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Baganuur coal mine expansion
Opportunities for investors
Ulaanbaatar
Content
• Introduction
• Resources and reserves
• Coal production
• Market outlook
• Mine expansion plan
• Research and development
• Investment issues
Introduction
• ESTABLISHED IN1978.
• SE 130 KM FROM ULAANBAATAR.
CONNECTED TO PAVED ROAD AND
RAILWAY NETWORK.
• GOVERNMENT OWNS 75%, OTHERS 25%
OF SHARES RESPECTIVELY.
• EMPLOYEES 1100
• EXTRACTS 50% OF COAL CONSUMPTION
FOR PRODUCING ENERGY OF
MONGOLIA, 60% FOR CENTRAL REGION.
Coal quality standart
MNS 3818-2001
Type of coal
size
Ash
content /%/
<Aã
Moisture
/%/
<Wã
Sulfur
content
/%/ Sd
t
Volatile
matter
/%/V
Calorific value
<Qã
t
Kkal/kg KJ/kg
Brown coal
type -B2
17.5 37.5 0.5 45 3360 13.0
Main consumers
# Thermal power plants
Annual supply
/thous.tn/
Shares to total
consumption
1 TPP-4 1600.0 60%
2 TPP-3 1100.0 100%
3 TPP-2 210.0 100%
4 Darkhan TPP 250.0 60%
5 Erdenet TPP 120.0 50%
Resource and reserve
Proved in 1978 with 600.0 million tons.
 Updated in 1998 with 708.2 million tons as a result of detailed survey.
 In total, 88.4 million tons of coal has been extracted since 1978.
Norvest migrated the reserve model of 1978 into Minex in 3D.
2,00
2,50
3,00
3,50
4,00
4,50
5,00
-
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
0,2
0,3
0,4
0,5
0,6
0,7
0,8
0,9
1
1,1
1,2
1,3
1,4
1,5
1,6
1,7
1,8
1,9
2
Кхх,м3/тн
Millions
Minimum thicknesses of coal seam, m
2-р давхарга
2a-р давхарга
3-р давхарга
Хязгаарласан
хөрс хуулалтын
итгэлцүүр, м3/тн
Resource and reserve
Reserve can be elevated up to 700 million tones depending on the availability of minable coal seam
thicknesses.
Seam 2
Seam 2a
Seam 3
Limiting strip ratio m3/ton
Quality of survey results
Laboratory analysis:
In total samples from drilled boreholes
Ash analysis 47%
Caloric value analysis 24%
Sulphur content analysis 47%
Volatile analysis 29%
Core recovery – (60-70%)
Insufficient
quality of survey
to prepare a
Feasilibility
study for a bank
Requires detailed survey to choose proper mine technology for the mine.
Potentiality of resource increase up to 1.0 billion tones by conducting
additional geological survey in accordance with international standards.
-
2,00
4,00
6,00
8,00
10,00
12,00
14,00
16,00
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
3500
4000
4500
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
Нүүрс олборлолт, м.тн Кхх, м3/тнCoal production, thous.tons
COAL PRODUCTION
Increase in earth moving.
Current situation
CHALLENGES
• Overdue overburden
• Water drainage issues
• Higher unit production cost than selling price
• Coal price set by government
• Outdated equipments and facilities - 90%, requires technical
renovation.
• Movement in internal stock piling
• Unreachable reserves due to geological conditions
• Increase in transport distance
• HR risks- lower salary
• Financial issues
Requires technical renovation and decrease in production cost
PROJECTED COAL CONSUMPTION
IN CENTRAL REGION
5,2 5,3 5,9 7,1
10,6 11,7 13,0
15,0
6,5 6,8 7,5
8,8
12,5
13,7
15,7
18,1
-
2,0
4,0
6,0
8,0
10,0
12,0
14,0
16,0
18,0
20,0
Milliontones
ТЭХС-ийн хэрэглээ Тєвийн бүсийн нийт хэрэглээ
2012 20172016201520142013 2018 2025
Central energy
system’s consumption
Total consumption
in central region
 Coal consumption of central region projected to be 6.5 million tones in 2012
while it will reach 15.7 million tones in 2018, 18.1 million tones in 2025 respectively.
Regarding the consumption projection, Baganuur mine needs to expand the mine
capacity.
Capacity expansion
3,30 3,57 3,52
4,30
5,51 5,51 5,51 5,64 6,05 6,00 6,13
5,2 5,3
5,9
7,1
10,6
11,7 12,2 12,5
13,0
13,5
14,0
-
2,00
4,00
6,00
8,00
10,00
12,00
14,00
16,00
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
Багануурын
нийлүүлэлт
ТЭХС-ийн эрэлтDemand from CES
 30% of coal consumption to TPP-5 which will be built with 820 MW capacity in 2012-2016.
