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Disaster 2.0: Are we ready?
Torino, 07/05/2012


   Civil Defence 2.0
           =
   human protection
      Massimo Lanfranco
      University of Torino
      Strategic Sciences Doctoral School


      OpenResilience
In peace, wise man prepares war
                    Quintus Horatius Flaccus
AGENDA

               WAR
WORLD IS
CHANGING
           CIVIL DEFENCE




              WEB 2.0



           HUMAN SECURITY
WAR HAS CHANGED




NATO spectrum of operations
CIVIL DEFENCE HAS CHANGED




 London after bombing, 1941 (Encyclopedia Britannica)
ICT is the trigger




    rma
                 vgi

web 2.0 is the   Goodchild (2007) Citizens as sensors: the world of volunteered geography



   present
human security
The traditional goal of ‘national security’ has been
   the defence of the state from external threats.
  The focus of human security, by contrast, is the
              protection of individuals
                                                                        Human Security Report 2005:
                                                                        war and peace in 21st Century.
                                                                              Human Security Centre
                                                                      (University of British Columbia)




           http://www.iidh.ed.cr/multic/DefaultIIDHSeguridadEN.aspx
A wider approach



                                       CIVIL
                                     DEFENCE




Modificato da Alexander (2011)
A wider approach



                                       CIVIL
                                      disasters
                                      disasters
                                     DEFENCE




Modificato da Alexander (2011)
A wider approach



                                       CIVIL
                                       CIV
                                      disast
                                      disasters
                                      disas
                                      disasters
                                     DEFENCE
                                     DEFE

     Homeland
     security


Modificato da Alexander (2011)
A wider approach

    Civil
contingencies
management
                                       CIVIL
                                       CIV
                                      disas
                                      disast
                                      disasters
                                      disas
                                      disasters
                                     DEFENCE
                                     DEFE

     Homeland
     security


Modificato da Alexander (2011)
A wider approach

    Civil
contingencies
management
                                       CIVIL
                                         VIL
                                       CIV
                                      disas
                                      disast
                                      disasters
                                          sters
                                      disas
                                      disasters
                                          sters
                                     DEFENCE
                                     DEFE
                                        ENCE
                                                     Business
     Homeland
                                                    continuity
     security


Modificato da Alexander (2011)
A wider approach

    Civil                                             Critical
contingencies                                     infrastructures
management
                                       CIVIL
                                         VIL
                                       CIV
                                      disasters
                                      disast
                                      disasters
                                          sters
                                      disas
                                      disasters
                                          sters
                                     DEFENCE
                                     DEFENCE
                                        ENCE
                                                       Business
     Homeland
                                                      continuity
     security


Modificato da Alexander (2011)
A wider approach

    Civil                                              Critical
contingencies                                      infrastructures
management
                                        CIVIL
                                          VIL
                                        CIV
                                       disasters
                                       disast
                                       disasters
                                           sters
                                       disas
                                       disasters
                                           sters
                                      DEFENCE
                                      DEFENCE
                                         ENCE
                                                         Business
     Homeland
                                                        continuity
     security
                                  Complex emergencies
Modificato da Alexander (2011)
A wider approach
                                    Civil protection
    Civil                                                  Critical
contingencies                                          infrastructures
management
                                         CIVIL
                                           VIL
                                         CIV
                                       disasters
                                       disast
                                       disasters
                                           sters
                                       disas
                                       disasters
                                           sters
                                      DEFENCE
                                      DEFENCE
                                         ENCE
                                                            Business
     Homeland
                                                           continuity
     security
                                  Complex emergencies
Modificato da Alexander (2011)
disasters

            Civil                    Emergency            Humanitarian
          Protection                 Cooperation           Assistance
                                 cross–cutting strategy




                                  Firefighters
           Volunteers                            Armed Forces
Modificato da Alexander (2011)
continuum of operations
web 2.0 / 3.0       humanitarian relief
  CIMIC
                natural disasters   GPS
  mobile
                       Civil protection
    terrorism
                    complex emergencies
Civil defence
                     resilience
 radio
a new paradigm

