SlideShare a Scribd company logo
1 of 90
BBA 2204 FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT

Stock Valuation
Stock Valuation
by
Stephen Ong
Visiting Fellow, Birmingham City
University Business School, UK
Visiting Professor, Shenzhen
Today’s Overview
Learning Goals
1.
2.
3.
4.

5.

6.
7-3

Differentiate between debt and equity.
Discuss the features of both common and preferred stock.
Describe the process of issuing common stock, including
venture capital, going public and the investment banker.
Understand the concept of market efficiency and basic stock
valuation using zero-growth, constant-growth, and variablegrowth models.
Discuss the free cash flow valuation model and the book
value, liquidation value, and price/earnings (P/E) multiple
approaches.
Explain the relationships among financial decisions, return,
risk, and the firm’s value.
Differences Between Debt and Equity

7-4

• Debt includes all borrowing incurred by a firm, including
bonds, and is repaid according to a fixed schedule of
payments.
• Equity consists of funds provided by the firm’s owners
(investors or stockholders) that are repaid subject to the
firm’s performance.
• Debt financing is obtained from creditors and equity
financing is obtained from investors who then become
part owners of the firm.
• Creditors (lenders or debtholders) have a legal right to be
repaid, whereas investors only have an expectation of
being repaid.
Table 7.1 Key Differences between
Debt and Equity Capital

7-5
Differences Between Debt and
Equity: Voice in Management

7-6

• Unlike creditors, holders of equity
(stockholders) are owners of the firm.
• Stockholders generally have voting rights
that permit them to select the firm’s
directors and vote on special issues.
• In contrast, debtholders do not receive
voting privileges but instead rely on the
firm’s contractual obligations to them to
be their voice.
Differences Between Debt and
Equity: Claims on Income and Assets
• Equity holders’ claims on income and assets are
secondary to the claims of creditors.
∗ Their claims on income cannot be paid until the
claims of all creditors, including both interest and
scheduled principal payments, have been satisfied.

• Because equity holders are the last to receive
distributions, they expect greater returns to
compensate them for the additional risk they
bear.
7-7
Matter of Fact
∗ How Are Assets Divided in Bankruptcy?
∗ According to the U.S. Securities and Exchange
Commission, in bankruptcy assets are divided up as
follows:

7-8

1. Secured Creditors – secured bank loans or secured bonds,
are paid first.
2. Unsecured Creditors – unsecured bank loans or unsecured
bonds, suppliers, or customers, have the next claim.
3. Equity holders – equity holders or the owners of the
company have the last claim on assets, and they may not
receive anything if the Secured and Unsecured Creditors’
claims are not fully rep aid.
Differences Between Debt and
Equity: Maturity
• Unlike debt, equity capital is a
permanent form of financing.
• Equity has no maturity date
and never has to be repaid by
the firm.
7-9
Differences Between Debt and
Equity: Tax Treatment

7-10

• Interest payments to debtholders are
treated as tax-deductible expenses by the
issuing firm.
• Dividend payments to a firm’s
stockholders are not tax-deductible.
• The tax deductibility of interest lowers the
corporation’s cost of debt financing,
further causing it to be lower than the cost
of equity financing.
Common and Preferred Stock:
Common Stock

• Common stockholders, who are sometimes referred to as
residual owners or residual claimants, are the true
owners of the firm.
• As residual owners, common stockholders receive what
is left—the residual—after all other claims on the firms
income and assets have been satisfied.
• They are assured of only one thing: that they cannot lose
any more than they have invested in the firm.
• Because of this uncertain position, common stockholders
expect to be compensated with adequate dividends and
ultimately, capital gains.

7-11
Common Stock: Ownership
• The common stock of a firm can be privately owned by an
private investors, closely owned by an individual investor
or a small group of investors, or publicly owned by a
broad group of investors.
• The shares of privately owned firms, which are typically
small corporations, are generally not traded; if the shares
are traded, the transactions are among private investors
and often require the firm’s consent.
• Large corporations are publicly owned, and their shares
are generally actively traded in the broker or dealer
markets .
7-12
Common Stock: Par Value
• The par value of common stock is an arbitrary value
established for legal purposes in the firm’s corporate
charter, and can be used to find the total number of
shares outstanding by dividing it into the book value of
common stock.
• When a firm sells news shares of common stock, the
par value of the shares sold is recorded in the capital
section of the balance sheet as part of common stock.
• At any time the total number of shares of common
stock outstanding can be found by dividing the book
value of common stock by the par value.
7-13
Common Stock: Preemptive
Rights
• A preemptive right allows common stockholders to
maintain their proportionate ownership in the
corporation when new shares are issued, thus protecting
them from dilution of their ownership.
• Dilution of ownership is a reduction in each previous
shareholder’s fractional ownership resulting from the
issuance of additional shares of common stock.
• Dilution of earnings is a reduction in each previous
shareholder’s fractional claim on the firm’s earnings
resulting from the issuance of additional shares of
common stock.

