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FINANCIAL CRISIS, CAUSES AND REFORMS
HAMDARD UNIVERSITY OF MANAGEMENT SCIENCES



PRESENTED TO :
                 IRFAN SIDDIQUI

PRESENTED BY :
                 NOMAN HASSAN
                 RIZWAN ALI
                 YASEEN AMIN
FINANCIAL CRISIS

 Financial Crises Comprises of …

   – Banking Crises

   – Economic Crises

   – Capital Market Bubbles

   – Currency Crises
FINANCIAL CRISIS
FINANCIAL CRISIS

• Economic Crises

  – An economic crisis can
    take the form of a
    recession    or      a
    depression.

  – Economic Crisis will
    most likely experience
    a falling GDP, a drying
    up of liquidity and
    rising/falling   prices
    due to inflation /
    deflation
FINANCIAL CRISIS

• Capital Market
  Bubbles/Crashes

   – Market Price of stocks
     are    higher     than
     present    value    of
     future Cash flows.

   – A dramatic decline of
     stock prices in a
     market. Crashes are
     driven by panic as
     much as by underlying
     economic factors
FINANCIAL CRISIS

• Currency Crisis

  –A     currency      crisis
   occurs when the value
   of a currency changes
   quickly, undermining
   its ability to serve as a
   Medium of exchange
   or a Store of value.
FINANCIAL CRISIS

             Stock Market Crisis                               Bank Crisis
• 1910: Shanghai rubber stock market crisis   • 1980: Latin American debt crisis; beginning
                                                in Mexico
• 1929: Wall Street Crash
                                              • 1989-91: United State Saving & Loan Crisis
•1980: Japanese property bubble


              Economic Crisis                                Currency Crisis
• 2001-2: Argentine economic crisis           •1992-3: Speculative attacks on currencies in
 [breakdown of banking system]                the European Exchange Rate Mechanism

• 1994-5 Economic Crisis in Mexico,
speculative attack and default on Mexico
Debts
CAUSES OF FINANCIAL CRISIS
1. Strategic Complementarities
   in Financial Markets

      – Successful investment requires
        each investor in financial market
        to guess what other investors
        will do


      – John Keynes compared Financial
        markets to a “Beauty Contest
        Game”

      – Mr. George Soros an Analyst ,
        has called this need to guess the
        intentions of other “Reflexivity”
CAUSES OF FINANCIAL CRISIS
2. Leverage

  • It means borrowing to
    finance investments, is
    frequently cited as a
    contributor to financial
    crises

  • Leverage magnifies the
    potential returns from
    investment, but also
    creates a risk of
    bankruptcy
CAUSES OF FINANCIAL CRISIS
3. Asset – Liabilities mismatch

      – This is another factor believed to contribute to
       financial crises, a situation in which the risks
       associated with an institute‘s debt and assets is
       not appropriately aligned.

      – It is also seen as one of the reason bank runs
       occur. Such as, bear Stearns failed in 2007-08
       because it was unable to renew the short term
       debt it used to finance Long term investment .
CAUSES OF FINANCIAL CRISIS
4. Contagion

     – Financial crises may spread from one institution to
      another, as when a bank run spreads from a few
      banks to many others, or from 1 country to
      another, as when currency crises, sovereign
      defaults, or stock market crashes spread across
      countries
FINANCIAL BAIL OUT PACKAGE
FINANCIAL BAIL OUT PACKAGE
2. Restructuring the Financial System

     –Liberalization of interest rates

     –Reduction of controls on credit

     –Encouraging the development of secondary
      market for government securities

     –Allowing free entry of private banks
FINANCIAL BAIL OUT PACKAGE
3. Sound Corporate Governance                    stabilize       &
   strengthen good capital markets

     Benefit of Corporate Governance:

        » Protect Shareholder rights

        » Robust growth of corporate sectors

        » Enables corporations to realize Corporate objectives

        » Demonstrate to the wider public about the business
FINANCIAL BAIL OUT PACKAGE
4. Legal infrastructure must be made

