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Digitize or Die

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“Digital” is no longer just about digital marketing, or sales. Digital is the ability to instantly and costlessly connect people, devices, and physical objects anywhere. Billions of connected devices continuously produce more data than have ever been produced in the past, creating opportunitieis for new levels of automation and radically new business models. It is a “digitize or die” situation for all: What should a company do? Where should they start? Is there a methodology on how to pursue digital transformation? How is digital transformation linked to innovation? What steps should be taken, what obstacles should be anticipated and how are they overcome?

“Digital” is no longer just about digital marketing, or sales. Digital is the ability to instantly and costlessly connect people, devices, and physical objects anywhere. Billions of connected devices continuously produce more data than have ever been produced in the past, creating opportunitieis for new levels of automation and radically new business models. It is a “digitize or die” situation for all: What should a company do? Where should they start? Is there a methodology on how to pursue digital transformation? How is digital transformation linked to innovation? What steps should be taken, what obstacles should be anticipated and how are they overcome?

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Digitize or Die

  1. 1. DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION Sotiris Syrmakezis Lecture at the University of Cyprus, Centre for Entrepreneurship Nicosia, 30 January 2019
  2. 2. “Right now, a Masai warrior on a mobile phone in the middle of Kenya has better mobile communications than the U.S. president did 25 years ago. If he’s on a smart phone using Google, he has access to more information than the U.S. president did just 15 years ago.” Peter Diamandis, author of “Abundance”
  3. 3. Internet of Things “If you think that the internet has changed your life, think again. The IoT is about to change it all over again!” Brendan O’Brien, Chief Architect & Co-Founder, Aria Systems Experts Exchange, Processing Power Compared
  4. 4. Sotiris Syrmakezis Processing Power | Today’s smartphones are what used to be considered supercomputers Experts Exchange, Processing Power Compared 1969 1985 1985 2010
  5. 5. Sotiris Syrmakezis 2015 2000 Processing Power | Today’s supercomputers Experts Exchange, Processing Power Compared 2015 2010
  6. 6. Sotiris Syrmakezis Storage over time Experts Exchange, Processing Power Compared
  7. 7. Sotiris Syrmakezis Moore’s Law and the 5th paradigm of exponential growth
  8. 8. TECHNOLOGY “The strongest force propelling human progress has been the swift advance and wide diffusion of technology.” The Economist
  9. 9. 1 2 3 VIRTUAL AND AUGMENTED REALITY 4 5 6 7 8 ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE ROBOTICS SMARTPHONES ICT CRYPTOCURRENCIES & BLOCKCHAINS INTERNET OF THINGS SENSORS 3D PRINTING BIG DATA & ADVANCED ANALYTICS BIOTECH & NEUROTECH NANOTECH 8 exciting technologies that will change banking (and the world)
  10. 10. Sotiris Syrmakezis WARNING We tend to overestimate the effect of a technology in the short run an underestimate its effect in the long run
  11. 11. BLOCKCHAIN By 2022, a blockchain-based business will be worth $10 billion Gertner Prediction, Nov 2016 6
  12. 12. ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE By 2020, the average person will have more conversations with bots than with their spouse Gartner Assumption, Nov. 2016 5
  13. 13. “HELLO WORLD” by IAMUS COMPUTER CLUSTER & MELOMICS ALGORITHM
  14. 14. Artificial Intelligence | Artistic Style Transfer Computer Vision Foundation, Image Style Transfer Using Convolutional Neural Networks, 2016
  15. 15. UBER AUTONOMOUS FLEET
  16. 16. GOOGLE AUTONOMOUS FLEET
  17. 17. GOOGLE SELF-DRIVEN CAR
  18. 18. Sotiris Syrmakezis AI: chatbots in action today
