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Invariant Mass Distribution of Jet Pairs Produced in
                   Association
                                    √
 with a W boson in pp Collisions at s = 1.96 TeV
                     ¯

        Viviana Cavaliere for the CDF Collaboration
              University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign




                           04/06/2011
Theoretical interest of the final state


                                                                    Measurements of associate
                                                   νℓ
                                                                    production of a W boson and jets are
                          q
                          ¯
      p
      ¯                                                             a fundamental test of the Standard
                                                    ℓ+
                                   W+                               Model
                                                    q
      p
                          q′       g                                 ν+jets signature shared by several
                                                   q
                                                   ¯                important processes
                          W+             q
                                         ¯             W−
                                                                      1   W W + W Z, single top, W H
      p
      ¯       q
              ¯                p
                               ¯
                   γ, Z
                                              q′
      p       q                p
                                         q
                          W−                           W+
                                                                    Essential starting point for physics
                          W+             q
                                         ¯              Z
                                                                    beyond the SM
      p
      ¯       q′
              ¯                p
                               ¯
                   W+
                                              q
      p       q                p
                          Z              q′            W+           Important to understand the tools
                                                                    used in high energy physics




V. Cavaliere (University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign) Seminar                           04/06/2011   2 / 38
Diboson with jets at CDF




        Diboson represent a Standard Model reference that can be used as a starting
        point for searches.
        W W, W Z, ZZ observed in &T + jets mode at CDF in 2009 PRL 103, 091803
                                 E
        (2009)
        W W, W Z observed in ν +jets final state. Two analysis:
          1 Using matrix elements technique
          2 Looking for the W → jj peak in the dijet invariant mass

        Phys. Rev. Lett. 104, 101801 (2010)
        Results have been updated with 4.3 f b−1

V. Cavaliere (University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign) Seminar       04/06/2011    3 / 38
CDF II

        Silicon detectors (L00+SVX+ISL) and central drift chamber (COT) in 1.4 T
        magnetic field
        Calorimeters for electrons and jets
        Muon chambers up to |η| ≈ 1.4




V. Cavaliere (University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign) Seminar        04/06/2011   4 / 38
Strategy

      Trigger on the charged lepton

      Require presence of neutrino:
      undetected neutrino manifests as an
      imbalance in transverse momentum:
      “missing” transverse energy
                         →
                         −                    →i
                                              −
                          T = −
                         E                    ET
                                          i


      Get a sample of inclusive W

        Look for at least two jets and form the invariant mass

        Fit the expected W/Z and background dijet mass shape to data to
        extract the diboson fraction
V. Cavaliere (University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign) Seminar   04/06/2011   5 / 38
High pT Electron and Muon selection


      The analysis uses 4.3 fb−1 of data collected by
      CDF.




V. Cavaliere (University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign) Seminar   04/06/2011   6 / 38
High pT Electron and Muon selection


      The analysis uses 4.3 fb−1 of data collected by
      CDF.
      Electrons → ET > 20 GeV/c2 (GeV/c) and
      |η| < 1.0
          1 Require calorimeter showers consistent with
            electromagnetic interactions
          2 Require that 90% of energy is deposited in
            the EM calorimeter




V. Cavaliere (University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign) Seminar   04/06/2011   6 / 38
High pT Electron and Muon selection


      The analysis uses 4.3 fb−1 of data collected by
      CDF.
      Electrons → ET > 20 GeV/c2 (GeV/c) and
      |η| < 1.0
          1 Require calorimeter showers consistent with
            electromagnetic interactions
          2 Require that 90% of energy is deposited in
            the EM calorimeter
      Muons → pT > 20 GeV/c2 (GeV/c) and |η| < 1.0
        1 Require high quality track and good matching
          between the track and the hit in the muon
          chambers




V. Cavaliere (University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign) Seminar   04/06/2011   6 / 38
High pT Electron and Muon selection


      The analysis uses 4.3 fb−1 of data collected by
      CDF.
      Electrons → ET > 20 GeV/c2 (GeV/c) and
      |η| < 1.0
          1 Require calorimeter showers consistent with
            electromagnetic interactions
          2 Require that 90% of energy is deposited in
            the EM calorimeter
      Muons → pT > 20 GeV/c2 (GeV/c) and |η| < 1.0
        1 Require high quality track and good matching
          between the track and the hit in the muon
          chambers
      Both are required to be isolated to reject leptons
      from semi-leptonic decays of heavy flavor hadrons
                                             W
      We further require & > 25 GeV and MT > 30
                         ET
      GeV to ensure the presence of a real W




V. Cavaliere (University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign) Seminar   04/06/2011   6 / 38
Jet Definition


       Jets are selected using the standard CDF
       JETCLU algorithm
       Cluster energy in cones of ∆R < 0.4
       Calorimeter signature must be inconsistent
       with electron signatures
       Select exactly two jets with ET > 20 GeV
       (corrected for detector inefficiencies) and
       |η| < 2.4
             Jet Energy scale known at 3% level
             Independent check of the scale: W from
             top → pubic webpage

       Require pT,jj >40 GeV/c → in order to
       improve data/MC modeling




V. Cavaliere (University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign) Seminar   04/06/2011   7 / 38
Jet Definition


       Jets are selected using the standard CDF
       JETCLU algorithm
       Cluster energy in cones of ∆R < 0.4
       Calorimeter signature must be inconsistent
       with electron signatures
       Select exactly two jets with ET > 20 GeV
       (corrected for detector inefficiencies) and
       |η| < 2.4
             Jet Energy scale known at 3% level
             Independent check of the scale: W from
             top → pubic webpage

       Require pT,jj >40 GeV/c → in order to
       improve data/MC modeling



V. Cavaliere (University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign) Seminar   04/06/2011   7 / 38
Sample Composition

        W → ν + jets (l = e, µ, τ ):
           same signature as signal with a much higher cross section (2066 pb)
           ∼ 80% of the sample
        Z → ll + jets (l = e, µ, τ ):
              where one of the two leptons escapes detection and produces &T
                                                                          E
              cross section 187 pb
         ¯
        tt + single top:
                final state similar to signal with at least one real W and two jets.
                   ¯
                σ(tt) = 7.5 pb and σ(single top) = 2.9 pb (assuming a mass of 172.5
                GeV/c2 )
        QCD Multijet:
            events without a real high pT lepton
            e.g a three-jet event in which one jet passes all lepton cuts and,
            simultaneously, the energies are so badly measured that a large &T is
                                                                               E
            reported.
            probability for a jet to mimic a lepton is very small, but QCD processes
            have very large cross sections
            estimated from data using orthogonal selection

V. Cavaliere (University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign) Seminar           04/06/2011   8 / 38
Cross sections measurement




                                                             Use a fit to dijet mass to extrapolate the
                                                             WW/WZ contribution
                                                             We estimate 1582 ± 275(stat.) ± 107(syst.)
                                                             events for a significance of 5.2σ.

                                                             The resulting cross section is

                                                             σ(W W/W Z) = 18.1±3.3(stat.)±2.5(syst.) pb

                                                             that is in agreement with SM expectation
                                                             (15.9 ± 0.9 pb).




V. Cavaliere (University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign) Seminar                          04/06/2011    9 / 38
What did we learn?



