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                             Win the Battle for Market Share
  CONSUMER
    GOODS                    How to Optimize Brand Strategy
      S E CTO R              and Predict Share Growth

                             Building market share is one of the chief objectives for Marketers of
                             consumer goods products. This is no easy task given the increasingly
                             competitive nature of the consumer packaged goods market, the rapid
                             evolution of digital marketing, and the growing sophistication of consumers
                             who now have more tools for seeking and sharing information about
                             brands and more channels from which to choose brands than ever before.
                             In order to build market share, the Marketer first needs to identify which
                             category drivers to leverage in order to do so. The challenge is to determine
  Sunando Das
  Vice President,
                             exactly how to uncover the true drivers of consumer choice. Should brands
  Global Product Center,     be evaluated on functional attributes, emotional attributes, or both?
  Ipsos Marketing,
  Consumer Goods Sector      The Marketer’s next step is usually to employ a simulation tool to deter-
  sunando.das@ipsos.com
                             mine the best marketing strategies for achieving optimal share based on
                             the identified drivers. The frustration the Marketer often faces during this
                             phase is that many simulators do not reflect what the real changes in the
                             market will be. The changes predicted by a simulator are frequently exag-
                             gerated, and the Marketer can use the results for directional guidance only.
                             Recognizing the limitations of current brand research frameworks, Ipsos
                             Marketing, Consumer Goods embarked on an extensive, multinational R&D
                             study to uncover better ways to understand how consumers connect with
                             brands. Our goal was to build the foundation for a more comprehensive
                             and consumer-centric approach to brand research.
                             Our findings resulted in a new framework for determining which brand
                             components drive consumer choice as well as a more accurate method
                             for conducting market simulations for optimizing brand share.


                             The author would like to thank and acknowledge Lee Markowitz, Global Chief Research Officer, Ipsos Marketing, Consumer
                             Goods, for contributing research and writing support for this piece.



                April 2009   For more Ipsos Marketing POVs, visit www.ipsosmarketing.com/knowledgecenter

© 2009, Ipsos
Win the Battle for Market Share


       Current Brand Frameworks Fail on Three Levels
       While Marketers have a wide selection of brand models from which to choose, most of these models do not provide a
       holistic view of the brand and do not offer solid recommendations for driving brand growth into the future.
       Marketers should ask themselves if the brand research model they are currently using has any of the following problems:

                                                                                                                            Yes   No
            1. The framework fails to capture all the ways a consumer connects with a brand.
            2. The framework does not provide an understanding of the future direction of the brand.
            3. The simulator does not realistically predict the impact of changes to brand positioning.


       If the answer to one or more of the above questions is “Yes, then the brand model is not providing the best possible
                                                                   ”
       method for deciding which strategies should be deployed to increase consumer share of brand choice.
       What follows are the solutions we developed to each of these problems based on our brand research R&D.

       Problem #1: Failure to Capture All the Ways a Consumer Connects with a Brand
       The core challenge a Marketer faces when embarking on brand research is identifying the brand components that drive
       consumer choice. Some research approaches focus on functional aspects while others focus on emotional aspects. Still
       other approaches focus on very specific aspects, such as brand personality. Indeed, to develop a holistic understanding of
       what drives brand choice so that a successful marketing strategy can be implemented, a brand framework must focus on
       all these aspects.

       The Solution: Understand                    Figure 1
       Your Brand’s Body and Soul                                                         Brand’s DNA
       The premise of our brand research is
       that, just like humans, a brand has a
       DNA with a Body and a Soul (Figure 1).                  The Body of the Brand                    The Soul of the Brand

       The Body and the Soul of the brand
       help connect it to the mind and heart                   FFunctional   Properties                   Emotional Needs
       of the consumer. This connection is
       formed through various consumer inter-
                                                                   Brand Image                               Personality
       actions with the brand, thus creating a
       brand experience.


           The Body of the brand must include the following components:

           1  Functional Properties: These represent what the brand is good at, or the competency of the brand.
              Functional properties may be “good taste” for a food brand, “rich lather” for a soap brand, or “effective
           at removing dirt” for a household cleaner brand. Functional benefits are the prerequisite for success for any
           brand. Febreeze® Fabric Refresher™ succeeds because it offers a unique functional benefit: it clears away
           odors from household fabrics such as upholstery, curtains and carpets.