7-14
Common Stock: Preemptive Rights
(cont.)
• Rights are financial instruments that allow
stockholders to purchase additional shares at a
price below the market price, in direct proportion
to their number of owned shares.
• Rights are an important financing tool without
which shareholders would run the risk of losing
their proportionate control of the corporation.
• From the firm’s viewpoint, the use of rights
offerings to raise new equity capital may be less
costly than a public offering of stock.
7-15
Common Stock: Authorized,
Outstanding, and Issued Shares
• Authorized shares are the shares of common stock that
a firm’s corporate charter allows it to issue.
• Outstanding shares are issued shares of common stock
held by investors, this includes private and public
investors.
• Treasury stock are issued shares of common stock held
by the firm; often these shares have been repurchased by
the firm.
• Issued shares are shares of common stock that have
been put into circulation.
Issued shares = outstanding shares + treasury stock

7-16
Common Stock: Authorized,
Outstanding, and Issued Shares (cont.)
∗Golden Enterprises, a producer of medical
pumps, has the following stockholder’s equity
account on December 31st.

7-17
Common Stock: Voting Rights
• Generally, each share of common stock entitles its
holder to one vote in the election of directors and on
special issues.
• Votes are generally assignable and may be cast at the
annual stockholders’ meeting.
• A proxy statement is a statement transferring the votes
of a stockholder to another party.

7-18

∗ Because most small stockholders do not attend the annual
meeting to vote, they may sign a proxy statement transferring
their votes to another party.
∗ Existing management generally receives the stockholders’
proxies, because it is able to solicit them at company expense.
Common Stock: Voting Rights
(cont.)
• A proxy battle is an attempt by a nonmanagement group
to gain control of the management of a firm by soliciting
a sufficient number of proxy votes.
• Supervoting shares is stock that carries with it multiple
votes per share rather than the single vote per share
typically given on regular shares of common stock.
• Nonvoting common stock is common stock that carries
no voting rights; issued when the firm wishes to raise
capital through the sale of common stock but does not
want to give up its voting control.
7-19
Common Stock: Dividends
• The payment of dividends to the firm’s shareholders
is at the discretion of the company’s board of
directors.
• Dividends may be paid in cash, stock, or
merchandise.
• Common stockholders are not promised a dividend,
but they come to expect certain payments on the
basis of the historical dividend pattern of the firm.
• Before dividends are paid to common stockholders
any past due dividends owed to preferred
stockholders must be paid.

7-20
Common Stock:
International Stock Issues
• The international market for common stock is not as large
as that for international debt.
• However, cross-border issuance and trading of common
stock have increased dramatically during the past 30 years.
• Stock Issued in Foreign Markets

7-21

∗ A growing number of firms are beginning to list their stocks on
foreign markets.
∗ Issuing stock internationally both broadens the company’s
ownership base and helps it to integrate itself in the local business
environment.
∗ Locally traded stock can facilitate corporate acquisitions, because
shares can be used as an acceptable method of payment.
Common Stock: International Stock
Issues (cont.)
∗ Foreign Stocks in U.S. Markets
∗ American depositary receipts (ADRs) are dollardenominated receipts for the stocks of foreign companies
that are held by a U.S. financial institution overseas.
∗ American depositary shares (ADSs) are securities,
backed by American depositary receipts (ADRs), that
permit U.S. investors to hold shares of non-U.S.
companies and trade them in U.S. markets.
∗ ADSs are issued in dollars to U.S. investors and are
subject to U.S. securities laws.
∗ ADSs give investors the opportunity to diversify their
portfolios internationally.

7-22
Preferred Stock

• Preferred stock gives its holders certain privileges
that make them senior to common stockholders.
• Preferred stockholders are promised a fixed
periodic dividend, which is stated either as a
percentage or as a dollar amount.
• Par-value preferred stock is preferred stock with
a stated face value that is used with the specified
dividend percentage to determine the annual dollar
dividend.
• No-par preferred stock is preferred stock with no
stated face value but with a stated annual dollar
dividend.

7-23
Preferred Stock: Basic Rights of
Preferred Stockholders
• Preferred stock is often considered quasi-debt because,
much like interest on debt, it specifies a fixed periodic
payment (dividend).
• Preferred stock is unlike debt in that it has no maturity
date.
• Because they have a fixed claim on the firm’s income that
takes precedence over the claim of common stockholders,
preferred stockholders are exposed to less risk.
• Preferred stockholders are not normally given a voting
right, although preferred stockholders are sometimes
allowed to elect one member of the board of directors.

