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Postponement
          Strategy
In Supply Chain Management

              Johnny WAN
           22nd March 2006
Who am I?

 Grew up in Hong Kong, China
 1st year PhD student of the Centre for
 Strategy and Performance (CSP)
 Dr Ken Platts is my supervisor
 This month is my 6th month in Cambridge
Struggle

 I am struggling in building the conceptual framework

 at this moment.

 Advices and comments from all of you are welcome

 after the presentation.

 At any time, be my mentors.
The story begins…


While I was having my MPhil thesis viva,

At the end, one panel member suddenly
pointed at a bottle of mineral water in
front of him and asked me
“Mr. Wan, what postponement strategy
has been used for making this bottle of
water?”


             Let’s think about it…
Presentation Outline
1.   What is a postponement strategy?
2.   What are the types of postponement strategies?
3.   Why using a postponement strategy?
4.   How a postponement strategy works?
5.   What companies are using postponement
     strategies?
6.   What are my preliminary research directions?
What is a postponement strategy?

What are the types of postponement strategies?

Why using a postponement strategy?

How a postponement strategy works?

What companies are using postponement strategies?

What are my preliminary research directions?
A postponement strategy aims at
delaying some supply chain activities
until customer demand is revealed in
order to maintain both low systemwide
cost and fast response.
First suggested by Alderson in 1950

 Followed by Bucklin in 1965

 Became popular since 1990s (Lee, van Hoek
and Yang)
A supply chain

       Forecast driven information              Demand driven information




 purchasing     manufacturing        storage & delivery



          X                      X                 X
                           Physical product flow



                                Monetary flow
What is a postponement strategy?

What are the types of postponement strategies?

Why using a postponement strategy?

How a postponement strategy works?

What companies are using postponement strategies?

What are my preliminary research directions?
Four Major Strategies
 Purchasing postponement
   Delay purchasing of some expensive and fragile
   materials
 Manufacturing postponement
   Products in semi-finished forms and can be
   customized quickly in production facilities
 Logistics postponement
   Products in semi-finished forms and can be
   customized quickly in production facilities close to
   customers
 Time postponement
   Finished products are kept in central location and are
   distributed quickly to customers
Purchasing Postponement
                   Demand driven information




 purchasing   manufacturing     storage & delivery



          X
                        Physical product flow
Purchasing postponement
  Delay purchasing of some expensive and fragile
  materials
Manufacturing postponement
  Products in semi-finished forms and can be
  customized quickly in production facilities
Logistics postponement
  Products in semi-finished forms and can be
  customized quickly in production facilities close to
  customers
Time postponement
  Finished products are kept in central location and are
  distributed quickly to customers
Manufacturing Postponement
  Forecast driven
                                    Demand driven information
  information



 purchasing     manufacturing     storage & delivery



                                X
                          Physical product flow
Purchasing postponement
  Delay purchasing of some expensive and fragile
  materials
Manufacturing postponement
  Products in semi-finished forms and can be
  customized quickly in production facilities
Logistics postponement
  Products in semi-finished forms and can be
  customized quickly in production facilities close to
  customers
Time postponement
  Finished products are kept in central location and are
  distributed quickly to customers
Logistics Postponement
    Forecast driven information             Demand driven information


                                   storage, light
                                  manufacturing &
 purchasing    manufacturing
                                      delivery


                                                   X


                           Physical product flow
Purchasing postponement
  Delay purchasing of some expensive and fragile
  materials
Manufacturing postponement
  Products in semi-finished forms and can be
  customized quickly in production facilities
Logistics postponement
  Products in semi-finished forms and can be
  customized quickly in production facilities close to
  customers
Time postponement
  Finished products are kept in central location and are
  distributed quickly to customers
Logistics Postponement

    Forecast driven information             Demand driven information




 purchasing    manufacturing      storage & delivery



                                                   X
                           Physical product flow
Other Postponement Strategies
 Product development postponement
   Delay critical product development decision

 Price postponement
   Delay the pricing decision until customer demand is known

 Postponement of passage of title
   Delay the transfer of product ownership from seller to buyer

 Demand postponement
   Split demand due to capacity constraint
What is a postponement strategy?

What are the types of postponement strategies?

Why using a postponement strategy?

How a postponement strategy works?

What companies are using postponement strategies?

What are my preliminary research directions?
Reduce inventory cost
Reduce transportation cost
Reduce risk of obsolescence
Reduce demand variability
Improve competitiveness by offering
customized products quickly
What is a postponement strategy?

What are the types of postponement strategies?

Why using a postponement strategy?

How a postponement strategy works?

What companies are using postponement strategies?