  19. 19. Sotiris Syrmakezis Apple Siri, the early days…
  20. 20. Sotiris Syrmakezis Apple Siri, mature version…
  21. 21. Mobile Devices Pocket Supercomputers 1
  22. 22. Sotiris Syrmakezis
  23. 23. Sotiris Syrmakezis Coronation of Pope Benedictus Before the smartphone era…
  24. 24. Sotiris Syrmakezis Coronation of Pope Franciscus …and after that
  25. 25. Sotiris Syrmakezis Social media used in revolutions Social Media Tahrir Square, Cairo, 2011
  26. 26. Sotiris Syrmakezis
  27. 27. Sotiris Syrmakezis
  28. 28. Sotiris Syrmakezis 82% consult their phones on purchases they’re about to make in a store “How mobile has redefined the consumer decision journey for shoppers”, July 2016, ThinkWithGoogle.com 1 in 3 have purchased from a company or brand other than the one they intended to because of information provided in the moment they needed it Smartphone users Consumers in the Micro-Moment, Wave 3, Google/Ipsos, U.S., August 2015, n=1291 online smartphone users 18+
  29. 29. Sotiris Syrmakezis The economics of Digital Digital competition shrinks value. Customers win, and companies lose. Products/services become obsolete, and value pools consolidate. McKinsey & Co.: Why digital strategies fail, January 2018 DD
  30. 30. Internet of Things “If you think that the internet has changed your life, think again. The IoT is about to change it all over again!” Brendan O’Brien, Chief Architect & Co-Founder, Aria Systems
  31. 31. Sotiris Syrmakezis The Internet of Things is on our body
  32. 32. Sotiris Syrmakezis The human body is the next computer interface
  33. 33. Sotiris Syrmakezis The Internet of Things is in our homes
  34. 34. Sotiris Syrmakezis Tens of billions of connected devices By 2025, some 20 billion devices will be connected, nearly three times the world population Over the past two years, such devices have churned out 90 percent of the data ever produced. Why digital strategies fail, McKinsey & Co., Jan 2018
  35. 35. Sotiris Syrmakezis More connected devices than people Source: Cisco
  36. 36. Sotiris Syrmakezis IoT: significant cybersecurity issues
  37. 37. Sotiris Syrmakezis IoT: significant cybersecurity issues 54% of surveyed companies* experienced an industrial control system security incident within the past 12 months * Business Advantage State of Industrial Cybersecurity, 2017 Only 28% of those** consider their IoT security strategy to be “very important” More than 33% think it’s only “somewhat important”, or “not important at all” 61% of those surveyed** have already experienced an IoT security incident Annual fraud rates are now costing over £3 trillion a year*** ** Trustwave Report, 2018 *** Infosecurity Magazine, 2018 64% of surveyed organizations** have deployed IoT devices 20% plan to do so in a year &
  38. 38. The future of workforce “65% of children entering the 1st grade of primary school will work in jobs that do not exist today” Gartner Strategic Assumption, 2016
  39. 39. HUMAN vs. SOFTWARE ROBOT
  40. 40. Impact on workforce: job types at risk Source: McKinsey & Co. Grey lines represent average per activity across all sectors
  41. 41. Impact on workforce: emerging and declining jobs
  42. 42. It is much easier to imagine jobs that will go away than new jobs that will be created. Today millions of people work as app developers, ride-sharing drivers, drone operators, and social media marketers. Jobs that didn’t exist and would have been difficult to even imagine ten years ago. Impact on workforce: new jobs replace the old
  43. 43. Impact on workforce: wages
  44. 44. Sotiris Syrmakezis The Millennials
  45. 45. Sotiris Syrmakezis Millennials technology 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% Play video games IM / Chat Download Music/Video Use Social Media Watch TV Online Millennials Gen X Boomers Goldman Sachs | Our Thinking | Macroeconomic Insights | Data Story: Millennials, 2016
  46. 46. Sotiris Syrmakezis Millennials: they spend more on experiences JP Morgan Chase & Co. | State of the US Consumer | Barclays Global Financial Services Conference, Sep 2016
