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International Journal of Engineering Research and Development
eISSN : 2278-067X, pISSN : 2278-800X, www.ijerd.com
Volume 2, Issue 3 (July 2012), PP. 29-34

A Comparative Study of Water Quality Indices of River Godavari
                          Mahesh Kumar.Akkaraboyina 1, Prof B.S.N.Raju2
                      1
                        Research Scholar, Civil Engineering Department, Andhra University, Visakhapatnam
                2
                    Research Guide, Head of Civil Engineering Department, Andhra University Visakhapatnam.



Abstract––The study related to the assessment of water quality parameters of River Godavari was carried out to evaluate
the various water quality parameters and to calculate water quality index. In this paper the seasonal variations of WQI of
the developed Actual measured and Time series models during the study period (2009-2012) and future period (2012-
2015) of Rajahmundry and Dowlaiswaram water quality monitoring stations in Andhra Pradesh state, India, are
discussed. The monthly values of eight water quality parameters viz., pH, Dissolved Oxygen, Electrical Conductivity,
Total Dissolved Solids, Total Alkalinity, Total Hardness, Calcium and Magnesium were used to calculate the WQI. The
results of the statistical performance test indicated that the developed models of respective stations exhibited significant
performance with MAE= 4.97 & 3.41, RMSE=7.31 & 5.82 and MAPE=5.15% & 3.48% respectively. It was found that
due to high weightage factor the fluctuations of DO levels caused significant variations. From the present study it is
concluded that the future water quality of River Godavari at Rajahmundry and Dowlaiswaram stations will be of
excellent to good quality. WQI can be successfully tool to transform the complex water quality data into information that
is easily understandable and useable by the general public and decision makers.

Keywords––Dowlaiswaram, Rajahmundry, Rating factor, River Godavari, Weightage factor, WQI

                                            I.           INTRODUCTION
          Water is the prime requirement for the existence of life and thus it has been man’s endeavor for the time
immemorial to utilize the available resources. The unbridled exploitation of water for irrigation, drinking and industrial
purposes has caused a drastic decline of the quality and availability of water. The over-exploitation of limited resources has
not only caused a perceptible decline in the water table, but also resulted in the enormous increase of pollutants
concentration. The ever growing population exerts a great pressure on this resource. The never ending growth of population
and ill-planned exploitation of the water resource created a situation, where the very survival of man has become
endangered. The concern for protecting the quality and overuse of earth’s natural resources has been increasing in recent
years all over the world. The global awareness and concern for the environment have paved way for the installation of
various policies to control and prevent environmental pollution. Implementation of these policies has resulted in
development of various technologies, which will allow for the sustainable utilization of earth’s resources. Thus preventing
and controlling the overall degradation of the quantity and quality of these resources. Hence proper management of available
water resources is essential for the survival of mankind.

           Interpretation of complex water quality data is difficult to understand and to communicate during decision making
process. Assembling the various parameters of the water quality data into one single number leads an easy interpretation of
data, thus providing an important tool for management and decision making purposes. The purpose of an index is to
transform the large quantity of data into information that is easily understandable by the general public. Water quality inde x
exhibits the overall water quality at a specific location and specific time based on several water quality parameters. WQI is a
set of standards used to measure changes in water quality in a particular river reach over time and make comparisons from
different reaches of a river. A WQI also allows for comparisons to be made between different rivers. This index allows for a
general analysis of water quality on many levels that affect a stream’s ability to host life and whether the overall quality of
water bodies poses a potential threat to various uses of water.

           The WQI was first developed by Horton in the early 1970s, is basically a mathematical means of calculating a
single value from multiple test results. The index result represents the level of water quality in a given water basin, such as
lake, river or stream. After Horton a number of workers all over the world developed WQI based on rating of different water
quality parameters. Basically a WQI attempts to provide a mechanism for presenting a cumulatively derived, numerical
expression defining a certain level of water quality (Miller et al.,[1] 1986). The different statistical approaches were followed
for analyzing water quality data based on rank order of observations and factor analysis (Shoji et al.,[2], 1966). For the
evaluation of water quality, WQI was applied to river water (Ashwani Kumar et al., [3], 2009, Rita.N.Kumar et al., [4],
2009, N. Singkran. et al, [5], 2010).

          The objectives of the present paper are (1) to determine the future situations of water quality index using the
standards of Central Public Health Environmental Engineering Organization (CPHEEO) [6], 1991 & Indian Council of
Medical Research (ICMR) [7], 1975 and (2) to categorize the conditions of water quality as per the classification criteria
standards based on National Sanitation Foundation Water Quality Index (3) to compare the future water quality of the River
at Rajahmundry and Dowlaiswaram stations.