7-24
Preferred Stock:
Features of Preferred Stock
• Restrictive covenants including provisions about
passing dividends, the sale of senior securities,
mergers, sales of assets, minimum liquidity
requirements, and repurchases of common stock.
• Cumulative preferred stock is preferred stock for
which all passed (unpaid) dividends in arrears,
along with the current dividend, must be paid
before dividends can be paid to common
stockholders.
• Noncumulative preferred stock is preferred stock
for which passed (unpaid) dividends do not
accumulate.

7-25
Preferred Stock: Features of Preferred
Stock (cont.)
• A callable feature is a feature of callable
preferred stock that allows the issuer to
retire the shares within a certain period time
and at a specified price.
• A conversion feature is a feature of
convertible preferred stock that allows
holders to change each share into a stated
number of shares of common stock.
7-26
Issuing Common Stock
• Initial financing for most firms typically comes
from a firm’s original founders in the form of a
common
stock investment.
• Early stage debt or equity investors are unlikely
to make an investment in a firm unless the
founders also have a personal stake in the
business.
• Initial non-founder financing usually comes first
from private equity investors.
• After establishing itself, a firm will often “go
public” by issuing shares of stock to a much
broader group.

7-27
Issuing Common Stock:
Venture Capital

• Venture capital is privately raised external equity
capital used to fund early-stage firms with attractive
growth prospects.
• Venture capitalists (VCs) are providers of venture
capital; typically, formal businesses that maintain
strong oversight over the firms they invest in and that
have clearly defined exit strategies.
• Angel capitalists (angels) are wealthy individual
investors who do not operate as a business but invest in
promising early-stage companies in exchange for a
portion of the firm’s equity.
7-28
Table 7.2 Organization of Institutional
Venture Capital Investors

7-29
Venture Capital:
Deal Structure and Pricing

• Venture capital investments are made under legal
contracts that clearly allocate responsibilities and
ownership interests between existing owners
(founders) and the VC fund or limited partnership
• Terms depend on factors related to the (a)
original founders, (b) business structure, (c) stage
of development, and (d) other market and timing
issues.
• Specific financial terms depend upon (a) the
value of the enterprise, (b) the amount of funding
required, and (c) the perceived risk of the
investment.

7-30
Venture Capital: Deal Structure
and Pricing (cont.)

• To control the VC’s risk, various covenants are
included in agreements and the actual funding
provided may be staggered based on the
achievement of measurable milestones.
• The contract will also have a defined exit
strategy.
• The amount of equity to which the VC is
entitled depends on (a) the value of the firm, (b)
the terms of the contract, (c) the exit terms, and
(d) minimum compound annual rate of return
required by the VC on its investment.

7-31
Going Public
∗When a firm wishes to sell its stock in the
primary market, it has three alternatives.
1. A public offering, in which it offers its shares for
sale to the general public.
2. A rights offering, in which new shares are sold to
existing shareholders.
3. A private placement, in which the firm sells new
securities directly to an investor or a group of
investors.

∗Here we focus on the initial public offering
(IPO), which is the first public sale of a firm’s
stock.

7-32
Going Public (cont.)

• IPOs are typically made by small, fast-growing
companies that either:
∗ require additional capital to continue expanding, or
∗ have met a milestone for going public that was
established in a contract to obtain VC funding.

• The firm must obtain approval of current
shareholders, and hire an investment bank to
underwrite the offering.
• The investment banker is responsible for
promoting the stock and facilitating the sale of
the company’s IPO shares.

7-33
Going Public (cont.)

• The company must file a registration statement
with the SEC.
• The prospectus is a portion of a security
registration statement that describes the key
aspects of the issue, the issuer, and its
management and financial position.
• A red herring is a preliminary prospectus made
available to prospective investors during the
waiting period between the registration
statement’s filing with the SEC and its approval.

7-34
Figure 7.1 Cover of a Preliminary
Prospectus for a Stock Issue

7-35
Going Public (cont.)

• Investment bankers and company officials
promote the company through a road show, a
series of presentations to potential investors
around the country and sometimes overseas.
• This helps investment bankers gauge the
demand for the offering which helps them to
set the initial offer price.
• After the underwriter sets the terms, the SEC
must approve the offering.
7-36
Going Public:
The Investment Banker’s Role
• An investment banker is a financial intermediary that
specializes in selling new security issues and advising firms
with regard to major financial transactions.
• Underwriting is the role of the investment banker in bearing
the risk of reselling, at a profit, the securities purchased from
an issuing corporation at an agreed-on price.
• This process involves purchasing the security issue from the
issuing corporation at an agreed-on price and bearing the
risk of reselling it to the public at a profit.
• The investment banker also provides the issuer with advice
about pricing and other important aspects of the issue.
7-37
Going Public: The Investment
Banker’s Role (cont.)