  47. 47. Sotiris Syrmakezis Millennials: they are developing a “healthy lifestyle” Goldman Sachs | Our Thinking | Macroeconomic Insights | Data Story: Millennials, 2016 OECD, Economic Outlook and Interim Economic Outlook, Sept. 2016
  48. 48. Sotiris Syrmakezis Goldman Sachs | Our Thinking | Macroeconomic Insights | Data Story: Millennials, 2016 Millennials: the largest generation in history
  49. 49. Sotiris Syrmakezis Aging population… OECD, Economic Outlook and Interim Economic Outlook, Sept. 2016
  50. 50. Sotiris Syrmakezis …plus Public Budget constraints… …means that people will work longer… …and they will be today’s millennials OECD, Economic Outlook and Interim Economic Outlook, Sept. 2016
  51. 51. Sotiris Syrmakezis 53% don’t think their bank offers anything different than others 1 in 3 are open to switching banks in the next 90 days Millennials and Banking “The Millennial Disruption Index”, Viacom Media Networks, 2013 33% believe they won’t need a bank at all
  52. 52. DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION “It’s no longer the big beating the small, but the fast beating the slow.” Eric Pearson, CIO, International Hotel Group (IHG)
  53. 53. WTF is digital transformation Sotiris Syrmakezis
  54. 54. …is like teenage sex: - Everyone talks about it - Nobody really knows how to do it - Everyone thinks that everyone else is already doing it - So, everyone claims they’re doing it Dan Ariely (paraphrased) Digital Transformation… Sotiris Syrmakezis
  55. 55. Digital Transformation… If you can’t explain it simply, you don’t understand it well enough Albert Einstein Όσο πιο καλά τα ξέρεις, τόσο πιο απλά τα λες Πέτρος Αμπαζής
  56. 56. Digital Transformation… Digitization Digitalization Digital Transformation the conversion of analog information into digital form the actual process of the technologically-induced change (digitization) within industries the total and overall societal effect of digitalization transform and change: • existing business models, • consumption patterns, • socio-economic structures, • legal and policy measures, • organizational patterns, • cultural barriers Sotiris Syrmakezis Conversion, process and effect accelerate and illuminate the already existing and ongoing horizontal and global processes of change in society
  57. 57. Sotiris Syrmakezis Largest taxi company / no vehicles Most popular media owner / no content Most valuable retailer / no inventory Largest accommodation provider / no real estate New business models disintermediate existing ones
  58. 58. Sotiris Syrmakezis The sharing economy (+ the reputation economy) PwC, Sharing Economy: sizing the revenue opportunity x 22.3 x 1.4
  59. 59. Sotiris Syrmakezis The economics of Digital Disruption is always dangerous, but digital disruptions are happening faster than ever. Why digital strategies fail, McKinsey & Co., Jan 2018
  60. 60. Sotiris Sirmakezis The economics of Digital Digital competition shrinks value. Customers win, and companies lose. Products/services become obsolete, and value pools consolidate. Why digital strategies fail, McKinsey & Co., Jan 2018
  61. 61. Sotiris Syrmakezis The economics of Digital Growth rates will plummet. To survive, companies must be first movers. Why digital strategies fail, McKinsey & Co., Jan 2018
  62. 62. Sotiris Syrmakezis The economics of Digital Why digital strategies fail, McKinsey & Co., Jan 2018
  63. 63. Sotiris Syrmakezis The economics of Digital Why digital strategies fail, McKinsey & Co., Jan 2018
  64. 64. Sotiris Syrmakezis Digital inflection point is imminent Analytics Services Survey, Harvard Business Review, December 2016 47% believe their traditional business model will be obsolete by 2020 36% of non-digital respondents hold this view
  65. 65. Sotiris Syrmakezis Analytics Services Survey, Harvard Business Review, December 2016 Disruption considered “very likely” for some industries
  66. 66. Sotiris Syrmakezis Business models replaced, innovation necessary
  67. 67. Bill Gates, 1994 “Banking is essential. Banks are not.”
