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DAILY AGRI COMMODITY REPORT
07 December 2015
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Market Views
2
MONTH OPEN HIGH LOW CLOSE % CHG VOL MONTH OPEN HIGH LOW CLOSE % CHG VOL
TURMERIC
APR 10162 10236 10092 10180 +0.65 5045
INTRADAY
LEVELS
SUPPORT SUPP. 1
10103
SUPP. 2
10025
PIVOT
10169
Turmeric short term
trend is bullish and
May continue in
coming days.RESISTAN
CE
RES. 1
10247
RES. 2
10313
CORIANDER
JAN 10114 10200 10032 10032 -0.46 3670
INTRADAY
LEVELS
SUPPORT SUPP.1
9976
SUPP. 2
9920
PIVOT
10088
Coriander short term
trend is bullish and May
continue in coming
days.RESISTAN
CE
RES. 1
10144
RES. 2
10256
GUARGUM
JAN 6750 6820 6700 6710 +0.15 9182
INTRADAY
LEVELS
SUPPORT SUPP. 1
6667
SUPP. 2
6623
PIVOT
6743
Guargum short term
trend is bearish and
May continue in
coming days.RESISTAN
CE
RES. 1
6787
RES. 2
6863
CASTORSEED
JAN 3860 3969 3911 3942 +0.10 31320
INTRADAY
LEVELS
SUPPORT SUPP. 1
3912
SUPP. 2
3883
PIVOT
3941
Castorseed short term
trend is bullish and
May continue in
coming day.RESISTAN
CE
RES. 1
3970
RES. 2
3999
Most Active Contract
3
NCDEX INDICES
Index Value
Pre.
Close
%
Change
CASTORSEED 3858 3853 +0.13
CHANA 5055 5104 -0.96
CORIANDER 10171 10196 -0.25
GUARGUM 6580 6570 +0.15
JEERA 15770 15775 -0.03
MUSTARD
SEED
4690 4725 -0.74
SOYABEAN 3673 3680 -0.19
TURMERIC 9290 9226 +0.69
TOP LOSERS
SYMBOL EXPIRY DATE
CURRENT
PRICE
CHANGE
CHANGE
%
CHANA 18-12-2015 5055.00 -55.00 -1.08%
BARLEY 18-12-2015 1471.50 -15.50 -1.04%
CORIANDER 18-12-2015 10171.00 -78.00 -0.76%
RAPESEED-MUSTARD
SEED
18-12-2015 4690.00 -35.00 -0.74%
COTTON SEED OIL CAKE
AKOLA
18-12-2015 1737.00 -9.00 -0.52%
JEERA 18-12-2015 15770.00 -55.00 -0.35%
SOYABEAN 18-12-2015 3673.00 -12.00 -0.33%
TOP GAINERS
SYMBOL EXPIRY DATE
CURRENT
PRICE
CHANGE CHANGE %
TURMERIC 18-12-2015 9290.00 42.00 0.45%
REFINED SOY OIL 18-12-2015 628.65 1.65 0.26%
CASTOR SEED NEW 18-12-2015 3858.00 2.00 0.05%
Commodities In News
4
ECONOMIC NEWS
Sowing of rabi crops like wheat has been affected due to both drought
and floods this year and the government is taking steps to minimise the
impact, Agriculture Minister Radha Mohan Singh said."Agricultural crops
have been affected for the third straight season due to adverse weather
conditions in last 18 months of the Modi government," Singh said while
addressing a farm machinisation event 'Agrimach' here.In 2014, kharif
(summer) crops were affected due to 12 per cent deficit rains, while rabi
(winter) crops like wheat got damaged due to unseasonal rains and
hailstorm, he said."This year too, kharif crops were affected due to drought
situation in the wake of 14 per cent deficit rains. Now, rabi crops are facing
both drought and floods," he said.The government is taking measures to
reduce the impact of such natural calamities, he said adding "We cannot
stop the natural calamities but we can reduce its impact with use of new
technologies and contingency plan."Sowing of rabi crops has begun from
October. The ongoing sowing operation of rabi crops has been affected due
to high temperature in some parts as well as floods in South India,
especially in Tamil Nadu.The total area sown to wheat and other rabi crops
is lagging behind at 317.96 lakh hectare till last week of the ongoing rabi
season compared with 372.61 lakh hectare in the year-ago period, as per
the government data.
