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Caucasus Barometer

Public Perceptions on Political, Social and Economic issues in
                 South Caucasus Countries

                Some findings from the CRRC 2011 data

                         12 September, 2012թ.
                                Yerevan
                        CRRC Armenia
                        crrc@crrc.am
                        www.crrc.am
                      www.crrccenters.org
Methodology
 Almost 2,000 people in each South Caucasus country
 Representative of total adult (18+) population
 Proportionate representation of demographic and
  geographic groups
 Multi-stage cluster sampling
 Household selection: Random walk method
 Respondent selection: Kish table
 Face-to-face interviews in local languages
Content
•   Life satisfaction and factors acting upon it
•   Living standards and migration trends
•   Attitude towards policy and public institutions
•   Nagorno Karabagh issue and possible solutions
•   External world perceptions
•   Level of happiness
LIFE SATISFACTION AND FACTORS
BEHIND
N6. How satisfied are you with your own life as a whole
 (1-10, where ‘1’ means “Not satisfied at all” and ‘10’ means “Completely
                        satisfied”, average score)

                                2010    2011


                                                                             5.6
5.3                                                          5.3
                5.1                      5.1
                              4.9




      Armenia                   Azerbaijan                         Georgia
Armenia
                        N6. How satisfied are you with your own life as a whole
                (1-10, where ‘1’ means “Not satisfied at all” and ‘10’ means “Completely
                                   satisfied” (% , by settlement type)
                                                 Capital        Other Urban       Rural



                                                                35

                                                           30



                                                     23




      13 14                                                                       14
                                                                                             11 11
                                10                                   10
  9                         9        8   8                                9            8 8
                        8                                                                            8                7
                    7                            7                                                       6                6 6
                                                                              5
                4                            3                                                               3
                                                                                                                 2


Not satisfied       2           3            4             5              6            7        8            9       Completely
   at all                                                                                                             satisfied
N1_1. Whether the following statement describes your feelings. There are
                         many people I can trust completely, 2011 (%)

                                   Describes   More or less describes        Does not describe




 Armenia                 30                                  41                                  29




Azerbaijan                    36                                        50                             15




  Georgia               28                                        54                                  18
P5. What is the most important issue facing country at the moment 2011, (% )
                                                                 Armenia        Azerbaijan   Georgia

                                                                                                            44
                  Unemployment                                                                  28
                                                                                                                 55
                                                                           16
                           Poverty                                11
                                                                 10
                                                         7
          Rising prices / Inflation             4
                                                    5
                                                         6
                        Corruption                           8

                                                     5
                        Low wages                   4
                                       1
                                                 4
                     Low pensions                4
                                                4
                                                4
    Unsolved territorial conflicts                                                                     31
                                                                   12
                                            2
     Lack of peace in the country      1
                                        2
                                       1
Political instability in the country   2
                                       1
                                       1
        Violation of human rights               3
                                       1
                                       1
    Unaffordability of healthcare
                                                4
P6. What is the most important issue facing country at the moment, 2010 (%)
                                                                       Armenia   Azerbaijan   Georgia

                                                                                                        45
                  Unemployment                                                   17
                                                                                                             52
                                                                       10
                           Poverty                                 9
                                                                       9
                                                                   9
     Lack of peace in the country          2
                                                   4
                                                           6
                        Corruption                                 9

                                                           6
          Rising prices / Inflation          3
                                             2
                                                       5
               Territorial integrity                                                                              53
                                                                            12
                                                   4
                        Low wages          2

                                           2
                     Low pensions          2
                                               3
                                           2
        Violation of human rights
                                        1
                                        2
    Unaffordability of healthcare
                                                               7
                                         2
        Low quality of education       1
                                       1
                                       1
Political instability in the country
                                           2
P5. What do you think is the most important issue facing Armenia at the
                            moment? 2009-2011(%, first five issues)


              Unemployment                                             32
                    Corruption                                    19
2009




                       Poverty                          12
                         Peace         5
           Territorial integrity   4
              Unemployment                                                              45
                       Poverty                     10
2010




                         Peace                     9
                    Corruption             6
       Rising prices / Inflation           6
              Unemployment                                                             44
                       Poverty                               16
2011




       Rising prices / Inflation               7
                    Corruption             6
                    Low wages          5
J1. Share of Employed (%)

                            2010     2011



                           39                39
38             38
                                                                 38




