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Macro-environmental Analysis:South Korea PART II: POLITICAL ANALYSIS INTRODUCTION PART III: ETHICS  ANALYSIS PART I: ECONOMIC ANALYSIS
RISK DESCRIPTION Low Risk  Moderate Risk High Risk Risk: Low  Moderate High
South Korea--Introduction Has a strategic position in Northeast Asia Neighboring countries include North Korea China Russia  Japan Significant influence 	of the USA Biggest regional issue: At  “War” with South Korea
Korea’s Transformation Amazing growth since WWII Went from being a 3rd world country to a developed nation in 40 years Korea became a global leader in many industries
Korea’s Transformation (Con’t) 14 Fortune 500 companies:
Korea’s Transformation (Con’t) World ranking in certain industries: Shipbuilding: 1st 40% of world’s shipbuilding capacity Semiconductors: 3rd Digital electronics: 4th Automobile production: 5th 4th largest hospital in the world 2nd largest oil refinery (SK Chemicals)
Korea’s Transformation (Con’t)
ECONOMIC ANALYSIS
Population/Market Opportunities One of the most ethnically and linguistically homogenous nations in the world Population:  48.5 million Population density: 1,260 per sq mile (USA 80, India 690) Urbanization: 81% (24 million around Seoul) Classified as a high income country by the World Bank Good purchasing power of consumers Biggest middle class in Asia  Very sophisticated and demanding consumers Koreans are early adopters Accepting of certain American products Risk: Low
Population/Market Opportunities Demographics:  Aging population Risk: Low
GDP and GDP Growth GDP: $1.278 trillion ($26,000 per capita) GDP growth: 4-5% before crisis 2.5% in 2008 Future growth  	outlook Risk: Moderate
GDP and GDP Growth: Outlook Risk: Moderate
Level of Inflation Inflation stable around 3% since 2000 Risk: Low
Level of Unemployment/Labor Force Unemployment is low at 3.2% (USA 7.2%) Very well educated and skilled labor force Risk: Low  to Moderate
Stability of the Currency Currency: 1,245 Korean won for $1  Relatively unstable $201 billion of foreign exchange and gold reserves (India $256 billion) Risk: Moderate
Availability of Energy Korea is dependent on energy imports Needs to import 97% of energy requirements Excellent availability of energy resources Nuclear electricity generation has risen to 40% Risk: Moderate
Development of Telecommunication Excellent telecommunication infrastructure 36.8 million internet users  76% of the population (US 74%) 47 million cell phones  97% of the population (US 88%)  Average internet download speed: 20 mbps (US 5 mbps)  ITIF Broadband Ranking: Korea(1st),(USA 12th) Risk: Low
Development of Information Technology Technology Advantage in 2003-2005 Risk: Low
Development of Information Technology Risk: Low
Availability of Transportation 103,029 kilometers of roads 3,381 kilometers of railroads 113 airports (Incheon 4th largest cargo airport) Many sea ports Busan: 5th largest seaport in the world  Risk: Low
Availability of Raw Materials Almost no raw materials available Dependency on imports Risk: High
Accessibility of Domestic Capital Market Recent reforms: More transparency, less government control Some restrictions on foreign ownership Stock market Korea Exchange--market value of $640 billion (NYSE $9 trillion)  Risk: Low  to Moderate
FDI and FDI Growth  24thin FDI confidence index  China 1st, India 2nd, US 3rd Positive future outlook (future privatization) Risk: Low  to Moderate
POLITICAL ANALYSIS
Stability of Political System Currently very stable Risk: Low
Degree of Democracy Democracy More than 100 national 	and local dailies 	throughout South Korea Press is often critical of 	the government President elected through a nationwide, equal,  	direct, and secret ballot Citizens vote for officials through constituents  Risk: Low
Continuity of Commitments Low risk of confiscation or expropriation Just compensation Risk: Low
Internal Conflict Superiority Anti-Americanism Risk: Low