What are my preliminary research directions?
Requirements
 High product variety
 Modular and standardized product design
 Flexible manufacturing system
 Real time information and communication
 Fast response logistics
 Strategic supplier relationship
Example: A Sony PSP Supply Chain

 Products sold in Japan, HK, China and Taiwan
 Total number of units sold is roughly estimated
 But, the number of units sold in each location is
 unknown
 Products are highly modular and standardized


 Differences in
   Manual and packaging (different languages)
   Plugs (different sockets)
Option 1: Time Postponement


        +   Traditional
             Chinese
            peripherals
                                          Hong Kong



             Traditional
        +     Chinese
             peripherals
                                           Taiwan




        +    Japanese
            peripherals
                                            Japan



             Simplified
        +     Chinese
            peripherals
                                            China


         Finished product stored in any
                  one location
Option 2: Manufacturing/logistics Postponement


                        Traditional
                    +    Chinese
                        peripherals
                                                 Hong Kong




 System
                    +   Traditional
                         Chinese
                        peripherals
                                                  Taiwan



          +
                    +    Japanese
                        peripherals
                                                   Japan




                    +    Simplified
                          Chinese
                        peripherals
                                                   China
Option 3: Purchasing Postponement




                                    Hong Kong




purchase    make      assemble        deliver
What is a postponement strategy?

What are the types of postponement strategies?

Why using a postponement strategy?

How a postponement strategy works?

What companies are using postponement strategies?

What are my preliminary research directions?
Germany (Automobile)     Japan (Electronics)      Japan (Automobile)




                       US (E-commerce)                                 US (Computer)

   Italy (Fashion)                              US (Breaker
                                               Manufacturing)




                                                                       US (Printers)
 Sweden (Furniture)
                                            US (Storage Devices)
                      US (Semiconductors)
What is a postponement strategy?

What are the types of postponement strategies?

Why using a postponement strategy?

How a postponement strategy works?

What companies are using postponement strategies?

What are my preliminary research directions?
Option 1: Company Level Survey

 Collect quantitative data by sending questionnaires
 to a large number of target respondents
 Employ statistical techniques such as structural
 equation modelling or regression to confirm the
 causal relationship between
   Company capabilities (requirements) and different
   postponement strategies
   Postponement strategy and competitive advantage
   Competitive advantage and organizational performance
information



modularity                                            logistics

                        Capabilities of
                         a company
  supplier
management                                                 FMS




        Choose the      Competitive       Organizational
       right strategy   Advantage          performance
Option 2: Company Level Case Study

 Collect qualitative data through participations,
 interviews and observations of some selected
 companies
 Explore more requirements to enable
 postponement strategy implementation in
 different situations
information                 logistics



modularity                                           FMS

                       Capabilities of
                        a company
  supplier
management                                            ?




                  ?                          ?
The story ends…

“Mr. Wan, what postponement strategy
has been used for making this bottle of
water?”
I replied
“Is it the postponement of getting my
degree?”
In order not to let the history repeat
itself, your comments are valuable.
              Thank you.


