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                Lao Peop
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                               mocratic Repub
                                      c     blic
 
         Peace In
                ndependence Demmocracy Unity P
                                     y       Prosperi
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                     ê½−¾£¾−- Á ¤ ¦¯¯ 쾸
                              Á¹È   ¯
 
                      Bank of th Lao P
                      B        he    PDR
¦¾ì½®¾−                                                           Contents

£¿-À¹ñ−-°øÉ-¸È¾¡¾−                                                Message from the Governor                  Page No.   1
I. ¦½²¾®-À¦©«½¡ò©-¢º¤ ¦¯¯ 쾸                                    I. Lao Economic Performance                            6

       1. ¢½-ÁΤ-¡½¦ò¡¿                                                1.     Agriculture                               6

       2. ¢½-ÁΤ-º÷©-¦¾-¹½¡¿                                           2.     Industry                                  8

       3. ¢½-ÁΤ-®ðìò¡¾−                                               3.     Service                                   8

       4. ¡¾−-¯È¼−-Á¯¤-£¤-¯½¡-º® GDP                                  4.     Changes in GDP Components                 10

       5. 콩ñ®-ì¾£¾                                                   5.     Price Level                               10

II. ¢½-ÁΤ-¡¾−-À¤ò−-¢º¤-ìñ©.                                     II. Public Finance                                     13

       1. 쾨-»®-¤ö®¯½´¾−
               ñ                                                       1.     Revenues                                  13

       2. 쾨¥È¾¨¤ö®¯½´¾−                                              2.     Expenditures                              15

       3. ¡¾−-©÷ú−©È¼¤¤ö®¯½´¾−                                         3.     Financing                                 16

III. ¢½-ÁΤÀ¤ò−ª¾                                                III. Monetary Sector                                   17

       1. −½Â¨®¾¨ºñ©ª¾-Á졯ȼ−                                         1.     Exchange Rate Policy                      17

       2. −½Â¨®¾¨À¤ò−ª¾                                                2.     Monetary Policy                           19

        3. ¯½ìò´¾−-À¤ò−                                                3.     Monetary Supply                           19

        4. «¾−-À¤ò−ª¾                                                  4.     Monetary Base                             21

        5. À¤ò−-±¾¡¢º¤-ê½−¾£¾−-ê÷ì½-¡ò©                                5.     Deposits                                  21

        6. ¦ò−À§ˆº¢º¤-ê½−¾£¾−-ê÷ì½-¡ò©                                 6.      Credits                                  22

        7. ºñ©ª¾©º¡À®û¨-À¤ò−-±¾¡ -Áì½ -À¤ò−-¡øÉ                        7.     Interest Rates Deposits and Loan          23

       8. ¡¾−-£÷É´-£º¤-À¤ò−ª¾-ªÈ¾¤¯½-Àê©Áì½                            8.     Foreign Currency Management and the       25
                                                                              Promotion of the Use of Kip
            ¡¾−-¦‰¤-À¦ó´-¡¾−-−¿-çÉ-À¤ò−-¡ó®
       9. ¡¾−-£÷É´-£º¤-ê½−¾£¾−-ê÷ì½-¡ò©-                               9.     Commercial Bank Supervision               27

       10. ¡¾−-£É´£º¤-¦½-«¾-®ñ−-¡¾−-À¤ò−
                 ÷ -                                                   10. Financial Institutions Supervision           27

       11. ¸¼¡-¤¾−£÷É´-£º¤ª½Í¾©-Íñ¡-§ñ®-Ã− ¦¯¯ 쾸                     11.    Stock Exchange Management                 28

IV. ©÷−-¡¾−-§¿-콡ñ®ªÈ¾¤¯½Àê©-                                   IV.    Balance of Payments                             30

       1. ¡¾−£É¾-¡ñ®ªÈ¾¤-¯½-Àê©                                        1.     Foreign Trade                             31

       2. ©÷−-®ðìò¡¾−                                                  2.     Services                                  33

       3. ©÷−-쾨-Ä©É -                                                3.     Factor Income                             34

       4. À¤ò−º−-§È¸¨-ÀÍõº
              -                                                        4.     Current Transfers                         35

       5. Κ¦ò−ªÈ¾¤¯½Àê©                                               5.      External Debts                           35

       6. ¡¾−ìö¤êô−¥¾¡ªÈ¾¤¯½Àê©                                        6.     Foreign Direct Investment                 36

V.     êò©-꾤-츴꾤-©É¾−-´½¹¾-²¾¡-À¤ò−ª¾-¢º¤ ¦¯¯ 쾸 ¯ó 2012   V.     Lao Monetary Outlook for 2012                   37

  ¦½²¾-®ðìò¹¾−                                                              Executive Board                             39

     Á°−-¸¾©êó1: £¤-»È¾¤-¡¾−¥ñ©-ª˜¤ê½−¾£¾−Á¹È¤ ¦¯¯ 쾸
                 -                                                          Chart 1: Organizational Chart of the BOL    44

     Á°−-¸¾©êó 2 : -£¤-»È¾¤-¡¾−¥ñ©-ª˜¤¢º¤-ì½®ö®ê−¾£¾−--Ã− ¦¯¯              Chart 2: Organizational Chart of the Lao    46
                                                                            Banking System
     쾸.
              

              

              
              
¦¾ì½®¾−»ø®                                                      List of Figures
                                                                                                      Page No. 
»ø®êó 1: ¡¾−¢½¹¨¾¨ªö¸À¦©«½¡ò©                                   Figure 1: GDP Growth Rate                         7
»ø®êó 2: ¡¾−¢½¹¨¾¨ªö¸¢½ÁΤ¡½¦ò¡¿                                Figure 2: Growth of Agriculture                   7
»ø®êó 3: ¡¾−¢½¹¨¾¨ªö¸¢½ÁΤº÷©¦¾¹½¡¿                             Figure 3: Growth of Industry                      8
»ø®êó 4: ¡¾−¢½¹¨¾¨ªö¸¢½ÁΤ®ðìò¡¾−                               Figure 4: Growth of Services                      9
»ø®êó 5: ¡¾−¯È¼−Á¯¤Â£¤¯½¡º® GDP                                 Figure 5: Changes of GDP Components               10
»ø®êó 6: ºñ©ª¾À¤ò−À³š                                           Figure 6: Inflation                               12
»ø®êó 7: −ÕÎñ¡¢º¤ÁªÈì½Ï¸©¦ò−£É¾¡½êö®ªÒ©©
                                       ñ                        Figure 7: Weight of each Group of Goods and       13
                                                                Services Influencing CPI
§½−óì¾£¾°øɧö´Ã§É
»ø®êó 8: «¾−½¡¾−À¤ò−¢º¤ìñ©                                      Figure 8: Fiscal Performance                      14
»ø®êó 9: 쾨»ñ®¢º¤¤ö®¯½´¾−                                      Figure 9: Revenues                                15
»ø®êó 10: 쾨¥È¾¨¢º¤¤ö®¯½´¾−                                    Figure 10: Expenditures                           16
»ø®êó 11: ¡¾−©÷È−©È¼¤¤ö®¯½´¾−                                   Figure 11: Fiscal Financing                       17
»ø®êó 12: ºñ©ª¾Á졯ȼ−                                          Figure 12: Exchange Rates                         18
»ø®êó 13: ¯½ìò´¾−À¤ò− M2                                        Figure 13: Money Supply (M2)                      20
»ø®êó 14: ºö¤¯½¡º®¢º¤ M2 Á¨¡ª¾´¦½¡÷−À¤ò−                        Figure 14: M2 by Currency Components              20
»ø®êó 15: «¾−À¤ò−ª¾                                             Figure 15: Monetary Base                          21
»ø®êó 16: À¤ò−±¾¡¢º¤-ê½−¾£¾−-ê÷ì½-¡ò©                           Figure 16: Commercial banks’ Deposits             22
»ø®êó 17: ¦ò−À§ˆº¢º¤-ê½−¾£¾−-ê÷ì½-¡ò©                           Figure 17: Commercial banks’ Credits              23
»ø®êó 18: ºñ©ª¾©º¡À®É¨¦½ÀìȨÀ¤ò−±¾¡¡¿−ö©12 À©õº−                Figure 18: Average 12 Months Deposit Rates        24
»ø®êó 19: ºñ©ª¾©º¡À®É¨¦½ÀìȨÀ¤ò−¡øÉ¡¿−ö© 12 À©õº−               Figure 19: Average 12 Months Lending Rates        25
»ø®êó 20: ©ñ©-§½-−óª½Í¾©-Íñ¡-§ñ®-쾸 -Áì½ ´ø−-£È¾-»÷É−-ê†-´ó-   Figure 20: Lao Stock Index Market and Trading     30
                                                                Volume
¡¾−-§œŒ¢¾¨
»ø®êó 21: ©÷−¡¾−§¿ì½¡ñ®ªÈ¾¤¯½Àê©                                Figure 21: Balance of payments                    31
»ø®êó 22: ¡¾−£É¾ªÈ¾¤¯½Àê©                                       Figure 22: Foreign Trade                          32
»ø®êó 23: ¡¾−¢½¹¨¾¨ªö¸¢º¤¡¾−¦‰¤ºº¡Œ−¿À¢í¾                       Figure 23: Growth Rate of Exports - Imports       33
»ø®êó 24: ªö¸Àì¡−ñ¡êȺ¤êȼ¸À¢í¾´¾ ¦¯¯ 쾸                       Figure 24: Number of Tourist Arrivals             34
                                                                to Lao PDR
»ø®êó 25: Κ¦ò−ªÈ¾¤¯½Àê©                                        Figure 25: Extenal Debts                          35
»ø®êó 26: ¡¾−ìö¤êô−©¨¡ö¤¢º¤ªÈ¾¤¯½Àê©                           Figure 26: Foreign Direct Invesment               36


       

       

       

       

       

       


       
       
¦¾ì½®¾−ª¾ª½ì¾¤                                            List of Tables

                                                                                               Page No.
ª¾ª½ì¾¤êó 1: ªö¸À졧š®º¡À¦©«½¡ò©ê†¦¿£ñ− ¢º¤ ¦¯¯ 쾸     Table 1: Selected key Economic Indicators         5
                                                        of the Lao PDR
ª¾ª½ì¾¤êó 2:츴¨º©°½ìò©ª½²ñ−²¾¨Ã−£ò©ÄìÈ ª¾´´ø−£È¾À²†´   Table 2:Gross Domestic Product by                 48
                                                        Value Added
ª¾ª½ì¾¤êó 3: ©ñ©¦½−óì¾£¾°øɧö´Ã§É                       Table 3: Consumer Price Index (CPI)               49

ª¾ª½ì¾¤êó 4: ºñ©ª¾À¤ò−À³š                               Table 4: Inflation                                50

ª¾ª½ì¾¤êó 5: «¾−½¡¾−À¤ò−¢º¤ìñ©                          Table 5: Status of Government Budget              51

ª¾ª½ì¾¤êó 6: 쾨»ñ®¢º¤¤ö®¯½´¾−                          Table 6: Revenues                                 53

ª¾ª½ì¾¤êó 7: «¾−½¡¾−À¤ò−¢º¤ ê¹ì                         Table 7: Balance Sheet of the BOL                 54

ª¾ª½ì¾¤êó 8: «¾−½¡¾−À¤ò−¢º¤ì½®ö®ê½−¾£¾−                 Table 8: Monetary Survey                          55

ª¾ª½ì¾¤êó 9: ºñ©ª¾©º¡À®É¨                               Table 9: Interest Rates                           56

ª¾ª½ì¾¤êó 10: À¤ò−±¾¡¢º¤-ê½−¾£¾−-ê÷ì½-¡ò©               Table 10: Commercial banks’ Deposits              58

ª¾ª½ì¾¤êó 11: ¦ò−À§ˆº¢º¤-ê½−¾£¾−-ê÷ì½-¡ò©               Table 11: Commercial banks’ Credits               59

ª¾ª½ì¾¤êó 12: ©÷−¡¾−§¿ì½¡ñ®ªÈ¾¤¯½Àê©                    Table 12:Balance of Payments                      60

ª¾ª½ì¾¤êó 13: ¡¾−£É¾ªÈ¾¤¯½Àê©                           Table 13: Foreign Trade                           61

ª¾ª½ì¾¤êó 14: Κ¦ò−ªÒªÈ¾¤¯½Àê©¢º¤ìñ©                    Table 14: External Debts                          62

ª¾ª½ì¾¤êó 15: ºñ©ª¾Á졯ȼ−ê½−¾£¾− Áì½ ª½¹ì¾©            Table 15: Official and Parallel                   63
                                                        Exchange Rate
ª¾ª½ì¾¤êó 16:À¤ò−º−À¢í¾´¾ìö¤êô−©¨¡ö¤ ¢º¤              Table 16: FDI Funds Transferred Through           64
                                                        Banking System
ªÈ¾¤¯½ÀꩰȾ−ì½®ö®ê½−¾£¾−
ª¾ª½ì¾¤êó 17: 츴¡¾−ìö¤êô−¥¾¡ªÈ¾¤¯½Àê©                  Table 17: Approved Foreign Direct Investments     65
                                                        by Sector
Á®È¤ª¾´¢½ÁΤ¡¾−
ª¾ª½ì¾¤êó 18: ªö¸Àì¡−ñ¡êȺ¤êȼ¸ Áì½ ì¾¨Ä©É              Table 18: Tourist Arrivals to Lao PDR and         66
                                                        Revenues from Tourism
¥¾¡¡¾−êȺ¤êȼ¸ ¢º¤ 쾸.
           




           
           
£¿-À¹ñ−-°øÉ-¸È¾¡¾−-ê½−¾£¾− -Á¹È¤ ¦¯¯ 쾸
                                 Massage from the Governor




                                                                  

       Ã−-¯ó 2011 °È¾−´¾¡¾−»ñ¡¦¾¦½«¼−ì½                           In 2011, maintaining monetary stability
²¾®À¤ò−ª¾Á¹È¤§¾© ĩɯ½À§ó−¡ñ®®ñ−¹¾®ÒÎûº¨                   was faced with numerous challenges due to
                                                           debt crisis in Europe, unemployment, natural
¨Éº−®ñ−¹¾Îš¦ò−-Ã−À¢©Àºó-Âë®,         ®ñ−¹¾-¡¾−-¸È¾¤-
                                                           calamities, the increase in oil, gold and
¤¾−, IJ꿴½§¾©; ì¾£¾−Õ´ñ−, -ì¾£¾-£¿ -Áì½
                                                           foodstuff prices, which resulted in rising
ì¾£¾-¦½®¼¤-º¾¹¾−´óêȾºÈ¼¤À²†´¢›− À»ñ©Ã¹Éºñ©                inflation rates in many countries. In addition,
ª¾-À¤ò−-À³šμøÈ;¨¯½Àê©Ä©ÉÀ²†´-¢›−.      −º¡-¥¾¡-−š,        the domestic environment also faced with
¦½²¾®-Á¸©-ìɺ´μøȲ¾¨-Ã−¡Ò¨ñ¤¯½À§ó−¡ñ®®ñ−¹¾                 natural calamities and the outbreak of animal
                                                           disease.
IJ꿴½§¾© Áì½ ²½¨¾©¦ñ©ì½®¾©.
      À«ò¤μȾ¤−˜−¡ðª¾´,     À²ˆº-»¡¦¾-¦½«¼−ì½-
                                  ñ                            However, in order to maintain a long-
²¾®ê¾¤-©É¾−-À¤ò−ª¾-ùÉ-´ó-£¸¾´Ï˜−êȼ¤-¨¾-¸−¾−,             term monetary stability, stable and sound
ì½®ö®-ê½−¾£¾− -´ó-£¸¾´Ï˜−£ö¤»º®©É¾− ²Éº´-                  banking system as well as enable the banks to
                                                           support and facilitate the process of socio-
êñ¤-¯½¡º®¦È¸−-¨øÉ-Á»¤-¡¾−-²ñ©ê½−¾À¦©«½¡ò©Œ
                                                           economic development, in particular to meet
¦ñ¤£ö´-ùÉ-®ñ−ì÷-ª¾´-Á°−¡¾−-¡¿-−ö©-Ä¸É ê½−¾£¾−
                                                           the major targets as set out in the plan, the
Á¹È¤ ¦¯¯ 쾸 (ê¹ì) Ä©É¥ñ©ª˜¤¯½ªò®ñ©²¾ì½-                   Bank of the Lao PDR (BOL) has actively
®ö©®¾©-Îɾ-ê-¢º¤-ªö−©É¸¨¡¾−: ¦õ®ªÒ¯½ªò®ñ©−½
             †                                             performed its role and duties as follows: the
¨®¾¨À¤ò−ª¾Á®®¯½¦ö´-¯½¦¾−©¨−¿Ã§ÉÀ£ˆº¤                     BOL continued to conduct a combined
                                                           monetary policy framework by using indirect
´õÀ¤ò−ª¾ê¾¤ºÉº´À¯ñ−ªí−£õ:      ¦õ®ªÒ»ñ¡¦¾ºñ©ª¾
                                                           monetary instruments such as BOL policy
©º¡À®É¨¢º¤ªö−Ä쨽®ÒÀ¡ó− 7 ¸ñ− Ã−ºñ©ª¾                      rate with maturity less than 7 days at 5
5%; »ñ¡¦¾ºñ©ª¾À¤ò−Á»±¾¡®ñ¤£ñ® 5% ¦¿ìñ®                     percent, reserve requirement ratio at 5 percent
À¤ò−¡ó® Áì½ 10% ¦¿ìñ®À¤ò−ª¾ªÈ¾¤¯½Àê©; ¦õ®                  for Kip and 10 percent for foreign currency,
ªÒ§÷¡¨øÉùɪ½Í¾©À¯ó©      À£ˆº−ŸμȾ¤Á¢¤Á»¤
                                                           continued to actively promote the open
                                                           market operations by issuing BOL securities
©É¸¨¡¾−¦õ®ªÒºº¡²ñ−ê½®ñ© ê¹ì; Áì½ ©¿À−ó−
                                                           and conducted Repo and outright operations
   