External Threats South Korea/North Korea border Korean War 1950-1953 Risk: Moderate
Alliances with Major Powers Joined UN in 1991 Allied with U.S. in  	1953 by Mutual  	Defense Treaty June 2007 signed  	KORUS-FTA Diplomatic relations with over 170 countries Risk: Low
Bureaucratization Ranked 40 out of 179 economies in the Index of Economic Freedom U.S: 6	India: 123	China: 132 South Korea ranks 8thout of 41 countries in the Asia-Pacific region Hong Kong Singapore Australia New Zealand Risk: Low
Bureaucratization: Starting a Business Time required to start a business (days): Avg: 13.0	Korea: 14 	 U.S:  6 	India:30 	China: 37 Number of procedures: Avg: 5.7	Korea:  8 	 U.S:  6 	India: 13 	China: 14 Cost: Avg: 14.7 	Korea: 14.7   U.S:  0.7	India: 66.1	China:  4.9 Risk: Low
Bureaucratization: Dealing with Licenses Time required to obtain licenses: Avg:157.0	Korea: 34	 U.S:40	India:195	China: 336 Number of procedures: Avg: 15.1	Korea: 13 U.S: 19	India: 37	China: 37 Cost: Avg: 56.1	Korea: 135.6 U.S:12.7	India:2394.9    China:579.2 Risk: Low
Bureaucratization: Registering Property Time required to register (days): Avg:25.0	Korea:11 U.S:12	India:44	China:29 Number of procedures: Avg:4.7	Korea: 7 U.S:4	India:5	China:4 Cost: Avg:4.6	Korea: 5.1 U.S:0.7	India:7.4	China:3.1 Risk: Low
Bureaucratization: Export Documents for Export: Avg:4.3	Korea: 3 U.S:4		India:8		China:7 Time for Export: Avg:10.5	Korea: 8 U.S:6		India:17		China:21 Cost ($U.S cost per container): Avg:1,089	Korea: 742 U.S:1050		India:945	China:500 Risk: Low
Bureaucratization: Import Documents for import: Avg:4.9	Korea: 3 U.S:5	India:9	China:5 ,[object Object],Avg:11	Korea: 8 U.S:5	India:20	China:24 ,[object Object]
Avg:1145.9     Korea: 742
U.S:1315	India:960	China:545Risk: Low
Bureaucratization: Closing a Business Time to close (days): Avg:1.7	Korea: 1.5	 U.S:1.5		India:9.0	     	China:1.7 Cost: Avg:8.4	Korea: 4 U.S:7		India:7.0	     	China:22 Recovery Rate: Avg:68.6	Korea: 80.5 U.S:76.7		India:15.1	China:35.3 Risk: Low
Trade Policy Foreign Investment Issues: Incentives for foreign firms to invest including cash grants and zero-corporate tax zones Foreign investment process is very straightforward and an official is assign to facilitate each project  The government also leases property for up to 50 years at low rates or zero cost  Risk: Low
Trade Policy  Trade Restrictions Agricultural and fishery products have very high duties imposed Risk: Low  to Moderate
Trade Policy  Trade Restrictions Established a tariff-rate quota (TRQ) which helps provide minimal access to previously closed markets Rice market is also a very restrictive market  Risk: Moderate
Trade Policy Currency Policies Foreign Exchange Transaction Act fully liberalized all current accounts by business firm and banks Foreign firms are allowed the right to remit any profits Risk: Low
Paying Taxes Payments (number of taxes paid): Avg:12.8	Korea:13 U.S:10		India:59	     	China:7 Time to file (hours to file): Avg: 94.1    Korea: 259 U.S:187		India:271	 China:504 Total Tax Payable (percentage of gross tax): Avg:44.5	 Korea: 34.1 U.S:46.3		India:64.7	 China:78.5 Risk: Low
Property Tax Highest housing transaction cost of any country Imposes Value-Added Tax to all real estate  High cost intensifies housing shortage Risk: High
Trade Policy Price Controls Regulates and maintains prices in several industries including agriculture, telecommunications,     pharmaceuticals and medical services, and sand energy products Government has the ability to cap prices on raw materials and control prices on several other products in key industries by emergency decree Risk: Moderate
Trade Policy Local Sourcing Requirements Very Minimal Risk: Low
Ownership Risk Full rights are recognized in given through a well developed body of laws in South Korea Freely acquire and dispose of assets and investments Land Acquisition Act also grants foreigners and multi-national firms the same rights a Koreans Risk: Low
