -.077 .052 -.044 .002 .085 -.062 ACS 2005-09 Pct Vacant Housing Units .486** .342** .391** .434** .253* .461** .401** .220* .180
  • 31. Aggregate Level: Church Membership’s Effect on Reducing Violent Crime: 2. Standard Multivariate Regressions Survey Data (N = 6,945) & Aggregate Data at Tract Level (N = 198) Multiple Regressions Combined Crime Rate (Natural Log) Wh Bl InterAct ACS 2005-09 Median household income -.012 -.011 ACS 2005-09 Pct Population 25+ HS or Less .053 .053 .055 ACS 2005-09 Unemployed over Age 16 -.121+ -.121+ -.128+ -.113+ -.099 ACS 2005-09 Pct Below Poverty level .101 .100 .105 .105 .124+ .134* .189 .166+ .134* ACS 2005-09 Pct Age 15-34 -.097+ -.097+ -.095+ -.111* -.125* -.108* -.234* -.082 -.110* ACS 2005-09 Pct Married-couple family -.088 -.088 -.092 -.100 ACS 2005-09 Pct Vacant Housing Units .153+ .151* .150* .143* .105+ .156** .103 .225** .156** Mean Blight 2006-2010 (USPS-HUD) -.003 ACS 2005-09 Pct Owner Occupied -.209+ -.210+ -.216* -.236* -.324** -.252** -.302+ -.273** -.254** ACS 2005-09 Pct Non-Hispanic Black .163+ .162+ .163* .209** .208** .162* .113 .097 .162* Associational Involvement .011 .012 Civic Engagement -.057 -.058 -.049 Family is Rooted in New Orleans -.009 -.010 Church member -.147* -.147* -.150* -.149** -.155** -.171** -.022 -.264** -.173** Church service attendance .030 .029 .029 Social Trust -.346** -.347** -.349** -.354** -.316** -.315** -.355** -.279** -.318** Inter-Racial Trust .083 .083 .087 .075 Church member x Race Interaction -.017 Adjusted R-Sq .613 .616 .624 .627 .625 .610 .521 .436 .608
  • 32. Aggregate Level: Church Membership’s Effect on Reducing Violent Crime: 3. Spatial Regressions Factors Influencing Crime Rates in Orleans Parish, 2007-2009 Survey Data (N = 6,945) & Aggregate Data at Tract Level (N = 182) Regression Models, Testing for Spatial Auto-correlation: t-Statistics or z-values Natural Log (Ln) Rates Combined Murder Assault Constant 4.813** 1.925+ 3.506** Spatial Lag 13.024** 9.740** 10.662** ACS 2005-09 Pct Below Poverty level 2.149* 2.305* ACS 2005-09 Unemployed over Age 16 -3.360** ACS 2005-09 Pct Age 15-34 -1.197 ACS 2005-09 Pct Vacant Housing Units 4.181** 2.362* ACS 2005-09 Pct Owner Occupied -1.004 -3.812** ACS 2005-09 Pct Non-Hispanic Black 3.096** 4.024** 3.327** Church member -3.343** -2.914** -4.293** Social Trust -3.594** -2.227* -2.968**
  • 33. LSU Post-Katrina Research on Disaster Recovery & Community Resilience (Supported by the National Science Foundation) Partnerships: “Social Action” Research Rick Weil Department of Sociology, LSU fweil@lsu.edu www.fweil.com
  • 34. The Neighborhoods Partnership Network (NPN) A nonprofit, citywide network of neighborhoods. We have collaborated with NPN on an organizational survey, and created a multi-level data set.
