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Market Analyses
                                         In Industrial Practice
                                  Strategic Management and Marketing Practices




Copyright © 2011. All rights reserved.                                www.strategie-und-planung.de
11.10.2012
Main Tasks Of Market And Competitive
      Analyses
                                         Market Analyses                                          Competitive Analyses



               Customer                          Market                Market
                                                                                                strategically        tactically
               Analyses                         Forecasts             Positions



           Buying Decision                    Market Trends        Market Shares            Competitor         Product / Feature
            Criteria                           M. Segments          Dynamic of the            Profiles            Comparisons
           Customer Satis-                    Market Volume         Market Position          C. Strategy        Unique Selling
            faction                                                  Market                   C. Position         Propositions
                                               Market Growth
           Buying Behaviour                                          Penetration              Key Business       Selling
                                               M. Attractivity
           Demand Analysis                                          Competitive               Data                Arguments
                                               M. Potential
           Buying Power                                              Advantages               Portfolio          Competitor News
                                               Customer
           Price Sensitivity                                                                  Soft Facts         Competitor
                                                Structure
                                                                                                                    Weaknesses
           Promotion Impact                   Sales Channels

        Sales Support                                Support of Strategy Development                           Sales Support


Copyright © 2011. All rights reserved.                       www.strategie-und-planung.de                                          page 2
11.10.2012
Market Definition –
      Market Cascade
                                                                 e.g., because
                                                                  product approval not existing
                                                                  publicly protected monopolies
                                              Inaccessible        inhouse supply of competitors
                                                 Market           legal restrictions




                                                                                      e.g., because
                                                                                       missing products
                                                    Market           Unserved          prices not competitive
                                                   Potential                           lacking market penetration
                                                                      Market
                                                                                       customer preferences for local suppliers
        Total Market

                                         Addressable
                                           Market                     Currently
                                                                     Addressed            Served
                                                                                          Market




Copyright © 2011. All rights reserved.                 www.strategie-und-planung.de                                           Seite 3
11.10.2012
Information Sources For Market Analyses

                                                                                  Customer surveys
                                                                                  Customer feedback
                                                          Customers               Account information




          Market reports                                                                                Institutionalized
                                                                                      Service /           feedback
          Research on                   Industry                                                         process
           order                         Analysts                                      Sales
                                                                                                         Regional data
          Market models




                                                                                                 Presentations
              Commissioning                                                                     Product information
                                              Consul-                     Trade Shows/
              Customer data from                                                                Contests
               consulting projects             tants                       Congresses



Copyright © 2011. All rights reserved.              www.strategie-und-planung.de                                        Seite 4
11.10.2012
Forecast Techniques Within Market Analyses

                                                                  Evaluation of Market Parameters
                                                                       Volumes
                                                                       Prices
                                                                       Distribution structure
             Forecast Techniques                                       Margins

             Market Models                                                   Levels of Detail
             Scenario Analysis
                                                                       Varying by market segment
             Trend Analysis                                           Varying by customer / technology
             Extrapolation                                             segment
             Top down / Bottom up                                     Varying by size / performance
             Expert Views                                              class

                                                                      Finding of Influencing Factors
                                                                       Replacement cycles
                                                                       Innovation cycles
                                                                       Age of installed base


Copyright © 2011. All rights reserved.   www.strategie-und-planung.de                              11.10.2012
                                                                                                     page 5
11.10.2012
Market Trends And Drivers
      (Example)
                                 Productivity increases in …                                          Standards-based architectures …
         Customer Requests

                                                                                                 

                                Cost optimization (ROI / TCO) …                                     Service-oriented architectures (SOA) …




                                                                                   Technology
                                Increase of process efficiency …                                    Integrated platforms …
                                Security …                                                          Open Source Software …
                                …                                                                   …




                                Value added moves from hardware towards                             Competitor A. is integrating …
         Business Models




                                 software and services …                                             Competitor B. is making use of its strong



                                                                                    Competition
                                Software and applikations „on demand“ …                              position in …
                                Increasing relevance of solution packages                           Competitor C. is specializing in core
                                 …                                                                    business segments …
                                Increasing relevance of vertical solutions …                        Competitor D. is expanding through M&A
                                Increasing partnering and cooperation                                activities in …
                                 models …                                                            …



Copyright © 2011. All rights reserved.                           www.strategie-und-planung.de                                                 11.10.2012
                                                                                                                                                page 6
11.10.2012
Market Forecasts –
      Development Of Market Volume (Example)
                                                             Total Market
        bln. €                                                                                                  CAGR 12 - 18

