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GROCERY
 REPORT
  Vietnam
   2012




                                                              1

                  Vietnam Grocery Report 2012
  Copyright © 2012 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.
CONTENT

           Market     Channels                            Shoppers




           MACRO-
                     THE RETAIL                     BELT BUCKLING
          ECONOMIC
                     LANDSCAPE                             |
          OUTLOOK
                        NOW                          CONNECTED
              |
                       & INTO                        CONSUMERS
            FMCG
                     THE FUTURE
          OVERVIEW




                                                                                         2

                                             Vietnam Grocery Report 2012
                             Copyright © 2012 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.
Macroeconomic
MARKET                      Outlook
                                            FMCG Overview




  Will Vietnam’s GDP and CPI reach
  their 2012 targets?


  Is the Vietnam retail industry still
  attractive?




                                                                                                        3

                                                            Vietnam Grocery Report 2012
                                            Copyright © 2012 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.
A very tough 2012 when all the macro indexes are not as
expected. Signs of decreasing inflation since Quarter 2…

                                                                         GDP YOY
          GOVERNMENT
           PLAN 2012                     8
                                         7
       GDP 6-       CPI ≤                6
        6.5%         10%
                                         5
                                         4
        ACTUAL half 2012
                                         3

         GDP         CPI                 2
        4.38%       12.2%                1
                                         0
                                             Q1-10 Q2-10 Q3-10 Q4-10 Q1-11 Q2-11 Q3-11 Q4-11 Q1-12 Q2-12




                              22.2 23.0 22.4 21.6 19.8
               17.5 19.8 20.8                          18.1               17.3 16.4 14.2
12.2 13.3 13.9                                                                           10.5                 8.3      6.9      5.4       5.0

Jan- Feb- Mar- Apr- May- Jun- Jul- Aug- Sep- Oct- Nov- Dec-               Jan- Feb- Mar- Apr- May- Jun- Jul- Aug-
 11   11   11   11   11   11   11   11   11   11   11   11                 12   12   12   12   12   12   12   12

                                                    CPI YOY                                                                           4

                                                                                          Vietnam Grocery Report 2012
                             Source: Vietnam General Statistics Office
                                                                          Copyright © 2012 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.
… which is still fragile under pressure from the recent upward
trend in fuel and utilities.

               ▲14%                                                                                             ▲50%
              Mogas 92                23,800                               23,650
              VND/litre



    20,800                                                    20,600

                488,000                                                                                         ▲5%
                                                                           418,000
   394,000


                                                                 315,000
              ▲ 6%
             Gas
             VND/12kg tank
                                                                                                        ▲ Growth rate
                                                                                                        01/09/12 vs 01/01/12


                                                                                                                                       5

                                                                                           Vietnam Grocery Report 2012
               Source: xangdau.net & http://www.petrolimex.com.vn/         Copyright © 2012 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.
Service continues to drive the growth of the economy, particularly
being led by the trade sector.
       LABOR STRUCTURE                                              GDP STRUCTURE
        51.6 mil employees                                          1,252,577 bil.VND


                                          1st half 2012
                        21%
                                                                  38%
    31%
          30%     21%                                                    37%                   40%               40%

                49%                                                                23%

                                         1st half 2011                             22%
                 48%

                                            3.81%

                                                      2.81%

                           5.57%
                                                                                                                              6
                                       Value growth rate vs. YA

                                                                                  Vietnam Grocery Report 2012
                      Source: Vietnam General Statistics Office
                                                                  Copyright © 2012 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.
The growth is still there but not for the masses.


    RETAIL-SERVICES SALES                                    NO. COMPANIES DISSOLVED OR CEASED
    Jan/2012-Aug/2012                                        Jan/2012-Apr/12

    •   Total value: 1,517,721 bil.VND                       •   Total volume: 17.735/ 647.627 companies
    •   Change vs LY: +17.9%                                 •   Change vs LY +9.5%
                                                                                                                       Retail


                                                                      6,414               5,297                        Construction

                                                                                                                       Manufacturing
                                                                                                                       & Processing
                                                                                        3,123                          Others
                                                                           2,901
        250,000                                                                                                             25

        200,000                                                                                                             20

        150,000                                                                                                             15

        100,000                                                                                                             10

         50,000                                                                                                             5

             0                                                                                                              0
                  Jan-12   Feb-12     Mar-12        Apr-12        May-12     Jun-12          Jul-12          Aug-12                      7
                                       Retail-Services Sales        Growth Rate YOY
                                                                                             Vietnam Grocery Report 2012
                             Source: Vietnam General Statistics Office
                                                                             Copyright © 2012 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.
The Vietnam retail market drops out of top 30 countries for
attractiveness by A.T Kearney. Inflation, high real estate price and
business procedures are still big concerns.
  VIETNAM
    Rank


   1    2008

   6    2009

   14   2010

   23   2011




                Policy &            Human                 Quality of                Low purchasing
               Procedure         Resources
                           Source: A.T. Kearny 2012 GRDI
                                                         supply chain                   power
                                                                                                                            8

                                                                                Vietnam Grocery Report 2012
                           Source: A.T. Kearney
                                                                Copyright © 2012 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.
However, retail sector is still attractive to foreign investors despite
total FDI decreases..
                                                                                                              Value growth rate vs. LY

                NEW FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT
                          First 8 months 2012 vs 2011
                                                                                                                            -11%
                                                               Total FDI
01/01/12-20/08/12              7%
                          5%
                                                               Manufacturing& Processing                                   +25%
                          47%
01/01/11-20/08/11
                                                               Real estate                                                +467%
                                                  48%

                                                      68%      Wholesale, Retail sale & Repairment                       +107%
                    20%

                                                               Other areas                                                  -86%
                                2% 3%




                                                                                                                                         9

                                                                                             Vietnam Grocery Report 2012
                                Source: Foreign Investment Agency -          Copyright © 2012 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.
                                Ministry of planning and investment
Macro-economics
          Macro-economic
MARKET    Outlook
          Overview
                          FMCG Overview




         After skyrocketing inflation in 2011,
         how is the Vietnam FMCG market
                       doing?




                                                                                          10

                                                Vietnam Grocery Report 2012
                                Copyright © 2012 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.
FMCG volume growth trend resumes in light of cooling CPI and
stable consumer confidence index.

   Consumer Confidence remains below 100, but                                                              FMCG volume sales growth bounces back –
            stable in the 90+ range                                                                          strongest for Beverage & Milk-base cat.


                                                                                                             Unit Value Growth                 Volume growth
           CONSUMER CONFIDENCE
                                                                                                             Nominal Growth
                        INDEX
           Cooling CCI rests stable at low level
                                                                                                          30%
      119
                                                                                                          25%
    101    10398 97
                    96 99 94 95
         88                                                                                               20%

                                                                                                          15%

                                                                                                          10%

                                                                                                          5%

                                                                                                          0%
      2010-Q1

                2010-Q2

                          2010-Q3

                                    2010-Q4

                                              2011-Q1

                                                        2011-Q2

                                                                  2011-Q3

                                                                            2011-Q4

                                                                                      2012-Q1

                                                                                                2012-Q2




                                                                                                                2009-Q1
                                                                                                                2009-Q2
                                                                                                                2009-Q3
                                                                                                                2009-Q4
                                                                                                                2010-Q1
                                                                                                                2010-Q2
                                                                                                                2010-Q3
                                                                                                                2010-Q4
                                                                                                                2011-Q1
                                                                                                                2011-Q2
                                                                                                                2011-Q3
                                                                                                                2011-Q4
                                                                                                                2012-Q1
                                                                                                                2012-Q2
                                                                                                                   2009
                                                                                                                   2010
                                                                                                                   2011
                                                                                                                   2012
                                                                                                                                                                           11

                                                                                                                                 Vietnam Grocery Report 2012
                                                                  Source: Vietnam GSO and Nielsen Consumer       Copyright © 2012 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.
                                                                  Confidence Survey
Vietnam remains the fastest growing FMCG market.

