A keynote speech to a Conference at Royal Roads University, Victoria BC.

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Designing Our Future

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D'où venons-nous? Que sommes-nous? Où allons-nous?
Where Do We Come From?
What Are We?
Where Are We Going??

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Voyager 1 photo of Earth
from 6 billion kilometers.

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The Universe has taken
13 billion years
to create us

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Number of stars in the Universe
1024: 1 trillion trillion

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Number of
atoms in your
body:
1027: 1000 trillion
trillion
All self-organized
into one amazing
whole

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And every atom was either made in the Big Bang
Or in a later Supernova explosion

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Number of stars in our galaxy
100 trillion

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Number of synapses in your brain
100 trillion
All self-organized into one amazing whole

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100 trillion synapses 100 trillion stars

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Are you conscious?

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Are other humans conscious?

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Are chimpanzees conscious?

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Are cats conscious?

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Are elephants conscious?

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Are worms conscious?

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Are amoebae conscious?

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Single-celled algae?

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Are molecules conscious?

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Do you have free will to choose your future?
Or is everything predetermined?

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Is there purpose and direction in the Universe?
Or is it just all just random?

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What story do you use to make sense of it all?
A: Spiritual purpose B: Who knows? But it’s amazing
C: Nature good, humans bad
D:

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When you think about
the future of our world,
what do you feel?

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Hope Excitement Love
Worry Fear Uncertainty
Despair Depression Gloom
Happiness Delight Joy

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What is
your
vision of
the
future?

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Designing the Future: A 10-Part Series
1. A Beautiful Place to Live
1. Transportation without Oil
2. Energy without Harming the Planet
3. Sustainable Food, Farms and Forests
4. A Resilient Local Economy
5. A Global Green Economy
6. Integral Health and Healthcare for All
7. Education for the Heart, Mind, Body and Soul
8. Democracy, Participation and Engagement
9. The Big Picture: Science and Spirit

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DESIGNING THE FUTURE: 6 STEPS
1. Lay down core principles, goals and vision
2. Research positive examples of success
3. Analyze the future design site, seeking bumps,
barriers and roadblocks
4. Strategize how to overcome the barriers and get
your desired solutions into place
5. Manifest a funded plan to let you do the work
5. Spend the next chunk of your life doing it.

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Where will the green
electricity come from?

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Efficient Appliances

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LED lights
only use
1 to 5 watts
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Solar Power

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Solar Stadium, Taiwan

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Dow’s Solar Shingles

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Thin film solar

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Thin film solar production

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The Falling Price of Solar PV

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Solar Millennium AG
Solar thermal energy

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Solar One, Nevada, 64 MW
Earth’s total known fossil energy reserves
are equivalent to 47 days of solar energy
reaching the Earth’s deserts

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Geothermal Energy

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Geothermal Energy: 13% growth pa
2-12 cents kWh
39 countries could get 100% power
= 17% of the world’s people
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Geothermal power
Nesjavellir Geothermal Plant, Iceland

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Kappel Wind Farm, Lolland, Denmark
Wind Energy
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Kamisu Wind Farm, Ibaraki, Japan

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Siemens AG

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The Cost is Falling
1990 2011 2020
Wind 30 8-10 8 cents kWh
Solar 200 20-40 15 cents kWh

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Do you think it is
possible to stop
burning fossil fuels
for electricity?
YES NO ?

74. TRANSPORTATION
SOLUTIONS
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75. 1 Set clear, bold goals
100% reduction in use of oil for transportation by
2030, with no loss of mobility
Benefits:
Tackle a key cause of global warming
Create resilience against peak oil and
future price shocks
Reduce the risk of oil pollution
End most air pollution and noise
End traffic congestion
Show the world that it’s possible

77. 2 5% shift to walking

79. www.walkscore.com

81. Toronto Walking School Bus
A Walking School Bus

82. Neighbourhood Walkability Audit
www.walklive.org

83. Street redesign idea from CityStudio, Vancouver

84. The Journey to Zero Oil
Cars & light trucks
5% shift to walking = 95% of oil demand

85. 3 15% shift to cycling

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Copenhagen
36% of all work trips by bike.