                                                              29
A Comparative Study of Water Quality Indices of River Godavari

                                                        II.           STUDY AREA
          Godavari is the largest river in south India and ranks 3rd among the Indian rivers, flows 1465Km and empties into
the Bay of Bengal. It rises in the Sahayadri hills, in Maharastra state and it reaches Andhra Pradesh receiving water from th e
Manjira, the Pranahita (which itself is itself formed by the confluence of the three rivers viz., the Wardha, the Painganga and
the Wainganga); the Mannair, the Indravathi and the Sabari. The last major tributary of Godavari is Sabari which falls into
Godavari about 1268Km from its source. After the confluence with Sabari, the Godavari begins to wind amongst the hills of
the Eastern Ghats, which gradually close on it, till it is forced to go through a picturesque gorge at Papikonda which for fi ve
kilometers is as narrow as 60mts to 90mts at flood time. The river enters the Andhra Pradesh state near Bhadrachalam and
flows along Godhavarikhani, Rajahmundry, Kovvur, Tallapudi and Narsapur in a southeast direction until it empties into the
Bay of Bengal through two mouths. The upper waters of the Godavari are scarcely utilized for irrigation, but the entire delta
has turned into a garden of perennial crops by means of the anicut at Dowlaiswaram, constructed by Sir Arthur Cotton 145
years ago.

           Rajahmundry is located at 16.98°N 81.78°E with an average elevation of 14 meters (45 feet). It is the fourth largest
city in Andhra Pradesh, on the banks of the River Godavari, well known as the Cultural Capital of Andhra Pradesh. The
city's origins can be traced back to the rule of the Chalukya king Rajaraja Narendra who reigned around 1022 A.D after
whom it is named Rajamahendri or Rajamahendravaram. The Dowlaiswaram town, located at 16.34°N 81.29°E a suburb and
part of Rajahmundry urban agglomeration, in the East Godavari district of Andhra Pradesh, India. It is approximately four
kilometers distance from Rajahmundry and Sir Arthur Cotton barrage across river Godavari is located in Dowlaiswaram.
This barrage serves a command area of nearly10lakh acres in East and West Godavari districts. River Godavari is a
inseparable part in the lives of population living in and around Dowlaiswaram and Rajahmundry. There are a few corporate
and multinational companies as part of its industrial development. Hence the present research work has been taken up to
assess the seasonal water quality variation and to forecast the fate of River Godavari due to various developmental activitie s
taking place in and around Rajahmundry and Dowlaiswaram.

                                      III.               MATERIALS AND METHODS
            Water samples were collected once in every month from the water quality monitoring stations of Rajahmundry and
Dowlaiswaram, from the surface waters of the River. The water samples were analyzed as per the standard methods of
practice at “Water Quality Level –II Laboratory”, Dowlaiswaram, Hydrology Project, Irrigation & CAD Department,
Government of Andhra Pradesh, India. The water quality data of various parameters were studied during the period Jan 2009
to May 2012 and historic data obtained from the Hydrology Department, Govt of Andhra Pradesh, was used in the analysis.
The analysis of the water quality data for estimation of quality parameters and WQI values was made based on season wise.
The values of the parameters predicted were used for the calculation of the WQI values of Time series model (09-12). The
WQI obtained by the actual measured model and Time series (09-12) of respective stations were compared using the
statistical criterion for performance (Mean Absolute Error, Root Mean Square Error and Mean Absolute Prediction Error).
Using the overall data available till date, the water quality parameters for the future years June 2012 to May 2015 were
estimated and used for the prediction of WQI of Time series (2012-2015). A comparison study was done basing on the
forecasted WQI values of the two stations for the future period (2012-2015) to identify the existence of significance if any.
The yearwise trend patterns of WQI of both stations were studied.

          Water quality index was calculated for each and every month for assessing the quality of water. It was done by
considering eight important physio-chemical properties using Central Public Health Environmental Engineering
Organisation (CPHEEO), 1991 & Indian Council of Medical Research (ICMR), 1975 standards. In order to calculate WQI
eight important parameters, pH, dissolved oxygen (DO), total dissolved solids (TDS), electrical conductivity (EC), Total
Alkalinity (Alk), Total hardness (Har-T), calcium (Ca) and magnesium (Mg) were used . These parameters maximum
contribute for the quality of river. The steps for determining water quality index are as follows:

3.1 WEIGTHGE FACTOR
          Factors which have higher permissible limits are less harmful because they can harm quality of river water when
they are present in very high quantity. So weightage of factor has an inverse relationship with its permissible limits.
Therefore        Wi α1/ Xi
Or Wi = k/Xi
Where, k = constant of proportionality
Wi = unit weight of factor
Xi = maximum permissible limits as recommended by
     Indian Council of Medical Research / Public
    Health Environmental Engineering Organization

Values of k was calculated as:
                                                               k =           1            .
                                                                       8
                                                                               1
                                                                              ( )
                                                                               Xi
                                                                      𝑖=1
Where
 8       1         1         1          1           1           1            1           1          1
 𝑖=1    (Xi ) = Xi (pH )+ Xi (DO ) + Xi (EC ) + Xi (TDS ) + Xi (Alk ) + Xi (Har −t) + Xi (Ca ) + Xi (Mg )

                                                                            30
A Comparative Study of Water Quality Indices of River Godavari

The weightage of all the factors were calculated on the basis of the above equation.