    –   Bank secrecy laws should be
        improved

    –   Financial supervision & Bankruptcy

    –    Deposit insurance scheme is
        needed
Financial crisis

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Financial crisis

  • 2. HAMDARD UNIVERSITY OF MANAGEMENT SCIENCES PRESENTED TO : IRFAN SIDDIQUI PRESENTED BY : NOMAN HASSAN RIZWAN ALI YASEEN AMIN
  • 3. FINANCIAL CRISIS Financial Crises Comprises of … – Banking Crises – Economic Crises – Capital Market Bubbles – Currency Crises
  • 5. FINANCIAL CRISIS • Economic Crises – An economic crisis can take the form of a recession or a depression. – Economic Crisis will most likely experience a falling GDP, a drying up of liquidity and rising/falling prices due to inflation / deflation
  • 6. FINANCIAL CRISIS • Capital Market Bubbles/Crashes – Market Price of stocks are higher than present value of future Cash flows. – A dramatic decline of stock prices in a market. Crashes are driven by panic as much as by underlying economic factors
  • 7. FINANCIAL CRISIS • Currency Crisis –A currency crisis occurs when the value of a currency changes quickly, undermining its ability to serve as a Medium of exchange or a Store of value.
  • 8. FINANCIAL CRISIS Stock Market Crisis Bank Crisis • 1910: Shanghai rubber stock market crisis • 1980: Latin American debt crisis; beginning in Mexico • 1929: Wall Street Crash • 1989-91: United State Saving & Loan Crisis •1980: Japanese property bubble Economic Crisis Currency Crisis • 2001-2: Argentine economic crisis •1992-3: Speculative attacks on currencies in [breakdown of banking system] the European Exchange Rate Mechanism • 1994-5 Economic Crisis in Mexico, speculative attack and default on Mexico Debts
  • 9. CAUSES OF FINANCIAL CRISIS 1. Strategic Complementarities in Financial Markets – Successful investment requires each investor in financial market to guess what other investors will do – John Keynes compared Financial markets to a “Beauty Contest Game” – Mr. George Soros an Analyst , has called this need to guess the intentions of other “Reflexivity”
  • 10. CAUSES OF FINANCIAL CRISIS 2. Leverage • It means borrowing to finance investments, is frequently cited as a contributor to financial crises • Leverage magnifies the potential returns from investment, but also creates a risk of bankruptcy
  • 11.
  • 12. CAUSES OF FINANCIAL CRISIS 3. Asset – Liabilities mismatch – This is another factor believed to contribute to financial crises, a situation in which the risks associated with an institute‘s debt and assets is not appropriately aligned. – It is also seen as one of the reason bank runs occur. Such as, bear Stearns failed in 2007-08 because it was unable to renew the short term debt it used to finance Long term investment .
  • 13. CAUSES OF FINANCIAL CRISIS 4. Contagion – Financial crises may spread from one institution to another, as when a bank run spreads from a few banks to many others, or from 1 country to another, as when currency crises, sovereign defaults, or stock market crashes spread across countries
  • 15. FINANCIAL BAIL OUT PACKAGE 2. Restructuring the Financial System –Liberalization of interest rates –Reduction of controls on credit –Encouraging the development of secondary market for government securities –Allowing free entry of private banks
  • 16. FINANCIAL BAIL OUT PACKAGE 3. Sound Corporate Governance stabilize & strengthen good capital markets Benefit of Corporate Governance: » Protect Shareholder rights » Robust growth of corporate sectors » Enables corporations to realize Corporate objectives » Demonstrate to the wider public about the business
  • 17. FINANCIAL BAIL OUT PACKAGE 4. Legal infrastructure must be made – Bank secrecy laws should be improved – Financial supervision & Bankruptcy – Deposit insurance scheme is needed