           2   Brand Image: This refers to what the brand stands for, and what kind of image the brand conveys. Brand
               image is important because it helps differentiate the brand from other brands. A brand may have an
           image that is innovative, traditional, authentic, or prestigious, to name a few. For example, Coke® is known as
           a cool brand, Mr. Clean® stands for toughness, and Dove® has an image of gentleness.
           The Soul of the brand must include the following components:

           3  Emotional Needs: These represent the feelings evoked by the brand and measure how the brand makes
              the user feel and what the brand helps the user to achieve. Examples of emotional attributes are
           excitement, fun, and well-being. Oil of Olay ® makes women feel beautiful by helping them improve the
           appearance of their skin.

           4  Personality: These attributes help us understand the character of the brand and what the brand says
              about the user. Personality is important because it helps the consumer identify with the brand. Examples
           of personality attributes are cheerful, intelligent, and successful. Ben & Jerry’s ® ice cream exudes a light-
           hearted and humorous personality, with such flavors as Chunky Monkey and Berried Treasure.


       These four components of Body and Soul comprise the brand’s DNA. They drive the implicit value or strength of the brand
       in consumers’ minds and represent Brand Equity.



                                                                  –2–

© 2009, Ipsos
Win the Battle for Market Share


        The Four Components of Body and Soul are Validated to Be More Predictive
        We have seen from our R&D that each of the four compo-
        nents of Body and Soul, by itself, can explain fairly well
        what drives the equity of the brand. Hence, frameworks                                  “…when we consider all
        focusing on only one or two of the four components are
        not wrong; however, they are not complete. If we had                                  four components of Body and
        only one of the four components in our framework, we
        would predict at most 60% of consumers’ brand choices.                              Soul and the interactions among
        However, when we consider all four components of Body
        and Soul and the interactions among them, we are able to                              them, we are able to predict
        predict 85–95% of consumers’ brand choices.
        Another important conclusion from our R&D is that func-
                                                                                                 85 – 95% of consumers’
        tional and emotional components are interlinked. Any
        brand positioning or communication emphasizing func-
                                                                                                     brand choices.
                                                                                                                  ”
        tional benefits also impacts emotional benefits.
        As stated earlier, the four components of Body and Soul drive Brand Equity. Brand Equity, in combination with a brand’s
        price, drives Brand Value, which reflects consumers’ share of choice of brands. Based on our R&D, we were able to develop
        a model that incorporates the four components, along with price, to predict Brand Value (Share of Choice). We have
        validated that our Brand Value model produces results that are very close to actual market shares.



        Problem #2: The Brand’s Future Direction is Not Considered in the Model
        Many models only measure the present strength of the brand. However, Marketers need to understand how connected
        their buyers are to their brands to predict whether their brands are likely to increase or decrease their market share.

        The Solution: Use Affiliation to Measure Connectedness to a Brand
        Through our R&D, we were able to derive a measure we call Affiliation. Affiliation, also known as Loyalty, is a measure of
        the likelihood of consumers to stay with a brand in the future. Affiliation is obtained by considering Brand Value in com-
        bination with barriers – factors that make it difficult to switch brands. For example, once a mother starts her baby on a
        specific brand of baby formula, it is difficult to switch the baby to another formula brand. The barrier is the risk that the
        new formula will not be agreeable to the baby. Affiliation has been validated to be reflective of future consumer behavior.
        An understanding of Affiliation helps Marketers identify consumers who are not well-entrenched with the brand – even if
        they are using the brand. Strategies can then be devised to increase the loyalty of these consumers. Equally important, core
        consumers who are loyal to the brand can be identified and then nurtured with strategies to reinforce and retain their loyalty.



        Problem #3: Brand Simulators that Do Not Make Realistic Predictions
        One of the key applications of brand research is to simulate different marketing strategies with the goal of optimizing
        brand share. Unfortunately, current simulators used to estimate market share often do not reflect what the real changes in
        the market will be. One of the main reasons for this failure is that the full range of drivers of choice is not covered in the
        simulator. Another important reason is that individual-level data is not used.