• An underwriting syndicate is a group of other
bankers formed by an investment banker to share the
financial risk associated with underwriting new
securities.
• The syndicate shares the financial risk associated
with buying the entire issue from the issuer and
reselling the new securities to the public.
• The selling group is a large number of brokerage
firms that join the originating investment banker(s);
each accepts responsibility for selling a certain
portion of a new security issue on a commission
basis.
7-38
Figure 7.2 The Selling Process for
a Large Security Issue

7-39
Going Public: The Investment
Banker’s Role (cont.)

∗Compensation for underwriting and selling services
typically comes in the form of a discount on the sale
price of the securities.
∗ For example, an investment banker may pay the issuing
firm $24 per share for stock that will be sold for $26 per
share.
∗ The investment banker may then sell the shares to
members of the selling group for $25.25 per share. In
this case, the original investment banker earns $1.25 per
share ($25.25 sale price – $24 purchase price).
∗ The members of the selling group earn 75 cents for each
share they sell ($26 sale price – $25.25 purchase price).

7-40
Common Stock Valuation
• Common stockholders expect to be rewarded through
periodic cash dividends and an increasing share value.
• Some of these investors decide which stocks to buy and
sell based on a plan to maintain a broadly diversified
portfolio.
• Other investors have a more speculative motive for
trading.

∗ They try to spot companies whose shares are undervalued—
meaning that the true value of the shares is greater than the
current market price.
∗ These investors buy shares that they believe to be undervalued
and sell shares that they think are overvalued (i.e., the market
price is greater than the true value).

7-41
Common Stock Valuation:
Market Efficiency
• Economically rational buyers and sellers use their
assessment of an asset’s risk and return to determine its
value.
• In competitive markets with many active participants,
the interactions of many buyers and sellers result in an
equilibrium price—the market value—for each security.
• Because the flow of new information is almost constant,
stock prices fluctuate, continuously moving toward a
new equilibrium that reflects the most recent
information available. This general concept is known as
market efficiency.
7-42
Common Stock Valuation:
Market Efficiency
• The efficient-market hypothesis (EMH) is
a theory describing the behavior of an
assumed “perfect” market in which:

7-43

∗ securities are in equilibrium,
∗ security prices fully reflect all available
information and react swiftly to new
information, and
∗ because stocks are fully and fairly priced,
investors need not waste time looking for
mispriced securities.
Common Stock Valuation:
Market Efficiency

• Although considerable evidence supports the
concept of market efficiency, a growing body
of academic evidence has begun to cast doubt
on the validity of this notion.
• Behavioural finance is a growing body of
research that focuses on investor behaviour
and its impact on investment decisions and
stock prices. Advocates are commonly
referred to as “behaviourists.”

7-44
Focus on Practice

∗Understanding Human Behaviour Helps Us Understand
Investor Behaviour
∗ Regret theory deals with the emotional reaction people
experience after realizing they have made an error in
judgment.
∗ Some investors rationalize their decision to buy certain stocks
with “everyone else is doing it.” (Herding)
Herding
∗ People have a tendency to place particular events into mental
compartments, and the difference between these compartments
sometimes impacts behavior more than the events themselves.
∗ Prospect theory suggests that people express a different degree
of emotion toward gains than losses.
∗ Anchoring is the tendency of investors to place more value on
recent information.

7-45
Common Stock Valuation:
Basic Common Stock Valuation Equation
∗The value of a share of common stock is equal to
the present value of all future cash flows
(dividends) that it is expected to provide.

∗where
P0
Dt
∗
7-46

= value of common stock
= per-share dividend expected at the end of year
t
Rs = required return on common stock
P0 = value of common stock
Common Stock Valuation:
The Zero Growth Model

∗The zero dividend growth model assumes that the
stock will pay the same dividend each year, year
after year.

∗The equation shows that with zero growth, the
value of a share of stock would equal the present
value of a perpetuity of D1 dollars discounted at a

7-47
Personal Finance Example
• Chuck Swimmer estimates that the
dividend of Denham Company, an
established textile producer, is expected to
remain constant at $3 per share
indefinitely.
• If his required return on its stock is 15%,
the stock’s value is:
∗ $20 ($3 ÷ 0.15) per share
7-48
Common Stock Valuation:
Constant-Growth Model

∗The constant-growth model is a widely cited
dividend valuation approach that assumes that
dividends will grow at a constant rate, but a rate that is
less than the required return.

∗The Gordon model is a common name for the
constant-growth model that is widely cited in dividend
valuation.
7-49
Common Stock Valuation:
Constant-Growth Model (cont.)