                   Table I: Water Quality factors: the ICMR / CPHEEO standards assigned unit Weights
                                                               ICMR /                 Unit
                                       Water quality
                                                              CPHEEO                 Weight
                                         Factors
                                                            Standards (Xi)            (Wi)
                                         pH            7.0 – 8.5 **                   0.322
                                  Dissolved Oxygen         >5*                        0.548
                                      Electrical
                                                          <300*                       0.009
                                    Conductivity
                                   Total Dissolved
                                                        < 1500**                      0.002
                                        solids
                                   Total Alkalinity       <120*                       0.023
                                   Total Hardness        <600**                       0.005
                                      Calcium             <75*                        0.037
                                     Magnesium            <50*                        0.055
*ICMR Standards (1975)       **CPHEEO Standards (1991)

3.2 RATING FACTOR
          Rating scale (Table 3) was prepared for range of values of each parameter. The rating varies from 0 to 100 and is
divided into five intervals. The rating Xr = 0 implies that the parameter present in water exceeds the standard maximum
permissible limits and water is severely polluted. On the other hand Xr = 100 implies that the parameter present in water has
the most desirable value. The other ratings fall between these two extremes and are Xr = 40, Xr = 60 and Xr = 80 standing
for excessively polluted, moderately polluted and slightly less polluted respectively. This scale is modified version of rating
scale given by Tiwari and Mishra [8] (1985).

                                          Table II: Rating Scale for Calculating WQI
                              Water
                             Quality                                    Ranges
                            Parameter
                           pH               7.0–     8.6 - 8.7        8.8 – 8.9   9.0 – 9.2    >9.2
                                             8.5     6.8 – 6.9        6.7 – 6.8   6.5 – 6.7    < 6.5
                           Dissolved        > 7.0    5.1 - 7.0        4.1 – 5.0   3.1 – 4.0    <3.0
                           Oxygen
                           Electrical        0–         75.1–         150.1 –     225.1 -      >300
                           Conductivity       75         150            225         300
                           Total             0-        375.1–         750.1-      1125.1–      >1500
                           Dissolved         375         750           1125        1500
                           Solids
                           Total            21-50    50.1- 70         70.1 – 90    90.1 –      >120
                           Alkalinity                15.1 - 20        10.1 – 15     120         <6
                                                                                   6 – 10
                           Total             0-       150.1 –          300.1–     450.1 –      >600
                           Hardness          150        300             450         600
                           Calcium           0–        20.1 –          40.1 –      60.1 –       >75
                                              20        40.0            60.0        75.0
                           Magnesium         0–        12.6 –          25.1 –     37.6 -50      >50
                                            12.5        25.0            37.5
                           Xr                100         80              60          40           0
                           Extent of        Clean      Slight         Moderate     Excess      Severe
                           Pollution                 pollution        Pollution   Pollution   Pollution


                                          Table III: Rating Scale for Quality of water
                                                Value of       Quality of Water
                                                  WQI
                                                90 – 100           Excellent
                                                 70 – 90             Good
                                                 50 – 70           Medium
                                                 25 - 50              Bad
                                                  0 - 25           Very Bad
3.3 Water Quality Index Calculation
          Essentially, a WQI is a compilation of a number of parameters that can be used to determine the overall quality of
a river. WQI is calculated for each month and is given in Table 4. The parameters involved in the WQI are dissolved oxygen,
                                                                 31
A Comparative Study of Water Quality Indices of River Godavari

pH, Dissolved Oxygen, Electrical Conductivity, Total Dissolved solids, Total alkalinity, Total Hardness, Calcium and
Magnesium. The numerical value is then multiplied by a weighting factor that is relative to the significance of the test to
water quality. The sum of the resulting values is added together to arrive at an overall water quality index.

WQI = Wi x Xr
i.e. Water Quality Index is equal to the product of rating (Xr) and unit weight (Wi) of all the factors.

Wi x Xr = Wi(pH) x Xr(pH) + Wi(DO) x Xr(DO) + Wi(EC)
          + Xr (EC) + Wi(TDS) x Xr(TDS) + Wi(Tot.Alk)
          x Xr(Tot.Alk) + Wi(Hardness) x Xr(Hardness)
          + Wi(Ca) x Xr(Ca) + Wi(Mg) x Xr(Mg)

         The values of Xi, Wi and Xr are given in Tables 2 and 3. Hence by multiplying Wi and Xr we can get the value of
WQI. The WQI result represent the level of water quality in a given water basin such as lake, river or stream. Similar WQI
was given by Mariappan et al., [9], (1998) by using nine important water quality parameters.

