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Annual report 2011
1.
¦¾-ê¾-ì½−½-ì© ¯½§¾ ¯½-Ī ¯½§¾§ö−-쾸 ¾ ìññ ¾êò §ö ¦ñ−ªò²¾ -Àº¡½ì¾© ¯½§¾êò¯½Äª Àº¡½²¾® ¸ñ©ê½−½ ¾® ½- ½- ¡- ½«¾¸º− − Lao Peop L ple’s Dem mocratic Repub c blic Peace In ndependence Demmocracy Unity P y Prosperi ity ê½−¾£¾−- Á ¤ ¦¯¯ 쾸 Á¹È ¯ Bank of th Lao P B he PDR
2.
¦¾ì½®¾−
Contents £¿-À¹ñ−-°øÉ-¸È¾¡¾− Message from the Governor Page No. 1 I. ¦½²¾®-À¦©«½¡ò©-¢º¤ ¦¯¯ 쾸 I. Lao Economic Performance 6 1. ¢½-ÁΤ-¡½¦ò¡¿ 1. Agriculture 6 2. ¢½-ÁΤ-º÷©-¦¾-¹½¡¿ 2. Industry 8 3. ¢½-ÁΤ-®ðìò¡¾− 3. Service 8 4. ¡¾−-¯È¼−-Á¯¤-£¤-¯½¡-º® GDP 4. Changes in GDP Components 10 5. 콩ñ®-ì¾£¾ 5. Price Level 10 II. ¢½-ÁΤ-¡¾−-À¤ò−-¢º¤-ìñ©. II. Public Finance 13 1. 쾨-»®-¤ö®¯½´¾− ñ 1. Revenues 13 2. 쾨¥È¾¨¤ö®¯½´¾− 2. Expenditures 15 3. ¡¾−-©÷ú−©È¼¤¤ö®¯½´¾− 3. Financing 16 III. ¢½-ÁΤÀ¤ò−ª¾ III. Monetary Sector 17 1. −½Â¨®¾¨ºñ©ª¾-Á졯ȼ− 1. Exchange Rate Policy 17 2. −½Â¨®¾¨À¤ò−ª¾ 2. Monetary Policy 19 3. ¯½ìò´¾−-À¤ò− 3. Monetary Supply 19 4. «¾−-À¤ò−ª¾ 4. Monetary Base 21 5. À¤ò−-±¾¡¢º¤-ê½−¾£¾−-ê÷ì½-¡ò© 5. Deposits 21 6. ¦ò−À§ˆº¢º¤-ê½−¾£¾−-ê÷ì½-¡ò© 6. Credits 22 7. ºñ©ª¾©º¡À®û¨-À¤ò−-±¾¡ -Áì½ -À¤ò−-¡øÉ 7. Interest Rates Deposits and Loan 23 8. ¡¾−-£÷É´-£º¤-À¤ò−ª¾-ªÈ¾¤¯½-Àê©Áì½ 8. Foreign Currency Management and the 25 Promotion of the Use of Kip ¡¾−-¦‰¤-À¦ó´-¡¾−-−¿-çÉ-À¤ò−-¡ó® 9. ¡¾−-£÷É´-£º¤-ê½−¾£¾−-ê÷ì½-¡ò©- 9. Commercial Bank Supervision 27 10. ¡¾−-£É´£º¤-¦½-«¾-®ñ−-¡¾−-À¤ò− ÷ - 10. Financial Institutions Supervision 27 11. ¸¼¡-¤¾−£÷É´-£º¤ª½Í¾©-Íñ¡-§ñ®-Ã− ¦¯¯ 쾸 11. Stock Exchange Management 28 IV. ©÷−-¡¾−-§¿-콡ñ®ªÈ¾¤¯½Àê©- IV. Balance of Payments 30 1. ¡¾−£É¾-¡ñ®ªÈ¾¤-¯½-Àê© 1. Foreign Trade 31 2. ©÷−-®ðìò¡¾− 2. Services 33 3. ©÷−-쾨-Ä©É - 3. Factor Income 34 4. À¤ò−º−-§È¸¨-ÀÍõº - 4. Current Transfers 35 5. Κ¦ò−ªÈ¾¤¯½Àê© 5. External Debts 35 6. ¡¾−ìö¤êô−¥¾¡ªÈ¾¤¯½Àê© 6. Foreign Direct Investment 36 V. êò©-꾤-츴꾤-©É¾−-´½¹¾-²¾¡-À¤ò−ª¾-¢º¤ ¦¯¯ 쾸 ¯ó 2012 V. Lao Monetary Outlook for 2012 37 ¦½²¾-®ðìò¹¾− Executive Board 39 Á°−-¸¾©êó1: £¤-»È¾¤-¡¾−¥ñ©-ª˜¤ê½−¾£¾−Á¹È¤ ¦¯¯ 쾸 - Chart 1: Organizational Chart of the BOL 44 Á°−-¸¾©êó 2 : -£¤-»È¾¤-¡¾−¥ñ©-ª˜¤¢º¤-ì½®ö®ê−¾£¾−--Ã− ¦¯¯ Chart 2: Organizational Chart of the Lao 46 Banking System 쾸.
3.
¦¾ì½®¾−»ø®
List of Figures Page No. »ø®êó 1: ¡¾−¢½¹¨¾¨ªö¸À¦©«½¡ò© Figure 1: GDP Growth Rate 7 »ø®êó 2: ¡¾−¢½¹¨¾¨ªö¸¢½ÁΤ¡½¦ò¡¿ Figure 2: Growth of Agriculture 7 »ø®êó 3: ¡¾−¢½¹¨¾¨ªö¸¢½ÁΤº÷©¦¾¹½¡¿ Figure 3: Growth of Industry 8 »ø®êó 4: ¡¾−¢½¹¨¾¨ªö¸¢½ÁΤ®ðìò¡¾− Figure 4: Growth of Services 9 »ø®êó 5: ¡¾−¯È¼−Á¯¤Â£¤¯½¡º® GDP Figure 5: Changes of GDP Components 10 »ø®êó 6: ºñ©ª¾À¤ò−À³š Figure 6: Inflation 12 »ø®êó 7: −ÕÎñ¡¢º¤ÁªÈì½Ï¸©¦ò−£É¾¡½êö®ªÒ©© ñ Figure 7: Weight of each Group of Goods and 13 Services Influencing CPI §½−óì¾£¾°øɧö´Ã§É »ø®êó 8: «¾−½¡¾−À¤ò−¢º¤ìñ© Figure 8: Fiscal Performance 14 »ø®êó 9: 쾨»ñ®¢º¤¤ö®¯½´¾− Figure 9: Revenues 15 »ø®êó 10: 쾨¥È¾¨¢º¤¤ö®¯½´¾− Figure 10: Expenditures 16 »ø®êó 11: ¡¾−©÷È−©È¼¤¤ö®¯½´¾− Figure 11: Fiscal Financing 17 »ø®êó 12: ºñ©ª¾Á졯ȼ− Figure 12: Exchange Rates 18 »ø®êó 13: ¯½ìò´¾−À¤ò− M2 Figure 13: Money Supply (M2) 20 »ø®êó 14: ºö¤¯½¡º®¢º¤ M2 Á¨¡ª¾´¦½¡÷−À¤ò− Figure 14: M2 by Currency Components 20 »ø®êó 15: «¾−À¤ò−ª¾ Figure 15: Monetary Base 21 »ø®êó 16: À¤ò−±¾¡¢º¤-ê½−¾£¾−-ê÷ì½-¡ò© Figure 16: Commercial banks’ Deposits 22 »ø®êó 17: ¦ò−À§ˆº¢º¤-ê½−¾£¾−-ê÷ì½-¡ò© Figure 17: Commercial banks’ Credits 23 »ø®êó 18: ºñ©ª¾©º¡À®É¨¦½ÀìȨÀ¤ò−±¾¡¡¿−ö©12 À©õº− Figure 18: Average 12 Months Deposit Rates 24 »ø®êó 19: ºñ©ª¾©º¡À®É¨¦½ÀìȨÀ¤ò−¡øÉ¡¿−ö© 12 À©õº− Figure 19: Average 12 Months Lending Rates 25 »ø®êó 20: ©ñ©-§½-−óª½Í¾©-Íñ¡-§ñ®-쾸 -Áì½ ´ø−-£È¾-»÷É−-ê†-´ó- Figure 20: Lao Stock Index Market and Trading 30 Volume ¡¾−-§œŒ¢¾¨ »ø®êó 21: ©÷−¡¾−§¿ì½¡ñ®ªÈ¾¤¯½Àê© Figure 21: Balance of payments 31 »ø®êó 22: ¡¾−£É¾ªÈ¾¤¯½Àê© Figure 22: Foreign Trade 32 »ø®êó 23: ¡¾−¢½¹¨¾¨ªö¸¢º¤¡¾−¦‰¤ºº¡Œ−¿À¢í¾ Figure 23: Growth Rate of Exports - Imports 33 »ø®êó 24: ªö¸Àì¡−ñ¡êȺ¤êȼ¸À¢í¾´¾ ¦¯¯ 쾸 Figure 24: Number of Tourist Arrivals 34 to Lao PDR »ø®êó 25: Κ¦ò−ªÈ¾¤¯½Àê© Figure 25: Extenal Debts 35 »ø®êó 26: ¡¾−ìö¤êô−©¨¡ö¤¢º¤ªÈ¾¤¯½Àê© Figure 26: Foreign Direct Invesment 36
4.