        CDF established Diboson production with jets in the final state
        We can safely state that we are able to observe dijet resonances
        Moreover in the W W/W Z → ν+jets analysis we learned:

            1   W + jets normalization compatible with expectations scaled to NLO
            2   Jet Energy Scale well under control → multiplicative factor to correct
                diboson position is found to be compatible with 1
            3                                ¯
                Our mass fit is sensitive to tt + single top with an uncertainty of 10% →
                cross section compatible with expectation




V. Cavaliere (University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign) Seminar             04/06/2011   10 / 38
Cross sections measurements




                                                               Observed an interesting discrepancy in
                                                               the Mjj
                                                               Needed work in order to understand the
                                                               nature and properties of the excess
                                                                 1 an artifact of background subtraction
                                                                 2 misunderstanding of one of the

                                                                    backgrounds
                                                                 3 real physics?




V. Cavaliere (University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign) Seminar                       04/06/2011   11 / 38
Moving to different kinematical region



        Using exactly the same kinematical cuts as the diboson analysis
        but:
        We require both jets to have ET > 30 GeV
            1   Energetic jets are measured with better accuracy.
            2   Modeling in this region is expected to be more accurate
            3   A possible heavier particle would be characterized by more
                energetic jets
        Sample modeling using same processes with different relative
        contribution
        All cuts chosen “a priori”




V. Cavaliere (University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign) Seminar    04/06/2011   12 / 38
Modeling of samples


                  Process                              Model          σ (pb)
               WW/WZ inclusive                         P YTHIA        15.9 ± 0.9
               Z → e, µ, τ +jets                 A LPGEN + P YTHIA    787 ± 85
                      ¯
                     tt                                P YTHIA        7.5 ± 0.83
                 single top                     M ADEVENT + P YTHIA   2.86 ± 0.36
                   W+jets                        A LPGEN + P YTHIA    from data
                QCD multijet                         from data        from data


        Correct MC for:
                Trigger Efficiencies: Data must pass the trigger to be selected →
                apply these efficiencies to the MC
                Lepton Energy Scale, Energy Resolution, and Identification.
                Luminosity Profile: not the same as for the data → reweight as a
                function of number of vertices


V. Cavaliere (University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign) Seminar            04/06/2011   13 / 38
Alpgen+Pythia
        While simulating W/Z + N-jets, we need to get the inclusive cross section and
        the relative cross section for exclusive N-jets
        We simulate by pairing Alpgen (LO matrix elements) and Pythia (parton
        showers)
           1 Matrix Elements: Fixed order. Gives an accurate description of the hard

              process. Needed for N-jet description
           2 Parton showers: Needed for a realistic description of the final state in the

              detector
        Combine them using MLM scheme to avoid double counting.
        Cluster the showered partons into cone jets. Keep events only if each jet is
        matched to just one parton
                   q                   q
                                       ¯         q                  q
                                                                    ¯        q         q
                                                                                       ¯
                                           q                            q                  q
                                            g                                               g

                                           ℓ+                           ℓ+                 ℓ+
                             W+                           W+                      W+
                   q′
                   ¯                   νℓ       q′
                                                ¯                   νℓ       q′
                                                                             ¯         νℓ


 ALPGEN produces events from diagrams (a) and (b). PYTHIA’s showering routine will sometimes
 takes events from diagram (b) and add a radiated gluon to produce diagram (c)
V. Cavaliere (University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign) Seminar                           04/06/2011   14 / 38
QCD Multijet Model



 Modeled using data sidebands
        Non isolated muons:
             Using non-isolated events, events which pass all selection criteria except
             the requirement of lepton isolation.
             Based on the rationale that non-isolated events are typically leptons
             contained in jets, and jets that contain energetic leptons are mostly non-W
             events.
        “AntiElectrons”:
              Some non-kinematic cuts for the electron are used to reject fake electrons.
              Model is constructed with events which fail at least two of the
              non-kinematic quality cuts but pass all the kinematic cuts of the electron.




V. Cavaliere (University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign) Seminar          04/06/2011   15 / 38
QCD Multijet estimation
        QCD multijet events are characterized by low &T , so &T distribution is
                                                      E       E
        completely different from W + jets
        Best solution → Fit the &T distribution on data in order to constrain multijet
                                 E
        normalization.
        Extract the fraction of QCD and knowing all the others contributions can extract
        also a preliminary W + jets normalization (left completely free in the final fit)
        Systematic associated with the normalization estimated using different models
        (25%)




V. Cavaliere (University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign) Seminar          04/06/2011   16 / 38
Putting ingredients together




    1   Mjj of data compared to SM predictions
    2   Want to investigate further → Need to check every background carefully. Public Webpage
          1 Look at Excess sidebands (115 > Mjj > 175 GeV/2 )
          2 QCD multijet shape modeling
               ¯
          3 tt production
          4 W + jet shape



V. Cavaliere (University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign) Seminar              04/06/2011   17 / 38
Control sample: 115 > Mjj > 175 GeV/2




V. Cavaliere (University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign) Seminar   04/06/2011   18 / 38
Control sample: 115 > Mjj > 175 GeV/2




V. Cavaliere (University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign) Seminar   04/06/2011   19 / 38
Control sample: 115 > Mjj > 175 GeV/2




V. Cavaliere (University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign) Seminar   04/06/2011   20 / 38
Control sample: 115 > Mjj > 175 GeV/2




V. Cavaliere (University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign) Seminar   04/06/2011   21 / 38
QCD Multijet model

                    Check shape and rate using
                    independent ways:
                       1 ∆φ(E T , Missing Pt) → large for
                            &
                         qcd events




                           CDF Run II Preliminary   ∫ L dt   = 4.30 fb-1
 Arbitrary Units




                                                       W+jets CMUP+CMX

                   0.15

                                                       QCD




                   0.10



                   0.05



                   0.00
                       0       1          2              3            4
                                                         ∆ φmet, trkMet
V. Cavaliere (University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign) Seminar          04/06/2011   22 / 38
QCD Multijet model

                    Check shape and rate using
                    independent ways:
                       1 ∆φ(E T , Missing Pt) → large for
                             &
                         qcd events
                       2 ∆φ(E T , closest jet) →
                             &
                         mis-measured jets tend to be
                         aligned with the &T
                                          E

                           CDF Run II Preliminary L = 4.30 fb-1
                                                    int
                   0.25
 Arbitrary Units




                                                 W+jets CMUP+CMX


                   0.20
                                                 QCD


                   0.15


                   0.10


                   0.05


                   0.00
                       0     1        2       3       4            5
                                             min ∆ φmet, closest jet




V. Cavaliere (University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign) Seminar      04/06/2011   22 / 38
¯
  tt shape
    1    ¯
        tt production is characterized by a larger number of jets with respect to other
        processes.
    2   To test it, we exploit its higher jet multiplicity and look at events with at least 3 jets
        and events with at least 4 jets.
              No mismodeling is observed
    3   Furthermore we consider events with exactly three jets passing selection criteria
        and we look at the distribution of the invariant mass system of the other
        combinations of jets, Mj1,j3 and Mj2,j3 .