                                 IV.           RESULTS AND DISCUSSIONS
          The descriptive statistics of the three developed models viz., Actual Measured WQI model, Time Series (09-12)
model and Time Series (12-15) model of the two monitoring stations are tabulated below (Tab:IV). Significant correlation
was found for the two stations, which is attributed to the consistency in the estimation of the forecasted water quality
parameters. The trend patterns of WQI for both stations for the future period were significantly identical except for a few
months. The values of the WQI for both the stations matched well except for a few month, which is due to variations of
Dissolved oxygen levels. The results of the statistical performance test of the Actual measured and Timeseries model (09-12)
are tabulated in Table:V. The values of the WQI of Rajahmundry station and Dowlaiswaram are significantly identical for all
the four seasons of the future period (2012-2015) except for a few months during NorthEast monsoon season (Oct to Dec).

           The availability of dissolved oxygen plays an important role in the health of the river; hence higher weightage
factor was given to dissolved oxygen. As such slight change of D.O altered the rating factor, and WQI which is obtained by
the product of weigthage factor and rating factor significantly altered, thereby affecting the pattern of the WQI. The rating
factor Xr= 100 and Xr=80 were adopted for D.O > 7.0 and <=7.0 respective ly with a weigth factor of 0.548 which led to
the difference of WQI values by 10units.

          The higher values of WQI indicated that the water is very much clear and free of any impurities, and the water is in
good condition to support the biotic communities. Identical values of WQI were obtained for the Southwest monsoon season
(June to Sep), Winter season (Jan to Feb) and summer season (Mar to May) for all the future three years. Almost similar
values were obtained for the year 2012-2013; which indicated that the water quality is of excellent grade.

   Table IV: Descriptive Statistics of Water Quality Index of Rajahmundry and Dowlaiswaram Water Quality Monitoring
                                                           Station
                                                              Max Mea         Std.   Vari
                                  Time Period         Min
                                                                      n       Dev    ance
                                                     RAJAHMUNDRY
                                                      88.0    99.4
                                Actual Measured
                                                       4        6   96.53    4.74    22.51
                                Time Series (09-      87.6    99.2
                                       12)             8        8   93.98    5.68    32.22
                                Time Series (12-      88.3    99.4
                                       15)             2        6   95.07    5.17    26.72
                                                    DOWLAISWARAM
                                                      88.3    99.2
                                Actual Measured
                                                       2        8   98.31    2.38    5.65
                                Time Series (09-      87.8    99.2
                                       12)             6        8   95.41    5.02    25.16
                                Time Series (12-      87.8    99.4
                                       15)             6        6   93.93    5.26    27.62

                                       Table V: Results of Statistical Performance Test
                                 Station           MAE              RMSE         MAPE
                                 Rajahmundry       4.97             7.31         5.15
                                 Dowlaiswaram      3.41             5.82         3.48




                                                               32
A Comparative Study of Water Quality Indices of River Godavari

                              100


                                     WQI- 2012-13
                                                                                        RJY
                                                                                        DWLM
                               95




                               90
                                    June July Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May

                              100

                                         WQI-2013-14

                               95                                                       RJY

                                                                                        DWLM


                               90




                               85
                                    June July Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May


                              100


                                      WQI-2014-15
                               95                                                      RJY

                                                                                       DWLM

                               90




                               85
                                    June July Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May



                       Figure showing the Variations of WQI of Monitoring Stations for future years

                                            V.           CONCLUSION
           The results of the study indicated that the water quality of Rajahmundry and Dowlaiswaram water quality
monitoring stations exhibited significant seasonal trend pattern for the future period (2012-2015). The statistical criterion
revealed that the MAE= 4.97 & 3.41, RMSE=7.31 & 5.82 and MAPE=5.15% & 3.48% respectively for the two stations,
which indicated that the developed models were performing well. The variations of WQI during NorthEast monsoon season
are attributed to the fluctuations in Dissolved Oxygen levels. The predicted values of WQI for the future years (2012-2015)
reveals that the water quality of River Godavari is Excellent to Good quality.

          The factors with high weightage factor dictated the evaluation of WQI. The low values reported in the historic data
controled the accuracy of prediction of the developed model using time series forecasting methods. However necessary
preventive measures to maintain high water quality of the Mighty River must be taken up to ensure the safety of the river
and to preserve this valuable resource to the future generations. Water Quality Index may be used as a tool to convey the
information regarding the quality of water in an easy and understandable way to the public and policy makers.



                                                            33
A Comparative Study of Water Quality Indices of River Godavari

                                                      REFERENCES
[1].   Miller, W.W.Joung, et al., 1986. Identification of water quality differences in Nevada through index application. J.Environ
       Quality 15, 265-272.
[2].   Shoji. H, et al., 1966. Factor analysis of stream pollution of the Yodo River Sysytem. Air Water Pollut. Inst J. 10,291-299.
[3].   Ashwani Kumar and Anish Dua, 2009, Water quality index for assessment of water quality of River Ravi at Madhopur. Global
       Journal of Environmental Sciences Vol. 8 No.1, 2009: 49-57
[4].   Rita .N.Kumar, et al., 2009, An assessment of seasonal variation and water quality index of Sabarmati River and Kharicut canal
       at Ahemadabad, Gujarat; Electronic journal of environmental, agricultural and food chemistry, 2011; 2248-2261
[5].   N. Singkran, et al., 2010, Determining water conditions in the Northeastern rivers of Thailand using time series and water
       quality index models, Journal of Sustainable Energy & Environment 2010;47-58
[6].   CPHEEO (Central Public Health Environmental Engineering Organization), 1991. Manual of water supply and treatment ,
       Ministry of Urban Development, New Delhi.
[7].   ICMR, 1975, Manual of standards of quality for drinking water supllies. Indian Council of Medical Research, Spe.Rep.No.
       44:27.
[8].   Tiwari, T.N. and ,Mishra.M., 1985. A preliminary assignment of water quality index to major rivers Ind J Environ Prot. 5: 276
[9].   Mariappan., et al., 1998. Surveliance of ground water quality in Thiruppanur block of Sivagangai district. Indian J Envron Prot.
       19(4) : 250-254




