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Pricing Excellence
        Smarter consumers, smarter pricing



Amsterdam Hilton, May 12, 2011
Consumer mindsets are changing and both retailers and CPG companies
need to be responsive to the challenges and opportunities this will create


                                                                     Implications for CPG
        Search for „value‟           Reassessing „values‟
                                                                          companies


    Customers are:                   Social revolution through     Companies need to:
                                           digital media
    • Increasingly focused on                                      • Closely track, understand
      value                                                          and anticipate


    • Price sensitive, continuing      Health and wellbeing        • Recognise variation by
      to trade down and shop                                         market and occasion
      around
                                                                   • Better understand
    • Continuing to emphasize                                        opportunities for growth
      value for the medium term     Sustainability and the green     and value creation
                                              agenda

    • Still desiring convenience                                   • Identify and develop new
      and indulgence                                                 products and execute with
                                                                     the trade
                                      Experiential purchases




1                                                                                © 2011 Deloitte The Netherlands
In addition, changes in the structure of the market are creating unique
challenges for CPG companies (1/6)


                                                                                 Comment
                                      “Promotions are intensifying”

                                                                                   •   Promotional intensity is increasing

                                                                                   •   Retailers increasingly demand supplier
                                     Unprecedented Promotional Activity                investment in marketing and promotion
                               40%

                                                                                   •   Promotional events have low success rate
    Percent Product on Promo




                               39%



                               38%

                                                                                 Implication
                               37%



                               36%

                                                                                   •   Clarity on customer profitability needed to identify
                               35%
                                      Jan                          Jan     Apr         “hidden investments”
                                     2006                         2009    2010

                                                                                   •   Strong post and pre-evaluation disciplines
                                                                                       needed around investment activity




2                                                                                                                     © 2011 Deloitte The Netherlands
In addition, changes in the structure of the market are creating unique
challenges for CPG companies (2/6)


                                                                                         Comment
“Cross-border and cross-channel trade is increasing”


                                                                                           • Pan-European procurement contracts have the
                                                                                             potential to become increasingly common
                      Pan European grocery retailers
                                                                                           • Increasing risk that prices will be levelled-down to
                                                                     Sales from
              Company
                                     Sales from Overseas
                                                                     Overseas
                                                                                             the lowest price across geographies and channels
                                           2007 (%)
                                                                      2013F(%)
    Delhaize Group                              76                        78
    Ahold                                       75                        79
    Metro Group                                 58                        72
    Carrefour                                   55                        64
                                                                                         Implication
    Schwarz Group                               52                        61
    Casino                                      38                        48
    Rewe Group                                  32                        40               • Specific strategies and tactics avoid “levelling down”
    Edeka                                        5                         2
                                                                                           • Cross-border account management processes in
    Note: Retailers listed in this table do not generate more than 75% of sales from a
    single channel; F - forecast.                                                            commercial operating model for key international
    Source: Planet Retail                                                                    accounts
                                                                                           • Methods and tools for tracking and managing the
                                                                                             grey market become more important




3                                                                                                                             © 2011 Deloitte The Netherlands
In addition, changes in the structure of the market are creating unique
challenges for CPG companies (3/6)


                                                           Comment
                       “The retailer is king”

                                                             • Top 5 grocers account for 50-80% of grocery spend
                                                               in most major European economies

                                                             • Retailers increasingly act as gatekeeper to the
    % market share of top five food retailers by country       consumer

                                                             • Retailers increasingly centralise and professionalise
                                                               procurement, demanding „more for less‟



                                                           Implication


                                                             • Trade programmes must deliver compelling category
                                                               proposition for the retailer
                                                             • Business account managers must have the right
                                                               capabilities and information
                                                   2003      • Trade terms need to deliver defensible and
                                                   2009        conditional pricing, while customers demand off-
                                                               invoice/fixed payments

Source: Mintel 2010 & 2004


4                                                                                               © 2011 Deloitte The Netherlands
In addition, changes in the structure of the market are creating unique
 challenges for CPG companies (4/6)


                 “Hard discounters are emerging                      Comment
                    as an important channel”
                                                                       • Discount retailers are outperforming growth trends in
                                                                         the FMCG sector as a whole

                                                                       • Challenging all other channels; cash/carry, super
      Global discount channel penetration by region:                     and hypermarkets, specialty and convenience stores
                       2009-2014F
                                                                       • Introducing new categories and brands to achieve
                                                        Central
                                                                         growing acceptance by consumers‟
                       Western                          & Eastern
                       Europe                           Europe
North                  2009: 12.5%                      2009: 5.3%
America                2014: 14.2%                      2014: 7.5%
2009: 1.9%                                                           Implication
2014: 2.0%



