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Kerala Environment Congress
18 August 2012,
Rajive Gandhi Centre for Biotechnology,
    Thiruvanandapuram




         Potential Fishing Zone Advisories
            and Ocean State Forecasts




                            S.S.C. Shenoi
   Indian National Centre for Ocean Information Services (INCOIS)
                        Hyderabad – 500 055
Marine Fisheries in India – some facts
      Area of country         3.29 million sq. m
      Area of Exclusive       2.02 million sq. m
      Economic Zone (EEZ)
      Length of coastline     8130 km


      Fish production         2.8 million tonnes
      (Marine)
      Estimated production    3.9 million tonnes
      Contribution to GDP     1.04 %


      Fishing villages        3202
      Fish landing centers    1332
      Fisherfolk families     7.5 lakhs (approx)
      Fisherflok population   35.0 lakhs (approx)
      Mechanised boats        60000 (approx)
      Motorised boats         75000 (approx)
      Non-motorised           100000 (approx)
Traditional methods of locating the fishing grounds


              Bird Congregation

                 Colour
                                          Fish
       Bubbles breaking on Surface      Availability
                                          Type
                                         Quantity
   Muddy and oily water and calm Sea

          Reflection in the Night

           Kaladu (a kind of smell)
Traditional methods of locating the fishing grounds
 Traditionally, the success of fishing trip depended
 on fisherman's keen sense of sight, smell and
 hearing.

  Often, the fishing trips resulted in spending longer
 days at sea and returning with low or no catch.

  A good catch was mostly ascribed to the ‘luck of
 fisherman’!

  It is necessary to examine the scientific data and
 device methods to pre-determine the locations of
 probable fishing grounds at sea so that the
 fishermen need not try out their luck or return empty
 handed.
Ariel surveys to locate the fishing grounds
 Visual fish spotting from aircraft was successfully
demonstrated for locating a number of pelagic species such
as anchovy, swordfish, menhaden and tuna in western
countries.

 A trained observer acts as a “sensor”, spots the school of
fish and communicates with the vessels in the area using
radio link.

 The trained observer distinguishes the fish shoal based on
their colour, behaviour and schooling patterns.

 But, use of aircrafts on a day-to-day basis over the vast
areas would be prohibitively expensive and unviable.

 Use of satellite remote sensing could be the other
alternative, but the direct detection of fish using remote
sensing is not possible with the current levels of technology.
Indirect detection is possible by observing the
      associated sea surface phenomena

             Environmental factors

      Temperature                           Light

 Salinity                                   Chlorophyll

    Dissolved             Feeding           Nutrients
                          Breeding
       Oxygen
            Surface Currents         Wind
Remote sensing of sea surface parameters




                        Chlorophyll – biological productivity

                        SST – thermal fronts, upwelling



                         Eddies, meanders, upwelling fronts,
                         rings, filaments, etc.
Use of remote sensing to identify the potential
locations for fishing
 Evolved from the MRSIS programme
of DOD in early 1990’s

 Used satellite derived SST for the
demarcation of ‘potential shoals of fish
aggregation’ in the Indian waters

 Generation of PFZ advisories started
during 1996-97 at National Remote
Sensing Agency, Hyderabad using NOAA-
AVHRR derived SST data.

 Disseminated through state fishery
departments using FAX and TELEFAX

 Due to the usage of data from single
satellite, at least 3 days data was required    Thus the PFZ advisory service
to cover the Indian coast and to generate
the PFZ maps
                                             was limited to twice a week.
Establishment of INCOIS and PFZ Mission
 R&D Efforts, Modelling,
Technology Development




                                 Dissemination
       Operational             Multi lingual Delivery (Map, Text)       Fishing
                                  Fax, Phone, News Paper,
       Generation
       (SST, Chlorophyll)
                                         Internet, e-mail,
                                 Electronic Display Boards,
                                                                        Vessels
          3 per week                     Radio Broadcast
                                       Information Kiosks



                            Validation
                            Feedback
                                                                    User Awareness
Establishment of INCOIS and PFZ Mission




     Ban (East)   Ban (West)   PFZ (North)
                                                PFZ (All India)
      PFZ (West) SW Monsoon     NE Monsoon
15 Apr       30 May      Aug Mid Oct Late Nov                     15 Apr