  REAL TIME
INFORMATION

  the CNN effect
who / what / where /when
• Organizations                 • local / global
  Civil Protection Department     backdoor
  Prefectures                     Piemonte / Liguria
  Regions                         Sicily / Val d’Aosta
  Provinces                       Germany
  Municipalities                  Armenia
  NATO                            Libia
  European Union                  Japan
  United Nations                  Somalia
• Activities                    • 24/7/365
  Weather forecast                ASAP
  Meteo advice                    all-around-the-clock
  Events early warning            Always on Sunday!
  Relief coordination
  Assistance calls
  Damage assess
  Geomorphic processes survey
burning!
disasters cycle vs conflicts helix
Wars in 1946 - 2011




http://www.systemicpeace.org/conflict.htm
Humanitarian crisis in 2010
Natural disaster vs terrorist attacks



                                                                            Iraqi war


                                            RAND Database of Worldwide Terrorism Incidents



EEA (2010) Mapping the impacts of natural
hazards and technical accidents in Europe
citizens



   sensors


practitioners and scholars
VOLUNTEERS
                        Civil protection volunteers,
                        mudshovels (except for
                          web 2.0 addicted),
                        but well known…




Technical volunteers,
prepared,
but still unknown …
crisis room


                      TODAY
                      Varazze,
                      06/10/2010




TOMORROW
 Torino, 29/10/2011
THE END STATE
                      CERTIFIED
                      MOBILE DEVICES
                      LINKED IN REAL
                      TIME TO CRISIS
                      ROOM




ALICE


        EU JRC
        CRISIS ROOM
Alexander (2011)




                   Modificato da Alexander (2011)
from C2 to C4I
Command and control (C2)
The exercise of authority and direction by a properly
designated commander over assigned and attached forces in
the accomplishment of the mission.

Command and control functions are performed through an
arrangement of personnel, equipment, communications,
facilities, and procedures employed by a commander in
planning, directing, coordinating, and controlling forces and
operations in the accomplishment of the mission.

NATO SOP
                               C4I stands for "Command, Control,
                               Communications, Computers, and
                               Intelligence"
ISTAR
ISTAR stands for Intelligence, Surveillance, Target Acquisition,
and Reconnaissance.
ISTAR links several battlefield functions together to assist a combat force in
employing its sensors and managing the information they gather

Information is collected on the battlefield through soldiers and a variety of
electronic sensors. Surveillance, Target Acquisition and Reconnaissance
are methods of obtaining this information. The information is then passed to
intelligence personnel for analysis, and then to the commander and his staff for
the formulation of battle plans. Intelligence is processed information.

ISTAR is the process of integrating the intelligence process with surveillance,
target acquisition and reconnaissance tasks in order to improve situational
awareness and consequently decision making.
civil defence goes social …

and become human protection



Discussion?

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Are We Ready for Disaster 2.0