¦¾ì½®¾−ª¾ª½ì¾¤
List of Tables Page No. ª¾ª½ì¾¤êó 1: ªö¸À졧š®º¡À¦©«½¡ò©ê†¦¿£ñ− ¢º¤ ¦¯¯ 쾸 Table 1: Selected key Economic Indicators 5 of the Lao PDR ª¾ª½ì¾¤êó 2:츴¨º©°½ìò©ª½²ñ−²¾¨Ã−£ò©ÄìÈ ª¾´´ø−£È¾À²†´ Table 2:Gross Domestic Product by 48 Value Added ª¾ª½ì¾¤êó 3: ©ñ©¦½−óì¾£¾°øɧö´Ã§É Table 3: Consumer Price Index (CPI) 49 ª¾ª½ì¾¤êó 4: ºñ©ª¾À¤ò−À³š Table 4: Inflation 50 ª¾ª½ì¾¤êó 5: «¾−½¡¾−À¤ò−¢º¤ìñ© Table 5: Status of Government Budget 51 ª¾ª½ì¾¤êó 6: 쾨»ñ®¢º¤¤ö®¯½´¾− Table 6: Revenues 53 ª¾ª½ì¾¤êó 7: «¾−½¡¾−À¤ò−¢º¤ ê¹ì Table 7: Balance Sheet of the BOL 54 ª¾ª½ì¾¤êó 8: «¾−½¡¾−À¤ò−¢º¤ì½®ö®ê½−¾£¾− Table 8: Monetary Survey 55 ª¾ª½ì¾¤êó 9: ºñ©ª¾©º¡À®É¨ Table 9: Interest Rates 56 ª¾ª½ì¾¤êó 10: À¤ò−±¾¡¢º¤-ê½−¾£¾−-ê÷ì½-¡ò© Table 10: Commercial banks’ Deposits 58 ª¾ª½ì¾¤êó 11: ¦ò−À§ˆº¢º¤-ê½−¾£¾−-ê÷ì½-¡ò© Table 11: Commercial banks’ Credits 59 ª¾ª½ì¾¤êó 12: ©÷−¡¾−§¿ì½¡ñ®ªÈ¾¤¯½Àê© Table 12:Balance of Payments 60 ª¾ª½ì¾¤êó 13: ¡¾−£É¾ªÈ¾¤¯½Àê© Table 13: Foreign Trade 61 ª¾ª½ì¾¤êó 14: Κ¦ò−ªÒªÈ¾¤¯½Àê©¢º¤ìñ© Table 14: External Debts 62 ª¾ª½ì¾¤êó 15: ºñ©ª¾Á졯ȼ−ê½−¾£¾− Áì½ ª½¹ì¾© Table 15: Official and Parallel 63 Exchange Rate ª¾ª½ì¾¤êó 16:À¤ò−º−À¢í¾´¾ìö¤êô−©¨¡ö¤ ¢º¤ Table 16: FDI Funds Transferred Through 64 Banking System ªÈ¾¤¯½ÀꩰȾ−ì½®ö®ê½−¾£¾− ª¾ª½ì¾¤êó 17: 츴¡¾−ìö¤êô−¥¾¡ªÈ¾¤¯½Àê© Table 17: Approved Foreign Direct Investments 65 by Sector Á®È¤ª¾´¢½ÁΤ¡¾− ª¾ª½ì¾¤êó 18: ªö¸Àì¡−ñ¡êȺ¤êȼ¸ Áì½ ì¾¨Ä©É Table 18: Tourist Arrivals to Lao PDR and 66 Revenues from Tourism ¥¾¡¡¾−êȺ¤êȼ¸ ¢º¤ 쾸.
5.
£¿-À¹ñ−-°øÉ-¸È¾¡¾−-ê½−¾£¾− -Á¹È¤ ¦¯¯
쾸 Massage from the Governor Ã−-¯ó 2011 °È¾−´¾¡¾−»ñ¡¦¾¦½«¼−ì½ In 2011, maintaining monetary stability ²¾®À¤ò−ª¾Á¹È¤§¾© ĩɯ½À§ó−¡ñ®®ñ−¹¾®ÒÎûº¨ was faced with numerous challenges due to debt crisis in Europe, unemployment, natural ¨Éº−®ñ−¹¾Îš¦ò−-Ã−À¢©Àºó-Âë®, ®ñ−¹¾-¡¾−-¸È¾¤- calamities, the increase in oil, gold and ¤¾−, IJ꿴½§¾©; ì¾£¾−Õ´ñ−, -ì¾£¾-£¿ -Áì½ foodstuff prices, which resulted in rising ì¾£¾-¦½®¼¤-º¾¹¾−´óêȾºÈ¼¤À²†´¢›− À»ñ©Ã¹Éºñ© inflation rates in many countries. In addition, ª¾-À¤ò−-À³šμøÈ;¨¯½Àê©Ä©ÉÀ²†´-¢›−. −º¡-¥¾¡-−š, the domestic environment also faced with ¦½²¾®-Á¸©-ìɺ´μøȲ¾¨-Ã−¡Ò¨ñ¤¯½À§ó−¡ñ®®ñ−¹¾ natural calamities and the outbreak of animal disease. IJ꿴½§¾© Áì½ ²½¨¾©¦ñ©ì½®¾©. À«ò¤μȾ¤−˜−¡ðª¾´, À²ˆº-»¡¦¾-¦½«¼−ì½- ñ However, in order to maintain a long- ²¾®ê¾¤-©É¾−-À¤ò−ª¾-ùÉ-´ó-£¸¾´Ï˜−êȼ¤-¨¾-¸−¾−, term monetary stability, stable and sound ì½®ö®-ê½−¾£¾− -´ó-£¸¾´Ï˜−£ö¤»º®©É¾− ²Éº´- banking system as well as enable the banks to support and facilitate the process of socio- êñ¤-¯½¡º®¦È¸−-¨øÉ-Á»¤-¡¾−-²ñ©ê½−¾À¦©«½¡ò©Œ economic development, in particular to meet ¦ñ¤£ö´-ùÉ-®ñ−ì÷-ª¾´-Á°−¡¾−-¡¿-−ö©-Ä¸É ê½−¾£¾− the major targets as set out in the plan, the Á¹È¤ ¦¯¯ 쾸 (ê¹ì) Ä©É¥ñ©ª˜¤¯½ªò®ñ©²¾ì½- Bank of the Lao PDR (BOL) has actively ®ö©®¾©-Îɾ-ê-¢º¤-ªö−©É¸¨¡¾−: ¦õ®ªÒ¯½ªò®ñ©−½ † performed its role and duties as follows: the ¨®¾¨À¤ò−ª¾Á®®¯½¦ö´-¯½¦¾−©¨−¿Ã§ÉÀ£ˆº¤ BOL continued to conduct a combined monetary policy framework by using indirect ´õÀ¤ò−ª¾ê¾¤ºÉº´À¯ñ−ªí−£õ: ¦õ®ªÒ»ñ¡¦¾ºñ©ª¾ monetary instruments such as BOL policy ©º¡À®É¨¢º¤ªö−Ä쨽®ÒÀ¡ó− 7 ¸ñ− Ã−ºñ©ª¾ rate with maturity less than 7 days at 5 5%; »ñ¡¦¾ºñ©ª¾À¤ò−Á»±¾¡®ñ¤£ñ® 5% ¦¿ìñ® percent, reserve requirement ratio at 5 percent À¤ò−¡ó® Áì½ 10% ¦¿ìñ®À¤ò−ª¾ªÈ¾¤¯½Àê©; ¦õ® for Kip and 10 percent for foreign currency, ªÒ§÷¡¨øÉùɪ½Í¾©À¯ó© À£ˆº−ŸμȾ¤Á¢¤Á»¤ continued to actively promote the open market operations by issuing BOL securities ©É¸¨¡¾−¦õ®ªÒºº¡²ñ−ê½®ñ© ê¹ì; Áì½ ©¿À−ó− and conducted Repo and outright operations 1
6.