                                                       1
¡¾−©ñ©¦ö´¦½²¾®£Èº¤©É¾−ÁÍȤêô−ùÉì½®ö®ê½                              for banking system for the liquidity purpose.
−¾£¾−μȾ¤À¯ñ−¯ö¡¡½ªò©É¸¨¡¾−§œŒ¢¾¨±¾¡
                                                                            In addition, BOL continued to pursue a
Áì½ §œŒ¢¾¨¢¾©Âª²ñ−ê½®ñ©.
                                                                     market-oriented exchange rate regime
          ²Éº´¡ñ−−˜−¡ðúĩɦõ®ªÒ¯½ªò®ñ©−½Â¨®¾¨                        (managed floating system) by setting a daily
ºñ©ª¾Á졯ȼ−ª¾´¡ö−Ä¡ª½Í¾©´ó¡¾−£÷É´£º¤                                reference rate and intervened in the foreign
¢º¤ìñ©©É¸¨-¡¾−-¡¿−ö©ºñ©ª¾Á졯ȼ−ºÉ¾¤-ºó¤-¯½                          exchange market whenever necessary; BOL
                                                                     continued to deregulate foreign exchange
¥¿-¸ñ−,     ©ñ©¦ö´-ª½¹ù¾©À´ˆº-À¹ñ−-¸È¾-¥¿-À¯ñ−êñ¤-¦õ®
                                                                     trading to public and continued to implement
ªÒ°Èº−£¾¨-ì½®¼®-¡¾−-§œŒ¢¾¨-À¤ò−ª¾-             ùÉ-Á¡È-¦ñ¤           foreign currency management policy and Kip
£ö´ -Áì½ ¦õ®ªÒ-£÷É´-£º¤-À¤ò−ª¾-ªÈ¾¤¯½-Àê© -Áì½                       promotion; increasingly encouraged and
¦‰¤-À¦ó´-¡¾−-−¿-çÉ-À¤ò−-¡ó®μȾ¤-ªÒ-À−ˆº¤.     À¯ó©-¡¸É¾¤            supported payment through banking system
Áì½        §÷¡¨øÉ-¦‰¤-À¦ó´-¡¾−-§¿ì½-°È¾−-ì½®ö®-ê½−¾                  and encouraged private sector to expand their
                                                                     exchange bureaus to facilitate foreign
£¾−ùÉ-¹ì¾¨-¢›− ແລະ §÷¡¨øÉ-ùɲ¾¡¦È¸−Àº¡½
                                                                     exchange for the public.
§ö−¢½¹¨¾¨»É¾−-Á졯ȼ−--À²†´-¢›−-             À²ˆº-º¿−¸¨-
£¸¾´-¦½©¸¡-Ã−-¡¾−-Á졯ȼ−-À¤ò−ª¾-Á¡È-¦ñ¤£ö´.                               On commercial banks supervision, BOL
          ສືບຕໍ່ §÷¡¨øÉùÉê½−¾£¾−ê÷콡ò© À²†´ê½                      continued to encourage commercial banks to
                                                                     mobilize more deposits by setting interest
¸ó¡¾−콩ö´À¤ò−±¾¡ ©É¸¨-¡¾−-¯ñ®¯÷¤-ºñ©ª¾-©º¡-
                                                                     rates in line with domestic context,
À®É¨-ùÉ-ÀϾ½¦ö´-¡ñ®-¦½²¾®-À¦©«½¡ò©-²¾¨-Ã−                   -
                                                                     international and regional trends; providing
Áì½ êȾ-ºÈ¼¤¢º¤-¦¾¡-ö−-Áì½²¾¡²œ−; ´ó°½ìò©ª½                          diversified deposit accounts, improved and
²ñ−-À¤ò−-±¾¡ê†-¹ì¾¡-¹ì¾¨,- ¯ñ®¯÷¤- Áì½ ¢½¹¨¾¨                        expanded commercial banks’ network
ª¾ÎȾ¤®ðìò¡¾− ¢º¤ ê½−¾£¾−ê÷콡ò© ìö¤-»º©-                            accessible to district levels, improved service
                                                                     channels to provide a prompt and modern
¢˜−-À´õº¤, ¯ñ®¯÷¤-¡ö−-Ä¡-¡¾−-®ðìò¡¾−-ùÉ-¦½©¸¡¦½
                                                                     financial service gradually. In order to
®¾¨¡È¸¾À¡‰¾ -Áì½ ¹ñ−-¦øÈ-êñ−-¦½-ÄÏ-Àꈺ-ì½-¡É¾¸.                     support long-term fund mobilization, BOL
²Éº´¡ñ−−˜−,        À²ˆº¦‰¤À¦ó´¡¾−콩ö´êô−Ä쨽                        paid special attention to create necessary
¨¾¸, ທຫລ ກໍ-úÄ©É-Àº-ö¾-Ã¥-æÈ-¦É¾¤-À¤ˆº−-Ä¢-ê†-¥¿-À¯ñ− -             conditions conducive to the timely launch of
                                                                     the stock market and the market officially
Áì½ »º®©É¾−-À²ˆº-ùÉ-ª½Í¾©-Íñ¡-§®-¦¾´¾©-À¯ó©-
                                ñ
                                                                     began its trading in January 2011 with two
À£ˆº−-Ÿ-êñ−ª¾-´¡¿-−ö©-À¸ì¾ -Áì½ -Ä©É-´ó-¡¾−-
                                                                     companies listed in the Lao securities
À¯ó©§œŒ¢¾¨-»÷É−-μȾ¤-À¯ñ−-꾤-¡¾−- Ã−-À©õº−´ñ¤¡º−
    -                                                                exchange. The trading of securities was
¯ó 2011 ໂດຍ´ó¦º¤®ðìò¦ñ©À¢í¾¥ö©ê½®¼− -Áì½                             launched smoothly, drawing a lot interests for
¡¾−--§œŒ¢¾¨-ªö¸-¥ò¤-μøÈ-Ã−-ª½Í¾©       -´ó-£¸¾´-À¯ñ−-ì½              Lao and foreign investors. As a result, total
                                                                     stock trading was amounted to 301.49 million
®¼®-»¼®»Éº¨,       ¦É¾¤-£¸¾´-¦ö−-Ã¥-Á¡È-−ñ¡-ìö¤êô−-ê¤-
                                                    ñ
                                                                     Kip in 2011.
²¾¨-Ã−- Áì½ ªÈ¾¤¯½-Àê© §‡¤-´ó-´−-£È¾-¡¾−-§œŒ¢¾¨
                               ø
301,49 ªœ¡® -Ã−-¯ó 2011.
          ó                                                               In addition, BOL continued to create a
                                                                     favorable condition for commercial banks to
    
                                                                 2
້
        ນອກຈາກນີ,            ¡Òĩɦõ®ªÒ¦¾¤¦½²¾®Á¸©
                                        É                          provide credits to companies or projects with
ìɺ´ê†©ó-ùÉê½−¾£¾−ê÷콡ò© -À¯ñ−-À¥í¾-¡¾−-¯Èº¨                     efficient operations by focusing on the
                                                                   improvement of regulatory framework, loan
¦ò−-À§ˆºÃ¹ÉÁ¡È£¤¡¾−ꆴ󯽦ò©êò°ö− -©¨-¦´-æÈ-
                                         ÷
                                                                   approval mechanism and procedures to
¡¾−¯ñ®¯÷¤-ì½®¼®, ¡ö−-Ä¡ Áì½ ¢˜−ªº−-¡¾−-²ò¥¾                        provide a better access for entrepreneurs,
ì½−¾-À¤ò−-¡øÉ       À²ˆº-ùÉ-°øÉ-¯½¡º®-¡¾−-À¢í¾¹¾-Á¹-ìȤ           introduced a scheme of using productive
êô−-Ä©É-¤È¾¨-¢›−;      −¿-çÉ-£¤¡¾−-À¤ò−¡øÉ-ê†-´ó-¯½¦ò©-êò
                                         -                         projects as loan collateral. Furthermore, BOL
                                                                   paid attention to transforming the commercial
°ö−-À¯ñ−¹ìñ¡§ñ®£Õ¯½¡ñ−-À¤ò−-¡øÉ.-
        -   - -                             Àºö¾-Ã¥--æÈ-£í−
                                                                   bank supervision to comply with the
£¸É¾À²ˆº-¹ñ−-¡¾−-£÷É´-£º¤-ê½−¾£¾−-ê÷ì½-¡ò©-ª¾´-                    prudential principles of CAMELs, Basel I and
¹ìñ¡¡¾− CAMELs -Áì½ Basel I -į-¦øÈ-¡¾−-£÷É´-                      Basel II respectively. On the supervision of
£º¤-£¸¾´-¦È¼¤ª¾´-¹ìñ¡¡¾− Basel II. ¦È¸−-¡¾−-                       financial institutions, the BOL focused on
£÷É´£º¤-¦½-«¾-®ñ−-¡¾−-À¤ò−-Á´È−-Ä©É-¦÷´-æÈ-¦É¾¤-−òªò-
    -                                                              formulating the regulatory framework and
                                                                   keeping a close watch on the operations of
¡¿- Áì½ ¡¸©¡¾-ªò©ª¾´-¡¾−-À£ˆº−-Ÿ-¢º¤-®ñ−
    -   -
                                                                   financial institutions under auspices of the
©¾-¦½-«¾-®ñ−-¡¾−-À¤ò−-       μøÈ-²¾¨-êÉ-¡¾−-£÷É´-£º¤¢º¤           BOL.
ê¹ì μȾ¤-À¯ñ−-¯ö¡¡½ªò.
        °È¾−-¡¾−¥ñ©ª˜¤¯½ªò®ñ©-−½Â¨®¾¨ê†¦º©                               Upon the implementation of appropriate
                                                                   policies and prompt actions as mentioned
£Èº¤ Áì½ -Á¡É-Ä¢-êñ−-¡ñ®-¦½²¾®-¡¾−£õ-©„¤¡È¾¸-−˜−,
     -
                                                                   above, BOL could contribute in its part to
²¸¡-À»ö¾-¥‡¤¦¾´¾© ¯½¡º®¦È¸−§÷¡¨ø-ÉùÉÀ¦©«½
                                                                   maintain a sustained economic growth rate at
¡ò©¢½¹¨¾¨ªö¸-μȾ¤-ªÒ-À−ˆº¤-Ã−-ºñ©ª¾ 8% ì¾¨Ä©É                      8 percent, lifting GDP per capita from US$
GDP -ªÒ-¹ö¸-£ö− -À²†´-¢›− 1.281 ©-ì¾-¦½¹½ìñ© -                    1.281 in 2010 to US$ 1.076 in 2011. Average
¥¾¡ 1-.076 -©-ì¾-¦½¹½ìñ©-Ã−-¯ó 2010, ºñ©ª¾                        annual inflation rate was able to maintain
                                                                   with a single digit at 7.58 percent, the rate
À¤ò−À³š¦½ÀìȨÏö©¯óμøÈ-Ã−-콩ñ®Î‡¤ªö¸-Àì¡ 7,58%
                                                                   which is lower than GDP growth rate as
Áì½ ªÔ-¡¸È¾-¡¾−-¢½¹¨¾¨ªö¸-¢º¤-À¦© «½¡ò©.                           targeted.
        -¯½ìò´¾−-À¤ò− M2 -À²†´-¢›−-Ã−-콩ñ®-ê†-£¸®-
£÷´-Ä©É 25,2%, À¤ò−-¡ó®-Á¢¤-£È¾ 2,93% ê¼®-©-ì¾-                        Money supply (M2) was able to maintain
                                                                   at manageable levels at 25.2 percent,
¦½¹½ìñ©, ÁªÈºÈº−£È¾ 1,36%- ê¼®-æÈ-À¤ò−-®¾©
                                                                   exchange rate Kip/US$ was appreciated by
ê¼®-¡ñ®¯ó 2010; £ñ¤-¦¿»º¤-À¤ò−ª¾-ªÈ¾¤¯½-Àêດ¦¾
                                                                   2.93 percent, while Kip depreciated against
´¾©-¡÷É´-¡¾−-−¿-À¢í¾Ä©É 3,4 -À©õº−, ì½®ö®ê½−¾
                    -                                              Thai Baht by 1.36 percent compared to 2010.
£¾−-¦õ®-ªÒ-¢½¹¨¾¨ªö¸ -Áì½ ´ó-£¸¾´Ï˜−£ö¤, -À¤ò−-                    The level of foreign reserve could cover more
±¾¡¢º¤-ê½−¾£¾−-ê÷ì½-¡ò©              À²†´¢›−     24,33%-           than 3.4 months of imports of goods. The
                                                                   banking system continued to expand and
À´ˆºê¼®-æÈ-êɾ¨¯ó 2010 Àꉾ¡ñ® 35,82% ¢º¤
                                                                   remained financially sound. The total deposits
GDP. ¦ò−À§ˆº¢º¤-ê½−¾£¾−-ê÷ì½-¡ò©Ã¹ÉÁ¡È²¾¡                          of commercial banks continued to rise by
¦È¸−À¦©«½¡ò©            À²†´¢›−      37,90%-       Àꉾ¡ñ®         24.33 percent or represented 35.82 percent of
28,28% ¢º¤ GDP.                                                    GDP compared to 2010. The total loan
    
                                                               3
Ã−-¯ó 2012 £¾©¸È¾êȾºÈ¼¤¢º¤À¦©«½¡ò©-        provided by the entire commercial banks to
Â졨ñ¤¦õ®ªÒ´ó¦†¤êɾ꾨ùÉÁ¡È¡¾−²ñ©ê½−¾À¦©         the economy rose by 37.90 percent and
                                                  represented 28.28 percent of GDP.
«½¡ò©Œ¦ñ¤£ö´¢º¤¯½Àê©À»ö¾    À¯ñ−ªí−®ñ−¹¾Îš
¦ò−, -ì¾£¾-−Õ´ñ−, ì¾£¾-£¿, ì¾£¾-¦½®¼¤º¾                    In 2012, it is anticipated that the
¹¾−, ì¾£¾»÷É− -Áì½ ºñ©ª¾-Á졯ȼ−¨ñ¤¥½¦õ®ªÒ        outlook of global economy continues to pose
°ñ−°¸−. À«ò¤μȾ¤Ã©¡ðª¾´, ê¹ì ¥½¦õ®ªÒ»ñ¡¦¾         various challenges to Lao socio-economic
                                                  development such as: uncertainty in oil, gold,
¦½«¼−ì½²¾®À¤ò−ª¾Á¹È¤§¾©      ùÉϘ−êȼ¤¨¾¸
                                                  foodstuff, stock prices and the fluctuation of
−¾−©É¸¨¡¾−¯ñ®¯÷¤ Áì½ ²ñ©ê½−¾®ñ−©¾À£ˆº¤´õ          exchange rate. Nevertheless, BOL will strive
−½Â¨®¾¨À¤ò−ª¾Ã¹É´ó£¸¾´¹ì¾¡¹ì¾¨        ²Éº´        to maintain monetary stability in the long run
êñ¤¦É¾¤¡ö−Ä¡¡¾−¥ñ©ª˜¤¯½ªò®ñ© ùɦº©£Èº¤¡ñ®        by improving and developing a variety of
¦½²¾®À¦©«½¡ò©¢º¤¯½Àê©À»ö¾; ¥½¦õ®ªÒ−¿Ã§É           monetary instruments, together with creating
                                                  an appropriate operation mechanism in line
−½Â¨®¾¨ºñ©ª¾Á졯ȼ−ª¾´¡ö−Ä¡ª½¹ù¾©ê†´ó
                                                  with Lao economic condition. The BOL will
¡¾−£÷É´£º¤¢º¤ìñ©;   ¦õ®ªÒ£÷É´£º¤¡½Á¦À¤ò−ª¾        continue to pursue a market oriented
À¢í¾Œºº¡¯½Àê© Áì½ ¦‰¤À¦ó´¡¾−−¿Ã§ÉÀ¤ò−¡ó®          exchange rate regime, monitor closely the
μȾ¤Á¢¤Á»¤,    ¯ñ®¯÷¤¡¾−®ðìò¡¾−ùÉêñ−¦½ÄÏ         inflows and outflows of capital and intensify
                                                  its campaign to promote the use of Kip,
Áì½      ¢½¹¨¾¨ª¾Îú¾¤¡¾−®ðìò¡¾−ùÉꉸÀ«ò¤
                                                  continue to improve financial service and
Áì½ §÷¡¨øɦ‰¤À¦ó´¡¾−§¿ລ½Â©¨®ÒçÉÀ¤ò−¦ö©μȾ¤
                                                  expand its network and promote the non-cash
Á¢¤Á»¤, À²†´ê½¸ó¡¾−£÷É´£º¤ Áì½ ¡¸©¡¾              payment means through banking system,
ê½−¾£¾−ê÷콡ò© Áì½ ¦½«¾®ñ−¡¾−À¤ò−Ã¹É´ó            strengthen the bank supervision and
£¸¾´Ï˜−£ö¤ Áì½ ¯º©Ä².                             examination on commercial banks and
                                                  financial institution to be financially sound
                                                  and secured.