     Central &                                                         • Discount retailers offer huge volume sales
     South America                         Asia &
                             Africa &
     2009: 1.4%              Middle East   Oceania
     2014: 1.8%              2009: 0.9%    2009: 0.5%                  • The lower total cost to serve can be lowered by
                             2014: 1.1%    2014: 0.6%
                                                                         reduced account mgmt./field sales support required

                                                                       • Limited control possible over promotional activities


Source: Planet Retail 2010


 5                                                                                                        © 2011 Deloitte The Netherlands
In addition, changes in the structure of the market are creating unique
challenges for CPG companies (5/6)


                                                                                 Comment
         “There is significant private label activity”

                                                                                   • Expansion of private increases price competition,

                                                                                   • Many major retailers are undertaking SKU
                                                                                     rationalisation, carving out more space for private
     Private label penetration vs. concentration 2010                                label,
                                                           Switzerland             • Strongest private labels are becoming brands in their
                                              UK
                                                                                     own right‟
                                              Spain
                                                       Germany
                                Netherlands
                                                               Belgium
                                                      France
                                                                     Australia
                         USA                                                     Implication
                                               Canada
     India                   Italy                                          NZ
             Japan                                        South Africa
     China             Brazil                                                      • Work with retailers to create optimal category
             Russia   Mexico
                                                                                     solutions that serve both the retailer and supplier

                                                                                   • Understand true cost to serve, to protect and
                                                                                     improve margins

                                                                                   • Reach out directly to the consumer through new
                                                                                     channels, social media, brand loyalty programmes

Source: Planet Retail 2010


6                                                                                                                      © 2011 Deloitte The Netherlands
In addition, changes in the structure of the market are creating unique
challenges for CPG companies (6/6)


                                                              Comment
                “Commodity prices are rising”

                                                                • Margins are squeezed due to rising input costs and
                                                                  retailer demands for year-on-year price reductions in
                                                                  real terms

     Food, energy push up consumer prices
                                                                • Retailers accept price increases, but are at the same
     Wall Street Journal 17 Feb 2011                              time looking to protect and increase their own
                                                                  margins



             Retailers face struggle to pass on increase to   Implication
             consumers
             Financial Times17 Feb 2011
                                                                • Price and promotions synchronised with input costs,
                                                                  if price elasticity and category positioning allow it
                                                                • Proactive SKU rationalisation can optimise the
                                                                  product portfolio margin
                                                                • Shifting consumers to higher price, higher margin
                                                                  products has a key role in protecting and enhancing
                                                                  margins

Source: Planet Retail 2010


7                                                                                                  © 2011 Deloitte The Netherlands
Pricing & Profitability Management covers the full value chain from brand
owner to consumer


                      Price setting and pricing execution
    Brand owner
                      - Align trade/wholesale price setting
                      - Minimise margin leakage

                      Channel effectiveness
                      - Use consumer, shopper and customer insight to optimise the value
    Distributors        proposition and strengthen pricing
                      - Understand customer profitability and cost-to-serve and align trading
                        terms with channel and customer growth strategies

                      Promotional effectiveness
                      - Better aligning promotions with brand strategies and channel /
     Points of
                        customer characteristics
    Sale (POS)
                      - Establish rigorous pre and post evaluation disciplines


                      Point of purchase optimization
                      - Align consumer pricing strategy behind a clearly defined
    Consumers/          (premium/standard/ economy) brand architecture
     Shoppers
                      - Understand pricing elasticities by channel / outlet type and work with
                        customers to create win-win category business plans


8                                                                             © 2011 Deloitte The Netherlands
In a European context, this requires a careful understanding of Europe-wide
and country level considerations

                          Europe-wide                         Country level

                   • Increased transparency          • Different languages and culture
                     across borders                  • Differing levels of consumer
    Consumer       • Brand consistency          vs     requirements and sophistication
                   • Convergence on value            • Alternate value drivers



                   • Pan-European procurement
                     contracts                       • Localised promotion pressure
    Customer       • Standardised trade terms   vs   • Local trading practices
                   • Scale of pan-European           • Localised competitors
                     competitors


                   • Strength in pan-European        • Need for local/regional autonomy
                     initiatives                       in negotiations
      CPG          • Global/European                 • Need to recognise local
                                                vs
    company          standards/requirements            legislative differences in pricing,
                                                       discounting, promotions etc
                   • Minimising cross border
                     conflict                        • Minimising cross channel conflict