¡¾−©ñ©¦ö´¦½²¾®£Èº¤©É¾−ÁÍȤêô−ùÉì½®ö®ê½
for banking system for the liquidity purpose. −¾£¾−μȾ¤À¯ñ−¯ö¡¡½ªò©É¸¨¡¾−§œŒ¢¾¨±¾¡ In addition, BOL continued to pursue a Áì½ §œŒ¢¾¨¢¾©Âª²ñ−ê½®ñ©. market-oriented exchange rate regime ²Éº´¡ñ−−˜−¡ðúĩɦõ®ªÒ¯½ªò®ñ©−½Â¨®¾¨ (managed floating system) by setting a daily ºñ©ª¾Á졯ȼ−ª¾´¡ö−Ä¡ª½Í¾©´ó¡¾−£÷É´£º¤ reference rate and intervened in the foreign ¢º¤ìñ©©É¸¨-¡¾−-¡¿−ö©ºñ©ª¾Á졯ȼ−ºÉ¾¤-ºó¤-¯½ exchange market whenever necessary; BOL continued to deregulate foreign exchange ¥¿-¸ñ−, ©ñ©¦ö´-ª½¹ù¾©À´ˆº-À¹ñ−-¸È¾-¥¿-À¯ñ−êñ¤-¦õ® trading to public and continued to implement ªÒ°Èº−£¾¨-ì½®¼®-¡¾−-§œŒ¢¾¨-À¤ò−ª¾- ùÉ-Á¡È-¦ñ¤ foreign currency management policy and Kip £ö´ -Áì½ ¦õ®ªÒ-£÷É´-£º¤-À¤ò−ª¾-ªÈ¾¤¯½-Àê© -Áì½ promotion; increasingly encouraged and ¦‰¤-À¦ó´-¡¾−-−¿-çÉ-À¤ò−-¡ó®μȾ¤-ªÒ-À−ˆº¤. À¯ó©-¡¸É¾¤ supported payment through banking system Áì½ §÷¡¨øÉ-¦‰¤-À¦ó´-¡¾−-§¿ì½-°È¾−-ì½®ö®-ê½−¾ and encouraged private sector to expand their exchange bureaus to facilitate foreign £¾−ùÉ-¹ì¾¨-¢›− ແລະ §÷¡¨øÉ-ùɲ¾¡¦È¸−Àº¡½ exchange for the public. §ö−¢½¹¨¾¨»É¾−-Á졯ȼ−--À²†´-¢›−- À²ˆº-º¿−¸¨- £¸¾´-¦½©¸¡-Ã−-¡¾−-Á졯ȼ−-À¤ò−ª¾-Á¡È-¦ñ¤£ö´. On commercial banks supervision, BOL ສືບຕໍ່ §÷¡¨øÉùÉê½−¾£¾−ê÷콡ò© À²†´ê½ continued to encourage commercial banks to mobilize more deposits by setting interest ¸ó¡¾−콩ö´À¤ò−±¾¡ ©É¸¨-¡¾−-¯ñ®¯÷¤-ºñ©ª¾-©º¡- rates in line with domestic context, À®É¨-ùÉ-ÀϾ½¦ö´-¡ñ®-¦½²¾®-À¦©«½¡ò©-²¾¨-Ã− - international and regional trends; providing Áì½ êȾ-ºÈ¼¤¢º¤-¦¾¡-ö−-Áì½²¾¡²œ−; ´ó°½ìò©ª½ diversified deposit accounts, improved and ²ñ−-À¤ò−-±¾¡ê†-¹ì¾¡-¹ì¾¨,- ¯ñ®¯÷¤- Áì½ ¢½¹¨¾¨ expanded commercial banks’ network ª¾ÎȾ¤®ðìò¡¾− ¢º¤ ê½−¾£¾−ê÷콡ò© ìö¤-»º©- accessible to district levels, improved service channels to provide a prompt and modern ¢˜−-À´õº¤, ¯ñ®¯÷¤-¡ö−-Ä¡-¡¾−-®ðìò¡¾−-ùÉ-¦½©¸¡¦½ financial service gradually. In order to ®¾¨¡È¸¾À¡‰¾ -Áì½ ¹ñ−-¦øÈ-êñ−-¦½-ÄÏ-Àꈺ-ì½-¡É¾¸. support long-term fund mobilization, BOL ²Éº´¡ñ−−˜−, À²ˆº¦‰¤À¦ó´¡¾−콩ö´êô−Ä쨽 paid special attention to create necessary ¨¾¸, ທຫລ ກໍ-úÄ©É-Àº-ö¾-Ã¥-æÈ-¦É¾¤-À¤ˆº−-Ä¢-ê†-¥¿-À¯ñ− - conditions conducive to the timely launch of the stock market and the market officially Áì½ »º®©É¾−-À²ˆº-ùÉ-ª½Í¾©-Íñ¡-§®-¦¾´¾©-À¯ó©- ñ began its trading in January 2011 with two À£ˆº−-Ÿ-êñ−ª¾-´¡¿-−ö©-À¸ì¾ -Áì½ -Ä©É-´ó-¡¾−- companies listed in the Lao securities À¯ó©§œŒ¢¾¨-»÷É−-μȾ¤-À¯ñ−-꾤-¡¾−- Ã−-À©õº−´ñ¤¡º− - exchange. The trading of securities was ¯ó 2011 ໂດຍ´ó¦º¤®ðìò¦ñ©À¢í¾¥ö©ê½®¼− -Áì½ launched smoothly, drawing a lot interests for ¡¾−--§œŒ¢¾¨-ªö¸-¥ò¤-μøÈ-Ã−-ª½Í¾© -´ó-£¸¾´-À¯ñ−-ì½ Lao and foreign investors. As a result, total stock trading was amounted to 301.49 million ®¼®-»¼®»Éº¨, ¦É¾¤-£¸¾´-¦ö−-Ã¥-Á¡È-−ñ¡-ìö¤êô−-ê¤- ñ Kip in 2011. ²¾¨-Ã−- Áì½ ªÈ¾¤¯½-Àê© §‡¤-´ó-´−-£È¾-¡¾−-§œŒ¢¾¨ ø 301,49 ªœ¡® -Ã−-¯ó 2011. ó In addition, BOL continued to create a favorable condition for commercial banks to 2
7.
