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LIBOR Fixing Scam

                     “   This dwarfs by orders of magnitude any
                         financial scam in the history of markets.
                                                                     “
Assignment – 1

Banking & Financial Institutions and Markets                     SPJIMR
Durgesh Singh              Anant Damle
                                                            Group
Karan Miglani              Vipin Mohan

Ankita Biyani

Angshuman Adhikari
                           Sreekanth Daruvuri

                                                             2
Agenda

 What is LIBOR?


    Current LIBOR Process

       Spread & Impact of
       manipulation

          New Regulations
The LIBOR is the average interest rate estimated by leading banks in
London that they would be charged if borrowing from other banks

                                                                    Pre-conditions
                          28 Yrs               64                   Contributions must represent rates
                     Established in          Nations                formed in London and not elsewhere
                     1984 by BBA           represented
  LIBOR Highlights




                                                                    Rate submitted should be formed
                                                                    from that bank’s perception of its
                        223                      5                  cost of funds in the interbank market

                                                                    Must be for the currency concerned,
                        Total               Types of                not by borrowing in other currency
                       Members            stakeholders              via FX markets

                                                                    Rates must be submitted by staff at a

                          10                   15                   bank responsible for bank’s cash
                                                                    management

                       Quoted                Quoted                 Fund is an unsecured interbank cash
                      Currencies            Maturities              or cash raised through issuance of CD

                      A virtual borrowing rate for select banks which forms the benchmark for borrowings
LIBOR                 in rest of the world for various financial products in underlying and derivatives
The most widely used reference rate in the world is LIBOR, basis for
international borrowings

                                                      Rates fixed to
            Products using LIBOR                       USD–LIBOR            Currencies Quoted

                                                                           Australian     Canadian
   Standard
  Interbank
                 Commercial
                   Field
                                    Hybrid         MIBOR                  dollar (AUD)   dollar (CAD)


                                                                          Swiss franc    Danish krone
                                                                            (CHF)           (DKK)
                                                    SIBOR
                                                                              Euro       British pound
         Global exposure to LIBOR                                            (EUR)       sterling (GBP)

                                                    HIBOR
        45 %              $350 tn                                        Japanese yen
                                                                             (JPY)
                                                                                         New Zealand
                                                                                         dollar (NZD)

  Mortgage indexation   Derivative underpins
    of US to LIBOR            to LIBOR              KIBOR                Swedish krona
                                                                            (SEK)
                                                                                          U.S. dollar
                                                                                            (USD)




           3-major classifications of interest rate fixings instruments which often use the Libor
SCOPE      as reference rate
Individual LIBOR rates are calculated based on submissions from
contributor banks averaged under a "trimmed mean" methodology
                 11 AM                       12 PM               REST OF DAY

                            TR calculates rate.
 An INDIVIDUAL at the                                   Data distributed
                           Apply Governance &
 bank determines day’s                                simultaneously to TR      Data stored
                            Scrutiny Protocols.
   LIBOR submissions                                  networks, users and           in TR
                            Compiles stats for
                                                          distributors          historical DB
                                FX & MMC
  Contributor Bank         Thomson Reuters            Thomson Reuters


                            Monitors quality of
                          data inputs into LIBOR        Monitor data and
                          and performance of TR       improve governance
                          and informs Board and       and scrutiny regime,
                           FX&MMC of market            design & operation


                                LIBOR Ltd.           FX & MM Committee

             At what rate could you borrow funds, were you to do so by asking for and then
Process      accepting inter-bank offers in a reasonable market size just prior to 11 am?
The scandal arose when banks falsely inflated or deflated their rates
to profit from trades, or to project false creditworthiness


           Pls go for 5.36 LIBOR again, very
           important that the setting comes
           as high as possible ... thanks.

