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Global development
in the Icelandic
context
Alexander Richter
ThinkGeoEnergy.com
@thinkgeoenergy

October 16, 2013
Background

2
Showcase of geothermal to the world

3
Website of: ThinkGeoEnergy.com

4
Power Plant
Map

Job Portal
5
ThinkGeoEnergy.com
as One-stop-shop
For News, Research &
Marketing Tool for Industry
6
Global Geothermal
Development

Global Geothermal Development
7
Global Geothermal Energy Power Generation - Potential
32,200
5,454
1,642

4,344

1,363

6,447

Installed

Installed

Resources

Resources

60,422

Europe

North America

1,840

242
27,400

933

Installed

Resources

Middle East
624
Installed

Resources

3,833

568

10,064
Installed

Cent. America &
Caribbean

11,600

30,800
205
1

Installed
High temperature regions

Resources

Asia

867
Resources

South America

2,511

Installed

7,700

Resources

Africa

913

654

Installed

Resources

Aus., NZ & Pacific

Current installed capacity
Projects & inferred resources
Resource estimates

Sources: Islandsbanki, ThinkGeoEnergy, Geothermal Energy Association, IGA, Chevron
Note: Installed Capacity of 2013, resource estimates combined (1999-2012) – IGA estimates a conservative total potential of 70,000 MW and
with technology improvements (extended use of low heat and EGS resources) at around 180,000 MW in power generation capacity.
Top 10 Countries – installed capacity
United States

3,386

Philippines

1,968

Indonesia

1,339

New Zealand

957

Italy

863

Mexico

812

Iceland

665

Japan

502

Costa Rica

208

El Salvador

204

Other

730
0

Source: ThinkGeoEnergy Research

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

3,500
9
Top 10 Countries – installed + projects
Indonesia

1,339

United States

3,386

Philippines

1,968

Kenya

Iceland

8,099
2,606
1,551

205 1,883

665 778

New Zealand

957

Mexico

812

Italy

335
225
145

863

Turkey 114

Installed

783

Japan
Other

Projects

502 116
853
0

Source: ThinkGeoEnergy Research

3,113
2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000
10
Icelandic Geothermal Industry
11
Iceland’s Geothermal Supply Chain
Energy
audit & law
firms
GeoScience

Technical
consulting

Industry
news

Local consumers
(direct)

Industry
associations

Drilling

Business
consulting

Construction

Financing

District heating
Industrial
heating
applications

Core Industry Function
R&D, education, knowl
edge

Geothermal
resource
exploration &
development

Geothermal research

Recreation, heal
th & tourism
Geothermal
energy production

Transmission
& distribution
Industry

Training & education

Drilling rigs
& related

Turbines &
generators

Retail electricity

Other
equipment

Local consumers
(indirect)

Equipment Suppliers
Related industries

Mining

Government
(Agencies, department, offices)
Oil & Gas

Source: Iceland Geothermal Cluster

Other Energy
Production

Legislation

Permitting &
licensing

Market
Regulation

Economic
Development
Geothermal Expertise
Geo-Science

ÍSOR, Mannvit, Vatnaskil

Technical consulting

Mannvit, Verkís, Efla, Reykjavik Geothermal, Landsvirkjun Power

Business consulting

KPMG, ThinkGeoEnergy, individuals, Reykjavik Geothermal

Development

Iceland utilities, Efla, Rarik, Reykjavik Geothermal

Geothermal research

ÍSOR, GEORG, Mannvit, Vatnaskil, Utilities, Universities

Training & education

University of Iceland, Reykjavik University/ REYST, UNUGTP, Keilir

Drilling rigs & related

Iceland Drilling, Reykjavik Geothermal, ÍSOR
Global development by stages
8,000
7,000

7,222
6,508

6,000
5,000
4,000
3,000

2,862
2,423

2,000
1,000

891

110

0
Prospect

Source: ThinkGeoEnergy Research

Exploration

Pre-Feasibility

Feasibility

Construction

Other*

14
Regional opportunities
Asia

2,050

Africa

2,848

3,575

750 1,335 145

South America 0190 407

Central America & Caribb. 105265 153
Prospect
7 294 153

Middle East

Exploration
Pre-Feasibility

Aus., NZ & Pacific

0 117 101
0

Source: ThinkGeoEnergy Research

1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000 7,000 8,000 9,000
15
Regional opportunities
Aus., NZ & Pacific

Middle East

Central America & Caribb.