V. Cavaliere (University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign) Seminar                04/06/2011   23 / 38
W + jets shape

              Use Z + jets data to check W+jets shape
              Require two leptons (one tight and one loose)
              Selection on the hadronic side is the same
              Basic Idea : Similar kinematics
              Due the purity of the sample can be modeled by
              ALPGEN only
              Problem: 10 times less data
    Entries




                                                                 Entries
                                                          -1                                                        -1
                                       Muon Data (4.3 fb )                 0.16                Electron Data (4.3 fb )
              0.14
                                       MC Z+jet                                                MC Z+jet
                                                                           0.14
              0.12
                                                                           0.12
              0.10
                                                                           0.10
              0.08
                                                                           0.08
              0.06
                                                                           0.06
              0.04
                                                                           0.04

              0.02                                                         0.02

              0.00                                                         0.00
                  0   50   100   150     200       250     300                 0   50   100   150   200       250     300
                                               Mj1,j2 [GeV/c2]                                            Mj1,j2 [GeV/c2]


V. Cavaliere (University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign) Seminar                                   04/06/2011       24 / 38
Fitting procedure
        Combined χ2 fit to the dijet mass distribution in electron and muon samples.
        5 templates:
           1 W + jets (uncostrained, normalization determined from the fit)
           2 QCD (normalization constrained to its fraction with 25 % error)
           3 Z + jets (normalization constrained to the measured cross section)
           4 top & single top (normalization constrained to the theoretical cross section)
           5 W W/W Z (normalization constrained to the theoretical cross section)
          Events/(8 GeV/c2)




                                                                       Events/(8 GeV/c2)
                                             CDF data (4.3 fb-1)                           150
                              700                                                                        Bkg Sub Data (4.3 fb-1)
                                             WW+WZ 4.5%
                              600            W+Jets 80.2%
                                                                                                         WW+WZ (all bkg syst.)
                                             Top 6.5%                                      100
                              500            Z+jets 2.8%
                                             QCD 5.3%                                                                       (b)
                              400                                                           50
                                                             (a)
                              300

                              200                                                            0

                              100
                                                                                           -50
                                0
                                    100      200                                                 100     200
                                                                   2
                                                 Mjj [GeV/c ]                                                 Mjj [GeV/c2]
V. Cavaliere (University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign) Seminar                                      04/06/2011          25 / 38
Gaussian Assumption


        Chosen to estimate the significance of the excess assuming an additional gaussian
        component.
        The gaussian assumption is a simplified model, since the exact shape would depend on
        the specific physics process and the heavy flavor content of the decay products.
        Since the excess looks narrow with respect to the detector resolution, we search for a peak
        compatible with the detector resolution for a given dijet mass value.

                                                                    Mjj
                                         σgaussian = σW                 = 14.3GeV
                                                                    MW

        Procedure:
           1 Fit the data without the gaussian → evaluate χ2
           2 Fit the data with the gaussian → evaluate χ2
           3 We add 3 degrees of freedom to the fit (mass, separate e/µ yields) so the ∆χ2
             should have the distribution of a χ2 with 3 degrees of freedom.
           4 Verify the behaviour of the ∆χ2 with statistical trials with trial factor.




V. Cavaliere (University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign) Seminar                   04/06/2011   26 / 38
Fit to data with SM templates + gaussian
     Events/(8 GeV/c2)


                         700                     CDF data (4.3 fb-1)
                                                 Gaussian 2.5%
                                                 WW+WZ 4.8%
                         600                     W+Jets 78.0%
                                                 Top 6.3%                      Data fitted with SM
                         500                     Z+jets 2.8%
                                                 QCD 5.1%                      templates plus a gaussian.
                         400                                                   ∆χ2 observed 20.31 that
                                                                (c)
                         300                                                   corresponds to a statistical
                                                                               significance of 3.7σ
                         200                                                   (including trial factor)
                         100

                           0
                                     100         200
                                                     Mjj [GeV/c2]

                                                                        Electrons     Muons
                                        Excess events                   156 ± 42      97 ± 38
                               Excess events / expected diboson        0.60 ± 0.18 0.44 ± 0.18
                               Mean of the Gaussian component               144 ± 5 GeV/c2

V. Cavaliere (University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign) Seminar                            04/06/2011   27 / 38
Fit to data with SM templates + gaussian
     Events/(8 GeV/c2)

                         180
                                                 Bkg Sub Data (4.3 fb-1)
                         160
                                                 Gaussian
                         140
                         120                     WW+WZ (all bkg syst.)
                                                                                   Data fitted with SM
                         100                                        (d)            templates plus a gaussian.
                          80
                                                                                   ∆χ2 observed 20.31 that
                          60
                                                                                   corresponds to a statistical
                          40
                                                                                   significance of 3.7σ
                          20
                                                                                   (including trial factor)
                           0
                         -20
                         -40
                                     100         200
                                                      Mjj [GeV/c2]

                                                                            Electrons     Muons
                                        Excess events                       156 ± 42      97 ± 38
                               Excess events / expected diboson            0.60 ± 0.18 0.44 ± 0.18
                               Mean of the Gaussian component                   144 ± 5 GeV/c2

V. Cavaliere (University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign) Seminar                                04/06/2011   27 / 38
Systematics

        systematics affecting background shapes
        Evaluated generating statistical trials with the varied templates and fitting with
        the standard ones.
                 Affected Quantity                           Source     Uncertainty (%)
              Number of Excess Events                       QCD shape       ±1.9
                                                               Q2           ±6.7
                                                              JES           ±6.1
                                                              Total         ±9.3

                                                                                                0.1




                                                                        Uncertainties on JES
                                                                                                                  Quadratic sum of all contributions

                                                                                                                  Absolute jet energy scale
                                                                                               0.08
       Measurement affected by Jet Energy Scale:                                                                  Out-of-Cone + Splash-out

                                                                                                                  Relative - 0.2<|η|<0.6
                                                                                               0.06
         1 Apply to all MC modeled processes at the same                                                          Underlying Event


                                                                                               0.04
            time
                                                                                               0.02
       QCD shape systematic evaluated using different
       Isolation ranges.                                                                         0

                                                                                                      50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450 500
                                                                                                                                 pcorr (GeV/c)
                                                                                                                                  T




V. Cavaliere (University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign) Seminar                                                    04/06/2011                        28 / 38
Shape systematic: W + jets


        Alpgen MC depends on some parameters:
            1   Factorization and normalization scale Q2 = MW +2         p2 which can be varied by a
                                                                          T,j
                constant factor on an event by event basis
            2   kT Scale Factor: Alpgen’s scale factor for αs at each decay vertex.
            3   Parton matching cluster pT threshold: the minimum pT for jet clusters that are used
                for matching procedure.
            4   Parton matching clustering radius size: the size of the jet cone used when creating
                jet clusters for matching procedure → Alpgen authors recommend using the
                generator level cut.
        The only significant effect for this kind of selection is given by the Q2
        Use standard CDF procedure:
             Double and halve it to obtain alternative templates
             This choice is motivated by standard practice based on extensive
             theoretical work




V. Cavaliere (University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign) Seminar                  04/06/2011   29 / 38
Significance


        To evaluate the significance of the resonance, we apply a procedure called
        “supremum p-value”
        If Nsyst is the number of systematics sources, we generate a toy MC sample for
        each combination of the Nsyst , i.e. in each sample, some of the systematics are
        varied.
        For each sample, we evaluate the corresponding p-value using the ∆χ2 between
        the background only and signal hypothesis as test statistics.
        The significance we quote for our final result is the largest among the p-values
        we obtain.
        To take into account the trial factor, in our toy experiments we scan the mass of
        the resonance in the search region [120 - 200] GeV/c2 using step of 4 GeV/c2
        and evaluate, at each step, the corresponding χ2 : for each toy sample, the
        minimum χ2 of the scan is used in the ∆χ2 evaluation.
        The largest p-value is 7.6 × 10−4 , corresponding to a significance of 3.2
        standard deviations.