Three times a week (Mon, Wed, Fri)
   (non-cloudy, non-ban period)
PFZ map and text
PFZ advisories - weekly thrice to daily
                                                      Time line of the
                                             Operational Process before and after
                                                 OceanSat-2 Ground station
                                        Before          After
                                        14 00 hrs      15 00 hrs       7       Dissemination


                                        13 00 hrs                              Advisory Generation
                                                       14 30 hrs       6




                    Previous day data
                                                                               Interpretation
                                        11 00 hrs      14 00 hrs       5

                                                                               OCM / MODIS
                                        10 00 hrs      13 30 hrs       4       Processing


                                        07 00 hrs                              OCM / MODIS Data
                                                       13 00 hrs       3
                                                                               Reception

                                                     OCM / MODIS Pass Time: 12 00 Hrs

                                        16 00 hrs      14 30 hrs       2       AVHRR Processing

                                        12 00 hrs,     11 00 hrs,              AVHRR Reception
                                        15 00 hrs      14 00 hrs       1


                                                       Multi-satellites
                                                       Oceansat-2, MODIS,
                                                       METOP, NOAA-18 & 19)
                                                       and GHRSST)
Validation of Potential Fishing Zone advisories
                                             Area: Kerala Sector
                                            Details                        PFZ         Non PFZ
                             Name of the Boat                       MRR-8              MRR-10

                             Type of Boat                           Mech. Ring Seine   Mech. Ring
                                                                                       Seine
                             Duration of Total Trip                 9 Hrs 30 Min       7 Hrs 15 Min

                             Number of fishing hours                01                 01
MRR- 8
                             Number of Hauls                        01                 01
MRR- 10
                             Number of Fishermen Engaged            37                 36

                             Total Catch (Kgs)                      7200               1800
                             Major Species Caught                   Carangids          Carangids
                             Approximate cost of total catch (Rs)   3, 60, 000         90, 000
                             (@ 50 Rs /Kg)
                             Total Expenditure in Fishing           77, 600            21, 440
                             Operation (Rs)                         (Fuel: 5, 400)     (Fuel: 3, 240)
                                                                    (Wage:72, 000)     (Wage:9,
                                                                                       000)
                             Net Profit                             2, 82, 400         68, 560
PFZ Forecast based on SST
   Issued: Dec 15, 2006             Details of Simultaneous Fishing Operation by
 Valid up to: Dec 18, 2006        Two Vessels (PFZ & Non PFZ) on December 16, 2006
Validation of Potential Fishing Zone advisories
                                                                                             Area: Goa Sector
                                                                     Details                      PFZ                 Non PFZ
                                                        Name of the Boat                          MDV                    SLV

                                                        Type of Boat                           Purse Seiner           Purse Seiner

                                        MDV             Duration of Total Trip                    24 Hrs                24 Hrs

                                                        Number of fishing hours                     02                    01

                                        SLV             Number of Hauls                             02                    01
                                                        Number of Fishermen Engaged                 23                    23

                                                        Total Catch (Kgs)                         12,193                 4,000
                                                        Major Species Caught                  Coastal Tuna             Pomfrets
                                                        Approximate cost of total catch         12,00,000               6,00,000
                                                        (Rs)
                                                        Total Expenditure in Fishing             36,000              26,050
                                                        Operation (Rs)                        (Fuel: 10,000)       (Fuel:9,000)
                                                                                              (Wage:20,000)       (Wage:15,000)
                                                                                              (Other: 6,000)      (Other: 2,400)
                                                        Net Profit                              11,64,000               5,73,950


PFZ Forecast based on SST/Chlorophyll image of 06-07                   Details of Simultaneous Fishing Operation by
                     April 2006
                                                                       Two Vessels (PFZ & Non PFZ) on April 10, 2006
  Issued: April 08 2006 & Valid up to: April 11, 2006
Validation of Potential Fishing Zone advisories



                                        Validations of PFZ
                                         advisories     using
                                         same type of fishing
                                         vessels and fishing
                                         gears




 630 validations were carried
  out during 2007-2012
Cost - benefits
 On an average 50% reduction in search time indicates that annual savings on
  account of diesel consumption for

     mechanised vessels is about Rs.6.0 lakhs (5500)

     motorised boats is Rs.1.95 lakhs (14000)

     small motorised boats is Rs. 1.65 lakhs (10000)

 Considering that 25% of the boat owners are using PFZ advisories this
  amounts to a saving of Rs. 163 crores for Kerala.