                                   FMCG MARKET DYNAMICS
                                  REGIONAL SUMMARY Q2, 2012

 30%
                                                                                                                                   25.2%
 25%          Unit value change        Volume change               Nominal growth

 20%
                                                                                                          16.1%        15.5%
                                                                                             14.9%                                  15.4%
 15%
                                                                                 8.9%                      9.7%         7.6%
 10%                                                                   8.1%
                                                                                             10.9%
                                                            6.1%
                                                  5.0%
                                                                       4.3%      5.6%
  5%                  2.0%    2.6%      2.6%
                                                            3.9%                                                        7.9%         9.9%
              0.6%                      0.7%      3.9%                                                     6.4%
       0.3%                    0.5%                                                           4.0%
       0.5%   3.7%                      1.9%                           3.8%      3.2%
       0.7%           0.6%     2.1%               1.1%      2.2%
  0%                  1.4%
              -3.1%

 -5%




                                                                                                                                        12

                                                                                              Vietnam Grocery Report 2012
                             Source: Nielsen Retail Audit                     Copyright © 2012 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.
Across most categories, particularly beverages.

                     VALUE & VOLUME % CHANGE YA
                              MAT JUL’12
                                                    23%                  Value
                       FMCG (Inc. Beer)             11%                 Volume


                                 28 %
     Beverage (Inc. Beer)                                                                                 18%
                                 15 %                           Personal Care                             4%




                                  21%                                                                     18%
     Milk Based Product                                         Cigarette
                                  6%                                                                      7%




                                  19%                                                                      15%
     Food (excl Milk Base)                                      Household Care                             -1 %
                                   3%


                                                                                                              13

                                                                    Vietnam Grocery Report 2012
                     Source: Nielsen Retail Audit   Copyright © 2012 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.
Most categories posted volume growth of 5-10% with the
exception of beverages, baby diapers and RTDM.

                                  (YTD Jun’12 vs. YA)




                                                                             Half the categories have
                                                                              medium volume growth of
                                                                              5-10%; while 15% show
                                                                              higher growth of >10%

                                                                             Price hike around 10% for
                                                                              most categories except for
                                                                              dishwashing liquid, gum,
                                                                              snack, milk powder,
                                                                              shampoo and biscuit
                                                                              whose price hike >15%
                                                                        .




                                                                                                                  14

                                                                        Vietnam Grocery Report 2012
                  Source: Nielsen Retail Audit          Copyright © 2012 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.
The largest categories are Beer, Cigarette, Milk and Beverage
which are dominated by a few big players.                                                                TOP 10 MANUFACTURERS IN FMCG
                                                                                             6 Cities TT - Value % Share | Period Ending SEP12 | Share of Sum(PROD)
                                                                                                                                                                                               6 Cities TT - V

                                                                                                                 Top 10 Val for MAT TY | Total Mkt




  TOP 10 MANUFACTURERS IN FMCG –                                                                                 TOP 10 CATEGORIES IN FMCG –
    6 CITIES TT – VALUE % SHARE                                                                                   6 CITIES TT – VALUE % SHARE




                                                                                                                                                                                           15

                                                                                                                                                          Vietnam Grocery Report 2012
                                                                  Source: Nielsen Retail Audit                                   Copyright © 2012 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.
   Source: ACNielsen | Retail Index (<< Viet Nam >> ), data to SEP12                                    Source: ACNielsen | Retail Index (<< Viet Nam >> ), data to SEP12
Manufacturers more reluctant to introduce new brands – and most
new brand launches are in the value pricing segment.

 Number of new brands declines starting from early 2011          Increasing number of new launches in Value
                                                                                 segment


           NUMBER OF NEW LAUNCHES                                         NEW BRANDS - % BY
25
                                                                           PRICING SEGMENT
                                                                                6 CITIES
20
                                                                           34
15                                                                                            50                 58
                                                                           21
10
                                                                           14                 18                 11
 5                                                                                            12                 11
                                                                           31
                                                                                              19                 21
 0
     Nov-10
     Dec-10




     Nov-11
     Dec-11
     Feb-10




     Feb-11
     Mar-11




     Feb-12
     Mar-10




     Mar-12

     Jun-12
     Jan-10



     Jun-10
      Jul-10




     Jan-11



     Jun-11
      Jul-11




     Jan-12
     May-10

     Aug-10
     Sep-10




     May-11

     Aug-11
     Sep-11




     May-12
     Apr-10




     Oct-10




     Apr-11




     Oct-11




     Apr-12
                                                                        2010               2011              2012
                                                                                 Premium HiMid
           2010                   2011                    2012                   LowMid             Value

                                                                                                                           16

                                                                                 Vietnam Grocery Report 2012
                           Source: Nielsen Retail Audit          Copyright © 2012 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.
Interestingly, the premium segment is either stable or increasing
its share across categories.
         PREMIUM SEGMENT CONTRIBUTION CHANGE - YTD JUL 12 VS. YA
  50

  45

  40

  35

  30

  25

  20

  15

  10

   5

   0




              Baby Cereal




               Insect_Coil
            HH Cleansers
                 Shampoo



                     Gums
              Baby Diaper
                Fem_Care

             Bouillon-Msg




          Personal Wash




            Biscuits & Pie




         Condensed Milk
              Body Lotion
              Milk Powder




              Deodorants




                 RTD Milk
         Dishwash Liquid




             Mouth Wash
                 RTD Tea

               Facial Care




         Packaged Water
                Fruit Juice



               Toothbrush




              Cooking Oil
                 Cigarette




          Fabric Softener
                    Tissue




               Toothpaste




       Laundry Detergent
                 Soft Drink




          Insect_Aerosol
                       Beer
                    Sauce




             Energy Drink




             Facial Tissue
           Instant Noodle

                    Snack




         Hair Conditioner
                                           YTDLY       YTDTY
                    Price segmentation based on price index at 6 Cities, YTDJul’11                                           17
                     [>120 Premium] [100-120 HiMid] [80-100 LowMid] [<80 Low]
                                                                                   Vietnam Grocery Report 2012
                    Source: Nielsen Retail Audit                   Copyright © 2012 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.
Lower price gap between premium and mainstream contributes to
the growth of premium.
        Consumers tend to trade up with reduction in price gap of “Premium” and
                                    “Mainstream” products.


              Price Gap Change                               Premium Volume Change Driven by
           Premium vs. Mainstream                                  Price Gap Reduction




                -4.0%                       Biscuits                          2.6%



                   -3.0%                      CSD                               3.4%



                   -3.0%                   Shampoo                                        6.5%




                                                                                                                                  18

                                                                                        Vietnam Grocery Report 2012
                        Source: Pricing Analytics Study, Vietnam 2011   Copyright © 2012 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.
CHANNELS                       The Now     The Future




  How fast is modern trade growing?

  How is traditional trade trying to
  compete with modern trade?

  What are modern trade retailers
  doing to attract and retain
  consumers?




                                                                                                   19

                                                         Vietnam Grocery Report 2012
                                         Copyright © 2012 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.
Traditional trade dominates in SEA but modern retailing is
expanding its footprint. Vietnam still ripe for modern trade outlets.

                                    Retail Store Density Analysis
                          (Number of stores per million population)
1,000                                                                                                                           14,000

 900                                  849
                                                                                                                                12,000
 800                                                                Grocery stores
 700                                                                Modern trade                                                10,000

 600
                           514                                                                                                  8,000
 500
                                                                                                                                6,000
 400
        295   304
 300                                                                                                                            4,000
                                                209
 200                                                        162      136
                                                                                                                                2,000
 100                                                                                               38               65
                                                                                  9         6
   -                                                                                                                            -
                                                            China


                                                                      Thailand


                                                                                 Vietnam
              Singapore




                                                                                           India


                                                                                                   Philippines


                                                                                                                    Indonesia
                           Taiwan
        HK




                                       Korea


                                                 Malaysia




        85    94          96          89        57          63      49           22        44      46               6
                                                                                                                                                                       20
                                               Modern Trade Contribution 2011

                                                                                                                                Vietnam Grocery Report 2012
                                               Source: Nielsen Retail Census
                                                                                                             Copyright © 2012 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.
Modern trade still sees growth in Vietnam, especially in Hanoi, as
Vietnam’s retail market continues to transform.