°øÉ-¸È¾¡¾−- ê½−¾£¾−Á¹È¤ ¦¯¯ 쾸                   Governor of the Bank of the Lao PDR




   
                                              4
ª¾ª½ì¾¤êó 1: ªö¸Àì¡-§š-®º¡-À¦©-«½-¡ò©-ê†-¦¿-£ñ−¢º¤ ¦¯¯ 쾸

                                Table 1: Selected Key Economic Indicators of the Lao PDR


                                                                                           p
                     쾨¡¾−                           2008        2009       2010         2011                       Items

¢½ÁΤ¡¾−°½ìò© (- %)                                                                                  Real Sector (in percent)

ºñ©ª¾¡¾−¢½¹¨¾¨ªö¸¢º¤ì¸´¨º©°½ìò©ª½²ñ−                   7.5           7.5       8.1          8.0         GDP growth rate

²¾¨Ã−ª¾´ì¾£¾¯ó 2002 (GDP)                                                                             GDP at (constant price 2002)

ºñ©ª¾À¤ò−À³šêɾ¨¯ó                                     3.17          3.92     5.76         7.70      Inflation rate (End of Period)

ºñ©ª¾À¤ò−À³š¦½Àìú¨-Ã-−¯ó                               7.63          0.03     5.98         7.58      Annual inflation rate (average)



¡¾−À¤ò−¢º¤ìñ©ê¼®Ã¦È GDP (%)                         2007/2008   2008/2009   2009/2010   2010/2011    Public Finance in % of GDP



쾨»ñ®¤ö®¯½´¾−츴êñ¤À¤ò−§È¸¨ÀÍõºìɾ                   17.43       17.58       22.31       22.24      Revenues and grants

쾨»ñ®²¾¨Ã−                                           14.56       15.12       15.73       16.30      Revenues

À¤ò−§È¸¨ÀÍõºìɾ                                        2.87          2.46     6.57         5.94      Grants

츴¨º©ì¾¨¥È¾¨ Áì½Ã¹É¡øÉμõ´¦÷©êò                       20.50       21.00       24.57       24.16      Total expenditures and net lending



쾨¥È¾¨®ðìò¹¾−ꉸį                                   12.27       13.85       12.73       12.63      Current expenditures

쾨¥È¾¨ìö¤êô− Áì½Ã¹É¡øÉμõ´¦÷©êò                        8.44          7.0      11.8        11.52      Capital and On-lending net

©÷È−©È¼¤ì¸´                                           -3.07       -3.42       -2.3         -1.79     Overall cash balance

©÷È−©È¼¤ì¸´ ꆮÒ−ñ®À¤ò−§È¸¨ÀÍõºìɾ                     -6.1       -5.87       -8.9         -7.73     Overall Cash Balance (Excl grants)

¢½ÁΤÀ¤ò−ª¾ (%)                                       2008           2009     2010         2011      Monetary Sector (in percent)



ºñ©ª¾¡¾−À²†´¢›−¢º¤¯½ìò´¾−À¤ò−êɾ¨¯ó (%)               18.31       31.23       39.13        25.2      Annual growth rate of
                                                                                                      Money Supply M2

¢½ÁΤ¡¾−À¤ò−ªÈ¾¤¯½Àê©ê¼®Ã¦È GDP (%)                   2008           2009     2010         2011      External Sector in % of GDP



©÷−¡¾−§¿ì½¡ñ®ªÈ¾¤¯½Àê©                                 1.90       -0.07       1.61         -0.74     Overall Balance

©÷−¡¾−§¿ì½À¤ò−¯ö¡¡½ªò츴êñ¤À¤ò−º−¢º¤ìñ©               1.71       -1.09       0.46         -1.94     Current Account Balance
                                                                                                     (Including Official Transfers)

©÷−¡¾−§¿ì½À¤ò−¯ö¡¡½ªò®Ò츴Àºö¾À¤ò−º−¢º¤ìñ©            0.25          -2.8     -1.24        -3.87     Current Account Balance
                                                                                                     (Excluding Official Transfers)
©÷−¡¾−£É¾                                             -5.89       -7.30       -4.90        -7.34     Trade Balance

©÷−®ñ−§óêô− Áì½ ¡¾−À¤ò−                                8.14       11.52       6.27         6.01      Capital and Financial Accounts

´ø−£È¾¡¾−£É¾                                          47.20       44.92       59.39       55.16      Foreign Trade Volume

¨º©Îš¦ò−ªÈ¾¤¯½Àê©                                     48.50       48.15       43.72       38.56      Stock of External Debts



Á¹ìú¤¢Ó´ø−: ¡ö´¦½«òªò-À¦©«½¡ò©, ¦ø−¦½«òª-Á¹È¤-§¾©
                                   -     ò                                      Source: Department of Economic Statistics, Lao statistics Bureau

¡½§¸¤-Á°−¡¾− -Áì½- ¡¾−-ìö¤êô−                                                    Ministry of Planning and Investment,

ê½−¾£¾− -Á¹È¤ ¦¯¯ 쾸                                                           Bank of the Lao PDR

 
                                                                 5
I. ¦½²¾®À¦©«½¡ò©¢º¤ ¦¯¯ 쾸.                              I.    Lao Economic Performance
       Ã−¯ó 2011 À«ò¤Á´ú−¸È¾¦½²¾®Á¸©ìɺ´                         Despite the domestic and international
êñ¤²¾¨Ã− Áì½ ¦¾¡ö−ĩɯ½À§ó−¡ñ®¦òú¤êɾ꾨                  environments were faced with various
                                                          challenges, Lao economic performance
;¨μȾ¤¡Òª¾´, ¦½²¾®À¦©«½¡ò©¢º¤ ¦¯¯ì¾¸
                                                          continued to depict high and sustained
©¨ì¸´¨ñ¤¦õ®ªÒ¢½¹¨¾¨ªö¸¦ø¤ Áì½ ªÒÀ−ˆº¤,                   growth, achieving at 8.0 percent (Figure 1).
ºñ©ª¾¡¾−¢½¹¨¾¨ªö¸ GDP ®ñ−ì÷Ä©É 8,0%                       The total value of GDP expressed in constant
(À®…¤»ø®êó1). 츴¨º© GDP £ò©ÄìȪ¾´ì¾£¾                    price stood at 34,033.74 billion Kip while
                                                          total value of GDP in current price stood at
£ö¤êóú ´ó´ø−£È¾ 34.033,74 ªœ¡ó®, ¦È¸− GDP £ò©
                                                          65,689.69 billion Kip (Table 2), which
ÄìȪ¾´ì¾£¾ ¯½¥÷®ñ− ´ó´ø−£È¾ 65.689,69 ªœ¡ó®
                                                          resulted in GDP per capita income rose from
(À®…¤ª¾ª½ 쾤êó 2), À»ñ©Ã¹É쾨ĩɦ½ÀìȨªÒ                 1,076 US dollar in 2010 to 1,281 US dollar in
¹ö¸£ö− À²†´¢›− ¥¾¡ 1.076 ©쾦½¹½ìñ© Ã−¯ó                 2011.
2010 ´¾À¯ñ− 1.281 ©쾦½¹½ìñ© Ã−¯ó 2011.                         The key factors boosting the expansion
                                                          and strong growth of Lao economy were
       ¯ñ©-Ã¥¦¿£ñ−ꆨøÉ-Á»¤Ã¹ÉÀ¦©«½¡ò©-¢º¤
                                                          mainly driven by industrial sector, which
¦¯¯ 쾸 ¨ñ¤-Á´È−-¢½-ÁΤ-¡¾−-º÷©-¦¾-¹½¡¿- ªí−              includes mining, electricity and manufac-
ªð-Á´È−-¢½-ÁΤ-¡¾−-®Ò-Á»È, -²½ìñ¤¤¾−-ij³É¾ -Áì½           turing; followed by service and agriculture
º÷©¦¾¹½¡¿-¯÷¤-ÁªÈ¤ »º¤-ìö¤-´¾-Á´È−-¢½-ÁΤ-¡¾−-            sectors. Also, due to conducive conditions
®ðìò¡¾− Áì½ ¡½¦ò¡¿. ²Éº´-¡ñ−-−− ¨Éº− ¦¯¯
                              ˜
                                                          created by Lao PDR, the large increase in
                                                          domestic and foreign investments had
ì-¾¸ ´ó¦½²¾®-À¤ˆº−-Ä¢-ê†-Àºœºº¿-−¸¨ À»ñ©-ùû´ó
                             -
                                                          supported the growth. In addition, large
¡¾−-ìö¤êô−êñ¤-²¾¨-Ã− Áì½ ªÈ¾¤¯½-Àê© À²†´¢›−               amount of fund contributed by the banking
−º¡−š¡Ò´ó¡¾−-¯½¡º®¦È¸−꾤©É¾−ÁÍȤêô−;¨                   system also help to boost the production
¦ö´£¸−¢º¤ ¢½ÁΤ¡¾−ê½−¾£¾−Ã−¡¾−§÷¡¨øÉ                      sector of economy such as: manufacturing-
                                                          business sectors, construction and others
²œ−«¾−À¦©«½¡ò©À¯ñ−ªí−-,¢½-ÁΤ-¡¾−-°½ìò©Œê÷
                                                          (Figure 1).
ì½-¡©, ¡¾−-¡Ò¦É¾¤ -Áì½ ºˆ−Å (-À®…¤-»ø®êó 1)
    ò


1. ¢½ÁΤ¡½¦ò¡¿                                                 1. Agriculture

                                                                 Agricultural sector slightly decreased
       Ã−--¯ó 2011, ¢½-ÁΤ-¡½¦ò¡¿¢½¹¨¾¨ªö¸
                                                          from 3.19 percent in 2010 to 2.66 percent in
ÍЩìö¤ ¥¾¡ 3,19% -Ã−-¯ó 2010 ´¾-À¯ñ− 2,66%,
                                                          2011 with the total value of 9,566.57 billion
©¨´ó´ø−-£È¾-êñ¤-Ïö©-®ñ−ì÷-Ä©É 9.566,57 ªœ-¡ó® -Áì½       Kip and represented 28.11 percent of GDP
¡¸´-Àºö¾ 28,11% -¢º¤ GDP (À®…¤»ø®-êó 2).                  (Figure 2). The main sector driven the rise in
¢½ÁΤ¡¾−ꆲ¾Ã¹ÉÀ²†´¢›−Á´È−              ¡¾−¯½´ö¤          agricultural sector was fishery increased
                                                          5,14 percent and represented 3.28 percent of
À²†´¢›− 5,14% Áì½ ¡¸´-Àºö¾ 3,28% ¢º¤
                                                          GDP, agriculture–livestock, which rose by
GDP, ¡¾−¯ø¡±ñ¤ Áì½ ìɼ¤¦ñ© À²†´¢›− 4,92% -                4.92 percent and represented 22.69 percent of
   
                                                      6
GDP while
                                                                        P,
                                            »®êó 1: ¡¾−¢
                                            »ø         ¢½¹¨¾¨ªö¸¢º¤-À¦©«½¡ò©
                                                                         ¡ò
                                                Figure 1 GDP Gro
                                                       1:      owth Rate
               10.00%
                9.00%                                               8.66%
                                                                                                             8.10%
                                                                                                             8         8.00%
                8.00%                                                                   7.50
                                                                                           0%      7.50%
                           6.87%                7.02%        77%
                                                           6.7                 6.83%
                7.00%                6.21%
                                         %
                6.00%
                5.00%
                4.00%
                3.00%
                2.00%
                1.00%
                0.00%
                            2002      2003
                                         3      2004       20
                                                            005     2006       2007     200
                                                                                          08       2009       2010
                                                                                                              2        2011

             Á¹ìȤ¢Ó´ø−: ¡ö´¦½«òªòÀ¦©«½¡ò©, ¦ø−¦½«òªòÁ¹È¤§¾© Source: Depart
                                                           ©              tment of Econom Statistics, Lao statistics Bureau
                                                                                        mic

             ¡½§¸¤-Á°−¡¾− -Áì½- ¡¾−-ìö¤êô−
                        −                                                  stry of Planning and Investment
                                                                       Minis



-À§…¤ ¡¸´-Àºö¾ 22,69% ¢º¤ GDP, à ¢½−½-ꆢ½-
                      ¢        Ã−-                                        estry sector dropped by 18.78 perc and
                                                                       fore                     y          cent
ÁΤ¯È¾-Ä´É -ÍЩìö¤ 18,78% -Áì½ -¡¸´-Àºö¾²¼
                                         ¼¤                           repre
                                                                          esented 2.14 percent o GDP.
                                                                                                of
2,14% ¢º¤ GDP.
        ¤
                                   »ø®êó 2 ¡¾−¢½¹¨
                                         2:      ¨¾¨ªö¸¢º¤¢
                                                          ¢½ÁΤ¡½¦ò¡¿
                                                                 ¦ò
                                             Figure 2: Growth of Ag
                                             F                    griculture
              35.00%                              32.41%
                              31.46%                                  31.00
                                                                          0%
                                                                                           8.82%
                                                                                          28
              30.00%                                                                                           28.11%

              25.00%

              20.00%
                              15.63%
              15.00%

              10.00%
                                                   3.72%               2.83%               3.19%               2.66%
               5.00%

               0.00%
                               2007                 2008                2009                2010
                                                                                            2                   2011
                                             ºñ©ª¾¦È¸−¢½ÁΤ¡ ¡¿ªÒ GDP (Agri
                                                           ¡½¦ò           icultural Componen of GDP)
                                                                                           nt
                                             ºñ©ª¾¡¾−¢½¹¨¾¨ ¸¢½ÁΤ¡½¦ò¡¿ (
                                                          ¨ªö            (Growth Rate of Ag
                                                                                          griculture)
                                                                                                                                
            Á¹ìȤ¢Ó´ø−: ¡ö´¦½ ªòÀ¦©«½¡ò©, ¦ø−
                            ½«ò            −¦½«òªòÁ¹È¤§¾©      Source: Depar
                                                                           rtment of Econom Statistics, Lao statistics Bureau
                                                                                          mic             o                 u

            ¡½§¸¤-Á°−¡¾− -Áì½- ¡¾−-ìö¤êô−                               Mini
                                                                           istry of Planning and Investment


   
                                                                7
2. ¢½ÁΤº÷©¦¾¹½¡
               ¡¿                                                           2. Industr
                                                                             .       ry
                                                                                 Industri sector co
                                                                                        ial         ontinued to grow but
      Ã−-¯ó 2011, ¢½-ÁΤº÷©¦¾¹½ ¢½¹¨¾¨
                     Á        ½¡¿-   ¨                                  lowe than las year, wh
                                                                             er         st          hich was d decreased
ªö¸-ÍЩìö¤ ¥
           ¥¾¡ 17,49% -Ã−-¯ó 201 ´¾-À¯ñ− - -
           -        %          10                                       from 17.49 per
                                                                           m            rcent in 2010 to 14.62 percent
                                                                                                               2
14,62%, -©¨´ó´ø−-£È¾-ê¤-Ïö©-®ñ−ì÷Ä 9.345,24
                       ñ         Ä©É
                                  -                                     in 2 2011. Tot  tal value was amou     unted to
                                                                        9,3445.24 billio Kip and represented 27.46
                                                                                       on           d
ªœ-¡ó® -¡¸´-Àºö¾ 27,46% ¢º¤ GDP (-À®…¤»ø®-êó 3)
                                              ).
                                                                        perccent of G  GDP (Figu    ure 3), of which
Ã−-−˜−, ¢½ÁΤº÷-©¦¾-¹½¡¿-ij³É¾ -Áì½ −Õ-¯½
                    ¹
                                                                        electtricity and water sup pply sector rose by
¯¾ -À²†´-¢›− 29,53% -Áì½ ¡¸´-Àºö¾ 4,84% ¢º -
                      ì                  º¤-                            29.5 percent a represen
                                                                            53          and          nted 4.84 p
                                                                                                               percent of
GDP, ¡¾−¡Ò¦É¾¤ -À²†´-¢›− 24,83% -Áì½ ¡¸´
       −-                     %        ´-                               GDP construct
                                                                            P,           tion rose by 24.83 per
                                                                                                    y           rcent and
Àºö¾ 6,07% ¢º¤ GDP ¢½-ÁΤº÷©¦¾¹½¡¿-¯÷
         %       P,               ¯¤-                                   repreesented 6.0 percent of GDP, m
                                                                                        07                      manufac-
                                                                        turin rose by 9.73 perce and rep
                                                                            ng                      ent        presented
ÁªÈ¤ -À²†´-¢− 9,73% -Áì½ ¡¸´-Àºö¾ 9,58% ¢º
            ›         ì                  º¤
                                                                        9.58 percent of GDP, mi
                                                                            8                       ining and qquarrying
GDP, ¢½-Á
       ÁΤ®Ò-Á»È Áì½- ¡¾−¢÷©£í− À²†´-¢›−
                 Á         ©-                                           rose by 5.16 percent an represen
                                                                                                   nd          nted 6.97
5,16% ¡¸´Àºö¾ 6,97% ¢º¤ GDP (-À®…¤-ª¾ª½
        ´-        %                                                     perc of GDP (Table 2).
                                                                            cent        P
쾤 2).
                               »ø®êó 3: ¡¾
                                         ¾−¢½¹¨¾¨ªö¸¢º¤¢½ÁÎ ©¦¾¹½
                                                 ªö       Τº÷  ½¡¿
                                            Figure 3: Gr
                                            F          rowth of Ind
                                                                  dustry
           30
            0.00%                                                                       28.04%
                                                                                             %              27
                                                                                                             7.46%
                            26
                             6.73%

