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Challenging 
South Australia’s Myths 
About China 
Key Conclusions from the Joint Research Project 
‘White Paper’: “Business Engagement with China: 
A Strategy for South Australia’s Future?” 
19 April 2011 
Glen B. Wheatley, Best Solutions International Pty Ltd
Notes 
& Appreciation 
• The Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) was a key data source 
• Unfortunately the ABS cannot supply detailed 
statistics for service exports and imports 
• Goods which either departed or arrived via another state are not 
included, eg. goods destined for SA may be in NSW statistics 
• Special thanks for their support 
• Education Adelaide 
• South Australian Wine Industry Association 
• South Australian Tourism Commission 
• South Australian Chamber of Mining and Energy 
• Jim Wilson, Glen Stafford, Annette Wheatley & Geoff Upton
Key Conclusions 
• Over 4,500 jobs in SA are dependent on China exports, 
mainly in mining, education & wine 
• China is South Australia’s largest trading partner 
• Top four exports: mining ($833 M), education ($328 M), wool ($69 M) & wine ($66 M) 
• Industry leaders see China’s importance growing, 
but are concerned about the future 
• Position is fragile without strategic approach and lack of coordinated policy formulation 
• Need to increase the value-add of SA exports 
• Traditional manufacturing must adapt as the world globalises 
• Without a cooperative and strategic approach, 
SA will become a “has been” with China 
• SA as a small state can only compete on the world stage with unique value-add 
• Together we can be powerful: SA with resources & technology; China with capital & markets
Myth 1: SA Buys More 
From China Than it Sells 
Since 2005 we have sold more than we have bought 
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 
1,800 
1,600 
1,400 
1,200 
1,000 
800 
600 
400 
200 
0 
Imports 624 773 1,003 1,160 994 
Exports 735 768 1,012 1,269 1,544 
SA Goods Exports 2009 
Total: $ 8,318 Million 
SA Goods & Services Trade with China 
in M $ 
Sources: 5368.0 International Trade in Goods and 
Services, Australia, Table 36d Merchandise Exports 
& Table 37d Merchandise Imports; ABS custom from 
May 2010; & calculations by the author
Myth 2: China is a Threat to SA 
China trade is increasing net employment in SA 
Job Count 2009 – All Industries Wages Earned 2009– All Industries in M$ 
Net Positive Effect of China Trade for SA in 2009 
Best Case: 4,902 jobs = $ 320 Million in wages = $ 84 M in payroll taxes 
Worst Case: 3,293 jobs = $ 234 Million in wages = $62 M in payroll taxes 
Approach: Total export/import per sector divided by the average revenue per employee. Author grouped 
imports into those with viable local (SA/AUS) producer and those without to determine total imports 
which might be replacing local jobs. 
Sources: ABS 6302.0 Average Weekly Earnings, Australia, TABLE 10I. Average Weekly Earnings, 
Industry; Series 81550DO001-200809 Australian Industry 08-09, ABS custom from May 2010; & 
calculations by the author
Myth 3: China is a Cheap Mass Market 
China has changed enormously in the last thirty years
Myth 3: China is a Cheap Mass Market, cont. 
China’s consumer spending has changed greatly since the ‘70s 
Source: “China's luxury boom - The Middle Blingdom”, 
The Economist, 17 February 2011 . Also see points below 
Australian Wine Exports 2008 
Total value and average per litre prices 
Source: AWBC - Wine Export Approval Report, Dec. '08 
“Ask a well-heeled Chinese lady about her new handbag and she is quite likely to 
point out that she bought it in Paris. This tells you not only that she is rich enough to 
travel, but also that the bag is genuine.” 
Including Chinese purchases outside China (55%!), the nation’s share of the global 
luxury market will triple, to 44%, by 2020
Myth 4: Communicating 
with Chinese is Easy 
Cross-cultural communication can be challenging 
Survey respondents who 
found communicating with 
the following nationalities 
difficult or very difficult 
Source: Joint Research Report online survey, 
October-November 2010, total of 51 respondents 
Poor preparation could cost SA 
$53 Million annually 
Approach: Total SA exports and imports multiplied by potential 
efficiency increase due to better cross-cultural and language 
preparation. Similarly lost time and energy due to 
misunderstandings assumed to be 2 workdays per year.
