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After Shock
                 What happens after
                 what comes next:
         The keys to success in a new world of work




                      by Barrie Bramley
                    TomorrowToday.co.za


.co.za

                                                      1
Drivers of disruptive change        “The digital watch didn't come from established
                                                                                                 watch companies, the calculator didn't come from
                                                                                                     slide rule or adding machine companies,

                 After Shock                                                                        video games didn't come from board-game
                                                                                                 manufacturers Parker Bros or Mattel, the ballpoint
                                                                                                 pen didn't come from fountain pen manufacturers,
                     What happens after                                                           and Google didn't come from the Yellow Pages.”
                     what comes next:
             The keys to success in a new world of work
                                                                                                                Bob Seidensticker, Futurehype



                          by Barrie Bramley
                        TomorrowToday.co.za


    .co.za                                                      ..co.za                                    .co.za

                                                          1                                  2                                                        3




“The greatest danger in times of
turbulence is not the turbulence,
it is to act with yesterdayʼs logic.”                                                               The T.I.D.E.S. of change
                                                                                                                    Drivers of disruption
                  Peter Drucker                                                                                       in your industry




    .co.za                                                      .co.za                                     .co.za

                                                          4                                  5                                                        6




             Technology

    .co.za                                                      .co.za                                     .co.za

                                                          7                                  8                                                        9
1. Convergence            2. Augmented Reality




..co.za          ..co.za                           ..co.za

          10                                  11                            12




               3. User generated content




..co.za          ..co.za                           ..co.za

          13                                  14                            15




                                                             Technology




               http://www.google.com/alerts
.co.za           .co.za                            ..co.za

          16                                  17                            18
Institutional change

  .co.za                     .co.za                            ..co.za

                       19                                20                               21




                            “Protect” or “Constrict”?         New structures, new rules




  ..co.za                    ..co.za                           ..co.za

                       22                                23                               24




                                  Institutional change




                                                                         Demography

  .co.za                     ..co.za                           .co.za

                       25                                26                               27
Land area                                       World Population, 2007                                                                                                              World Population, 2050




                                                                           Source: www.worldmapper.org                                                                                                          Source: www.worldmapper.org
.co.za                                                           ..co.za                                                                                                                              ..co.za

                                                            28                                                                                                                           29                                                   30




  !"#$%&'()*+',,---.%&/0#0.1"2,3+%,---,345,+6$78340.)98:(

.co.za                                                           .co.za                                                                                                                               .co.za

                                                            31                                                                                                                           32                                                   33




                                                                                                                                                                                              Increasing conflict between generations




  !"#$%&'()*+',,---.%&/0#0.1"2,3+%,---,345,+6$78340.)98:(

.co.za                                                           .co.za     !"##"#$%&'(%)*+(%,-.%/*0(#&%"#%12(.$"#$%3-4#&."(5%678)9%!"#$%&'()*#+,#-.)/"0#123/)#+,#42((0#)3/#5)"#+,#6%3'.7#%           ..co.za

                                                            34                                                                                                                           35                                                   36
Demography



                                                                        Environment




                                                                                               Data: UK Met Office, the official National Weather Service, Dec 2009

   ..co.za                                                        .co.za                                            .co.za

                                                             37                           38                                                                          39




                                                                                               !   Population growth
                                                                                               !   Water shortages
                                                                                               !   Food shortages (and prices)
                                                                                               !   Pollution
                                                                                               !   Pandemics
                                                                                               !   Extreme Poverty
                                                                                               !   Violence
                                                                                               !   Runaway computer intelligence
                                                                                               !   Global warming
                                                      2009                                     !   End of human life…




    .co.za                                                        .co.za                                            .co.za

                                                             40                           41                                                                          42




Activist consumers (and staff!)                                             Environment




                                                                                                                       Shifting
                                                                                                                    Societal values

   ..co.za
             Picture credit: TIME magazine, September 2009        ..co.za                                           .co.za

                                                             43                           44                                                                          45
The new normal?


                                                                                               http://www.kiva.org/
    .co.za                            .co.za                                          .co.za

                                 46                               47                                                  48




                                                                             New rules: Incentives don’t work
                                                                       • Daniel
                                                                              Pink: Upcoming book (2010):
                                                                        “The Surprising Science of Motivation”
                                                                       • Video:   http://tr.im/pinkrewards




   ..co.za                            ..co.za                                         .co.za

                                 49                               50                                                  51




New rules: Self-directed teams                  Societal Values




   ..co.za                            ..co.za                                         .co.za

                                 52                               53                                                  54
Opportunities to Innovate
                                     “Over the last two decades, the world has changed
“It ain’t what you don’t know             substantially. The economic, political, social,
  that gets you into trouble.          corporate, and personal rules that now apply bear
 It's what you know for sure          scant relation to those applicable two decades ago.

      that just ain’t so.”             Different times require a different script.”