           25
            5.00%                                                    23.82%
                                                21.61%

           20
            0.00%

           15
            5.00%                                                    18.48%
                                                                                       17.49%
                                                                                                            14
                                                                                                             4.62%
           10
            0.00%
                                                10.42%
             5.00%
             5              6.83%
                            6

             0.00%
             0
                             2007
                             2                   2008                2009                2010
                                                                                            0                2011
                                         ºñ©ª¾¦¸−¢½ÁΤº÷©¦¾¹½
                                              ¦È            ½¡¿ªÒ GDP (Industr Component of G
                                                                             rial           GDP)

                                         ºñ©ª¾¡
                                              ¡¾−¢½¹¨¾¨ªö¸º÷©¦
                                                             ¦¾¹½¡¿ (Growth Ra of Industry)
                                                                             ate
                                                                                                                               
          Á¹ìȤ¢Ó´ø−: ¡ö´¦½«òªÀ¦©«½¡ò©, ¦ø−¦½«òªòÁ¹È¤§¾©
                              À
                              ò              «ò            So
                                                            ource: Department of Economic Sta
                                                                            t               atistics, Lao statistics Bureau

          ¡½§¸ Á°−¡¾− -Áì½- ¡¾−-ìö¤êô−
             ¸¤-            ¡                                        Ministry o Planning and I
                                                                              of             Investment


3. ¢½ÁΤ®ðìò¡¾−                                                             3. Service
                                                                             .       e
      Ã−-¯ó 2011, ¢½-ÁΤ-¡¾−®ðìò¡
                     Á          ¡¾−¢½¹¨¾-¨
                                         -                                      In 2011, service se
                                                                                       ,          ector expanded from
ªö¸-À²†´-¢›− ¥¾¡ 6,95% ´¾-À¯ñ− 8,
                     %          ,06%, -´ø−-£È¾                          6.95 percent t 8.06 pe
                                                                            5          to         ercent commpared to
                                                                        2010 which was amou
                                                                             0,                   unted of 112,959.83
êñ¤-Ïö© -®ñ−ì-Ä©É 12.959
            ì÷         9,83 ªœ-¡ó® -Á
                                    Áì½ ¡¸´-Àºö¾
                                                                        billio Kip and represente 38.08 percent of
                                                                             on        d           ed
   
                                                                 8
38,08% ¢º GDP (-À®…¤-»ø®-êó 4). Ã−-−˜−, ¡¾−
        º¤                                −-                         GDP (Figure 4 of whic financia service
                                                                         P          4),       ch         al
®ðìò¡¾−-©¾−¡¾−-À¤ò−
         É −-            -À²†´-¢›−     12
                                        2,26%-          -Áì½         rose by 12.26 percent an represen
                                                                                              nd         nted 3.55
                                                                     perc
                                                                        cent of GD wholesa
                                                                                  DP,        ale- retail t
                                                                                                         trade and
¡¸´-Àº-ö¾ 3,55% ¢º¤ GDP; ¡¾−-¢¾¨¨ö¡Œ¢¾¨
                                      ¨
                                                                     repa rose by 8.66 percent and rep
                                                                        airs       y                      presented
¨Èº¨ -Áì½ ¡¾−-¦Éº´-Á¯¤ -À²†´-¢›− 8,66% -Áì½
                    ¯                                                19.32 percent of GDP, h hotel and r restaurant
¡¸´-Àºö¾ 19,32% ¢º¤ GDP; » Á»´ -Áì½-
                          »¤-                                        rose by 13.83 percent an represen
                                                                                              nd         nted 0.71
»É¾−-º¾¹¾− -À²†´-¢›− 13,83% -Áì ¡¸´-Àºö¾
         −                    ì½                                     perc
                                                                        cent of GDP public s
                                                                                    P,       service rose by 5.92
                                                                                                         e
                                                                     perc
                                                                        cent or repr
                                                                                   resented 7.4 percent of GDP,
                                                                                              43
0,71% ¢º GDP; ¡¾−-®ðìò¡¾−-¢º¤²¾¡-ìñ© -
       º¤     ¡           -
                                                                     trans
                                                                         sport, warehouse, po and c
                                                                                              ost        communi-
À²†´-¢›− 5,92% -Áì½ ¡¸´-Àºö¾ 7,43% ¢º
                                    º¤                               catio rose by 8.52 perce and rep
                                                                         on                   ent         presented
GDP; ¡¾−-¢ö−-¦‰¤, ¦¾¤, į¦½−ó -Áì Âêì½£ö´
                                ì½-                                  4.78 percent of GDP, com
                                                                        8           f         mmunity so  ocial and
´½−¾£ö´ À²†´¢›− 8,52% -Áì½ ¡¸´Àºö¾ 4,78%
         ²†                  ´-        %                             personal servic rose by 7.53 per
                                                                                    ce       y           rcent and
¢º¤    GDP;        ¡¾−-®ìò¡¾−-´¸−-§ö−
                        ð         §ö              -À²†´-¢›−              esented 1.67 percent of GDP, private
                                                                     repre                    t
                                                                     housseholds wit employe persons rose by
                                                                                    th        ed
7,53% -Áì½ ¡¸´-Àºö¾ 1,67% ¢º¤ GDP; ¡¾−
         ½                  ¤        −-
                                                                     5.28 percent an represen
                                                                        8           nd       nted 0.68 ppercent of
¸È¾-¥É¾¤-²¾¨-Ã−-£ö¸-À»õº− À²†´¢›− 5
             -                    5,28% -Áì½                         GDP and fin
                                                                         P         nancial lea
                                                                                             asing and business
¡¸´-Àºö¾ 0
         0,68% ¢º¤ GDP Áì ¡¾−-À§‰¾-§œ
                        ì½                                           service rose by 7.95 perc
                                                                                   y         cent and rep presented
Áì½ ¡¾−-®ðìò¡¾−-ê÷ì½-¡ò© - -À²†´-¢›− 7,95% Áì½ -
                     ¡ò                      ½                       2.98 percent of GDP (Tabl 2).
                                                                        8          f          le
¡¸´-Àºö¾ 2,98% ¢º¤ GDP (-À®…¤-ª¾
                   G           ¾ª½ì¾¤-êó 2)
                                          ).

                                »ø®êó 4: ¡¾−¢½¹¨¾ ¸¢º¤¢½ÁΤ®ðìò¡¾
                                       :        ¾¨ªö            ¾−
                                         Figure 4: G
                                                   Growth of Se
                                                              ervices
          45.00%
          4
                                                       %
                                                  39.03%               38.4
                                                                          49%             38.09%
                                                                                          3                      38.08%
          40.00%
          4
                              35.23%
          35.00%
          3
          30.00%
          3
          25.00%
          2
          20.00%
          2
          15.00%
          1          11.2
                        27%              12.40%
                                         1
          10.00%
          1                                                                       6.95%                  8.06%
                                                               6.02%
           5.00%
           0.00%
                           2007               2008                 2009                201
                                                                                         10                 2011
                                        ºñ©
                                          ©ª¾¡¾−¢½¹¨¾¨ªö¸
                                                        ¸¢½ÁΤ®ðìò¡¾− (Gr
                                                                        rowth Rate of Servi
                                                                                          ices)

                                        ºñ©
                                          ©ª¾¦È¸−¢½ÁΤ®ðìò¡
                                                          ¡¾−ªÒ GDP (Services Component of G
                                                                                           GDP)
                                                                                                                             
        Á¹ì¤¢Ó´ø−: ¡ö´¦½«òªòÀ¦©«½¡ò©, ¦ø−¦½ ªòÁ¹È¤§¾©
          ìÈ              ªò              ½«ò             Source: Departmen of Economic Statistics, Lao stat
                                                                          nt                               tistics Bureau

        ¡½§ Á°−¡¾− -Áì½ ¡¾−-ìö¤êô−
          §¸¤-        ½-                                           Ministry of Planning and Investment




   
                                                               9
4. ¡¾−-¯¼−-Á¯¤-£¤-¯½-¡º®-¢º¤ GDP
        È          ¯        ¤                                             4. Change in GDP Compone
                                                                           .      es             ents

      £¤-¯½
           ½¡º®-¢º¤ GDP Ã−-¯ó 20
                    G          011, ¢½-ÁÎ
                                        Τ-                                  In 2011, the service sector was a major
                                                                                                e
                                                                      share of GDP compone
                                                                                      P          ent, accou
                                                                                                          unted for
¡¾−-®ðìò¡¾−
          −     ¨ñ¤¡¸´-ºñ©ª¾-¦È¸−-ù -
                       ºñ          ¹¨È             §‡¤¡¸´
                                                        ´-
                                                                      38.0 percent of GDP ro by 1.82 percent
                                                                         08                     ose        2
38,08% ¢
       ¢º¤ GDP À²†´¢›−- 1
                        1,82% ¥¾¡
                                ¡                                     from 37.25 pe
                                                                         m            ercent in 2010; folloowed by
37,25% -à ¯ó 2010, »º¤-ìö¤-´¾Á´È−-¢½-ÁÎ
        Ã−-                 ¾-        Τ                              agric
                                                                          culture sec ctor with a share o 27.46
                                                                                                           of
¡½¦ò¡¿ ¡¸´- 27,46% ¹ì÷©-ìö¤ 1,39% ¥¾¡
        ¸-       %                  ¡                                 perc
                                                                         cent slightly dropped b 1.39 perc
                                                                                     y          by         cent from
28,04%,       Ã−¢½−½ê†º÷©¦¾¹½¡¿
                    ê†        ¿                  ¡¸-´-Àºö¾            28.0
                                                                         04 percen   nt, while industrial sector
                                                                                                           l
                                                                      acco
                                                                         ounted for 228.11 perce dropped by 0.78
                                                                                                ent,       d
28,11% -Í© ¤ 0,78% ¥¾¡ 28,82 -Áì½ ²¾¦ó-
         ©ìö
         Ð                 2%       ¦ó
                                                                      perc
                                                                         cent from 2  28.82 percent and ne import
                                                                                                           et
−¿-À¢í¾ ¡¸´Àºö¾ 6,24% À²†´¢›− 0,35% ¥¾¡
          ´-        %                 ¡                               dutie covered 6.24 per
                                                                          es         d          rcent rose by 0.35
5,89% -Ã−-¯ó°È¾−-´¾ (À®…¤»ø®êó 5).
         ¯ó           ®…                                              perc from 5. percent in the prev
                                                                         cent         .89                 vious year
                                                                      (Figu 5).
                                                                          ure
                                    »ø®êóó 5: ¡¾−¯È¼−Á¯¤Â£¤¯½¡
                                                             ¡º®¢º¤ GD
                                                                     DP
                                     Figu 5: Chan
                                        ure     nges in GDP Componen
                                                          P        nts

                                       ²¾¦óó¡¾−−¿À¢í¾(Impor Duties)
                                                          rt                      ®ðìò¡¾− ( Se
                                                                                             ervices)

              120.00%                     ¦¾¹½¡¿ (Industry)
                                       º÷©¦                                       ¡½¦ò¡¿ ( Ag
                                                                                            griculture)


              100.00%                                         6.68%
                                                              6                      5.89%                    6.24%
                                  6.94%

              80.00%
                                 39.03%                   38.49%
                                                          3                         37.25%
                                                                                         %                    38.08%
              60.00%

              40.00%             21.61%                   23.82%
                                                          2                         28.04%
                                                                                         %                    27.46%

              20.00%
                                 32.41%                   31.00%
                                                          3                         28.82%
                                                                                         %                    28.11%
               0.00%
                                  2008                        2009                    2010                     2011
                                                                                                                                  
            Á¹ìȤ¢Ó´ø−: ¡ö´¦½«òªòÀ¦©«½¡ò©, ¦ø−¦½«òªòÁ¹È¤§¾©
                           ¦                                    Source: Depar
                                                                            rtment of Econom Statistics, Lao statistics Bureau
                                                                                           mic             o                 u

            ¡½§¸¤-Á°−¡¾− -Áì½- ¡¾−-ìö¤êô−                               Mini
                                                                           istry of Planning and Investment



5. 콩ñ®ì
        ì¾£¾                                                              5. Price L
                                                                           .       Level
                                                                             In 2011, average a
                                                                                     ,         annual inflaation rate
        Ã−¯ó 2011 ºñ©ª¾-À¤ò−-À³š ¦ À섨Ã−¯ó- -
          ¯ó        ©            ¦½-
                                                                      was slightly hhigher than 2010 wh
                                                                                               n           hich rose
Á´È− 7,58% -À²†´-¢›−¥¾¡ 5,98% -Ã−-¯ó 2010
         %          -¥                  0.
                                                                      from 5.98 perc
                                                                         m          cent in 2010 to 7.58 p
                                                                                                0          percent in
¦½²¾®ºñ©ª −À³š¢º¤ ¦¯¯ 쾸 ¨ñ¤»ñ¡¦¾Ä©
        ª¾À¤ò   ¤       ¸          ©É                                 2011 However the inflat
                                                                          1.        r,         tion rate sit
                                                                                                           tuation of
Ã−콩ñ®Î‡¤ªö¸Àì¡          ª¾´£¾©Ï¾¨ê†¸¾¤Ä¸ÉÁª
                          ª                 ªÈ                        Lao PDR still remained a single digit as
                                                                                     l        d
                                                                          eted and lo
                                                                      targe         ower than GGDP growt In the
                                                                                                           th.
   