         TRADITIONAL TRADE                         78%                     22%            MODERN TRADE

                                                     Value sales Contribution

70,000                                                              500                      2011
                                                                                         Total 36 Cities
                                                                    450
60,000

50,000
                                                                    400
                                                                    350
                                                                                           943
                                                                                         Modern trade
40,000                                                              300                  outlets (+25%
                                                             2009
                                                                    250                    vs 2010)
                                                             2010
30,000
                                                             2011   200

20,000                                                              150
                                                                    100
10,000
                                                                     50
    0                                                                  0
         30 Cities   4 Cities     Hanoi        HCM                           30 Cities         4 Cities              Hanoi                HCM


                                          Store numbers - Nielsen Census

                                Notes: Modern Trade contribution ( inc. Saigon Co.op, exclude Metro)
                                Based on 36 largest urban areas in Vietnam : 4 Cities includes Haiphong, Danang,                               21
                                Cantho and Nhatrang
                                                                                                     Vietnam Grocery Report 2012
                                    Source: Nielsen Retail Census
                                                                                     Copyright © 2012 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.
The government invests in improving wet markets and to support
small traders.
    Market system development scheme 2011-
    2015: Investment of 2,782 bil.VND with
    150.6 ha on developing 319 traditional
    market – tier I
   • Preserving 56 markets
   • Upgrading 110 markets
   • Building 153 markets




    Ministry of Industry and Trade cooperate with
    University of Economics to organize:

    “Sales skill training for small traders in wet
    markets”.

    “Wet market management skill training for the
    markets’ management boards”




                                                                                                                                 23

                                                                                       Vietnam Grocery Report 2012
                              Source: Ministry of Industry and Trade   Copyright © 2012 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.
                              Decision 012/2007/QĐ-BCT
However, supermarkets are increasingly preferred by consumers.



          Average Frequency
           of Visits per Month




                                         ▲
                                                                                          ▼
                                                   Consumers are moving
                                                   from Wet Markets
                                                   to Supermarkets

                             Base: All Respondents (2010 n=1500, 2011 n=1500)
                                                                                                                                 24
                                                 Ref: Q8
                                                                                       Vietnam Grocery Report 2012
                       Source: Nielsen Shopper Trends 2012             Copyright © 2012 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.
Retailers of all types are implementing their expansion plans.
                                                     81
                                                                                 15
              1/1-31/9/2012:                                        4                        Health &
                                         32                                                  Beauty

                   12+                           Convenience
                                                    Store
                                                                      23
                                                                                              Store

              new stores open                                                                                    8
                each month
                                            27

                                    59                    13               85
                             20
                                                                                                               5
                   19                            1             44

          17                                          1                         Minimart
                                                           46                                                        6
                             Supermarket
                              Supermarket
         14
                                                                                                         B&B
                                                      2
                                                                    11                                 8
              14
                                                 3                                                                            25
                        11
                                    5                                               Vietnam Grocery Report 2012
                                                                    Copyright © 2012 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.
Supermarkets implement a wide variety of programs to build
loyalty and attract consumers.

                                                                         New look by
                       Increased
  Preference from                      Difference with                  refreshing logo
                       promotion
    loyalty card                        private label                   and department
                      frequencies
                                                                            branding
    Membership                         Focus on fresh &
    Card, VIP                          processed foods,
    Card…                              household
    With special                       products, and
    offers: Stored                     garments.
    up points,                         Heavily
    special                            promoted
    promotion                          through price
    prices                             and displays


                     On-going
                     promotions,                                            Coming with
                     themed to match                                        fresh,
                     holidays and                                           professional
                     specific                                               and friendly
                     categories or                                          image
                     special
                     customers
                                                                                                          26

                                                                Vietnam Grocery Report 2012
                                                Copyright © 2012 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.
CHANNELS     The Now           The Future




           What lessons will Vietnamese
           retailers learn from other
           Asian countries?

           What will be the channel mix
           in the coming years?




                                                                                       27

                                             Vietnam Grocery Report 2012
                             Copyright © 2012 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.
Retailers continue to expand their store base across AP with total
number of stores increasing by over 25,000. Moreover,
convenience stores are seeing the fastest growth rate.
                  Modern Trade Store No. by Format in Asia-Pacific
                                          (% annual growth)




                                                                                                                        28

                                                                              Vietnam Grocery Report 2012
                   Source: Nielsen Retail and Shopper Trend   Copyright © 2012 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.
                   Asia Pacific 2012
Convenience in Thailand: Innovation through the non-FMCG
range has also attracted shoppers.
   Available in 2011   Additional Product & Service in Convenience Stores

                              Fresh Coffee                                                   Auto & Travel
 CVS                                                                                         products
                                                                                                                            Home Appliances



                                                                        Payment
                                               Fresh Meat &             Service
                                               Vegetables
 Bakery                Smoothies                                                                         Direct
                                                                                                         Marketing


                                                                         Media
                                                                                                                Books & Magazines
Hot Served Snacks
                                        Restaurant

                       RTE Meal
                                                                        IT & Stationary            Seasonal Products


                                                                                                                                           29

                                                                                                 Vietnam Grocery Report 2012
                                  Source: Nielsen Shopper Trends 2012            Copyright © 2012 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.
Minimarts in Indonesia: Thematic promotions and loyalty cards
have helped the Mini-Marts succeed apart from the huge store
base (+10,000 stores).

                                                                                                New Year
                                                 Thematic
                                                promotions
Valentine’s Day
                    Mother’s Day                                       Valentine’s                                   School Holiday
Unilever Fair                Fonterra Fair                                                                     Homecare Fair


                                                   Supplier
                                                    Fairs
                Olay Promotion
                                                                                  Unilever Fair
      Bi weekly Shopping Calendar                                                         Weekend Promotion


                                                  Weekly
                                                Promotions                                                                       30

                                                                                       Vietnam Grocery Report 2012
                                 Source: Nielsen Shopper Trends 2012   Copyright © 2012 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.
The change is coming to Vietnam too, as evidenced by some
  shopper segments…

                                    Rewind to 2005                                                                    Present                                                       Fast Forward to 2022




                                                                      Innovation Seeker and Prudent Shopper




                                                                                                                                            Conservative & Value Oriented Shopper
                                       Wet Markets                                                             Super         Wet                                                            Super
Shopping Destination – Most Often




                                      All shoppers bought                                                     Markets       Markets                                                        Markets
                                       daily food in Wet
                                                                                                                                                                                           Wet market is
                                            Markets
                                                                                                               Wet           Super                                                      thought to be swept
                                                                                                                                                                                         out for its dirty and
                                                                                                              Markets       Markets                                                        untidy image.
                                       Wholesalers                                                                                                                                         Supermarket
                                                                                                              Convenience                                                              increase its network,
                                                                                                                            Wholesalers
                                                                                                                Stores                                                                 thus increases in the
                                                                                                                                                                                              frequency
                                     Grocery Stores                                                                         Grocery
                                                                                                              Wholesalers                                                               Convenience
                                                                                                                            Stores
                                                                                                                                                                                          Stores /
                                     Super Markets                                                            Grocery       Convenience                                                 Mini Markets
                                     Very few & expensive –                                                   Stores          Stores
                                      visit once per year for
                                              curiosity                                                                                                                                      Metro
                                                                                                                Metro         Metro

                                                                                                                                                                                                                 31

                                                                                                                                                                                    Vietnam Grocery Report 2012
                                                                Source: Nielsen Shopper Focus Groups in                                   Copyright © 2012 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.
                                                                HCM,HN 2012
…and backed up by the continuous retailer expansion.