 100% of coal consumption to Baganuur power plant which will be built with 270MW in 2013-2016.
 projected coal production of the mine is 6 million tons by 2020.
Supply from
Baganuur
Technological developments
 To entry Surface mining technology for Coal production
and overburden
 To build conveyor systems for both coal and waste
transport
 To start using underground mine technologies in some
coal seams.
 To reduce overburden volume and optimize mine earth
movements
COAL PRICE AND MINEABLE RESERVEs
140 186
392
683 717 731 749
1,98
2,16
2,43
2,72 2,74 2,75 2,80
1,00
1,20
1,40
1,60
1,80
2,00
2,20
2,40
2,60
2,80
3,00
-
500
1 000
1 500
2 000
2 500
3 000
0,7 0,8 0,9 1 1,1 1,2 1,3
Millions
Хөрс, м3
Нүүрс, тн
Кхх, м3/тн
Main option- Coal price
20500 tugriks/ton
Technology: Surface mining + Conveyor systems
Mineable reserve can be elevated to 749
million tones if selling price increased by
30% after technological renovation.
Minimum coal
thickness seam-
0.4 m
Waste, m3
Coal, ton
Strip ratio, m3/t
74 84
123 148 150 152 152
45
65
167
298 310 315 325
22
37
102
238
258 264 272
-
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
0,7 0,8 0,9 1 1,1 1,2 1,3
Millions
Factor impacting selling price
2-р давхарга
2a-р давхарга
3-р давхарга
Minimum
thickness of coal
seam- 0.4 m
Main option- Coal price
20500 tugriks/ton
COAL PRICE AND MINEABLE RESERVE
Technology: Surface mining+ conveyor system
Seam 2
Seam 2a
Seam 3
MINE PLAN 2012-2022
4,10
3,51
3,19
2,69
2,05
2,34
2,14 2,22 2,30 2,24
2,07
-
0,50
1,00
1,50
2,00
2,50
3,00
3,50
4,00
4,50
-
5
10
15
20
25 2012он
2013он
2014он
2015он
2016он
2017он
2018он
2019он
2020он
2021он
2022он
Stripratiom3/t
Million
Хөрс хуулалт, м3
Нийт нүүрс, тн
Хөрс хуулалтын
итгэлцүүр, м3/тн
Substantial decline in the
volume of vesting
waste, m3
Coal, ton
Strip
ratio, m3/t
PROJECTED COST
AFTER TECHNOLOGICAL RENOVATION
23,1
21,7
20,3
17,7
14,6
15,5 15,3 15,4 15,1 14,8
13,9
4,2
5,2 5,2 5,3 5,3 5,1 5,4 5,3 5,0 5,0 5,0
-
0,5
1,0
1,5
2,0
2,5
3,0
3,5
4,0
4,5
5,0
0,0
5,0
10,0
15,0
20,0
25,0
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
Stripratio,m3/t
Thous.tugriks
1 тн нүүрсний бүрэн өөрийн өртөг 1 м3 Уулын цулд ноогдох зардал КххUnit cost/ton coal Unit cost/ m3 rock mass Strip ratio
Preparation to stock exchange (2012)
- Geophysical survey
- Detailed survey drilling
- Geotechnical survey
- Drainage survey
- Resource report in accordance with JORC
- Have the resource report in accordance with Mongolian standard approved by
Mineral Resource Authority.
- Have the feasibility study in accordance with Mongolian standard approved by
Mineral Resource Authority.
- Feasibility study for a bank
- Prepare documents for stock exchange
- Баяжуулах үйлдвэрийн туршилт судалгаа ТЭЗҮ боловсруулах
Additional shares to be sold at domestic stock exchange to raise the
necessary fund while keeping state owned shares at 51% in 2012.
Investment plan
14
71,6
1,5
4,1
11,1
3,9 2,9
9,4
2,9 1,5
7,1
1,5
(10)
-
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
Хөрөнгийн биржд
гарах бэлтгэл
ажлын зардал
Уурхайн тоног
төхөөрөмж
Preparation
cost to stock
exchange
Mine
equipments
and facilities
(/in accordance with Feasibility study done by Glogex LLC)
Total investment of 131.4 million USD required between 2012 and 2022
ECONOMIC PARAMETERS
• Investment
– Facilities
• CAPEX 2012: USD85.5 million
• OPEX (2013-2015): USD16.7 million
• OPEX (2016-2022): USD29.2 million
• Total: USD117.5 million
– Preparation cost to stock exchange USD 13.9 million
– Total USD131.4 million
• Coal price/ton: 20500 tugriks in 2012, 22500 tugriks in 2013-2022
• Unit cost/ ton of coal
– in 2012: 23100 tugriks
– in 2014: 20300 tugriks
– in 2018: 15300 tugriks
– in 2022: 13900 tugriks
• Net present value (when NPV @ 10%): 35.6 billion tugriks
• Internal rate of return (IRR) - 13.4 %,
• Payback period – 7.91years or in 2018.