 If 100 % of the mechanized and motorized boats operating in Kerala use PFZ
  advisories, this will account for annual savings of about Rs. 600 crores just on
  account of diesel savings in addition to the valuable human effort.

 Extrapolation of the above results to the national scenario indicates a
  savings of Rs. 1351 crores for 25 % usage and Rs. 5000 crores for 100% usage
Ocean State Forecast




Irrespective of the level of technology they would like to know   F
'how it is going to be out there when they are at sea‘.           o
                                                                  r
                                                                  e
                                                                  c
                                                 Numerical
                                                                  a
                                                 Models
                                                                  s
                                                                  t
                                                                  s
Ocean State Forecast




     Wave height and
     direction forecasts
Wave
forecast
for coastal
states
Ocean State Forecast

                       Karwar




    Puduchery          Port Blair
Ocean State Forecast –   ocean currents and temperature
Ocean State Forecast –   Mixed layer and thermocline
Ocean Tuna fishing advisories layer
      State Forecast – Mixed                                                   and thermocline

Chlorophyll-a          Sea Surface Temperature      Water clarity (Kd 490)




Depth of thermocline       Mixed Layer Depth        Wind Speed and Direction




                42 Tuna Advisories during 2011-12
Vertical migration of Tuna off Visakhapatnam
Ocean State Forecast – Winds, waves & currents
High wave alerts for A & N and Cyclone Thane
Ocean State Forecasts

High Wave Alerts                    Forecasts along ship route
Prediction of tides along the Indian coast
Dissemination mechanisms
Telephone / Fax
Electronic Display Boards
Emails
Website
  Text
  Web GIS
SMS
Radio and Doordarshan
Local News Papers
Information Kiosks
           Radio Benziger
mKRISHI – MOBILE APPLICATION (DISSEMINATION)




                                  mKRISHI
                                                           Increase in Self-
                                                         esteem, Safety (two
 • Perceived as a large scale                              major incidents
                                                             highlighted)
   impact      on      fishing
  community     safety,     and                                                Reduction in Diesel,
                                                                                 Carbon Credit
  livelihood.
 • Clear   impact    on     the                            Impact
  environment.                        Upto 50% Cost
 • World    bank    found    it        saving (diesel,
                                      labor), Subsidy
  effective & looking at
  scaling up.                                            Feedback based model
                                                              innovation

   Implementation: CMFRI-RC, Mumbai and TCS
FISHER FRIEND MOBILE APPLICATION - BRINGING HELPFUL
INFORMATION TO RURAL FISHERMEN (DISSEMINATION)




                                       Information       on
                                       Potential    Fishing
                                       Zone, Wave height,
                                       Weather,       Flash
                                       News, Government
                                       Schemes            /
                                       announcements,
                                       Market, Rural Yellow
                                       Pages
FISHERMEN HELP-LINE(DISSEMINATION)
            Phone in
                                                          Generic Fisheries
            Program
                                                           related Queries
                        INCOIS Services                                     Expert
Queries from                                                              Consortium

Fisher folks             Early warning                                      CAS
                     Potential Fishing Zone                               CMFRI
                     Ocean State Forecast                            Anna University
          INCOIS                                                      Fisheries Dep.
                      Centralized Help                              Individual experts
                            Line                                  Academic Institutions
                           (24x7)

   Analysis                Tablet computing
                                                          INCOIS-
                               PFZ – GIS
                       Ocean State Forecast models
                             Early Warning
                                                           MSSRF
                                                     Knowledge Management System


Help-line No.: TN: 9282442311, 9282442312 & AP: 7569059856, 7569079047)
Workshop /Awareness Campaigns