  68. 68. Sotiris Syrmakezis Tech giants disrupt banks…
  69. 69. By 2021 20% of all activities an individual engages in will involve at least one of the top-seven digital giants Gartner Strategic Assumption
  70. 70. Sotiris Syrmakezis Financial Services Analysis, CapGemini, 2016 A perfect storm enables the emergence of startups
  71. 71. Sotiris Syrmakezis The “Uberization” of banking
  72. 72. Sotiris Syrmakezis N26 experience
  73. 73. Sotiris Syrmakezis FinTech startups jump out of every corner 13000+ fintechs worldwide
  74. 74. Sotiris Syrmakezis Challenger banks in UK
  75. 75. Sotiris Syrmakezis © 2016 KPMG Somekh Chaikin 450+ FinTech startups in Israel alone
  76. 76. Sotiris Syrmakezis FinTech scene in China and SE Asia
  77. 77. Sotiris Syrmakezis Fintechs cooperate to create larger challenges
  78. 78. Sotiris Syrmakezis “The state of the financial services industry 2017”, Oliver Wyman, 2017 COMBINED VALUATION OF TOP GLOBAL FIRMS IN EACH CATEGORY Digital disruptors grow much faster than incumbents
  79. 79. “In the future, BBVA will be a software company” Francisco Gonzalez, BBVA CEO, Mar 2015
  80. 80. Sotiris Syrmakezis Empowered customers have given rise to a new era Age of manufacturing Mass manufacturing makes industrial powerhouses successful Age of distribution Global connections and transportation systems make distribution key Age of information Connected PCs and supply chains mean those that control information flow dominate Age of the customer Empowered buyers demand a new level of customer obsession A concept of Forrester Research
  81. 81. Sotiris Syrmakezis We must become digital businesses Digital businesses continuously exploit digital technologies to create new sources of value for customers and increase operational agility in service of customers
  82. 82. Sotiris Syrmakezis Adopt digital strategy to business strategy Digital strategy Business strategy Governance Execution
  83. 83. Sotiris Syrmakezis Digital Transformation Components Vison & Mission Operational excellence strategy Business case Capability map Digital strategy Business strategy Governance Execution Customer experience strategy
  84. 84. Sotiris Syrmakezis Digital Strategy | Vision Vision & Mission Operational excellence strategy Business case Capability map Digital strategy Business strategy Governance Execution Customer experience strategy
  85. 85. Sotiris Syrmakezis Digital Strategy | Our mission
  86. 86. Sotiris Syrmakezis Digital Strategy | Our mission
  87. 87. Sotiris Syrmakezis Digital Strategy | Customer Experience & Operational Excellence Vision Operational excellence strategy Business case Capability map Digital strategy Business strategy Governance Execution Customer experience strategy
  88. 88. Digital Dinosaur Digital Connector Digital Operator Digital Master DigitalCustomerExperience Digital Operational Excellence ExternalFocus:Customer Internal Focus: Enterprise Data & Insights Digitally enhanced products & services Digital Strategy | Customer experience & Operational excellence Apply digital technology to address customers in a more sophisticated way to increase revenues and profitability Decrease cost of the existing value chain’s primary functions (e.g. R&D) as well as support functions (e.g. HR) business as usual partial digitization new business models disrupt (sub-) markets Develop new business models generating profits based on digital technology
  89. 89. Sotiris Syrmakezis Inside-Out vs. Outside-In Inside-Out Web/mobile enablement Outside-In Customer enablement Existing Systems (product-centric) New Platform (customer-centric) A Backbase concept
  90. 90. Sotiris Syrmakezis Inside-out Outside-in Capabilities Processes Technologies Resources Journeys Contexts Touchpoints Personas Service Customerobjectives Connect these viewpoints
  91. 91. Sotiris Syrmakezis PEOPLE THINK ABOUT HOW THEY CAN BENEFIT COMPANIES THINK ABOUT HOW THEY CAN PROFIT
  92. 92. Sotiris Syrmakezis PEOPLE THINK PERSONAL VALUE COMPANIES THINK ECONOMIC VALUE
  93. 93. Sotiris Syrmakezis PEOPLE THINK ABOUT HOW THEY’RE TREATED COMPANIES THINK ABOUT THE PRODUCTS THEY OFFER