            12/7/2012 1st HI-WAY supercenter         08/12/2011 1st MINISTOP CVS
            31/5/2012 1st FLC Mart                   07/2012               1st C EXPRESS CVS

 ANNOUNCED EXPANSION PLANS
                         STORE                          CVS-                     STORE
   SUPERMARKETS                       BY (YEAR)                                                           BY (YEAR)
                        NUMBER                       MINIMARTS                  NUMBER
 Co.op Mart                +8               2012   Co.opFood                       + 30                        2012
                          √100              2015                                   √ 150                       2015
 Big C                     √ 24             2012   Satrafoods                      + 20                        2013
                           √ 29             2013
                                                   TTGD Foods                      + 2-3                    annually
 Lotte Mart                +2               2012
                                                   Circle K                        > 40                        2012
 Fivimart                  +3               2012
                                                   Shop & Go                       √ 100                       2012
 Hiway                     √3               2013
                           √ 20             2016   Family Mart                     + 27                        2012
                                                                                   √ 43
                   Notes: (+) new stores.          Ministop                        + 30                        2012
                          (√) in total                                                                                     32

                                                                                 Vietnam Grocery Report 2012
                                                                 Copyright © 2012 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.
SHOPPERS


   Belt Buckling




   Connected
   Consumers




                                                                             33

                                   Vietnam Grocery Report 2012
                   Copyright © 2012 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.
Concerns                            Discretionary spending
                                                              *: ↑↓ vs. YA | vs. APAC average


                                           66%
                                            Saving                          32%
                                                                            Holiday
 THE ECONOMY
                                            ↑ | vs. 60%*
      (19%)                                                                  ↓ | vs. 37%*
JOB SECURITY (18%)                                                                                29%
                                                                                                    New
                                                                                                  technol-
   INCREASING                                                                                       ogies

   UTILITY BILL                                                                                = | vs. 30%*
       (12%)
                                                                                             28%
      HEALTH                                                                                 New
        (8%)                                                                                clothes

     INCREASING
                                                   27%
                                                  Home
                                                                        28%
                                                                        Out of
                                                                                         ↓| vs. 35%*
     FOOD PRICE                                   impro-
                                                                        home
                                                   veme                entertai
        (7%)
                                                     nt
                                             ↑ | vs. 18%*              nment
                                                                  ↓ | vs. 34%*
                                   How to utilize spare cash after covering essential living                              34
                                                         expenses?
                                                                                  Vietnam Grocery Report 2012
                      Source: Nielsen Global Consumer           Copyright © 2012 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.
                     Confidence Index Q2’2012 – Vietnam
Consumers are tightening their belts. The
recessionary mindset shifts consumer thinking from
Nice to Have to
          Need to Have
        superfluous               temptation

   Support on compulsory expenditures:
   gasoline, gas/electricity, water, insurance, rent…

   Core selling grocery products sales rise                                                        35

                                                         Vietnam Grocery Report 2012
                                         Copyright © 2012 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.
Hardship continues, consumers reduce shopping frequency and
are much impacted by price.

  TOP 4 IMPACTS ON GROCERY                                                      SHOPPING FREQUENCY
      PURCHASE CHOICE

                                                                                                                          39%
                                                                                Weekly         W ek l
                                                                                                e y




                                                                                                                                             64%


                                                                                                                                          59%
                                                                      Every 2 weeks      Ev e r we e k s
                                                                                              2
                                                                                              y




                                                                                                                        36%


                                                                                                            1%
                                                                         Every month       Ev e ro n t
                                                                                                m
                                                                                                y h




                                                                                                           0%


                                                                              Less often                    1%
                                                                                              Les f n
                                                                                                ote




                                                                                                           0%

                                                                                                                       2011    2012

                                                                         Base: All Supermarket shoppers (n = 1500)


    Compared with a year ago, how much impact
   has each of the following had on your choice of
     Grocery Purchases in the last 12 months?
                                                                                                                                          36

                                                                                                            Vietnam Grocery Report 2012
                                  Source: Nielsen Shopper Trends Study 2012     Copyright © 2012 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.
Consumers are adjusting shopping behavior to better adapt with
tougher times (i.e. consuming larger pack sizes, downgrading as
well).
    CONSUMER REACTION TO                                 CHANGES IN CONSUMER BEHAVIOR ACROSS
       PRICE INCREASE                                      CATEGORIES IN INFLATIONARY PERIOD
%
            Buy more on                                            Change in Volume                                       Change in Pack                                         Change in Brand
             ‘Promotion’                    66                      of consumption                                        size purchased                                           purchased
                                                                    More amount                                            Big pack                                              Cheaper brand
    Buy more Vietnamese
                                                                    Same amount                                            Same pack                                             Same brand
                  brands             41
                                                                    Less amount                                            Small pack                                            Expensive brand

    Buy bigger pack sizes            37


     Buy cheaper brands              37

      Change shopping
 channels to save money              36

     Buy more of smaller
             pack sizes         22

Buy more of Private Label
                               20
                  brands
                                                                                          Hair Con




                                                                                                                                                 Hair Con




                                                                                                                                                                                                       Hair Con
                                                                                                     Bouillon




                                                                                                                                                            Bouillon




                                                                                                                                                                                                                  Bouillon
                                                                     Fab Soft




                                                                                                                            Fab Soft




                                                                                                                                                                                  Fab Soft
                                                         Laundry




                                                                                                                Laundry




                                                                                                                                                                       Laundry
                                                                                Shampoo




                                                                                                                                       Shampoo




                                                                                                                                                                                             Shampoo
    How do you change your shopping habits
       to adapt to the price increases?
                                                                                                                                                                                                                  37

                                                                                                                                                 Vietnam Grocery Report 2012
                                      Source: Consumer Omnibus Vietnam, Sept 2011Copyright © 2012 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.
In response, retailers & manufacturers offer diversified promotions.

                                        Gas reward programs




                                                                         Will you be
                                                                       the 1st to step
                                                                      into this game?



                                                                                                    38

                                                          Vietnam Grocery Report 2012
                                          Copyright © 2012 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.
«   staying at home more often         »
Shopping patterns can emerge with consumer
nesting

    -   Out Of Home entertainment & restaurants
        + Home cooking
           + Friendliness !
                 + TV-viewing rising
                 Cocooning
                                                                                                     39
    In both products and Entertainment!
                                                           Vietnam Grocery Report 2012
                                           Copyright © 2012 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.
Nesting consumers are heading back to their house.


 VALUE & VOLUME % CHANGE YA                  Value   % CHANNEL GROWTH VS. YA
          MAT JUL’12                        Volume                                          Off vs. On

                                                                    2011:
                                                          713,416 vs. 522,394 stores

                                            285%
             Meal Maker
                                            318%
                                                                                           2.6% vs. 2.1%



               Beer can                      47 %
                                             40 %                         1.6% vs. 1.5%


                                                                                                               40

                                                                     Vietnam Grocery Report 2012
                  Source: Nielsen Retail Audit       Copyright © 2012 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.
Walmart partners with manufacturers on “family meals for less.”




                                                                                                   41

                                                         Vietnam Grocery Report 2012
                                         Copyright © 2012 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.
ShopRite cooking on YouTube; monthly recipes featuring store
brands.




                                                                                                                   42

                                                                         Vietnam Grocery Report 2012
               Source: YouTube.com/user/ShopRiteStores   Copyright © 2012 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.
In the current climate, consumers and shoppers are
re-appraising their store, brand and
format choices with new lenses.
              Rising interest in

        Value-seeking
 Consumer Value ≠ Price
 Consumer Value = Benefits/Price

 • price positioning
 • simple and innovative Promotions
 • new value added initiatives                                                                43

                                                    Vietnam Grocery Report 2012
                                    Copyright © 2012 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.
Consumers also seek value through up-trading to more premium
                                                                                                                 Q ic R t ie a
                                                                                                                  u k er v ls                       Q ic R t ie a
                                                                                                                                                     u k er v ls                    Q ic R t ie a
                                                                                                                                                                                     u k er v ls                     Q ic R t ie a
                                                                                                                                                                                                                      u k er v ls

  products and/or buying big packs or pouches to save money.                              6C ie E h- V lu e% h r | P r dE d gF B 2| SVeo T% C te oy r dE d6CEs2n hV luT ta C te oyeio E d6CEs2n hV luT ta C te oyeio E d gF B 2| S aeo T ta C te oy
                                                                                            it s n    o m S ae eio n 6C ie 1n - a luf e ta h rg P io n in Fie1 | h- ro f e% h r | P r d n in Fie1 | h- ro f e% h r | P r d n in E 1
                                                                                                                           in itE E h h o mo l a e| r e
                                                                                                                                 s      r    Sa           g it B E S aeo o l S ag r
                                                                                                                                                                        m     a e           g it B E S aeo o l S ag r
                                                                                                                                                                                                          m     a e                 hr f o l a gr




             VOLUME SHARE OF PRICE TIER RANGES                                                                                                       VOLUME SHARE OF PACK-SIZE RANGES – GT URBAN