Myth 5: SA has a Clear China Strategy 
Collectively, we could be better in: 
• Analysing, interpreting & planning 
we have had insufficient transparent information and interpretation 
• Setting China as a priority 
• Coordinating our efforts between 
companies, industry groups & government 
• Identifying our true strengths and highest value-add 
and taking a sustainable approach to business 
• Formulating state and national policy to support 
our shared goals & strategy
Investing in Our Future with China 
Do we just milk the cow or do we invest in its health? 
Estimated Net Return from 
2009 SA Exports to China 
Total: $200 M 
Suggested Re-Investment 
of Part of Return in M$ 
Suggested Investments in SA’s China Future 
Cross-cultural & language training, market analysis & strategy, 
manufacturing & service innovation, 
entrepreneurship & investment attraction, communication & promotion 
Approach: Total calculatory wages multiplied by an average 25% income tax (15% for 
superannuation payments). Corporate profits were assumed to be 7.5% of revenue, 
which was then taxed at 30%.
Learn From the Fable of 
Fred the Manufacturer 
• Perfect World of Oz (?) 
• Fred makes toasters in his company “Toastmasters” 
• He is happy that the high walls around Oz protect him 
• Life is easy without much competitive pressure 
• Threat Looms from Overseas 
• Somebody in Emerald City lets in toasters with the sticker “made in China” 
• The toasters are OK, but Fred knows his are better and continues his ways 
• Fred notices that sales are dropping, blames the Chinese, but continues his ways 
• Generation V-A (Value-Add) Enters 
• Despite Fred’s protests, his son Frank learns Chinese & goes on an exchange program 
• Frank is modern and develops a really smart new toaster with a cool design 
• Fred is worried about the raw material and assembly costs of the new toaster 
• F&F Focus on Core Strengths 
• Frank imports the commodity bits from China but keeps the “brain” of the toaster in Oz 
• F&F listen to their customers and do smart marketing, so sales boom 
• F&F start exporting, becoming fans of globalisation 
• F&F invest more & more in R&D, always introducing the next best kitchen gadget 
• Toastmasters becomes the world standard and is now sold in 30 countries
Silly Story? 
Think Again – It’s Just like Breville! 
Development of Underlying Earnings* at HWI/Breville in % of Revenue 
16% 
14% 
12% 
10% 
8% 
6% 
4% 
2% 
0% 
HWI Chairman, June 2005: 
“PI was aware that significant 
change was needed and inevitable. 
...HWI will emerge as a very strong 
global participant in our industry..." 
FY01 FY02 FY03 FY04 FY05 FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 HY11 
*Underlying Earnings before interest, tax, depreciation & amortisation (Underlying EBITDA) 
Sources: HWI/Breville Group Annual Reports 2001 to 2010 and Breville Half Year Results to 
December 2010. 
Breville Chairman, June 2010: 
"...underlying and reported profit after tax for the 
yearPincreasing by 65% and 92.1% respectively. 
The progress achievedPre-affirms the group's strategy 
of focusing on the development of innovative products 
and leveraging those products across multiple 
geographies.”
So What Can 
Each of Us Do? 
• Increase your knowledge about China and encourage 
those around you to do the same 
• Ask yourself "How could China's development affect me 
and how can I constructively become engaged? 
• Share & discuss the White Paper and this presentation 
with people around you 
• Ask your leader “What is our China strategy?" 
• Find out for yourself: Speak with Chinese here in SA 
or travel to China 
• Build up a China-focused team in your organisation and 
constantly increase its understanding of China 
• Take an active role in the interface between SA & China 
by joining ACBC and similar groups
Thank You for Your Attention! 
Please feel free to approach us with comments, questions or ideas! 