້
ນອກຈາກນີ, ¡Òĩɦõ®ªÒ¦¾¤¦½²¾®Á¸© É provide credits to companies or projects with ìɺ´ê†©ó-ùÉê½−¾£¾−ê÷콡ò© -À¯ñ−-À¥í¾-¡¾−-¯Èº¨ efficient operations by focusing on the improvement of regulatory framework, loan ¦ò−-À§ˆºÃ¹ÉÁ¡È£¤¡¾−ꆴ󯽦ò©êò°ö− -©¨-¦´-æÈ- ÷ approval mechanism and procedures to ¡¾−¯ñ®¯÷¤-ì½®¼®, ¡ö−-Ä¡ Áì½ ¢˜−ªº−-¡¾−-²ò¥¾ provide a better access for entrepreneurs, ì½−¾-À¤ò−-¡øÉ À²ˆº-ùÉ-°øÉ-¯½¡º®-¡¾−-À¢í¾¹¾-Á¹-ìȤ introduced a scheme of using productive êô−-Ä©É-¤È¾¨-¢›−; −¿-çÉ-£¤¡¾−-À¤ò−¡øÉ-ê†-´ó-¯½¦ò©-êò - projects as loan collateral. Furthermore, BOL paid attention to transforming the commercial °ö−-À¯ñ−¹ìñ¡§ñ®£Õ¯½¡ñ−-À¤ò−-¡øÉ.- - - - Àºö¾-Ã¥--æÈ-£í− bank supervision to comply with the £¸É¾À²ˆº-¹ñ−-¡¾−-£÷É´-£º¤-ê½−¾£¾−-ê÷ì½-¡ò©-ª¾´- prudential principles of CAMELs, Basel I and ¹ìñ¡¡¾− CAMELs -Áì½ Basel I -į-¦øÈ-¡¾−-£÷É´- Basel II respectively. On the supervision of £º¤-£¸¾´-¦È¼¤ª¾´-¹ìñ¡¡¾− Basel II. ¦È¸−-¡¾−- financial institutions, the BOL focused on £÷É´£º¤-¦½-«¾-®ñ−-¡¾−-À¤ò−-Á´È−-Ä©É-¦÷´-æÈ-¦É¾¤-−òªò- - formulating the regulatory framework and keeping a close watch on the operations of ¡¿- Áì½ ¡¸©¡¾-ªò©ª¾´-¡¾−-À£ˆº−-Ÿ-¢º¤-®ñ− - - financial institutions under auspices of the ©¾-¦½-«¾-®ñ−-¡¾−-À¤ò−- μøÈ-²¾¨-êÉ-¡¾−-£÷É´-£º¤¢º¤ BOL. ê¹ì μȾ¤-À¯ñ−-¯ö¡¡½ªò. °È¾−-¡¾−¥ñ©ª˜¤¯½ªò®ñ©-−½Â¨®¾¨ê†¦º© Upon the implementation of appropriate policies and prompt actions as mentioned £Èº¤ Áì½ -Á¡É-Ä¢-êñ−-¡ñ®-¦½²¾®-¡¾−£õ-©„¤¡È¾¸-−˜−, - above, BOL could contribute in its part to ²¸¡-À»ö¾-¥‡¤¦¾´¾© ¯½¡º®¦È¸−§÷¡¨ø-ÉùÉÀ¦©«½ maintain a sustained economic growth rate at ¡ò©¢½¹¨¾¨ªö¸-μȾ¤-ªÒ-À−ˆº¤-Ã−-ºñ©ª¾ 8% ì¾¨Ä©É 8 percent, lifting GDP per capita from US$ GDP -ªÒ-¹ö¸-£ö− -À²†´-¢›− 1.281 ©-ì¾-¦½¹½ìñ© - 1.281 in 2010 to US$ 1.076 in 2011. Average ¥¾¡ 1-.076 -©-ì¾-¦½¹½ìñ©-Ã−-¯ó 2010, ºñ©ª¾ annual inflation rate was able to maintain with a single digit at 7.58 percent, the rate À¤ò−À³š¦½ÀìȨÏö©¯óμøÈ-Ã−-콩ñ®Î‡¤ªö¸-Àì¡ 7,58% which is lower than GDP growth rate as Áì½ ªÔ-¡¸È¾-¡¾−-¢½¹¨¾¨ªö¸-¢º¤-À¦© «½¡ò©. targeted. -¯½ìò´¾−-À¤ò− M2 -À²†´-¢›−-Ã−-콩ñ®-ê†-£¸®- £÷´-Ä©É 25,2%, À¤ò−-¡ó®-Á¢¤-£È¾ 2,93% ê¼®-©-ì¾- Money supply (M2) was able to maintain at manageable levels at 25.2 percent, ¦½¹½ìñ©, ÁªÈºÈº−£È¾ 1,36%- ê¼®-æÈ-À¤ò−-®¾© exchange rate Kip/US$ was appreciated by ê¼®-¡ñ®¯ó 2010; £ñ¤-¦¿»º¤-À¤ò−ª¾-ªÈ¾¤¯½-Àêດ¦¾ 2.93 percent, while Kip depreciated against ´¾©-¡÷É´-¡¾−-−¿-À¢í¾Ä©É 3,4 -À©õº−, ì½®ö®ê½−¾ - Thai Baht by 1.36 percent compared to 2010. £¾−-¦õ®-ªÒ-¢½¹¨¾¨ªö¸ -Áì½ ´ó-£¸¾´Ï˜−£ö¤, -À¤ò−- The level of foreign reserve could cover more ±¾¡¢º¤-ê½−¾£¾−-ê÷ì½-¡ò© À²†´¢›− 24,33%- than 3.4 months of imports of goods. The banking system continued to expand and À´ˆºê¼®-æÈ-êɾ¨¯ó 2010 Àꉾ¡ñ® 35,82% ¢º¤ remained financially sound. The total deposits GDP. ¦ò−À§ˆº¢º¤-ê½−¾£¾−-ê÷ì½-¡ò©Ã¹ÉÁ¡È²¾¡ of commercial banks continued to rise by ¦È¸−À¦©«½¡ò© À²†´¢›− 37,90%- Àꉾ¡ñ® 24.33 percent or represented 35.82 percent of 28,28% ¢º¤ GDP. GDP compared to 2010. The total loan 3
8.
Ã−-¯ó 2012 £¾©¸È¾êȾºÈ¼¤¢º¤À¦©«½¡ò©-
provided by the entire commercial banks to Â졨ñ¤¦õ®ªÒ´ó¦†¤êɾ꾨ùÉÁ¡È¡¾−²ñ©ê½−¾À¦© the economy rose by 37.90 percent and represented 28.28 percent of GDP. «½¡ò©Œ¦ñ¤£ö´¢º¤¯½Àê©À»ö¾ À¯ñ−ªí−®ñ−¹¾Îš ¦ò−, -ì¾£¾-−Õ´ñ−, ì¾£¾-£¿, ì¾£¾-¦½®¼¤º¾ In 2012, it is anticipated that the ¹¾−, ì¾£¾»÷É− -Áì½ ºñ©ª¾-Á졯ȼ−¨ñ¤¥½¦õ®ªÒ outlook of global economy continues to pose °ñ−°¸−. À«ò¤μȾ¤Ã©¡ðª¾´, ê¹ì ¥½¦õ®ªÒ»ñ¡¦¾ various challenges to Lao socio-economic development such as: uncertainty in oil, gold, ¦½«¼−ì½²¾®À¤ò−ª¾Á¹È¤§¾© ùÉϘ−êȼ¤¨¾¸ foodstuff, stock prices and the fluctuation of −¾−©É¸¨¡¾−¯ñ®¯÷¤ Áì½ ²ñ©ê½−¾®ñ−©¾À£ˆº¤´õ exchange rate. Nevertheless, BOL will strive −½Â¨®¾¨À¤ò−ª¾Ã¹É´ó£¸¾´¹ì¾¡¹ì¾¨ ²Éº´ to maintain monetary stability in the long run êñ¤¦É¾¤¡ö−Ä¡¡¾−¥ñ©ª˜¤¯½ªò®ñ© ùɦº©£Èº¤¡ñ® by improving and developing a variety of ¦½²¾®À¦©«½¡ò©¢º¤¯½Àê©À»ö¾; ¥½¦õ®ªÒ−¿Ã§É monetary instruments, together with creating an appropriate operation mechanism in line −½Â¨®¾¨ºñ©ª¾Á졯ȼ−ª¾´¡ö−Ä¡ª½¹ù¾©ê†´ó with Lao economic condition. The BOL will ¡¾−£÷É´£º¤¢º¤ìñ©; ¦õ®ªÒ£÷É´£º¤¡½Á¦À¤ò−ª¾ continue to pursue a market oriented À¢í¾Œºº¡¯½Àê© Áì½ ¦‰¤À¦ó´¡¾−−¿Ã§ÉÀ¤ò−¡ó® exchange rate regime, monitor closely the μȾ¤Á¢¤Á»¤, ¯ñ®¯÷¤¡¾−®ðìò¡¾−ùÉêñ−¦½ÄÏ inflows and outflows of capital and intensify its campaign to promote the use of Kip, Áì½ ¢½¹¨¾¨ª¾Îú¾¤¡¾−®ðìò¡¾−ùÉꉸÀ«ò¤ continue to improve financial service and Áì½ §÷¡¨øɦ‰¤À¦ó´¡¾−§¿ລ½Â©¨®ÒçÉÀ¤ò−¦ö©μȾ¤ expand its network and promote the non-cash Á¢¤Á»¤, À²†´ê½¸ó¡¾−£÷É´£º¤ Áì½ ¡¸©¡¾ payment means through banking system, ê½−¾£¾−ê÷콡ò© Áì½ ¦½«¾®ñ−¡¾−À¤ò−ùɴó strengthen the bank supervision and £¸¾´Ï˜−£ö¤ Áì½ ¯º©Ä². examination on commercial banks and financial institution to be financially sound and secured. °øÉ-¸È¾¡¾−- ê½−¾£¾−Á¹È¤ ¦¯¯ 쾸 Governor of the Bank of the Lao PDR 4
9.