                                                               34

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IJERD (www.ijerd.com) International Journal of Engineering Research and Development

  • 1. International Journal of Engineering Research and Development eISSN : 2278-067X, pISSN : 2278-800X, www.ijerd.com Volume 2, Issue 3 (July 2012), PP. 29-34 A Comparative Study of Water Quality Indices of River Godavari Mahesh Kumar.Akkaraboyina 1, Prof B.S.N.Raju2 1 Research Scholar, Civil Engineering Department, Andhra University, Visakhapatnam 2 Research Guide, Head of Civil Engineering Department, Andhra University Visakhapatnam. Abstract––The study related to the assessment of water quality parameters of River Godavari was carried out to evaluate the various water quality parameters and to calculate water quality index. In this paper the seasonal variations of WQI of the developed Actual measured and Time series models during the study period (2009-2012) and future period (2012- 2015) of Rajahmundry and Dowlaiswaram water quality monitoring stations in Andhra Pradesh state, India, are discussed. The monthly values of eight water quality parameters viz., pH, Dissolved Oxygen, Electrical Conductivity, Total Dissolved Solids, Total Alkalinity, Total Hardness, Calcium and Magnesium were used to calculate the WQI. The results of the statistical performance test indicated that the developed models of respective stations exhibited significant performance with MAE= 4.97 & 3.41, RMSE=7.31 & 5.82 and MAPE=5.15% & 3.48% respectively. It was found that due to high weightage factor the fluctuations of DO levels caused significant variations. From the present study it is concluded that the future water quality of River Godavari at Rajahmundry and Dowlaiswaram stations will be of excellent to good quality. WQI can be successfully tool to transform the complex water quality data into information that is easily understandable and useable by the general public and decision makers. Keywords––Dowlaiswaram, Rajahmundry, Rating factor, River Godavari, Weightage factor, WQI I. INTRODUCTION Water is the prime requirement for the existence of life and thus it has been man’s endeavor for the time immemorial to utilize the available resources. The unbridled exploitation of water for irrigation, drinking and industrial purposes has caused a drastic decline of the quality and availability of water. The over-exploitation of limited resources has not only caused a perceptible decline in the water table, but also resulted in the enormous increase of pollutants concentration. The ever growing population exerts a great pressure on this resource. The never ending growth of population and ill-planned exploitation of the water resource created a situation, where the very survival of man has become endangered. The concern for protecting the quality and overuse of earth’s natural resources has been increasing in recent years all over the world. The global awareness and concern for the environment have paved way for the installation of various policies to control and prevent environmental pollution. Implementation of these policies has resulted in development of various technologies, which will allow for the sustainable utilization of earth’s resources. Thus preventing and controlling the overall degradation of the quantity and quality of these resources. Hence proper management of available water resources is essential for the survival of mankind. Interpretation of complex water quality data is difficult to understand and to communicate during decision making process. Assembling the various parameters of the water quality data into one single number leads an easy interpretation of data, thus providing an important tool for management and decision making purposes. The purpose of an index is to transform the large quantity of data into information that is easily understandable by the general public. Water quality inde x exhibits the overall water quality at a specific location and specific time based on several water quality parameters. WQI is a set of standards used to measure changes in water quality in a particular river reach over time and make comparisons from different reaches of a river. A WQI also allows for comparisons to be made between different rivers. This index allows for a general analysis of water quality on many levels that affect a stream’s ability to host life and whether the overall quality of water bodies poses a potential threat to various uses of water. The WQI was first developed by Horton in the early 1970s, is basically a mathematical means of calculating a single value from multiple test results. The index result represents the level of water quality in a given water basin, such as lake, river or stream. After Horton a number of workers all over the world developed WQI based on rating of different water quality parameters. Basically a WQI attempts to provide a mechanism for presenting a cumulatively derived, numerical expression defining a certain level of water quality (Miller et al.,[1] 1986). The different statistical approaches were followed for analyzing water quality data based on rank order of observations and factor analysis (Shoji et al.,[2], 1966). For the evaluation of water quality, WQI was applied to river water (Ashwani Kumar et al., [3], 2009, Rita.N.Kumar et al., [4], 2009, N. Singkran. et al, [5], 2010). The objectives of the present paper are (1) to determine the future situations of water quality index using the standards of Central Public Health Environmental Engineering Organization (CPHEEO) [6], 1991 & Indian Council of Medical Research (ICMR) [7], 1975 and (2) to categorize the conditions of water quality as per the classification criteria standards based on National Sanitation Foundation Water Quality Index (3) to compare the future water quality of the River at Rajahmundry and Dowlaiswaram stations. 29