∗Lamar Company, a small cosmetics company, paid
the following per share dividends:

7-50
Common Stock Valuation:
Constant-Growth Model (cont.)

∗Using a financial calculator or a spreadsheet,
we find that the historical annual growth rate
of Lamar Company dividends equals 7%.

7-51
Common Stock Valuation:
Variable-Growth Model

• The zero- and constant-growth common
stock models do not allow for any shift in
expected growth rates.
• The variable-growth model is a dividend
valuation approach that allows for a change
in the dividend growth rate.
• To determine the value of a share of stock
in the case of variable growth, we use a
four-step procedure.

7-52
Common Stock Valuation:
Variable-Growth Model (cont.)

∗Step 1. Find the value of the cash
dividends at the end of each year, Dt, during
the initial growth period, years 1 though N.
D
∗Dt = D0 × (1 + g1)t

7-53
Common Stock Valuation:
Variable-Growth Model (cont.)

∗Step 2. Find the present value of the
dividends expected during the initial growth
period.

7-54
Common Stock Valuation:
Variable-Growth Model (cont.)
∗Step 3. Find the value of the stock at the end of the
initial growth period, PN = (DN+1)/(rs – g2), which is the
present value of all dividends expected from year N
+ 1 to infinity, assuming a constant dividend growth
rate, g2.

7-55
Common Stock Valuation:
Variable-Growth Model (cont.)
∗Step 4. Add the present value components
found in Steps 2 and 3 to find the value of
the stock, P0.

7-56
Common Stock Valuation:
Variable-Growth Model (cont.)
∗The most recent annual (2012) dividend payment of
Warren Industries, a rapidly growing boat
manufacturer, was $1.50 per share. The firm’s
financial manager expects that these dividends will
increase at a 10% annual rate, g1, over the next three
years. At the end of three years (the end of 2015), the
firm’s mature product line is expected to result in a
slowing of the dividend growth rate to 5% per year,
g2, for the foreseeable future. The firm’s required
return, rs, is 15%.

7-57
Table 7.3 Calculation of Present Value of
Warren Industries Dividends (2013–2015)

7-58
Common Stock Valuation:
Variable-Growth Model (cont.)
∗Step 3. The value of the stock at the end of the
initial growth period (N = 2015) can be found by
first calculating DN+1 = D2016.
∗D2016 = D2015 × (1 + 0.05) = $2.00 × (1.05) = $2.10
∗By using D2016 = $2.10, a 15% required return, and a
5% dividend growth rate, we can calculate the value
of the stock at the end of 2015 as follows:
∗P2015 = D2016 / (rs – g2) = $2.10 / (.15 – .05) = $21.00
7-59
Common Stock Valuation:
Variable-Growth Model (cont.)

∗Step 3 (cont.) Finally, the share value of $21
at the end of 2015 must be converted into a
present (end of 2012) value.
∗P2015 / (1 + rs)3 = $21 / (1 + 0.15)3 = $13.81
∗Step 4. Adding the PV of the initial dividend
stream (found in Step 2) to the PV of the
stock at the end of the initial growth period
(found in Step 3), we get:
∗P2012 = $4.14 + $13.82 = $17.93 per share

7-60
Common Stock Valuation:
Free Cash Flow Valuation Model

∗A free cash flow valuation model determines the value
of an entire company as the present value of its expected
free cash flows discounted at the firm’s weighted average
cost of capital, which is its expected average future cost of
funds over the long run.

∗where

7-61

VC = value of the entire company
FCFt = free cash flow expected at the end of year t end of year t
ra = the firm’s weighted average cost of capital
Common Stock Valuation:
Free Cash Flow Valuation Model (cont.)

∗Because the value of the entire company, VC,
is the market value of the entire enterprise
(that is, of all assets), to find common stock
value, VS, we must subtract the market value
of all of the firm’s debt, VD, and the market
value of preferred stock, VP, from VC.

7-62

V
∗VS = VC – VD – VP
Table 7.4 Dewhurst, Inc.’s Data for
the Free Cash Flow Valuation Model

7-63
Common Stock Valuation:
Free Cash Flow Valuation Model (cont.)
∗Step 1. Calculate the present value of the
free cash flow occurring from the end of 2018
to infinity, measured at the beginning of 2018.

7-64
Common Stock Valuation:
Free Cash Flow Valuation Model (cont.)
∗Step 2. Add the present value of the FCF from
2018 to infinity, which is measured at the end of
2017, to the 2017 FCF value to get the total FCF in
2017.
∗Total FCF2017 = $600,000 + $10,300,000 =
$10,900,000
∗Step 3. Find the sum of the present values of the
FCFs for 2013 through 2017 to determine the value
of the entire company, VC. This step is detailed in
Table 7.5 on the following slide.