User Interaction Workshops   User Interaction in Danavaipet, E G Dist, Andhra Pradesh
Increasing user base
Benefits from PFZ advisories and ocean state forecasts
        Impact Assessment and Economic Benefits
 Identifications of PFZs as well as Ocean State forecast by INCOIS are found to
    be both timely, accurate and of significant value to the fishing community.
   The economic benefits resulting from identification of PFZ is estimated as:
      • If Only mechanized crafts adopt PFZ: contribution to national GDP can go
        up from 0.81 % to 1.47%.
      • If both mechanized and motorized crafts adopt PFZ: contribution can go
        to 1.58-2.00 % of national GDP
      • If all mechanized crafts, motorised crafts and traditional crafts adopt
        PFZ: contribution to national GDP would be ~ 2.04 %.
   Total Annual net income due to PFZ: `34,000 to 50,000 Crore’
   Catalytic roles by MS Swaminathan Research Foundation (MSSRF), Village
    Resource Centres (VRC) and Village Knowledge Centre (VKC) in raising
    awareness and facilitating the knowledge transfer
   The proactive role of INCOIS with the catalytic role of the partnering agency
    like MSSRF and NGOs could be major milestones in the road map for the
    progress
From the Executive Summary of a National survey by National Council of Applied Economic Research (NCAER)
Potential fishing zone advisories & ocean state forecasts_Dr Shenoi( The Kerala Environment Congress)_2012

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Potential fishing zone advisories & ocean state forecasts_Dr Shenoi( The Kerala Environment Congress)_2012