                                                 Hi Guys, We got a big position in
                                                 3m LIBOR for the next 3 days. Can
                                                 we please keep the lib or fixing at
                                                 5.39 for the next few days. It
                                                 would really help. We do not want
                                                 it to fix any higher than that.
                                                 Thanks a lot.
            It’s just amazing how Libor fixing
            can make you that much money
            or lose if opposite. It’s a cartel
            now in London.



SCANDAL   The first reports of unsound foundations were published by WSJ in 2008
Regulatory lapses and false confidence in free markets has resulted in
turn of events of catastrophic magnitude

      27/6                6/7                28/9
   Admits to        Start Criminal      BBA removed,        2012
     LIBOR           Investigation      Replaced with
   misconduct       of LIBOR fixing     data providers
    Barclays              SFO                FSA




                                                               Primary Causes
      2008                                                  Conflict of         Lack of
                        11/4              16/4               Interest          Oversight
                   Investigation on    Study casts
                     Barclays for     doubt on Key                    Lack of
                   under-reporting        Rate                        External
                       NY Fed             WSJ                      Accountability

          Speculatory and disgraceful behaviour in determination of an international key rate
SCANDAL   has resulted large-scale process re-engineering
Effect of LIBOR correction will result increased risk for all market
participants and greatly diminished short term returns

                   Statistical analysis indicated that the Libor
  Mortgage rates
  on reset date



                   rose consistently on the first day of each
                   month between 2000 and 2009 on the
                   day that most adjustable-rate mortgages
                   had as a change date on which new
                   repayment rates would "reset"


                                                         The manipulation of Libor caused
                                            Derivative

                                                         payments on interest rate swaps to be
                                             Returns

                                                         smaller than they should have been,
                                                         resulting in high losses to derivative
                                                         market participants


                   The inaccuracy of LIBOR to capture macro-economic risk has resulted in wide-spread
EFFECT             risk leakage into the system
Regulations are being put in place to improve LIBOR determination
and related processes throughout the WORLD

                                                                                             • The merits of alternative
                             Immediate Action        • Regulatory compulsion
                                                                                               reference rates for
                                                       to participate




                                                                                Long Term
                                                                                               certain applications and
                                                     • Remove sparsely used
                                                                                               the roles should be
        Wheatley Report



                                                       currencies and tenors
                                                                                               analysed and if merited
                                                     • Regular publication of
                                                                                               should be transitioned to
                                                       statistical bulletin
                             Institutional Reforms




                                                     • New organisation for                  • FSA as interim controller
                                                                                             • Establish strict process




                                                                                Governance
                                                       LIBOR computation
                                                     • Operate under                           for submission
                                                       Governance Council                      verification through
                                                                                               market data
                                                                                             • External Audit of
                                                                                               submitting firms