                                                  30




     Armenia                    Azerbaijan             Georgia
LIVING STANDARDS AND
MIGRATION TRENDS
C14. On which rung of this ladder do you think your household currently stands? (1-
            10, 1 -lowest possible economic position in society, 10-highest possible
                       position, average score, weighted by HH weights)
                                       2009    2010     2011

                                              4.3
           4.2                                          4.2                                 4.1
                                                                                4.1
4.0                 3.9


                                     3.5                                3.5




        Armenia                            Azerbaijan                         Georgia
C9. Household income last month 2011, (%, weighted by HH weights)

More than USD 1200    USD 801–1200     USD 401–800   USD 251–400       USD 101–250   USD 51–100       Up to USD 50   0




                                                                                                                49




                     33                              32 32
              28
                                                                                                           26
                                                             23

         16               15
                                                                                                      11
                                                                                                                     7
                                                5                                                 4
     2                         2   2       3                       3
 1                                                                       1   1        1   1                              1

              Armenia                                 Azerbaijan                                      Georgia
J12-J13. Do you currently have any personal …
                                (% of "yes" answers)
                                       Savings      Debts




              51




                                                    34                           34




                                  17



7                                                                  7




    Armenia                            Azerbaijan                      Georgia
D20. If you had a chance, would you leave country for a certain period of time to
                                live somewhere else? (% of "yes" answers)

                                             2009   2010   2011


                                                                                  57

 Armenia                                                                                    64

                                                                                       60



                                                                        47

Azerbaijan                                                                   52

                                                                             52



                                                                   45

  Georgia                                                               47

                                                                        47
D21. If you had a chance, would you leave country forever to live somewhere
                                      else? (% of "yes" answers)
                                             2009   2010     2011


                                                                           25

 Armenia                                                                             29


                                                                           25



                                                       16

Azerbaijan                                                  17

                                                                    20



                                        11

  Georgia                      7

                           6
ATTITUDE TOWARDS POLICY AND
PUBLIC INSTITUTIONS
P1. Which direction your country’s domestic politics are going. (%)


                        Politics is going in the right direction        Politics does not change at all
                        Politics is going in the wrong direction        Don't know


             2011         14                       25                         36                          25
Armenia




             2010           18                          32                              36                      14



             2011                  32                              34                        14            21
Azerbaijan




             2010                       38                               31                       9        21



             2011                             47                        11             17                 24
Georgia




             2010                            44                          17                  20                18
Armenia
                                      P4. Trust Toward Institutions, 2011 (%)

  Fully trust     Somewhat trust        Neither trust nor distrust            Somewhat distrust                       Fully distrust           Don’t know


Religious institutions to which you …                        44                                          31                          11         5     6 3
                             Army                  33                                        31                         12           9           13           2
                Healthcare system            15                     33                                  20                     13               16            1
                Educational system           13                    33                                   23                     13              13         4
                             Banks          12                     35                                   22                   10           12          9
                      Ombudsman             11              23                          24                   8           13                    22
                  European Union            10                26                              26                   7          11                20
                         President          10               24                         21                   15                      24                   5
                   United Nations           10               26                              26                   7          10                21
                             Police      8             21                          25                         18                         22               6
            Executive government        6          20                        23                         18                          26                    7
                     Court system       6         16                    23                         19                         23                     13
                            Media       5               28                                    34                              14               15             3
                 Local government       5               28                                    34                              14               15             3
                        Parliament      5         17                     25                         18                              28                    6
                             NGOs       5         18                          30                        11               14                    22
P4. Level of trust toward Army (5-point scale, where ‘1’ means “Fully
                    distrust”, and ‘5’ means “Fully trust”, average score)

                                     2006    2007       2008     2009      2010   2011



4.4   4.5                                                            4.4
             4.3   4.3                            4.3                                    4.3
                                                               4.2         4.2                 4.2         4.2
                         4.1                4.1                                    4.1               4.1         4.1
                                                        4.0

                               3.6




             Armenia                                    Azerbaijan                             Georgia
P4. Level of trust toward President (5-point scale, where ‘1’ means “Fully
                       distrust”, and ‘5’ means “Fully trust”, average score)

                                     2006    2007    2008  2009    2010   2011
                                                 4.5 4.4 4.4 4.4   4.4
                                            4.3


                                                                                                   3.7   3.7
                                                                           3.5         3.5   3.5
             3.2   3.3
      3.1
2.9                                                                              2.9
                         2.8
                               2.8