  • 1. Kerala Environment Congress 18 August 2012, Rajive Gandhi Centre for Biotechnology, Thiruvanandapuram Potential Fishing Zone Advisories and Ocean State Forecasts S.S.C. Shenoi Indian National Centre for Ocean Information Services (INCOIS) Hyderabad – 500 055
  • 2. Marine Fisheries in India – some facts Area of country 3.29 million sq. m Area of Exclusive 2.02 million sq. m Economic Zone (EEZ) Length of coastline 8130 km Fish production 2.8 million tonnes (Marine) Estimated production 3.9 million tonnes Contribution to GDP 1.04 % Fishing villages 3202 Fish landing centers 1332 Fisherfolk families 7.5 lakhs (approx) Fisherflok population 35.0 lakhs (approx) Mechanised boats 60000 (approx) Motorised boats 75000 (approx) Non-motorised 100000 (approx)
  • 3. Traditional methods of locating the fishing grounds Bird Congregation Colour Fish Bubbles breaking on Surface Availability Type Quantity Muddy and oily water and calm Sea Reflection in the Night Kaladu (a kind of smell)
  • 4. Traditional methods of locating the fishing grounds Traditionally, the success of fishing trip depended on fisherman's keen sense of sight, smell and hearing.  Often, the fishing trips resulted in spending longer days at sea and returning with low or no catch.  A good catch was mostly ascribed to the ‘luck of fisherman’!  It is necessary to examine the scientific data and device methods to pre-determine the locations of probable fishing grounds at sea so that the fishermen need not try out their luck or return empty handed.
  • 5. Ariel surveys to locate the fishing grounds  Visual fish spotting from aircraft was successfully demonstrated for locating a number of pelagic species such as anchovy, swordfish, menhaden and tuna in western countries.  A trained observer acts as a “sensor”, spots the school of fish and communicates with the vessels in the area using radio link.  The trained observer distinguishes the fish shoal based on their colour, behaviour and schooling patterns.  But, use of aircrafts on a day-to-day basis over the vast areas would be prohibitively expensive and unviable.  Use of satellite remote sensing could be the other alternative, but the direct detection of fish using remote sensing is not possible with the current levels of technology.
  • 6. Indirect detection is possible by observing the associated sea surface phenomena Environmental factors Temperature Light Salinity Chlorophyll Dissolved Feeding Nutrients Breeding Oxygen Surface Currents Wind
  • 7. Remote sensing of sea surface parameters Chlorophyll – biological productivity SST – thermal fronts, upwelling Eddies, meanders, upwelling fronts, rings, filaments, etc.
  • 8. Use of remote sensing to identify the potential locations for fishing  Evolved from the MRSIS programme of DOD in early 1990’s  Used satellite derived SST for the demarcation of ‘potential shoals of fish aggregation’ in the Indian waters  Generation of PFZ advisories started during 1996-97 at National Remote Sensing Agency, Hyderabad using NOAA- AVHRR derived SST data.  Disseminated through state fishery departments using FAX and TELEFAX  Due to the usage of data from single satellite, at least 3 days data was required Thus the PFZ advisory service to cover the Indian coast and to generate the PFZ maps was limited to twice a week.
  • 9. Establishment of INCOIS and PFZ Mission R&D Efforts, Modelling, Technology Development Dissemination Operational Multi lingual Delivery (Map, Text) Fishing Fax, Phone, News Paper, Generation (SST, Chlorophyll) Internet, e-mail, Electronic Display Boards, Vessels 3 per week Radio Broadcast Information Kiosks Validation Feedback User Awareness
  • 10. Establishment of INCOIS and PFZ Mission Ban (East) Ban (West) PFZ (North) PFZ (All India) PFZ (West) SW Monsoon NE Monsoon 15 Apr 30 May Aug Mid Oct Late Nov 15 Apr Three times a week (Mon, Wed, Fri) (non-cloudy, non-ban period)
  • 11. PFZ map and text
  • 12. PFZ advisories - weekly thrice to daily Time line of the Operational Process before and after OceanSat-2 Ground station Before After 14 00 hrs 15 00 hrs 7 Dissemination 13 00 hrs Advisory Generation 14 30 hrs 6 Previous day data Interpretation 11 00 hrs 14 00 hrs 5 OCM / MODIS 10 00 hrs 13 30 hrs 4 Processing 07 00 hrs OCM / MODIS Data 13 00 hrs 3 Reception OCM / MODIS Pass Time: 12 00 Hrs 16 00 hrs 14 30 hrs 2 AVHRR Processing 12 00 hrs, 11 00 hrs, AVHRR Reception 15 00 hrs 14 00 hrs 1 Multi-satellites Oceansat-2, MODIS, METOP, NOAA-18 & 19) and GHRSST)
  • 13. Validation of Potential Fishing Zone advisories Area: Kerala Sector Details PFZ Non PFZ Name of the Boat MRR-8 MRR-10 Type of Boat Mech. Ring Seine Mech. Ring Seine Duration of Total Trip 9 Hrs 30 Min 7 Hrs 15 Min Number of fishing hours 01 01 MRR- 8 Number of Hauls 01 01 MRR- 10 Number of Fishermen Engaged 37 36 Total Catch (Kgs) 7200 1800 Major Species Caught Carangids Carangids Approximate cost of total catch (Rs) 3, 60, 000 90, 000 (@ 50 Rs /Kg) Total Expenditure in Fishing 77, 600 21, 440 Operation (Rs) (Fuel: 5, 400) (Fuel: 3, 240) (Wage:72, 000) (Wage:9, 000) Net Profit 2, 82, 400 68, 560 PFZ Forecast based on SST Issued: Dec 15, 2006 Details of Simultaneous Fishing Operation by Valid up to: Dec 18, 2006 Two Vessels (PFZ & Non PFZ) on December 16, 2006