  • 35. The Neighborhoods Partnership Network (NPN): Neighborhood Associations that Responded to our Survey Note: Some Neighborhood Associations overlap with Others
  • 36. Example of Blight Reduction: 1. Storm Damage Source: City of New Orleans
  • 37. Example of Blight Reduction: 2. Blight (average over time) Source: U.S. Postal Service, HUD
  • 38. Example of Blight Reduction: 3. Blight Reduction in the Flooded Areas Source: U.S. Postal Service, HUD
  • 39. Example of Blight Reduction: 4. Demolitions by the City in 2011 Sources: U.S. Postal Service, HUD; City of New Orleans
  • 40. Example of Blight Reduction: Social Capital’s Effect on Reducing Blight: 1. Multiple Regressions Factors Influencing Blight Reduction in Greater New Orleans, 2007-2010 Survey Data (N = 6,945) & Aggregate Data at Tract Level* (N = 108) Multiple Regressions 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 City's Damage Assessment -.309* - - .480** .440** Storm Repairs completed .123 .188 .145 .291** .266** .250** Have Resources for Repair -.164 -.186+ -.141 .226* .224* .225* .210* .209* Median household income -.217 -.052 Median Home Value .398* .258+ .566** .557** .545** .565** Disadvantage Index -.005 -.298* Pct Non-Hispanic Black .056 -.097 .106 .423** .436** .443** .381** .278* .138 .138 .138 Source of $ - Government Agencies .054 .063 .032 -.152 -.135 -.135 Source of $ - My own money -.139 -.143 -.132 -.131 -.125 -.163+ -.169+ -.169+ -.153+ -.161+ Source of $ - Insurance .136 .067 .071 -.073 -.098 -.001 .029 Associational Involvement .259 .263 .259 .168 .157 .182+ .206* .299** .351** .351** .377** .327** Civic Engagement -.027 .021 -.019 Adj RSq .387 .342 .387 .365 .368 .358 .291 .199 .176 .168 .159 .161 *Blight Reduction in Flooded tracts that had (a) over 10% blight, and (b) were not housing projects that the government demolished & rebuilt.
  • 41. Example of Blight Reduction: Social Capital’s Effect on Reducing Blight: 2. Multiple Regressions with Spatial Lag Factors Influencing Blight Reduction in Greater New Orleans, 2007-2010 Survey Data (N = 6,945) & Aggregate Data at Tract Level* (N = 108) Regression Models, Testing for Spatial Auto-correlation: t-Statistics or z-values 8 8a 8b 8c 8d 8e 8f Constant 3.707** 2.921** 3.111** 3.310** 3.382** 3.391** 3.157** Spatial Lag 6.263** 6.306** 6.465** 6.801** 6.716** 7.097** Have Resources for Repair 2.381* 1.574 1.385 1.328 1.290 1.511 Disadvantage Index -2.227* -1.693+ -1.509 -1.484 -1.161 Pct Non-Hispanic Black 2.348* 1.022 1.004 .931 Source of $ - Government Agencies -1.627 -1.133 -.990 Source of $ - My own money -1.847+ -1.933+ -1.858+ -1.756+ -1.820+ -1.855+ -1.725+ Source of $ - Insurance -.833 -.761 Associational Involvement 2.832** 2.254* 2.161* 2.404* 2.240* 3.214** 3.239** *Blight Reduction in Flooded tracts that had (a) over 10% blight, and (b) were not housing projects that the government demolished & rebuilt.