        The Solution: Predict Share Growth with an Individual-Level Simulation Model
        All of the components of a brand’s Body and Soul
        (and their interactions) should be captured in a brand
        simulator. Moreover, brand simulators should be based                                 “Individual-level models help
        on individual-level data. Why? Because every consumer is
        unique and has different needs. Individual-level models                             in evolving the science of brand
        help in evolving the science of brand equity from a
        brand-centric to a consumer-centric approach. The result                            equity from a brand-centric to a
        is more realistic simulations. Our R&D has shown that
        individual-level models are at least 30% more accurate                               consumer-centric approach.
                                                                                                                      ”
        in predicting consumer behavior.




       1 Manners, Tim.   Relevance: Making Stuff that Matters. Penguin Group. 2008.



                                                                                      –3–

© 2009, Ipsos
Win the Battle for Market Share


       Figure 2 shows an example of a simulation that incorporates the four components of Body and Soul and uses individual-
       level data. In this case, the performance of Brand 8 is simulated.
       The simulator provides a line chart in which the dotted red line represents the current performance of Brand 8 on the key
       category drivers. The solid red line represents an improved performance on those drivers that the Marketer of Brand 8 would
       like to simulate. The blue line represents the performance of Brand 4 given the simulated improved performance of Brand 8.
       The simulator then provides a bar chart that shows the impact of Brand 8’s improved performance on share of choice in
       the category. The current share of choice for each brand is shown (in green) along with the simulated share of choice
       (in blue), given the simulated improved performance of Brand 8 on the key category drivers. As Brand 8’s performance
       improves, the shares of choice for competitive brands decline. The size of Brand 8’s share increase, as well as the sizes of
       competitors’ share declines, is reflective of what would actually happen in the market.
       Figure 2

         Show Brand Pos.          Select Brand to Sim.

                         Brand 1 $4.40      k
                                                                                                          26.9    25.7
                         Brand 2 $4.30      k
                                                                                                                                                       22.4         21.6
                         Brand 3 $2.00      k
                                                                                                                         17.3
         Inputs




                                                                                                                                 16.3                                                            17.2
                   3     Brand 4 $2.10      k
                                                                                                                                                                                          13.4
                         Brand 5 $3.50      k                                                                                                                              9.7 9.2
                         Brand 6 $2.40      k
                                                                                       4.1 3.9                                           3.0 2.9
                         Brand 7 $2.30      k                          0.3 0.3
                   3     Brand 8 $1.96      k
                                            b                           Brand 1         Brand 2            Brand 3        Brand 4         Brand 5         Brand 6           Brand 7        Brand 8

                                                          80

             Brand Symbols & Colors                       60

                                                          40
               v
              — — Brand 1        í
                                — — Brand 2                       v              v             v                  v         v              v                            v
                                                          20                                                                                             v                                          v
                                                                                                                                                                                      v
                  — — Brand 3    v
                                — — Brand 4                0

                                                         –20
                   í
                  — — Brand 5    b
                                — — Brand 6              –40

                                                         –60
                   í
                  — — Brand 7   — — Brand 8
                                                         –80
                                                               Trustworthy   Endorsement/   Prestigious     Up-to-date    Skin Care     Protection   Easy to Find     Different   Attractive     Confidence
                                                                               Respect        Brand                                                                   Formats     Packaging


       The Ultimate Solution: A New, Comprehensive Brand Framework– PERCEPTOR®Plus:
       Based on our R&D, we have developed a new brand research tool, PERCEPTORPlus, which helps Marketers meet the key
       challenges they face when trying to leverage brand research to optimize their strategy and predict share growth.
       Specifically, PERCEPTORPlus:                                 Figure 3