Privatization Privatization is a major issue  319 state-owned companies, but the current plan proposes to sell 35 of these companies while abolishing or allowing the other 20 companies to merge. Risk: Low
LEGAL SYSTEM ANALYSIS
Transparency of Regulatory System Korea is ranked 40 out of 180 countries on transparency scale.   US: 18	India:85	China:72	 Transparent regulatory system Issues with corruption (although decreasing) Transparency increasing Risk: Low
Protection of Property Rights Issues in South Korea over the protection of property rights Major problems with copyright infringements and counterfeit products Piracyof IPR Risk: High
Effectiveness of Court System Korea 8 out of 181 in terms of enforcing contracts Averages only 35 procedures (avg: 30.8) are required and it takes an average of 230 days (avg: 462.7) to receive a payment after the first lawsuit is filed Risk: Low
ETHICS ANALYSIS
ETHICS AND CORPORATE CULTURE ANALYSIS Human rights Transparency/ Corruption Environmental Issues Women’s rights Child labor
HUMAN RIGHTS National Security Law (NSL) Human Trafficking: Governmental measures to prevent human trafficking. Non-governmental measures to prevent human trafficking. International measures. Discrimination against Minority Groups Disputes over not enough legal protection for minority rights. Risk: Moderate
TRANSPARENCY/ CORRUPTION South Korea scored 40th out of 180 countries on TI’s list of most transparent countries. South Korea scored a 5.6 on TI’s Corrupt Practices Index. South Korean culture makes it hard to distinguish between bribery and gift giving. Even with laws against bribery, it is hard to enforce in South Korea because of a high resistance to change in this area. Risk: Moderate to High
ENVIRONMENTAL ISSUES South Korea did not start paying close attention to the environment until the late 1908’s. This was two decades into their industrial revolution. They are one of Asia’s largest producers of SO2, which is the leading ingredient in acid rain. They border China, who is Asia’s largest producer of SO2 and is close enough to South Korea to affect their climate. Risk: Moderate
ENVIRONMENTAL ISSUES South Korea has passed strict regulations on SO2 emissions. Many companies lack the technology required to desulfurize their equipment. South Korea has pushed for bilateral legislation between Korea, China, and Japan. Risk: Moderate
ENVIRONMENTAL ISSUES  South Korea will also host the Business for the Environment Summit and Champions of the Earth on April 22 of next year. They also have 38 billion dollars to be spent over the next four years to be spent for a series of environment-friendly investments. Risk: Moderate
WOMEN’S RIGHTS According to the nationmaster.com, the literacy rate of females as a percentage of males is 97%. They are ranked 56th out of 144 countries.  On the GEM chart, South Korea ranked 68th in 2008.  Risk: Moderate
WOMEN’S RIGHTS Also in  2008 women accounted for 13.7% of legislatures, 8% of managerial and administrative positions, and 40% of professional and technical positions.  The ratio of South Korean women’s income compared to South Korean men was .52.   South Korea is improving in all area’s for Gender empowerment, but they are growing at a slower rate than other countries. Risk: Moderate
CHILD LABOR South Korea has been a member of the International Labor Organization since 1991.  Certain laws have been put in place to ensure that child labor is restricted. These laws include a child between the ages of 15 and 18 needing written permission from a parent or guardian Risk: Low
CHILD LABOR Children in this age group are not     allowed to work overnight hours They should not exceed 7 hours a day or 42 hours a week If they are under the age of 15 they must obtain special permit from the labor ministry. South Korea has been good about enforcing these laws. Risk: Low

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South Korea--Macro Environmental Analysis