ª¾ª½ì¾¤êó 1: ªö¸Àì¡-§š-®º¡-À¦©-«½-¡ò©-ê†-¦¿-£ñ−¢º¤
¦¯¯ 쾸 Table 1: Selected Key Economic Indicators of the Lao PDR p 쾨¡¾− 2008 2009 2010 2011 Items ¢½ÁΤ¡¾−°½ìò© (- %) Real Sector (in percent) ºñ©ª¾¡¾−¢½¹¨¾¨ªö¸¢º¤ì¸´¨º©°½ìò©ª½²ñ− 7.5 7.5 8.1 8.0 GDP growth rate ²¾¨Ã−ª¾´ì¾£¾¯ó 2002 (GDP) GDP at (constant price 2002) ºñ©ª¾À¤ò−À³šêɾ¨¯ó 3.17 3.92 5.76 7.70 Inflation rate (End of Period) ºñ©ª¾À¤ò−À³š¦½Àìú¨-Ã-−¯ó 7.63 0.03 5.98 7.58 Annual inflation rate (average) ¡¾−À¤ò−¢º¤ìñ©ê¼®Ã¦È GDP (%) 2007/2008 2008/2009 2009/2010 2010/2011 Public Finance in % of GDP 쾨»ñ®¤ö®¯½´¾−츴êñ¤À¤ò−§È¸¨ÀÍõºìɾ 17.43 17.58 22.31 22.24 Revenues and grants 쾨»ñ®²¾¨Ã− 14.56 15.12 15.73 16.30 Revenues À¤ò−§È¸¨ÀÍõºìɾ 2.87 2.46 6.57 5.94 Grants 츴¨º©ì¾¨¥È¾¨ Áì½Ã¹É¡øÉμõ´¦÷©êò 20.50 21.00 24.57 24.16 Total expenditures and net lending 쾨¥È¾¨®ðìò¹¾−ꉸį 12.27 13.85 12.73 12.63 Current expenditures 쾨¥È¾¨ìö¤êô− Áì½Ã¹É¡øÉμõ´¦÷©êò 8.44 7.0 11.8 11.52 Capital and On-lending net ©÷È−©È¼¤ì¸´ -3.07 -3.42 -2.3 -1.79 Overall cash balance ©÷È−©È¼¤ì¸´ ꆮÒ−ñ®À¤ò−§È¸¨ÀÍõºìɾ -6.1 -5.87 -8.9 -7.73 Overall Cash Balance (Excl grants) ¢½ÁΤÀ¤ò−ª¾ (%) 2008 2009 2010 2011 Monetary Sector (in percent) ºñ©ª¾¡¾−À²†´¢›−¢º¤¯½ìò´¾−À¤ò−êɾ¨¯ó (%) 18.31 31.23 39.13 25.2 Annual growth rate of Money Supply M2 ¢½ÁΤ¡¾−À¤ò−ªÈ¾¤¯½Àê©ê¼®Ã¦È GDP (%) 2008 2009 2010 2011 External Sector in % of GDP ©÷−¡¾−§¿ì½¡ñ®ªÈ¾¤¯½Àê© 1.90 -0.07 1.61 -0.74 Overall Balance ©÷−¡¾−§¿ì½À¤ò−¯ö¡¡½ªò츴êñ¤À¤ò−º−¢º¤ìñ© 1.71 -1.09 0.46 -1.94 Current Account Balance (Including Official Transfers) ©÷−¡¾−§¿ì½À¤ò−¯ö¡¡½ªò®Ò츴Àºö¾À¤ò−º−¢º¤ìñ© 0.25 -2.8 -1.24 -3.87 Current Account Balance (Excluding Official Transfers) ©÷−¡¾−£É¾ -5.89 -7.30 -4.90 -7.34 Trade Balance ©÷−®ñ−§óêô− Áì½ ¡¾−À¤ò− 8.14 11.52 6.27 6.01 Capital and Financial Accounts ´ø−£È¾¡¾−£É¾ 47.20 44.92 59.39 55.16 Foreign Trade Volume ¨º©Îš¦ò−ªÈ¾¤¯½Àê© 48.50 48.15 43.72 38.56 Stock of External Debts Á¹ìú¤¢Ó´ø−: ¡ö´¦½«òªò-À¦©«½¡ò©, ¦ø−¦½«òª-Á¹È¤-§¾© - ò Source: Department of Economic Statistics, Lao statistics Bureau ¡½§¸¤-Á°−¡¾− -Áì½- ¡¾−-ìö¤êô− Ministry of Planning and Investment, ê½−¾£¾− -Á¹È¤ ¦¯¯ 쾸 Bank of the Lao PDR 5
10.
I. ¦½²¾®À¦©«½¡ò©¢º¤ ¦¯¯
쾸. I. Lao Economic Performance Ã−¯ó 2011 À«ò¤Á´ú−¸È¾¦½²¾®Á¸©ìɺ´ Despite the domestic and international êñ¤²¾¨Ã− Áì½ ¦¾¡ö−ĩɯ½À§ó−¡ñ®¦òú¤êɾ꾨 environments were faced with various challenges, Lao economic performance ;¨μȾ¤¡Òª¾´, ¦½²¾®À¦©«½¡ò©¢º¤ ¦¯¯ì¾¸ continued to depict high and sustained ©¨ì¸´¨ñ¤¦õ®ªÒ¢½¹¨¾¨ªö¸¦ø¤ Áì½ ªÒÀ−ˆº¤, growth, achieving at 8.0 percent (Figure 1). ºñ©ª¾¡¾−¢½¹¨¾¨ªö¸ GDP ®ñ−ì÷Ä©É 8,0% The total value of GDP expressed in constant (À®…¤»ø®êó1). 츴¨º© GDP £ò©ÄìȪ¾´ì¾£¾ price stood at 34,033.74 billion Kip while total value of GDP in current price stood at £ö¤êóú ´ó´ø−£È¾ 34.033,74 ªœ¡ó®, ¦È¸− GDP £ò© 65,689.69 billion Kip (Table 2), which ÄìȪ¾´ì¾£¾ ¯½¥÷®ñ− ´ó´ø−£È¾ 65.689,69 ªœ¡ó® resulted in GDP per capita income rose from (À®…¤ª¾ª½ 쾤êó 2), À»ñ©Ã¹É쾨ĩɦ½ÀìȨªÒ 1,076 US dollar in 2010 to 1,281 US dollar in ¹ö¸£ö− À²†´¢›− ¥¾¡ 1.076 ©쾦½¹½ìñ© Ã−¯ó 2011. 2010 ´¾À¯ñ− 1.281 ©쾦½¹½ìñ© Ã−¯ó 2011. The key factors boosting the expansion and strong growth of Lao economy were ¯ñ©-Ã¥¦¿£ñ−ꆨøÉ-Á»¤Ã¹ÉÀ¦©«½¡ò©-¢º¤ mainly driven by industrial sector, which ¦¯¯ 쾸 ¨ñ¤-Á´È−-¢½-ÁΤ-¡¾−-º÷©-¦¾-¹½¡¿- ªí− includes mining, electricity and manufac- ªð-Á´È−-¢½-ÁΤ-¡¾−-®Ò-Á»È, -²½ìñ¤¤¾−-ij³É¾ -Áì½ turing; followed by service and agriculture º÷©¦¾¹½¡¿-¯÷¤-ÁªÈ¤ »º¤-ìö¤-´¾-Á´È−-¢½-ÁΤ-¡¾−- sectors. Also, due to conducive conditions ®ðìò¡¾− Áì½ ¡½¦ò¡¿. ²Éº´-¡ñ−-−− ¨Éº− ¦¯¯ ˜ created by Lao PDR, the large increase in domestic and foreign investments had ì-¾¸ ´ó¦½²¾®-À¤ˆº−-Ä¢-ê†-Àºœºº¿-−¸¨ À»ñ©-ùû´ó - supported the growth. In addition, large ¡¾−-ìö¤êô−êñ¤-²¾¨-Ã− Áì½ ªÈ¾¤¯½-Àê© À²†´¢›− amount of fund contributed by the banking −º¡−š¡Ò´ó¡¾−-¯½¡º®¦È¸−꾤©É¾−ÁÍȤêô−;¨ system also help to boost the production ¦ö´£¸−¢º¤ ¢½ÁΤ¡¾−ê½−¾£¾−Ã−¡¾−§÷¡¨øÉ sector of economy such as: manufacturing- business sectors, construction and others ²œ−«¾−À¦©«½¡ò©À¯ñ−ªí−-,¢½-ÁΤ-¡¾−-°½ìò©Œê÷ (Figure 1). ì½-¡©, ¡¾−-¡Ò¦É¾¤ -Áì½ ºˆ−Å (-À®…¤-»ø®êó 1) ò 1. ¢½ÁΤ¡½¦ò¡¿ 