  • 42. Example of Blight Reduction: Neighborhood Associations’ Effect on Reducing Blight: 3. Multiple Regressions LSU/NPN Survey of Neighborhood Association Leaders (N = 67) and LSU Disaster Recovery Survey (N = 7,000) Regressions (with Fixed Controls) Blight Reduction Wet areas: all Wet areas: NBOs only 1 2 3 4 5 1 2 3 4 5 Damage Assessment .277+ .189 .328* .259+ .318* Median household income .006 .074 .021 .101 Unemployed -.457* -.302+ -.442* -.438* -.222 -.433* Pct Black .324 .308* .302 .260 .344* .394+ .383* .384+ .294 .409* Married with Children .328+ .341* .333+ .364* Pct Owner Occupied -.276 -.316+ -.281 -.327+ Disadvantage Index -.168 -.243 -.149 -.262 Associational Involvement .271 .411** .260+ .291+ .407** .199 .437** .222 .218 .401** Family is Rooted in New Orleans .179 .254 .268 .341+ Church service attendance -.215 -.090 -.248 -.083 Cooperation with Other Organizations: Count .090 .274* .180 .160 .281* .025 .202 .144 .047 .215+ Organizational Activities: Blight (q 41) .321* .240* .242* .295* .223+ .361** .308* .262* .353** .267* Organization Structural Assets (Block Capts) .117 .157 .148 .217+ Adj R-Sq .602 .567 .607 .560 .553 .658 .577 .641 .621 .582
  • 43. Analyses for “Sweet Home New Orleans:” Where did Musicians from Flooded Areas Move?
  • 44. Analyses for “Sweet Home New Orleans:” Musicians have a harder time Earning a Living
  • 45. The “Roots of Music” After-school music program for middle school kids. Social Action Research: Building social capital for the kids and their families, while conducting our survey of their parents. Organizing meeting at Café du Monde Mardi Gras, February, 2010. during JazzFest, 2008. Derrick Tabb, at right, Program We marched in 5 top parades & the Saints Director & snare drummer for the Rebirth Brass Band. victory parade, and played at Jazzfest.
  • 46. Jewish Federation of Greater New Orleans: Where did people from Flooded Areas Move?
  • 47. Vietnamese and Jewish Community Leaders Comparing Notes on Recovery Strategies. Item: It’s not all “Culture.” Lots of it is Strategy and Planning that others can adapt.
  • 48. NOLA YURP (Young Urban Rebuilding Professionals) “Brain Gain:” Where are they from? New Young Leader survey completed in 2010 with “504ward” N=426. Data collected summer, 2008.
  • 49. LSU Post-Katrina Research on Disaster Recovery & Community Resilience (Supported by the National Science Foundation) Adding a Documentary Film to the Study Rick Weil Department of Sociology, LSU fweil@lsu.edu www.fweil.com
  • 50. Some of the people and groups We have filmed and plan to film 7th Ward Improvement Association Membership and/or Committee Mtgs, Jewish Federation Abram Himelstein, Rachel Breunlin, Neighborhood Story Greg Phares, former EBR Sheriff of GNO Project, the Porch Harrison Ave Marketplace, Lakeview Membership Mtg, Lakeview Community Improvement Allison Plyer, GNOCDC - Greater New Orleans Hubert Dixon (others), The Porch Association Community Data Center Iray Nabatoff, Community Center of St. Bernard Nonprofit Central in NOLA Arlene Barron, Leslie Fishman, Jewish Community Center Jennifer Weishaupt, Jennifer Farwell, Mid-City Purim, Uptown Jewish Community Center Audrey Browder, Central City Partnership & Pontilly Neighborhood Organization (MCNO) Ray Nichols, Gonzo Civic Volunteer Disaster Recovery Center Jessica White, Barbara Johnson, 504ward Rev. Danny C. Digal, Our Lady of Prompt Succor Church Bobby Garon, Alan Bissinger, Michael