                                                                10
¡ÒÀ¹ñ−¸È¾ºñ©ª¾À¤ò−À³š´óêȾºÈ¼¤À²†´¢›−Àìñ¡Îɺ¨.               first six months of 2011, the inflation rate
Ã−-§È¸-¤ 6 -À©õº−-ªí−¯ó 2011 ºñ©ª¾-À¤ò−-À³š-´ó¡¾−-           increased sharply at 8.16 percent (from 6.06
                                                             percent in January 2011 to 9.52 percent),
ÀÎñ¤-ª¤-Á»¤ ¦½-À섨 8,16% (¥¾¡ 6,06% -Ã−-
      ó
                                                             while in the second half of 2011, it slightly
À©õº− 1/2010 ´¾-À¯ñ− 9,52%)-, -Áª-È-À¤ò−-À³š-¦½-À섨         dropped at 6.73 percent (from 9.52 percent in
6 À©õº−êɾ¨-¯ó ´ó-êȾ-ºÈ¼¤¹ì÷©-ìö¤ ´¾-μøÈ-Ã−-콩ñ®
  -                                                          June 2011 to 7.70 percent in December 2011)
6,73% (¥¾¡ 9,52% -Ã−-À©õº− 6/2011 ´¾-À¯ñ−                    (Figure 6), the factors driven an increasing
                                                             inflation rate came from 2 sources: (1)
7,70% -Ã−-À©-õº− 12/2011) - (À®…¤-»ø®êó 6). ¦¾-
                                            -
                                                             domestic factor associated with natural
À¹©-ê†-À»ñ©-ùÉ-ºñ©ª¾-À¤ò−-À³š- ¢º¤ ¦¯¯- 쾸 -À»ö¾-          disasters (flood caused by Nokten and Haima
À²†´-¢›−-¦ø¤-Ã−-¯ó 2011 ´¾-¥¾¡ 2 ¯ñ©-Ã¥-ªí−ªð-£õ :           storms), which severely destroyed agricultural
(1) ¯ñ©-Ã¥-²¾¨-Ã− -Á´È−-¨Éº− ¦¯¯ 쾸 -Ä©É-»ñ®-°ö−-           crops, coupled with weak domestic produc-
¡½êö®-¥¾¡-IJ-ê¿-´½-§¾©         (−Õ-«É¸´¥¾¡²½¨÷-−¡-
                                                ö            tion resulting in disequilibrium between
                                                             supply and demand in the market, unregulated
Àªñ− -Áì½ -Ä»-´¾) §‡¤-Ä©É-¦É¾¤-£¸¾´-À¦¨-¹¾¨-μ¾¤-
                                             È
                                                             price management of necessary foodstuffs
¹ì¸¤¹ì¾¨ªÒ¡¾−-°½ìò©-¡½¦ò¡¿ ®¸¡-¡ñ®-¡¾−-°½                    and lack of monitoring and distribution
ìò©-²¾¨-Ã−-¨ñ¤-®Ò-êñ−-À¢˜´-Á¢¤ À»ñ©-ùû¡¾−ªº®¦½              channels. In addition, the depreciation of Kip
꤮Ò-²¼¤²ð-¡ñ®-£¸¾´-ªÉº¤¡¾−¢º¤-¦ñ¤£ö´-, ¢º©                 against Thai Baht also resulted in increase in
                                                             real cost of imported commodities from
¡¾−£÷É´£º¤ì¾£¾¦ò−£É¾ Áì½ ¡¾−®ðìò¡¾−, ¢º©
                                                             neighboring country (imported inflation); and
¡¾−Á¥¡μ¾¨¦ò−£É¾¨ñ¤®Òêñ−©óÀꉾꆣ¸−.            ²Éº´-
                                                             (2) external factor was associated with the
¡ñ−−˜−, ¡¾−-ºÈº−-£È¾-¢º¤-À¤ò−-¡ó®- ê¼®-¡ñ® -À¤ò−-®¾©-        increase of oil and gold prices in the global
À»ñ©-ùÉ-ªí−-êô−-¡¾−-−¿-À¢í¾-¦ò−£É¾-¥¾¡-¯½Àê©À²ˆº−           market. For a group of commodities, which
®É¾−¦ø¤-¢›− (−¿-À¢í¾-À¤ò−-À³š); (2) ¯ñ©-Ã¥-²¾¨-−º¡ -         has price change and influence on inflation
                                                             are as follows: foodstuff rose by 10.35
Á´È−-¨Éº−-ì¾£¾-−Õ´ñ− -Áì½ ì¾£¾-£¿Ã−-ª½Í¾©
                                                             percent, transport and communications rose
Âì¡-À²ó-ú´¢›−-. ¦¿ìñ®Ï¸©-¦ò−£É¾-ê†-´ó-¡¾−-¯È¼−-Á¯¤           by 9.78 percent, commodities and other
ì¾£¾-À²†´-¢›− -Áì½ ´ó°ö−-ªÒ-¡ñ®-ºñ©ª¾-À¤ò−-À³šÁ´È−           services rose by 8 percent, hotel and
ϸ©-¦½®¼¤-º¾¹¾− -À²†´-¢− 10,35%; ϸ©£ö´
                       ›                                     restaurants rose by 5.2 percent, housing
                                                             ,electricity, water supply and gas rose by 4.4
´½−¾£ö´-¢ö−-¦‰¤ -À²†´-¢›− 9,78%; ϸ©-¦ò−£É¾ -
                                                             percent, alcoholic beverages and tobacco rose
Áì½    ®ðìò¡¾−     -À²†´-¢›−   8,00% ;    ϸ©-»É¾−-
                                                             by 4.03 percent, post and telecommunication
º¾¹¾− -Áì½ -»¤-Á»´ À²†-´¢›− 5,2%; ϸ©-ê†-                   rose by 3.49 percent, clothing and footwear
²ñ¡º¾-æ, -ij³É¾, -−Õ-¯½¯¾ -Áì½ -À§œº-À²ó¤-À²†´-¢›−
   -                                                         rose by 2.99 percent and other group of
4,4% ; ϸ©-À¹ìí¾ -Áì½ μ¾¦ø® -À²†´-¢›− 4,03%; -               commodity was slightly increased (Table 4).
ϸ©-į¦½−ó       -Áì½    -Âêì½-£ö´´½−¾      À²†´-¢−
                                            -     ›
3,49%; ϸ©-À£ˆº¤−÷Ȥ-¹‰´ -Áì½ À¡ó® -À²†´-¢›−
2,99% Áì½ Ï¸©-ºˆ−Å- -À²†´-¢›−-Àìñ¡-−ɺ¨ (-À®…¤
ª¾ª½ì¾¤-êó 4).
   