             Armenia                                Azerbaijan                         Georgia
P4. Level of trust toward Parliament (5-point scale, where ‘1’ means “Fully
                    distrust”, and ‘5’ means “Fully trust”, average score)
                                    2006    2007       2008    2009       2010   2011




                                                 3.4          3.4
                                                       3.3          3.3   3.3                              3.3
                                           3.2                                                                   3.2
                                                                                               3.0   3.0
                                                                                   2.8
                  2.7
            2.5                                                                          2.5
      2.4               2.4   2.4

2.0




            Armenia                                    Azerbaijan                              Georgia
P15, P16. Paradox of Trust
              Would you say that the most recent election was conducted …, 2011 (%)
                 Completely fairly         To some extent fairly          Not at all fairly    Don't know


   Armenia      12                     36                                      33                            19


 Azerbaijan      13                   30                           16                         41


    Georgia           24                             30                   10                       36




                        Did you vote in the last national election?, 2011 (%)
                                                          Yes   No      Don't know


 Armenia                                             81                                                      19


Azerbaijan                             62                                                     36                  2


  Georgia                                       74                                                      23        2
P8. Do you think or not that people like yourself have the right to openly say
                              what they think?, 2011 (%)
                             Armenia     Azerbaijan        Georgia


63


                 56



        45
                                           42



                                  31                  32




                                                                             13       13

                                                                     5



        Yes                               No                             Don't know
D22. Have you or any member of your household been in a situation during the
last 12 months when you/they had to pay a bribe in order to get a service or to
          obtain preferential treatment or consideration?, 2011 (%)
                                      Yes    No




                                                                               99

              89




                                                  64




                                27



6


    Armenia                          Azerbaijan                      Georgia
NAGORNO KARABAGH ISSUE AND
POSSIBLE SOLUTIONS
NK2. When do you think the Nagorno Karabakh conflict will be
                                           resolved?, 2011(%)

                                                Armenia        Azerbaijan

                                                                                               38

                                                                                                    34




                                        24                                          24




                                                          12         12     12
                                  11                                                     10

                                                   7
   4                     5
        3          3



It has already Within the next   In 2-5 years    In 6-10 years    In more than 10   Never     Don’t know
been resolved       year                                               years
NK4.1. How likely is it to find a solution to the Nagorno Karabakh conflict
                    within the next 5 years by peaceful negotiation?, 2011 (%)


                      Very likely   Rather likely    Rather unlikely    Very unlikely        Don't know




 Armenia                      38                           24               9           12           17




Azerbaijan             26                       26                     22                     20          7
NK4.2. How likely is it to find a solution to the Nagorno Karabakh conflict
                           within the next 5 years by force?, 2011 (%)


                     Very likely   Rather likely   Rather unlikely        Very unlikely   Don't know




 Armenia        11           10            19                         36                               23




Azerbaijan           19                    23                        28                       19            10
Armenia
         NK5. Various ideas have been proposed for settling the Nagorno Karabakh
                         conflict. Whether you would ...?, 2011 (%)

         Definitely favor          Accept under certain circumstances        Never accept   Don't know




    Have Nagorno-Karabakh as a formal part of Armenia.                  61                   16          15        8




     Have Nagorno-Karabakh as an independent country.                   58                   19          14        9



 Create a special administrative region that will be jointly
           governed by Azerbaijan and Armenia.
                                                             24                    77                         17



Have Nagorno-Karabakh with a high degree of autonomy
                 within Azerbaijan.
                                                     23                           78                          17




Have Nagorno-Karabakh in Azerbaijan without autonomy.       42                    75                          18
Azerbaijan
             NK5. Various ideas have been proposed for settling the Nagorno Karabakh
                             conflict. Whether you would ...?, 2011 (%)


             Definitely favor         Accept under certain circumstances    Never accept     Don't know



         Have Nagorno-Karabakh as a formal part of Armenia. 0.5                      96                        3




          Have Nagorno-Karabakh as an independent country. 1 8                          83                 8



      Create a special administrative region that will be jointly
                governed by Azerbaijan and Armenia.
                                                                  16                 85                    8



Have Nagorno-Karabakh with a high degree of autonomy within
                       Azerbaijan.
                                                                       23     29                40         8




     Have Nagorno-Karabakh in Azerbaijan without autonomy.                         91                     41 4
NK1. In your opinion, should the following countries or organizations be involved
                      in finding a solution for the Nagorno Karabakh conflict?, 2011 (%)

                                    More involved         Less involved          Not involved at all             Don't know