             Mark Twain                                    Kenichi Ohmae
                                                             "   "   "   "          The Next Global Stage
                                                           ! !   !   !   !      !        2005




   .co.za                                        .co.za                                                                                                         ..co.za

                                55                                                                                                        56                                                        57




    Invitations to connect                                                                                                                      Barrie is available to speak at your next company
                                      "Even after the economic turnaround,                                                                      conference, away day or strategy session
                                      which may take up to 3 years to                                                                           Visit our website
                                                                                                                                                  www.tomorrowtoday.co.za
                                      normalise the world, things                                    will                                       Read our blog
                                                                                                                                                  www.connectioneconomy.com
                                      never be the same.”                                                                                       Email me
                                                                                                                                                  barrie@tomorrowtoday.co.za
                                                                                                                                                Connect with me on:
                                                                                                                                                  Twitter, Facebook & LinkedIn




   ..co.za                                       .co.za                      Source - @ncallegari (Twitter) at a Deloitte briefing (July 2009)                   .co.za

                                58                                                                                                        59                                                        60




                                61

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After Shock 2010 Refresher

  • 1. After Shock What happens after what comes next: The keys to success in a new world of work by Barrie Bramley TomorrowToday.co.za .co.za 1
  • 2. Drivers of disruptive change “The digital watch didn't come from established watch companies, the calculator didn't come from slide rule or adding machine companies, After Shock video games didn't come from board-game manufacturers Parker Bros or Mattel, the ballpoint pen didn't come from fountain pen manufacturers, What happens after and Google didn't come from the Yellow Pages.” what comes next: The keys to success in a new world of work Bob Seidensticker, Futurehype by Barrie Bramley TomorrowToday.co.za .co.za ..co.za .co.za 1 2 3 “The greatest danger in times of turbulence is not the turbulence, it is to act with yesterdayʼs logic.” The T.I.D.E.S. of change Drivers of disruption Peter Drucker in your industry .co.za .co.za .co.za 4 5 6 Technology .co.za .co.za .co.za 7 8 9
  • 3. 1. Convergence 2. Augmented Reality ..co.za ..co.za ..co.za 10 11 12 3. User generated content ..co.za ..co.za ..co.za 13 14 15 Technology http://www.google.com/alerts .co.za .co.za ..co.za 16 17 18
  • 4. Institutional change .co.za .co.za ..co.za 19 20 21 “Protect” or “Constrict”? New structures, new rules ..co.za ..co.za ..co.za 22 23 24 Institutional change Demography .co.za ..co.za .co.za 25 26 27
  • 5. Land area World Population, 2007 World Population, 2050 Source: www.worldmapper.org Source: www.worldmapper.org .co.za ..co.za ..co.za 28 29 30 !"#$%&'()*+',,---.%&/0#0.1"2,3+%,---,345,+6$78340.)98:( .co.za .co.za .co.za 31 32 33 Increasing conflict between generations !"#$%&'()*+',,---.%&/0#0.1"2,3+%,---,345,+6$78340.)98:( .co.za .co.za !"##"#$%&'(%)*+(%,-.%/*0(#&%"#%12(.$"#$%3-4#&."(5%678)9%!"#$%&'()*#+,#-.)/"0#123/)#+,#42((0#)3/#5)"#+,#6%3'.7#% ..co.za 34 35 36
  • 6. Demography Environment Data: UK Met Office, the official National Weather Service, Dec 2009 ..co.za .co.za .co.za 37 38 39 ! Population growth ! Water shortages ! Food shortages (and prices) ! Pollution ! Pandemics ! Extreme Poverty ! Violence ! Runaway computer intelligence ! Global warming 2009 ! End of human life… .co.za .co.za .co.za 40 41 42 Activist consumers (and staff!) Environment Shifting Societal values ..co.za Picture credit: TIME magazine, September 2009 ..co.za .co.za 43 44 45
  • 7. The new normal? http://www.kiva.org/ .co.za .co.za .co.za 46 47 48 New rules: Incentives don’t work • Daniel Pink: Upcoming book (2010): “The Surprising Science of Motivation” • Video: http://tr.im/pinkrewards ..co.za ..co.za .co.za 49 50 51 New rules: Self-directed teams Societal Values ..co.za ..co.za .co.za 52 53 54
  • 8. Opportunities to Innovate “Over the last two decades, the world has changed “It ain’t what you don’t know substantially. The economic, political, social, that gets you into trouble. corporate, and personal rules that now apply bear It's what you know for sure scant relation to those applicable two decades ago. that just ain’t so.” Different times require a different script.” Mark Twain Kenichi Ohmae " " " " The Next Global Stage ! ! ! ! ! ! 2005 .co.za .co.za ..co.za 55 56 57 Invitations to connect Barrie is available to speak at your next company "Even after the economic turnaround, conference, away day or strategy session which may take up to 3 years to Visit our website www.tomorrowtoday.co.za normalise the world, things will Read our blog www.connectioneconomy.com never be the same.” Email me barrie@tomorrowtoday.co.za Connect with me on: Twitter, Facebook & LinkedIn ..co.za .co.za Source - @ncallegari (Twitter) at a Deloitte briefing (July 2009) .co.za 58 59 60 61