Thank you for your attention
We welcome any kind of cooperation

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09.02.2012 Baganuur Coal Mine Expansion: Opportunities for investors, Baganuur Sc

  • 1. Baganuur coal mine expansion Opportunities for investors Ulaanbaatar
  • 2. Content • Introduction • Resources and reserves • Coal production • Market outlook • Mine expansion plan • Research and development • Investment issues
  • 3. Introduction • ESTABLISHED IN1978. • SE 130 KM FROM ULAANBAATAR. CONNECTED TO PAVED ROAD AND RAILWAY NETWORK. • GOVERNMENT OWNS 75%, OTHERS 25% OF SHARES RESPECTIVELY. • EMPLOYEES 1100 • EXTRACTS 50% OF COAL CONSUMPTION FOR PRODUCING ENERGY OF MONGOLIA, 60% FOR CENTRAL REGION.
  • 4. Coal quality standart MNS 3818-2001 Type of coal size Ash content /%/ <Aã Moisture /%/ <Wã Sulfur content /%/ Sd t Volatile matter /%/V Calorific value <Qã t Kkal/kg KJ/kg Brown coal type -B2 17.5 37.5 0.5 45 3360 13.0
  • 5. Main consumers # Thermal power plants Annual supply /thous.tn/ Shares to total consumption 1 TPP-4 1600.0 60% 2 TPP-3 1100.0 100% 3 TPP-2 210.0 100% 4 Darkhan TPP 250.0 60% 5 Erdenet TPP 120.0 50%
  • 6. Resource and reserve Proved in 1978 with 600.0 million tons.  Updated in 1998 with 708.2 million tons as a result of detailed survey.  In total, 88.4 million tons of coal has been extracted since 1978. Norvest migrated the reserve model of 1978 into Minex in 3D.
  • 7. 2,00 2,50 3,00 3,50 4,00 4,50 5,00 - 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900 0,2 0,3 0,4 0,5 0,6 0,7 0,8 0,9 1 1,1 1,2 1,3 1,4 1,5 1,6 1,7 1,8 1,9 2 Кхх,м3/тн Millions Minimum thicknesses of coal seam, m 2-р давхарга 2a-р давхарга 3-р давхарга Хязгаарласан хөрс хуулалтын итгэлцүүр, м3/тн Resource and reserve Reserve can be elevated up to 700 million tones depending on the availability of minable coal seam thicknesses. Seam 2 Seam 2a Seam 3 Limiting strip ratio m3/ton
  • 8. Quality of survey results Laboratory analysis: In total samples from drilled boreholes Ash analysis 47% Caloric value analysis 24% Sulphur content analysis 47% Volatile analysis 29% Core recovery – (60-70%) Insufficient quality of survey to prepare a Feasilibility study for a bank Requires detailed survey to choose proper mine technology for the mine. Potentiality of resource increase up to 1.0 billion tones by conducting additional geological survey in accordance with international standards.
  • 11. CHALLENGES • Overdue overburden • Water drainage issues • Higher unit production cost than selling price • Coal price set by government • Outdated equipments and facilities - 90%, requires technical renovation. • Movement in internal stock piling • Unreachable reserves due to geological conditions • Increase in transport distance • HR risks- lower salary • Financial issues Requires technical renovation and decrease in production cost
  • 12. PROJECTED COAL CONSUMPTION IN CENTRAL REGION 5,2 5,3 5,9 7,1 10,6 11,7 13,0 15,0 6,5 6,8 7,5 8,8 12,5 13,7 15,7 18,1 - 2,0 4,0 6,0 8,0 10,0 12,0 14,0 16,0 18,0 20,0 Milliontones ТЭХС-ийн хэрэглээ Тєвийн бүсийн нийт хэрэглээ 2012 20172016201520142013 2018 2025 Central energy system’s consumption Total consumption in central region  Coal consumption of central region projected to be 6.5 million tones in 2012 while it will reach 15.7 million tones in 2018, 18.1 million tones in 2025 respectively. Regarding the consumption projection, Baganuur mine needs to expand the mine capacity.