                            Sources: RA, Price Tier market: 6 Cities TT Enh,                                                                                            Shampoo Fabclean                                      DWL     HCL
 o r e C ie e               Pack size market: 36 Cities Enh TT + Rural
                                     o r , A ie E
                                     > e C       n                          a     E1                            a     E1                                  E1 Small Pack <400ml
S uc : A N ls n| R ta In e ( <V t N m uc d tatoFe 1R ta In e ( <V t N mo r,e A toF e 2 e il In e ( <V t N mo r,e A toF e 2 e il In e ( <V t N m >) d tatoF B 2
                  e il d x < ie aS >) : a N ls B|2 e il d x < ie a S>) d ta N ls n| R ta d x < ie a S>) d ta N ls n| R ta d x < ie a > , a
                                                                       >uc : C ie B                        >uc : C ie B                                                          <3kg                                         =<1000L =<500ml
                            Data ended Mar’12                                                                                                                Big Pack   >= 400ml >=3kg                                        >1L     >500ml
                                                                                                                                               S uc : A N ls n| R ta In e ( <V t N mo r , dA NM R 2e il In e ( <V t N mr>) A tatoM| R ta In e ( <V t N mo r , dA NF e1 R ta In e ( <V t N m >) d tato
                                                                                                                                                o r e C ie e     e il d x < ie a S>)eaC ie A 1R ta d x < ie a uc :, d N ls nRe il d x < ie a S>)eaC ieEn| e il d x < ie a > , a
                                                                                                                                                                                    > c : tato ls n|
                                                                                                                                                                                     u           e                   S >e C ie eA 1
                                                                                                                                                                                                                      o     a        2                  > c : tato lsB 2
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         u


                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                44
                                                                                                                                                                       S uc : A N ls n|R t il I d x( <V t Nm >) d tat J N2
                                                                                                                                                                        o r e C ie e ea n e < ie a > , a o A 1
S uc : A N ls n| R ta In e ( <V t N m >) d tatoF B 2
 o r e C ie e     e il d x < ie a > , a         E1

                                                                                                                                                                                                                   Vietnam Grocery Report 2012
                                                                                         Source: Consumer Omnibus Vietnam, Sept 2011Copyright © 2012 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.
Innovation themes…




        Taste changing              Perfume Fabric                                                 Ecobags
        Cigarette                   Softerner




                                                      No fried                                         Laundry
       Organic           Milk
                                                      Instant                                          Liquid
       products          Beverage
                                                      Noodle
                                                                                                               45

                                                                     Vietnam Grocery Report 2012
                                                     Copyright © 2012 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.
SHOPPERS


   Belt Buckling




   Connected
   Consumers




                                                                             46

                                   Vietnam Grocery Report 2012
                   Copyright © 2012 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.
What’s Next: Consumers are
               more and more
                                      Connected
**End of 2012:   Every 5 Vietnamese consumers, there will be   1 smartphone
and Tablet users will increase from   2% to 5%

     2015: Mobile phones will overtake PCs as the most common web access



  Speed of action
                         Offers flexibility                                                                        47

                                                       Image/Buzz Report 2012
                                                            Vietnam Grocery
                                                         Copyright © 2012 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.
92% of Vietnamese consumers are more likely to
trust recommendations from people they know*

                  Conduct product research online                                             72

                Look up product information online                                            70

       Read a grocery retailer's circular/flyer online                                   59

       Compare prices for a grocery product online                                       59
    Browse a manufacturer's website for a grocery
                                                                                    53
                    category
                               Look for deals online

      Look for coupons from an online coupon site
                                                                                49

                                                                               48
                                                                                              63% are
                         Purchase a product online                             47               more likely to trust
Provide feedback about a grocery category through
      social media (wrote a review, blogged)
                                                                    27                        consumer opinions
                          Use a digital shopping list         12
                                                                                              posted online**
                                                Other         11

                                  None of the above       6

 Thinking about Household Grocery Shopping, which of the following activities
      have you done in the last month on any online connected device?*                                                                                   48

                                            Sources: * Global Trust in advertising Q3 2011                     Vietnam Grocery Report 2012
                                            **Nielsen Global Digital Shopping –Q1 2012         Copyright © 2012 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.
To stay in the game, manufacturers keep an eye on internet
advertisements.
          Marketing return on investment*




Advertisers’ spending - % Chg YTD – Global Average**




                                                                                                                              49

                      Sources: *Nielsen Advanced Analytics Consulting - 2009      Vietnam Grocery Report 2012
                      **Nielsen Global Ad View Pulse Lite Q1 2012 Copyright © 2012 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.
Building demand by connecting consumers (with each other and
with their brands).


      Collective Buying Power      Sharing Experiences

                                   Reviews         Ratings

                                Recommendations      Referrals

                                      Forums, Social Q&A

           Sharing Ideas




 50
Change and adapt… Now!


     Shopper                  Opportunities

Need to Have                          Private                                   Home
                     Proximity        Label                                    Cooking
   Cocooning                                                         Speed of
                         Flexibility of                               actions

 Value-seeking               offer                                 M-commerce

                                    Innovation                                 Buzz
                        Home
  Connected         Entertainment
                       products       Price                       E-Promo
                                                                                                    51

                                                          Vietnam Grocery Report 2012
                                          Copyright © 2012 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.
Thank you

     vn.nielsen.com



     www.twitter.com/nielsenvietnam



     www.facebook.com/vietnamnielsen




                                                                                       52

                                             Vietnam Grocery Report 2012
                             Copyright © 2012 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.

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Vietnam Grocery Report 2012 Highlights Macroeconomic Challenges