                                                        11
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Annual report 2011

  • 1.     ¦¾-ê¾-ì½−½-ì© ¯½§¾ ¯½-Ī ¯½§¾§ö−-쾸 ¾ ìññ ¾êò §ö   ¦ñ−ªò²¾ -Àº¡½ì¾© ¯½§¾êò¯½Äª Àº¡½²¾® ¸ñ©ê½−½ ¾® ½- ½- ¡- ½«¾¸º− −   Lao Peop L ple’s Dem mocratic Repub c blic   Peace In ndependence Demmocracy Unity P y Prosperi ity                                                   ê½−¾£¾−- Á ¤ ¦¯¯ 쾸 Á¹È ¯   Bank of th Lao P B he PDR
  • 2. ¦¾ì½®¾− Contents £¿-À¹ñ−-°øÉ-¸È¾¡¾− Message from the Governor Page No. 1 I. ¦½²¾®-À¦©«½¡ò©-¢º¤ ¦¯¯ 쾸 I. Lao Economic Performance 6 1. ¢½-ÁΤ-¡½¦ò¡¿ 1. Agriculture 6 2. ¢½-ÁΤ-º÷©-¦¾-¹½¡¿ 2. Industry 8 3. ¢½-ÁΤ-®ðìò¡¾− 3. Service 8 4. ¡¾−-¯È¼−-Á¯¤-£¤-¯½¡-º® GDP 4. Changes in GDP Components 10 5. 콩ñ®-ì¾£¾ 5. Price Level 10 II. ¢½-ÁΤ-¡¾−-À¤ò−-¢º¤-ìñ©. II. Public Finance 13 1. 쾨-»®-¤ö®¯½´¾− ñ 1. Revenues 13 2. 쾨¥È¾¨¤ö®¯½´¾− 2. Expenditures 15 3. ¡¾−-©÷ú−©È¼¤¤ö®¯½´¾− 3. Financing 16 III. ¢½-ÁΤÀ¤ò−ª¾ III. Monetary Sector 17 1. −½Â¨®¾¨ºñ©ª¾-Á졯ȼ− 1. Exchange Rate Policy 17 2. −½Â¨®¾¨À¤ò−ª¾ 2. Monetary Policy 19 3. ¯½ìò´¾−-À¤ò− 3. Monetary Supply 19 4. «¾−-À¤ò−ª¾ 4. Monetary Base 21 5. À¤ò−-±¾¡¢º¤-ê½−¾£¾−-ê÷ì½-¡ò© 5. Deposits 21 6. ¦ò−À§ˆº¢º¤-ê½−¾£¾−-ê÷ì½-¡ò© 6. Credits 22 7. ºñ©ª¾©º¡À®û¨-À¤ò−-±¾¡ -Áì½ -À¤ò−-¡øÉ 7. Interest Rates Deposits and Loan 23 8. ¡¾−-£÷É´-£º¤-À¤ò−ª¾-ªÈ¾¤¯½-Àê©Áì½ 8. Foreign Currency Management and the 25 Promotion of the Use of Kip ¡¾−-¦‰¤-À¦ó´-¡¾−-−¿-çÉ-À¤ò−-¡ó® 9. ¡¾−-£÷É´-£º¤-ê½−¾£¾−-ê÷ì½-¡ò©- 9. Commercial Bank Supervision 27 10. ¡¾−-£É´£º¤-¦½-«¾-®ñ−-¡¾−-À¤ò− ÷ - 10. Financial Institutions Supervision 27 11. ¸¼¡-¤¾−£÷É´-£º¤ª½Í¾©-Íñ¡-§ñ®-Ã− ¦¯¯ 쾸 11. Stock Exchange Management 28 IV. ©÷−-¡¾−-§¿-콡ñ®ªÈ¾¤¯½Àê©- IV. Balance of Payments 30 1. ¡¾−£É¾-¡ñ®ªÈ¾¤-¯½-Àê© 1. Foreign Trade 31 2. ©÷−-®ðìò¡¾− 2. Services 33 3. ©÷−-쾨-Ä©É - 3. Factor Income 34 4. À¤ò−º−-§È¸¨-ÀÍõº - 4. Current Transfers 35 5. Κ¦ò−ªÈ¾¤¯½Àê© 5. External Debts 35 6. ¡¾−ìö¤êô−¥¾¡ªÈ¾¤¯½Àê© 6. Foreign Direct Investment 36 V. êò©-꾤-츴꾤-©É¾−-´½¹¾-²¾¡-À¤ò−ª¾-¢º¤ ¦¯¯ 쾸 ¯ó 2012 V. Lao Monetary Outlook for 2012 37 ¦½²¾-®ðìò¹¾− Executive Board 39 Á°−-¸¾©êó1: £¤-»È¾¤-¡¾−¥ñ©-ª˜¤ê½−¾£¾−Á¹È¤ ¦¯¯ 쾸 - Chart 1: Organizational Chart of the BOL 44 Á°−-¸¾©êó 2 : -£¤-»È¾¤-¡¾−¥ñ©-ª˜¤¢º¤-ì½®ö®ê−¾£¾−--Ã− ¦¯¯ Chart 2: Organizational Chart of the Lao 46 Banking System 쾸.        
  • 3. ¦¾ì½®¾−»ø® List of Figures Page No.  »ø®êó 1: ¡¾−¢½¹¨¾¨ªö¸À¦©«½¡ò© Figure 1: GDP Growth Rate 7 »ø®êó 2: ¡¾−¢½¹¨¾¨ªö¸¢½ÁΤ¡½¦ò¡¿ Figure 2: Growth of Agriculture 7 »ø®êó 3: ¡¾−¢½¹¨¾¨ªö¸¢½ÁΤº÷©¦¾¹½¡¿ Figure 3: Growth of Industry 8 »ø®êó 4: ¡¾−¢½¹¨¾¨ªö¸¢½ÁΤ®ðìò¡¾− Figure 4: Growth of Services 9 »ø®êó 5: ¡¾−¯È¼−Á¯¤Â£¤¯½¡º® GDP Figure 5: Changes of GDP Components 10 »ø®êó 6: ºñ©ª¾À¤ò−À³š Figure 6: Inflation 12 »ø®êó 7: −ÕÎñ¡¢º¤ÁªÈì½Ï¸©¦ò−£É¾¡½êö®ªÒ©© ñ Figure 7: Weight of each Group of Goods and 13 Services Influencing CPI §½−óì¾£¾°øɧö´Ã§É »ø®êó 8: «¾−½¡¾−À¤ò−¢º¤ìñ© Figure 8: Fiscal Performance 14 »ø®êó 9: 쾨»ñ®¢º¤¤ö®¯½´¾− Figure 9: Revenues 15 »ø®êó 10: 쾨¥È¾¨¢º¤¤ö®¯½´¾− Figure 10: Expenditures 16 »ø®êó 11: ¡¾−©÷È−©È¼¤¤ö®¯½´¾− Figure 11: Fiscal Financing 17 »ø®êó 12: ºñ©ª¾Á졯ȼ− Figure 12: Exchange Rates 18 »ø®êó 13: ¯½ìò´¾−À¤ò− M2 Figure 13: Money Supply (M2) 20 »ø®êó 14: ºö¤¯½¡º®¢º¤ M2 Á¨¡ª¾´¦½¡÷−À¤ò− Figure 14: M2 by Currency Components 20 »ø®êó 15: «¾−À¤ò−ª¾ Figure 15: Monetary Base 21 »ø®êó 16: À¤ò−±¾¡¢º¤-ê½−¾£¾−-ê÷ì½-¡ò© Figure 16: Commercial banks’ Deposits 22 »ø®êó 17: ¦ò−À§ˆº¢º¤-ê½−¾£¾−-ê÷ì½-¡ò© Figure 17: Commercial banks’ Credits 23 »ø®êó 18: ºñ©ª¾©º¡À®É¨¦½ÀìȨÀ¤ò−±¾¡¡¿−ö©12 À©õº− Figure 18: Average 12 Months Deposit Rates 24 »ø®êó 19: ºñ©ª¾©º¡À®É¨¦½ÀìȨÀ¤ò−¡øÉ¡¿−ö© 12 À©õº− Figure 19: Average 12 Months Lending Rates 25 »ø®êó 20: ©ñ©-§½-−óª½Í¾©-Íñ¡-§ñ®-쾸 -Áì½ ´ø−-£È¾-»÷É−-ê†-´ó- Figure 20: Lao Stock Index Market and Trading 30 Volume ¡¾−-§œŒ¢¾¨ »ø®êó 21: ©÷−¡¾−§¿ì½¡ñ®ªÈ¾¤¯½Àê© Figure 21: Balance of payments 31 »ø®êó 22: ¡¾−£É¾ªÈ¾¤¯½Àê© Figure 22: Foreign Trade 32 »ø®êó 23: ¡¾−¢½¹¨¾¨ªö¸¢º¤¡¾−¦‰¤ºº¡Œ−¿À¢í¾ Figure 23: Growth Rate of Exports - Imports 33 »ø®êó 24: ªö¸Àì¡−ñ¡êȺ¤êȼ¸À¢í¾´¾ ¦¯¯ 쾸 Figure 24: Number of Tourist Arrivals 34 to Lao PDR »ø®êó 25: Κ¦ò−ªÈ¾¤¯½Àê© Figure 25: Extenal Debts 35 »ø®êó 26: ¡¾−ìö¤êô−©¨¡ö¤¢º¤ªÈ¾¤¯½Àê© Figure 26: Foreign Direct Invesment 36                
  • 4. ¦¾ì½®¾−ª¾ª½ì¾¤ List of Tables   Page No. ª¾ª½ì¾¤êó 1: ªö¸À졧š®º¡À¦©«½¡ò©ê†¦¿£ñ− ¢º¤ ¦¯¯ 쾸 Table 1: Selected key Economic Indicators 5 of the Lao PDR ª¾ª½ì¾¤êó 2:츴¨º©°½ìò©ª½²ñ−²¾¨Ã−£ò©ÄìÈ ª¾´´ø−£È¾À²†´ Table 2:Gross Domestic Product by 48 Value Added ª¾ª½ì¾¤êó 3: ©ñ©¦½−óì¾£¾°øɧö´Ã§É Table 3: Consumer Price Index (CPI) 49 ª¾ª½ì¾¤êó 4: ºñ©ª¾À¤ò−À³š Table 4: Inflation 50 ª¾ª½ì¾¤êó 5: «¾−½¡¾−À¤ò−¢º¤ìñ© Table 5: Status of Government Budget 51 ª¾ª½ì¾¤êó 6: 쾨»ñ®¢º¤¤ö®¯½´¾− Table 6: Revenues 53 ª¾ª½ì¾¤êó 7: «¾−½¡¾−À¤ò−¢º¤ ê¹ì Table 7: Balance Sheet of the BOL 54 ª¾ª½ì¾¤êó 8: «¾−½¡¾−À¤ò−¢º¤ì½®ö®ê½−¾£¾− Table 8: Monetary Survey 55 ª¾ª½ì¾¤êó 9: ºñ©ª¾©º¡À®É¨ Table 9: Interest Rates 56 ª¾ª½ì¾¤êó 10: À¤ò−±¾¡¢º¤-ê½−¾£¾−-ê÷ì½-¡ò© Table 10: Commercial banks’ Deposits 58 ª¾ª½ì¾¤êó 11: ¦ò−À§ˆº¢º¤-ê½−¾£¾−-ê÷ì½-¡ò© Table 11: Commercial banks’ Credits 59 ª¾ª½ì¾¤êó 12: ©÷−¡¾−§¿ì½¡ñ®ªÈ¾¤¯½Àê© Table 12:Balance of Payments 60 ª¾ª½ì¾¤êó 13: ¡¾−£É¾ªÈ¾¤¯½Àê© Table 13: Foreign Trade 61 ª¾ª½ì¾¤êó 14: Κ¦ò−ªÒªÈ¾¤¯½Àê©¢º¤ìñ© Table 14: External Debts 62 ª¾ª½ì¾¤êó 15: ºñ©ª¾Á졯ȼ−ê½−¾£¾− Áì½ ª½¹ì¾© Table 15: Official and Parallel 63 Exchange Rate ª¾ª½ì¾¤êó 16:À¤ò−º−À¢í¾´¾ìö¤êô−©¨¡ö¤ ¢º¤ Table 16: FDI Funds Transferred Through 64 Banking System ªÈ¾¤¯½ÀꩰȾ−ì½®ö®ê½−¾£¾− ª¾ª½ì¾¤êó 17: 츴¡¾−ìö¤êô−¥¾¡ªÈ¾¤¯½Àê© Table 17: Approved Foreign Direct Investments 65 by Sector Á®È¤ª¾´¢½ÁΤ¡¾− ª¾ª½ì¾¤êó 18: ªö¸Àì¡−ñ¡êȺ¤êȼ¸ Áì½ ì¾¨Ä©É Table 18: Tourist Arrivals to Lao PDR and 66 Revenues from Tourism ¥¾¡¡¾−êȺ¤êȼ¸ ¢º¤ 쾸.      
  • 5. £¿-À¹ñ−-°øÉ-¸È¾¡¾−-ê½−¾£¾− -Á¹È¤ ¦¯¯ 쾸 Massage from the Governor   Ã−-¯ó 2011 °È¾−´¾¡¾−»ñ¡¦¾¦½«¼−ì½ In 2011, maintaining monetary stability ²¾®À¤ò−ª¾Á¹È¤§¾© ĩɯ½À§ó−¡ñ®®ñ−¹¾®ÒÎûº¨ was faced with numerous challenges due to debt crisis in Europe, unemployment, natural ¨Éº−®ñ−¹¾Îš¦ò−-Ã−À¢©Àºó-Âë®, ®ñ−¹¾-¡¾−-¸È¾¤- calamities, the increase in oil, gold and ¤¾−, IJ꿴½§¾©; ì¾£¾−Õ´ñ−, -ì¾£¾-£¿ -Áì½ foodstuff prices, which resulted in rising ì¾£¾-¦½®¼¤-º¾¹¾−´óêȾºÈ¼¤À²†´¢›− À»ñ©Ã¹Éºñ© inflation rates in many countries. In addition, ª¾-À¤ò−-À³šμøÈ;¨¯½Àê©Ä©ÉÀ²†´-¢›−. −º¡-¥¾¡-−š, the domestic environment also faced with ¦½²¾®-Á¸©-ìɺ´μøȲ¾¨-Ã−¡Ò¨ñ¤¯½À§ó−¡ñ®®ñ−¹¾ natural calamities and the outbreak of animal disease. IJ꿴½§¾© Áì½ ²½¨¾©¦ñ©ì½®¾©. À«ò¤μȾ¤−˜−¡ðª¾´, À²ˆº-»¡¦¾-¦½«¼−ì½- ñ However, in order to maintain a long- ²¾®ê¾¤-©É¾−-À¤ò−ª¾-ùÉ-´ó-£¸¾´Ï˜−êȼ¤-¨¾-¸−¾−, term monetary stability, stable and sound ì½®ö®-ê½−¾£¾− -´ó-£¸¾´Ï˜−£ö¤»º®©É¾− ²Éº´- banking system as well as enable the banks to support and facilitate the process of socio- êñ¤-¯½¡º®¦È¸−-¨øÉ-Á»¤-¡¾−-²ñ©ê½−¾À¦©«½¡ò©Œ economic development, in particular to meet ¦ñ¤£ö´-ùÉ-®ñ−ì÷-ª¾´-Á°−¡¾−-¡¿-−ö©-Ä¸É ê½−¾£¾− the major targets as set out in the plan, the Á¹È¤ ¦¯¯ 쾸 (ê¹ì) Ä©É¥ñ©ª˜¤¯½ªò®ñ©²¾ì½- Bank of the Lao PDR (BOL) has actively ®ö©®¾©-Îɾ-ê-¢º¤-ªö−©É¸¨¡¾−: ¦õ®ªÒ¯½ªò®ñ©−½ † performed its role and duties as follows: the ¨®¾¨À¤ò−ª¾Á®®¯½¦ö´-¯½¦¾−©¨−¿Ã§ÉÀ£ˆº¤ BOL continued to conduct a combined monetary policy framework by using indirect ´õÀ¤ò−ª¾ê¾¤ºÉº´À¯ñ−ªí−£õ: ¦õ®ªÒ»ñ¡¦¾ºñ©ª¾ monetary instruments such as BOL policy ©º¡À®É¨¢º¤ªö−Ä쨽®ÒÀ¡ó− 7 ¸ñ− Ã−ºñ©ª¾ rate with maturity less than 7 days at 5 5%; »ñ¡¦¾ºñ©ª¾À¤ò−Á»±¾¡®ñ¤£ñ® 5% ¦¿ìñ® percent, reserve requirement ratio at 5 percent À¤ò−¡ó® Áì½ 10% ¦¿ìñ®À¤ò−ª¾ªÈ¾¤¯½Àê©; ¦õ® for Kip and 10 percent for foreign currency, ªÒ§÷¡¨øÉùɪ½Í¾©À¯ó© À£ˆº−ŸμȾ¤Á¢¤Á»¤ continued to actively promote the open market operations by issuing BOL securities ©É¸¨¡¾−¦õ®ªÒºº¡²ñ−ê½®ñ© ê¹ì; Áì½ ©¿À−ó− and conducted Repo and outright operations     1
  • 6. ¡¾−©ñ©¦ö´¦½²¾®£Èº¤©É¾−ÁÍȤêô−ùÉì½®ö®ê½ for banking system for the liquidity purpose. −¾£¾−μȾ¤À¯ñ−¯ö¡¡½ªò©É¸¨¡¾−§œŒ¢¾¨±¾¡ In addition, BOL continued to pursue a Áì½ §œŒ¢¾¨¢¾©Âª²ñ−ê½®ñ©. market-oriented exchange rate regime ²Éº´¡ñ−−˜−¡ðúĩɦõ®ªÒ¯½ªò®ñ©−½Â¨®¾¨ (managed floating system) by setting a daily ºñ©ª¾Á졯ȼ−ª¾´¡ö−Ä¡ª½Í¾©´ó¡¾−£÷É´£º¤ reference rate and intervened in the foreign ¢º¤ìñ©©É¸¨-¡¾−-¡¿−ö©ºñ©ª¾Á졯ȼ−ºÉ¾¤-ºó¤-¯½ exchange market whenever necessary; BOL continued to deregulate foreign exchange ¥¿-¸ñ−, ©ñ©¦ö´-ª½¹ù¾©À´ˆº-À¹ñ−-¸È¾-¥¿-À¯ñ−êñ¤-¦õ® trading to public and continued to implement ªÒ°Èº−£¾¨-ì½®¼®-¡¾−-§œŒ¢¾¨-À¤ò−ª¾- ùÉ-Á¡È-¦ñ¤ foreign currency management policy and Kip £ö´ -Áì½ ¦õ®ªÒ-£÷É´-£º¤-À¤ò−ª¾-ªÈ¾¤¯½-Àê© -Áì½ promotion; increasingly encouraged and ¦‰¤-À¦ó´-¡¾−-−¿-çÉ-À¤ò−-¡ó®μȾ¤-ªÒ-À−ˆº¤. À¯ó©-¡¸É¾¤ supported payment through banking system Áì½ §÷¡¨øÉ-¦‰¤-À¦ó´-¡¾−-§¿ì½-°È¾−-ì½®ö®-ê½−¾ and encouraged private sector to expand their exchange bureaus to facilitate foreign £¾−ùÉ-¹ì¾¨-¢›− ແລະ §÷¡¨øÉ-ùɲ¾¡¦È¸−Àº¡½ exchange for the public. §ö−¢½¹¨¾¨»É¾−-Á졯ȼ−--À²†´-¢›−- À²ˆº-º¿−¸¨- £¸¾´-¦½©¸¡-Ã−-¡¾−-Á졯ȼ−-À¤ò−ª¾-Á¡È-¦ñ¤£ö´. On commercial banks supervision, BOL ສືບຕໍ່ §÷¡¨øÉùÉê½−¾£¾−ê÷콡ò© À²†´ê½ continued to encourage commercial banks to mobilize more deposits by setting interest ¸ó¡¾−콩ö´À¤ò−±¾¡ ©É¸¨-¡¾−-¯ñ®¯÷¤-ºñ©ª¾-©º¡- rates in line with domestic context, À®É¨-ùÉ-ÀϾ½¦ö´-¡ñ®-¦½²¾®-À¦©«½¡ò©-²¾¨-Ã− - international and regional trends; providing Áì½ êȾ-ºÈ¼¤¢º¤-¦¾¡-ö−-Áì½²¾¡²œ−; ´ó°½ìò©ª½ diversified deposit accounts, improved and ²ñ−-À¤ò−-±¾¡ê†-¹ì¾¡-¹ì¾¨,- ¯ñ®¯÷¤- Áì½ ¢½¹¨¾¨ expanded commercial banks’ network ª¾ÎȾ¤®ðìò¡¾− ¢º¤ ê½−¾£¾−ê÷콡ò© ìö¤-»º©- accessible to district levels, improved service channels to provide a prompt and modern ¢˜−-À´õº¤, ¯ñ®¯÷¤-¡ö−-Ä¡-¡¾−-®ðìò¡¾−-ùÉ-¦½©¸¡¦½ financial service gradually. In order to ®¾¨¡È¸¾À¡‰¾ -Áì½ ¹ñ−-¦øÈ-êñ−-¦½-ÄÏ-Àꈺ-ì½-¡É¾¸. support long-term fund mobilization, BOL ²Éº´¡ñ−−˜−, À²ˆº¦‰¤À¦ó´¡¾−콩ö´êô−Ä쨽 paid special attention to create necessary ¨¾¸, ທຫລ ກໍ-úÄ©É-Àº-ö¾-Ã¥-æÈ-¦É¾¤-À¤ˆº−-Ä¢-ê†-¥¿-À¯ñ− - conditions conducive to the timely launch of the stock market and the market officially Áì½ »º®©É¾−-À²ˆº-ùÉ-ª½Í¾©-Íñ¡-§®-¦¾´¾©-À¯ó©- ñ began its trading in January 2011 with two À£ˆº−-Ÿ-êñ−ª¾-´¡¿-−ö©-À¸ì¾ -Áì½ -Ä©É-´ó-¡¾−- companies listed in the Lao securities À¯ó©§œŒ¢¾¨-»÷É−-μȾ¤-À¯ñ−-꾤-¡¾−- Ã−-À©õº−´ñ¤¡º− - exchange. The trading of securities was ¯ó 2011 ໂດຍ´ó¦º¤®ðìò¦ñ©À¢í¾¥ö©ê½®¼− -Áì½ launched smoothly, drawing a lot interests for ¡¾−--§œŒ¢¾¨-ªö¸-¥ò¤-μøÈ-Ã−-ª½Í¾© -´ó-£¸¾´-À¯ñ−-ì½ Lao and foreign investors. As a result, total stock trading was amounted to 301.49 million ®¼®-»¼®»Éº¨, ¦É¾¤-£¸¾´-¦ö−-Ã¥-Á¡È-−ñ¡-ìö¤êô−-ê¤- ñ Kip in 2011. ²¾¨-Ã−- Áì½ ªÈ¾¤¯½-Àê© §‡¤-´ó-´−-£È¾-¡¾−-§œŒ¢¾¨ ø 301,49 ªœ¡® -Ã−-¯ó 2011. ó In addition, BOL continued to create a favorable condition for commercial banks to     2
