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Introduction to Seismology Seismic Hazard Analysis 2 Department of Earth Sciences KFUPM Ali Oncel [email_address] Introduction to Seismology-KFUPM
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Sari and Manuel Probabilistic Seismic Hazard Analysis Introduction to Seismology-KFUPM log( N) M RECURRENCE Probability of exceedance Acceleration SEISMIC HAZARD CURVES F 2 F 1 Faults (line sources) Area source SOURCE MODELS pga,  S a ,  A i GROUND MOTION ATTENUATION distance SEISMIC HAZARD MAP
PART 1: SOURCE CHARACTERIZATION Introduction to Seismology-KFUPM
From Koji Okumura
Rupture zones for large historical earthquakes along the North and East Anatolian faults  (Ambraseys & Finkel, 1988; Ambraseys & Finkel, 1995; Barka, 1992; Ikeda et al., 1991)   from Introduction to Seismology-KFUPM 1254 967 1784 1668 1035 1050 1043 From Koji Okumura
Both walls Introduction to Seismology-KFUPM east west First multi-event trench on the North Anatolian fault Koji Okumura
 
Magnitude area relations Introduction to Seismology-KFUPM
Magnitude scales: Body wave magnitude (Mb) Richter magnitude (ML) Surface wave magnitude (Ms) Moment magnitude (Mw) Catalogs: Preliminary Determination of Earthquakes (PDE) International Seismic Centre (ISC) Local catalogs (Ambraseys) EARTHQUAKE CATALOGS Introduction to Seismology-KFUPM
Magnitude saturation Introduction to Seismology-KFUPM
NEIC: Earthquake Search Results                                                                                                           Rectangular Grid Search Latitude Range: 39 to 41.5 Longitude Range: 27.25 to 31 Number of Earthquakes: 3468    Introduction to Seismology-KFUPM
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Developing uniform catalog: Introduction to Seismology-KFUPM
1.   Characteristic  a. Assess magnitude of potential earthquakes  (segmentation, floating) b. Calculate recurrence of earthquake=  moment of char earthquake/moment rate of fault = rigidity*area*displacement/rigidity*area*slip rate rigidity modulus (resistance to shearing motion used in U.S. is  3.0 X 10exp11 gm/cm*s*s(dynes/cm*cm ) 2.   Truncated Gutenberg-Richter distribution a. log N=a-b M MAGNITUDE FREQUENCY  DISTRIBUTIONS Introduction to Seismology-KFUPM Log of no. of earthquakes >=M Magnitude (M) Magnitude (M) Characteristic Gutenberg-Richter
Assumes that where smaller magnitude earthquakes have occurred in the past is where larger earthquakes  will occur in the future. Smoothed Seismicity Introduction to Seismology-KFUPM
Quiz of the Week ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],P(t)= 1-e -t/T Equations Introduction to Seismology-KFUPM

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ÖNCEL AKADEMİ: INTRODUCTION TO SEISMOLOGY

  • 1. Introduction to Seismology Seismic Hazard Analysis 2 Department of Earth Sciences KFUPM Ali Oncel [email_address] Introduction to Seismology-KFUPM
  • 2.
  • 3. PART 1: SOURCE CHARACTERIZATION Introduction to Seismology-KFUPM
  • 5. Rupture zones for large historical earthquakes along the North and East Anatolian faults (Ambraseys & Finkel, 1988; Ambraseys & Finkel, 1995; Barka, 1992; Ikeda et al., 1991) from Introduction to Seismology-KFUPM 1254 967 1784 1668 1035 1050 1043 From Koji Okumura
  • 6. Both walls Introduction to Seismology-KFUPM east west First multi-event trench on the North Anatolian fault Koji Okumura
  • 7.  
  • 8. Magnitude area relations Introduction to Seismology-KFUPM
  • 9. Magnitude scales: Body wave magnitude (Mb) Richter magnitude (ML) Surface wave magnitude (Ms) Moment magnitude (Mw) Catalogs: Preliminary Determination of Earthquakes (PDE) International Seismic Centre (ISC) Local catalogs (Ambraseys) EARTHQUAKE CATALOGS Introduction to Seismology-KFUPM
  • 10. Magnitude saturation Introduction to Seismology-KFUPM
  • 11. NEIC: Earthquake Search Results                                                                                                          Rectangular Grid Search Latitude Range: 39 to 41.5 Longitude Range: 27.25 to 31 Number of Earthquakes: 3468   Introduction to Seismology-KFUPM
  • 12.
  • 13. 1. Characteristic a. Assess magnitude of potential earthquakes (segmentation, floating) b. Calculate recurrence of earthquake= moment of char earthquake/moment rate of fault = rigidity*area*displacement/rigidity*area*slip rate rigidity modulus (resistance to shearing motion used in U.S. is 3.0 X 10exp11 gm/cm*s*s(dynes/cm*cm ) 2. Truncated Gutenberg-Richter distribution a. log N=a-b M MAGNITUDE FREQUENCY DISTRIBUTIONS Introduction to Seismology-KFUPM Log of no. of earthquakes >=M Magnitude (M) Magnitude (M) Characteristic Gutenberg-Richter
  • 14. Assumes that where smaller magnitude earthquakes have occurred in the past is where larger earthquakes will occur in the future. Smoothed Seismicity Introduction to Seismology-KFUPM
  • 15.