  • 1. GROCERY REPORT Vietnam 2012 1 Vietnam Grocery Report 2012 Copyright © 2012 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.
  • 2. CONTENT Market Channels Shoppers MACRO- THE RETAIL BELT BUCKLING ECONOMIC LANDSCAPE | OUTLOOK NOW CONNECTED | & INTO CONSUMERS FMCG THE FUTURE OVERVIEW 2 Vietnam Grocery Report 2012 Copyright © 2012 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.
  • 3. Macroeconomic MARKET Outlook FMCG Overview Will Vietnam’s GDP and CPI reach their 2012 targets? Is the Vietnam retail industry still attractive? 3 Vietnam Grocery Report 2012 Copyright © 2012 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.
  • 4. A very tough 2012 when all the macro indexes are not as expected. Signs of decreasing inflation since Quarter 2… GDP YOY GOVERNMENT PLAN 2012 8 7 GDP 6- CPI ≤ 6 6.5% 10% 5 4 ACTUAL half 2012 3 GDP CPI 2 4.38% 12.2% 1 0 Q1-10 Q2-10 Q3-10 Q4-10 Q1-11 Q2-11 Q3-11 Q4-11 Q1-12 Q2-12 22.2 23.0 22.4 21.6 19.8 17.5 19.8 20.8 18.1 17.3 16.4 14.2 12.2 13.3 13.9 10.5 8.3 6.9 5.4 5.0 Jan- Feb- Mar- Apr- May- Jun- Jul- Aug- Sep- Oct- Nov- Dec- Jan- Feb- Mar- Apr- May- Jun- Jul- Aug- 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 CPI YOY 4 Vietnam Grocery Report 2012 Source: Vietnam General Statistics Office Copyright © 2012 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.
  • 5. … which is still fragile under pressure from the recent upward trend in fuel and utilities. ▲14% ▲50% Mogas 92 23,800 23,650 VND/litre 20,800 20,600 488,000 ▲5% 418,000 394,000 315,000 ▲ 6% Gas VND/12kg tank ▲ Growth rate 01/09/12 vs 01/01/12 5 Vietnam Grocery Report 2012 Source: xangdau.net & http://www.petrolimex.com.vn/ Copyright © 2012 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.
  • 6. Service continues to drive the growth of the economy, particularly being led by the trade sector. LABOR STRUCTURE GDP STRUCTURE 51.6 mil employees 1,252,577 bil.VND 1st half 2012 21% 38% 31% 30% 21% 37% 40% 40% 49% 23% 1st half 2011 22% 48% 3.81% 2.81% 5.57% 6 Value growth rate vs. YA Vietnam Grocery Report 2012 Source: Vietnam General Statistics Office Copyright © 2012 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.
  • 7. The growth is still there but not for the masses. RETAIL-SERVICES SALES NO. COMPANIES DISSOLVED OR CEASED Jan/2012-Aug/2012 Jan/2012-Apr/12 • Total value: 1,517,721 bil.VND • Total volume: 17.735/ 647.627 companies • Change vs LY: +17.9% • Change vs LY +9.5% Retail 6,414 5,297 Construction Manufacturing & Processing 3,123 Others 2,901 250,000 25 200,000 20 150,000 15 100,000 10 50,000 5 0 0 Jan-12 Feb-12 Mar-12 Apr-12 May-12 Jun-12 Jul-12 Aug-12 7 Retail-Services Sales Growth Rate YOY Vietnam Grocery Report 2012 Source: Vietnam General Statistics Office Copyright © 2012 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.
  • 8. The Vietnam retail market drops out of top 30 countries for attractiveness by A.T Kearney. Inflation, high real estate price and business procedures are still big concerns. VIETNAM Rank 1 2008 6 2009 14 2010 23 2011 Policy & Human Quality of Low purchasing Procedure Resources Source: A.T. Kearny 2012 GRDI supply chain power 8 Vietnam Grocery Report 2012 Source: A.T. Kearney Copyright © 2012 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.
  • 9. However, retail sector is still attractive to foreign investors despite total FDI decreases.. Value growth rate vs. LY NEW FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT First 8 months 2012 vs 2011 -11% Total FDI 01/01/12-20/08/12 7% 5% Manufacturing& Processing +25% 47% 01/01/11-20/08/11 Real estate +467% 48% 68% Wholesale, Retail sale & Repairment +107% 20% Other areas -86% 2% 3% 9 Vietnam Grocery Report 2012 Source: Foreign Investment Agency - Copyright © 2012 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary. Ministry of planning and investment
  • 10. Macro-economics Macro-economic MARKET Outlook Overview FMCG Overview After skyrocketing inflation in 2011, how is the Vietnam FMCG market doing? 10 Vietnam Grocery Report 2012 Copyright © 2012 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.
  • 11. FMCG volume growth trend resumes in light of cooling CPI and stable consumer confidence index. Consumer Confidence remains below 100, but FMCG volume sales growth bounces back – stable in the 90+ range strongest for Beverage & Milk-base cat. Unit Value Growth Volume growth CONSUMER CONFIDENCE Nominal Growth INDEX Cooling CCI rests stable at low level 30% 119 25% 101 10398 97 96 99 94 95 88 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% 2010-Q1 2010-Q2 2010-Q3 2010-Q4 2011-Q1 2011-Q2 2011-Q3 2011-Q4 2012-Q1 2012-Q2 2009-Q1 2009-Q2 2009-Q3 2009-Q4 2010-Q1 2010-Q2 2010-Q3 2010-Q4 2011-Q1 2011-Q2 2011-Q3 2011-Q4 2012-Q1 2012-Q2 2009 2010 2011 2012 11 Vietnam Grocery Report 2012 Source: Vietnam GSO and Nielsen Consumer Copyright © 2012 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary. Confidence Survey
  • 12. Vietnam remains the fastest growing FMCG market. FMCG MARKET DYNAMICS REGIONAL SUMMARY Q2, 2012 30% 25.2% 25% Unit value change Volume change Nominal growth 20% 16.1% 15.5% 14.9% 15.4% 15% 8.9% 9.7% 7.6% 10% 8.1% 10.9% 6.1% 5.0% 4.3% 5.6% 5% 2.0% 2.6% 2.6% 3.9% 7.9% 9.9% 0.6% 0.7% 3.9% 6.4% 0.3% 0.5% 4.0% 0.5% 3.7% 1.9% 3.8% 3.2% 0.7% 0.6% 2.1% 1.1% 2.2% 0% 1.4% -3.1% -5% 12 Vietnam Grocery Report 2012 Source: Nielsen Retail Audit Copyright © 2012 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.
  • 13. Across most categories, particularly beverages. VALUE & VOLUME % CHANGE YA MAT JUL’12 23% Value FMCG (Inc. Beer) 11% Volume 28 % Beverage (Inc. Beer) 18% 15 % Personal Care 4% 21% 18% Milk Based Product Cigarette 6% 7% 19% 15% Food (excl Milk Base) Household Care -1 % 3% 13 Vietnam Grocery Report 2012 Source: Nielsen Retail Audit Copyright © 2012 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.
  • 14. Most categories posted volume growth of 5-10% with the exception of beverages, baby diapers and RTDM. (YTD Jun’12 vs. YA)  Half the categories have medium volume growth of 5-10%; while 15% show higher growth of >10%  Price hike around 10% for most categories except for dishwashing liquid, gum, snack, milk powder, shampoo and biscuit whose price hike >15% . 14 Vietnam Grocery Report 2012 Source: Nielsen Retail Audit Copyright © 2012 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.
  • 15. The largest categories are Beer, Cigarette, Milk and Beverage which are dominated by a few big players. TOP 10 MANUFACTURERS IN FMCG 6 Cities TT - Value % Share | Period Ending SEP12 | Share of Sum(PROD) 6 Cities TT - V Top 10 Val for MAT TY | Total Mkt TOP 10 MANUFACTURERS IN FMCG – TOP 10 CATEGORIES IN FMCG – 6 CITIES TT – VALUE % SHARE 6 CITIES TT – VALUE % SHARE 15 Vietnam Grocery Report 2012 Source: Nielsen Retail Audit Copyright © 2012 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary. Source: ACNielsen | Retail Index (<< Viet Nam >> ), data to SEP12 Source: ACNielsen | Retail Index (<< Viet Nam >> ), data to SEP12
  • 16. Manufacturers more reluctant to introduce new brands – and most new brand launches are in the value pricing segment. Number of new brands declines starting from early 2011 Increasing number of new launches in Value segment NUMBER OF NEW LAUNCHES NEW BRANDS - % BY 25 PRICING SEGMENT 6 CITIES 20 34 15 50 58 21 10 14 18 11 5 12 11 31 19 21 0 Nov-10 Dec-10 Nov-11 Dec-11 Feb-10 Feb-11 Mar-11 Feb-12 Mar-10 Mar-12 Jun-12 Jan-10 Jun-10 Jul-10 Jan-11 Jun-11 Jul-11 Jan-12 May-10 Aug-10 Sep-10 May-11 Aug-11 Sep-11 May-12 Apr-10 Oct-10 Apr-11 Oct-11 Apr-12 2010 2011 2012 Premium HiMid 2010 2011 2012 LowMid Value 16 Vietnam Grocery Report 2012 Source: Nielsen Retail Audit Copyright © 2012 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.
  • 17. Interestingly, the premium segment is either stable or increasing its share across categories. PREMIUM SEGMENT CONTRIBUTION CHANGE - YTD JUL 12 VS. YA 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 Baby Cereal Insect_Coil HH Cleansers Shampoo Gums Baby Diaper Fem_Care Bouillon-Msg Personal Wash Biscuits & Pie Condensed Milk Body Lotion Milk Powder Deodorants RTD Milk Dishwash Liquid Mouth Wash RTD Tea Facial Care Packaged Water Fruit Juice Toothbrush Cooking Oil Cigarette Fabric Softener Tissue Toothpaste Laundry Detergent Soft Drink Insect_Aerosol Beer Sauce Energy Drink Facial Tissue Instant Noodle Snack Hair Conditioner YTDLY YTDTY Price segmentation based on price index at 6 Cities, YTDJul’11 17 [>120 Premium] [100-120 HiMid] [80-100 LowMid] [<80 Low] Vietnam Grocery Report 2012 Source: Nielsen Retail Audit Copyright © 2012 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.