  • 1. Macro-environmental Analysis:South Korea PART II: POLITICAL ANALYSIS INTRODUCTION PART III: ETHICS ANALYSIS PART I: ECONOMIC ANALYSIS
  • 2. RISK DESCRIPTION Low Risk Moderate Risk High Risk Risk: Low Moderate High
  • 3. South Korea--Introduction Has a strategic position in Northeast Asia Neighboring countries include North Korea China Russia Japan Significant influence of the USA Biggest regional issue: At “War” with South Korea
  • 4. Korea’s Transformation Amazing growth since WWII Went from being a 3rd world country to a developed nation in 40 years Korea became a global leader in many industries
  • 5. Korea’s Transformation (Con’t) 14 Fortune 500 companies:
  • 6. Korea’s Transformation (Con’t) World ranking in certain industries: Shipbuilding: 1st 40% of world’s shipbuilding capacity Semiconductors: 3rd Digital electronics: 4th Automobile production: 5th 4th largest hospital in the world 2nd largest oil refinery (SK Chemicals)
  • 9. Population/Market Opportunities One of the most ethnically and linguistically homogenous nations in the world Population: 48.5 million Population density: 1,260 per sq mile (USA 80, India 690) Urbanization: 81% (24 million around Seoul) Classified as a high income country by the World Bank Good purchasing power of consumers Biggest middle class in Asia Very sophisticated and demanding consumers Koreans are early adopters Accepting of certain American products Risk: Low
  • 10. Population/Market Opportunities Demographics: Aging population Risk: Low
  • 11. GDP and GDP Growth GDP: $1.278 trillion ($26,000 per capita) GDP growth: 4-5% before crisis 2.5% in 2008 Future growth outlook Risk: Moderate
  • 12. GDP and GDP Growth: Outlook Risk: Moderate
  • 13. Level of Inflation Inflation stable around 3% since 2000 Risk: Low
  • 14. Level of Unemployment/Labor Force Unemployment is low at 3.2% (USA 7.2%) Very well educated and skilled labor force Risk: Low to Moderate
  • 15. Stability of the Currency Currency: 1,245 Korean won for $1 Relatively unstable $201 billion of foreign exchange and gold reserves (India $256 billion) Risk: Moderate
  • 16. Availability of Energy Korea is dependent on energy imports Needs to import 97% of energy requirements Excellent availability of energy resources Nuclear electricity generation has risen to 40% Risk: Moderate
  • 17. Development of Telecommunication Excellent telecommunication infrastructure 36.8 million internet users 76% of the population (US 74%) 47 million cell phones 97% of the population (US 88%) Average internet download speed: 20 mbps (US 5 mbps) ITIF Broadband Ranking: Korea(1st),(USA 12th) Risk: Low
  • 18. Development of Information Technology Technology Advantage in 2003-2005 Risk: Low
  • 19. Development of Information Technology Risk: Low
  • 20. Availability of Transportation 103,029 kilometers of roads 3,381 kilometers of railroads 113 airports (Incheon 4th largest cargo airport) Many sea ports Busan: 5th largest seaport in the world Risk: Low
  • 21. Availability of Raw Materials Almost no raw materials available Dependency on imports Risk: High
  • 22. Accessibility of Domestic Capital Market Recent reforms: More transparency, less government control Some restrictions on foreign ownership Stock market Korea Exchange--market value of $640 billion (NYSE $9 trillion) Risk: Low to Moderate
  • 23. FDI and FDI Growth 24thin FDI confidence index China 1st, India 2nd, US 3rd Positive future outlook (future privatization) Risk: Low to Moderate
  • 25. Stability of Political System Currently very stable Risk: Low
  • 26. Degree of Democracy Democracy More than 100 national and local dailies throughout South Korea Press is often critical of the government President elected through a nationwide, equal, direct, and secret ballot Citizens vote for officials through constituents Risk: Low
  • 27. Continuity of Commitments Low risk of confiscation or expropriation Just compensation Risk: Low
  • 28. Internal Conflict Superiority Anti-Americanism Risk: Low