  • 13. Capacity expansion 3,30 3,57 3,52 4,30 5,51 5,51 5,51 5,64 6,05 6,00 6,13 5,2 5,3 5,9 7,1 10,6 11,7 12,2 12,5 13,0 13,5 14,0 - 2,00 4,00 6,00 8,00 10,00 12,00 14,00 16,00 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 Багануурын нийлүүлэлт ТЭХС-ийн эрэлтDemand from CES  30% of coal consumption to TPP-5 which will be built with 820 MW capacity in 2012-2016.  100% of coal consumption to Baganuur power plant which will be built with 270MW in 2013-2016.  projected coal production of the mine is 6 million tons by 2020. Supply from Baganuur
  • 14. Technological developments  To entry Surface mining technology for Coal production and overburden  To build conveyor systems for both coal and waste transport  To start using underground mine technologies in some coal seams.  To reduce overburden volume and optimize mine earth movements
  • 15. COAL PRICE AND MINEABLE RESERVEs 140 186 392 683 717 731 749 1,98 2,16 2,43 2,72 2,74 2,75 2,80 1,00 1,20 1,40 1,60 1,80 2,00 2,20 2,40 2,60 2,80 3,00 - 500 1 000 1 500 2 000 2 500 3 000 0,7 0,8 0,9 1 1,1 1,2 1,3 Millions Хөрс, м3 Нүүрс, тн Кхх, м3/тн Main option- Coal price 20500 tugriks/ton Technology: Surface mining + Conveyor systems Mineable reserve can be elevated to 749 million tones if selling price increased by 30% after technological renovation. Minimum coal thickness seam- 0.4 m Waste, m3 Coal, ton Strip ratio, m3/t
  • 16. 74 84 123 148 150 152 152 45 65 167 298 310 315 325 22 37 102 238 258 264 272 - 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 0,7 0,8 0,9 1 1,1 1,2 1,3 Millions Factor impacting selling price 2-р давхарга 2a-р давхарга 3-р давхарга Minimum thickness of coal seam- 0.4 m Main option- Coal price 20500 tugriks/ton COAL PRICE AND MINEABLE RESERVE Technology: Surface mining+ conveyor system Seam 2 Seam 2a Seam 3
  • 17. MINE PLAN 2012-2022 4,10 3,51 3,19 2,69 2,05 2,34 2,14 2,22 2,30 2,24 2,07 - 0,50 1,00 1,50 2,00 2,50 3,00 3,50 4,00 4,50 - 5 10 15 20 25 2012он 2013он 2014он 2015он 2016он 2017он 2018он 2019он 2020он 2021он 2022он Stripratiom3/t Million Хөрс хуулалт, м3 Нийт нүүрс, тн Хөрс хуулалтын итгэлцүүр, м3/тн Substantial decline in the volume of vesting waste, m3 Coal, ton Strip ratio, m3/t
  • 18. PROJECTED COST AFTER TECHNOLOGICAL RENOVATION 23,1 21,7 20,3 17,7 14,6 15,5 15,3 15,4 15,1 14,8 13,9 4,2 5,2 5,2 5,3 5,3 5,1 5,4 5,3 5,0 5,0 5,0 - 0,5 1,0 1,5 2,0 2,5 3,0 3,5 4,0 4,5 5,0 0,0 5,0 10,0 15,0 20,0 25,0 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 Stripratio,m3/t Thous.tugriks 1 тн нүүрсний бүрэн өөрийн өртөг 1 м3 Уулын цулд ноогдох зардал КххUnit cost/ton coal Unit cost/ m3 rock mass Strip ratio
  • 19. Preparation to stock exchange (2012) - Geophysical survey - Detailed survey drilling - Geotechnical survey - Drainage survey - Resource report in accordance with JORC - Have the resource report in accordance with Mongolian standard approved by Mineral Resource Authority. - Have the feasibility study in accordance with Mongolian standard approved by Mineral Resource Authority. - Feasibility study for a bank - Prepare documents for stock exchange - Баяжуулах үйлдвэрийн туршилт судалгаа ТЭЗҮ боловсруулах Additional shares to be sold at domestic stock exchange to raise the necessary fund while keeping state owned shares at 51% in 2012.
  • 20. Investment plan 14 71,6 1,5 4,1 11,1 3,9 2,9 9,4 2,9 1,5 7,1 1,5 (10) - 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 Хөрөнгийн биржд гарах бэлтгэл ажлын зардал Уурхайн тоног төхөөрөмж Preparation cost to stock exchange Mine equipments and facilities (/in accordance with Feasibility study done by Glogex LLC) Total investment of 131.4 million USD required between 2012 and 2022
  • 21. ECONOMIC PARAMETERS • Investment – Facilities • CAPEX 2012: USD85.5 million • OPEX (2013-2015): USD16.7 million • OPEX (2016-2022): USD29.2 million • Total: USD117.5 million – Preparation cost to stock exchange USD 13.9 million – Total USD131.4 million • Coal price/ton: 20500 tugriks in 2012, 22500 tugriks in 2013-2022 • Unit cost/ ton of coal – in 2012: 23100 tugriks – in 2014: 20300 tugriks – in 2018: 15300 tugriks – in 2022: 13900 tugriks • Net present value (when NPV @ 10%): 35.6 billion tugriks • Internal rate of return (IRR) - 13.4 %, • Payback period – 7.91years or in 2018.
  • 22. Thank you for your attention We welcome any kind of cooperation