  • 18. Lower price gap between premium and mainstream contributes to the growth of premium. Consumers tend to trade up with reduction in price gap of “Premium” and “Mainstream” products. Price Gap Change Premium Volume Change Driven by Premium vs. Mainstream Price Gap Reduction -4.0% Biscuits 2.6% -3.0% CSD 3.4% -3.0% Shampoo 6.5% 18 Vietnam Grocery Report 2012 Source: Pricing Analytics Study, Vietnam 2011 Copyright © 2012 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.
  • 19. CHANNELS The Now The Future How fast is modern trade growing? How is traditional trade trying to compete with modern trade? What are modern trade retailers doing to attract and retain consumers? 19 Vietnam Grocery Report 2012 Copyright © 2012 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.
  • 20. Traditional trade dominates in SEA but modern retailing is expanding its footprint. Vietnam still ripe for modern trade outlets. Retail Store Density Analysis (Number of stores per million population) 1,000 14,000 900 849 12,000 800 Grocery stores 700 Modern trade 10,000 600 514 8,000 500 6,000 400 295 304 300 4,000 209 200 162 136 2,000 100 38 65 9 6 - - China Thailand Vietnam Singapore India Philippines Indonesia Taiwan HK Korea Malaysia 85 94 96 89 57 63 49 22 44 46 6 20 Modern Trade Contribution 2011 Vietnam Grocery Report 2012 Source: Nielsen Retail Census Copyright © 2012 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.
  • 21. Modern trade still sees growth in Vietnam, especially in Hanoi, as Vietnam’s retail market continues to transform. TRADITIONAL TRADE 78% 22% MODERN TRADE Value sales Contribution 70,000 500 2011 Total 36 Cities 450 60,000 50,000 400 350 943 Modern trade 40,000 300 outlets (+25% 2009 250 vs 2010) 2010 30,000 2011 200 20,000 150 100 10,000 50 0 0 30 Cities 4 Cities Hanoi HCM 30 Cities 4 Cities Hanoi HCM Store numbers - Nielsen Census Notes: Modern Trade contribution ( inc. Saigon Co.op, exclude Metro) Based on 36 largest urban areas in Vietnam : 4 Cities includes Haiphong, Danang, 21 Cantho and Nhatrang Vietnam Grocery Report 2012 Source: Nielsen Retail Census Copyright © 2012 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.
  • 22. The government invests in improving wet markets and to support small traders. Market system development scheme 2011- 2015: Investment of 2,782 bil.VND with 150.6 ha on developing 319 traditional market – tier I • Preserving 56 markets • Upgrading 110 markets • Building 153 markets Ministry of Industry and Trade cooperate with University of Economics to organize: “Sales skill training for small traders in wet markets”. “Wet market management skill training for the markets’ management boards” 23 Vietnam Grocery Report 2012 Source: Ministry of Industry and Trade Copyright © 2012 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary. Decision 012/2007/QĐ-BCT
  • 23. However, supermarkets are increasingly preferred by consumers. Average Frequency of Visits per Month ▲ ▼ Consumers are moving from Wet Markets to Supermarkets Base: All Respondents (2010 n=1500, 2011 n=1500) 24 Ref: Q8 Vietnam Grocery Report 2012 Source: Nielsen Shopper Trends 2012 Copyright © 2012 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.
  • 24. Retailers of all types are implementing their expansion plans. 81 15 1/1-31/9/2012: 4 Health & 32 Beauty 12+ Convenience Store 23 Store new stores open 8 each month 27 59 13 85 20 5 19 1 44 17 1 Minimart 46 6 Supermarket Supermarket 14 B&B 2 11 8 14 3 25 11 5 Vietnam Grocery Report 2012 Copyright © 2012 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.
  • 25. Supermarkets implement a wide variety of programs to build loyalty and attract consumers. New look by Increased Preference from Difference with refreshing logo promotion loyalty card private label and department frequencies branding Membership Focus on fresh & Card, VIP processed foods, Card… household With special products, and offers: Stored garments. up points, Heavily special promoted promotion through price prices and displays On-going promotions, Coming with themed to match fresh, holidays and professional specific and friendly categories or image special customers 26 Vietnam Grocery Report 2012 Copyright © 2012 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.
  • 26. CHANNELS The Now The Future What lessons will Vietnamese retailers learn from other Asian countries? What will be the channel mix in the coming years? 27 Vietnam Grocery Report 2012 Copyright © 2012 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.
  • 27. Retailers continue to expand their store base across AP with total number of stores increasing by over 25,000. Moreover, convenience stores are seeing the fastest growth rate. Modern Trade Store No. by Format in Asia-Pacific (% annual growth) 28 Vietnam Grocery Report 2012 Source: Nielsen Retail and Shopper Trend Copyright © 2012 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary. Asia Pacific 2012
  • 28. Convenience in Thailand: Innovation through the non-FMCG range has also attracted shoppers. Available in 2011 Additional Product & Service in Convenience Stores Fresh Coffee Auto & Travel CVS products Home Appliances Payment Fresh Meat & Service Vegetables Bakery Smoothies Direct Marketing Media Books & Magazines Hot Served Snacks Restaurant RTE Meal IT & Stationary Seasonal Products 29 Vietnam Grocery Report 2012 Source: Nielsen Shopper Trends 2012 Copyright © 2012 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.
  • 29. Minimarts in Indonesia: Thematic promotions and loyalty cards have helped the Mini-Marts succeed apart from the huge store base (+10,000 stores). New Year Thematic promotions Valentine’s Day Mother’s Day Valentine’s School Holiday Unilever Fair Fonterra Fair Homecare Fair Supplier Fairs Olay Promotion Unilever Fair Bi weekly Shopping Calendar Weekend Promotion Weekly Promotions 30 Vietnam Grocery Report 2012 Source: Nielsen Shopper Trends 2012 Copyright © 2012 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.
  • 30. The change is coming to Vietnam too, as evidenced by some shopper segments… Rewind to 2005 Present Fast Forward to 2022 Innovation Seeker and Prudent Shopper Conservative & Value Oriented Shopper Wet Markets Super Wet Super Shopping Destination – Most Often All shoppers bought Markets Markets Markets daily food in Wet Wet market is Markets Wet Super thought to be swept out for its dirty and Markets Markets untidy image. Wholesalers Supermarket Convenience increase its network, Wholesalers Stores thus increases in the frequency Grocery Stores Grocery Wholesalers Convenience Stores Stores / Super Markets Grocery Convenience Mini Markets Very few & expensive – Stores Stores visit once per year for curiosity Metro Metro Metro 31 Vietnam Grocery Report 2012 Source: Nielsen Shopper Focus Groups in Copyright © 2012 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary. HCM,HN 2012
  • 31. …and backed up by the continuous retailer expansion. 12/7/2012 1st HI-WAY supercenter 08/12/2011 1st MINISTOP CVS 31/5/2012 1st FLC Mart 07/2012 1st C EXPRESS CVS ANNOUNCED EXPANSION PLANS STORE CVS- STORE SUPERMARKETS BY (YEAR) BY (YEAR) NUMBER MINIMARTS NUMBER Co.op Mart +8 2012 Co.opFood + 30 2012 √100 2015 √ 150 2015 Big C √ 24 2012 Satrafoods + 20 2013 √ 29 2013 TTGD Foods + 2-3 annually Lotte Mart +2 2012 Circle K > 40 2012 Fivimart +3 2012 Shop & Go √ 100 2012 Hiway √3 2013 √ 20 2016 Family Mart + 27 2012 √ 43 Notes: (+) new stores. Ministop + 30 2012 (√) in total 32 Vietnam Grocery Report 2012 Copyright © 2012 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.
  • 32. SHOPPERS Belt Buckling Connected Consumers 33 Vietnam Grocery Report 2012 Copyright © 2012 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.
  • 33. Concerns Discretionary spending *: ↑↓ vs. YA | vs. APAC average 66% Saving 32% Holiday THE ECONOMY ↑ | vs. 60%* (19%) ↓ | vs. 37%* JOB SECURITY (18%) 29% New technol- INCREASING ogies UTILITY BILL = | vs. 30%* (12%) 28% HEALTH New (8%) clothes INCREASING 27% Home 28% Out of ↓| vs. 35%* FOOD PRICE impro- home veme entertai (7%) nt ↑ | vs. 18%* nment ↓ | vs. 34%* How to utilize spare cash after covering essential living 34 expenses? Vietnam Grocery Report 2012 Source: Nielsen Global Consumer Copyright © 2012 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary. Confidence Index Q2’2012 – Vietnam