South America

Africa

Asia

Pre-Feasibility

Exploration

Prospect

0
Source: ThinkGeoEnergy Research

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000
16
Market Situation
Financing of power plants
Annual new-build debt investment as proportion of total
for past decade, 2002–2012

$4.8bn TOTAL

%

Development bank

50%

%

%

%

%

46%

40%

30%

Commercial
lender

22%

20%

State-owned
entity

10%

0%
2002

20%
Pension fund 8%
Government 4%

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

%
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Source: Bloomberg New Energy Finance

18
Asia
Africa
20
South America
21
Caribbean
22
Increasing National
Collaborations
Full Sale &
Marketing
Campaigns
25
Magazine

26
Think GEOENERGY
Magazine
The new magazine for
the global geothermal
energy industry, created
in Iceland by
ThinkGeoEnergy.
thinkgeoenergy.com/magazin
e

27
Magazine for the
industry but also
promotional tool
for geothermal
28
A

ffairs

Current market
trends, news from
industry
associations, state of
the industry
29
B

usiness

news from
corporations, interesting
companies, general
corporate overviews and
news
30
Country in Focus
selected country report
with certain country
elements in the different
sections/ chapters
31
D

evelopment

news and trends, news
from individual projects
and status on
development worldwide
32
E

ngineering &
technology
drilling, technical
descriptions, rather
general and educational in
nature. Turbine/ power
plant etc.
33
F

inance

General topics on
financing of
geothermal, risk
management &
mitigation, deals, banking
finance, business and
legal issues.

34
Issue 2
Country Focus:
Iceland

2

To be released
Spring of 2014

Iceland

35
• Opportunities for the sector
• Marketing for the industry
• Bring attention to Iceland

36
Subscribe to Magazine
www.thinkgeoenergy.com/magazine

37
Follow Us
Twitter: @thinkgeoenergy
LinkedIn Group: ThinkGeoEnergy
Flickr.com/thinkgeoenergy
YouTube.com/thinkgeoenergy
Slideshare.com/thinkgeoenergy
Subscribe to our Weekly Newsletter at:
thinkgeoenergy.com/newsletter
38
• Global news
• Job Portal
• Geothermal Power
Plant Map
• Social media
• iPhone app
• Free pictures
• Services

www.
ThinkGeoEnergy.
com
39

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Iceland Launch of Think GEOENERGY Magazine, October 2013