Companies working in the food processing sector -- from Field Fresh to
Cargill -- feel more investment is required in farmland for building up
infrastructure and providing technology to farmers.They feel opening up
vegetable and fruit retailing to foreign invvestments would help farmers get
a better price, while consumers will get cheaper rates. Earlier this week,
food processing minister Harsimrat Kaur Badal while interacting with a
leading newspaper said foreign invvestments in foods, fruits, agriculture
and perishable processing will be a huge boost to the sector."FDI in
processing and retailing of fresh fruits and vegetables is a great idea.
Guar rates stabilized at the lower levels as some bounce back from
short covering noted. No strong Bullish Fundamentals emerged inthe
mandis. Low exports, higher arrivals and stocks and falling Crude oil
prices have been keeping prices down for the last few months, with low
signs of recovery.India had exported 4874 tons of guar gum powder,
744 tons of guar splits and 1380 tons of guar meal during the last week
of October 2015,.Latest week export figure took the October month
export to 21816 tonsof guar products. Out of the total guar exports,
13106 tons of Guargum, 3404 tons of Splits and 5306 tons of Guar
meals exported in October 2015. Last year India exported 33867 tons
of Guar products at the same period.Markets are unable to recover in
present term, despite having fallen from above 13000 to nearly 8000
levels. The new crop arrivals are preventing markets from staging a
decent recovery. Last 2 years of higher production have ensured higher
stocks for Guar this year, thus keeping prices down. In Rajasthan,
2013-14 production was reportedly more than 28 lakh tons and 2014-
15 production nearly 28 lakh tons.
Jeera settled up due to slow progress of sowing at the major
producing regions of Gujarat and Rajasthan. Though, fall in demand
from retailers and stockists and exports from India are likely to decline
by about 40-45 per cent, capped some gains. Gujarat, the top cumin
producing state, has planted less cumin until Nov 23, 2015 compared to
last year sowing progress. In Gujarat, jeera is planted in 46 % less area
at 63,400 hectares compared to 1, 17,400 hectares last year same
time.According to govt data, exports for 2015-16 shows a decline trend
compared to last year until September .Geo-political trouble in two
major exporting countries – Syria and Turkey – seems to have failed to
spice up jeera exports from India due to higher domestic price As per
Department of commerce data, exports from India in first five months
of FY 2015-16 is 36,882 MT. Jeera exports from India are likely to
decline by about 40-45 per cent to around 85,000-1,00,000 tonnes
during 2015-16 compared to an estimated exports of around 1,55,000
tonnes last year.
5
Fundamental Watch : Sugar
SUGAR PRICES AT KEY SPOT MARKETNational Market Update
351 sugar mills in India had produced 23.6 lakh tons of sugar in MY 2015-
16 (01st Oct, 2015 – 30th Nov, 2015) which was 24.3% higher than the sugar
produced last year during the same interval.
An early start up of crushing operation in Maharashtra this year led the state
to produce 12.87 lakh tons of sugar in 2015-16 16 (01st Oct, 2015 – 30th Nov,
2015) compared to 11.95 lakh tons of production in 2014-15 16 (01st Oct,
2014 – 30th Nov, 2014).
Cane crushing has been recently started in the state of Uttar Pradesh which
had churned out 1.80 lakh tons of sugar in 2015-16(till 30th Nov, 2015)
compared to 1.00 lakh tons of sugar in 2014-15 (till 30th nov, 2014).
Sugar production rose by 77.5% in Karnataka which had produced 5.68 lakh
tons of sugar in 2015-16 (01st Oct, 2015 – 30th Nov, 2015) as compared to
3.20 lakh tons of sugar in 2014-15 (01st Oct, 2014 – 30th Nov, 2014).
18 sugar mills in Gujarat had crushed around 2.25 lakh tons of sugar in
2015-16 (01st Oct, 2015 – 30th Nov, 2015) which was 33.1% higher than the
sugar produced last year during the corresponding period.
Indian sugar export rose by 44% as the country exported 61.9 thousand tons
of sugar this week (ending on 29th November, 2015) compared to 43 thousand
tons of sugar exported the previous week.