Confucius Institute at the University of Adelaide 
Annette Wheatley, Business Program Manager 
T: 8303 4798 
E: confucius.institute@adelaide.edu.au 
Australia China Business Council (SA) 
Sean Keenihan, President 
T: 8223 6808 
E: acbcsa@acbc.com.au 
Best Solutions International Pty Ltd 
Glen B. Wheatley, Director 
T: 8338 6299 
E: glen.wheatley@bestsolutionsintl.com

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Challenging South Australian Myths about China - Engaging with the Rising Economic Power

  • 1. Challenging South Australia’s Myths About China Key Conclusions from the Joint Research Project ‘White Paper’: “Business Engagement with China: A Strategy for South Australia’s Future?” 19 April 2011 Glen B. Wheatley, Best Solutions International Pty Ltd
  • 2. Notes & Appreciation • The Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) was a key data source • Unfortunately the ABS cannot supply detailed statistics for service exports and imports • Goods which either departed or arrived via another state are not included, eg. goods destined for SA may be in NSW statistics • Special thanks for their support • Education Adelaide • South Australian Wine Industry Association • South Australian Tourism Commission • South Australian Chamber of Mining and Energy • Jim Wilson, Glen Stafford, Annette Wheatley & Geoff Upton
  • 3. Key Conclusions • Over 4,500 jobs in SA are dependent on China exports, mainly in mining, education & wine • China is South Australia’s largest trading partner • Top four exports: mining ($833 M), education ($328 M), wool ($69 M) & wine ($66 M) • Industry leaders see China’s importance growing, but are concerned about the future • Position is fragile without strategic approach and lack of coordinated policy formulation • Need to increase the value-add of SA exports • Traditional manufacturing must adapt as the world globalises • Without a cooperative and strategic approach, SA will become a “has been” with China • SA as a small state can only compete on the world stage with unique value-add • Together we can be powerful: SA with resources & technology; China with capital & markets
  • 4. Myth 1: SA Buys More From China Than it Sells Since 2005 we have sold more than we have bought 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 1,800 1,600 1,400 1,200 1,000 800 600 400 200 0 Imports 624 773 1,003 1,160 994 Exports 735 768 1,012 1,269 1,544 SA Goods Exports 2009 Total: $ 8,318 Million SA Goods & Services Trade with China in M $ Sources: 5368.0 International Trade in Goods and Services, Australia, Table 36d Merchandise Exports & Table 37d Merchandise Imports; ABS custom from May 2010; & calculations by the author
  • 5. Myth 2: China is a Threat to SA China trade is increasing net employment in SA Job Count 2009 – All Industries Wages Earned 2009– All Industries in M$ Net Positive Effect of China Trade for SA in 2009 Best Case: 4,902 jobs = $ 320 Million in wages = $ 84 M in payroll taxes Worst Case: 3,293 jobs = $ 234 Million in wages = $62 M in payroll taxes Approach: Total export/import per sector divided by the average revenue per employee. Author grouped imports into those with viable local (SA/AUS) producer and those without to determine total imports which might be replacing local jobs. Sources: ABS 6302.0 Average Weekly Earnings, Australia, TABLE 10I. Average Weekly Earnings, Industry; Series 81550DO001-200809 Australian Industry 08-09, ABS custom from May 2010; & calculations by the author
  • 6. Myth 3: China is a Cheap Mass Market China has changed enormously in the last thirty years
  • 7. Myth 3: China is a Cheap Mass Market, cont. China’s consumer spending has changed greatly since the ‘70s Source: “China's luxury boom - The Middle Blingdom”, The Economist, 17 February 2011 . Also see points below Australian Wine Exports 2008 Total value and average per litre prices Source: AWBC - Wine Export Approval Report, Dec. '08 “Ask a well-heeled Chinese lady about her new handbag and she is quite likely to point out that she bought it in Paris. This tells you not only that she is rich enough to travel, but also that the bag is genuine.” Including Chinese purchases outside China (55%!), the nation’s share of the global luxury market will triple, to 44%, by 2020
  • 8. Myth 4: Communicating with Chinese is Easy Cross-cultural communication can be challenging Survey respondents who found communicating with the following nationalities difficult or very difficult Source: Joint Research Report online survey, October-November 2010, total of 51 respondents Poor preparation could cost SA $53 Million annually Approach: Total SA exports and imports multiplied by potential efficiency increase due to better cross-cultural and language preparation. Similarly lost time and energy due to misunderstandings assumed to be 2 workdays per year.