1. Agriculture Agricultural sector slightly decreased Ã−--¯ó 2011, ¢½-ÁΤ-¡½¦ò¡¿¢½¹¨¾¨ªö¸ from 3.19 percent in 2010 to 2.66 percent in ÍЩìö¤ ¥¾¡ 3,19% -Ã−-¯ó 2010 ´¾-À¯ñ− 2,66%, 2011 with the total value of 9,566.57 billion ©¨´ó´ø−-£È¾-êñ¤-Ïö©-®ñ−ì÷-Ä©É 9.566,57 ªœ-¡ó® -Áì½ Kip and represented 28.11 percent of GDP ¡¸´-Àºö¾ 28,11% -¢º¤ GDP (À®…¤»ø®-êó 2). (Figure 2). The main sector driven the rise in ¢½ÁΤ¡¾−ꆲ¾Ã¹ÉÀ²†´¢›−Á´È− ¡¾−¯½´ö¤ agricultural sector was fishery increased 5,14 percent and represented 3.28 percent of À²†´¢›− 5,14% Áì½ ¡¸´-Àºö¾ 3,28% ¢º¤ GDP, agriculture–livestock, which rose by GDP, ¡¾−¯ø¡±ñ¤ Áì½ ìɼ¤¦ñ© À²†´¢›− 4,92% - 4.92 percent and represented 22.69 percent of 6
11.
GDP while
P, »®êó 1: ¡¾−¢ »ø ¢½¹¨¾¨ªö¸¢º¤-À¦©«½¡ò© ¡ò Figure 1 GDP Gro 1: owth Rate 10.00% 9.00% 8.66% 8.10% 8 8.00% 8.00% 7.50 0% 7.50% 6.87% 7.02% 77% 6.7 6.83% 7.00% 6.21% % 6.00% 5.00% 4.00% 3.00% 2.00% 1.00% 0.00% 2002 2003 3 2004 20 005 2006 2007 200 08 2009 2010 2 2011 Á¹ìȤ¢Ó´ø−: ¡ö´¦½«òªòÀ¦©«½¡ò©, ¦ø−¦½«òªòÁ¹È¤§¾© Source: Depart © tment of Econom Statistics, Lao statistics Bureau mic ¡½§¸¤-Á°−¡¾− -Áì½- ¡¾−-ìö¤êô− − stry of Planning and Investment Minis -À§…¤ ¡¸´-Àºö¾ 22,69% ¢º¤ GDP, à ¢½−½-ꆢ½- ¢ Ã−- estry sector dropped by 18.78 perc and fore y cent ÁΤ¯È¾-Ä´É -ÍЩìö¤ 18,78% -Áì½ -¡¸´-Àºö¾²¼ ¼¤ repre esented 2.14 percent o GDP. of 2,14% ¢º¤ GDP. ¤ »ø®êó 2 ¡¾−¢½¹¨ 2: ¨¾¨ªö¸¢º¤¢ ¢½ÁΤ¡½¦ò¡¿ ¦ò Figure 2: Growth of Ag F griculture 35.00% 32.41% 31.46% 31.00 0% 8.82% 28 30.00% 28.11% 25.00% 20.00% 15.63% 15.00% 10.00% 3.72% 2.83% 3.19% 2.66% 5.00% 0.00% 2007 2008 2009 2010 2 2011 ºñ©ª¾¦È¸−¢½ÁΤ¡ ¡¿ªÒ GDP (Agri ¡½¦ò icultural Componen of GDP) nt ºñ©ª¾¡¾−¢½¹¨¾¨ ¸¢½ÁΤ¡½¦ò¡¿ ( ¨ªö (Growth Rate of Ag griculture) Á¹ìȤ¢Ó´ø−: ¡ö´¦½ ªòÀ¦©«½¡ò©, ¦ø− ½«ò −¦½«òªòÁ¹È¤§¾© Source: Depar rtment of Econom Statistics, Lao statistics Bureau mic o u ¡½§¸¤-Á°−¡¾− -Áì½- ¡¾−-ìö¤êô− Mini istry of Planning and Investment 7
12.
2. ¢½ÁΤº÷©¦¾¹½¡
¡¿ 2. Industr . ry Industri sector co ial ontinued to grow but Ã−-¯ó 2011, ¢½-ÁΤº÷©¦¾¹½ ¢½¹¨¾¨ Á ½¡¿- ¨ lowe than las year, wh er st hich was d decreased ªö¸-ÍЩìö¤ ¥ ¥¾¡ 17,49% -Ã−-¯ó 201 ´¾-À¯ñ− - - - % 10 from 17.49 per m rcent in 2010 to 14.62 percent 2 14,62%, -©¨´ó´ø−-£È¾-ê¤-Ïö©-®ñ−ì÷Ä 9.345,24 ñ Ä©É - in 2 2011. Tot tal value was amou unted to 9,3445.24 billio Kip and represented 27.46 on d ªœ-¡ó® -¡¸´-Àºö¾ 27,46% ¢º¤ GDP (-À®…¤»ø®-êó 3) ). perccent of G GDP (Figu ure 3), of which Ã−-−˜−, ¢½ÁΤº÷-©¦¾-¹½¡¿-ij³É¾ -Áì½ −Õ-¯½ ¹ electtricity and water sup pply sector rose by ¯¾ -À²†´-¢›− 29,53% -Áì½ ¡¸´-Àºö¾ 4,84% ¢º - ì º¤- 29.5 percent a represen 53 and nted 4.84 p percent of GDP, ¡¾−¡Ò¦É¾¤ -À²†´-¢›− 24,83% -Áì½ ¡¸´ −- % ´- GDP construct P, tion rose by 24.83 per y rcent and Àºö¾ 6,07% ¢º¤ GDP ¢½-ÁΤº÷©¦¾¹½¡¿-¯÷ % P, ¯¤- repreesented 6.0 percent of GDP, m 07 manufac- turin rose by 9.73 perce and rep ng ent presented ÁªÈ¤ -À²†´-¢− 9,73% -Áì½ ¡¸´-Àºö¾ 9,58% ¢º › ì º¤ 9.58 percent of GDP, mi 8 ining and qquarrying GDP, ¢½-Á ÁΤ®Ò-Á»È Áì½- ¡¾−¢÷©£í− À²†´-¢›− Á ©- rose by 5.16 percent an represen nd nted 6.97 5,16% ¡¸´Àºö¾ 6,97% ¢º¤ GDP (-À®…¤-ª¾ª½ ´- % perc of GDP (Table 2). cent P 쾤 2). »ø®êó 3: ¡¾ ¾−¢½¹¨¾¨ªö¸¢º¤¢½ÁÎ ©¦¾¹½ ªö Τº÷ ½¡¿ Figure 3: Gr F rowth of Ind dustry 30 0.00% 28.04% % 27 7.46% 26 6.73% 25 5.00% 23.82% 21.61% 20 0.00% 15 5.00% 18.48% 17.49% 14 4.62% 10 0.00% 10.42% 5.00% 5 6.83% 6 0.00% 0 2007 2 2008 2009 2010 0 2011 ºñ©ª¾¦¸−¢½ÁΤº÷©¦¾¹½ ¦È ½¡¿ªÒ GDP (Industr Component of G rial GDP) ºñ©ª¾¡ ¡¾−¢½¹¨¾¨ªö¸º÷©¦ ¦¾¹½¡¿ (Growth Ra of Industry) ate Á¹ìȤ¢Ó´ø−: ¡ö´¦½«òªÀ¦©«½¡ò©, ¦ø−¦½«òªòÁ¹È¤§¾© À ò «ò So ource: Department of Economic Sta t atistics, Lao statistics Bureau ¡½§¸ Á°−¡¾− -Áì½- ¡¾−-ìö¤êô− ¸¤- ¡ Ministry o Planning and I of Investment 3. ¢½ÁΤ®ðìò¡¾− 3. Service . e Ã−-¯ó 2011, ¢½-ÁΤ-¡¾−®ðìò¡ Á ¡¾−¢½¹¨¾-¨ - In 2011, service se , ector expanded from ªö¸-À²†´-¢›− ¥¾¡ 6,95% ´¾-À¯ñ− 8, % ,06%, -´ø−-£È¾ 6.95 percent t 8.06 pe 5 to ercent commpared to 2010 which was amou 0, unted of 112,959.83 êñ¤-Ïö© -®ñ−ì-Ä©É 12.959 ì÷ 9,83 ªœ-¡ó® -Á Áì½ ¡¸´-Àºö¾ billio Kip and represente 38.08 percent of on d ed 8
13.