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Electric Bicycle

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92. In Holland, 40% of all traffic movement
is by bicycle

93.  Invest in safe bike lanes and routes
 Invest in good bike parking
 Invest in cycling education in schools

96. San Francisco
safe protected bike lane

97. City Bike Sharing

98. Build a fun cycling culture

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Solar electric bicycles in Tokyo

102. Amsterdam

103. School at Assen, Holland

104. www.segway.com/puma/

106. The Journey to Zero Oil
Cars & light trucks
5% shift to walking = 95% of oil demand
15% shift to cycling = 80% …

107. 4 v15% shift to
transit and LRT

109. Hasselt, Belgium
Free transit included in city taxes
1996-2006 13-fold increase in ridership

110. Real-time electronic displays

111. Bus Rapid Transit
in Curitiba,
Brazil
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112. Stockholm – 200 buses run on biogas
From sewage treatment

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114. LRT in Portland, Oregon

115. Electric trolley-buses in Venezuela

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Electric bus, running on green electricity
= no climate impact

117. Umea, Sweden: Arctic Whisper
Fast-Charging Electric Bus, 18 hours/day
1 – 2 euros for 10-20 kWh electricity to go 10 km
www.opbrid.com

118. OLEV
On-Line Electric Vehicle
South Korea

119. OLEV
On-Line Electric Vehicle
South Korea, 12 km route

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Japan’s Future Electric Bus

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Electric train, running on
green electricity
= no climate impact

122. The Journey to Zero Oil
Cars & light trucks
5% shift to walking = 95% of oil demand
15% shift to cycling = 80% …
15% shift to transit/LRT = 65% …

123. Cisco Systems
5 5% shift to Telework
 Teleconferencing centre in every
community of 10,000+ people

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125. The Journey to Zero Oil
Cars & light trucks
5% shift to walking = 95% of oil demand
15% shift to cycling = 80% …
15% shift to transit/LRT = 65% …
5% shift to telework = 60% …

126. 6 v5% shift to
Ride-Sharing

127. AVEGO Real-time ride-sharing
www.avego.com

128.  Guaranteed emergency ride home
 Cash-out parking – get paid for not using your employee
parking space
 Rideshare Plus Rewards Book

129. See
500 members share 22 vehicles
www.victoriacarshare.ca
7
5% shift to Car Sharing

130. Car-sharing forecast
North America 2016:
4.4 million users
David Zhao, automotive research analyst with Frost & Sullivan,

131. Peer-to-Peer Car-Sharing
Vehicles owners earn
up to $300 a month

134. The Journey to Zero Oil
Cars & light trucks
5% shift to walking = 95% of oil demand
15% shift to cycling = 80% …
15% shift to transit/LRT = 65% …
5% shift to telework = 60% …
5% shift to ride-sharing = 55% …

135. The Journey to Zero Oil
Cars & light trucks
5% shift to walking = 95% of oil demand
15% shift to cycling = 80% …
15% shift to transit/LRT = 65% …
5% shift to telework = 60% …
5% shift to ride-sharing = 55% …
5% shift to car-sharing = 50% …

136. 8
Strong Inter-Modal
Connections
Single Smart Card for transit, LRT, car-share, ride-
share, ferries, rail
Integrated mobility app for all transport needs
Good transit/ferry connections
Good bike-parking at every transit/LRT station

137. Transport London’s Oyster Card

138. Walk Bike
Food Help
Taxi
Skype
Park
Ride share
Ski-lift
Maps
Ferry Fly
Car share
LRT
Transit
Rail

139. 9 Smart Growth Designs

142. Redesign, Remodel, Reclaim

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145. 10 v50% shift to
Electric Vehicles

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Chevy Volt
1,400 km on one tank of gas

147. Tesla EV Model-X
 7 seats. Spacious luggage capacity front & rear
 0-60 mph in 4.4 seconds
 200-285 mile range
 $67,000 plus incentives
 Delivery in 2014

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Tesla Roadster 393 km range

149. Mitsubishi MiEV
 5 seats
 Top speed 130 kph
 150 km range
 $25,000 after rebates

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Nissan Leaf Electric - 120 km range

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Smart Electric – 135 km range