  • 34. Consumers are tightening their belts. The recessionary mindset shifts consumer thinking from Nice to Have to Need to Have superfluous temptation Support on compulsory expenditures: gasoline, gas/electricity, water, insurance, rent… Core selling grocery products sales rise 35 Vietnam Grocery Report 2012 Copyright © 2012 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.
  • 35. Hardship continues, consumers reduce shopping frequency and are much impacted by price. TOP 4 IMPACTS ON GROCERY SHOPPING FREQUENCY PURCHASE CHOICE 39% Weekly W ek l e y 64% 59% Every 2 weeks Ev e r we e k s 2 y 36% 1% Every month Ev e ro n t m y h 0% Less often 1% Les f n ote 0% 2011 2012 Base: All Supermarket shoppers (n = 1500) Compared with a year ago, how much impact has each of the following had on your choice of Grocery Purchases in the last 12 months? 36 Vietnam Grocery Report 2012 Source: Nielsen Shopper Trends Study 2012 Copyright © 2012 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.
  • 36. Consumers are adjusting shopping behavior to better adapt with tougher times (i.e. consuming larger pack sizes, downgrading as well). CONSUMER REACTION TO CHANGES IN CONSUMER BEHAVIOR ACROSS PRICE INCREASE CATEGORIES IN INFLATIONARY PERIOD % Buy more on Change in Volume Change in Pack Change in Brand ‘Promotion’ 66 of consumption size purchased purchased More amount Big pack Cheaper brand Buy more Vietnamese Same amount Same pack Same brand brands 41 Less amount Small pack Expensive brand Buy bigger pack sizes 37 Buy cheaper brands 37 Change shopping channels to save money 36 Buy more of smaller pack sizes 22 Buy more of Private Label 20 brands Hair Con Hair Con Hair Con Bouillon Bouillon Bouillon Fab Soft Fab Soft Fab Soft Laundry Laundry Laundry Shampoo Shampoo Shampoo How do you change your shopping habits to adapt to the price increases? 37 Vietnam Grocery Report 2012 Source: Consumer Omnibus Vietnam, Sept 2011Copyright © 2012 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.
  • 37. In response, retailers & manufacturers offer diversified promotions. Gas reward programs Will you be the 1st to step into this game? 38 Vietnam Grocery Report 2012 Copyright © 2012 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.
  • 38. « staying at home more often » Shopping patterns can emerge with consumer nesting - Out Of Home entertainment & restaurants + Home cooking + Friendliness ! + TV-viewing rising Cocooning 39 In both products and Entertainment! Vietnam Grocery Report 2012 Copyright © 2012 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.
  • 39. Nesting consumers are heading back to their house. VALUE & VOLUME % CHANGE YA Value % CHANNEL GROWTH VS. YA MAT JUL’12 Volume Off vs. On 2011: 713,416 vs. 522,394 stores 285% Meal Maker 318% 2.6% vs. 2.1% Beer can 47 % 40 % 1.6% vs. 1.5% 40 Vietnam Grocery Report 2012 Source: Nielsen Retail Audit Copyright © 2012 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.
  • 40. Walmart partners with manufacturers on “family meals for less.” 41 Vietnam Grocery Report 2012 Copyright © 2012 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.
  • 41. ShopRite cooking on YouTube; monthly recipes featuring store brands. 42 Vietnam Grocery Report 2012 Source: YouTube.com/user/ShopRiteStores Copyright © 2012 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.
  • 42. In the current climate, consumers and shoppers are re-appraising their store, brand and format choices with new lenses. Rising interest in Value-seeking Consumer Value ≠ Price Consumer Value = Benefits/Price • price positioning • simple and innovative Promotions • new value added initiatives 43 Vietnam Grocery Report 2012 Copyright © 2012 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.
  • 43. Consumers also seek value through up-trading to more premium Q ic R t ie a u k er v ls Q ic R t ie a u k er v ls Q ic R t ie a u k er v ls Q ic R t ie a u k er v ls products and/or buying big packs or pouches to save money. 6C ie E h- V lu e% h r | P r dE d gF B 2| SVeo T% C te oy r dE d6CEs2n hV luT ta C te oyeio E d6CEs2n hV luT ta C te oyeio E d gF B 2| S aeo T ta C te oy it s n o m S ae eio n 6C ie 1n - a luf e ta h rg P io n in Fie1 | h- ro f e% h r | P r d n in Fie1 | h- ro f e% h r | P r d n in E 1 in itE E h h o mo l a e| r e s r Sa g it B E S aeo o l S ag r m a e g it B E S aeo o l S ag r m a e hr f o l a gr VOLUME SHARE OF PRICE TIER RANGES VOLUME SHARE OF PACK-SIZE RANGES – GT URBAN Sources: RA, Price Tier market: 6 Cities TT Enh, Shampoo Fabclean DWL HCL o r e C ie e Pack size market: 36 Cities Enh TT + Rural o r , A ie E > e C n a E1 a E1 E1 Small Pack <400ml S uc : A N ls n| R ta In e ( <V t N m uc d tatoFe 1R ta In e ( <V t N mo r,e A toF e 2 e il In e ( <V t N mo r,e A toF e 2 e il In e ( <V t N m >) d tatoF B 2 e il d x < ie aS >) : a N ls B|2 e il d x < ie a S>) d ta N ls n| R ta d x < ie a S>) d ta N ls n| R ta d x < ie a > , a >uc : C ie B >uc : C ie B <3kg =<1000L =<500ml Data ended Mar’12 Big Pack >= 400ml >=3kg >1L >500ml S uc : A N ls n| R ta In e ( <V t N mo r , dA NM R 2e il In e ( <V t N mr>) A tatoM| R ta In e ( <V t N mo r , dA NF e1 R ta In e ( <V t N m >) d tato o r e C ie e e il d x < ie a S>)eaC ie A 1R ta d x < ie a uc :, d N ls nRe il d x < ie a S>)eaC ieEn| e il d x < ie a > , a > c : tato ls n| u e S >e C ie eA 1 o a 2 > c : tato lsB 2 u 44 S uc : A N ls n|R t il I d x( <V t Nm >) d tat J N2 o r e C ie e ea n e < ie a > , a o A 1 S uc : A N ls n| R ta In e ( <V t N m >) d tatoF B 2 o r e C ie e e il d x < ie a > , a E1 Vietnam Grocery Report 2012 Source: Consumer Omnibus Vietnam, Sept 2011Copyright © 2012 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.
  • 44. Innovation themes… Taste changing Perfume Fabric Ecobags Cigarette Softerner No fried Laundry Organic Milk Instant Liquid products Beverage Noodle 45 Vietnam Grocery Report 2012 Copyright © 2012 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.
  • 45. SHOPPERS Belt Buckling Connected Consumers 46 Vietnam Grocery Report 2012 Copyright © 2012 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.
  • 46. What’s Next: Consumers are more and more Connected **End of 2012: Every 5 Vietnamese consumers, there will be 1 smartphone and Tablet users will increase from 2% to 5% 2015: Mobile phones will overtake PCs as the most common web access Speed of action Offers flexibility 47 Image/Buzz Report 2012 Vietnam Grocery Copyright © 2012 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.
  • 47. 92% of Vietnamese consumers are more likely to trust recommendations from people they know* Conduct product research online 72 Look up product information online 70 Read a grocery retailer's circular/flyer online 59 Compare prices for a grocery product online 59 Browse a manufacturer's website for a grocery 53 category Look for deals online Look for coupons from an online coupon site 49 48 63% are Purchase a product online 47 more likely to trust Provide feedback about a grocery category through social media (wrote a review, blogged) 27 consumer opinions Use a digital shopping list 12 posted online** Other 11 None of the above 6 Thinking about Household Grocery Shopping, which of the following activities have you done in the last month on any online connected device?* 48 Sources: * Global Trust in advertising Q3 2011 Vietnam Grocery Report 2012 **Nielsen Global Digital Shopping –Q1 2012 Copyright © 2012 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.
  • 48. To stay in the game, manufacturers keep an eye on internet advertisements. Marketing return on investment* Advertisers’ spending - % Chg YTD – Global Average** 49 Sources: *Nielsen Advanced Analytics Consulting - 2009 Vietnam Grocery Report 2012 **Nielsen Global Ad View Pulse Lite Q1 2012 Copyright © 2012 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.
  • 49. Building demand by connecting consumers (with each other and with their brands). Collective Buying Power Sharing Experiences Reviews Ratings Recommendations Referrals Forums, Social Q&A Sharing Ideas 50
  • 50. Change and adapt… Now! Shopper Opportunities Need to Have Private Home Proximity Label Cooking Cocooning Speed of Flexibility of actions Value-seeking offer M-commerce Innovation Buzz Home Connected Entertainment products Price E-Promo 51 Vietnam Grocery Report 2012 Copyright © 2012 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.
  • 51. Thank you vn.nielsen.com www.twitter.com/nielsenvietnam www.facebook.com/vietnamnielsen 52 Vietnam Grocery Report 2012 Copyright © 2012 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.