                                                                                      44,0   Total Market            X,X%
                                                                       40,0            5,0   Managed Services          x,x%
                                                           36,0         4,5
                                                                                       5,0   Professional Services     x,x%
                                                32,0         4,0        4,5
                                                                                             Product-related
                                         28,0    3,5                                   6,0                             x,x%
                                                             4,0                             Services
                                                                        5,5
                              24,0        3,0    3,5
                                                             5,0                       5,0   Segment E                 x,x%
                                2,5       3,0    4,5                    4,5
            20,0                                             4,0
                                2,5       4,0                                          5,0   Segment D                 x,x%
              2,0                                3,5                    4,5
              2,0               3,5       3,0                4,0
              3,0                                3,5                                   6,0   Segment C                 x,x%
                                2,5       3,0                           5,5
              2,0               2,5                          5,0
                                                 4,5
              2,0                         4,0
                                3,5                                     5,5            6,0   Segment B                 x,x%
              3,0                                            5,0
                                          4,0    4,5
              3,0               3,5
                                                 4,5         5,0        5,5            6,0   Segment A                 x,x%
               3,0              3,5       4,0

            2012              2013       2014   2015       2016        2017           2018


Copyright © 2011. All rights reserved.                 www.strategie-und-planung.de                                            Seite 7
11.10.2012
Market Development –
      Volumes And Technologies (Beispiel)
                            Technology Markets                                                  Technology Split in %
        mill. units


                                                                                  100%                          2
         36                                                                                                            3      4      6
                                                                xx% p.a.                 14
                                                                                                  16
                                                                                  75%                   19
                                                                                                               22
         24                                                                                                           25
                                                                                                                             27
                                                                                                                                    28
                                                                                  50%

                                                                xx% p.a.
         12                                                                              25
                                                                                                  21
                                                                                  25%                   18
                                                                                                               16
                                                                                                                      14
                                                                                                                             11
                                                                                                                                     8
                                                                       xx% p.a.
           0                                                                       0%
                   2012       2013       2014   2015   2016   2017    2018               2012    2013   2014   2015   2016   2017   2018

               Old technology
               Current technology
               Innovative (future) technology


Copyright © 2011. All rights reserved.                        www.strategie-und-planung.de                                          11.10.2012
                                                                                                                                      page 8
11.10.2012
Evaluation Of Market Attractivity
      (Example)
                        Criteria              Market A                Market B                Market C               Market D
                                         ++    +   0    -   --   ++    +   0    -   --   ++    +   0   -   --   ++    +   0    -    --


       Market Volume

       Market Growth

       Customer Structure

       Sales Channels

       Intensity of Competition

       Level of Earnings

       Entry Barriers

       …

       Summary                                     +                       ++                      0                      -


Copyright © 2011. All rights reserved.             www.strategie-und-planung.de                                               11.10.2012
                                                                                                                                page 9
11.10.2012
A comprehensive market analysis
                       presentation with detailed explanations of
                         the practices and numerous practical
                           examples is available on request.
                                                (currently available only in German)


                          Please use the contact form to order the
                                       presentation
                                   http://www.strategie-und-planung.de/kontakt.html


                          Note: This presentation is available only for a small charge because of the benefits of the huge amount of information and the
                          multitude of examples, etc. The current price list of the documentation can be seen at
                          http://www.strategie-und-planung.de/mediapool/92/922449/data/Preise/Preisliste_Doku-Tools-20110101.pdf


Copyright © 2011. All rights reserved.                            www.strategie-und-planung.de                                                             Seite 10
11.10.2012

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Market Intelligence - Winfried Kempfle Marketing Services