     Email: cljw2@cam.ac.uk

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Johnny wan

  • 1. Postponement Strategy In Supply Chain Management Johnny WAN 22nd March 2006
  • 2. Who am I? Grew up in Hong Kong, China 1st year PhD student of the Centre for Strategy and Performance (CSP) Dr Ken Platts is my supervisor This month is my 6th month in Cambridge
  • 3. Struggle I am struggling in building the conceptual framework at this moment. Advices and comments from all of you are welcome after the presentation. At any time, be my mentors.
  • 4. The story begins… While I was having my MPhil thesis viva, At the end, one panel member suddenly pointed at a bottle of mineral water in front of him and asked me
  • 5. “Mr. Wan, what postponement strategy has been used for making this bottle of water?” Let’s think about it…
  • 6. Presentation Outline 1. What is a postponement strategy? 2. What are the types of postponement strategies? 3. Why using a postponement strategy? 4. How a postponement strategy works? 5. What companies are using postponement strategies? 6. What are my preliminary research directions?
  • 7. What is a postponement strategy? What are the types of postponement strategies? Why using a postponement strategy? How a postponement strategy works? What companies are using postponement strategies? What are my preliminary research directions?
  • 8. A postponement strategy aims at delaying some supply chain activities until customer demand is revealed in order to maintain both low systemwide cost and fast response.
  • 9. First suggested by Alderson in 1950 Followed by Bucklin in 1965 Became popular since 1990s (Lee, van Hoek and Yang)
  • 10. A supply chain Forecast driven information Demand driven information purchasing manufacturing storage & delivery X X X Physical product flow Monetary flow
  • 11. What is a postponement strategy? What are the types of postponement strategies? Why using a postponement strategy? How a postponement strategy works? What companies are using postponement strategies? What are my preliminary research directions?
  • 12. Four Major Strategies Purchasing postponement Delay purchasing of some expensive and fragile materials Manufacturing postponement Products in semi-finished forms and can be customized quickly in production facilities Logistics postponement Products in semi-finished forms and can be customized quickly in production facilities close to customers Time postponement Finished products are kept in central location and are distributed quickly to customers
  • 13. Purchasing Postponement Demand driven information purchasing manufacturing storage & delivery X Physical product flow
  • 14. Purchasing postponement Delay purchasing of some expensive and fragile materials Manufacturing postponement Products in semi-finished forms and can be customized quickly in production facilities Logistics postponement Products in semi-finished forms and can be customized quickly in production facilities close to customers Time postponement Finished products are kept in central location and are distributed quickly to customers
  • 15. Manufacturing Postponement Forecast driven Demand driven information information purchasing manufacturing storage & delivery X Physical product flow
  • 16. Purchasing postponement Delay purchasing of some expensive and fragile materials Manufacturing postponement Products in semi-finished forms and can be customized quickly in production facilities Logistics postponement Products in semi-finished forms and can be customized quickly in production facilities close to customers Time postponement Finished products are kept in central location and are distributed quickly to customers
  • 17. Logistics Postponement Forecast driven information Demand driven information storage, light manufacturing & purchasing manufacturing delivery X Physical product flow
  • 18. Purchasing postponement Delay purchasing of some expensive and fragile materials Manufacturing postponement Products in semi-finished forms and can be customized quickly in production facilities Logistics postponement Products in semi-finished forms and can be customized quickly in production facilities close to customers Time postponement Finished products are kept in central location and are distributed quickly to customers
  • 19. Logistics Postponement Forecast driven information Demand driven information purchasing manufacturing storage & delivery X Physical product flow
  • 20. Other Postponement Strategies Product development postponement Delay critical product development decision Price postponement Delay the pricing decision until customer demand is known Postponement of passage of title Delay the transfer of product ownership from seller to buyer Demand postponement Split demand due to capacity constraint
  • 21. What is a postponement strategy? What are the types of postponement strategies? Why using a postponement strategy? How a postponement strategy works? What companies are using postponement strategies? What are my preliminary research directions?
  • 22. Reduce inventory cost Reduce transportation cost Reduce risk of obsolescence Reduce demand variability Improve competitiveness by offering customized products quickly
  • 23. What is a postponement strategy? What are the types of postponement strategies? Why using a postponement strategy? How a postponement strategy works? What companies are using postponement strategies? What are my preliminary research directions?
  • 24. Requirements High product variety Modular and standardized product design Flexible manufacturing system Real time information and communication Fast response logistics Strategic supplier relationship
  • 25. Example: A Sony PSP Supply Chain Products sold in Japan, HK, China and Taiwan Total number of units sold is roughly estimated But, the number of units sold in each location is unknown Products are highly modular and standardized Differences in Manual and packaging (different languages) Plugs (different sockets)
  • 26. Option 1: Time Postponement + Traditional Chinese peripherals Hong Kong Traditional + Chinese peripherals Taiwan + Japanese peripherals Japan Simplified + Chinese peripherals China Finished product stored in any one location
  • 27. Option 2: Manufacturing/logistics Postponement Traditional + Chinese peripherals Hong Kong System + Traditional Chinese peripherals Taiwan + + Japanese peripherals Japan + Simplified Chinese peripherals China
  • 28. Option 3: Purchasing Postponement Hong Kong purchase make assemble deliver
  • 29. What is a postponement strategy? What are the types of postponement strategies? Why using a postponement strategy? How a postponement strategy works? What companies are using postponement strategies? What are my preliminary research directions?
  • 30. Germany (Automobile) Japan (Electronics) Japan (Automobile) US (E-commerce) US (Computer) Italy (Fashion) US (Breaker Manufacturing) US (Printers) Sweden (Furniture) US (Storage Devices) US (Semiconductors)
  • 31. What is a postponement strategy? What are the types of postponement strategies? Why using a postponement strategy? How a postponement strategy works? What companies are using postponement strategies? What are my preliminary research directions?
  • 32. Option 1: Company Level Survey Collect quantitative data by sending questionnaires to a large number of target respondents Employ statistical techniques such as structural equation modelling or regression to confirm the causal relationship between Company capabilities (requirements) and different postponement strategies Postponement strategy and competitive advantage Competitive advantage and organizational performance
  • 33. information modularity logistics Capabilities of a company supplier management FMS Choose the Competitive Organizational right strategy Advantage performance
  • 34. Option 2: Company Level Case Study Collect qualitative data through participations, interviews and observations of some selected companies Explore more requirements to enable postponement strategy implementation in different situations
  • 35. information logistics modularity FMS Capabilities of a company supplier management ? ? ?
  • 36. The story ends… “Mr. Wan, what postponement strategy has been used for making this bottle of water?” I replied “Is it the postponement of getting my degree?”
  • 37. In order not to let the history repeat itself, your comments are valuable. Thank you. Email: cljw2@cam.ac.uk