  • 9. Myth 5: SA has a Clear China Strategy Collectively, we could be better in: • Analysing, interpreting & planning we have had insufficient transparent information and interpretation • Setting China as a priority • Coordinating our efforts between companies, industry groups & government • Identifying our true strengths and highest value-add and taking a sustainable approach to business • Formulating state and national policy to support our shared goals & strategy
  • 10. Investing in Our Future with China Do we just milk the cow or do we invest in its health? Estimated Net Return from 2009 SA Exports to China Total: $200 M Suggested Re-Investment of Part of Return in M$ Suggested Investments in SA’s China Future Cross-cultural & language training, market analysis & strategy, manufacturing & service innovation, entrepreneurship & investment attraction, communication & promotion Approach: Total calculatory wages multiplied by an average 25% income tax (15% for superannuation payments). Corporate profits were assumed to be 7.5% of revenue, which was then taxed at 30%.
  • 11. Learn From the Fable of Fred the Manufacturer • Perfect World of Oz (?) • Fred makes toasters in his company “Toastmasters” • He is happy that the high walls around Oz protect him • Life is easy without much competitive pressure • Threat Looms from Overseas • Somebody in Emerald City lets in toasters with the sticker “made in China” • The toasters are OK, but Fred knows his are better and continues his ways • Fred notices that sales are dropping, blames the Chinese, but continues his ways • Generation V-A (Value-Add) Enters • Despite Fred’s protests, his son Frank learns Chinese & goes on an exchange program • Frank is modern and develops a really smart new toaster with a cool design • Fred is worried about the raw material and assembly costs of the new toaster • F&F Focus on Core Strengths • Frank imports the commodity bits from China but keeps the “brain” of the toaster in Oz • F&F listen to their customers and do smart marketing, so sales boom • F&F start exporting, becoming fans of globalisation • F&F invest more & more in R&D, always introducing the next best kitchen gadget • Toastmasters becomes the world standard and is now sold in 30 countries
  • 12. Silly Story? Think Again – It’s Just like Breville! Development of Underlying Earnings* at HWI/Breville in % of Revenue 16% 14% 12% 10% 8% 6% 4% 2% 0% HWI Chairman, June 2005: “PI was aware that significant change was needed and inevitable. ...HWI will emerge as a very strong global participant in our industry..." FY01 FY02 FY03 FY04 FY05 FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 HY11 *Underlying Earnings before interest, tax, depreciation & amortisation (Underlying EBITDA) Sources: HWI/Breville Group Annual Reports 2001 to 2010 and Breville Half Year Results to December 2010. Breville Chairman, June 2010: "...underlying and reported profit after tax for the yearPincreasing by 65% and 92.1% respectively. The progress achievedPre-affirms the group's strategy of focusing on the development of innovative products and leveraging those products across multiple geographies.”
  • 13. So What Can Each of Us Do? • Increase your knowledge about China and encourage those around you to do the same • Ask yourself "How could China's development affect me and how can I constructively become engaged? • Share & discuss the White Paper and this presentation with people around you • Ask your leader “What is our China strategy?" • Find out for yourself: Speak with Chinese here in SA or travel to China • Build up a China-focused team in your organisation and constantly increase its understanding of China • Take an active role in the interface between SA & China by joining ACBC and similar groups
  • 14. Thank You for Your Attention! Please feel free to approach us with comments, questions or ideas! Confucius Institute at the University of Adelaide Annette Wheatley, Business Program Manager T: 8303 4798 E: confucius.institute@adelaide.edu.au Australia China Business Council (SA) Sean Keenihan, President T: 8223 6808 E: acbcsa@acbc.com.au Best Solutions International Pty Ltd Glen B. Wheatley, Director T: 8338 6299 E: glen.wheatley@bestsolutionsintl.com