Brazil raw sugar export declined by 3.35% in the month of November, 2015
as the country exported 2 MT of sugar during the month compared to 2.07 MT
of exports in October, 2015.
CENTER 04-Dec-15 03-Dec-15 Change
DELHI 2800 2800 UNCH
MUMBAI 2866 2860 +6
VIJAYWADA 2980 2980 UNCH
NAGPUR NA NA -
CHENNAI 2725 NA -
AMBIKAPUR NA NA -
DHAMPUR NA NA -
Technical Outlook
6
BUY CORIANDER JAN ABOVE 10320 TARGET 10365 10515 SL
BELOW 10255
SELL GUARGUM JAN BELOW 6650 TARGET 6600 6530 SL
ABOVE 6710
BUY TURMERIC APRIL ABOVE 10236 TARGET 10280 10340 SL
BELOW 10176
BUY CASTORSEED JAN ABOVE 3962 TARGET 3987 4017 SL
BELOW 3937
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Epic research daily agri report 07 dec 2015

  • 1. DAILY AGRI COMMODITY REPORT 07 December 2015 HNI & NRI Sales Contact Australia Mintara Road, Tarneit, Victoria. Post Code 3029 Phone.: +61 422 063855 HNI & NRI Sales Contact USA 2117 Arbor Vista Dr. Charlotte (NC) Cell: +1 704 249 2315 Toll Free Number 1-800-200-9454 All queries should be directed to Info@epicresearch.co 1 Epic Research India 411 Milinda Manor (Suites 409- 417) 2 RNT Marg. Opp Central Mall Indore (M.P.) Hotline: +91 731 664 2300 Alternate: +91 731 664 2320 Or give us a missed call at 026 5309 0639 Our Presence YOURMINTVISORY Call us at +91-731-6642300
  • 2. Market Views 2 MONTH OPEN HIGH LOW CLOSE % CHG VOL MONTH OPEN HIGH LOW CLOSE % CHG VOL TURMERIC APR 10162 10236 10092 10180 +0.65 5045 INTRADAY LEVELS SUPPORT SUPP. 1 10103 SUPP. 2 10025 PIVOT 10169 Turmeric short term trend is bullish and May continue in coming days.RESISTAN CE RES. 1 10247 RES. 2 10313 CORIANDER JAN 10114 10200 10032 10032 -0.46 3670 INTRADAY LEVELS SUPPORT SUPP.1 9976 SUPP. 2 9920 PIVOT 10088 Coriander short term trend is bullish and May continue in coming days.RESISTAN CE RES. 1 10144 RES. 2 10256 GUARGUM JAN 6750 6820 6700 6710 +0.15 9182 INTRADAY LEVELS SUPPORT SUPP. 1 6667 SUPP. 2 6623 PIVOT 6743 Guargum short term trend is bearish and May continue in coming days.RESISTAN CE RES. 1 6787 RES. 2 6863 CASTORSEED JAN 3860 3969 3911 3942 +0.10 31320 INTRADAY LEVELS SUPPORT SUPP. 1 3912 SUPP. 2 3883 PIVOT 3941 Castorseed short term trend is bullish and May continue in coming day.RESISTAN CE RES. 1 3970 RES. 2 3999
  • 3. Most Active Contract 3 NCDEX INDICES Index Value Pre. Close % Change CASTORSEED 3858 3853 +0.13 CHANA 5055 5104 -0.96 CORIANDER 10171 10196 -0.25 GUARGUM 6580 6570 +0.15 JEERA 15770 15775 -0.03 MUSTARD SEED 4690 4725 -0.74 SOYABEAN 3673 3680 -0.19 TURMERIC 9290 9226 +0.69 TOP LOSERS SYMBOL EXPIRY DATE CURRENT PRICE CHANGE CHANGE % CHANA 18-12-2015 5055.00 -55.00 -1.08% BARLEY 18-12-2015 1471.50 -15.50 -1.04% CORIANDER 18-12-2015 10171.00 -78.00 -0.76% RAPESEED-MUSTARD SEED 18-12-2015 4690.00 -35.00 -0.74% COTTON SEED OIL CAKE AKOLA 18-12-2015 1737.00 -9.00 -0.52% JEERA 18-12-2015 15770.00 -55.00 -0.35% SOYABEAN 18-12-2015 3673.00 -12.00 -0.33% TOP GAINERS SYMBOL EXPIRY DATE CURRENT PRICE CHANGE CHANGE % TURMERIC 18-12-2015 9290.00 42.00 0.45% REFINED SOY OIL 18-12-2015 628.65 1.65 0.26% CASTOR SEED NEW 18-12-2015 3858.00 2.00 0.05%
  • 4. Commodities In News 4 ECONOMIC NEWS Sowing of rabi crops like wheat has been affected due to both drought and floods this year and the government is taking steps to minimise the impact, Agriculture Minister Radha Mohan Singh said."Agricultural crops have been affected for the third straight season due to adverse weather conditions in last 18 months of the Modi government," Singh said while addressing a farm machinisation event 'Agrimach' here.In 2014, kharif (summer) crops were affected due to 12 per cent deficit rains, while rabi (winter) crops like wheat got damaged