V. Cavaliere (University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign) Seminar          04/06/2011   30 / 38
W +jets (mis)modeling → ∆Rjj


        In order to investigate possible mismodeling we consider two control regions, the
        first defined by events with Mjj < 115 and Mjj > 175 GeV/c2 and the second
        defined by events with pT < 40 GeV/c.
        We use these regions to derive a correction as a function of ∆Rjj to reweigh the
        events in the excess region.
        The reweighings change the statistical significance of the result by plus or minus
        one sigma.
        However, the ∆Rjj distribution is strongly correlated to Mjj and the control
        regions both have significantly different distributions of ∆Rjj .
        Reweighing our W +jets sample may be correct ∆Rjj mismodeling or may
        introduce bias in the Mjj distribution.
        In addition, the ∆Rjj distribution is consistent within the one sigma variation of
        the systematic uncertainties for events outside the excess mass region.




V. Cavaliere (University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign) Seminar           04/06/2011   31 / 38
Fit floating systematics




                                                                     Events
                                                                          800
  Events/(8 GeV/c2)




                                                                                               CDF Data
                                           Bkg Sub Data (4.3 fb-1)                             WW+WZ
                      150                                                                      W+jets
                                           Gaussian
                                                                                               QCD Multijet
                                                                          600
                                           WW+WZ                                               Z+jets
                      100                                  (a)                                 Top
                                                                                               uncertainty
                                                                          400                     (b)
                      50


                       0                                                  200


                      -50                                                     0
                               100         200                                 0   1   2   3     4              5
                                                 Mjj [GeV/c2]                                           ∆ Rjj


                       Fit performed combination of systematic that fits data best: lowest χ2
                       Returns a p-value intermediate between the largest and statistical only
                       ∆Rjj shown with the same combination of systematic. χ2 /ndf =26.6/18.


V. Cavaliere (University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign) Seminar                                    04/06/2011     32 / 38
NLO effects
        In order to test Next to Leading Order contributions to the W +2 partons
        prediction, we compare (private communication with J.Campbell, E. Eichten,
        K.Lane, A.Martin) A LPGEN and interfaced to P YTHIA for showering to a sample
        of W +2 partons simulated using the MCFM.
        We extract a correction as a function of Mjj that is applied to the A LPGEN +
        P YTHIA sample used in our background model.
        This procedure returns a statistical significance of 3.4σ.
              W+jj : comparing different µ, generators

                        2




                                                                                          Events/8 (GeV/c2)
                                                                                                              200
                                  ALP+Pyth (inc). µ 2= M2 + p2 vs. µ 2 = M2                                               Bkg Sub Data (4.3 fb-1)
                       1.8                              W    T,jj         W

                                  ALP+Pyth (exc). µ 2= M2 + p2 vs. µ 2 = M2
                                                        W                 W
                                                             T,jj

                       1.6                                                                                                Gaussian
                                  ALP+Pyth (inc.) µ 2= M2 vs. MCFM LO µ 2 = M2
                                                        W

                                                        2
                                                                             W

                                                                              2
                                                                                                              150
                                  ALP+Pyth (exc.) µ 2= MW vs. MCFM NLO µ 2 = MW
                       1.4                                                                                                WW+WZ


                       1.2
                                                                                                              100
               ratio




                         1

                       0.8
                                                                                                              50
                       0.6

                       0.4
                                                                                                               0
                       0.2

                        0                                                                                           100   200             300
                         0   50       100         150    200                  250   300
                                               Mjj (GeV)                                                                         Mjj [GeV/c2]


V. Cavaliere (University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign) Seminar                                                                         04/06/2011   33 / 38
Production Cross Section ?




        We increase the jet ET threshold in steps of 5 GeV and check the fraction of
        excess events that are selected as function of the jet ET .
        The result is compatible with expectation from a Monte Carlo simulation of a W
        boson plus a particle with a mass of 150 GeV/c2 and decaying isotropically into
        two jets.
        In this model, we estimate a cross section times the particle branching ratio into
        dijets of the order of 4 pb → not compatible with Standard Model W H
        σ × BR(b¯ = 39 fb
                    b)




V. Cavaliere (University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign) Seminar           04/06/2011   34 / 38
Flavour composition
        Tried to look at the flavour composition of this jets.
                Assuming a branching ratio in b¯ of 100% and the tagging efficiency
                                               b
                from W H we expect to be able to see a much stronger signal in the
                tagged sample
        Compared the fraction of events with b-jets in the sidebands
        (120> Mjj >160 GeV/c2 ) to that in the excess region

               Tag requirement              Excess region           Sideband region
                    Muons
                     1 tag                 0.1027 ± 0.0112          0.0813 ± 0.0096
                     2 tag                 0.0078 ± 0.0030          0.0084 ± 0.0030
                   Electrons
                     1 tag                 0.0897 ± 0.0088          0.0945 ± 0.0087
                     2 tag                 0.0110 ± 0.0030          0.0095 ± 0.0026

                              No significant difference is observed

V. Cavaliere (University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign) Seminar               04/06/2011   35 / 38
Resonant production

        Finally, to investigate the possibilities of a parent resonance or other quasi-resonant
        behavior, we consider the M(lepton,ν,jj) and the M(lepton,ν,jj) -Mjj distributions for
        events with Mjj in the range 120-160 GeV/c2 and to investigate the Dalitz structure of the
        excess events, the distribution of M(lepton,ν,jj) -Mjj , in bins of Mjj .
        The distributions are compatible in shape with the background-only hypothesis in all cases.




V. Cavaliere (University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign) Seminar                  04/06/2011   36 / 38
Conclusions



        We study the invariant mass distribution of jet pairs produced in association with
        a W boson.
        The best fit to the observed dijet mass distribution using known components,
        and modeling the dominant W +jets background using A LPGEN+P YTHIA Monte
        Carlo, shows a statistically significant disagreement.
        One possible way to interpret this disagreement is as an excess in the
        120-160 GeV/c2 mass range.
        If we model the excess as a Gaussian component with a width compatible with
        the dijet invariant mass resolution we obtain a p-value of 7.6 × 10−4 ,
        corresponding to a significance of 3.2 standard deviations, after accounting for
        all statistical and systematic uncertainties.




V. Cavaliere (University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign) Seminar          04/06/2011   37 / 38
Conclusion II


       Even if it is hard




V. Cavaliere (University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign) Seminar   04/06/2011   38 / 38
Conclusion II


       Even if it is hard
       Need to keep the focus on things we know:
         1 CDF now sensitive to very small cross

           sections and small differences between
           data and model also in complex final
           states




V. Cavaliere (University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign) Seminar   04/06/2011   38 / 38
Conclusion II


       Even if it is hard
       Need to keep the focus on things we know:
         1 CDF now sensitive to very small cross

           sections and small differences between
           data and model also in complex final
           states
       Work to do:
        1 Understand if the excess is truly new

           physics or simply mismodeling
        2 If it is found to be mismodeling need to

           comprehend why we don’t understand
           this hard kinematical region as we would
           expect from theory
        3 Need to carefully consider both

           possibilities as it is exciting both ways.