9                                                                        © 2011 Deloitte The Netherlands
The development of leading Pricing & Profitability Management capabilities
is a journey – with value unlocked along the way


                                                                                                Leading capabilities
                            Basic capabilities             Emerging capabilities

                                                        • Discrete price and promotion      • Integrated price and promotion
                      • Price and promotions              strategies                          strategy
        Strategy
                      • No investment differentiation   • Investment differentiated based • Investment aligned with most
                                                          on customer scale                 strategic customers / channels
                                                        • Prices set using historical     • Pricing using predictive
                      • Prices set using cost plus
                                                          analyses                          modeling and advanced
       Analytics      • Limited / no post-promo
                                                        • Promotions achieve minimum        statistics
                        analysis
                                                         ROI                                • Calculate “real ROI”

                                                        • Monitoring performance via        • Gaining real-time insights using
       Visibility     • Ad-hoc tracking and reporting
                                                          syndicated data                     retailer point-of-sale data

                                                                                            • Integrated go-to-market
                      • Silo‟ed organisation            • Dotted-line reporting to create
     Organisational                                                                           responsibilities
       Alignment
                        (Mkt = Pricing; Sales = Trade     shared go-to-market
                        Promos)                           responsibilities                  • Common incentives across
                                                                                              marketing and sales


       Execution      • Achieving targets at any cost   • Executing a business plan         • Managing full customer P&L



                                                        • High-level guardrails with        • Integration of guardrails with
      Governance      • Ad-hoc, when needed
                                                          semi-annual reviews                 standard performance reporting



10                                                                                                          © 2011 Deloitte The Netherlands
From our experience, there are six key areas upon which achieving optimal
Pricing and Profitability Management depends




                                                           Establish
                                     Deliver a
                                                        process design
                                    framework
                                                       that engages the
                                    for growth
                                                          sales force

                   Align business                                       Create a
                    and financial                                    simplified and
                    strategies to                                   defensible PPM
                    drive change                                       approach

                                                                                     Ensure
      Align leadership
                                                                                  programme is
      & communicate
                                                                                sustainable post-
     to customer base
                                                                                 implementation




                     Key Success Factors in Pricing & Profitability Management




11                                                                                © 2011 Deloitte The Netherlands
Disclaimer:
Deloitte refers to one or more of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu Limited, a UK private company limited by guarantee, and its network of member firms, each of which is a
legally separate and independent entity. Please see www.deloitte.com/about for a detailed description of the legal structure of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu Limited and
its member firms.
Deloitte provides audit, tax, consulting, and financial advisory services to public and private clients spanning multiple industries. With a globally connected network of
member firms in more than 140 countries, Deloitte brings world-class capabilities and deep local expertise to help clients succeed wherever they operate. Deloitte's
approximately 170,000 professionals are committed to becoming the standard of excellence.
This publication contains general information only, and none of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu Limited, Deloitte Global Services Limited, Deloitte Global Services
Holdings Limited, the Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu Verein, any of their member firms, or any of the foregoing‟s affiliates (collectively the “Deloitte Network”) are, by
means of this publication, rendering accounting, business, financial, investment, legal, tax, or other professional advice or services. This publication is not a substitute
for such professional advice or services, nor should it be used as a basis for any decision or action that may affect your finances or your business. Before making any
decision or taking any action that may affect your finances or your business, you should consult a qualified professional adviser. No entity in the Deloitte Network
shall be responsible for any loss whatsoever sustained by any person who relies on this publication.


                                                                                                                                            © 2011 Deloitte The Netherlands

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Smarter Customers Smarter Pricing Vdef

