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The future for Software developers by 2040

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The future for Software developers by 2040

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How the latest trends in artificial intelligence, tools & remote working will impact software engineering by 2040 and how developers can thrive?
Key Points:
Developers are changing the world,
Work from home - will it last?,
Technology - Current (AI, Automation, Low-Code) and future (GitHub CoPilot, OpenAI Codex), and Career Progression.

Learn more from my blog at https://venkatarangan.com and watch the recording at https://youtu.be/Jo11bFMOYnE

How the latest trends in artificial intelligence, tools & remote working will impact software engineering by 2040 and how developers can thrive?
Key Points:
Developers are changing the world,
Work from home - will it last?,
Technology - Current (AI, Automation, Low-Code) and future (GitHub CoPilot, OpenAI Codex), and Career Progression.

Learn more from my blog at https://venkatarangan.com and watch the recording at https://youtu.be/Jo11bFMOYnE

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The future for Software developers by 2040

  1. 1. Azure Community Conference 2021 India’s largest Azure Conference #AzConfDev
  2. 2. #AzConfDev Title Sponsor Gold Sponsor Community Partner
  3. 3. #AzConfDev The future of Software developers by 2040 How latest trends will impact software engineering by 2040 and how developers can thrive. 29th October 2021 | 3 PM | Track 3
  4. 4. #AzConfDev VENKATARANGAN THIRUMALAI Whitespace leader, CEO Coach & Microsoft Regional Director (Honorary)
  5. 5. #AzConfDev Why me for this talk? • An engineer with 25 years experience in running a software firm(s) with operations in India, USA and UK • Been through four industry’, three business cycles & architected several high- traffic applications • A Microsoft Regional Director (Honorary) from 1999 • Created Simpligic – a U.S.patent pending (62/343,406) news app • Predicted in 2003, that Mobile Phones will be the first and only computer for the developing world
  6. 6. #AzConfDev 1. Job Market 2. Work from Home 3. Technology trends 4. How to stay relevant? [C.O.L.A.] Agenda
  7. 7. The story of the “compiler”
  8. 8. #AzConfDev Look at vaccine development & rollout Developers are changing the world
  9. 9. #AzConfDev Ben Zorn, Partner Researcher, Microsoft Research “If you think about the world that we’re in now, software plays a key role in our lives – in everything we do… if we make software better, then we can make all the things that depend on software better”
  10. 10. #AzConfDev • Number of graduates 36 Million per year (9 Arts, 5 in Science, 4 in Commerce, 6 in Management, 3 in Law, 4 Million in Engineering) in India • Total Engineers in India is about 1.5 to 2.5 Million per year • 20-30% don’t find a job • Computer Science is 0.9 Million Not enough software engineers
  11. 11. #AzConfDev
  12. 12. #AzConfDev Boom time for software developers Q2 Revenue YoY Growth Net Income YoY Growth Vaccinated Attrition Rate Hiring Trends HCL US$2.79B 11.3% US$441M 4.0% over 70% 15.7% 11,135 new hires Infosys US$3.99B 20.7% $734M 11.9% 86% one dose 20.1% (voluntary LTM) 11,664 new hires TCS US$6.33B 16.8% US$1.30B 6.5% 95% one dose, 70% full 11.9% (LTM) 19,690 new hires Wipro US$2.7B 30.1% US$395M 18.9% 85% one dose, 50% full 20.5% 8150 new 'freshers' in Q2 www.theregister.com/2021/10/20/india_it_services_covid/
  13. 13. #AzConfDev Good times don’t last • Domestic software firms that employee over 16 million are set to slash headcounts by a massive 3 million by 2022. • More in-sourcing will happen, global dev centres will come Reference: economictimes.indiatimes.com/jobs/it-companies-set-to-slash-3-mn-jobs-by-2022-due-to-automation-to-save-100-bn-in-cost- report/articleshow/83575396.cms
  14. 14. #AzConfDev Jobs at risk due to Automation by 2030 mckinsey.com/featured-insights/gender-equality/the-future-of-women-at-work-transitions-in-the-age-of-automation
  15. 15. #AzConfDev Work from home
  16. 16. #AzConfDev
  17. 17. #AzConfDev