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Toyota RAV4 EV
148 km range

153. Renault Twizy EV
 2 seats, 80 km range, made in Spain
 90 kph top speed, 4 hours recharge
 $9,700 + $60/month battery lease

154. $10,600 + $65 monthly battery lease charge in UK
Top

155. Top

156. STELLA

158. Made by Dutch students, Eindhoven University
Family size, 4-seater
Roadworthy, legal in Holland
Weight: 380 kg (1120 kg for normal EV)
Range: 400 km no sunshine, 600 km full sunshine
Solar PV cost $4,000
10 months a year it produces more energy than it uses
Excess power back into the grid

161. Chevrolet EN-V Concept Car
Electric Networked-Vehicle
2010 Shanghai World Expo

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Electric cars,
running on green electricity
= no climate impact

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Honda solar electric car charging

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Electric car fast charging

165. Mercedes Biome – made from bioplastic
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166. The Journey to Zero Oil
Cars & light trucks
5% shift to walking = 95% of oil demand
15% shift to cycling = 80% …
15% shift to transit/LRT = 65% …
5% shift to telework = 60% …
5% shift to ride-sharing = 55% …
5% shift to car-sharing = 50% …
50% of vehicles are electric = 25% …

167. The Journey to Zero Oil
Cars & light trucks
5% shift to walking = 95% of oil demand
15% shift to cycling = 80% …
15% shift to transit/LRT = 65% …
5% shift to telework = 60% …
5% shift to ride-sharing = 55% …
5% shift to car-sharing = 50% …
50% of vehicles are electric = 25% …
50% vehicles hybrid EV 80% = 5% …

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Do you think it is
Possible to have
transportation
without oil?
YES NO ?

169. BUILDING
SOLUTIONS
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170. We can live and work in green buildings
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171. This…
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Or this?

173. This …
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Or this?

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Heating 加熱
without Fossil Fuels

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Solar Heat + Storage
Austria

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Okotoks, Alberta – Solar Heating

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Okotoks, Alberta – Solar Heating

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Solar Heating from the Air

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Ground Source Heat
2 million installations in 30 countries
$20,000 to $30,000

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Water Source Heat

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Ice-Source Heat
Richmond Olympic Skating Oval

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Solar Heat
Solar hot water
on a restaurant in
Sweden
Photo by Hamilton Hazlehurst/Vulcan

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www.solarbc.ca
A project of the BCSEA

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Lindau Hospital, Germany
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Rizhao, China

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99% of city centre households use solar hot water.
60,000 greenhouses, all solar powered.
Whole city plans to become carbon neutral.
Rizhao, China
Population 3 million

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CSIRO

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Solar Wall Heating
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Welsh Development Agency
Technology Center, St. Asaph, Wales

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Pearl River
Tower
Guangzhou,
China

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Bahrain
World Trade Centre

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Virgo Road, Oakland Hills, San Francisco
Robert Nebolon architect

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Toyko, Japan

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8,000 sq ft zero carbon home designed for
Manchester United soccer player Gary Neville

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ACROS Fukuoka building in Fukuoka, Japan.
35,000 plants, 76 species

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Osaka

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Ogimachi – Shirakawa Farm Village

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Tono Furusato Restored Farm Village

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Madrid, Spain

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Gangnam district, Seoul

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ACROS Fukuoka building
Fukuoka, Japan

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Do you think it is
possible to heat
our buildings
without fossil fuels?
YES NO ?

218. FINAL
THOUGHTS
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You can make a difference

220. A Thousand Possibilities
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223. It’s Our World – Let’s Change It
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By Nattanicha Kongsathitporn, age 14, Thailand
We need to roll up the past.

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We need to sail away from our old, polluting ways
and build a green, sustainable world.

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This is about you, and your future.

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決意

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232. This is our home

233. When the power of love overcomes
the love of power, the world will know
peace.
- Jimi Hendrix

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When you think about
the future of our world,
what do you feel?

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Hope Excitement Love
Worry Fear Uncertainty
Despair Depression Gloom
Happiness Delight Joy

237. Taken together, our efforts to make a better world
are like drops of dew that slowly accumulate
in the soul of the world,
hastening the day when the entire Earth,
with all its peoples and creatures,
will enjoy peace, harmony and fulfillment.
- Guy Dauncey

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