  • 1. Market Analyses In Industrial Practice Strategic Management and Marketing Practices Copyright © 2011. All rights reserved. www.strategie-und-planung.de 11.10.2012
  • 2. Main Tasks Of Market And Competitive Analyses Market Analyses Competitive Analyses Customer Market Market strategically tactically Analyses Forecasts Positions  Buying Decision  Market Trends  Market Shares  Competitor  Product / Feature Criteria  M. Segments  Dynamic of the Profiles Comparisons  Customer Satis-  Market Volume Market Position  C. Strategy  Unique Selling faction  Market  C. Position Propositions  Market Growth  Buying Behaviour Penetration  Key Business  Selling  M. Attractivity  Demand Analysis  Competitive Data Arguments  M. Potential  Buying Power Advantages  Portfolio  Competitor News  Customer  Price Sensitivity  Soft Facts  Competitor Structure Weaknesses  Promotion Impact  Sales Channels  Sales Support  Support of Strategy Development  Sales Support Copyright © 2011. All rights reserved. www.strategie-und-planung.de page 2 11.10.2012
  • 3. Market Definition – Market Cascade e.g., because  product approval not existing  publicly protected monopolies Inaccessible  inhouse supply of competitors Market  legal restrictions e.g., because  missing products Market Unserved  prices not competitive Potential  lacking market penetration Market  customer preferences for local suppliers Total Market Addressable Market Currently Addressed Served Market Copyright © 2011. All rights reserved. www.strategie-und-planung.de Seite 3 11.10.2012
  • 4. Information Sources For Market Analyses  Customer surveys  Customer feedback Customers  Account information  Market reports  Institutionalized Service / feedback  Research on Industry process order Analysts Sales  Regional data  Market models  Presentations  Commissioning  Product information Consul- Trade Shows/  Customer data from  Contests consulting projects tants Congresses Copyright © 2011. All rights reserved. www.strategie-und-planung.de Seite 4 11.10.2012
  • 5. Forecast Techniques Within Market Analyses Evaluation of Market Parameters  Volumes  Prices  Distribution structure Forecast Techniques  Margins  Market Models Levels of Detail  Scenario Analysis  Varying by market segment  Trend Analysis  Varying by customer / technology  Extrapolation segment  Top down / Bottom up  Varying by size / performance  Expert Views class Finding of Influencing Factors  Replacement cycles  Innovation cycles  Age of installed base Copyright © 2011. All rights reserved. www.strategie-und-planung.de 11.10.2012 page 5 11.10.2012
  • 6. Market Trends And Drivers (Example) Productivity increases in … Standards-based architectures … Customer Requests    Cost optimization (ROI / TCO) …  Service-oriented architectures (SOA) … Technology  Increase of process efficiency …  Integrated platforms …  Security …  Open Source Software …  …  …  Value added moves from hardware towards  Competitor A. is integrating … Business Models software and services …  Competitor B. is making use of its strong Competition  Software and applikations „on demand“ … position in …  Increasing relevance of solution packages  Competitor C. is specializing in core … business segments …  Increasing relevance of vertical solutions …  Competitor D. is expanding through M&A  Increasing partnering and cooperation activities in … models …  … Copyright © 2011. All rights reserved. www.strategie-und-planung.de 11.10.2012 page 6 11.10.2012
  • 7. Market Forecasts – Development Of Market Volume (Example) Total Market bln. € CAGR 12 - 18 44,0 Total Market X,X% 40,0 5,0 Managed Services x,x% 36,0 4,5 5,0 Professional Services x,x% 32,0 4,0 4,5 Product-related 28,0 3,5 6,0 x,x% 4,0 Services 5,5 24,0 3,0 3,5 5,0 5,0 Segment E x,x% 2,5 3,0 4,5 4,5 20,0 4,0 2,5 4,0 5,0 Segment D x,x% 2,0 3,5 4,5 2,0 3,5 3,0 4,0 3,0 3,5 6,0 Segment C x,x% 2,5 3,0 5,5 2,0 2,5 5,0 4,5 2,0 4,0 3,5 5,5 6,0 Segment B x,x% 3,0 5,0 4,0 4,5 3,0 3,5 4,5 5,0 5,5 6,0 Segment A x,x% 3,0 3,5 4,0 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Copyright © 2011. All rights reserved. www.strategie-und-planung.de Seite 7 11.10.2012
  • 8. Market Development – Volumes And Technologies (Beispiel) Technology Markets Technology Split in % mill. units 100% 2 36 3 4 6 xx% p.a. 14 16 75% 19 22 24 25 27 28 50% xx% p.a. 12 25 21 25% 18 16 14 11 8 xx% p.a. 0 0% 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Old technology Current technology Innovative (future) technology Copyright © 2011. All rights reserved. www.strategie-und-planung.de 11.10.2012 page 8 11.10.2012
  • 9. Evaluation Of Market Attractivity (Example) Criteria Market A Market B Market C Market D ++ + 0 - -- ++ + 0 - -- ++ + 0 - -- ++ + 0 - -- Market Volume Market Growth Customer Structure Sales Channels Intensity of Competition Level of Earnings Entry Barriers … Summary + ++ 0 - Copyright © 2011. All rights reserved. www.strategie-und-planung.de 11.10.2012 page 9 11.10.2012
  • 10. A comprehensive market analysis presentation with detailed explanations of the practices and numerous practical examples is available on request. (currently available only in German) Please use the contact form to order the presentation http://www.strategie-und-planung.de/kontakt.html Note: This presentation is available only for a small charge because of the benefits of the huge amount of information and the multitude of examples, etc. The current price list of the documentation can be seen at http://www.strategie-und-planung.de/mediapool/92/922449/data/Preise/Preisliste_Doku-Tools-20110101.pdf Copyright © 2011. All rights reserved. www.strategie-und-planung.de Seite 10 11.10.2012