          Armenia                                         73                                                10         6        11
Russia




         Azerbaijan                             51                                        21                      18               10


          Armenia                     36                              22                         26                           16
USA




         Azerbaijan                  36                                    32                               21                  11


          Armenia                               50                                   18                 17                    16
France




         Azerbaijan        15                        29                                    41                                 15


          Armenia      8        8                                          70                                                 14
Turkey




         Azerbaijan                                              87                                                        5 2          6


          Armenia                          43                                   22                     16                  18
EU




         Azerbaijan                    40                                       28                          17                15
EXTERNAL WORLD PERCEPTIONS
P4_16. Trust toward United Nations (%)
                                                      2010-2011

   Fully trust      Somewhat trust    Neither trust nor distrust   Somewhat distrust       Fully distrust   Don’t know


             2011       10              26                         26              7            10             21
Armenia




             2010           13           23                         28                 8                9       19



             2011       8        13                 24                   18                    16              20
Azerbaijan




             2010   5            19                  23                  16                16                 22



             2011           12                30                         25                6        5         22
Georgia




             2010           14                 30                             25                6       4      20
P4_15. Trust toward European Union (%)
                                                          2010-2011
              Fully trust     Somewhat trust    Neither trust nor distrust    Somewhat distrust   Fully distrust   Don’t know



             2011        10                    27                            26             7             11         20
Armenia




             2010            12                23                        27                  9             9         19



             2011        8          14                    26                       18                 13             21
Azerbaijan




             2010    5            17                     25                       17              15                 21



             2011            13                     32                             23             6        5        21
Georgia




             2010            13                     31                             25                 6        4     21
P21. To what extent would you support your country’s membership in
                                                    NATO? (%)
                                                    2010-2011
              Fully support                   Rather support                           Equally support and don’t support
              Rather not support              Don’t support at all                     Don’t know



             2011        16              21                    24              9                12                    18
Armenia




             2010       14               23                    26                  9             12                       16



             2011             22              21                          25                9         6                   16
Azerbaijan




             2010             20              25                          22            8        6                    19



             2011                   38                               29                     15            3       5            11
Georgia




             2010                  35                                35                         13            4       4         9
Armenia
                N8. Whether you approve or disapprove of people of your ethnicity doing business
                                               with…,2011, (%)
                                                           Yes   No


                                             32
Azerbaijanis
                                                                                64

                                                                           60
        Jews
                                                 34

                                                                                           73
  Americans
                                22

                                                                                      69
     Greeks
                                       27

                                                                                                86
    Russians
                      11

                                                      40
       Turks
                                                                      57

                                                                                 66
  Georgians
                                            30

Kurds, Yezidi                                                         56
     s                                                40

                                                                                           72
     English
                                  24
Azerbaijan
                 N8. Whether you approve or disapprove of people of your ethnicity doing business
                                                with…,2011, (%)
                                                            Yes        No

  Armenians
                                                                                          99

                                            39
         Jews
                                                              55

                                            39
   Americans
                                                                  56

                                                  44
      Greeks
                                                       48

                                                                            71
     Russians
                                     27

                                                                                 87
        Turks
                       12

                                                                  57
   Georgians
                                             41

                                24
Kurds, Yezidis
                                                                            70

                                                            53
      English
                                                 42
Georgia
                N8. Whether you approve or disapprove of people of your ethnicity doing business
                                               with…,2011, (%)
                                                     Yes   No

                                                                                 70
 Armenians
                                      24

                                                                                  72
        Jews
                              19

                                                                                       75
  Americans
                            17

                                                                                      73
Azerbaijanis
                                 20

                                                                                       75
     Greeks
                             18

                                                                                           76
    Russians
                             18

                                                                            66
       Turks
                                           28

Kurds, Yezidi                                                                                      95
     s                                      30

                                                                      59
     English
                                                32
P23. Which country is currently the biggest friend of your country, 2011 (%)


                 Russia                                                                     81
Armenia




                 France          7




                 Turkey                                                                            90
Azerbaijan




             Don't know      5




                   USA                                       44
Georgia




             Don't know                       25
P24. Which country is currently the biggest enemy of your country, 2011 (%)




             Azerbaijan                                                  60
Armenia




                 Turkey                             34




               Armenia                                                                           94
Azerbaijan