  • 29. External Threats South Korea/North Korea border Korean War 1950-1953 Risk: Moderate
  • 30. Alliances with Major Powers Joined UN in 1991 Allied with U.S. in 1953 by Mutual Defense Treaty June 2007 signed KORUS-FTA Diplomatic relations with over 170 countries Risk: Low
  • 31. Bureaucratization Ranked 40 out of 179 economies in the Index of Economic Freedom U.S: 6 India: 123 China: 132 South Korea ranks 8thout of 41 countries in the Asia-Pacific region Hong Kong Singapore Australia New Zealand Risk: Low
  • 32. Bureaucratization: Starting a Business Time required to start a business (days): Avg: 13.0 Korea: 14 U.S: 6 India:30 China: 37 Number of procedures: Avg: 5.7 Korea: 8 U.S: 6 India: 13 China: 14 Cost: Avg: 14.7 Korea: 14.7 U.S: 0.7 India: 66.1 China: 4.9 Risk: Low
  • 33. Bureaucratization: Dealing with Licenses Time required to obtain licenses: Avg:157.0 Korea: 34 U.S:40 India:195 China: 336 Number of procedures: Avg: 15.1 Korea: 13 U.S: 19 India: 37 China: 37 Cost: Avg: 56.1 Korea: 135.6 U.S:12.7 India:2394.9 China:579.2 Risk: Low
  • 34. Bureaucratization: Registering Property Time required to register (days): Avg:25.0 Korea:11 U.S:12 India:44 China:29 Number of procedures: Avg:4.7 Korea: 7 U.S:4 India:5 China:4 Cost: Avg:4.6 Korea: 5.1 U.S:0.7 India:7.4 China:3.1 Risk: Low
  • 35. Bureaucratization: Export Documents for Export: Avg:4.3 Korea: 3 U.S:4 India:8 China:7 Time for Export: Avg:10.5 Korea: 8 U.S:6 India:17 China:21 Cost ($U.S cost per container): Avg:1,089 Korea: 742 U.S:1050 India:945 China:500 Risk: Low
  • 36.
  • 37. Avg:1145.9 Korea: 742
  • 39. Bureaucratization: Closing a Business Time to close (days): Avg:1.7 Korea: 1.5 U.S:1.5 India:9.0 China:1.7 Cost: Avg:8.4 Korea: 4 U.S:7 India:7.0 China:22 Recovery Rate: Avg:68.6 Korea: 80.5 U.S:76.7 India:15.1 China:35.3 Risk: Low
  • 40. Trade Policy Foreign Investment Issues: Incentives for foreign firms to invest including cash grants and zero-corporate tax zones Foreign investment process is very straightforward and an official is assign to facilitate each project The government also leases property for up to 50 years at low rates or zero cost Risk: Low
  • 41. Trade Policy Trade Restrictions Agricultural and fishery products have very high duties imposed Risk: Low to Moderate
  • 42. Trade Policy Trade Restrictions Established a tariff-rate quota (TRQ) which helps provide minimal access to previously closed markets Rice market is also a very restrictive market Risk: Moderate
  • 43. Trade Policy Currency Policies Foreign Exchange Transaction Act fully liberalized all current accounts by business firm and banks Foreign firms are allowed the right to remit any profits Risk: Low
  • 44. Paying Taxes Payments (number of taxes paid): Avg:12.8 Korea:13 U.S:10 India:59 China:7 Time to file (hours to file): Avg: 94.1 Korea: 259 U.S:187 India:271 China:504 Total Tax Payable (percentage of gross tax): Avg:44.5 Korea: 34.1 U.S:46.3 India:64.7 China:78.5 Risk: Low
  • 45. Property Tax Highest housing transaction cost of any country Imposes Value-Added Tax to all real estate High cost intensifies housing shortage Risk: High
  • 46. Trade Policy Price Controls Regulates and maintains prices in several industries including agriculture, telecommunications, pharmaceuticals and medical services, and sand energy products Government has the ability to cap prices on raw materials and control prices on several other products in key industries by emergency decree Risk: Moderate
  • 47. Trade Policy Local Sourcing Requirements Very Minimal Risk: Low
  • 48. Ownership Risk Full rights are recognized in given through a well developed body of laws in South Korea Freely acquire and dispose of assets and investments Land Acquisition Act also grants foreigners and multi-national firms the same rights a Koreans Risk: Low
  • 49. Privatization Privatization is a major issue 319 state-owned companies, but the current plan proposes to sell 35 of these companies while abolishing or allowing the other 20 companies to merge. Risk: Low