V. Cavaliere (University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign) Seminar   04/06/2011   38 / 38
Acknowledgments




        Would like to thank J.Campbell, E. Eichten, R. K.Ellis, C.Hill,
        K.Lane, M. Mangano, A. Martin for the useful suggestions and
        discussions




V. Cavaliere (University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign) Seminar   04/06/2011   39 / 38
Backup




V. Cavaliere (University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign) Seminar   04/06/2011   40 / 38
∆R studies


        If we do reweigh to the sidebands we observe that the significance drops to 2.3σ
        Does it really makes sense?
          1 The two sidebands are qualitatively different (events are from two different

            kinematical regions, with different sample composition) → ∆Rjj is highly
            correlated (and the correlation is hard to understand) with the Mjj .




            2   reweighing to the sum of the two sidebands, since the low one has more
                statistics, is not completely right because we artificially make the mjj look
                more like the low sideband.




V. Cavaliere (University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign) Seminar              04/06/2011   41 / 38
∆Rjj


                                           DeltaR_jj_mjj




                                     mjj
                                      400

                                      350

                                      300

                                      250

                                      200

                                      150

                                      100

                                       50

                                           0
                                           0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 4.0 4.5 5.0
                                                                             DeltaR_jj




V. Cavaliere (University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign) Seminar                        04/06/2011   42 / 38
Fit requiring pT,W > 60 GeV/c




V. Cavaliere (University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign) Seminar   04/06/2011   43 / 38
What happens if we change the Jet Energy scale?

 Result of the fit scaling JES up by 7%




                                                                                      Sig
 always above 3σ


V. Cavaliere (University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign) Seminar   04/06/2011   44 / 38
Results from D0 using 1.1 fb−1




                                                                                      lin
 paper




V. Cavaliere (University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign) Seminar   04/06/2011   45 / 38

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Invariant Mass Distribution of Jet Pairs Produced in Association with a W boson in p-pbar Collisions at sqrt(s) = 1.96 TeV