7-65
Table 7.5 Calculation of the Value of the
Entire Company for Dewhurst, Inc.

7-66
Common Stock Valuation:
Free Cash Flow Valuation Model (cont.)

∗Step 4. Calculate the value of the common
stock.
∗VS = $8,626,426 – $3,100,000 – $800,000 =
$4,726,426
∗The value of Dewhurst’s common stock is
therefore estimated to be $4,726,426. By
dividing this total by the 300,000 shares of
common stock that the firm has outstanding,
we get a common stock value of $15.76 per
share ($4,726,426 ÷ 300,000).

7-67
Common Stock Valuation:
Other Approaches to Stock Valuation
• Book value per share is the amount per share of
common stock that would be received if all of the
firm’s assets were sold for their exact book
(accounting) value and the proceeds remaining after
paying all liabilities (including preferred stock) were
divided among the common stockholders.
• This method lacks sophistication and can be criticized
on the basis of its reliance on historical balance sheet
data.
• It ignores the firm’s expected earnings potential and
generally lacks any true relationship to the firm’s value
in the marketplace.

7-68
Common Stock Valuation: Other
Approaches to Stock Valuation (cont.)
∗At year-end 2012, Lamar Company’s
balance sheet shows total assets of $6
million, total liabilities (including preferred
stock) of $4.5 million, and 100,000 shares of
common stock outstanding. Its book value
per share therefore would be

7-69
Common Stock Valuation: Other
Approaches to Stock Valuation (cont.)

• Liquidation value per share is the actual amount
per share of common stock that would be received if
all of the firm’s assets were sold for their market
value, liabilities (including preferred stock) were
paid, and any remaining money were divided among
the common stockholders.
• This measure is more realistic than book value
because it is based on current market values of the
firm’s assets.
• However, it still fails to consider the earning power
of those assets.
7-70
Common Stock Valuation: Other
Approaches to Stock Valuation (cont.)

∗Lamar Company found upon investigation
that it could obtain only $5.25 million if it
sold its assets today. The firm’s liquidation
value per share therefore would be

7-71
Common Stock Valuation: Other
Approaches to Stock Valuation (cont.)
• The price/earnings (P/E) ratio reflects the
amount investors are willing to pay for each
dollar of earnings.
• The price/earnings multiple approach is a
popular technique used to estimate the
firm’s share value; calculated by
multiplying the firm’s expected earnings per
share (EPS) by the average price/earnings
(P/E) ratio for the industry.

7-72
Common Stock Valuation: Other
Approaches to Stock Valuation (cont.)
∗Lamar Company is expected to earn $2.60
per share next year (2013). Assuming a
industry average P/E ratio of 7, the firms per
share value would be
∗$2.60 × 7 = $18.20 per share
7-73
Focus on Ethics
∗Psst—Have You Heard Any Good Quarterly Earnings
Forecasts Lately?

7-74

∗ Companies used earnings guidance to lower analysts’ estimates;
when the actual numbers came in higher, their stock prices
jumped.
∗ The practice reached a fever pitch during the late 1990s when
companies that missed the consensus earnings estimate, even by
just a penny, saw their stock prices tumble.
∗ In March 2007 the CFA Centre for Financial Market Integrity
and the Business Roundtable Institute for Corporate Ethics
proposed a template for quarterly earnings reports that would, in
their view, obviate the need for earnings guidance.
∗ What are some of the real costs a company must face in
preparing quarterly earnings guidance?
Matter of Fact

∗ Problems with P/E Valuation

7-75

∗ The P/E multiple approach is a fast and easy way to
estimate a stock’s value.
∗ However, P/E ratios vary widely over time.
∗ Therefore, analysts using the P/E approach in the
1980s would have come up with much lower estimates
of value than analysts using the model 20 years later.
∗ In other words, when using this approach to estimate
stock values, the estimate will depend more on
whether stock market valuations are high or low rather
than on whether the particular company is doing well
or not.
Figure 7.3 Decision Making and
Stock Value

7-76
Decision Making and Common Stock
Value: Changes in Expected Dividends
• Assuming that economic conditions remain
stable, any management action that would cause
current and prospective stockholders to raise
their dividend expectations should increase the
firm’s value.
• Therefore, any action of the financial manager
that will increase the level of expected dividends
without changing risk (the required return)
should be undertaken, because it will positively
affect owners’ wealth.

7-77
Decision Making and Common Stock
Value: Changes in Expected Dividends
(cont.)

∗Assume that Lamar Company announced a
major technological breakthrough that would
revolutionize its industry. Current and prospective
stockholders expect that although the dividend
next year, D1, will remain at $1.50, the expected
rate of growth thereafter will increase from
7% to 9%.