       • Captures all the ways a consumer con-
         nects with a brand by evaluating the                                                                     Connection                                                         Affiliation
         brand’s Body and Soul.
                                                                                                 Experience
       • Provides an understanding of the future
                                                                                                                                                         Value
         direction of the brand by measuring
         Affiliation.                                                        Functional
                                                                             Properties
       • Employs an individual-level model to
                                                                                                           Body




         accurately simulate market share.
       The full PERCEPTOR®Plus framework is                                   Brand                                                                                                     Loyal
       summarized in Figure 3.                                                Image
                                                                                                                             Brand                       Brand
       What makes PERCEPTORPlus unique is its                                       Equity          Value
       ability to integrate virtually all relevant
                                                        Emotional
       drivers of brand choice – in essence, the          Needs
       Body and Soul of a brand – into a compre-
                                                                                                           Soul




       hensive framework that can be used by
       Marketers to determine Brand Equity,             Personality
       Brand Value (Share of Choice) and Affilia-                                                                  Switcher
                                                                                    Price
       tion (Loyalty). Marketers can also leverage
                                                                                                   Inertia
       PERCEPTORPlus’ simulator to predict the                                                     (Barriers)
       impact of different strategies on market
       share. Because the simulator covers the
       Body and Soul of a brand and is based on validated, individual-level modeling, Marketers can be well-armed to go into the
       battle for market share…and win.




© 2009, Ipsos                                                                                                                                                                                      0 9 - 0 4 - 2 7

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Win the Battle for Market Share: How to Optimize Brand Strategy and Predict Share Growth