Wasserman, & Joe Sherman, Carol Dotson, Hollygrove Rita LeGrand, Lakeview Blight inspections & Julie Wise Oreck, Jewish Federation of GNO enforcement John Koeferl, Holy Cross NA Capacity College, NPN Ronald Baptiste, McKendall Estates Homeowners Assn Jordan Hirsch, Sweet Home New Orleans Capacity College, NPN Saundra Reed, Keisha Brown Robinson, Central City Katherine Prevost, Bunny Friends NA Capacity College, NPN Renaissance Alliance Kevin Brown, Evelyn Turner, Trinity Christian Community Chalmette Tomato Festival, OLPS - Hollygrove Seabrook Neighborhood Association Cheryl Diggins, Melia LANO Social Aid & Pleasure Clubs, Second Line Parade City Council Mtg, Master Plan, Dist B (Sundays) LaToya Cantrell, Hal Roark, Broadmoor Improvement Clients, Sweet Home New Orleans Association Steven Bingler, Concordia - Nexus tour of French Quarter Dena Gerber, Jewish Family Service LimmudFest - Main day, Jewish Community Steven Bingler, Concordia - sit-down interview Denise Thornton, Tina Marquardt, Connie Uddo, Milissa Lisa Smith, Unmet Needs Committee, Red Cross Tamara Jackson, SAPC Task Force Peace March Orzolek, Beacons of Hope/St. Paul's Homecoming LJ Goldstein, Renee Heinlein, David Freedman, Jewish Tamara Jackson, Social Aid & Pleasure Club Task Force Center Community Tet Vietnamese New Year celebration, Mary Queen of Derrick Tabb, Roots of Music, various LJ Goldstein, Renee Heinlein: Seder planning, Krewe du Vietnam Catholic Church Derrick Tabb, Roots of Music: NOMTOC Parade Jieux Timolynn Sams, Neighborhood Partnership Network Derrick Tabb, Roots, Parading in Neighborhoods to Loren Pickford, Musician, Sweet Home Client Tony Fernandez, St Bernard Deputy Sheriff & Parish Recruit & show need Mardi Gras Indians, I, Dryades & 2nd, Central City, MG President OLPS Diem Nguyen, Mary Tran, Mary Queen of Vietnam CDC Day Victor Gordon, Clara Carey, King Wells Sr., Pontilly Erich Sternberg & Richard Lipsey, Jewish Federation of Mardi Gras Indians, II, St Joseph's Day Association Greater BR Mardi Gras Indians, III, Background w Harrison family YMO, 9Times, Prince of Wales, Social Aid & Pleasure Erin Patton, family were caterers in Chalmette Clubs Mary LeBlanc, Arcenia Crayton, & Wilbert Ross, Fr. Vien, Mary Queen of Vietnam Catholic Church Renaissance Village Youth Think Tank, Work with Audrey at Central City Gert Town Partnership Mary W Rowe, New Orleans Institute, City-Works Gill Benedek, Moishe House Zack Rosenburg, St. Bernard Project Meg Lousteau, VCPORA (French Quarter) Gill Benedek, Neighborhood Partnership Network Membership and/or Committee Mtgs, Broadmoor Glenn Stoudt, Al Petrie, Lakeview Community Improvement Association
  • 51. A few of the community leaders we have filmed Al Petrie, Lakeview Katherine Prevost, Upper 9th Ward Denise Thornton, Beacon of Hope Allan Bissinger, Jewish Federation Audrey Browder, Central City Sue Press, Ole & New Style Fellas SAPC, Treme
  • 52. LSU Post-Katrina Research on Disaster Recovery & Community Resilience (Supported by the National Science Foundation) Community Strategies and Resources for Recovery Rick Weil Department of Sociology, LSU fweil@lsu.edu www.fweil.com
  • 53. Community Strategies and Resources for Recovery 1 • Increasing organizational capacity and autonomy. – Use of Committees, Block Captains, etc. – Doing own Data Collection. – New technologies, like Mapping, Data Bases. – Use of Volunteers. – Taking the initiative and not waiting for outside help.