  • 1. Invariant Mass Distribution of Jet Pairs Produced in Association √ with a W boson in pp Collisions at s = 1.96 TeV ¯ Viviana Cavaliere for the CDF Collaboration University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign 04/06/2011
  • 2. Theoretical interest of the final state Measurements of associate νℓ production of a W boson and jets are q ¯ p ¯ a fundamental test of the Standard ℓ+ W+ Model q p q′ g ν+jets signature shared by several q ¯ important processes W+ q ¯ W− 1 W W + W Z, single top, W H p ¯ q ¯ p ¯ γ, Z q′ p q p q W− W+ Essential starting point for physics W+ q ¯ Z beyond the SM p ¯ q′ ¯ p ¯ W+ q p q p Z q′ W+ Important to understand the tools used in high energy physics V. Cavaliere (University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign) Seminar 04/06/2011 2 / 38
  • 3. Diboson with jets at CDF Diboson represent a Standard Model reference that can be used as a starting point for searches. W W, W Z, ZZ observed in &T + jets mode at CDF in 2009 PRL 103, 091803 E (2009) W W, W Z observed in ν +jets final state. Two analysis: 1 Using matrix elements technique 2 Looking for the W → jj peak in the dijet invariant mass Phys. Rev. Lett. 104, 101801 (2010) Results have been updated with 4.3 f b−1 V. Cavaliere (University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign) Seminar 04/06/2011 3 / 38
  • 4. CDF II Silicon detectors (L00+SVX+ISL) and central drift chamber (COT) in 1.4 T magnetic field Calorimeters for electrons and jets Muon chambers up to |η| ≈ 1.4 V. Cavaliere (University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign) Seminar 04/06/2011 4 / 38
  • 5. Strategy Trigger on the charged lepton Require presence of neutrino: undetected neutrino manifests as an imbalance in transverse momentum: “missing” transverse energy → − →i −  T = − E ET i Get a sample of inclusive W Look for at least two jets and form the invariant mass Fit the expected W/Z and background dijet mass shape to data to extract the diboson fraction V. Cavaliere (University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign) Seminar 04/06/2011 5 / 38
  • 6. High pT Electron and Muon selection The analysis uses 4.3 fb−1 of data collected by CDF. V. Cavaliere (University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign) Seminar 04/06/2011 6 / 38
  • 7. High pT Electron and Muon selection The analysis uses 4.3 fb−1 of data collected by CDF. Electrons → ET > 20 GeV/c2 (GeV/c) and |η| < 1.0 1 Require calorimeter showers consistent with electromagnetic interactions 2 Require that 90% of energy is deposited in the EM calorimeter V. Cavaliere (University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign) Seminar 04/06/2011 6 / 38
  • 8. High pT Electron and Muon selection The analysis uses 4.3 fb−1 of data collected by CDF. Electrons → ET > 20 GeV/c2 (GeV/c) and |η| < 1.0 1 Require calorimeter showers consistent with electromagnetic interactions 2 Require that 90% of energy is deposited in the EM calorimeter Muons → pT > 20 GeV/c2 (GeV/c) and |η| < 1.0 1 Require high quality track and good matching between the track and the hit in the muon chambers V. Cavaliere (University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign) Seminar 04/06/2011 6 / 38
  • 9. High pT Electron and Muon selection The analysis uses 4.3 fb−1 of data collected by CDF. Electrons → ET > 20 GeV/c2 (GeV/c) and |η| < 1.0 1 Require calorimeter showers consistent with electromagnetic interactions 2 Require that 90% of energy is deposited in the EM calorimeter Muons → pT > 20 GeV/c2 (GeV/c) and |η| < 1.0 1 Require high quality track and good matching between the track and the hit in the muon chambers Both are required to be isolated to reject leptons from semi-leptonic decays of heavy flavor hadrons W We further require & > 25 GeV and MT > 30 ET GeV to ensure the presence of a real W V. Cavaliere (University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign) Seminar 04/06/2011 6 / 38
  • 10. Jet Definition Jets are selected using the standard CDF JETCLU algorithm Cluster energy in cones of ∆R < 0.4 Calorimeter signature must be inconsistent with electron signatures Select exactly two jets with ET > 20 GeV (corrected for detector inefficiencies) and |η| < 2.4 Jet Energy scale known at 3% level Independent check of the scale: W from top → pubic webpage Require pT,jj >40 GeV/c → in order to improve data/MC modeling V. Cavaliere (University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign) Seminar 04/06/2011 7 / 38
  • 11. Jet Definition Jets are selected using the standard CDF JETCLU algorithm Cluster energy in cones of ∆R < 0.4 Calorimeter signature must be inconsistent with electron signatures Select exactly two jets with ET > 20 GeV (corrected for detector inefficiencies) and |η| < 2.4 Jet Energy scale known at 3% level Independent check of the scale: W from top → pubic webpage Require pT,jj >40 GeV/c → in order to improve data/MC modeling V. Cavaliere (University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign) Seminar 04/06/2011 7 / 38
  • 12. Sample Composition W → ν + jets (l = e, µ, τ ): same signature as signal with a much higher cross section (2066 pb) ∼ 80% of the sample Z → ll + jets (l = e, µ, τ ): where one of the two leptons escapes detection and produces &T E cross section 187 pb ¯ tt + single top: final state similar to signal with at least one real W and two jets. ¯ σ(tt) = 7.5 pb and σ(single top) = 2.9 pb (assuming a mass of 172.5 GeV/c2 ) QCD Multijet: events without a real high pT lepton e.g a three-jet event in which one jet passes all lepton cuts and, simultaneously, the energies are so badly measured that a large &T is E reported. probability for a jet to mimic a lepton is very small, but QCD processes have very large cross sections estimated from data using orthogonal selection V. Cavaliere (University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign) Seminar 04/06/2011 8 / 38
  • 13. Cross sections measurement Use a fit to dijet mass to extrapolate the WW/WZ contribution We estimate 1582 ± 275(stat.) ± 107(syst.) events for a significance of 5.2σ. The resulting cross section is σ(W W/W Z) = 18.1±3.3(stat.)±2.5(syst.) pb that is in agreement with SM expectation (15.9 ± 0.9 pb). V. Cavaliere (University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign) Seminar 04/06/2011 9 / 38
  • 14. What did we learn? CDF established Diboson production with jets in the final state We can safely state that we are able to observe dijet resonances Moreover in the W W/W Z → ν+jets analysis we learned: 1 W + jets normalization compatible with expectations scaled to NLO 2 Jet Energy Scale well under control → multiplicative factor to correct diboson position is found to be compatible with 1 3 ¯ Our mass fit is sensitive to tt + single top with an uncertainty of 10% → cross section compatible with expectation V. Cavaliere (University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign) Seminar 04/06/2011 10 / 38
  • 15. Cross sections measurements Observed an interesting discrepancy in the Mjj Needed work in order to understand the nature and properties of the excess 1 an artifact of background subtraction 2 misunderstanding of one of the backgrounds 3 real physics? V. Cavaliere (University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign) Seminar 04/06/2011 11 / 38
  • 16. Moving to different kinematical region Using exactly the same kinematical cuts as the diboson analysis but: We require both jets to have ET > 30 GeV 1 Energetic jets are measured with better accuracy. 2 Modeling in this region is expected to be more accurate 3 A possible heavier particle would be characterized by more energetic jets Sample modeling using same processes with different relative contribution All cuts chosen “a priori” V. Cavaliere (University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign) Seminar 04/06/2011 12 / 38
  • 17. Modeling of samples Process Model σ (pb) WW/WZ inclusive P YTHIA 15.9 ± 0.9 Z → e, µ, τ +jets A LPGEN + P YTHIA 787 ± 85 ¯ tt P YTHIA 7.5 ± 0.83 single top M ADEVENT + P YTHIA 2.86 ± 0.36 W+jets A LPGEN + P YTHIA from data QCD multijet from data from data Correct MC for: Trigger Efficiencies: Data must pass the trigger to be selected → apply these efficiencies to the MC Lepton Energy Scale, Energy Resolution, and Identification. Luminosity Profile: not the same as for the data → reweight as a function of number of vertices V. Cavaliere (University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign) Seminar 04/06/2011 13 / 38
  • 18. Alpgen+Pythia While simulating W/Z + N-jets, we need to get the inclusive cross section and the relative cross section for exclusive N-jets We simulate by pairing Alpgen (LO matrix elements) and Pythia (parton showers) 1 Matrix Elements: Fixed order. Gives an accurate description of the hard process. Needed for N-jet description 2 Parton showers: Needed for a realistic description of the final state in the detector Combine them using MLM scheme to avoid double counting. Cluster the showered partons into cone jets. Keep events only if each jet is matched to just one parton q q ¯ q q ¯ q q ¯ q q q g g ℓ+ ℓ+ ℓ+ W+ W+ W+ q′ ¯ νℓ q′ ¯ νℓ q′ ¯ νℓ ALPGEN produces events from diagrams (a) and (b). PYTHIA’s showering routine will sometimes takes events from diagram (b) and add a radiated gluon to produce diagram (c) V. Cavaliere (University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign) Seminar 04/06/2011 14 / 38