  • 1. Global development in the Icelandic context Alexander Richter ThinkGeoEnergy.com @thinkgeoenergy October 16, 2013
  • 3. Showcase of geothermal to the world 3
  • 6. ThinkGeoEnergy.com as One-stop-shop For News, Research & Marketing Tool for Industry 6
  • 8. Global Geothermal Energy Power Generation - Potential 32,200 5,454 1,642 4,344 1,363 6,447 Installed Installed Resources Resources 60,422 Europe North America 1,840 242 27,400 933 Installed Resources Middle East 624 Installed Resources 3,833 568 10,064 Installed Cent. America & Caribbean 11,600 30,800 205 1 Installed High temperature regions Resources Asia 867 Resources South America 2,511 Installed 7,700 Resources Africa 913 654 Installed Resources Aus., NZ & Pacific Current installed capacity Projects & inferred resources Resource estimates Sources: Islandsbanki, ThinkGeoEnergy, Geothermal Energy Association, IGA, Chevron Note: Installed Capacity of 2013, resource estimates combined (1999-2012) – IGA estimates a conservative total potential of 70,000 MW and with technology improvements (extended use of low heat and EGS resources) at around 180,000 MW in power generation capacity.
  • 9. Top 10 Countries – installed capacity United States 3,386 Philippines 1,968 Indonesia 1,339 New Zealand 957 Italy 863 Mexico 812 Iceland 665 Japan 502 Costa Rica 208 El Salvador 204 Other 730 0 Source: ThinkGeoEnergy Research 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 3,500 9
  • 10. Top 10 Countries – installed + projects Indonesia 1,339 United States 3,386 Philippines 1,968 Kenya Iceland 8,099 2,606 1,551 205 1,883 665 778 New Zealand 957 Mexico 812 Italy 335 225 145 863 Turkey 114 Installed 783 Japan Other Projects 502 116 853 0 Source: ThinkGeoEnergy Research 3,113 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000 10
  • 12. Iceland’s Geothermal Supply Chain Energy audit & law firms GeoScience Technical consulting Industry news Local consumers (direct) Industry associations Drilling Business consulting Construction Financing District heating Industrial heating applications Core Industry Function R&D, education, knowl edge Geothermal resource exploration & development Geothermal research Recreation, heal th & tourism Geothermal energy production Transmission & distribution Industry Training & education Drilling rigs & related Turbines & generators Retail electricity Other equipment Local consumers (indirect) Equipment Suppliers Related industries Mining Government (Agencies, department, offices) Oil & Gas Source: Iceland Geothermal Cluster Other Energy Production Legislation Permitting & licensing Market Regulation Economic Development
  • 13. Geothermal Expertise Geo-Science ÍSOR, Mannvit, Vatnaskil Technical consulting Mannvit, Verkís, Efla, Reykjavik Geothermal, Landsvirkjun Power Business consulting KPMG, ThinkGeoEnergy, individuals, Reykjavik Geothermal Development Iceland utilities, Efla, Rarik, Reykjavik Geothermal Geothermal research ÍSOR, GEORG, Mannvit, Vatnaskil, Utilities, Universities Training & education University of Iceland, Reykjavik University/ REYST, UNUGTP, Keilir Drilling rigs & related Iceland Drilling, Reykjavik Geothermal, ÍSOR
  • 14. Global development by stages 8,000 7,000 7,222 6,508 6,000 5,000 4,000 3,000 2,862 2,423 2,000 1,000 891 110 0 Prospect Source: ThinkGeoEnergy Research Exploration Pre-Feasibility Feasibility Construction Other* 14
  • 15. Regional opportunities Asia 2,050 Africa 2,848 3,575 750 1,335 145 South America 0190 407 Central America & Caribb. 105265 153 Prospect 7 294 153 Middle East Exploration Pre-Feasibility Aus., NZ & Pacific 0 117 101 0 Source: ThinkGeoEnergy Research 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000 7,000 8,000 9,000 15
  • 16. Regional opportunities Aus., NZ & Pacific Middle East Central America & Caribb. South America Africa Asia Pre-Feasibility Exploration Prospect 0 Source: ThinkGeoEnergy Research 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 16
  • 18. Financing of power plants Annual new-build debt investment as proportion of total for past decade, 2002–2012 $4.8bn TOTAL % Development bank 50% % % % % 46% 40% 30% Commercial lender 22% 20% State-owned entity 10% 0% 2002 20% Pension fund 8% Government 4% 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 % 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Source: Bloomberg New Energy Finance 18
  • 19. Asia
  • 25. 25
  • 27. Think GEOENERGY Magazine The new magazine for the global geothermal energy industry, created in Iceland by ThinkGeoEnergy. thinkgeoenergy.com/magazin e 27
  • 28. Magazine for the industry but also promotional tool for geothermal 28
  • 29. A ffairs Current market trends, news from industry associations, state of the industry 29
  • 30. B usiness news from corporations, interesting companies, general corporate overviews and news 30
  • 31. Country in Focus selected country report with certain country elements in the different sections/ chapters 31
  • 32. D evelopment news and trends, news from individual projects and status on development worldwide 32
  • 33. E ngineering & technology drilling, technical descriptions, rather general and educational in nature. Turbine/ power plant etc. 33
  • 34. F inance General topics on financing of geothermal, risk management & mitigation, deals, banking finance, business and legal issues. 34
  • 35. Issue 2 Country Focus: Iceland 2 To be released Spring of 2014 Iceland 35
  • 36. • Opportunities for the sector • Marketing for the industry • Bring attention to Iceland 36
  • 38. Follow Us Twitter: @thinkgeoenergy LinkedIn Group: ThinkGeoEnergy Flickr.com/thinkgeoenergy YouTube.com/thinkgeoenergy Slideshare.com/thinkgeoenergy Subscribe to our Weekly Newsletter at: thinkgeoenergy.com/newsletter 38
  • 39. • Global news • Job Portal • Geothermal Power Plant Map • Social media • iPhone app • Free pictures • Services www. ThinkGeoEnergy. com 39