  18. 18. #AzConfDev It is here to stay • Automattic was always remote • Twitter & Facebook in the USA • Shipsy & Tata Steel in India
  19. 19. #AzConfDev Post pandemic, percentage of remote only software development roles in India* * Based on my interviews 30-40%
  20. 20. #AzConfDev Technology – AI, Automation & more…
  21. 21. #AzConfDev Low-Code & No-Code • Companies have an average of 129 apps, some have over 200 apps* • Internal or professional applications costs average of $45,000 per application * Study by Okta Inc in 2018
  22. 22. #AzConfDev CODEX from OPEN AI - Instruction Reference: openai.com/blog/openai-codex/
  23. 23. #AzConfDev CODEX - Output
  24. 24. #AzConfDev CODEX: Spot it arxiv.org/pdf/2107.03374.pdf
  25. 25. #AzConfDev Title
  26. 26. #AzConfDev I got into the technical preview
  27. 27. #AzConfDev Copilot: Benefits • Convert comments to code • Autofill repetitive code • Test without the toil • Provide Alternative approaches
  28. 28. #AzConfDev kite.com Kite for Python
  29. 29. #AzConfDev CodeBERT: Microsoft Research
  30. 30. #AzConfDev Sketch2Code from Microsoft AI Labs microsoft.com/en-us/ai/ai-lab-sketch2code
  31. 31. #AzConfDev URL2Video from Google ai.googleblog.com/2020/10/experimenting-with-automatic-video.html
  32. 32. #AzConfDev Code Defect AI by Microsoft AI Labs microsoft.com/en-us/ai/ai-lab-code-defect
  33. 33. #AzConfDev functionize.com Testing by Functionize
  34. 34. #AzConfDev Q#
  35. 35. #AzConfDev Technology trends • AI-based dev tools will help quality requirements (No move fast; fail fast) • Assign pair programming partners based on similarity of programming style • Scrum Backlog assignments will be by AI • Identify duplication, spot trends, do fewer and fewer rudimentary operations • Read more at: microsoft.com/en-us/research/blog/research-collection-creating-the-future-of-software-development/ https://ieeexplore.ieee.org/document/9121618
  36. 36. #AzConfDev How to stay relevant?
  37. 37. #AzConfDev • Continuous Learning • Use tools (No-Code, AI, Automation) to Augment your skills CO.L.A.
  38. 38. #AzConfDev Going to be upside-down Work involved in Software development: ↗️ ⬇️ ⬇️
  39. 39. #AzConfDev Lattice Career Progression • No lifelong jobs or roles • Auto Drive vs Sports Mode • Be ready for regulations and certifications
  40. 40. #AzConfDev Be truly global • Hybrid working • Global teams
  41. 41. #AzConfDev 1. Job Market: Its fantastic now, but won’t stay that way 2. Work from Home: It is here to stay, 30-40% roles will be remote 3. Technology trends: AI dev tools will get better & better 4. How to stay relevant? [C.O.L.A.] Recap
  42. 42. #AzConfDev Our Partners
  43. 43. #AzConfDev Communities
  44. 44. #AzConfDev THANK YOU! @venkatarangan tncv.me
  45. 45. #AzConfDev Q & A

Notas do Editor

  • Reduce keystrokes by 50%
  • 63 Million MSME business in India and each of them is a software business
  • Common words now are Pandemic, Lock down, Work from Home. Followed by Artificial Intelligence & Automation.
  • https://www.kite.com/

    Also there are https://www.tabnine.com/blog/deep/
  • https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sUS61p6n4_g&t=49s
  • https://www.microsoft.com/en-us/ai/ai-lab-sketch2code
  • https://ai.googleblog.com/2020/10/experimenting-with-automatic-video.html
  • https://www.microsoft.com/en-us/ai/ai-lab-code-defect
    Code Defect AI is a machine learning classifier that predicts committed source code files carrying a higher risk of a bug based on historical commits.
  • https://www.functionize.com/
  • You would like to use truly random numbers so no galactic hacker can find out the sequence of random numbers used to generate passwords and thus jeopardize space fleet security. To do so, you need to build a quantum random number generator (QRNG). With a quantum random number generator, passwords will be truly random and more secure.

    Microsoft Quantum Development Kit (QDK)
  • Bertrand Meyer said all is not well: 7-hour outage of
    emergency services telephone service in France in the first week of June 2021
  • Con

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