  • 2. A Comparative Study of Water Quality Indices of River Godavari II. STUDY AREA Godavari is the largest river in south India and ranks 3rd among the Indian rivers, flows 1465Km and empties into the Bay of Bengal. It rises in the Sahayadri hills, in Maharastra state and it reaches Andhra Pradesh receiving water from th e Manjira, the Pranahita (which itself is itself formed by the confluence of the three rivers viz., the Wardha, the Painganga and the Wainganga); the Mannair, the Indravathi and the Sabari. The last major tributary of Godavari is Sabari which falls into Godavari about 1268Km from its source. After the confluence with Sabari, the Godavari begins to wind amongst the hills of the Eastern Ghats, which gradually close on it, till it is forced to go through a picturesque gorge at Papikonda which for fi ve kilometers is as narrow as 60mts to 90mts at flood time. The river enters the Andhra Pradesh state near Bhadrachalam and flows along Godhavarikhani, Rajahmundry, Kovvur, Tallapudi and Narsapur in a southeast direction until it empties into the Bay of Bengal through two mouths. The upper waters of the Godavari are scarcely utilized for irrigation, but the entire delta has turned into a garden of perennial crops by means of the anicut at Dowlaiswaram, constructed by Sir Arthur Cotton 145 years ago. Rajahmundry is located at 16.98°N 81.78°E with an average elevation of 14 meters (45 feet). It is the fourth largest city in Andhra Pradesh, on the banks of the River Godavari, well known as the Cultural Capital of Andhra Pradesh. The city's origins can be traced back to the rule of the Chalukya king Rajaraja Narendra who reigned around 1022 A.D after whom it is named Rajamahendri or Rajamahendravaram. The Dowlaiswaram town, located at 16.34°N 81.29°E a suburb and part of Rajahmundry urban agglomeration, in the East Godavari district of Andhra Pradesh, India. It is approximately four kilometers distance from Rajahmundry and Sir Arthur Cotton barrage across river Godavari is located in Dowlaiswaram. This barrage serves a command area of nearly10lakh acres in East and West Godavari districts. River Godavari is a inseparable part in the lives of population living in and around Dowlaiswaram and Rajahmundry. There are a few corporate and multinational companies as part of its industrial development. Hence the present research work has been taken up to assess the seasonal water quality variation and to forecast the fate of River Godavari due to various developmental activitie s taking place in and around Rajahmundry and Dowlaiswaram. III. MATERIALS AND METHODS Water samples were collected once in every month from the water quality monitoring stations of Rajahmundry and Dowlaiswaram, from the surface waters of the River. The water samples were analyzed as per the standard methods of practice at “Water Quality Level –II Laboratory”, Dowlaiswaram, Hydrology Project, Irrigation & CAD Department, Government of Andhra Pradesh, India. The water quality data of various parameters were studied during the period Jan 2009 to May 2012 and historic data obtained from the Hydrology Department, Govt of Andhra Pradesh, was used in the analysis. The analysis of the water quality data for estimation of quality parameters and WQI values was made based on season wise. The values of the parameters predicted were used for the calculation of the WQI values of Time series model (09-12). The WQI obtained by the actual measured model and Time series (09-12) of respective stations were compared using the statistical criterion for performance (Mean Absolute Error, Root Mean Square Error and Mean Absolute Prediction Error). Using the overall data available till date, the water quality parameters for the future years June 2012 to May 2015 were estimated and used for the prediction of WQI of Time series (2012-2015). A comparison study was done basing on the forecasted WQI values of the two stations for the future period (2012-2015) to identify the existence of significance if any. The yearwise trend patterns of WQI of both stations were studied. Water quality index was calculated for each and every month for assessing the quality of water. It was done by considering eight important physio-chemical properties using Central Public Health Environmental Engineering Organisation (CPHEEO), 1991 & Indian Council of Medical Research (ICMR), 1975 standards. In order to calculate WQI eight