  • 1. Pricing Excellence Smarter consumers, smarter pricing Amsterdam Hilton, May 12, 2011
  • 2. Consumer mindsets are changing and both retailers and CPG companies need to be responsive to the challenges and opportunities this will create Implications for CPG Search for „value‟ Reassessing „values‟ companies Customers are: Social revolution through Companies need to: digital media • Increasingly focused on • Closely track, understand value and anticipate • Price sensitive, continuing Health and wellbeing • Recognise variation by to trade down and shop market and occasion around • Better understand • Continuing to emphasize opportunities for growth value for the medium term Sustainability and the green and value creation agenda • Still desiring convenience • Identify and develop new and indulgence products and execute with the trade Experiential purchases 1 © 2011 Deloitte The Netherlands
  • 3. In addition, changes in the structure of the market are creating unique challenges for CPG companies (1/6) Comment “Promotions are intensifying” • Promotional intensity is increasing • Retailers increasingly demand supplier Unprecedented Promotional Activity investment in marketing and promotion 40% • Promotional events have low success rate Percent Product on Promo 39% 38% Implication 37% 36% • Clarity on customer profitability needed to identify 35% Jan Jan Apr “hidden investments” 2006 2009 2010 • Strong post and pre-evaluation disciplines needed around investment activity 2 © 2011 Deloitte The Netherlands
  • 4. In addition, changes in the structure of the market are creating unique challenges for CPG companies (2/6) Comment “Cross-border and cross-channel trade is increasing” • Pan-European procurement contracts have the potential to become increasingly common Pan European grocery retailers • Increasing risk that prices will be levelled-down to Sales from Company Sales from Overseas Overseas the lowest price across geographies and channels 2007 (%) 2013F(%) Delhaize Group 76 78 Ahold 75 79 Metro Group 58 72 Carrefour 55 64 Implication Schwarz Group 52 61 Casino 38 48 Rewe Group 32 40 • Specific strategies and tactics avoid “levelling down” Edeka 5 2 • Cross-border account management processes in Note: Retailers listed in this table do not generate more than 75% of sales from a single channel; F - forecast. commercial operating model for key international Source: Planet Retail accounts • Methods and tools for tracking and managing the grey market become more important 3 © 2011 Deloitte The Netherlands
  • 5. In addition, changes in the structure of the market are creating unique challenges for CPG companies (3/6) Comment “The retailer is king” • Top 5 grocers account for 50-80% of grocery spend in most major European economies • Retailers increasingly act as gatekeeper to the % market share of top five food retailers by country consumer • Retailers increasingly centralise and professionalise procurement, demanding „more for less‟ Implication • Trade programmes must deliver compelling category proposition for the retailer • Business account managers must have the right capabilities and information 2003 • Trade terms need to deliver defensible and 2009 conditional pricing, while customers demand off- invoice/fixed payments Source: Mintel 2010 & 2004 4 © 2011 Deloitte The Netherlands
  • 6. In addition, changes in the structure of the market are creating unique challenges for CPG companies (4/6) “Hard discounters are emerging Comment as an important channel” • Discount retailers are outperforming growth trends in the FMCG sector as a whole • Challenging all other channels; cash/carry, super Global discount channel penetration by region: and hypermarkets, specialty and convenience stores 2009-2014F • Introducing new categories and brands to achieve Central growing acceptance by consumers‟ Western & Eastern Europe Europe North 2009: 12.5% 2009: 5.3% America 2014: 14.2% 2014: 7.5% 2009: 1.9% Implication 2014: 2.0% Central & • Discount retailers offer huge volume sales South America Asia & Africa & 2009: 1.4% Middle East Oceania 2014: 1.8% 2009: 0.9% 2009: 0.5% • The lower total cost to serve can be lowered by 2014: 1.1% 2014: 0.6% reduced account mgmt./field sales support required • Limited control possible over promotional activities Source: Planet Retail 2010 5 © 2011 Deloitte The Netherlands
  • 7. In addition, changes in the structure of the market are creating unique challenges for CPG companies (5/6) Comment “There is significant private label activity” • Expansion of private increases price competition, • Many major retailers are undertaking SKU rationalisation, carving out more space for private Private label penetration vs. concentration 2010 label, Switzerland • Strongest private labels are becoming brands in their UK own right‟ Spain Germany Netherlands Belgium France Australia USA Implication Canada India Italy NZ Japan South Africa China Brazil • Work with retailers to create optimal category Russia Mexico solutions that serve both the retailer and supplier • Understand true cost to serve, to protect and improve margins • Reach out directly to the consumer through new channels, social media, brand loyalty programmes Source: Planet Retail 2010 6 © 2011 Deloitte The Netherlands
  • 8. In addition, changes in the structure of the market are creating unique challenges for CPG companies (6/6) Comment “Commodity prices are rising” • Margins are squeezed due to rising input costs and retailer demands for year-on-year price reductions in real terms Food, energy push up consumer prices • Retailers accept price increases, but are at the same Wall Street Journal 17 Feb 2011 time looking to protect and increase their own margins Retailers face struggle to pass on increase to Implication consumers Financial Times17 Feb 2011 • Price and promotions synchronised with input costs, if price elasticity and category positioning allow it • Proactive SKU rationalisation can optimise the product portfolio margin • Shifting consumers to higher price, higher margin products has a key role in protecting and enhancing margins Source: Planet Retail 2010 7 © 2011 Deloitte The Netherlands