38,08% ¢º GDP
(-À®…¤-»ø®-êó 4). Ã−-−˜−, ¡¾− º¤ −- GDP (Figure 4 of whic financia service P 4), ch al ®ðìò¡¾−-©¾−¡¾−-À¤ò− É −- -À²†´-¢›− 12 2,26%- -Áì½ rose by 12.26 percent an represen nd nted 3.55 perc cent of GD wholesa DP, ale- retail t trade and ¡¸´-Àº-ö¾ 3,55% ¢º¤ GDP; ¡¾−-¢¾¨¨ö¡Œ¢¾¨ ¨ repa rose by 8.66 percent and rep airs y presented ¨Èº¨ -Áì½ ¡¾−-¦Éº´-Á¯¤ -À²†´-¢›− 8,66% -Áì½ ¯ 19.32 percent of GDP, h hotel and r restaurant ¡¸´-Àºö¾ 19,32% ¢º¤ GDP; » Á»´ -Áì½- »¤- rose by 13.83 percent an represen nd nted 0.71 »É¾−-º¾¹¾− -À²†´-¢›− 13,83% -Áì ¡¸´-Àºö¾ − ì½ perc cent of GDP public s P, service rose by 5.92 e perc cent or repr resented 7.4 percent of GDP, 43 0,71% ¢º GDP; ¡¾−-®ðìò¡¾−-¢º¤²¾¡-ìñ© - º¤ ¡ - trans sport, warehouse, po and c ost communi- À²†´-¢›− 5,92% -Áì½ ¡¸´-Àºö¾ 7,43% ¢º º¤ catio rose by 8.52 perce and rep on ent presented GDP; ¡¾−-¢ö−-¦‰¤, ¦¾¤, į¦½−ó -Áì Âêì½£ö´ ì½- 4.78 percent of GDP, com 8 f mmunity so ocial and ´½−¾£ö´ À²†´¢›− 8,52% -Áì½ ¡¸´Àºö¾ 4,78% ²† ´- % personal servic rose by 7.53 per ce y rcent and ¢º¤ GDP; ¡¾−-®ìò¡¾−-´¸−-§ö− ð §ö -À²†´-¢›− esented 1.67 percent of GDP, private repre t housseholds wit employe persons rose by th ed 7,53% -Áì½ ¡¸´-Àºö¾ 1,67% ¢º¤ GDP; ¡¾− ½ ¤ −- 5.28 percent an represen 8 nd nted 0.68 ppercent of ¸È¾-¥É¾¤-²¾¨-Ã−-£ö¸-À»õº− À²†´¢›− 5 - 5,28% -Áì½ GDP and fin P nancial lea asing and business ¡¸´-Àºö¾ 0 0,68% ¢º¤ GDP Áì ¡¾−-À§‰¾-§œ ì½ service rose by 7.95 perc y cent and rep presented Áì½ ¡¾−-®ðìò¡¾−-ê÷ì½-¡ò© - -À²†´-¢›− 7,95% Áì½ - ¡ò ½ 2.98 percent of GDP (Tabl 2). 8 f le ¡¸´-Àºö¾ 2,98% ¢º¤ GDP (-À®…¤-ª¾ G ¾ª½ì¾¤-êó 2) ). »ø®êó 4: ¡¾−¢½¹¨¾ ¸¢º¤¢½ÁΤ®ðìò¡¾ : ¾¨ªö ¾− Figure 4: G Growth of Se ervices 45.00% 4 % 39.03% 38.4 49% 38.09% 3 38.08% 40.00% 4 35.23% 35.00% 3 30.00% 3 25.00% 2 20.00% 2 15.00% 1 11.2 27% 12.40% 1 10.00% 1 6.95% 8.06% 6.02% 5.00% 0.00% 2007 2008 2009 201 10 2011 ºñ© ©ª¾¡¾−¢½¹¨¾¨ªö¸ ¸¢½ÁΤ®ðìò¡¾− (Gr rowth Rate of Servi ices) ºñ© ©ª¾¦È¸−¢½ÁΤ®ðìò¡ ¡¾−ªÒ GDP (Services Component of G GDP) Á¹ì¤¢Ó´ø−: ¡ö´¦½«òªòÀ¦©«½¡ò©, ¦ø−¦½ ªòÁ¹È¤§¾© ìÈ ªò ½«ò Source: Departmen of Economic Statistics, Lao stat nt tistics Bureau ¡½§ Á°−¡¾− -Áì½ ¡¾−-ìö¤êô− §¸¤- ½- Ministry of Planning and Investment 9
14.
4. ¡¾−-¯¼−-Á¯¤-£¤-¯½-¡º®-¢º¤ GDP
È ¯ ¤ 4. Change in GDP Compone . es ents £¤-¯½ ½¡º®-¢º¤ GDP Ã−-¯ó 20 G 011, ¢½-ÁΠΤ- In 2011, the service sector was a major e share of GDP compone P ent, accou unted for ¡¾−-®ðìò¡¾− − ¨ñ¤¡¸´-ºñ©ª¾-¦È¸−-ù - ºñ ¹¨È §‡¤¡¸´ ´- 38.0 percent of GDP ro by 1.82 percent 08 ose 2 38,08% ¢ ¢º¤ GDP À²†´¢›−- 1 1,82% ¥¾¡ ¡ from 37.25 pe m ercent in 2010; folloowed by 37,25% -à ¯ó 2010, »º¤-ìö¤-´¾Á´È−-¢½-ÁÎ Ã−- ¾- Τ agric culture sec ctor with a share o 27.46 of ¡½¦ò¡¿ ¡¸´- 27,46% ¹ì÷©-ìö¤ 1,39% ¥¾¡ ¸- % ¡ perc cent slightly dropped b 1.39 perc y by cent from 28,04%, Ã−¢½−½ê†º÷©¦¾¹½¡¿ ê† ¿ ¡¸-´-Àºö¾ 28.0 04 percen nt, while industrial sector l acco ounted for 228.11 perce dropped by 0.78 ent, d 28,11% -Í© ¤ 0,78% ¥¾¡ 28,82 -Áì½ ²¾¦ó- ©ìö Ð 2% ¦ó perc cent from 2 28.82 percent and ne import et −¿-À¢í¾ ¡¸´Àºö¾ 6,24% À²†´¢›− 0,35% ¥¾¡ ´- % ¡ dutie covered 6.24 per es d rcent rose by 0.35 5,89% -Ã−-¯ó°È¾−-´¾ (À®…¤»ø®êó 5). ¯ó ®… perc from 5. percent in the prev cent .89 vious year (Figu 5). ure »ø®êóó 5: ¡¾−¯È¼−Á¯¤Â£¤¯½¡ ¡º®¢º¤ GD DP Figu 5: Chan ure nges in GDP Componen P nts ²¾¦óó¡¾−−¿À¢í¾(Impor Duties) rt ®ðìò¡¾− ( Se ervices) 120.00% ¦¾¹½¡¿ (Industry) º÷©¦ ¡½¦ò¡¿ ( Ag griculture) 100.00% 6.68% 6 5.89% 6.24% 6.94% 80.00% 39.03% 38.49% 3 37.25% % 38.08% 60.00% 40.00% 21.61% 23.82% 2 28.04% % 27.46% 20.00% 32.41% 31.00% 3 28.82% % 28.11% 0.00% 2008 2009 2010 2011 Á¹ìȤ¢Ó´ø−: ¡ö´¦½«òªòÀ¦©«½¡ò©, ¦ø−¦½«òªòÁ¹È¤§¾© ¦ Source: Depar rtment of Econom Statistics, Lao statistics Bureau mic o u ¡½§¸¤-Á°−¡¾− -Áì½- ¡¾−-ìö¤êô− Mini istry of Planning and Investment 5. 콩ñ®ì ì¾£¾ 5. Price L . Level In 2011, average a , annual inflaation rate Ã−¯ó 2011 ºñ©ª¾-À¤ò−-À³š ¦ À섨Ã−¯ó- - ¯ó © ¦½- was slightly hhigher than 2010 wh n hich rose Á´È− 7,58% -À²†´-¢›−¥¾¡ 5,98% -Ã−-¯ó 2010 % -¥ 0. from 5.98 perc m cent in 2010 to 7.58 p 0 percent in ¦½²¾®ºñ©ª −À³š¢º¤ ¦¯¯ 쾸 ¨ñ¤»ñ¡¦¾Ä© ª¾À¤ò ¤ ¸ ©É 2011 However the inflat 1. r, tion rate sit tuation of Ã−콩ñ®Î‡¤ªö¸Àì¡ ª¾´£¾©Ï¾¨ê†¸¾¤Ä¸ÉÁª ª ªÈ Lao PDR still remained a single digit as l d eted and lo targe ower than GGDP growt In the th. 10
15.
