Signs of economic, political and social ruination are already present in Brazil indicating the high possibility of the country being convulsed in 2016 by the confrontation between the political forces interested in the impeachment of Rousseff's of power and those who fight for their stay in the Presidency. The forecast is that Brazil's economy is moving swiftly to bankruptcy. The economic system in force in Brazil shows clear signs of exhaustion because the country is stagnant and is heading towards depression, the inflation rate is already over 10% per year, unemployment has already reached 15 million people, there have been bankruptcy of 51.4% of micro and small enterprises, 22.2% of medium-sized companies and 26.4% of large companies in Brazil. The general expectation in Brazil is that only a radical change in government will be able to contain the spread of the economic crisis which is the largest of the republican history of Brazil.

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THE INEVITABLE END OF DILMA ROUSSEFF GOVERNMENT IN BRAZIL
Fernando Alcoforado *
Brazil, as an economic organization, social and political, is disintegrating. The signs of
disintegration are evident in all parts of the country. The neoliberal economic model has
failed. In addition, all the political and administrative system of the country is
contaminated by corruption and the presidency is characterized by incompetence and
unpreparedness of Dilma Rousseff and her ministers. The chaos and complexity of the
business environment in Brazil make companies and people feel a sense of being swept
away by a hurricane that permeates the entire political, economic and social.
Signs of economic, political and social ruination are already present in Brazil indicating
the high possibility of the country being convulsed in 2016 by the confrontation
between the political forces interested in the impeachment of Rousseff's of power and
those who fight for their stay in the Presidency. The forecast is that Brazil's economy is
moving swiftly to bankruptcy. The economic system in force in Brazil shows clear signs
of exhaustion because the country is stagnant and is heading towards depression, the
inflation rate is already over 10% per year, unemployment has already reached 15
million people, there have been bankruptcy of 51.4% of micro and small enterprises,
22.2% of medium-sized companies and 26.4% of large companies in Brazil. The
general expectation in Brazil is that only a radical change in government will be able to
contain the spread of the economic crisis which is the largest of the republican history
of Brazil.
Politically, Brazil is faced with a flagrant demoralization of its political institutions,
given we have a coalition presidentialism system moved by corruption that came into
being from the Constituent Assembly of 1988 and proves to be unable to resolve the
serious political crisis in that lives the country at the time. In addition, the main leaders
of Congress and many lawmakers are demoralized because they answer to corruption.
Representative democracy in Brazil manifests clear signs of exhaustion not only by
corruption scandals in the powers of the Republic, but especially to discourage popular
participation, reducing the political activity to electoral processes that periodically are
repeated in which the people elect their representatives which, with few exceptions,
after the elections come to defend the interests of economic groups in opposition to the
interests of those who elected them.
In overcoming the current economic crisis, the obstacle represented by the presidential
political system in place adds to the political incompetence and administrative inability
of Dilma Rousseff as President of the Republic. The institutional impasse in which lives
the Brazilian nation put into question the future of Brazil whose solution will not come
in the short term. The economic crisis and the political and institutional crisis,
combined, are ruining most families, businesses and the very country that may lead to
dissatisfaction of broad social sectors and create a situation characterized by economic
and social chaos that could only be resolved by a strong central government, that is,
with the establishment of a dictatorial system that needs to be avoided at all costs.
The stagnation of the Brazilian economy causes, in addition to widespread corporate
bankruptcy and mass unemployment, also occurs government revenues fall at all levels
implying no public resources for investment in sufficient quantity to invest in economic
and social infrastructure, as well as to meet their most basic needs and as are already
occurring in all parts of the country. Most likely, any domestic and foreign investor will

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invest in Brazil with a stagnant economy as it stands at the moment and with a
government beleaguered by its population as of Dilma Rousseff. Brazil already had its
downgraded credit ratings by Standard & Poor's agencies (S & P) and Fitch and on
review for possible downgrade by Moody's causing the country to lose good paying
status, a fact that should result in the country's capital flight and the impracticability of
attracting foreign capital for investment.
The future trajectory of Brazil is of growing political instability because the Brazilian
economic crisis has structural roots, it is systemic, and the Dilma Rousseff government
does not meet policy competence and managerial capacity to overcome it. Time
conspires against the Dilma Rousseff government whose tendency is to worsen the
current situation and drop in acceptance of her government on the part of the population
that mostly wants his removal from power. The Brazilian population is against the
Dilma Rousseff government is seen as responsible for corruption at Petrobras and also
by their economic decisions in the post-election period contrary to the interests of the
people (an increase of taxes, temporary blocking of spending, more expensive energy
with cutting subsidies for the energy sector and changes in the rules of social benefits).
It seems that in 2016, Brazil will be politically convulsed with the confrontation
between supporters and opponents of the current government. There are social networks
manifestations of political forces supporting the Dilma Rousseff government admitting
the possibility to practice violence against his opponents in the case of her removal from
power. This may cause them to also street clashes that may require the intervention of
the armed forces for the maintenance of constitutional order. The Dilma Rousseff hold
on power may also lead to the path of violence political forces that oppose the current
government. In other words, whether to dismiss or stay in power Dilma Rousseff, Brazil
will be convulsed by a political struggle with unpredictable consequences.
To prevent Brazil to be brought to bankruptcy and social upheaval, the dismissal or
resignation of Dilma Rousseff and Michel Temer with the formation of an provisional
government of national unity would be necessary to convene a constituent assembly to
reorganize the national life after which would be held new elections in the country. It is
indisputable that the serious problems faced by Brazil at the moment in the economic
and political spheres are demanding a ruler who has accepted by the vast majority of the
population and ability to unite the nation around a common national development
project. The enormous political impasse in Brazil at present may or may not result in the
convening of a new Constituent Assembly to order national life on a new basis. May
occur, quite simply, the calling of new elections without Constituent. Ideally would be
to call new elections after the new Constituent Assembly and the exclusion of Brazil's
political parties and corrupt politicians. Only then can cope with the failure of
representative democracy.
* Fernando Alcoforado, member of the Bahia Academy of Education, engineer and doctor of Territorial
Planning and Regional Development from the University of Barcelona, a university professor and
consultant in strategic planning, business planning, regional planning and planning of energy systems, is
the author of Globalização (Editora Nobel, São Paulo, 1997), De Collor a FHC- O Brasil e a Nova
(Des)ordem Mundial (Editora Nobel, São Paulo, 1998), Um Projeto para o Brasil (Editora Nobel, São
Paulo, 2000), Os condicionantes do desenvolvimento do Estado da Bahia (Tese de doutorado.
Universidade de Barcelona, http://www.tesisenred.net/handle/10803/1944, 2003), Globalização e
Desenvolvimento (Editora Nobel, São Paulo, 2006), Bahia- Desenvolvimento do Século XVI ao Século XX
e Objetivos Estratégicos na Era Contemporânea (EGBA, Salvador, 2008), The Necessary Conditions of
the Economic and Social Development-The Case of the State of Bahia (VDM Verlag Dr. Muller
Aktiengesellschaft & Co. KG, Saarbrücken, Germany, 2010), Aquecimento Global e Catástrofe

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Planetária (P&A Gráfica e Editora, Salvador, 2010), Amazônia Sustentável- Para o progresso do Brasil e
combate ao aquecimento global (Viena- Editora e Gráfica, Santa Cruz do Rio Pardo, São Paulo, 2011),
Os Fatores Condicionantes do Desenvolvimento Econômico e Social (Editora CRV, Curitiba, 2012) and
Energia no Mundo e no Brasil- Energia e Mudança Climática Catastrófica no Século XXI (Editora CRV,
Curitiba, 2015).