  • 1. Point of view Win the Battle for Market Share CONSUMER GOODS How to Optimize Brand Strategy S E CTO R and Predict Share Growth Building market share is one of the chief objectives for Marketers of consumer goods products. This is no easy task given the increasingly competitive nature of the consumer packaged goods market, the rapid evolution of digital marketing, and the growing sophistication of consumers who now have more tools for seeking and sharing information about brands and more channels from which to choose brands than ever before. In order to build market share, the Marketer first needs to identify which category drivers to leverage in order to do so. The challenge is to determine Sunando Das Vice President, exactly how to uncover the true drivers of consumer choice. Should brands Global Product Center, be evaluated on functional attributes, emotional attributes, or both? Ipsos Marketing, Consumer Goods Sector The Marketer’s next step is usually to employ a simulation tool to deter- sunando.das@ipsos.com mine the best marketing strategies for achieving optimal share based on the identified drivers. The frustration the Marketer often faces during this phase is that many simulators do not reflect what the real changes in the market will be. The changes predicted by a simulator are frequently exag- gerated, and the Marketer can use the results for directional guidance only. Recognizing the limitations of current brand research frameworks, Ipsos Marketing, Consumer Goods embarked on an extensive, multinational R&D study to uncover better ways to understand how consumers connect with brands. Our goal was to build the foundation for a more comprehensive and consumer-centric approach to brand research. Our findings resulted in a new framework for determining which brand components drive consumer choice as well as a more accurate method for conducting market simulations for optimizing brand share. The author would like to thank and acknowledge Lee Markowitz, Global Chief Research Officer, Ipsos Marketing, Consumer Goods, for contributing research and writing support for this piece. April 2009 For more Ipsos Marketing POVs, visit www.ipsosmarketing.com/knowledgecenter © 2009, Ipsos
  • 2. Win the Battle for Market Share Current Brand Frameworks Fail on Three Levels While Marketers have a wide selection of brand models from which to choose, most of these models do not provide a holistic view of the brand and do not offer solid recommendations for driving brand growth into the future. Marketers should ask themselves if the brand research model they are currently using has any of the following problems: Yes No 1. The framework fails to capture all the ways a consumer connects with a brand. 2. The framework does not provide an understanding of the future direction of the brand. 3. The simulator does not realistically predict the impact of changes to brand positioning. If the answer to one or more of the above questions is “Yes, then the brand model is not providing the best possible ” method for deciding which strategies should be deployed to increase consumer share of brand choice. What follows are the solutions we developed to each of these problems based on our brand research R&D. Problem #1: Failure to Capture All the Ways a Consumer Connects with a Brand The core challenge a Marketer faces when embarking on brand research is identifying the brand components that drive consumer choice. Some research approaches focus on functional aspects while others focus on emotional aspects. Still other approaches focus on very specific aspects, such as brand personality. Indeed, to develop a holistic understanding of what drives brand choice so that a successful marketing strategy can be implemented, a brand framework must focus on all these aspects. The Solution: Understand Figure 1 Your Brand’s Body and Soul Brand’s DNA The premise of our brand research is that, just like humans, a brand has a DNA with a Body and a Soul (Figure 1). The Body of the Brand The Soul of the Brand The Body and the Soul of the brand help connect it to the mind and heart FFunctional Properties Emotional Needs of the consumer. This connection is formed through various consumer inter- Brand Image Personality actions with the brand, thus creating a brand experience. The Body of the brand must include the following components: 1 Functional Properties: These represent what the brand is good at, or the competency of the brand. Functional properties may be “good taste” for a food brand, “rich lather” for a soap brand, or “effective at removing dirt” for a household cleaner brand. Functional benefits are the prerequisite for success for any brand. Febreeze® Fabric Refresher™ succeeds because it offers a unique functional benefit: it clears away odors from household fabrics such as upholstery, curtains and carpets. 2 Brand Image: This refers to what the brand stands for, and what kind of image the brand conveys. Brand image is important because it helps differentiate the brand from other brands. A brand may have an image that is innovative, traditional, authentic, or prestigious, to name a few. For example, Coke® is known as a cool brand, Mr. Clean® stands for toughness, and Dove® has an image of gentleness. The Soul of the brand must include the following components: 3 Emotional Needs: These represent the feelings evoked by the brand and measure how the brand makes the user feel and what the brand helps the user to achieve. Examples of emotional attributes are excitement, fun, and well-being. Oil of Olay ® makes women feel beautiful by helping them improve the appearance of their skin. 4 Personality: These attributes help us understand the character of the brand and what the brand says about the user. Personality is important because it helps the consumer identify with the brand. Examples of personality attributes are cheerful, intelligent, and successful. Ben & Jerry’s ® ice cream exudes a light- hearted and humorous personality, with such flavors as Chunky Monkey and Berried Treasure. These four components of Body and Soul comprise the brand’s DNA. They drive the implicit value or strength of the brand in consumers’ minds and represent Brand Equity. –2– © 2009, Ipsos
