Part of a panel discussion on "Challenges to Melbourne’s Resilience" This first talk deals with fundamental information about resilience and sets the current context & trajectory of change in Melbourne to establish challenges, gaps and opportunities relating to resilience.

1. PIA + Prepare Seminar
Challenges to Victorian Resilience
Lew Short
General Manager Risk, Consequence & Resilience

2. “The world has entered the era of ‘mega
crisis’ or catastrophic emergencies’ whose
force and magnitude defy even the best
laid plans and the most robust response
systems”
Professor Paul ‘t Hart

4. • Our focus has been on hazard and risk not
necessarily consequences and cascading
consequences.
• What is a reasonable tolerance of risk?
• Post event, our first response is to build it back.
• The question needs to be asked “should we
build it back and what does the new normal
look like?”
Planning and building challenges

6. Limitofdirectattack
Uncontrollable
Limittosafeoperationof
helicopters(~50km/h)
Lossofradio&telcotowers
Lossofsituational
awareness
Limitof
AS3959

7. EM Resilience ChallengesEM Resilience Challenges
• More frequent & intense natural disasters. Longer & deeper droughts, more frequent
& intense bushfires, extreme heat, more costly storms & floods, sea level rise…
• There will be more of us (Vic 6m to 10m 2021) & aged population
• Catastrophic events will overwhelm emergency services
• Natural disasters will cost us a lot (around $12 billion by 2030)
• Insurers will be price signalling to reflect risk & exposure;
• Integrated landuse planning and building
• Tension in the planning system
• The precautionary principle
• Expectations of the community… will be for no loss of life or assets;
• We will be network centric (fragility of systems, dependency of community);
• More warnings and evacuations = > losses of assets
• Violent extremism
• Health and epidemic

8. The Opportunity
Resilience hard coded into the landscape….
Based on:
•Liveability;
•Sustainability;
•Wellbeing;
•Viability
How
do
we do
this?

9. @lewshort14
http://www.slideshare.net/LewShort
ThanksThanks

10. @lewshort14
http://www.slideshare.net/LewShort
ThanksThanks