important parameters, pH, dissolved oxygen (DO), total dissolved solids (TDS), electrical conductivity (EC), Total Alkalinity (Alk), Total hardness (Har-T), calcium (Ca) and magnesium (Mg) were used . These parameters maximum contribute for the quality of river. The steps for determining water quality index are as follows: 3.1 WEIGTHGE FACTOR Factors which have higher permissible limits are less harmful because they can harm quality of river water when they are present in very high quantity. So weightage of factor has an inverse relationship with its permissible limits. Therefore Wi α1/ Xi Or Wi = k/Xi Where, k = constant of proportionality Wi = unit weight of factor Xi = maximum permissible limits as recommended by Indian Council of Medical Research / Public Health Environmental Engineering Organization Values of k was calculated as: k = 1 . 8 1 ( ) Xi 𝑖=1 Where 8 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 𝑖=1 (Xi ) = Xi (pH )+ Xi (DO ) + Xi (EC ) + Xi (TDS ) + Xi (Alk ) + Xi (Har −t) + Xi (Ca ) + Xi (Mg ) 30
  • 3. A Comparative Study of Water Quality Indices of River Godavari The weightage of all the factors were calculated on the basis of the above equation. Table I: Water Quality factors: the ICMR / CPHEEO standards assigned unit Weights ICMR / Unit Water quality CPHEEO Weight Factors Standards (Xi) (Wi) pH 7.0 – 8.5 ** 0.322 Dissolved Oxygen >5* 0.548 Electrical <300* 0.009 Conductivity Total Dissolved < 1500** 0.002 solids Total Alkalinity <120* 0.023 Total Hardness <600** 0.005 Calcium <75* 0.037 Magnesium <50* 0.055 *ICMR Standards (1975) **CPHEEO Standards (1991) 3.2 RATING FACTOR Rating scale (Table 3) was prepared for range of values of each parameter. The rating varies from 0 to 100 and is divided into five intervals. The rating Xr = 0 implies that the parameter present in water exceeds the standard maximum permissible limits and water is severely polluted. On the other hand Xr = 100 implies that the parameter present in water has the most desirable value. The other ratings fall between these two extremes and are Xr = 40, Xr = 60 and Xr = 80 standing for excessively polluted, moderately polluted and slightly less polluted respectively. This scale is modified version of rating scale given by Tiwari and Mishra [8] (1985). Table II: Rating Scale for Calculating WQI Water Quality Ranges Parameter pH 7.0– 8.6 - 8.7 8.8 – 8.9 9.0 – 9.2 >9.2 8.5 6.8 – 6.9 6.7 – 6.8 6.5 – 6.7 < 6.5 Dissolved > 7.0 5.1 - 7.0 4.1 – 5.0 3.1 – 4.0 <3.0 Oxygen Electrical 0– 75.1– 150.1 – 225.1 - >300 Conductivity 75 150 225 300 Total 0- 375.1– 750.1- 1125.1– >1500 Dissolved 375 750 1125 1500 Solids Total 21-50 50.1- 70 70.1 – 90 90.1 – >120 Alkalinity 15.1 - 20 10.1 – 15 120 <6 6 – 10 Total 0- 150.1 – 300.1– 450.1 – >600 Hardness 150 300 450 600 Calcium 0– 20.1 – 40.1 – 60.1 – >75 20 40.0 60.0 75.0 Magnesium 0– 12.6 – 25.1 – 37.6 -50 >50 12.5 25.0 37.5 Xr 100 80 60 40 0 Extent of Clean Slight Moderate Excess Severe Pollution pollution Pollution Pollution Pollution Table III: Rating Scale for Quality of water Value of Quality of Water WQI 90 – 100 Excellent 70 – 90 Good 50 – 70 Medium 25 - 50 Bad 0 - 25 Very Bad 3.3 Water Quality Index Calculation Essentially, a WQI is a compilation of a number of parameters that can be used to determine the overall quality of a river. WQI is calculated for each month and is given in Table 4. The parameters involved in the WQI are dissolved oxygen, 31
  • 4. A Comparative Study of Water Quality Indices of River Godavari pH, Dissolved Oxygen, Electrical Conductivity, Total Dissolved solids, Total alkalinity, Total Hardness, Calcium and Magnesium. The numerical value is then multiplied by a weighting factor that is relative to the significance of the test to water quality. The sum of the resulting values is added together to arrive at an overall water quality index. WQI = Wi x Xr i.e. Water Quality Index is equal to the product of rating (Xr) and unit weight (Wi) of all the factors. Wi x Xr = Wi(pH) x Xr(pH) + Wi(DO) x Xr(DO) + Wi(EC) + Xr (EC) + Wi(TDS) x Xr(TDS) + Wi(Tot.Alk) x Xr(Tot.Alk) + Wi(Hardness) x Xr(Hardness) + Wi(Ca) x Xr(Ca) + Wi(Mg) x Xr(Mg) The values of Xi, Wi and Xr are given in Tables 2 and 3. Hence by multiplying Wi and Xr we can get the value of WQI. The WQI result represent the level of water quality in a given water basin such as lake, river or stream. Similar WQI was given by Mariappan et al., [9], (1998) by using nine important water quality parameters. IV. RESULTS AND DISCUSSIONS The descriptive statistics of the three developed models viz., Actual Measured WQI model, Time Series (09-12) model and Time Series (12-15) model of the two monitoring stations are tabulated below (Tab:IV). Significant correlation was found for the two stations, which is attributed to the consistency in the estimation of the forecasted water quality parameters. The trend patterns of WQI for both stations for the future period were significantly identical except for a few months. The values of the WQI for both the stations matched well except for a few month, which is due to variations of Dissolved oxygen levels. The results of the statistical performance test