  94. 94. COMPANIES ARE FORCING PEOPLE TO BE SOMEONE THEY’RE NOT – and people don’t like it –
  95. 95. COMPANIES JUST HAVE TO BETTER UNDERSTAND WHAT PEOPLE THINK not your ordinary customer segmentation methodology
  96. 96. Sotiris Syrmakezis …by designing products & services as digital-first experiences… …leverage digital data sources and analytics to optimize customer experience in real- time… …by extending the value we bring to customers inside their ecosystem of digitally connected products and services. …so that our customers rely on us, they trust our systems to recommend their next action or they allow us to take the action for them. …to deliver a best-in-class digital customer experience… …because the disciplines of customer experience influence everything we do. Digital Strategy | Digital Customer Experience Digitize end-to-end customer experience Digitize products & services as part of the value ecosystem Convert data to information Digital front-end processes Multi-channel service Digital Marketing and Social Media Integrated physical & digital experience
  97. 97. Embracing mobile as the platform, lets the opportunities of interaction grow exponentially Customer Experience Strategy | Mobile-1st
  98. 98. When we think about digital experiences, the comparative set is not a competitor’s app. It’s the last app our user opened
  99. 99. Serve customers in their mobile momentsCustomer Experience Strategy | Mobile moments
  100. 100. Sotiris Syrmakezis Leverage digital technology to engage customers and partners in innovation and product design Prioritize investments that create agility in our operations to cope with rapid changes in market conditions Use agile and iterative techniques to bring digital products and services to customers Measure and reward employees based on customer-centric metrics over functional metrics Optimize operations using digital connections to dynamically source services in support of customer value Empower employees with digital tools. Aid them build their own collaboration networks, internally and with partners Digital Strategy | Digital Operating Excellence Source enhanced operational capabilities Drive rapid customer-centric innovation Emphasize agility Automation of back-end processes End-to-end digitization Outsourcing of support functions Automated analytics and intelligence
  101. 101. Sotiris Syrmakezis Digital Strategy | Capability map Vision Operational excellence strategy Business case Capability map Digital strategy Business strategy Governance Execution Customer experience strategy
  102. 102. Sotiris Syrmakezis As-is and to-be capabilities required to support the business Digital Strategy | Capability map | Example
  103. 103. Sotiris Syrmakezis Digital Strategy | Business case Vision Operational excellence strategy Business case Capability map Digital strategy Business strategy Governance Execution Customer experience strategy
  104. 104. Sotiris Syrmakezis Business case = set of proof points to support the investments Digital Strategy | Business case | Example
  105. 105. Governance Digital strategy Business strategy Governance Execution Cooperation between department and silos Thinking beyond a ‘campaign mentality’ in digital strategy Clarity of roles and responsibilities Company culture 81% 78% 72% 67% Obstructive for…
  106. 106. Sotiris Syrmakezis Execution Culture Organization Metrics Technology Digital strategy Business strategy Governance Execution
  107. 107. Sotiris Syrmakezis Digital Strategy | Execution | the components Culture Organization Metrics Technology Foster a culture of digital innovation Alignment to support digital strategy, governance, execution Use customer & business data to measure success Use and adopt emerging technologies • Education & training plan • Innovation strategy • Communication: roadshows, int. conferences, 3rd-party support • 3rd-party input: Universities, consultants etc. • Salary & people cost • Reorganization & restructuring: current & future-state • Recruitment / new skills • Customer journey mapping / BPM • Salary & people cost • Agency & outsourcer cost • Customer-centric KPIs • Data architecture to define services and APIs • Analytics: web, social, location, footfall etc. • New measurements: NPS, CxPI etc. • New payment/reward schemes to reflect x-touchpoint targets • Architecture vs. journey maps: highlight critical tech transform. • Touchpoint development • Technology purchasing & licensing / cloud • Data model & integration / APIs • Outsourcing
