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Epic research daily agri report 07 dec 2015
1. DAILY AGRI COMMODITY REPORT
07 December 2015
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2. Market Views
2
MONTH OPEN HIGH LOW CLOSE % CHG VOL MONTH OPEN HIGH LOW CLOSE % CHG VOL
TURMERIC
APR 10162 10236 10092 10180 +0.65 5045
INTRADAY
LEVELS
SUPPORT SUPP. 1
10103
SUPP. 2
10025
PIVOT
10169
Turmeric short term
trend is bullish and
May continue in
coming days.RESISTAN
CE
RES. 1
10247
RES. 2
10313
CORIANDER
JAN 10114 10200 10032 10032 -0.46 3670
INTRADAY
LEVELS
SUPPORT SUPP.1
9976
SUPP. 2
9920
PIVOT
10088
Coriander short term
trend is bullish and May
continue in coming
days.RESISTAN
CE
RES. 1
10144
RES. 2
10256
GUARGUM
JAN 6750 6820 6700 6710 +0.15 9182
INTRADAY
LEVELS
SUPPORT SUPP. 1
6667
SUPP. 2
6623
PIVOT
6743
Guargum short term
trend is bearish and
May continue in
coming days.RESISTAN
CE
RES. 1
6787
RES. 2
6863
CASTORSEED
JAN 3860 3969 3911 3942 +0.10 31320
INTRADAY
LEVELS
SUPPORT SUPP. 1
3912
SUPP. 2
3883
PIVOT
3941
Castorseed short term
trend is bullish and
May continue in
coming day.RESISTAN
CE
RES. 1
3970
RES. 2
3999
3. Most Active Contract
3
NCDEX INDICES
Index Value
Pre.
Close
%
Change
CASTORSEED 3858 3853 +0.13
CHANA 5055 5104 -0.96
CORIANDER 10171 10196 -0.25
GUARGUM 6580 6570 +0.15
JEERA 15770 15775 -0.03
MUSTARD
SEED
4690 4725 -0.74
SOYABEAN 3673 3680 -0.19
TURMERIC 9290 9226 +0.69
TOP LOSERS
SYMBOL EXPIRY DATE
CURRENT
PRICE
CHANGE
CHANGE
%
CHANA 18-12-2015 5055.00 -55.00 -1.08%
BARLEY 18-12-2015 1471.50 -15.50 -1.04%
CORIANDER 18-12-2015 10171.00 -78.00 -0.76%
RAPESEED-MUSTARD
SEED
18-12-2015 4690.00 -35.00 -0.74%
COTTON SEED OIL CAKE
AKOLA
18-12-2015 1737.00 -9.00 -0.52%
JEERA 18-12-2015 15770.00 -55.00 -0.35%
SOYABEAN 18-12-2015 3673.00 -12.00 -0.33%
TOP GAINERS
SYMBOL EXPIRY DATE
CURRENT
PRICE
CHANGE CHANGE %
TURMERIC 18-12-2015 9290.00 42.00 0.45%
REFINED SOY OIL 18-12-2015 628.65 1.65 0.26%
CASTOR SEED NEW 18-12-2015 3858.00 2.00 0.05%
4. Commodities In News
4
ECONOMIC NEWS
Sowing of rabi crops like wheat has been affected due to both drought
and floods this year and the government is taking steps to minimise the
impact, Agriculture Minister Radha Mohan Singh said."Agricultural crops
have been affected for the third straight season due to adverse weather
conditions in last 18 months of the Modi government," Singh said while
addressing a farm machinisation event 'Agrimach' here.In 2014, kharif
(summer) crops were affected due to 12 per cent deficit rains, while rabi
(winter) crops like wheat got damaged due to unseasonal rains and
hailstorm, he said."This year too, kharif crops were affected due to drought
situation in the wake of 14 per cent deficit rains. Now, rabi crops are facing
both drought and floods," he said.The government is taking measures to
reduce the impact of such natural calamities, he said adding "We cannot
stop the natural calamities but we can reduce its impact with use of new
technologies and contingency plan."Sowing of rabi crops has begun from
October. The ongoing sowing operation of rabi crops has been affected due
to high temperature in some parts as well as floods in South India,
especially in Tamil Nadu.The total area sown to wheat and other rabi crops
is lagging behind at 317.96 lakh hectare till last week of the ongoing rabi
season compared with 372.61 lakh hectare in the year-ago period, as per
the government data.
Companies working in the food processing sector -- from Field Fresh to
Cargill -- feel more investment is required in farmland for building up
infrastructure and providing technology to farmers.They feel opening up
vegetable and fruit retailing to foreign invvestments would help farmers get
a better price, while consumers will get cheaper rates. Earlier this week,
food processing minister Harsimrat Kaur Badal while interacting with a
leading newspaper said foreign invvestments in foods, fruits, agriculture
and perishable processing will be a huge boost to the sector."FDI in
processing and retailing of fresh fruits and vegetables is a great idea.