¡ÒÀ¹ñ−¸È¾ºñ©ª¾À¤ò−À³š´óêȾºÈ¼¤À²†´¢›−Àìñ¡Îɺ¨.
first six months of 2011, the inflation rate Ã−-§È¸-¤ 6 -À©õº−-ªí−¯ó 2011 ºñ©ª¾-À¤ò−-À³š-´ó¡¾−- increased sharply at 8.16 percent (from 6.06 percent in January 2011 to 9.52 percent), ÀÎñ¤-ª¤-Á»¤ ¦½-À섨 8,16% (¥¾¡ 6,06% -Ã−- ó while in the second half of 2011, it slightly À©õº− 1/2010 ´¾-À¯ñ− 9,52%)-, -Áª-È-À¤ò−-À³š-¦½-À섨 dropped at 6.73 percent (from 9.52 percent in 6 À©õº−êɾ¨-¯ó ´ó-êȾ-ºÈ¼¤¹ì÷©-ìö¤ ´¾-μøÈ-Ã−-콩ñ® - June 2011 to 7.70 percent in December 2011) 6,73% (¥¾¡ 9,52% -Ã−-À©õº− 6/2011 ´¾-À¯ñ− (Figure 6), the factors driven an increasing inflation rate came from 2 sources: (1) 7,70% -Ã−-À©-õº− 12/2011) - (À®…¤-»ø®êó 6). ¦¾- - domestic factor associated with natural À¹©-ê†-À»ñ©-ùÉ-ºñ©ª¾-À¤ò−-À³š- ¢º¤ ¦¯¯- 쾸 -À»ö¾- disasters (flood caused by Nokten and Haima À²†´-¢›−-¦ø¤-Ã−-¯ó 2011 ´¾-¥¾¡ 2 ¯ñ©-Ã¥-ªí−ªð-£õ : storms), which severely destroyed agricultural (1) ¯ñ©-Ã¥-²¾¨-Ã− -Á´È−-¨Éº− ¦¯¯ 쾸 -Ä©É-»ñ®-°ö−- crops, coupled with weak domestic produc- ¡½êö®-¥¾¡-IJ-ê¿-´½-§¾© (−Õ-«É¸´¥¾¡²½¨÷-−¡- ö tion resulting in disequilibrium between supply and demand in the market, unregulated Àªñ− -Áì½ -Ä»-´¾) §‡¤-Ä©É-¦É¾¤-£¸¾´-À¦¨-¹¾¨-μ¾¤- È price management of necessary foodstuffs ¹ì¸¤¹ì¾¨ªÒ¡¾−-°½ìò©-¡½¦ò¡¿ ®¸¡-¡ñ®-¡¾−-°½ and lack of monitoring and distribution ìò©-²¾¨-Ã−-¨ñ¤-®Ò-êñ−-À¢˜´-Á¢¤ À»ñ©-ùû¡¾−ªº®¦½ channels. In addition, the depreciation of Kip ꤮Ò-²¼¤²ð-¡ñ®-£¸¾´-ªÉº¤¡¾−¢º¤-¦ñ¤£ö´-, ¢º© against Thai Baht also resulted in increase in real cost of imported commodities from ¡¾−£÷É´£º¤ì¾£¾¦ò−£É¾ Áì½ ¡¾−®ðìò¡¾−, ¢º© neighboring country (imported inflation); and ¡¾−Á¥¡μ¾¨¦ò−£É¾¨ñ¤®Òêñ−©óÀꉾꆣ¸−. ²Éº´- (2) external factor was associated with the ¡ñ−−˜−, ¡¾−-ºÈº−-£È¾-¢º¤-À¤ò−-¡ó®- ê¼®-¡ñ® -À¤ò−-®¾©- increase of oil and gold prices in the global À»ñ©-ùÉ-ªí−-êô−-¡¾−-−¿-À¢í¾-¦ò−£É¾-¥¾¡-¯½Àê©À²ˆº− market. For a group of commodities, which ®É¾−¦ø¤-¢›− (−¿-À¢í¾-À¤ò−-À³š); (2) ¯ñ©-Ã¥-²¾¨-−º¡ - has price change and influence on inflation are as follows: foodstuff rose by 10.35 Á´È−-¨Éº−-ì¾£¾-−Õ´ñ− -Áì½ ì¾£¾-£¿Ã−-ª½Í¾© percent, transport and communications rose Âì¡-À²ó-ú´¢›−-. ¦¿ìñ®Ï¸©-¦ò−£É¾-ê†-´ó-¡¾−-¯È¼−-Á¯¤ by 9.78 percent, commodities and other ì¾£¾-À²†´-¢›− -Áì½ ´ó°ö−-ªÒ-¡ñ®-ºñ©ª¾-À¤ò−-À³šÁ´È− services rose by 8 percent, hotel and ϸ©-¦½®¼¤-º¾¹¾− -À²†´-¢− 10,35%; ϸ©£ö´ › restaurants rose by 5.2 percent, housing ,electricity, water supply and gas rose by 4.4 ´½−¾£ö´-¢ö−-¦‰¤ -À²†´-¢›− 9,78%; ϸ©-¦ò−£É¾ - percent, alcoholic beverages and tobacco rose Áì½ ®ðìò¡¾− -À²†´-¢›− 8,00% ; ϸ©-»É¾−- by 4.03 percent, post and telecommunication º¾¹¾− -Áì½ -»¤-Á»´ À²†-´¢›− 5,2%; ϸ©-ê†- rose by 3.49 percent, clothing and footwear ²ñ¡º¾-æ, -ij³É¾, -−Õ-¯½¯¾ -Áì½ -À§œº-À²ó¤-À²†´-¢›− - rose by 2.99 percent and other group of 4,4% ; ϸ©-À¹ìí¾ -Áì½ μ¾¦ø® -À²†´-¢›− 4,03%; - commodity was slightly increased (Table 4). ϸ©-į¦½−ó -Áì½ -Âêì½-£ö´´½−¾ À²†´-¢− - › 3,49%; ϸ©-À£ˆº¤−÷Ȥ-¹‰´ -Áì½ À¡ó® -À²†´-¢›− 2,99% Áì½ Ï¸©-ºˆ−Å- -À²†´-¢›−-Àìñ¡-−ɺ¨ (-À®…¤ ª¾ª½ì¾¤-êó 4). 11
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