  • 54. Community Strategies and Resources for Recovery 2 • Greater strategic sophistication. – Creating “Critical Masses” or “Tipping Points” – Branding – Community planning • E.g., Broadmoor, Vietnamese, Jews
  • 55. Community Strategies and Resources for Recovery 3 • Increasing citizen participation. – People who had never participated before • A new Relations among Neighborhood Cooperative Associations (N = 56) Orientation 100% among 80% community 60% leaders 40% – 91% of 20% Neighborhood leaders affirmed 0% that relations There are other See your relationships Your organization with other neighborhood organizations whose roles with other neighborhood compares activities and groups as cooperative, strategies with leaders are overlap with your rather than competitive organizations in other cooperative organization neighborhoods, in order to learn from each others’ experiences
  • 56. Community Strategies and Resources for Recovery 4 • Emergence of new Umbrella Groups from outside the organizational eco-system they work with – Convening Groups. – Find areas of common concern on which they can work together. – Find synergies on issues that would otherwise produce competition/conflict. – Learn from each other. Barbara Lacen Keller teaching NPN’s Capacity College
  • 57. Community Strategies and Resources for Recovery 5 • New recovery resources from “Outside-inside” the community – Extra-Regional, National, & International assistance from within the communities – Vietnamese Community • Houston & West Bank Neighbors – Jewish Community • National & Baton Rouge organizations – Cultural Community • Assistance to Musicians from Musicians
  • 58. Cautions and Implications for Future Policy and Actions 1 • Lower and middle- status citizens must be able to overcome elite resistance to their participation. – Social Aid & Pleasure Clubs as Community Leaders Prince of Wales Social Aid & Pleasure Club
  • 59. Cautions and Implications for Future Policy and Actions 2 • Citizens must overcome government resistance to their participation, as well as avoid being “captured” by government. – New “hardball” tactics: • Broadmoor’s Plan • Vietnamese Landfill issue – Sharing new techniques: • “Capacity College” – Avoiding Government “Capture:” • Autonomy of Neighborhood Associations
  • 60. Cautions and Implications for Future Policy and Actions 3 • Communities must find ways to sustain participation beyond the euphoric period of recovery, into the more mundane tasks of further improvement that are often more technical rather than popular in nature. – Issue of Expertise & Leadership
  • 61. LSU Post-Katrina Surveys in Baton Rouge: Impact on the Community; Helping cope with the Disaster (supported by NSF) Total Interviews = 2,960 in 3 waves: •September 27 to November 29, 2005 (N=1,349) •February to April, 2006 (N=1,008) •March to April, 2007 (N=603)
  • 62. Half the households in Baton Rouge housed Evacuees … almost entirely relatives and friends. Evacuees Staying in Your Residence Whom Did People House?* Staying Now Stayed Earlier No One Total Staying Relatives Friends Others 100% 60% 50% 75% 40% 30% 50% 20% 25% 10% 0% Total Staying Friends & Others 0% Relatives Oct-2005 Feb-2006 Jun-2006 Oct-2006 Feb-2007 *Multiple mentions possible Factoid: Southern Louisiana has some of the densest social networks in America. Question: •Where would disaster evacuees have gone if this had happened some other place? •Hint: The Authorities would have to figure that out…
  • 63. Two thirds of people in Baton Rouge did volunteer relief work – most more than once. Most of them volunteered with Religious Organizations. Did Volunteer work to Help Evacuees - Did Volunteer work to Help Evacuees with Religious Organization No answer More than 2% Once with No Church None 34% 24% 37% More than Once Once with 54% Church 7% Once 12% Worked, but not w Church 30%
  • 64. Social Capital and Stress People with the best social networks were initially most stressed because they were most involved in relief work. They also recovered the fastest. Afraid to Walk Alone at Night Feel Depressed, Angry Legend 0.4 0.4 Associational 0.3 0.3 Involvement Civic 0.2 Leadership 0.2 Faith-Based 0.1 Engagement 0.1 0 Informal Socializing 0 -0.1 Social Trust -0.2 -0.1 Inter-Racial Trust -0.3 -0.2 Aug-00 Dec-01 May-03 Sep-04 Feb-06 Jun-07 Jul-05 May-06 Mar-07
  • 65. LSU Post-Katrina Research on Disaster Recovery & Community Resilience (Supported by the National Science Foundation) Rick Weil Department of Sociology, LSU fweil@lsu.edu www.fweil.com