                 Russia     3




                 Russia                                           51
Georgia




             Don't know                              34
LEVEL OF HAPPINESS
N2. How happy would you say you are?
 (1 - 10, where ‘1’ means “Extremely unhappy” and ‘10’ means “Extremely
                           happy”, average score)
                                   2010   2011



                                                                           6.9
                6.6                                        6.6
6.4
                                           6.1
                             5.8




      Armenia                   Azerbaijan                       Georgia
Armenia
                N2. How happy would you say you are? by household income last month (1 -
                   10, where ‘1’ means “Extremely unhappy” and ‘10’ means “Extremely
                                          happy”, average score)


                    8.1
     7.6
                                   7.0
                                                 6.7                                                 6.8
                                                               6.3
                                                                                          6.1
                                                                            5.8




More than USD   USD 801-1200   USD 401-800   USD 251-400   USD 101-250   USD 51-100   Up to USD 50   0
    1200
N2, A8. How happy would you say you are?, by marital status, 2011
                   (1 - 10, where ‘1’ means “Extremely unhappy” and ‘10’ means “Extremely happy”, average
                                                            score)
                                                        Armenia         Azerbaijan          Georgia


                                                7.6               7.4
                                    7.3               7.2                 7.3
             7.0         7.1 7.0                                                      7.0                        6.9
                   6.6
 6.5
       6.3
                                                            6.1                 6.0                        6.1
                                                                                                                                                 5.8
                                                                                                                             5.4
                                          5.0                                                        5.0                             5.1
                                                                                               4.8                                         4.7
                                                                                                                       4.2




Never married Married: official       Married:     Married: both          Cohabiting            Divorced         Separated         Widow/Widower
               state marriage         religious    state marriage       without civil or
              only, no religious     ceremony       and religious          religious
                 ceremony             only, not      ceremony              marriage
                                   registered with
                                        state
Armenia
             N2. How happy would you say you are?, by gender and age, 2011
        (1 -10, where ‘1’ means “Extremely unhappy” and ‘10’ means “Extremely
                                 happy”, average score)

                                                7.5
 7.0
                   6.6
                                                               6.4

                                  5.6                                           5.5




18-35             36-55          56+           18-35          36-55             56+

                  Male                                       Female
Data open access and on-line analysis
www.crrccenters.org/caucasusbarometer/online or
               http://crrc.ge/oda
Thank You!