  • 51. Transparency of Regulatory System Korea is ranked 40 out of 180 countries on transparency scale. US: 18 India:85 China:72 Transparent regulatory system Issues with corruption (although decreasing) Transparency increasing Risk: Low
  • 52. Protection of Property Rights Issues in South Korea over the protection of property rights Major problems with copyright infringements and counterfeit products Piracyof IPR Risk: High
  • 53. Effectiveness of Court System Korea 8 out of 181 in terms of enforcing contracts Averages only 35 procedures (avg: 30.8) are required and it takes an average of 230 days (avg: 462.7) to receive a payment after the first lawsuit is filed Risk: Low
  • 55. ETHICS AND CORPORATE CULTURE ANALYSIS Human rights Transparency/ Corruption Environmental Issues Women’s rights Child labor
  • 56. HUMAN RIGHTS National Security Law (NSL) Human Trafficking: Governmental measures to prevent human trafficking. Non-governmental measures to prevent human trafficking. International measures. Discrimination against Minority Groups Disputes over not enough legal protection for minority rights. Risk: Moderate
  • 57. TRANSPARENCY/ CORRUPTION South Korea scored 40th out of 180 countries on TI’s list of most transparent countries. South Korea scored a 5.6 on TI’s Corrupt Practices Index. South Korean culture makes it hard to distinguish between bribery and gift giving. Even with laws against bribery, it is hard to enforce in South Korea because of a high resistance to change in this area. Risk: Moderate to High
  • 58. ENVIRONMENTAL ISSUES South Korea did not start paying close attention to the environment until the late 1908’s. This was two decades into their industrial revolution. They are one of Asia’s largest producers of SO2, which is the leading ingredient in acid rain. They border China, who is Asia’s largest producer of SO2 and is close enough to South Korea to affect their climate. Risk: Moderate
  • 59. ENVIRONMENTAL ISSUES South Korea has passed strict regulations on SO2 emissions. Many companies lack the technology required to desulfurize their equipment. South Korea has pushed for bilateral legislation between Korea, China, and Japan. Risk: Moderate
  • 60. ENVIRONMENTAL ISSUES South Korea will also host the Business for the Environment Summit and Champions of the Earth on April 22 of next year. They also have 38 billion dollars to be spent over the next four years to be spent for a series of environment-friendly investments. Risk: Moderate
  • 61. WOMEN’S RIGHTS According to the nationmaster.com, the literacy rate of females as a percentage of males is 97%. They are ranked 56th out of 144 countries. On the GEM chart, South Korea ranked 68th in 2008. Risk: Moderate
  • 62. WOMEN’S RIGHTS Also in 2008 women accounted for 13.7% of legislatures, 8% of managerial and administrative positions, and 40% of professional and technical positions. The ratio of South Korean women’s income compared to South Korean men was .52. South Korea is improving in all area’s for Gender empowerment, but they are growing at a slower rate than other countries. Risk: Moderate
  • 63. CHILD LABOR South Korea has been a member of the International Labor Organization since 1991. Certain laws have been put in place to ensure that child labor is restricted. These laws include a child between the ages of 15 and 18 needing written permission from a parent or guardian Risk: Low
  • 64. CHILD LABOR Children in this age group are not allowed to work overnight hours They should not exceed 7 hours a day or 42 hours a week If they are under the age of 15 they must obtain special permit from the labor ministry. South Korea has been good about enforcing these laws. Risk: Low
  • 66. Risk Assessment Conclusion: Overall low risk Some exceptional qualities Government is working on continuous improvement One of the best places for investors in Asia