  • 7. ນອກຈາກນີ, ¡Òĩɦõ®ªÒ¦¾¤¦½²¾®Á¸© É provide credits to companies or projects with ìɺ´ê†©ó-ùÉê½−¾£¾−ê÷콡ò© -À¯ñ−-À¥í¾-¡¾−-¯Èº¨ efficient operations by focusing on the improvement of regulatory framework, loan ¦ò−-À§ˆºÃ¹ÉÁ¡È£¤¡¾−ꆴ󯽦ò©êò°ö− -©¨-¦´-æÈ- ÷ approval mechanism and procedures to ¡¾−¯ñ®¯÷¤-ì½®¼®, ¡ö−-Ä¡ Áì½ ¢˜−ªº−-¡¾−-²ò¥¾ provide a better access for entrepreneurs, ì½−¾-À¤ò−-¡øÉ À²ˆº-ùÉ-°øÉ-¯½¡º®-¡¾−-À¢í¾¹¾-Á¹-ìȤ introduced a scheme of using productive êô−-Ä©É-¤È¾¨-¢›−; −¿-çÉ-£¤¡¾−-À¤ò−¡øÉ-ê†-´ó-¯½¦ò©-êò - projects as loan collateral. Furthermore, BOL paid attention to transforming the commercial °ö−-À¯ñ−¹ìñ¡§ñ®£Õ¯½¡ñ−-À¤ò−-¡øÉ.- - - - Àºö¾-Ã¥--æÈ-£í− bank supervision to comply with the £¸É¾À²ˆº-¹ñ−-¡¾−-£÷É´-£º¤-ê½−¾£¾−-ê÷ì½-¡ò©-ª¾´- prudential principles of CAMELs, Basel I and ¹ìñ¡¡¾− CAMELs -Áì½ Basel I -į-¦øÈ-¡¾−-£÷É´- Basel II respectively. On the supervision of £º¤-£¸¾´-¦È¼¤ª¾´-¹ìñ¡¡¾− Basel II. ¦È¸−-¡¾−- financial institutions, the BOL focused on £÷É´£º¤-¦½-«¾-®ñ−-¡¾−-À¤ò−-Á´È−-Ä©É-¦÷´-æÈ-¦É¾¤-−òªò- - formulating the regulatory framework and keeping a close watch on the operations of ¡¿- Áì½ ¡¸©¡¾-ªò©ª¾´-¡¾−-À£ˆº−-Ÿ-¢º¤-®ñ− - - financial institutions under auspices of the ©¾-¦½-«¾-®ñ−-¡¾−-À¤ò−- μøÈ-²¾¨-êÉ-¡¾−-£÷É´-£º¤¢º¤ BOL. ê¹ì μȾ¤-À¯ñ−-¯ö¡¡½ªò. °È¾−-¡¾−¥ñ©ª˜¤¯½ªò®ñ©-−½Â¨®¾¨ê†¦º© Upon the implementation of appropriate policies and prompt actions as mentioned £Èº¤ Áì½ -Á¡É-Ä¢-êñ−-¡ñ®-¦½²¾®-¡¾−£õ-©„¤¡È¾¸-−˜−, - above, BOL could contribute in its part to ²¸¡-À»ö¾-¥‡¤¦¾´¾© ¯½¡º®¦È¸−§÷¡¨ø-ÉùÉÀ¦©«½ maintain a sustained economic growth rate at ¡ò©¢½¹¨¾¨ªö¸-μȾ¤-ªÒ-À−ˆº¤-Ã−-ºñ©ª¾ 8% ì¾¨Ä©É 8 percent, lifting GDP per capita from US$ GDP -ªÒ-¹ö¸-£ö− -À²†´-¢›− 1.281 ©-ì¾-¦½¹½ìñ© - 1.281 in 2010 to US$ 1.076 in 2011. Average ¥¾¡ 1-.076 -©-ì¾-¦½¹½ìñ©-Ã−-¯ó 2010, ºñ©ª¾ annual inflation rate was able to maintain with a single digit at 7.58 percent, the rate À¤ò−À³š¦½ÀìȨÏö©¯óμøÈ-Ã−-콩ñ®Î‡¤ªö¸-Àì¡ 7,58% which is lower than GDP growth rate as Áì½ ªÔ-¡¸È¾-¡¾−-¢½¹¨¾¨ªö¸-¢º¤-À¦© «½¡ò©. targeted. -¯½ìò´¾−-À¤ò− M2 -À²†´-¢›−-Ã−-콩ñ®-ê†-£¸®- £÷´-Ä©É 25,2%, À¤ò−-¡ó®-Á¢¤-£È¾ 2,93% ê¼®-©-ì¾- Money supply (M2) was able to maintain at manageable levels at 25.2 percent, ¦½¹½ìñ©, ÁªÈºÈº−£È¾ 1,36%- ê¼®-æÈ-À¤ò−-®¾© exchange rate Kip/US$ was appreciated by ê¼®-¡ñ®¯ó 2010; £ñ¤-¦¿»º¤-À¤ò−ª¾-ªÈ¾¤¯½-Àêດ¦¾ 2.93 percent, while Kip depreciated against ´¾©-¡÷É´-¡¾−-−¿-À¢í¾Ä©É 3,4 -À©õº−, ì½®ö®ê½−¾ - Thai Baht by 1.36 percent compared to 2010. £¾−-¦õ®-ªÒ-¢½¹¨¾¨ªö¸ -Áì½ ´ó-£¸¾´Ï˜−£ö¤, -À¤ò−- The level of foreign reserve could cover more ±¾¡¢º¤-ê½−¾£¾−-ê÷ì½-¡ò© À²†´¢›− 24,33%- than 3.4 months of imports of goods. The banking system continued to expand and À´ˆºê¼®-æÈ-êɾ¨¯ó 2010 Àꉾ¡ñ® 35,82% ¢º¤ remained financially sound. The total deposits GDP. ¦ò−À§ˆº¢º¤-ê½−¾£¾−-ê÷ì½-¡ò©Ã¹ÉÁ¡È²¾¡ of commercial banks continued to rise by ¦È¸−À¦©«½¡ò© À²†´¢›− 37,90%- Àꉾ¡ñ® 24.33 percent or represented 35.82 percent of 28,28% ¢º¤ GDP. GDP compared to 2010. The total loan     3
  • 8. Ã−-¯ó 2012 £¾©¸È¾êȾºÈ¼¤¢º¤À¦©«½¡ò©- provided by the entire commercial banks to Â졨ñ¤¦õ®ªÒ´ó¦†¤êɾ꾨ùÉÁ¡È¡¾−²ñ©ê½−¾À¦© the economy rose by 37.90 percent and represented 28.28 percent of GDP. «½¡ò©Œ¦ñ¤£ö´¢º¤¯½Àê©À»ö¾ À¯ñ−ªí−®ñ−¹¾Îš ¦ò−, -ì¾£¾-−Õ´ñ−, ì¾£¾-£¿, ì¾£¾-¦½®¼¤º¾ In 2012, it is anticipated that the ¹¾−, ì¾£¾»÷É− -Áì½ ºñ©ª¾-Á졯ȼ−¨ñ¤¥½¦õ®ªÒ outlook of global economy continues to pose °ñ−°¸−. À«ò¤μȾ¤Ã©¡ðª¾´, ê¹ì ¥½¦õ®ªÒ»ñ¡¦¾ various challenges to Lao socio-economic development such as: uncertainty in oil, gold, ¦½«¼−ì½²¾®À¤ò−ª¾Á¹È¤§¾© ùÉϘ−êȼ¤¨¾¸ foodstuff, stock prices and the fluctuation of −¾−©É¸¨¡¾−¯ñ®¯÷¤ Áì½ ²ñ©ê½−¾®ñ−©¾À£ˆº¤´õ exchange rate. Nevertheless, BOL will strive −½Â¨®¾¨À¤ò−ª¾Ã¹É´ó£¸¾´¹ì¾¡¹ì¾¨ ²Éº´ to maintain monetary stability in the long run êñ¤¦É¾¤¡ö−Ä¡¡¾−¥ñ©ª˜¤¯½ªò®ñ© ùɦº©£Èº¤¡ñ® by improving and developing a variety of ¦½²¾®À¦©«½¡ò©¢º¤¯½Àê©À»ö¾; ¥½¦õ®ªÒ−¿Ã§É monetary instruments, together with creating an appropriate operation mechanism in line −½Â¨®¾¨ºñ©ª¾Á졯ȼ−ª¾´¡ö−Ä¡ª½¹ù¾©ê†´ó with Lao economic condition. The BOL will ¡¾−£÷É´£º¤¢º¤ìñ©; ¦õ®ªÒ£÷É´£º¤¡½Á¦À¤ò−ª¾ continue to pursue a market oriented À¢í¾Œºº¡¯½Àê© Áì½ ¦‰¤À¦ó´¡¾−−¿Ã§ÉÀ¤ò−¡ó® exchange rate regime, monitor closely the μȾ¤Á¢¤Á»¤, ¯ñ®¯÷¤¡¾−®ðìò¡¾−ùÉêñ−¦½ÄÏ inflows and outflows of capital and intensify its campaign to promote the use of Kip, Áì½ ¢½¹¨¾¨ª¾Îú¾¤¡¾−®ðìò¡¾−ùÉꉸÀ«ò¤ continue to improve financial service and Áì½ §÷¡¨øɦ‰¤À¦ó´¡¾−§¿ລ½Â©¨®ÒçÉÀ¤ò−¦ö©μȾ¤ expand its network and promote the non-cash Á¢¤Á»¤, À²†´ê½¸ó¡¾−£÷É´£º¤ Áì½ ¡¸©¡¾ payment means through banking system, ê½−¾£¾−ê÷콡ò© Áì½ ¦½«¾®ñ−¡¾−À¤ò−ùɴó strengthen the bank supervision and £¸¾´Ï˜−£ö¤ Áì½ ¯º©Ä². examination on commercial banks and financial institution to be financially sound and secured. °øÉ-¸È¾¡¾−- ê½−¾£¾−Á¹È¤ ¦¯¯ 쾸 Governor of the Bank of the Lao PDR     4
  • 9. ª¾ª½ì¾¤êó 1: ªö¸Àì¡-§š-®º¡-À¦©-«½-¡ò©-ê†-¦¿-£ñ−¢º¤ ¦¯¯ 쾸 Table 1: Selected Key Economic Indicators of the Lao PDR p 쾨¡¾− 2008 2009 2010 2011 Items ¢½ÁΤ¡¾−°½ìò© (- %) Real Sector (in percent) ºñ©ª¾¡¾−¢½¹¨¾¨ªö¸¢º¤ì¸´¨º©°½ìò©ª½²ñ− 7.5 7.5 8.1 8.0 GDP growth rate ²¾¨Ã−ª¾´ì¾£¾¯ó 2002 (GDP) GDP at (constant price 2002) ºñ©ª¾À¤ò−À³šêɾ¨¯ó 3.17 3.92 5.76 7.70 Inflation rate (End of Period) ºñ©ª¾À¤ò−À³š¦½Àìú¨-Ã-−¯ó 7.63 0.03 5.98 7.58 Annual inflation rate (average) ¡¾−À¤ò−¢º¤ìñ©ê¼®Ã¦È GDP (%) 2007/2008 2008/2009 2009/2010 2010/2011 Public Finance in % of GDP 쾨»ñ®¤ö®¯½´¾−츴êñ¤À¤ò−§È¸¨ÀÍõºìɾ 17.43 17.58 22.31 22.24 Revenues and grants 쾨»ñ®²¾¨Ã− 14.56 15.12 15.73 16.30 Revenues À¤ò−§È¸¨ÀÍõºìɾ 2.87 2.46 6.57 5.94 Grants 츴¨º©ì¾¨¥È¾¨ Áì½Ã¹É¡øÉμõ´¦÷©êò 20.50 21.00 24.57 24.16 Total expenditures and net lending 쾨¥È¾¨®ðìò¹¾−ꉸį 12.27 13.85 12.73 12.63 Current expenditures 쾨¥È¾¨ìö¤êô− Áì½Ã¹É¡øÉμõ´¦÷©êò 8.44 7.0 11.8 11.52 Capital and On-lending net ©÷È−©È¼¤ì¸´ -3.07 -3.42 -2.3 -1.79 Overall cash balance ©÷È−©È¼¤ì¸´ ꆮÒ−ñ®À¤ò−§È¸¨ÀÍõºìɾ -6.1 -5.87 -8.9 -7.73 Overall Cash Balance (Excl grants) ¢½ÁΤÀ¤ò−ª¾ (%) 2008 2009 2010 2011 Monetary Sector (in percent) ºñ©ª¾¡¾−À²†´¢›−¢º¤¯½ìò´¾−À¤ò−êɾ¨¯ó (%) 18.31 31.23 39.13 25.2 Annual growth rate of Money Supply M2 ¢½ÁΤ¡¾−À¤ò−ªÈ¾¤¯½Àê©ê¼®Ã¦È GDP (%) 2008 2009 2010 2011 External Sector in % of GDP ©÷−¡¾−§¿ì½¡ñ®ªÈ¾¤¯½Àê© 1.90 -0.07 1.61 -0.74 Overall Balance ©÷−¡¾−§¿ì½À¤ò−¯ö¡¡½ªò츴êñ¤À¤ò−º−¢º¤ìñ© 1.71 -1.09 0.46 -1.94 Current Account Balance (Including Official Transfers) ©÷−¡¾−§¿ì½À¤ò−¯ö¡¡½ªò®Ò츴Àºö¾À¤ò−º−¢º¤ìñ© 0.25 -2.8 -1.24 -3.87 Current Account Balance (Excluding Official Transfers) ©÷−¡¾−£É¾ -5.89 -7.30 -4.90 -7.34 Trade Balance ©÷−®ñ−§óêô− Áì½ ¡¾−À¤ò− 8.14 11.52 6.27 6.01 Capital and Financial Accounts ´ø−£È¾¡¾−£É¾ 47.20 44.92 59.39 55.16 Foreign Trade Volume ¨º©Îš¦ò−ªÈ¾¤¯½Àê© 48.50 48.15 43.72 38.56 Stock of External Debts Á¹ìú¤¢Ó´ø−: ¡ö´¦½«òªò-À¦©«½¡ò©, ¦ø−¦½«òª-Á¹È¤-§¾© - ò Source: Department of Economic Statistics, Lao statistics Bureau ¡½§¸¤-Á°−¡¾− -Áì½- ¡¾−-ìö¤êô− Ministry of Planning and Investment, ê½−¾£¾− -Á¹È¤ ¦¯¯ 쾸 Bank of the Lao PDR     5
  • 10. I. ¦½²¾®À¦©«½¡ò©¢º¤ ¦¯¯ 쾸. I. Lao Economic Performance Ã−¯ó 2011 À«ò¤Á´ú−¸È¾¦½²¾®Á¸©ìɺ´ Despite the domestic and international êñ¤²¾¨Ã− Áì½ ¦¾¡ö−ĩɯ½À§ó−¡ñ®¦òú¤êɾ꾨 environments were faced with various challenges, Lao economic performance ;¨μȾ¤¡Òª¾´, ¦½²¾®À¦©«½¡ò©¢º¤ ¦¯¯ì¾¸ continued to depict high and sustained ©¨ì¸´¨ñ¤¦õ®ªÒ¢½¹¨¾¨ªö¸¦ø¤ Áì½ ªÒÀ−ˆº¤, growth, achieving at 8.0 percent (Figure 1). ºñ©ª¾¡¾−¢½¹¨¾¨ªö¸ GDP ®ñ−ì÷Ä©É 8,0% The total value of GDP expressed in constant (À®…¤»ø®êó1). 츴¨º© GDP £ò©ÄìȪ¾´ì¾£¾ price stood at 34,033.74 billion Kip while total value of GDP in current price stood at £ö¤êóú ´ó´ø−£È¾ 34.033,74 ªœ¡ó®, ¦È¸− GDP £ò© 65,689.69 billion Kip (Table 2), which ÄìȪ¾´ì¾£¾ ¯½¥÷®ñ− ´ó´ø−£È¾ 65.689,69 ªœ¡ó® resulted in GDP per capita income rose from (À®…¤ª¾ª½ 쾤êó 2), À»ñ©Ã¹É쾨ĩɦ½ÀìȨªÒ 1,076 US dollar in 2010 to 1,281 US dollar in ¹ö¸£ö− À²†´¢›− ¥¾¡ 1.076 ©쾦½¹½ìñ© Ã−¯ó 2011. 2010 ´¾À¯ñ− 1.281 ©쾦½¹½ìñ© Ã−¯ó 2011. The key factors boosting the expansion and strong growth of Lao economy were ¯ñ©-Ã¥¦¿£ñ−ꆨøÉ-Á»¤Ã¹ÉÀ¦©«½¡ò©-¢º¤ mainly driven by industrial sector, which ¦¯¯ 쾸 ¨ñ¤-Á´È−-¢½-ÁΤ-¡¾−-º÷©-¦¾-¹½¡¿- ªí− includes mining, electricity and manufac- ªð-Á´È−-¢½-ÁΤ-¡¾−-®Ò-Á»È, -²½ìñ¤¤¾−-ij³É¾ -Áì½ turing; followed by service and agriculture º÷©¦¾¹½¡¿-¯÷¤-ÁªÈ¤ »º¤-ìö¤-´¾-Á´È−-¢½-ÁΤ-¡¾−- sectors. Also, due to conducive conditions ®ðìò¡¾− Áì½ ¡½¦ò¡¿. ²Éº´-¡ñ−-−− ¨Éº− ¦¯¯ ˜ created by Lao PDR, the large increase in domestic and foreign investments had ì-¾¸ ´ó¦½²¾®-À¤ˆº−-Ä¢-ê†-Àºœºº¿-−¸¨ À»ñ©-ùû´ó - supported the growth. In addition, large ¡¾−-ìö¤êô−êñ¤-²¾¨-Ã− Áì½ ªÈ¾¤¯½-Àê© À²†´¢›− amount of fund contributed by the banking −º¡−š¡Ò´ó¡¾−-¯½¡º®¦È¸−꾤©É¾−ÁÍȤêô−;¨ system also help to boost the production ¦ö´£¸−¢º¤ ¢½ÁΤ¡¾−ê½−¾£¾−Ã−¡¾−§÷¡¨øÉ sector of economy such as: manufacturing- business sectors, construction and others ²œ−«¾−À¦©«½¡ò©À¯ñ−ªí−-,¢½-ÁΤ-¡¾−-°½ìò©Œê÷ (Figure 1). ì½-¡©, ¡¾−-¡Ò¦É¾¤ -Áì½ ºˆ−Å (-À®…¤-»ø®êó 1) ò 1. ¢½ÁΤ¡½¦ò¡¿ 1. Agriculture Agricultural sector slightly decreased Ã−--¯ó 2011, ¢½-ÁΤ-¡½¦ò¡¿¢½¹¨¾¨ªö¸ from 3.19 percent in 2010 to 2.66 percent in ÍЩìö¤ ¥¾¡ 3,19% -Ã−-¯ó 2010 ´¾-À¯ñ− 2,66%, 2011 with the total value of 9,566.57 billion ©¨´ó´ø−-£È¾-êñ¤-Ïö©-®ñ−ì÷-Ä©É 9.566,57 ªœ-¡ó® -Áì½ Kip and represented 28.11 percent of GDP ¡¸´-Àºö¾ 28,11% -¢º¤ GDP (À®…¤»ø®-êó 2). (Figure 2). The main sector driven the rise in ¢½ÁΤ¡¾−ꆲ¾Ã¹ÉÀ²†´¢›−Á´È− ¡¾−¯½´ö¤ agricultural sector was fishery increased 5,14 percent and represented 3.28 percent of À²†´¢›− 5,14% Áì½ ¡¸´-Àºö¾ 3,28% ¢º¤ GDP, agriculture–livestock, which rose by GDP, ¡¾−¯ø¡±ñ¤ Áì½ ìɼ¤¦ñ© À²†´¢›− 4,92% - 4.92 percent and represented 22.69 percent of     6