  108. 108. Sotiris Syrmakezis Lean Methodology
  109. 109. Sotiris Syrmakezis Design Thinking
  110. 110. Sotiris Syrmakezis Service Design
  111. 111. Sotiris Syrmakezis Service Design
  112. 112. Sotiris Syrmakezis Agile methodology
  113. 113. Sotiris Syrmakezis The Digital Innovation Pipeline Effectively shifting gears between the different phases of the innovation pipeline (for digital innovation) boardofinnovation.com
  114. 114. Sotiris Syrmakezis At the end of the day your customers don’t care whether you’re agile, lean or practice design thinking. They care about great products and services that solve meaningful problems for them in effective ways. The more you can focus your teams on these things the better their process will be. Lean or Design Thinking or Agile? Work in short cycles Hold regular retrospectives Put the customer at the center of everything Go and see
  115. 115. Sotiris Syrmakezis Metrics in the digital world Accenture, 2015
  116. 116. Sotiris Syrmakezis Boston Consulting Group, The power of people in digital banking transformation, November 2015 Phases in Digital Transformation Journey
  117. 117. Sotiris Syrmakezis The ever-present organizational structure question Forrester Research, Evolve Your Organization Structure To Promote Digital Maturity Model Decentralized Centralized Federated Strategy Governance Execution Description Embedded in business units Embedded in business units Embedded in business units Centralized Centralized Centralized Centralized Combined Embedded in business units All strategy decisions made in distributed, local teams independent of one another HQ makes all strategy & tactical decisions, giving local teams little to no leeway to adjust execution HQ makes most strategy decisions & allows local teams to adjust decisions and execute within specs
  118. 118. Startup-like innovation culture
  119. 119. Sotiris Sirmakezis Originality is non-existent. Authenticity is invaluable. Jim Jarmusch, Film Maker To innovate, steal like an artist
  120. 120. Sotiris Sirmakezis You can’t just ask customers what they want and then try to give that to them. By the time you get it built, they’ll want something new. Steve Jobs CEO, Apple Inc. To innovate, believe in yourself
  121. 121. Sotiris Sirmakezis It’s not where you take things from, it’s where you take them to Jean-Luc Goddard, Film Maker To innovate, start where others have stopped
  122. 122. Sotiris Sirmakezis Grumpies are good at: • Finding Mistakes • Shutting Down • Saving Money Search for them, you need them! Stepping on others’ toes
  123. 123. Sotiris Sirmakezis Ideas travel from one side of the table to the other. Most interesting games are between opponents coming from totally different training, technique and methodology environments. It’s like ping pong
  124. 124. Sotiris Sirmakezis Show respect to others & Fight like crazy for your ideas! Fight like a gentleman
  125. 125. Sotiris Sirmakezis Accept mistakes
  126. 126. Sotiris Sirmakezis A man is not into innovation because he is paid to do so, but because he wants to* *Gene Meieran, Intel Fellow Money isn’t everything
  127. 127. Sotiris Sirmakezis Focus on unmet customer needs Experiment with new business models Think like an ecosystem player Face the non-believers Choose speed over perfection Be ruthless about your liabilities Innovate the adjacent possible Maximize the use of existing technology Place a few selective big bets Start thinking like a disruptor
  128. 128. Digital business transformation is a journey, not a destination
  129. 129. MISSION : e-POSSIBLE ! MISSION : IMPOSSIBLE ? Thank you! DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION

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