  www.crrc.am
www.crrccenters.org

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Caucasus Barometer 2011

  • 1. Caucasus Barometer Public Perceptions on Political, Social and Economic issues in South Caucasus Countries Some findings from the CRRC 2011 data 12 September, 2012թ. Yerevan CRRC Armenia crrc@crrc.am www.crrc.am www.crrccenters.org
  • 2. Methodology  Almost 2,000 people in each South Caucasus country  Representative of total adult (18+) population  Proportionate representation of demographic and geographic groups  Multi-stage cluster sampling  Household selection: Random walk method  Respondent selection: Kish table  Face-to-face interviews in local languages
  • 3. Content • Life satisfaction and factors acting upon it • Living standards and migration trends • Attitude towards policy and public institutions • Nagorno Karabagh issue and possible solutions • External world perceptions • Level of happiness
  • 4. LIFE SATISFACTION AND FACTORS BEHIND
  • 5. N6. How satisfied are you with your own life as a whole (1-10, where ‘1’ means “Not satisfied at all” and ‘10’ means “Completely satisfied”, average score) 2010 2011 5.6 5.3 5.3 5.1 5.1 4.9 Armenia Azerbaijan Georgia
  • 6. Armenia N6. How satisfied are you with your own life as a whole (1-10, where ‘1’ means “Not satisfied at all” and ‘10’ means “Completely satisfied” (% , by settlement type) Capital Other Urban Rural 35 30 23 13 14 14 11 11 10 10 9 9 8 8 9 8 8 8 8 7 7 7 6 6 6 5 4 3 3 2 Not satisfied 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Completely at all satisfied
  • 7. N1_1. Whether the following statement describes your feelings. There are many people I can trust completely, 2011 (%) Describes More or less describes Does not describe Armenia 30 41 29 Azerbaijan 36 50 15 Georgia 28 54 18
  • 8. P5. What is the most important issue facing country at the moment 2011, (% ) Armenia Azerbaijan Georgia 44 Unemployment 28 55 16 Poverty 11 10 7 Rising prices / Inflation 4 5 6 Corruption 8 5 Low wages 4 1 4 Low pensions 4 4 4 Unsolved territorial conflicts 31 12 2 Lack of peace in the country 1 2 1 Political instability in the country 2 1 1 Violation of human rights 3 1 1 Unaffordability of healthcare 4
  • 9. P6. What is the most important issue facing country at the moment, 2010 (%) Armenia Azerbaijan Georgia 45 Unemployment 17 52 10 Poverty 9 9 9 Lack of peace in the country 2 4 6 Corruption 9 6 Rising prices / Inflation 3 2 5 Territorial integrity 53 12 4 Low wages 2 2 Low pensions 2 3 2 Violation of human rights 1 2 Unaffordability of healthcare 7 2 Low quality of education 1 1 1 Political instability in the country 2
  • 10. P5. What do you think is the most important issue facing Armenia at the moment? 2009-2011(%, first five issues) Unemployment 32 Corruption 19 2009 Poverty 12 Peace 5 Territorial integrity 4 Unemployment 45 Poverty 10 2010 Peace 9 Corruption 6 Rising prices / Inflation 6 Unemployment 44 Poverty 16 2011 Rising prices / Inflation 7 Corruption 6 Low wages 5
  • 11. J1. Share of Employed (%) 2010 2011 39 39 38 38 38 30 Armenia Azerbaijan Georgia
  • 13. C14. On which rung of this ladder do you think your household currently stands? (1- 10, 1 -lowest possible economic position in society, 10-highest possible position, average score, weighted by HH weights) 2009 2010 2011 4.3 4.2 4.2 4.1 4.1 4.0 3.9 3.5 3.5 Armenia Azerbaijan Georgia
  • 14. C9. Household income last month 2011, (%, weighted by HH weights) More than USD 1200 USD 801–1200 USD 401–800 USD 251–400 USD 101–250 USD 51–100 Up to USD 50 0 49 33 32 32 28 26 23 16 15 11 7 5 4 2 2 2 3 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 Armenia Azerbaijan Georgia
  • 15. J12-J13. Do you currently have any personal … (% of "yes" answers) Savings Debts 51 34 34 17 7 7 Armenia Azerbaijan Georgia
  • 16. D20. If you had a chance, would you leave country for a certain period of time to live somewhere else? (% of "yes" answers) 2009 2010 2011 57 Armenia 64 60 47 Azerbaijan 52 52 45 Georgia 47 47
  • 17. D21. If you had a chance, would you leave country forever to live somewhere else? (% of "yes" answers) 2009 2010 2011 25 Armenia 29 25 16 Azerbaijan 17 20 11 Georgia 7 6
  • 18. ATTITUDE TOWARDS POLICY AND PUBLIC INSTITUTIONS