7-78
Decision Making and Common
Stock Value: Changes in Risk

• Any measure of required return consists of two
components: a risk-free rate and a risk premium. We
expressed this relationship as in the previous chapter,
which we repeat here in terms of rs:

• Any action taken by the financial manager that increases
the risk shareholders must bear will also increase the risk
premium required by shareholders, and hence the required
return.
• Additionally, the required return can be affected by
changes in the risk free rate—even if the risk premium

7-79
Decision Making and Common Stock
Value: Changes in Risk (cont.)
∗Assume that Lamar Company manager
makes a decision that, without changing
expected dividends, causes the firm’s risk
premium to increase to 7%. Assuming that
the risk-free rate remains at 9%, the new
required return on Lamar stock will be 16%
(9% + 7%).

7-80
Decision Making and Common
Stock Value: Combined Effect

∗If we assume that the two changes
illustrated for Lamar Company in the
preceding examples occur
simultaneously, the key variable values
would be D1 = $1.50, rs = 0.16, and g =
0.09.
7-81
Review of Learning Goals
Differentiate between debt and equity.
∗ Holders of equity capital (common and preferred stock) are owners of the
firm. Typically, only common stockholders have a voice in management.
Equity holders’ claims on income and assets are secondary to creditors’
claims, there is no maturity date, and dividends paid to stockholders are
not tax-deductible.

Discuss the features of both common and preferred stock.

7-82

∗ The common stock of a firm can be privately owned, closely owned, or
publicly owned. It can be sold with or without a par value. Preemptive
rights allow common stockholders to avoid dilution of ownership when
new shares are issued. Some firms have two or more classes of common
stock that differ mainly in having unequal voting rights. Proxies transfer
voting rights from one party to another. The decision to pay dividends to
common stockholders is made by the firm’s board of directors.
∗ Preferred stockholders have preference over common stockholders with
respect to the distribution of earnings and assets. They do not normally
have voting privileges. Preferred stock issues may have certain restrictive
covenants, cumulative dividends, a call feature, and a conversion feature.
Review of Learning Goals (cont.)
Describe the process of issuing common stock, including
venture capital, going public, and the investment
banker.
∗ The initial nonfounder financing for business startups with attractive
growth prospects typically comes from private equity investors. These
investors can be either angel capitalists or venture capitalists (VCs).
∗ The first public issue of a firm’s stock is called an initial public
offering (IPO). The company selects an investment banker to advise it
and to sell the securities. The lead investment banker may form a
selling syndicate with other investment bankers. The IPO process
includes getting SEC approval, promoting the offering to investors,
and pricing the issue.

7-83
Review of Learning Goals (cont.)
Understand the concept of market efficiency and basic
stock valuation using zero-growth, constantgrowth, and variable-growth models.
∗ Market efficiency assumes that the quick reactions of rational investors
to new information cause the market value of common stock to adjust
upward or downward quickly.
∗ The value of a share of stock is the present value of all future dividends
it is expected to provide over an infinite time horizon. Three dividend
growth models—zero-growth, constant-growth, and variable-growth—
can be considered in common stock valuation. The most widely cited
model is the constant-growth model.

7-84
Review of Learning Goals (cont.)
Discuss the free cash flow valuation model and the
book value, liquidation value, and price/earnings (P/E)
multiple approaches.

7-85

∗ The free cash flow valuation model finds the value of the entire company
by discounting the firm’s expected free cash flow at its weighted average
cost of capital. The common stock value is found by subtracting the
market values of the firm’s debt and preferred stock from the value of the
entire company.
∗ Book value per share is the amount per share of common stock that
would be received if all of the firm’s assets were sold for their exact book
(accounting) value and the proceeds remaining after paying all liabilities
(including preferred stock) were divided among the common stockholders.
∗ Liquidation value per share is the actual amount per share of common
stock that would be received if all of the firm’s assets were sold for their
market value, liabilities (including preferred stock) were paid, and the
remaining money were divided among the common stockholders.
∗ The price/earnings (P/E) multiple approach estimates stock value by
multiplying the firm’s expected earnings per share (EPS) by the average
price/earnings (P/E) ratio for the industry.
Review of Learning Goals (cont.)
Explain the relationships among financial decisions,
return, risk, and the firm’s value.
∗ In a stable economy, any action of the financial
manager that increases the level of expected
dividends without changing risk should increase
share value; any action that reduces the level of
expected dividends without changing risk should
reduce share value. Similarly, any action that
increases risk (required return) will reduce share
value; any action that reduces risk will increase share
value. An assessment of the combined effect of
return and risk on stock value must be part of the
financial decision-making process.
7-86
Integrative Case: Encore
International

7-87
a.
b.
c.
d.
e.