due to unseasonal rains and hailstorm, he said."This year too, kharif crops were affected due to drought situation in the wake of 14 per cent deficit rains. Now, rabi crops are facing both drought and floods," he said.The government is taking measures to reduce the impact of such natural calamities, he said adding "We cannot stop the natural calamities but we can reduce its impact with use of new technologies and contingency plan."Sowing of rabi crops has begun from October. The ongoing sowing operation of rabi crops has been affected due to high temperature in some parts as well as floods in South India, especially in Tamil Nadu.The total area sown to wheat and other rabi crops is lagging behind at 317.96 lakh hectare till last week of the ongoing rabi season compared with 372.61 lakh hectare in the year-ago period, as per the government data. Companies working in the food processing sector -- from Field Fresh to Cargill -- feel more investment is required in farmland for building up infrastructure and providing technology to farmers.They feel opening up vegetable and fruit retailing to foreign invvestments would help farmers get a better price, while consumers will get cheaper rates. Earlier this week, food processing minister Harsimrat Kaur Badal while interacting with a leading newspaper said foreign invvestments in foods, fruits, agriculture and perishable processing will be a huge boost to the sector."FDI in processing and retailing of fresh fruits and vegetables is a great idea. Guar rates stabilized at the lower levels as some bounce back from short covering noted. No strong Bullish Fundamentals emerged inthe mandis. Low exports, higher arrivals and stocks and falling Crude oil prices have been keeping prices down for the last few months, with low signs of recovery.India had exported 4874 tons of guar gum powder, 744 tons of guar splits and 1380 tons of guar meal during the last week of October 2015,.Latest week export figure took the October month export to 21816 tonsof guar products. Out of the total guar exports, 13106 tons of Guargum, 3404 tons of Splits and 5306 tons of Guar meals exported in October 2015. Last year India exported 33867 tons of Guar products at the same period.Markets are unable to recover in present term, despite having fallen from above 13000 to nearly 8000 levels. The new crop arrivals are preventing markets from staging a decent recovery. Last 2 years of higher production have ensured higher stocks for Guar this year, thus keeping prices down. In Rajasthan, 2013-14 production was reportedly more than 28 lakh tons and 2014- 15 production nearly 28 lakh tons. Jeera settled up due to slow progress of sowing at the major producing regions of Gujarat and Rajasthan. Though, fall in demand from retailers and stockists and exports from India are likely to decline by about 40-45 per cent, capped some gains. Gujarat, the top cumin producing state, has planted less cumin until Nov 23, 2015 compared to last year sowing progress. In Gujarat, jeera is planted in 46 % less area at 63,400 hectares compared to 1, 17,400 hectares last year same time.According to govt data, exports for 2015-16 shows a decline trend compared to last year until September .Geo-political trouble in two major exporting countries – Syria and Turkey – seems to have failed to spice up jeera exports from India due to higher domestic price As per Department of commerce data, exports from India in first five months of FY 2015-16 is 36,882 MT. Jeera exports from India are likely to decline by about 40-45 per cent to around 85,000-1,00,000 tonnes during 2015-16 compared to an estimated exports of around 1,55,000 tonnes last year.
