13. Deployment Voids: CRPF/SAP Area under Maoists Critical Area state wise Vulnerable Area Existing Units Additional Battalion needed ( 5 Years) Rest of the Area covered by surveillance and denied using surgical strikes along with Information campaigns In Sq Km Total Units Deployment Ratio State Sq Km Bns Needed 58 Thin in No of Times ( X ) Chhattisgarh 32189 215 148 40 51 Total Area 208787 1392 24 Orissa 12814 85 59 30 19 Critical Area 72458 483 8 Jharkhand 8884 59 41 25 16 Priority Area 58000 387 7 Maharashtra 9275 56 43 23 20 Vulnerable Area 50000 334 6 West Bengal 9296 56 43 26 17 We are 6- 8 Times Thinner in critical areas - Major Challenge for security forces 483 334 144 123 67
14. Units to be Raised and Cost ( next 5 Years) Units Area to be covered in sq Km No of Units Needed Existing Units Deployed New Units needed Cost Per Unit Cost (in Crores) Total Area Covered 72458 483 58 425 33 14025 Para Military (CRPF/IRB) 18750 123 40 83 33 2739 State Police (SAP) 7950 37 18 19 33 627 Intelligence Units 15000 25 0 30 20 600 Commando Bn NA 5 0 8 44 352 CTJW School NA 10 NA 10 8 80 41700 4398 Crores
15. Cost to Benefit Analysis CRPF/IRB Battalion Cost Commando Battalion Cost Intelligence Unit CTJW School Cost for Cost of 120 Units Cost of 8 Units Cost of 30 Units Cost of 10 units In Crores In Crores In Crores In Crores Training 1 3 2 1 Leadership 1 2 1 1 Admin 12 10 1 1 Transport 1 2 1 1 Equipment 5 10 4 2 Intelligence Fund 1 2 5 0 Salary 12 15 6 2 Cost Per Unit 33 44 20 8 Total Cost 2739 352 600 80 Total 4398 Crores Cost to benefit 4398/$100Billion 4398/466200 $ 1 ~ Rs 46.62 Cost to benefit Ratio 0.94 % of the Benefit
22. Network Analysis and Data visualization Structured analysis approach4 Graphic based approach Manual approach (1) Manually creation of association matrix by identifying the relations through raw data (2) Helpful in investigation, becomes ineffective where datasets are very large (1) Graphically representation of insurgent networks using tools such as Link Analysis (2) Helpful in visualization of large amount of relationship data but without analytical functionality. (1)Advanced analytical capabilities to assist investigation (2) It can help in identifying networks to mining of large volumes of data to discover useful knowledge and create intelligence about the structure and organization of criminal networks - Data Mining - Social Network Analysis - Pattern Tracing and interactions
My Background Need for a better system. While in the Army we need better tech platform for whole lot of activities . Army has always remained manpower intensive, it needs to get smarter and look for intelligent solution based on scientific principles. Intelligence and Security Concerns
The figure, at face value, may look daunting but in real terms could be narrowed down to a few trouble spots or belts ; Nadia and Murshidabad and Birbhum ; Area under 20 more PS would be added to 28 already included and affected by Maoist Threats
A closer examination of the violence prone districts could possibly reduce the actual footprint by say another 20 to 30 per cent
the security grid so established should form the basis of protecting (or guarding) the populaceand logistic bases for kinetic operations of security forces as well as deny logistical support to insurgents
cover the entire area to obtain actionable Intelligence using HUMINT and technical resources (radio intercepts/UAV surveillance /WAAS sorties Coverage/satellite imagery. (BFSR/heat sensors /thermal mapping / UAV’s/satellite imagery/WAAS).
Inadequate development and non inclusive growth has led to inequalities has been breeding corruption making problem solving even more complex . It leads to fringe terror groups to exploit the situation using democratic tools – allows transparency and right to information. Challenges and the mediation strtaegy has to be that much more developed
Internal security is going to remain an issue of concern for a long time and we can not always depend on Army ( can 40 – 50 Km on foot and in case of Heptrs, can operate up to a distance of 200 KM from the bases)
Large extent of the area, difficult geography/terrain, cultural and language complexity and lack of infrastructure and communications. Intelligence collection, tactical response, comd & control, as well as governance and information campaigns have to be tackled simultaneously
“ cripple India’s economic growth, destroy national confidence in its political system, attack its open society and provoke destabilizing communal rivalries”, all of which are seen as a hindrance to establishing an Islamic Caliphate (Tellis 2008). At the centre of this phenomenon are two Islamist militant groups – the Lashkar-e-Taiba and the HUJI-B, both of which are part of the International Islamic Front (IIF) of which al Qaeda is a founding member, and are committed to the cause of establishing an Islamic Caliphate.
Int agencies are faced with multiferious issues besides the turf battle for information and jurisdiction part. Data is assymmetrical form, it is humongous and therefore needs parallel computing on HPC platforms
Need of the hour is to converge the existing resources of HUMINT as well as technology to enhance real time intelligence and be able to predict the un foreseen by understanding patterns - which is humanly not possible and not achievable
This will make Intelligence more transparent as well as reduce redundancies and element of error. Humongous data can be analyzed and therefore better chances of quality analysis and prevent corrupt and age old archaic practices
UCIMS is designed for Uncon conflicts; but its data points can be suitably modified for any other Security and business intelligence environment for eg bank wants to monitor the loans. Traffic police wants to monitor accidents as well as time and location specific sensitivities. It can give various outputs, which can allow decision makers to take appropriate decisions
Warfare and intelligence is becoming very complexed and just having HUMINT is not enough and therefore needs more network based approach which collates as well as demistifies the intelligence from unstructured data bases to structured analyses to derive the intelligence – Helpful in 9/11 and 26/11 kind of investigations as well as bring actual perpetrators to their final destination or Karma
What it does is that it shows linkages and locations – which otherwise remain uncollated and mere another file to be lost in a fire or organizational inefficiencies. Long time ago we were told that government records are being automated. Even today except for Hyderabad which has done reasonably well under the CM Mr Naidu, rest of the states still function on the basis of “chirkut” in the names of land records and therefore allows corruption and greed to creep in allowing land scams and missing files. As aware citizens we need to be responsible as well as ask necessary questions in the right forum. So that decision makers do not shy away from their responsibilities as well as are forced to take hard decisions
This is the question I will leave it for you all to ponder and debate. Look at what happened to railways. See the IT revolution and BPO industry. Countering Terrorism with Intelligence as well Operational capability of Security forces is what that will make or mar the way we do things. Please gentle man use your influences as well as wherewithal to make this country not only grow but maintain the inclusiveness in the growth as well as prevent it from being affected by incidents of terror which as all of the previous speakers have explained are going to be even more heinous and lethal.
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