  • 11. GDP while P, »®êó 1: ¡¾−¢ »ø ¢½¹¨¾¨ªö¸¢º¤-À¦©«½¡ò© ¡ò Figure 1 GDP Gro 1: owth Rate 10.00% 9.00% 8.66% 8.10% 8 8.00% 8.00% 7.50 0% 7.50% 6.87% 7.02% 77% 6.7 6.83% 7.00% 6.21% % 6.00% 5.00% 4.00% 3.00% 2.00% 1.00% 0.00% 2002 2003 3 2004 20 005 2006 2007 200 08 2009 2010 2 2011 Á¹ìȤ¢Ó´ø−: ¡ö´¦½«òªòÀ¦©«½¡ò©, ¦ø−¦½«òªòÁ¹È¤§¾© Source: Depart © tment of Econom Statistics, Lao statistics Bureau mic ¡½§¸¤-Á°−¡¾− -Áì½- ¡¾−-ìö¤êô− − stry of Planning and Investment Minis -À§…¤ ¡¸´-Àºö¾ 22,69% ¢º¤ GDP, à ¢½−½-ꆢ½- ¢ Ã−- estry sector dropped by 18.78 perc and fore y cent ÁΤ¯È¾-Ä´É -ÍЩìö¤ 18,78% -Áì½ -¡¸´-Àºö¾²¼ ¼¤ repre esented 2.14 percent o GDP. of 2,14% ¢º¤ GDP. ¤ »ø®êó 2 ¡¾−¢½¹¨ 2: ¨¾¨ªö¸¢º¤¢ ¢½ÁΤ¡½¦ò¡¿ ¦ò Figure 2: Growth of Ag F griculture 35.00% 32.41% 31.46% 31.00 0%   8.82% 28 30.00% 28.11% 25.00% 20.00% 15.63% 15.00% 10.00% 3.72% 2.83% 3.19% 2.66% 5.00% 0.00% 2007 2008 2009 2010 2 2011 ºñ©ª¾¦È¸−¢½ÁΤ¡ ¡¿ªÒ GDP (Agri ¡½¦ò icultural Componen of GDP) nt ºñ©ª¾¡¾−¢½¹¨¾¨ ¸¢½ÁΤ¡½¦ò¡¿ ( ¨ªö (Growth Rate of Ag griculture)   Á¹ìȤ¢Ó´ø−: ¡ö´¦½ ªòÀ¦©«½¡ò©, ¦ø− ½«ò −¦½«òªòÁ¹È¤§¾© Source: Depar rtment of Econom Statistics, Lao statistics Bureau mic o u ¡½§¸¤-Á°−¡¾− -Áì½- ¡¾−-ìö¤êô− Mini istry of Planning and Investment     7
  • 12. 2. ¢½ÁΤº÷©¦¾¹½¡ ¡¿ 2. Industr . ry Industri sector co ial ontinued to grow but Ã−-¯ó 2011, ¢½-ÁΤº÷©¦¾¹½ ¢½¹¨¾¨ Á ½¡¿- ¨ lowe than las year, wh er st hich was d decreased ªö¸-ÍЩìö¤ ¥ ¥¾¡ 17,49% -Ã−-¯ó 201 ´¾-À¯ñ− - - - % 10 from 17.49 per m rcent in 2010 to 14.62 percent 2 14,62%, -©¨´ó´ø−-£È¾-ê¤-Ïö©-®ñ−ì÷Ä 9.345,24 ñ Ä©É - in 2 2011. Tot tal value was amou unted to 9,3445.24 billio Kip and represented 27.46 on d ªœ-¡ó® -¡¸´-Àºö¾ 27,46% ¢º¤ GDP (-À®…¤»ø®-êó 3) ). perccent of G GDP (Figu ure 3), of which Ã−-−˜−, ¢½ÁΤº÷-©¦¾-¹½¡¿-ij³É¾ -Áì½ −Õ-¯½ ¹ electtricity and water sup pply sector rose by ¯¾ -À²†´-¢›− 29,53% -Áì½ ¡¸´-Àºö¾ 4,84% ¢º - ì º¤- 29.5 percent a represen 53 and nted 4.84 p percent of GDP, ¡¾−¡Ò¦É¾¤ -À²†´-¢›− 24,83% -Áì½ ¡¸´ −- % ´- GDP construct P, tion rose by 24.83 per y rcent and Àºö¾ 6,07% ¢º¤ GDP ¢½-ÁΤº÷©¦¾¹½¡¿-¯÷ % P, ¯¤- repreesented 6.0 percent of GDP, m 07 manufac- turin rose by 9.73 perce and rep ng ent presented ÁªÈ¤ -À²†´-¢− 9,73% -Áì½ ¡¸´-Àºö¾ 9,58% ¢º › ì º¤ 9.58 percent of GDP, mi 8 ining and qquarrying GDP, ¢½-Á ÁΤ®Ò-Á»È Áì½- ¡¾−¢÷©£í− À²†´-¢›− Á ©- rose by 5.16 percent an represen nd nted 6.97 5,16% ¡¸´Àºö¾ 6,97% ¢º¤ GDP (-À®…¤-ª¾ª½ ´- % perc of GDP (Table 2). cent P 쾤 2). »ø®êó 3: ¡¾ ¾−¢½¹¨¾¨ªö¸¢º¤¢½ÁÎ ©¦¾¹½ ªö Τº÷ ½¡¿ Figure 3: Gr F rowth of Ind dustry 30 0.00% 28.04% % 27 7.46% 26 6.73% 25 5.00% 23.82% 21.61% 20 0.00% 15 5.00% 18.48% 17.49% 14 4.62% 10 0.00% 10.42% 5.00% 5 6.83% 6 0.00% 0 2007 2 2008 2009 2010 0 2011 ºñ©ª¾¦¸−¢½ÁΤº÷©¦¾¹½ ¦È ½¡¿ªÒ GDP (Industr Component of G rial GDP) ºñ©ª¾¡ ¡¾−¢½¹¨¾¨ªö¸º÷©¦ ¦¾¹½¡¿ (Growth Ra of Industry) ate   Á¹ìȤ¢Ó´ø−: ¡ö´¦½«òªÀ¦©«½¡ò©, ¦ø−¦½«òªòÁ¹È¤§¾© À ò «ò So ource: Department of Economic Sta t atistics, Lao statistics Bureau ¡½§¸ Á°−¡¾− -Áì½- ¡¾−-ìö¤êô− ¸¤- ¡ Ministry o Planning and I of Investment 3. ¢½ÁΤ®ðìò¡¾− 3. Service . e Ã−-¯ó 2011, ¢½-ÁΤ-¡¾−®ðìò¡ Á ¡¾−¢½¹¨¾-¨ - In 2011, service se , ector expanded from ªö¸-À²†´-¢›− ¥¾¡ 6,95% ´¾-À¯ñ− 8, % ,06%, -´ø−-£È¾ 6.95 percent t 8.06 pe 5 to ercent commpared to 2010 which was amou 0, unted of 112,959.83 êñ¤-Ïö© -®ñ−ì-Ä©É 12.959 ì÷ 9,83 ªœ-¡ó® -Á Áì½ ¡¸´-Àºö¾ billio Kip and represente 38.08 percent of on d ed     8
  • 13. 38,08% ¢º GDP (-À®…¤-»ø®-êó 4). Ã−-−˜−, ¡¾− º¤ −- GDP (Figure 4 of whic financia service P 4), ch al ®ðìò¡¾−-©¾−¡¾−-À¤ò− É −- -À²†´-¢›− 12 2,26%- -Áì½ rose by 12.26 percent an represen nd nted 3.55 perc cent of GD wholesa DP, ale- retail t trade and ¡¸´-Àº-ö¾ 3,55% ¢º¤ GDP; ¡¾−-¢¾¨¨ö¡Œ¢¾¨ ¨ repa rose by 8.66 percent and rep airs y presented ¨Èº¨ -Áì½ ¡¾−-¦Éº´-Á¯¤ -À²†´-¢›− 8,66% -Áì½ ¯ 19.32 percent of GDP, h hotel and r restaurant ¡¸´-Àºö¾ 19,32% ¢º¤ GDP; » Á»´ -Áì½- »¤- rose by 13.83 percent an represen nd nted 0.71 »É¾−-º¾¹¾− -À²†´-¢›− 13,83% -Áì ¡¸´-Àºö¾ − ì½ perc cent of GDP public s P, service rose by 5.92 e perc cent or repr resented 7.4 percent of GDP, 43 0,71% ¢º GDP; ¡¾−-®ðìò¡¾−-¢º¤²¾¡-ìñ© - º¤ ¡ - trans sport, warehouse, po and c ost communi- À²†´-¢›− 5,92% -Áì½ ¡¸´-Àºö¾ 7,43% ¢º º¤ catio rose by 8.52 perce and rep on ent presented GDP; ¡¾−-¢ö−-¦‰¤, ¦¾¤, į¦½−ó -Áì Âêì½£ö´ ì½- 4.78 percent of GDP, com 8 f mmunity so ocial and ´½−¾£ö´ À²†´¢›− 8,52% -Áì½ ¡¸´Àºö¾ 4,78% ²† ´- % personal servic rose by 7.53 per ce y rcent and ¢º¤ GDP; ¡¾−-®ìò¡¾−-´¸−-§ö− ð §ö -À²†´-¢›− esented 1.67 percent of GDP, private repre t housseholds wit employe persons rose by th ed 7,53% -Áì½ ¡¸´-Àºö¾ 1,67% ¢º¤ GDP; ¡¾− ½ ¤ −- 5.28 percent an represen 8 nd nted 0.68 ppercent of ¸È¾-¥É¾¤-²¾¨-Ã−-£ö¸-À»õº− À²†´¢›− 5 - 5,28% -Áì½ GDP and fin P nancial lea asing and business ¡¸´-Àºö¾ 0 0,68% ¢º¤ GDP Áì ¡¾−-À§‰¾-§œ ì½ service rose by 7.95 perc y cent and rep presented Áì½ ¡¾−-®ðìò¡¾−-ê÷ì½-¡ò© - -À²†´-¢›− 7,95% Áì½ - ¡ò ½ 2.98 percent of GDP (Tabl 2). 8 f le ¡¸´-Àºö¾ 2,98% ¢º¤ GDP (-À®…¤-ª¾ G ¾ª½ì¾¤-êó 2) ). »ø®êó 4: ¡¾−¢½¹¨¾ ¸¢º¤¢½ÁΤ®ðìò¡¾ : ¾¨ªö ¾− Figure 4: G Growth of Se ervices 45.00% 4 % 39.03% 38.4 49% 38.09% 3 38.08% 40.00% 4 35.23% 35.00% 3 30.00% 3 25.00% 2 20.00% 2 15.00% 1 11.2 27% 12.40% 1 10.00% 1 6.95% 8.06% 6.02% 5.00% 0.00% 2007 2008 2009 201 10 2011 ºñ© ©ª¾¡¾−¢½¹¨¾¨ªö¸ ¸¢½ÁΤ®ðìò¡¾− (Gr rowth Rate of Servi ices) ºñ© ©ª¾¦È¸−¢½ÁΤ®ðìò¡ ¡¾−ªÒ GDP (Services Component of G GDP)   Á¹ì¤¢Ó´ø−: ¡ö´¦½«òªòÀ¦©«½¡ò©, ¦ø−¦½ ªòÁ¹È¤§¾© ìÈ ªò ½«ò Source: Departmen of Economic Statistics, Lao stat nt tistics Bureau ¡½§ Á°−¡¾− -Áì½ ¡¾−-ìö¤êô− §¸¤- ½- Ministry of Planning and Investment     9
  • 14. 4. ¡¾−-¯¼−-Á¯¤-£¤-¯½-¡º®-¢º¤ GDP È ¯ ¤ 4. Change in GDP Compone . es ents £¤-¯½ ½¡º®-¢º¤ GDP Ã−-¯ó 20 G 011, ¢½-ÁΠΤ- In 2011, the service sector was a major e share of GDP compone P ent, accou unted for ¡¾−-®ðìò¡¾− − ¨ñ¤¡¸´-ºñ©ª¾-¦È¸−-ù - ºñ ¹¨È §‡¤¡¸´ ´- 38.0 percent of GDP ro by 1.82 percent 08 ose 2 38,08% ¢ ¢º¤ GDP À²†´¢›−- 1 1,82% ¥¾¡ ¡ from 37.25 pe m ercent in 2010; folloowed by 37,25% -à ¯ó 2010, »º¤-ìö¤-´¾Á´È−-¢½-ÁÎ Ã−- ¾- Τ agric culture sec ctor with a share o 27.46 of ¡½¦ò¡¿ ¡¸´- 27,46% ¹ì÷©-ìö¤ 1,39% ¥¾¡ ¸- % ¡ perc cent slightly dropped b 1.39 perc y by cent from 28,04%, Ã−¢½−½ê†º÷©¦¾¹½¡¿ ê† ¿ ¡¸-´-Àºö¾ 28.0 04 percen nt, while industrial sector l acco ounted for 228.11 perce dropped by 0.78 ent, d 28,11% -Í© ¤ 0,78% ¥¾¡ 28,82 -Áì½ ²¾¦ó- ©ìö Ð 2% ¦ó perc cent from 2 28.82 percent and ne import et −¿-À¢í¾ ¡¸´Àºö¾ 6,24% À²†´¢›− 0,35% ¥¾¡ ´- % ¡ dutie covered 6.24 per es d rcent rose by 0.35 5,89% -Ã−-¯ó°È¾−-´¾ (À®…¤»ø®êó 5). ¯ó ®… perc from 5. percent in the prev cent .89 vious year (Figu 5). ure »ø®êóó 5: ¡¾−¯È¼−Á¯¤Â£¤¯½¡ ¡º®¢º¤ GD DP Figu 5: Chan ure nges in GDP Componen P nts ²¾¦óó¡¾−−¿À¢í¾(Impor Duties) rt ®ðìò¡¾− ( Se ervices) 120.00% ¦¾¹½¡¿ (Industry) º÷©¦ ¡½¦ò¡¿ ( Ag griculture) 100.00% 6.68% 6 5.89% 6.24% 6.94% 80.00% 39.03% 38.49% 3 37.25% % 38.08% 60.00% 40.00% 21.61% 23.82% 2 28.04% % 27.46% 20.00% 32.41% 31.00% 3 28.82% % 28.11% 0.00% 2008 2009 2010 2011   Á¹ìȤ¢Ó´ø−: ¡ö´¦½«òªòÀ¦©«½¡ò©, ¦ø−¦½«òªòÁ¹È¤§¾© ¦ Source: Depar rtment of Econom Statistics, Lao statistics Bureau mic o u ¡½§¸¤-Á°−¡¾− -Áì½- ¡¾−-ìö¤êô− Mini istry of Planning and Investment 5. 콩ñ®ì ì¾£¾ 5. Price L . Level In 2011, average a , annual inflaation rate Ã−¯ó 2011 ºñ©ª¾-À¤ò−-À³š ¦ À섨Ã−¯ó- - ¯ó © ¦½- was slightly hhigher than 2010 wh n hich rose Á´È− 7,58% -À²†´-¢›−¥¾¡ 5,98% -Ã−-¯ó 2010 % -¥ 0. from 5.98 perc m cent in 2010 to 7.58 p 0 percent in ¦½²¾®ºñ©ª −À³š¢º¤ ¦¯¯ 쾸 ¨ñ¤»ñ¡¦¾Ä© ª¾À¤ò ¤ ¸ ©É 2011 However the inflat 1. r, tion rate sit tuation of Ã−콩ñ®Î‡¤ªö¸Àì¡ ª¾´£¾©Ï¾¨ê†¸¾¤Ä¸ÉÁª ª ªÈ Lao PDR still remained a single digit as l d eted and lo targe ower than GGDP growt In the th.     10
  • 15. ¡ÒÀ¹ñ−¸È¾ºñ©ª¾À¤ò−À³š´óêȾºÈ¼¤À²†´¢›−Àìñ¡Îɺ¨. first six months of 2011, the inflation rate Ã−-§È¸-¤ 6 -À©õº−-ªí−¯ó 2011 ºñ©ª¾-À¤ò−-À³š-´ó¡¾−- increased sharply at 8.16 percent (from 6.06 percent in January 2011 to 9.52 percent), ÀÎñ¤-ª¤-Á»¤ ¦½-À섨 8,16% (¥¾¡ 6,06% -Ã−- ó while in the second half of 2011, it slightly À©õº− 1/2010 ´¾-À¯ñ− 9,52%)-, -Áª-È-À¤ò−-À³š-¦½-À섨 dropped at 6.73 percent (from 9.52 percent in 6 À©õº−êɾ¨-¯ó ´ó-êȾ-ºÈ¼¤¹ì÷©-ìö¤ ´¾-μøÈ-Ã−-콩ñ® - June 2011 to 7.70 percent in December 2011) 6,73% (¥¾¡ 9,52% -Ã−-À©õº− 6/2011 ´¾-À¯ñ− (Figure 6), the factors driven an increasing inflation rate came from 2 sources: (1) 7,70% -Ã−-À©-õº− 12/2011) - (À®…¤-»ø®êó 6). ¦¾- - domestic factor associated with natural À¹©-ê†-À»ñ©-ùÉ-ºñ©ª¾-À¤ò−-À³š- ¢º¤ ¦¯¯- 쾸 -À»ö¾- disasters (flood caused by Nokten and Haima À²†´-¢›−-¦ø¤-Ã−-¯ó 2011 ´¾-¥¾¡ 2 ¯ñ©-Ã¥-ªí−ªð-£õ : storms), which severely destroyed agricultural (1) ¯ñ©-Ã¥-²¾¨-Ã− -Á´È−-¨Éº− ¦¯¯ 쾸 -Ä©É-»ñ®-°ö−- crops, coupled with weak domestic produc- ¡½êö®-¥¾¡-IJ-ê¿-´½-§¾© (−Õ-«É¸´¥¾¡²½¨÷-−¡- ö tion resulting in disequilibrium between supply and demand in the market, unregulated Àªñ− -Áì½ -Ä»-´¾) §‡¤-Ä©É-¦É¾¤-£¸¾´-À¦¨-¹¾¨-μ¾¤- È price management of necessary foodstuffs ¹ì¸¤¹ì¾¨ªÒ¡¾−-°½ìò©-¡½¦ò¡¿ ®¸¡-¡ñ®-¡¾−-°½ and lack of monitoring and distribution ìò©-²¾¨-Ã−-¨ñ¤-®Ò-êñ−-À¢˜´-Á¢¤ À»ñ©-ùû¡¾−ªº®¦½ channels. In addition, the depreciation of Kip ꤮Ò-²¼¤²ð-¡ñ®-£¸¾´-ªÉº¤¡¾−¢º¤-¦ñ¤£ö´-, ¢º© against Thai Baht also resulted in increase in real cost of imported commodities from ¡¾−£÷É´£º¤ì¾£¾¦ò−£É¾ Áì½ ¡¾−®ðìò¡¾−, ¢º© neighboring country (imported inflation); and ¡¾−Á¥¡μ¾¨¦ò−£É¾¨ñ¤®Òêñ−©óÀꉾꆣ¸−. ²Éº´- (2) external factor was associated with the ¡ñ−−˜−, ¡¾−-ºÈº−-£È¾-¢º¤-À¤ò−-¡ó®- ê¼®-¡ñ® -À¤ò−-®¾©- increase of oil and gold prices in the global À»ñ©-ùÉ-ªí−-êô−-¡¾−-−¿-À¢í¾-¦ò−£É¾-¥¾¡-¯½Àê©À²ˆº− market. For a group of commodities, which ®É¾−¦ø¤-¢›− (−¿-À¢í¾-À¤ò−-À³š); (2) ¯ñ©-Ã¥-²¾¨-−º¡ - has price change and influence on inflation are as follows: foodstuff rose by 10.35 Á´È−-¨Éº−-ì¾£¾-−Õ´ñ− -Áì½ ì¾£¾-£¿Ã−-ª½Í¾© percent, transport and communications rose Âì¡-À²ó-ú´¢›−-. ¦¿ìñ®Ï¸©-¦ò−£É¾-ê†-´ó-¡¾−-¯È¼−-Á¯¤ by 9.78 percent, commodities and other ì¾£¾-À²†´-¢›− -Áì½ ´ó°ö−-ªÒ-¡ñ®-ºñ©ª¾-À¤ò−-À³šÁ´È− services rose by 8 percent, hotel and ϸ©-¦½®¼¤-º¾¹¾− -À²†´-¢− 10,35%; ϸ©£ö´ › restaurants rose by 5.2 percent, housing ,electricity, water supply and gas rose by 4.4 ´½−¾£ö´-¢ö−-¦‰¤ -À²†´-¢›− 9,78%; ϸ©-¦ò−£É¾ - percent, alcoholic beverages and tobacco rose Áì½ ®ðìò¡¾− -À²†´-¢›− 8,00% ; ϸ©-»É¾−- by 4.03 percent, post and telecommunication º¾¹¾− -Áì½ -»¤-Á»´ À²†-´¢›− 5,2%; ϸ©-ê†- rose by 3.49 percent, clothing and footwear ²ñ¡º¾-æ, -ij³É¾, -−Õ-¯½¯¾ -Áì½ -À§œº-À²ó¤-À²†´-¢›− - rose by 2.99 percent and other group of 4,4% ; ϸ©-À¹ìí¾ -Áì½ μ¾¦ø® -À²†´-¢›− 4,03%; - commodity was slightly increased (Table 4). ϸ©-į¦½−ó -Áì½ -Âêì½-£ö´´½−¾ À²†´-¢− - › 3,49%; ϸ©-À£ˆº¤−÷Ȥ-¹‰´ -Áì½ À¡ó® -À²†´-¢›− 2,99% Áì½ Ï¸©-ºˆ−Å- -À²†´-¢›−-Àìñ¡-−ɺ¨ (-À®…¤ ª¾ª½ì¾¤-êó 4).     11