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Marketing Management, 12/e
A South Asian Perspective
4
Conducting
Marketing Research
and Forecasting Demand
Dr. Hitesh Ruparel
4-2
Chapter Questions
 What constitutes good marketing
research?
 What are good metrics for measuring
marketing productivity?
 How can marketers assess their
return on investment of marketing
expenditures?
 How can companies more accurately
measure and forecast demand?
4-3
Marketing Research Defined
Systematic design, collection,
analysis, and reporting of data
and findings relevant to a specific
marketing situation facing a company.
4-4
Types of Marketing Research Firms
 Syndicated
 Custom
 Specialty-line
4-5
The Marketing Research Process
 Define the problem
 Develop the research plan
 Collect information
 Analyze information
 Present findings
 Make decision
4-6
Step 1
 Define the problem
 Specify decision alternatives
 State research objectives
4-7
Step 2
 Data sources
 Research approach
 Research instruments
 Sampling plan
 Contact methods
4-8
Research Approaches
 Observation
 Focus group
 Survey
 Behavioral Data
 Experimentation
4-9
Research Instruments
 Questionnaires
 Qualitative Measures
 Mechanical Devices
4-10
 Avoid negatives
 Avoid hypotheticals
 Avoid words that could
be misheard
 Use response bands
 Use mutually exclusive
categories
 Allow for “other” in fixed
response questions
Questionnaire Do’s and Don’ts
Ensure questions are
free of bias
Make questions simple
Make questions specific
Avoid jargon
Avoid sophisticated
words
Avoid ambiguous words
4-11
Question Types - Dichotomous
In arranging this trip, did you contact American
Airlines?
 Yes  No
4-12
Question Types – Multiple Choice
With whom are you traveling on this trip?
 No one
 Spouse
 Spouse and children
 Children only
 Business associates/friends/relatives
 An organized tour group
4-13
Question Types – Likert Scale
Indicate your level of agreement with the following
statement: Small airlines generally give better
service than large ones.
 Strongly disagree
 Disagree
 Neither agree nor disagree
 Agree
 Strongly agree
4-14
Question Types – Semantic Differential
American Airlines
Large ………………………………...…………….Small
Experienced………………….………….Inexperienced
Modern………………………..………….Old-fashioned
4-15
Question Types – Importance Scale
Airline food service is _____ to me.
 Extremely important
 Very important
 Somewhat important
 Not very important
 Not at all important
4-16
Question Types – Rating Scale
American Airlines’ food service is _____.
 Excellent
 Very good
 Good
 Fair
 Poor
4-17
Question Types –
Intention to Buy Scale
How likely are you to purchase tickets on American
Airlines if in-flight Internet access were available?
 Definitely buy
 Probably buy
 Not sure
 Probably not buy
 Definitely not buy
4-18
Question Types –
Completely Unstructured
What is your opinion of ICICI Bank ?
4-19
Question Types – Word Association
What is the first word that comes to your mind
when you hear the following?
Finance ________________________
Bank _____________________
Multi National Banking _____________________
4-20
Question Types – Sentence Completion
When I choose an bank, the most important
consideration in my decision is:
_________________________________________
_________________________________________
_________________________________________
_________________________________________
_________________________________________
___________________________________.
4-21
Question Types – Story Completion
I submitted to clear my L/C quite a few days ago, I
have still not received from my Banker…”Complete
the Story”
_________________________________________
_________________________________________
_________________________________________
_________________________________________
_________________________________________
___________________________________
4-22
Question Types –
Picture (Empty Balloons)
Hi!, I am
Region Head
– ICICI, US
4-23
Qualitative Measures
 Shadowing
 Behavior mapping
 Consumer Interactions
 Camera journals
 Extreme user interviews
 Storytelling
 Unfocused groups
4-24
Mechanical Devices
 Eye cameras
 Audiometers
 GPS
4-25
Sampling Plan
 Sampling unit: Who is to be surveyed?
 Sample size: How many people should be
surveyed?
 Sampling procedure: How should the
respondents be chosen?
4-26
Types of Samples
Probability
 Simple random
 Stratified random
 Cluster
Nonprobability
 Convenience
 Judgment
 Quota
4-27
Contact Methods
 Mail questionnaire
 Telephone interview
 Personal interview
 Online interview
4-28
Characteristics of Good
Marketing Research
 Scientific method
 Research creativity
 Multiple methods
 Interdependence
 Value and cost of information
 Healthy skepticism
 Ethical marketing
4-29
Tools to Measure Marketing Plan
Performance
 Sales analysis
 Market share analysis
 Expense-to-Sales Analysis
 Financial Analysis
4-30
Sales Analysis
 Sales-Variance Analysis
 Micro-Sales Analysis
4-31
Market Share Analysis
 Overall market share
 Served market share
 Relative market share
4-32
Marketing-Profitability Analysis
Step 1: Identifying Functional Expenses
Step 2: Assigning Functional Expenses to
Marketing Entities
Step 3: Preparing a Profit-and-Loss Statement
for each Marketing Entity
4-33
Distinguishing Types of Costs
 Direct
 Traceable common
 Nontraceable common
4-34
The Measures of Market Demand
 Potential market
 Available market
 Target market
 Penetrated market
4-35
Estimating Current Demand
 Total market potential
 Area market potential
Market buildup method
Multiple-factor index method
 Brand development index
4-36
Estimating Future Demand
 Survey of Buyers’ Intentions
 Composite of Sales Force Opinions
 Expert Opinion
 Past-Sales Analysis
 Market-Test Method

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04

  • 1. Marketing Management, 12/e A South Asian Perspective 4 Conducting Marketing Research and Forecasting Demand Dr. Hitesh Ruparel
  • 2. 4-2 Chapter Questions  What constitutes good marketing research?  What are good metrics for measuring marketing productivity?  How can marketers assess their return on investment of marketing expenditures?  How can companies more accurately measure and forecast demand?