  • 19. P1. Which direction your country’s domestic politics are going. (%) Politics is going in the right direction Politics does not change at all Politics is going in the wrong direction Don't know 2011 14 25 36 25 Armenia 2010 18 32 36 14 2011 32 34 14 21 Azerbaijan 2010 38 31 9 21 2011 47 11 17 24 Georgia 2010 44 17 20 18
  • 20. Armenia P4. Trust Toward Institutions, 2011 (%) Fully trust Somewhat trust Neither trust nor distrust Somewhat distrust Fully distrust Don’t know Religious institutions to which you … 44 31 11 5 6 3 Army 33 31 12 9 13 2 Healthcare system 15 33 20 13 16 1 Educational system 13 33 23 13 13 4 Banks 12 35 22 10 12 9 Ombudsman 11 23 24 8 13 22 European Union 10 26 26 7 11 20 President 10 24 21 15 24 5 United Nations 10 26 26 7 10 21 Police 8 21 25 18 22 6 Executive government 6 20 23 18 26 7 Court system 6 16 23 19 23 13 Media 5 28 34 14 15 3 Local government 5 28 34 14 15 3 Parliament 5 17 25 18 28 6 NGOs 5 18 30 11 14 22
  • 21. P4. Level of trust toward Army (5-point scale, where ‘1’ means “Fully distrust”, and ‘5’ means “Fully trust”, average score) 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 4.4 4.5 4.4 4.3 4.3 4.3 4.3 4.2 4.2 4.2 4.2 4.1 4.1 4.1 4.1 4.1 4.0 3.6 Armenia Azerbaijan Georgia
  • 22. P4. Level of trust toward President (5-point scale, where ‘1’ means “Fully distrust”, and ‘5’ means “Fully trust”, average score) 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 4.5 4.4 4.4 4.4 4.4 4.3 3.7 3.7 3.5 3.5 3.5 3.2 3.3 3.1 2.9 2.9 2.8 2.8 Armenia Azerbaijan Georgia
  • 23. P4. Level of trust toward Parliament (5-point scale, where ‘1’ means “Fully distrust”, and ‘5’ means “Fully trust”, average score) 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 3.4 3.4 3.3 3.3 3.3 3.3 3.2 3.2 3.0 3.0 2.8 2.7 2.5 2.5 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.0 Armenia Azerbaijan Georgia
  • 24. P15, P16. Paradox of Trust Would you say that the most recent election was conducted …, 2011 (%) Completely fairly To some extent fairly Not at all fairly Don't know Armenia 12 36 33 19 Azerbaijan 13 30 16 41 Georgia 24 30 10 36 Did you vote in the last national election?, 2011 (%) Yes No Don't know Armenia 81 19 Azerbaijan 62 36 2 Georgia 74 23 2
  • 25. P8. Do you think or not that people like yourself have the right to openly say what they think?, 2011 (%) Armenia Azerbaijan Georgia 63 56 45 42 31 32 13 13 5 Yes No Don't know
  • 26. D22. Have you or any member of your household been in a situation during the last 12 months when you/they had to pay a bribe in order to get a service or to obtain preferential treatment or consideration?, 2011 (%) Yes No 99 89 64 27 6 Armenia Azerbaijan Georgia
  • 27. NAGORNO KARABAGH ISSUE AND POSSIBLE SOLUTIONS
  • 28. NK2. When do you think the Nagorno Karabakh conflict will be resolved?, 2011(%) Armenia Azerbaijan 38 34 24 24 12 12 12 11 10 7 4 5 3 3 It has already Within the next In 2-5 years In 6-10 years In more than 10 Never Don’t know been resolved year years
  • 29. NK4.1. How likely is it to find a solution to the Nagorno Karabakh conflict within the next 5 years by peaceful negotiation?, 2011 (%) Very likely Rather likely Rather unlikely Very unlikely Don't know Armenia 38 24 9 12 17 Azerbaijan 26 26 22 20 7
  • 30. NK4.2. How likely is it to find a solution to the Nagorno Karabakh conflict within the next 5 years by force?, 2011 (%) Very likely Rather likely Rather unlikely Very unlikely Don't know Armenia 11 10 19 36 23 Azerbaijan 19 23 28 19 10
  • 31. Armenia NK5. Various ideas have been proposed for settling the Nagorno Karabakh conflict. Whether you would ...?, 2011 (%) Definitely favor Accept under certain circumstances Never accept Don't know Have Nagorno-Karabakh as a formal part of Armenia. 61 16 15 8 Have Nagorno-Karabakh as an independent country. 58 19 14 9 Create a special administrative region that will be jointly governed by Azerbaijan and Armenia. 24 77 17 Have Nagorno-Karabakh with a high degree of autonomy within Azerbaijan. 23 78 17 Have Nagorno-Karabakh in Azerbaijan without autonomy. 42 75 18
  • 32. Azerbaijan NK5. Various ideas have been proposed for settling the Nagorno Karabakh conflict. Whether you would ...?, 2011 (%) Definitely favor Accept under certain circumstances Never accept Don't know Have Nagorno-Karabakh as a formal part of Armenia. 0.5 96 3 Have Nagorno-Karabakh as an independent country. 1 8 83 8 Create a special administrative region that will be jointly governed by Azerbaijan and Armenia. 16 85 8 Have Nagorno-Karabakh with a high degree of autonomy within Azerbaijan. 23 29 40 8 Have Nagorno-Karabakh in Azerbaijan without autonomy. 91 41 4