REGULATION                Strong Regulation is the need of hour
THANK YOU

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LIBOR Scandal

  • 1. LIBOR Fixing Scam “ This dwarfs by orders of magnitude any financial scam in the history of markets. “ Assignment – 1 Banking & Financial Institutions and Markets SPJIMR Durgesh Singh Anant Damle Group Karan Miglani Vipin Mohan Ankita Biyani Angshuman Adhikari Sreekanth Daruvuri 2
  • 2. Agenda What is LIBOR? Current LIBOR Process Spread & Impact of manipulation New Regulations
  • 3. The LIBOR is the average interest rate estimated by leading banks in London that they would be charged if borrowing from other banks Pre-conditions 28 Yrs 64 Contributions must represent rates Established in Nations formed in London and not elsewhere 1984 by BBA represented LIBOR Highlights Rate submitted should be formed from that bank’s perception of its 223 5 cost of funds in the interbank market Must be for the currency concerned, Total Types of not by borrowing in other currency Members stakeholders via FX markets Rates must be submitted by staff at a 10 15 bank responsible for bank’s cash management Quoted Quoted Fund is an unsecured interbank cash Currencies Maturities or cash raised through issuance of CD A virtual borrowing rate for select banks which forms the benchmark for borrowings LIBOR in rest of the world for various financial products in underlying and derivatives
  • 4. The most widely used reference rate in the world is LIBOR, basis for international borrowings Rates fixed to Products using LIBOR USD–LIBOR Currencies Quoted Australian Canadian Standard Interbank Commercial Field Hybrid MIBOR dollar (AUD) dollar (CAD) Swiss franc Danish krone (CHF) (DKK) SIBOR Euro British pound Global exposure to LIBOR (EUR) sterling (GBP) HIBOR 45 % $350 tn Japanese yen (JPY) New Zealand dollar (NZD) Mortgage indexation Derivative underpins of US to LIBOR to LIBOR KIBOR Swedish krona (SEK) U.S. dollar (USD) 3-major classifications of interest rate fixings instruments which often use the Libor SCOPE as reference rate
  • 5. Individual LIBOR rates are calculated based on submissions from contributor banks averaged under a "trimmed mean" methodology 11 AM 12 PM REST OF DAY TR calculates rate. An INDIVIDUAL at the Data distributed Apply Governance & bank determines day’s simultaneously to TR Data stored Scrutiny Protocols. LIBOR submissions networks, users and in TR Compiles stats for distributors historical DB FX & MMC Contributor Bank Thomson Reuters Thomson Reuters Monitors quality of data inputs into LIBOR Monitor data and and performance of TR improve governance and informs Board and and scrutiny regime, FX&MMC of market design & operation LIBOR Ltd. FX & MM Committee At what rate could you borrow funds, were you to do so by asking for and then Process accepting inter-bank offers in a reasonable market size just prior to 11 am?
  • 6. The scandal arose when banks falsely inflated or deflated their rates to profit from trades, or to project false creditworthiness Pls go for 5.36 LIBOR again, very important that the setting comes as high as possible ... thanks. Hi Guys, We got a big position in 3m LIBOR for the next 3 days. Can we please keep the lib or fixing at 5.39 for the next few days. It would really help. We do not want it to fix any higher than that. Thanks a lot. It’s just amazing how Libor fixing can make you that much money or lose if opposite. It’s a cartel now in London. SCANDAL The first reports of unsound foundations were published by WSJ in 2008
  • 7. Regulatory lapses and false confidence in free markets has resulted in turn of events of catastrophic magnitude 27/6 6/7 28/9 Admits to Start Criminal BBA removed, 2012 LIBOR Investigation Replaced with misconduct of LIBOR fixing data providers Barclays SFO FSA Primary Causes 2008 Conflict of Lack of 11/4 16/4 Interest Oversight Investigation on Study casts Barclays for doubt on Key Lack of under-reporting Rate External NY Fed WSJ Accountability Speculatory and disgraceful behaviour in determination of an international key rate SCANDAL has resulted large-scale process re-engineering
  • 8. Effect of LIBOR correction will result increased risk for all market participants and greatly diminished short term returns Statistical analysis indicated that the Libor Mortgage rates on reset date rose consistently on the first day of each month between 2000 and 2009 on the day that most adjustable-rate mortgages had as a change date on which new repayment rates would "reset" The manipulation of Libor caused Derivative payments on interest rate swaps to be Returns smaller than they should have been, resulting in high losses to derivative market participants The inaccuracy of LIBOR to capture macro-economic risk has resulted in wide-spread EFFECT risk leakage into the system
  • 9. Regulations are being put in place to improve LIBOR determination and related processes throughout the WORLD • The merits of alternative Immediate Action • Regulatory compulsion reference rates for to participate Long Term certain applications and • Remove sparsely used the roles should be Wheatley Report currencies and tenors analysed and if merited • Regular publication of should be transitioned to statistical bulletin Institutional Reforms • New organisation for • FSA as interim controller • Establish strict process Governance LIBOR computation • Operate under for submission Governance Council verification through market data • External Audit of submitting firms REGULATION Strong Regulation is the need of hour