Guar rates stabilized at the lower levels as some bounce back from
short covering noted. No strong Bullish Fundamentals emerged inthe
mandis. Low exports, higher arrivals and stocks and falling Crude oil
prices have been keeping prices down for the last few months, with low
signs of recovery.India had exported 4874 tons of guar gum powder,
744 tons of guar splits and 1380 tons of guar meal during the last week
of October 2015,.Latest week export figure took the October month
export to 21816 tonsof guar products. Out of the total guar exports,
13106 tons of Guargum, 3404 tons of Splits and 5306 tons of Guar
meals exported in October 2015. Last year India exported 33867 tons
of Guar products at the same period.Markets are unable to recover in
present term, despite having fallen from above 13000 to nearly 8000
levels. The new crop arrivals are preventing markets from staging a
decent recovery. Last 2 years of higher production have ensured higher
stocks for Guar this year, thus keeping prices down. In Rajasthan,
2013-14 production was reportedly more than 28 lakh tons and 2014-
15 production nearly 28 lakh tons.
Jeera settled up due to slow progress of sowing at the major
producing regions of Gujarat and Rajasthan. Though, fall in demand
from retailers and stockists and exports from India are likely to decline
by about 40-45 per cent, capped some gains. Gujarat, the top cumin
producing state, has planted less cumin until Nov 23, 2015 compared to
last year sowing progress. In Gujarat, jeera is planted in 46 % less area
at 63,400 hectares compared to 1, 17,400 hectares last year same
time.According to govt data, exports for 2015-16 shows a decline trend
compared to last year until September .Geo-political trouble in two
major exporting countries – Syria and Turkey – seems to have failed to
spice up jeera exports from India due to higher domestic price As per
Department of commerce data, exports from India in first five months
of FY 2015-16 is 36,882 MT. Jeera exports from India are likely to
decline by about 40-45 per cent to around 85,000-1,00,000 tonnes
during 2015-16 compared to an estimated exports of around 1,55,000
tonnes last year.
5. 5
Fundamental Watch : Sugar
SUGAR PRICES AT KEY SPOT MARKETNational Market Update
351 sugar mills in India had produced 23.6 lakh tons of sugar in MY 2015-
16 (01st Oct, 2015 – 30th Nov, 2015) which was 24.3% higher than the sugar
produced last year during the same interval.
An early start up of crushing operation in Maharashtra this year led the state
to produce 12.87 lakh tons of sugar in 2015-16 16 (01st Oct, 2015 – 30th Nov,
2015) compared to 11.95 lakh tons of production in 2014-15 16 (01st Oct,
2014 – 30th Nov, 2014).
Cane crushing has been recently started in the state of Uttar Pradesh which
had churned out 1.80 lakh tons of sugar in 2015-16(till 30th Nov, 2015)
compared to 1.00 lakh tons of sugar in 2014-15 (till 30th nov, 2014).
Sugar production rose by 77.5% in Karnataka which had produced 5.68 lakh
tons of sugar in 2015-16 (01st Oct, 2015 – 30th Nov, 2015) as compared to
3.20 lakh tons of sugar in 2014-15 (01st Oct, 2014 – 30th Nov, 2014).
18 sugar mills in Gujarat had crushed around 2.25 lakh tons of sugar in
2015-16 (01st Oct, 2015 – 30th Nov, 2015) which was 33.1% higher than the
sugar produced last year during the corresponding period.
Indian sugar export rose by 44% as the country exported 61.9 thousand tons
of sugar this week (ending on 29th November, 2015) compared to 43 thousand
tons of sugar exported the previous week.
Brazil raw sugar export declined by 3.35% in the month of November, 2015
as the country exported 2 MT of sugar during the month compared to 2.07 MT
of exports in October, 2015.
CENTER 04-Dec-15 03-Dec-15 Change
DELHI 2800 2800 UNCH
MUMBAI 2866 2860 +6
VIJAYWADA 2980 2980 UNCH
NAGPUR NA NA -
CHENNAI 2725 NA -
AMBIKAPUR NA NA -
DHAMPUR NA NA -
6. Technical Outlook
6
BUY CORIANDER JAN ABOVE 10320 TARGET 10365 10515 SL
BELOW 10255
SELL GUARGUM JAN BELOW 6650 TARGET 6600 6530 SL
ABOVE 6710
BUY TURMERIC APRIL ABOVE 10236 TARGET 10280 10340 SL
BELOW 10176
BUY CASTORSEED JAN ABOVE 3962 TARGET 3987 4017 SL
BELOW 3937
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