  • 33. NK1. In your opinion, should the following countries or organizations be involved in finding a solution for the Nagorno Karabakh conflict?, 2011 (%) More involved Less involved Not involved at all Don't know Armenia 73 10 6 11 Russia Azerbaijan 51 21 18 10 Armenia 36 22 26 16 USA Azerbaijan 36 32 21 11 Armenia 50 18 17 16 France Azerbaijan 15 29 41 15 Armenia 8 8 70 14 Turkey Azerbaijan 87 5 2 6 Armenia 43 22 16 18 EU Azerbaijan 40 28 17 15
  • 35. P4_16. Trust toward United Nations (%) 2010-2011 Fully trust Somewhat trust Neither trust nor distrust Somewhat distrust Fully distrust Don’t know 2011 10 26 26 7 10 21 Armenia 2010 13 23 28 8 9 19 2011 8 13 24 18 16 20 Azerbaijan 2010 5 19 23 16 16 22 2011 12 30 25 6 5 22 Georgia 2010 14 30 25 6 4 20
  • 36. P4_15. Trust toward European Union (%) 2010-2011 Fully trust Somewhat trust Neither trust nor distrust Somewhat distrust Fully distrust Don’t know 2011 10 27 26 7 11 20 Armenia 2010 12 23 27 9 9 19 2011 8 14 26 18 13 21 Azerbaijan 2010 5 17 25 17 15 21 2011 13 32 23 6 5 21 Georgia 2010 13 31 25 6 4 21
  • 37. P21. To what extent would you support your country’s membership in NATO? (%) 2010-2011 Fully support Rather support Equally support and don’t support Rather not support Don’t support at all Don’t know 2011 16 21 24 9 12 18 Armenia 2010 14 23 26 9 12 16 2011 22 21 25 9 6 16 Azerbaijan 2010 20 25 22 8 6 19 2011 38 29 15 3 5 11 Georgia 2010 35 35 13 4 4 9
  • 38. Armenia N8. Whether you approve or disapprove of people of your ethnicity doing business with…,2011, (%) Yes No 32 Azerbaijanis 64 60 Jews 34 73 Americans 22 69 Greeks 27 86 Russians 11 40 Turks 57 66 Georgians 30 Kurds, Yezidi 56 s 40 72 English 24
  • 39. Azerbaijan N8. Whether you approve or disapprove of people of your ethnicity doing business with…,2011, (%) Yes No Armenians 99 39 Jews 55 39 Americans 56 44 Greeks 48 71 Russians 27 87 Turks 12 57 Georgians 41 24 Kurds, Yezidis 70 53 English 42
  • 40. Georgia N8. Whether you approve or disapprove of people of your ethnicity doing business with…,2011, (%) Yes No 70 Armenians 24 72 Jews 19 75 Americans 17 73 Azerbaijanis 20 75 Greeks 18 76 Russians 18 66 Turks 28 Kurds, Yezidi 95 s 30 59 English 32
  • 41. P23. Which country is currently the biggest friend of your country, 2011 (%) Russia 81 Armenia France 7 Turkey 90 Azerbaijan Don't know 5 USA 44 Georgia Don't know 25
  • 42. P24. Which country is currently the biggest enemy of your country, 2011 (%) Azerbaijan 60 Armenia Turkey 34 Armenia 94 Azerbaijan Russia 3 Russia 51 Georgia Don't know 34
  • 44. N2. How happy would you say you are? (1 - 10, where ‘1’ means “Extremely unhappy” and ‘10’ means “Extremely happy”, average score) 2010 2011 6.9 6.6 6.6 6.4 6.1 5.8 Armenia Azerbaijan Georgia
  • 45. Armenia N2. How happy would you say you are? by household income last month (1 - 10, where ‘1’ means “Extremely unhappy” and ‘10’ means “Extremely happy”, average score) 8.1 7.6 7.0 6.7 6.8 6.3 6.1 5.8 More than USD USD 801-1200 USD 401-800 USD 251-400 USD 101-250 USD 51-100 Up to USD 50 0 1200
  • 46. N2, A8. How happy would you say you are?, by marital status, 2011 (1 - 10, where ‘1’ means “Extremely unhappy” and ‘10’ means “Extremely happy”, average score) Armenia Azerbaijan Georgia 7.6 7.4 7.3 7.2 7.3 7.0 7.1 7.0 7.0 6.9 6.6 6.5 6.3 6.1 6.0 6.1 5.8 5.4 5.0 5.0 5.1 4.8 4.7 4.2 Never married Married: official Married: Married: both Cohabiting Divorced Separated Widow/Widower state marriage religious state marriage without civil or only, no religious ceremony and religious religious ceremony only, not ceremony marriage registered with state
  • 47. Armenia N2. How happy would you say you are?, by gender and age, 2011 (1 -10, where ‘1’ means “Extremely unhappy” and ‘10’ means “Extremely happy”, average score) 7.5 7.0 6.6 6.4 5.6 5.5 18-35 36-55 56+ 18-35 36-55 56+ Male Female
  • 48. Data open access and on-line analysis www.crrccenters.org/caucasusbarometer/online or http://crrc.ge/oda
  • 49. Thank You! www.crrc.am www.crrccenters.org