  • 9. Pricing & Profitability Management covers the full value chain from brand owner to consumer Price setting and pricing execution Brand owner - Align trade/wholesale price setting - Minimise margin leakage Channel effectiveness - Use consumer, shopper and customer insight to optimise the value Distributors proposition and strengthen pricing - Understand customer profitability and cost-to-serve and align trading terms with channel and customer growth strategies Promotional effectiveness - Better aligning promotions with brand strategies and channel / Points of customer characteristics Sale (POS) - Establish rigorous pre and post evaluation disciplines Point of purchase optimization - Align consumer pricing strategy behind a clearly defined Consumers/ (premium/standard/ economy) brand architecture Shoppers - Understand pricing elasticities by channel / outlet type and work with customers to create win-win category business plans 8 © 2011 Deloitte The Netherlands
  • 10. In a European context, this requires a careful understanding of Europe-wide and country level considerations Europe-wide Country level • Increased transparency • Different languages and culture across borders • Differing levels of consumer Consumer • Brand consistency vs requirements and sophistication • Convergence on value • Alternate value drivers • Pan-European procurement contracts • Localised promotion pressure Customer • Standardised trade terms vs • Local trading practices • Scale of pan-European • Localised competitors competitors • Strength in pan-European • Need for local/regional autonomy initiatives in negotiations CPG • Global/European • Need to recognise local vs company standards/requirements legislative differences in pricing, discounting, promotions etc • Minimising cross border conflict • Minimising cross channel conflict 9 © 2011 Deloitte The Netherlands
  • 11. The development of leading Pricing & Profitability Management capabilities is a journey – with value unlocked along the way Leading capabilities Basic capabilities Emerging capabilities • Discrete price and promotion • Integrated price and promotion • Price and promotions strategies strategy Strategy • No investment differentiation • Investment differentiated based • Investment aligned with most on customer scale strategic customers / channels • Prices set using historical • Pricing using predictive • Prices set using cost plus analyses modeling and advanced Analytics • Limited / no post-promo • Promotions achieve minimum statistics analysis ROI • Calculate “real ROI” • Monitoring performance via • Gaining real-time insights using Visibility • Ad-hoc tracking and reporting syndicated data retailer point-of-sale data • Integrated go-to-market • Silo‟ed organisation • Dotted-line reporting to create Organisational responsibilities Alignment (Mkt = Pricing; Sales = Trade shared go-to-market Promos) responsibilities • Common incentives across marketing and sales Execution • Achieving targets at any cost • Executing a business plan • Managing full customer P&L • High-level guardrails with • Integration of guardrails with Governance • Ad-hoc, when needed semi-annual reviews standard performance reporting 10 © 2011 Deloitte The Netherlands
  • 12. From our experience, there are six key areas upon which achieving optimal Pricing and Profitability Management depends Establish Deliver a process design framework that engages the for growth sales force Align business Create a and financial simplified and strategies to defensible PPM drive change approach Ensure Align leadership programme is & communicate sustainable post- to customer base implementation Key Success Factors in Pricing & Profitability Management 11 © 2011 Deloitte The Netherlands
  • 13. Disclaimer: Deloitte refers to one or more of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu Limited, a UK private company limited by guarantee, and its network of member firms, each of which is a legally separate and independent entity. Please see www.deloitte.com/about for a detailed description of the legal structure of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu Limited and its member firms. Deloitte provides audit, tax, consulting, and financial advisory services to public and private clients spanning multiple industries. With a globally connected network of member firms in more than 140 countries, Deloitte brings world-class capabilities and deep local expertise to help clients succeed wherever they operate. Deloitte's approximately 170,000 professionals are committed to becoming the standard of excellence. This publication contains general information only, and none of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu Limited, Deloitte Global Services Limited, Deloitte Global Services Holdings Limited, the Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu Verein, any of their member firms, or any of the foregoing‟s affiliates (collectively the “Deloitte Network”) are, by means of this publication, rendering accounting, business, financial, investment, legal, tax, or other professional advice or services. This publication is not a substitute for such professional advice or services, nor should it be used as a basis for any decision or action that may affect your finances or your business. Before making any decision or taking any action that may affect your finances or your business, you should consult a qualified professional adviser. No entity in the Deloitte Network shall be responsible for any loss whatsoever sustained by any person who relies on this publication. © 2011 Deloitte The Netherlands