of the Actual measured and Timeseries model (09-12) are tabulated in Table:V. The values of the WQI of Rajahmundry station and Dowlaiswaram are significantly identical for all the four seasons of the future period (2012-2015) except for a few months during NorthEast monsoon season (Oct to Dec). The availability of dissolved oxygen plays an important role in the health of the river; hence higher weightage factor was given to dissolved oxygen. As such slight change of D.O altered the rating factor, and WQI which is obtained by the product of weigthage factor and rating factor significantly altered, thereby affecting the pattern of the WQI. The rating factor Xr= 100 and Xr=80 were adopted for D.O > 7.0 and <=7.0 respective ly with a weigth factor of 0.548 which led to the difference of WQI values by 10units. The higher values of WQI indicated that the water is very much clear and free of any impurities, and the water is in good condition to support the biotic communities. Identical values of WQI were obtained for the Southwest monsoon season (June to Sep), Winter season (Jan to Feb) and summer season (Mar to May) for all the future three years. Almost similar values were obtained for the year 2012-2013; which indicated that the water quality is of excellent grade. Table IV: Descriptive Statistics of Water Quality Index of Rajahmundry and Dowlaiswaram Water Quality Monitoring Station Max Mea Std. Vari Time Period Min n Dev ance RAJAHMUNDRY 88.0 99.4 Actual Measured 4 6 96.53 4.74 22.51 Time Series (09- 87.6 99.2 12) 8 8 93.98 5.68 32.22 Time Series (12- 88.3 99.4 15) 2 6 95.07 5.17 26.72 DOWLAISWARAM 88.3 99.2 Actual Measured 2 8 98.31 2.38 5.65 Time Series (09- 87.8 99.2 12) 6 8 95.41 5.02 25.16 Time Series (12- 87.8 99.4 15) 6 6 93.93 5.26 27.62 Table V: Results of Statistical Performance Test Station MAE RMSE MAPE Rajahmundry 4.97 7.31 5.15 Dowlaiswaram 3.41 5.82 3.48 32
  • 5. A Comparative Study of Water Quality Indices of River Godavari 100 WQI- 2012-13 RJY DWLM 95 90 June July Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May 100 WQI-2013-14 95 RJY DWLM 90 85 June July Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May 100 WQI-2014-15 95 RJY DWLM 90 85 June July Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Figure showing the Variations of WQI of Monitoring Stations for future years V. CONCLUSION The results of the study indicated that the water quality of Rajahmundry and Dowlaiswaram water quality monitoring stations exhibited significant seasonal trend pattern for the future period (2012-2015). The statistical criterion revealed that the MAE= 4.97 & 3.41, RMSE=7.31 & 5.82 and MAPE=5.15% & 3.48% respectively for the two stations, which indicated that the developed models were performing well. The variations of WQI during NorthEast monsoon season are attributed to the fluctuations in Dissolved Oxygen levels. The predicted values of WQI for the future years (2012-2015) reveals that the water quality of River Godavari is Excellent to Good quality. The factors with high weightage factor dictated the evaluation of WQI. The low values reported in the historic data controled the accuracy of prediction of the developed model using time series forecasting methods. However necessary preventive measures to maintain high water quality of the Mighty River must be taken up to ensure the safety of the river and to preserve this valuable resource to the future generations. Water Quality Index may be used as a tool to convey the information regarding the quality of water in an easy and understandable way to the public and policy makers. 33
  • 6. A Comparative Study of Water Quality Indices of River Godavari REFERENCES [1]. Miller, W.W.Joung, et al., 1986. Identification of water quality differences in Nevada through index application. J.Environ Quality 15, 265-272. [2]. Shoji. H, et al., 1966. Factor analysis of stream pollution of the Yodo River Sysytem. Air Water Pollut. Inst J. 10,291-299. [3]. Ashwani Kumar and Anish Dua, 2009, Water quality index for assessment of water quality of River Ravi at Madhopur. Global Journal of Environmental Sciences Vol. 8 No.1, 2009: 49-57 [4]. Rita .N.Kumar, et al., 2009, An assessment of seasonal variation and water quality index of Sabarmati River and Kharicut canal at Ahemadabad, Gujarat; Electronic journal of environmental, agricultural and food chemistry, 2011; 2248-2261 [5]. N. Singkran, et al., 2010, Determining water conditions in the Northeastern rivers of Thailand using time series and water quality index models, Journal of Sustainable Energy & Environment 2010;47-58 [6]. CPHEEO (Central Public Health Environmental Engineering Organization), 1991. Manual of water supply and treatment , Ministry of Urban Development, New Delhi. [7]. ICMR, 1975, Manual of standards of quality for drinking water supllies. Indian Council of Medical Research, Spe.Rep.No. 44:27. [8]. Tiwari, T.N. and ,Mishra.M., 1985. A preliminary assignment of water quality index to major rivers Ind J Environ Prot. 5: 276 [9]. Mariappan., et al., 1998. Surveliance of ground water quality in Thiruppanur block of Sivagangai district. Indian J Envron Prot. 19(4) : 250-254 34