  • 5. 5 Fundamental Watch : Sugar SUGAR PRICES AT KEY SPOT MARKETNational Market Update 351 sugar mills in India had produced 23.6 lakh tons of sugar in MY 2015- 16 (01st Oct, 2015 – 30th Nov, 2015) which was 24.3% higher than the sugar produced last year during the same interval. An early start up of crushing operation in Maharashtra this year led the state to produce 12.87 lakh tons of sugar in 2015-16 16 (01st Oct, 2015 – 30th Nov, 2015) compared to 11.95 lakh tons of production in 2014-15 16 (01st Oct, 2014 – 30th Nov, 2014). Cane crushing has been recently started in the state of Uttar Pradesh which had churned out 1.80 lakh tons of sugar in 2015-16(till 30th Nov, 2015) compared to 1.00 lakh tons of sugar in 2014-15 (till 30th nov, 2014). Sugar production rose by 77.5% in Karnataka which had produced 5.68 lakh tons of sugar in 2015-16 (01st Oct, 2015 – 30th Nov, 2015) as compared to 3.20 lakh tons of sugar in 2014-15 (01st Oct, 2014 – 30th Nov, 2014). 18 sugar mills in Gujarat had crushed around 2.25 lakh tons of sugar in 2015-16 (01st Oct, 2015 – 30th Nov, 2015) which was 33.1% higher than the sugar produced last year during the corresponding period. Indian sugar export rose by 44% as the country exported 61.9 thousand tons of sugar this week (ending on 29th November, 2015) compared to 43 thousand tons of sugar exported the previous week. Brazil raw sugar export declined by 3.35% in the month of November, 2015 as the country exported 2 MT of sugar during the month compared to 2.07 MT of exports in October, 2015. CENTER 04-Dec-15 03-Dec-15 Change DELHI 2800 2800 UNCH MUMBAI 2866 2860 +6 VIJAYWADA 2980 2980 UNCH NAGPUR NA NA - CHENNAI 2725 NA - AMBIKAPUR NA NA - DHAMPUR NA NA -
  • 6. Technical Outlook 6 BUY CORIANDER JAN ABOVE 10320 TARGET 10365 10515 SL BELOW 10255 SELL GUARGUM JAN BELOW 6650 TARGET 6600 6530 SL ABOVE 6710 BUY TURMERIC APRIL ABOVE 10236 TARGET 10280 10340 SL BELOW 10176 BUY CASTORSEED JAN ABOVE 3962 TARGET 3987 4017 SL BELOW 3937
  • 7. Disclaimer  The information and views in this report, our website & all the service we provide are believed to be reliable, but we do not accept any responsibility (or liability) for errors of fact or opinion. Users have the right to choose the product/s that suits them the most.  Sincere efforts have been made to present the right investment perspective. The information contained herein is based on analysis and up on sources that we consider reliable. This material is for personal information and based upon it & takes no responsibility.  The information given herein should be treated as only factor, while making investment decision. The report does not provide individually tailor-made investment advice. Epic research recommends that investors independently evaluate particular investments and strategies, and encourages investors to seek the advice of a financial adviser. Epic research shall not be responsible for any transaction conducted based on the information given in this report, which is in violation of rules and regulations of NSE and BSE.  The share price projections shown are not necessarily indicative of future price performance. The information herein, together with all estimates and forecasts, can change without notice. Analyst or any person related to epic research might be holding positions in the stocks recommended. It is understood that anyone who is browsing through the site has done so at his free will and does not read any views expressed as a recommendation for which either the site or its owners or anyone can be held responsible for. Any surfing and reading of the information is the acceptance of this disclaimer. All Rights Reserved.  Investment in equity & bullion market has its own risks.  We, however, do not vouch for the accuracy or the completeness thereof. we are not responsible for any loss incurred whatsoever for any financial profits or loss which may arise from the recommendations above epic research does not purport to be an invitation or an offer to buy or sell any financial instrument. Our Clients (Paid Or Unpaid), Any third party or anyone else have no rights to forward or share our calls or SMS or Report or Any Information Provided by us to/with anyone which is received directly or indirectly by them. If found so then Serious Legal Actions can be taken.