  • 14. Validation of Potential Fishing Zone advisories Area: Goa Sector Details PFZ Non PFZ Name of the Boat MDV SLV Type of Boat Purse Seiner Purse Seiner MDV Duration of Total Trip 24 Hrs 24 Hrs Number of fishing hours 02 01 SLV Number of Hauls 02 01 Number of Fishermen Engaged 23 23 Total Catch (Kgs) 12,193 4,000 Major Species Caught Coastal Tuna Pomfrets Approximate cost of total catch 12,00,000 6,00,000 (Rs) Total Expenditure in Fishing 36,000 26,050 Operation (Rs) (Fuel: 10,000) (Fuel:9,000) (Wage:20,000) (Wage:15,000) (Other: 6,000) (Other: 2,400) Net Profit 11,64,000 5,73,950 PFZ Forecast based on SST/Chlorophyll image of 06-07 Details of Simultaneous Fishing Operation by April 2006 Two Vessels (PFZ & Non PFZ) on April 10, 2006 Issued: April 08 2006 & Valid up to: April 11, 2006
  • 15. Validation of Potential Fishing Zone advisories  Validations of PFZ advisories using same type of fishing vessels and fishing gears  630 validations were carried out during 2007-2012
  • 16. Cost - benefits  On an average 50% reduction in search time indicates that annual savings on account of diesel consumption for  mechanised vessels is about Rs.6.0 lakhs (5500)  motorised boats is Rs.1.95 lakhs (14000)  small motorised boats is Rs. 1.65 lakhs (10000)  Considering that 25% of the boat owners are using PFZ advisories this amounts to a saving of Rs. 163 crores for Kerala.  If 100 % of the mechanized and motorized boats operating in Kerala use PFZ advisories, this will account for annual savings of about Rs. 600 crores just on account of diesel savings in addition to the valuable human effort.  Extrapolation of the above results to the national scenario indicates a savings of Rs. 1351 crores for 25 % usage and Rs. 5000 crores for 100% usage
  • 17. Ocean State Forecast Irrespective of the level of technology they would like to know F 'how it is going to be out there when they are at sea‘. o r e c Numerical a Models s t s
  • 18. Ocean State Forecast Wave height and direction forecasts
  • 20. Ocean State Forecast Karwar Puduchery Port Blair
  • 21. Ocean State Forecast – ocean currents and temperature
  • 22. Ocean State Forecast – Mixed layer and thermocline
  • 23. Ocean Tuna fishing advisories layer State Forecast – Mixed and thermocline Chlorophyll-a Sea Surface Temperature Water clarity (Kd 490) Depth of thermocline Mixed Layer Depth Wind Speed and Direction 42 Tuna Advisories during 2011-12
  • 24. Vertical migration of Tuna off Visakhapatnam
  • 25. Ocean State Forecast – Winds, waves & currents
  • 26. High wave alerts for A & N and Cyclone Thane
  • 27. Ocean State Forecasts High Wave Alerts Forecasts along ship route
  • 28. Prediction of tides along the Indian coast
  • 29. Dissemination mechanisms Telephone / Fax Electronic Display Boards Emails Website Text Web GIS SMS Radio and Doordarshan Local News Papers Information Kiosks Radio Benziger
  • 30. mKRISHI – MOBILE APPLICATION (DISSEMINATION) mKRISHI Increase in Self- esteem, Safety (two • Perceived as a large scale major incidents highlighted) impact on fishing community safety, and Reduction in Diesel, Carbon Credit livelihood. • Clear impact on the Impact environment. Upto 50% Cost • World bank found it saving (diesel, labor), Subsidy effective & looking at scaling up. Feedback based model innovation Implementation: CMFRI-RC, Mumbai and TCS
  • 31. FISHER FRIEND MOBILE APPLICATION - BRINGING HELPFUL INFORMATION TO RURAL FISHERMEN (DISSEMINATION) Information on Potential Fishing Zone, Wave height, Weather, Flash News, Government Schemes / announcements, Market, Rural Yellow Pages
  • 32. FISHERMEN HELP-LINE(DISSEMINATION) Phone in Generic Fisheries Program related Queries INCOIS Services Expert Queries from Consortium Fisher folks Early warning CAS Potential Fishing Zone CMFRI Ocean State Forecast Anna University INCOIS Fisheries Dep. Centralized Help Individual experts Line Academic Institutions (24x7) Analysis Tablet computing INCOIS- PFZ – GIS Ocean State Forecast models Early Warning MSSRF Knowledge Management System Help-line No.: TN: 9282442311, 9282442312 & AP: 7569059856, 7569079047)
  • 33. Workshop /Awareness Campaigns User Interaction Workshops User Interaction in Danavaipet, E G Dist, Andhra Pradesh
  • 35. Benefits from PFZ advisories and ocean state forecasts Impact Assessment and Economic Benefits  Identifications of PFZs as well as Ocean State forecast by INCOIS are found to be both timely, accurate and of significant value to the fishing community.  The economic benefits resulting from identification of PFZ is estimated as: • If Only mechanized crafts adopt PFZ: contribution to national GDP can go up from 0.81 % to 1.47%. • If both mechanized and motorized crafts adopt PFZ: contribution can go to 1.58-2.00 % of national GDP • If all mechanized crafts, motorised crafts and traditional crafts adopt PFZ: contribution to national GDP would be ~ 2.04 %.  Total Annual net income due to PFZ: `34,000 to 50,000 Crore’  Catalytic roles by MS Swaminathan Research Foundation (MSSRF), Village Resource Centres (VRC) and Village Knowledge Centre (VKC) in raising awareness and facilitating the knowledge transfer  The proactive role of INCOIS with the catalytic role of the partnering agency like MSSRF and NGOs could be major milestones in the road map for the progress From the Executive Summary of a National survey by National Council of Applied Economic Research (NCAER)