  • 3. 4-3 Marketing Research Defined Systematic design, collection, analysis, and reporting of data and findings relevant to a specific marketing situation facing a company.
  • 4. 4-4 Types of Marketing Research Firms  Syndicated  Custom  Specialty-line
  • 5. 4-5 The Marketing Research Process  Define the problem  Develop the research plan  Collect information  Analyze information  Present findings  Make decision
  • 6. 4-6 Step 1  Define the problem  Specify decision alternatives  State research objectives
  • 7. 4-7 Step 2  Data sources  Research approach  Research instruments  Sampling plan  Contact methods
  • 8. 4-8 Research Approaches  Observation  Focus group  Survey  Behavioral Data  Experimentation
  • 9. 4-9 Research Instruments  Questionnaires  Qualitative Measures  Mechanical Devices
  • 10. 4-10  Avoid negatives  Avoid hypotheticals  Avoid words that could be misheard  Use response bands  Use mutually exclusive categories  Allow for “other” in fixed response questions Questionnaire Do’s and Don’ts Ensure questions are free of bias Make questions simple Make questions specific Avoid jargon Avoid sophisticated words Avoid ambiguous words
  • 11. 4-11 Question Types - Dichotomous In arranging this trip, did you contact American Airlines?  Yes  No
  • 12. 4-12 Question Types – Multiple Choice With whom are you traveling on this trip?  No one  Spouse  Spouse and children  Children only  Business associates/friends/relatives  An organized tour group
  • 13. 4-13 Question Types – Likert Scale Indicate your level of agreement with the following statement: Small airlines generally give better service than large ones.  Strongly disagree  Disagree  Neither agree nor disagree  Agree  Strongly agree
  • 14. 4-14 Question Types – Semantic Differential American Airlines Large ………………………………...…………….Small Experienced………………….………….Inexperienced Modern………………………..………….Old-fashioned
  • 15. 4-15 Question Types – Importance Scale Airline food service is _____ to me.  Extremely important  Very important  Somewhat important  Not very important  Not at all important
  • 16. 4-16 Question Types – Rating Scale American Airlines’ food service is _____.  Excellent  Very good  Good  Fair  Poor
  • 17. 4-17 Question Types – Intention to Buy Scale How likely are you to purchase tickets on American Airlines if in-flight Internet access were available?  Definitely buy  Probably buy  Not sure  Probably not buy  Definitely not buy
  • 18. 4-18 Question Types – Completely Unstructured What is your opinion of ICICI Bank ?
  • 19. 4-19 Question Types – Word Association What is the first word that comes to your mind when you hear the following? Finance ________________________ Bank _____________________ Multi National Banking _____________________
  • 20. 4-20 Question Types – Sentence Completion When I choose an bank, the most important consideration in my decision is: _________________________________________ _________________________________________ _________________________________________ _________________________________________ _________________________________________ ___________________________________.
  • 21. 4-21 Question Types – Story Completion I submitted to clear my L/C quite a few days ago, I have still not received from my Banker…”Complete the Story” _________________________________________ _________________________________________ _________________________________________ _________________________________________ _________________________________________ ___________________________________
  • 22. 4-22 Question Types – Picture (Empty Balloons) Hi!, I am Region Head – ICICI, US
  • 23. 4-23 Qualitative Measures  Shadowing  Behavior mapping  Consumer Interactions  Camera journals  Extreme user interviews  Storytelling  Unfocused groups
  • 24. 4-24 Mechanical Devices  Eye cameras  Audiometers  GPS
  • 25. 4-25 Sampling Plan  Sampling unit: Who is to be surveyed?  Sample size: How many people should be surveyed?  Sampling procedure: How should the respondents be chosen?
  • 26. 4-26 Types of Samples Probability  Simple random  Stratified random  Cluster Nonprobability  Convenience  Judgment  Quota
  • 27. 4-27 Contact Methods  Mail questionnaire  Telephone interview  Personal interview  Online interview
  • 28. 4-28 Characteristics of Good Marketing Research  Scientific method  Research creativity  Multiple methods  Interdependence  Value and cost of information  Healthy skepticism  Ethical marketing
  • 29. 4-29 Tools to Measure Marketing Plan Performance  Sales analysis  Market share analysis  Expense-to-Sales Analysis  Financial Analysis
  • 30. 4-30 Sales Analysis  Sales-Variance Analysis  Micro-Sales Analysis
  • 31. 4-31 Market Share Analysis  Overall market share  Served market share  Relative market share
  • 32. 4-32 Marketing-Profitability Analysis Step 1: Identifying Functional Expenses Step 2: Assigning Functional Expenses to Marketing Entities Step 3: Preparing a Profit-and-Loss Statement for each Marketing Entity
  • 33. 4-33 Distinguishing Types of Costs  Direct  Traceable common  Nontraceable common
  • 34. 4-34 The Measures of Market Demand  Potential market  Available market  Target market  Penetrated market
  • 35. 4-35 Estimating Current Demand  Total market potential  Area market potential Market buildup method Multiple-factor index method  Brand development index
  • 36. 4-36 Estimating Future Demand  Survey of Buyers’ Intentions  Composite of Sales Force Opinions  Expert Opinion  Past-Sales Analysis  Market-Test Method