  • 1. Disaster 2.0: Are we ready? Torino, 07/05/2012 Civil Defence 2.0 = human protection Massimo Lanfranco University of Torino Strategic Sciences Doctoral School OpenResilience
  • 2. In peace, wise man prepares war Quintus Horatius Flaccus
  • 3. AGENDA WAR WORLD IS CHANGING CIVIL DEFENCE WEB 2.0 HUMAN SECURITY
  • 4. WAR HAS CHANGED NATO spectrum of operations
  • 5. CIVIL DEFENCE HAS CHANGED London after bombing, 1941 (Encyclopedia Britannica)
  • 6. ICT is the trigger rma vgi web 2.0 is the Goodchild (2007) Citizens as sensors: the world of volunteered geography present
  • 7. human security The traditional goal of ‘national security’ has been the defence of the state from external threats. The focus of human security, by contrast, is the protection of individuals Human Security Report 2005: war and peace in 21st Century. Human Security Centre (University of British Columbia) http://www.iidh.ed.cr/multic/DefaultIIDHSeguridadEN.aspx
  • 8. A wider approach CIVIL DEFENCE Modificato da Alexander (2011)
  • 9. A wider approach CIVIL disasters disasters DEFENCE Modificato da Alexander (2011)
  • 10. A wider approach CIVIL CIV disast disasters disas disasters DEFENCE DEFE Homeland security Modificato da Alexander (2011)
  • 11. A wider approach Civil contingencies management CIVIL CIV disas disast disasters disas disasters DEFENCE DEFE Homeland security Modificato da Alexander (2011)
  • 12. A wider approach Civil contingencies management CIVIL VIL CIV disas disast disasters sters disas disasters sters DEFENCE DEFE ENCE Business Homeland continuity security Modificato da Alexander (2011)
  • 13. A wider approach Civil Critical contingencies infrastructures management CIVIL VIL CIV disasters disast disasters sters disas disasters sters DEFENCE DEFENCE ENCE Business Homeland continuity security Modificato da Alexander (2011)
  • 14. A wider approach Civil Critical contingencies infrastructures management CIVIL VIL CIV disasters disast disasters sters disas disasters sters DEFENCE DEFENCE ENCE Business Homeland continuity security Complex emergencies Modificato da Alexander (2011)
  • 15. A wider approach Civil protection Civil Critical contingencies infrastructures management CIVIL VIL CIV disasters disast disasters sters disas disasters sters DEFENCE DEFENCE ENCE Business Homeland continuity security Complex emergencies Modificato da Alexander (2011)
  • 16. disasters Civil Emergency Humanitarian Protection Cooperation Assistance cross–cutting strategy Firefighters Volunteers Armed Forces Modificato da Alexander (2011)
  • 17. continuum of operations web 2.0 / 3.0 humanitarian relief CIMIC natural disasters GPS mobile Civil protection terrorism complex emergencies Civil defence resilience radio
  • 18. a new paradigm REAL TIME INFORMATION the CNN effect
  • 19. who / what / where /when • Organizations • local / global Civil Protection Department backdoor Prefectures Piemonte / Liguria Regions Sicily / Val d’Aosta Provinces Germany Municipalities Armenia NATO Libia European Union Japan United Nations Somalia • Activities • 24/7/365 Weather forecast ASAP Meteo advice all-around-the-clock Events early warning Always on Sunday! Relief coordination Assistance calls Damage assess Geomorphic processes survey
  • 21. disasters cycle vs conflicts helix
  • 22. Wars in 1946 - 2011 http://www.systemicpeace.org/conflict.htm
  • 24. Natural disaster vs terrorist attacks Iraqi war RAND Database of Worldwide Terrorism Incidents EEA (2010) Mapping the impacts of natural hazards and technical accidents in Europe
  • 25. citizens sensors practitioners and scholars
  • 26. VOLUNTEERS Civil protection volunteers, mudshovels (except for web 2.0 addicted), but well known… Technical volunteers, prepared, but still unknown …
  • 27. crisis room TODAY Varazze, 06/10/2010 TOMORROW Torino, 29/10/2011
  • 28. THE END STATE CERTIFIED MOBILE DEVICES LINKED IN REAL TIME TO CRISIS ROOM ALICE EU JRC CRISIS ROOM
  • 29. Alexander (2011) Modificato da Alexander (2011)
  • 30. from C2 to C4I Command and control (C2) The exercise of authority and direction by a properly designated commander over assigned and attached forces in the accomplishment of the mission. Command and control functions are performed through an arrangement of personnel, equipment, communications, facilities, and procedures employed by a commander in planning, directing, coordinating, and controlling forces and operations in the accomplishment of the mission. NATO SOP C4I stands for "Command, Control, Communications, Computers, and Intelligence"
  • 31. ISTAR ISTAR stands for Intelligence, Surveillance, Target Acquisition, and Reconnaissance. ISTAR links several battlefield functions together to assist a combat force in employing its sensors and managing the information they gather Information is collected on the battlefield through soldiers and a variety of electronic sensors. Surveillance, Target Acquisition and Reconnaissance are methods of obtaining this information. The information is then passed to intelligence personnel for analysis, and then to the commander and his staff for the formulation of battle plans. Intelligence is processed information. ISTAR is the process of integrating the intelligence process with surveillance, target acquisition and reconnaissance tasks in order to improve situational awareness and consequently decision making.
  • 32. civil defence goes social … and become human protection Discussion?