  • 19. QCD Multijet Model Modeled using data sidebands Non isolated muons: Using non-isolated events, events which pass all selection criteria except the requirement of lepton isolation. Based on the rationale that non-isolated events are typically leptons contained in jets, and jets that contain energetic leptons are mostly non-W events. “AntiElectrons”: Some non-kinematic cuts for the electron are used to reject fake electrons. Model is constructed with events which fail at least two of the non-kinematic quality cuts but pass all the kinematic cuts of the electron. V. Cavaliere (University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign) Seminar 04/06/2011 15 / 38
  • 20. QCD Multijet estimation QCD multijet events are characterized by low &T , so &T distribution is E E completely different from W + jets Best solution → Fit the &T distribution on data in order to constrain multijet E normalization. Extract the fraction of QCD and knowing all the others contributions can extract also a preliminary W + jets normalization (left completely free in the final fit) Systematic associated with the normalization estimated using different models (25%) V. Cavaliere (University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign) Seminar 04/06/2011 16 / 38
  • 21. Putting ingredients together 1 Mjj of data compared to SM predictions 2 Want to investigate further → Need to check every background carefully. Public Webpage 1 Look at Excess sidebands (115 > Mjj > 175 GeV/2 ) 2 QCD multijet shape modeling ¯ 3 tt production 4 W + jet shape V. Cavaliere (University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign) Seminar 04/06/2011 17 / 38
  • 22. Control sample: 115 > Mjj > 175 GeV/2 V. Cavaliere (University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign) Seminar 04/06/2011 18 / 38
  • 23. Control sample: 115 > Mjj > 175 GeV/2 V. Cavaliere (University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign) Seminar 04/06/2011 19 / 38
  • 24. Control sample: 115 > Mjj > 175 GeV/2 V. Cavaliere (University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign) Seminar 04/06/2011 20 / 38
  • 25. Control sample: 115 > Mjj > 175 GeV/2 V. Cavaliere (University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign) Seminar 04/06/2011 21 / 38
  • 26. QCD Multijet model Check shape and rate using independent ways: 1 ∆φ(E T , Missing Pt) → large for & qcd events CDF Run II Preliminary ∫ L dt = 4.30 fb-1 Arbitrary Units W+jets CMUP+CMX 0.15 QCD 0.10 0.05 0.00 0 1 2 3 4 ∆ φmet, trkMet V. Cavaliere (University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign) Seminar 04/06/2011 22 / 38
  • 27. QCD Multijet model Check shape and rate using independent ways: 1 ∆φ(E T , Missing Pt) → large for & qcd events 2 ∆φ(E T , closest jet) → & mis-measured jets tend to be aligned with the &T E CDF Run II Preliminary L = 4.30 fb-1 int 0.25 Arbitrary Units W+jets CMUP+CMX 0.20 QCD 0.15 0.10 0.05 0.00 0 1 2 3 4 5 min ∆ φmet, closest jet V. Cavaliere (University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign) Seminar 04/06/2011 22 / 38
  • 28. ¯ tt shape 1 ¯ tt production is characterized by a larger number of jets with respect to other processes. 2 To test it, we exploit its higher jet multiplicity and look at events with at least 3 jets and events with at least 4 jets. No mismodeling is observed 3 Furthermore we consider events with exactly three jets passing selection criteria and we look at the distribution of the invariant mass system of the other combinations of jets, Mj1,j3 and Mj2,j3 . V. Cavaliere (University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign) Seminar 04/06/2011 23 / 38
  • 29. W + jets shape Use Z + jets data to check W+jets shape Require two leptons (one tight and one loose) Selection on the hadronic side is the same Basic Idea : Similar kinematics Due the purity of the sample can be modeled by ALPGEN only Problem: 10 times less data Entries Entries -1 -1 Muon Data (4.3 fb ) 0.16 Electron Data (4.3 fb ) 0.14 MC Z+jet MC Z+jet 0.14 0.12 0.12 0.10 0.10 0.08 0.08 0.06 0.06 0.04 0.04 0.02 0.02 0.00 0.00 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 Mj1,j2 [GeV/c2] Mj1,j2 [GeV/c2] V. Cavaliere (University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign) Seminar 04/06/2011 24 / 38
  • 30. Fitting procedure Combined χ2 fit to the dijet mass distribution in electron and muon samples. 5 templates: 1 W + jets (uncostrained, normalization determined from the fit) 2 QCD (normalization constrained to its fraction with 25 % error) 3 Z + jets (normalization constrained to the measured cross section) 4 top & single top (normalization constrained to the theoretical cross section) 5 W W/W Z (normalization constrained to the theoretical cross section) Events/(8 GeV/c2) Events/(8 GeV/c2) CDF data (4.3 fb-1) 150 700 Bkg Sub Data (4.3 fb-1) WW+WZ 4.5% 600 W+Jets 80.2% WW+WZ (all bkg syst.) Top 6.5% 100 500 Z+jets 2.8% QCD 5.3% (b) 400 50 (a) 300 200 0 100 -50 0 100 200 100 200 2 Mjj [GeV/c ] Mjj [GeV/c2] V. Cavaliere (University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign) Seminar 04/06/2011 25 / 38
  • 31. Gaussian Assumption Chosen to estimate the significance of the excess assuming an additional gaussian component. The gaussian assumption is a simplified model, since the exact shape would depend on the specific physics process and the heavy flavor content of the decay products. Since the excess looks narrow with respect to the detector resolution, we search for a peak compatible with the detector resolution for a given dijet mass value. Mjj σgaussian = σW = 14.3GeV MW Procedure: 1 Fit the data without the gaussian → evaluate χ2 2 Fit the data with the gaussian → evaluate χ2 3 We add 3 degrees of freedom to the fit (mass, separate e/µ yields) so the ∆χ2 should have the distribution of a χ2 with 3 degrees of freedom. 4 Verify the behaviour of the ∆χ2 with statistical trials with trial factor. V. Cavaliere (University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign) Seminar 04/06/2011 26 / 38
  • 32. Fit to data with SM templates + gaussian Events/(8 GeV/c2) 700 CDF data (4.3 fb-1) Gaussian 2.5% WW+WZ 4.8% 600 W+Jets 78.0% Top 6.3% Data fitted with SM 500 Z+jets 2.8% QCD 5.1% templates plus a gaussian. 400 ∆χ2 observed 20.31 that (c) 300 corresponds to a statistical significance of 3.7σ 200 (including trial factor) 100 0 100 200 Mjj [GeV/c2] Electrons Muons Excess events 156 ± 42 97 ± 38 Excess events / expected diboson 0.60 ± 0.18 0.44 ± 0.18 Mean of the Gaussian component 144 ± 5 GeV/c2 V. Cavaliere (University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign) Seminar 04/06/2011 27 / 38
  • 33. Fit to data with SM templates + gaussian Events/(8 GeV/c2) 180 Bkg Sub Data (4.3 fb-1) 160 Gaussian 140 120 WW+WZ (all bkg syst.) Data fitted with SM 100 (d) templates plus a gaussian. 80 ∆χ2 observed 20.31 that 60 corresponds to a statistical 40 significance of 3.7σ 20 (including trial factor) 0 -20 -40 100 200 Mjj [GeV/c2] Electrons Muons Excess events 156 ± 42 97 ± 38 Excess events / expected diboson 0.60 ± 0.18 0.44 ± 0.18 Mean of the Gaussian component 144 ± 5 GeV/c2 V. Cavaliere (University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign) Seminar 04/06/2011 27 / 38
  • 34. Systematics systematics affecting background shapes Evaluated generating statistical trials with the varied templates and fitting with the standard ones. Affected Quantity Source Uncertainty (%) Number of Excess Events QCD shape ±1.9 Q2 ±6.7 JES ±6.1 Total ±9.3 0.1 Uncertainties on JES Quadratic sum of all contributions Absolute jet energy scale 0.08 Measurement affected by Jet Energy Scale: Out-of-Cone + Splash-out Relative - 0.2<|η|<0.6 0.06 1 Apply to all MC modeled processes at the same Underlying Event 0.04 time 0.02 QCD shape systematic evaluated using different Isolation ranges. 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450 500 pcorr (GeV/c) T V. Cavaliere (University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign) Seminar 04/06/2011 28 / 38
  • 35. Shape systematic: W + jets Alpgen MC depends on some parameters: 1 Factorization and normalization scale Q2 = MW +2 p2 which can be varied by a T,j constant factor on an event by event basis 2 kT Scale Factor: Alpgen’s scale factor for αs at each decay vertex. 3 Parton matching cluster pT threshold: the minimum pT for jet clusters that are used for matching procedure. 4 Parton matching clustering radius size: the size of the jet cone used when creating jet clusters for matching procedure → Alpgen authors recommend using the generator level cut. The only significant effect for this kind of selection is given by the Q2 Use standard CDF procedure: Double and halve it to obtain alternative templates This choice is motivated by standard practice based on extensive theoretical work V. Cavaliere (University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign) Seminar 04/06/2011 29 / 38