  • 3. Win the Battle for Market Share The Four Components of Body and Soul are Validated to Be More Predictive We have seen from our R&D that each of the four compo- nents of Body and Soul, by itself, can explain fairly well what drives the equity of the brand. Hence, frameworks “…when we consider all focusing on only one or two of the four components are not wrong; however, they are not complete. If we had four components of Body and only one of the four components in our framework, we would predict at most 60% of consumers’ brand choices. Soul and the interactions among However, when we consider all four components of Body and Soul and the interactions among them, we are able to them, we are able to predict predict 85–95% of consumers’ brand choices. Another important conclusion from our R&D is that func- 85 – 95% of consumers’ tional and emotional components are interlinked. Any brand positioning or communication emphasizing func- brand choices. ” tional benefits also impacts emotional benefits. As stated earlier, the four components of Body and Soul drive Brand Equity. Brand Equity, in combination with a brand’s price, drives Brand Value, which reflects consumers’ share of choice of brands. Based on our R&D, we were able to develop a model that incorporates the four components, along with price, to predict Brand Value (Share of Choice). We have validated that our Brand Value model produces results that are very close to actual market shares. Problem #2: The Brand’s Future Direction is Not Considered in the Model Many models only measure the present strength of the brand. However, Marketers need to understand how connected their buyers are to their brands to predict whether their brands are likely to increase or decrease their market share. The Solution: Use Affiliation to Measure Connectedness to a Brand Through our R&D, we were able to derive a measure we call Affiliation. Affiliation, also known as Loyalty, is a measure of the likelihood of consumers to stay with a brand in the future. Affiliation is obtained by considering Brand Value in com- bination with barriers – factors that make it difficult to switch brands. For example, once a mother starts her baby on a specific brand of baby formula, it is difficult to switch the baby to another formula brand. The barrier is the risk that the new formula will not be agreeable to the baby. Affiliation has been validated to be reflective of future consumer behavior. An understanding of Affiliation helps Marketers identify consumers who are not well-entrenched with the brand – even if they are using the brand. Strategies can then be devised to increase the loyalty of these consumers. Equally important, core consumers who are loyal to the brand can be identified and then nurtured with strategies to reinforce and retain their loyalty. Problem #3: Brand Simulators that Do Not Make Realistic Predictions One of the key applications of brand research is to simulate different marketing strategies with the goal of optimizing brand share. Unfortunately, current simulators used to estimate market share often do not reflect what the real changes in the market will be. One of the main reasons for this failure is that the full range of drivers of choice is not covered in the simulator. Another important reason is that individual-level data is not used. The Solution: Predict Share Growth with an Individual-Level Simulation Model All of the components of a brand’s Body and Soul (and their interactions) should be captured in a brand simulator. Moreover, brand simulators should be based “Individual-level models help on individual-level data. Why? Because every consumer is unique and has different needs. Individual-level models in evolving the science of brand help in evolving the science of brand equity from a brand-centric to a consumer-centric approach. The result equity from a brand-centric to a is more realistic simulations. Our R&D has shown that individual-level models are at least 30% more accurate consumer-centric approach. ” in predicting consumer behavior. 1 Manners, Tim. Relevance: Making Stuff that Matters. Penguin Group. 2008. –3– © 2009, Ipsos
  • 4. Win the Battle for Market Share Figure 2 shows an example of a simulation that incorporates the four components of Body and Soul and uses individual- level data. In this case, the performance of Brand 8 is simulated. The simulator provides a line chart in which the dotted red line represents the current performance of Brand 8 on the key category drivers. The solid red line represents an improved performance on those drivers that the Marketer of Brand 8 would like to simulate. The blue line represents the performance of Brand 4 given the simulated improved performance of Brand 8. The simulator then provides a bar chart that shows the impact of Brand 8’s improved performance on share of choice in the category. The current share of choice for each brand is shown (in green) along with the simulated share of choice (in blue), given the simulated improved performance of Brand 8 on the key category drivers. As Brand 8’s performance improves, the shares of choice for competitive brands decline. The size of Brand 8’s share increase, as well as the sizes of competitors’ share declines, is reflective of what would actually happen in the market. Figure 2 Show Brand Pos. Select Brand to Sim. Brand 1 $4.40 k 26.9 25.7 Brand 2 $4.30 k 22.4 21.6 Brand 3 $2.00 k 17.3 Inputs 16.3 17.2 3 Brand 4 $2.10 k 13.4 Brand 5 $3.50 k 9.7 9.2 Brand 6 $2.40 k 4.1 3.9 3.0 2.9 Brand 7 $2.30 k 0.3 0.3 3 Brand 8 $1.96 k b Brand 1 Brand 2 Brand 3 Brand 4 Brand 5 Brand 6 Brand 7 Brand 8 80 Brand Symbols & Colors 60 40 v — — Brand 1 í — — Brand 2 v v v v v v v 20 v v v — — Brand 3 v — — Brand 4 0 –20 í — — Brand 5 b — — Brand 6 –40 –60 í — — Brand 7 — — Brand 8 –80 Trustworthy Endorsement/ Prestigious Up-to-date Skin Care Protection Easy to Find Different Attractive Confidence Respect Brand Formats Packaging The Ultimate Solution: A New, Comprehensive Brand Framework– PERCEPTOR®Plus: Based on our R&D, we have developed a new brand research tool, PERCEPTORPlus, which helps Marketers meet the key challenges they face when trying to leverage brand research to optimize their strategy and predict share growth. Specifically, PERCEPTORPlus: Figure 3 • Captures all the ways a consumer con- nects with a brand by evaluating the Connection Affiliation brand’s Body and Soul. Experience • Provides an understanding of the future Value direction of the brand by measuring Affiliation. Functional Properties • Employs an individual-level model to Body accurately simulate market share. The full PERCEPTOR®Plus framework is Brand Loyal summarized in Figure 3. Image Brand Brand What makes PERCEPTORPlus unique is its Equity Value ability to integrate virtually all relevant Emotional drivers of brand choice – in essence, the Needs Body and Soul of a brand – into a compre- Soul hensive framework that can be used by Marketers to determine Brand Equity, Personality Brand Value (Share of Choice) and Affilia- Switcher Price tion (Loyalty). Marketers can also leverage Inertia PERCEPTORPlus’ simulator to predict the (Barriers) impact of different strategies on market share. Because the simulator covers the Body and Soul of a brand and is based on validated, individual-level modeling, Marketers can be well-armed to go into the battle for market share…and win. © 2009, Ipsos 0 9 - 0 4 - 2 7