  • 36. Significance To evaluate the significance of the resonance, we apply a procedure called “supremum p-value” If Nsyst is the number of systematics sources, we generate a toy MC sample for each combination of the Nsyst , i.e. in each sample, some of the systematics are varied. For each sample, we evaluate the corresponding p-value using the ∆χ2 between the background only and signal hypothesis as test statistics. The significance we quote for our final result is the largest among the p-values we obtain. To take into account the trial factor, in our toy experiments we scan the mass of the resonance in the search region [120 - 200] GeV/c2 using step of 4 GeV/c2 and evaluate, at each step, the corresponding χ2 : for each toy sample, the minimum χ2 of the scan is used in the ∆χ2 evaluation. The largest p-value is 7.6 × 10−4 , corresponding to a significance of 3.2 standard deviations. V. Cavaliere (University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign) Seminar 04/06/2011 30 / 38
  • 37. W +jets (mis)modeling → ∆Rjj In order to investigate possible mismodeling we consider two control regions, the first defined by events with Mjj < 115 and Mjj > 175 GeV/c2 and the second defined by events with pT < 40 GeV/c. We use these regions to derive a correction as a function of ∆Rjj to reweigh the events in the excess region. The reweighings change the statistical significance of the result by plus or minus one sigma. However, the ∆Rjj distribution is strongly correlated to Mjj and the control regions both have significantly different distributions of ∆Rjj . Reweighing our W +jets sample may be correct ∆Rjj mismodeling or may introduce bias in the Mjj distribution. In addition, the ∆Rjj distribution is consistent within the one sigma variation of the systematic uncertainties for events outside the excess mass region. V. Cavaliere (University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign) Seminar 04/06/2011 31 / 38
  • 38. Fit floating systematics Events 800 Events/(8 GeV/c2) CDF Data Bkg Sub Data (4.3 fb-1) WW+WZ 150 W+jets Gaussian QCD Multijet 600 WW+WZ Z+jets 100 (a) Top uncertainty 400 (b) 50 0 200 -50 0 100 200 0 1 2 3 4 5 Mjj [GeV/c2] ∆ Rjj Fit performed combination of systematic that fits data best: lowest χ2 Returns a p-value intermediate between the largest and statistical only ∆Rjj shown with the same combination of systematic. χ2 /ndf =26.6/18. V. Cavaliere (University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign) Seminar 04/06/2011 32 / 38
  • 39. NLO effects In order to test Next to Leading Order contributions to the W +2 partons prediction, we compare (private communication with J.Campbell, E. Eichten, K.Lane, A.Martin) A LPGEN and interfaced to P YTHIA for showering to a sample of W +2 partons simulated using the MCFM. We extract a correction as a function of Mjj that is applied to the A LPGEN + P YTHIA sample used in our background model. This procedure returns a statistical significance of 3.4σ. W+jj : comparing different µ, generators 2 Events/8 (GeV/c2) 200 ALP+Pyth (inc). µ 2= M2 + p2 vs. µ 2 = M2 Bkg Sub Data (4.3 fb-1) 1.8 W T,jj W ALP+Pyth (exc). µ 2= M2 + p2 vs. µ 2 = M2 W W T,jj 1.6 Gaussian ALP+Pyth (inc.) µ 2= M2 vs. MCFM LO µ 2 = M2 W 2 W 2 150 ALP+Pyth (exc.) µ 2= MW vs. MCFM NLO µ 2 = MW 1.4 WW+WZ 1.2 100 ratio 1 0.8 50 0.6 0.4 0 0.2 0 100 200 300 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 Mjj (GeV) Mjj [GeV/c2] V. Cavaliere (University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign) Seminar 04/06/2011 33 / 38
  • 40. Production Cross Section ? We increase the jet ET threshold in steps of 5 GeV and check the fraction of excess events that are selected as function of the jet ET . The result is compatible with expectation from a Monte Carlo simulation of a W boson plus a particle with a mass of 150 GeV/c2 and decaying isotropically into two jets. In this model, we estimate a cross section times the particle branching ratio into dijets of the order of 4 pb → not compatible with Standard Model W H σ × BR(b¯ = 39 fb b) V. Cavaliere (University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign) Seminar 04/06/2011 34 / 38
  • 41. Flavour composition Tried to look at the flavour composition of this jets. Assuming a branching ratio in b¯ of 100% and the tagging efficiency b from W H we expect to be able to see a much stronger signal in the tagged sample Compared the fraction of events with b-jets in the sidebands (120> Mjj >160 GeV/c2 ) to that in the excess region Tag requirement Excess region Sideband region Muons 1 tag 0.1027 ± 0.0112 0.0813 ± 0.0096 2 tag 0.0078 ± 0.0030 0.0084 ± 0.0030 Electrons 1 tag 0.0897 ± 0.0088 0.0945 ± 0.0087 2 tag 0.0110 ± 0.0030 0.0095 ± 0.0026 No significant difference is observed V. Cavaliere (University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign) Seminar 04/06/2011 35 / 38
  • 42. Resonant production Finally, to investigate the possibilities of a parent resonance or other quasi-resonant behavior, we consider the M(lepton,ν,jj) and the M(lepton,ν,jj) -Mjj distributions for events with Mjj in the range 120-160 GeV/c2 and to investigate the Dalitz structure of the excess events, the distribution of M(lepton,ν,jj) -Mjj , in bins of Mjj . The distributions are compatible in shape with the background-only hypothesis in all cases. V. Cavaliere (University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign) Seminar 04/06/2011 36 / 38
  • 43. Conclusions We study the invariant mass distribution of jet pairs produced in association with a W boson. The best fit to the observed dijet mass distribution using known components, and modeling the dominant W +jets background using A LPGEN+P YTHIA Monte Carlo, shows a statistically significant disagreement. One possible way to interpret this disagreement is as an excess in the 120-160 GeV/c2 mass range. If we model the excess as a Gaussian component with a width compatible with the dijet invariant mass resolution we obtain a p-value of 7.6 × 10−4 , corresponding to a significance of 3.2 standard deviations, after accounting for all statistical and systematic uncertainties. V. Cavaliere (University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign) Seminar 04/06/2011 37 / 38
  • 44. Conclusion II Even if it is hard V. Cavaliere (University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign) Seminar 04/06/2011 38 / 38
  • 45. Conclusion II Even if it is hard Need to keep the focus on things we know: 1 CDF now sensitive to very small cross sections and small differences between data and model also in complex final states V. Cavaliere (University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign) Seminar 04/06/2011 38 / 38
  • 46. Conclusion II Even if it is hard Need to keep the focus on things we know: 1 CDF now sensitive to very small cross sections and small differences between data and model also in complex final states Work to do: 1 Understand if the excess is truly new physics or simply mismodeling 2 If it is found to be mismodeling need to comprehend why we don’t understand this hard kinematical region as we would expect from theory 3 Need to carefully consider both possibilities as it is exciting both ways. V. Cavaliere (University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign) Seminar 04/06/2011 38 / 38
  • 47. Acknowledgments Would like to thank J.Campbell, E. Eichten, R. K.Ellis, C.Hill, K.Lane, M. Mangano, A. Martin for the useful suggestions and discussions V. Cavaliere (University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign) Seminar 04/06/2011 39 / 38
  • 48. Backup V. Cavaliere (University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign) Seminar 04/06/2011 40 / 38
  • 49. ∆R studies If we do reweigh to the sidebands we observe that the significance drops to 2.3σ Does it really makes sense? 1 The two sidebands are qualitatively different (events are from two different kinematical regions, with different sample composition) → ∆Rjj is highly correlated (and the correlation is hard to understand) with the Mjj . 2 reweighing to the sum of the two sidebands, since the low one has more statistics, is not completely right because we artificially make the mjj look more like the low sideband. V. Cavaliere (University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign) Seminar 04/06/2011 41 / 38
  • 50. ∆Rjj DeltaR_jj_mjj mjj 400 350 300 250 200 150 100 50 0 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 4.0 4.5 5.0 DeltaR_jj V. Cavaliere (University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign) Seminar 04/06/2011 42 / 38
  • 51. Fit requiring pT,W > 60 GeV/c V. Cavaliere (University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign) Seminar 04/06/2011 43 / 38
  • 52. What happens if we change the Jet Energy scale? Result of the fit scaling JES up by 7% Sig always above 3σ V. Cavaliere (University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign) Seminar 04/06/2011 44 / 38
  • 53. Results from D0 using 1.1 fb−1 lin paper V. Cavaliere (University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign) Seminar 04/06/2011 45 / 38