f.
7-88

Integrative Case: Encore
International

What is the firm’s current book value per share?
What is the firm’s current P/E ratio?
What is the current required return for Encore stock? What will be the new
required return for Encore stock assuming that they expand into European
and Latin American markets as planned?
If the securities analysts are correct and there is no growth in future
dividends, what will be the value per share of the Encore stock? (Note: use
the new required return on the company’s stock here)
If Jordan Ellis’s predictions are correct, what will be the value per share of
Encore stock if the firm maintains a constant annual 6% growth rate in
future dividends? (Note: Continue to use the new required return here.) If
Jordan Ellis’s predictions are correct, what will be the value per share of
Encore stock if the firm maintains a constant annual 8% growth rate in
dividends per share over the next 2 years and 6% thereafter?
Compare the current (2012) price of the stock and the stock values found in
parts a, d, and e. Discuss why these values may differ. Which valuation
method do you believe most clearly represents the true value of the Encore
stock?
Further Reading
∗ Gitman, Lawrence J. and Zutter ,Chad
J.(2013) Principles of Managerial
Finance, Pearson,13th Edition
∗ Brooks,Raymond (2013) Financial
Management: Core Concepts ,
Pearson, 2th edition
1 - 89
Questions?

More Related Content

What's hot

Fm11 ch 01 overview of financial management and the financial environment
Fm11 ch 01 overview of financial management and the financial environmentFm11 ch 01 overview of financial management and the financial environment
Fm11 ch 01 overview of financial management and the financial environment
Nhu Tuyet Tran
 
Chapter I-Intro to Quantitative Analysis
Chapter I-Intro to Quantitative AnalysisChapter I-Intro to Quantitative Analysis
Chapter I-Intro to Quantitative Analysis
meladariel
 
Reason of merger
Reason of mergerReason of merger
Reason of merger
Dharmik
 

What's hot (20)

Japanese Model
Japanese ModelJapanese Model
Japanese Model
 
Models of Corporate Governance
Models of Corporate GovernanceModels of Corporate Governance
Models of Corporate Governance
 
Fm11 ch 01 overview of financial management and the financial environment
Fm11 ch 01 overview of financial management and the financial environmentFm11 ch 01 overview of financial management and the financial environment
Fm11 ch 01 overview of financial management and the financial environment
 
Chapter 05 Ethics and Social Responsibility
Chapter 05 Ethics and Social ResponsibilityChapter 05 Ethics and Social Responsibility
Chapter 05 Ethics and Social Responsibility
 
Stock Valuation
Stock ValuationStock Valuation
Stock Valuation
 
Business Ethics and social responsibilities presentation
Business Ethics and social responsibilities presentation Business Ethics and social responsibilities presentation
Business Ethics and social responsibilities presentation
 
Social Responsibility and Ethics in Strategic Management
Social Responsibility and Ethics in Strategic ManagementSocial Responsibility and Ethics in Strategic Management
Social Responsibility and Ethics in Strategic Management
 
Anglo-American Model
Anglo-American ModelAnglo-American Model
Anglo-American Model
 
Financial Management Slides Ch 17
Financial Management Slides Ch 17Financial Management Slides Ch 17
Financial Management Slides Ch 17
 
Abrams company case Anaysis
Abrams company case AnaysisAbrams company case Anaysis
Abrams company case Anaysis
 
Wheelan 14e ch01
Wheelan 14e ch01Wheelan 14e ch01
Wheelan 14e ch01
 
Chapter I-Intro to Quantitative Analysis
Chapter I-Intro to Quantitative AnalysisChapter I-Intro to Quantitative Analysis
Chapter I-Intro to Quantitative Analysis
 
Financial Management Slides Ch 18
Financial Management Slides Ch 18Financial Management Slides Ch 18
Financial Management Slides Ch 18
 
Chap011
Chap011Chap011
Chap011
 
Managing Current Liabilities (Gitman)
Managing Current Liabilities (Gitman)Managing Current Liabilities (Gitman)
Managing Current Liabilities (Gitman)
 
8. stock valuation
8. stock valuation8. stock valuation
8. stock valuation
 
Rsh qam11 ch09 ge
Rsh qam11 ch09 geRsh qam11 ch09 ge
Rsh qam11 ch09 ge
 
Entry strategy and strategic alliances ppt
Entry strategy and strategic alliances pptEntry strategy and strategic alliances ppt
Entry strategy and strategic alliances ppt
 
Financial Statement Analysis
Financial Statement AnalysisFinancial Statement Analysis
Financial Statement Analysis
 
Reason of merger
Reason of mergerReason of merger
Reason of merger
 

Similar to Bba 2204 fin mgt week 7 stock valuation

Financial accounting project of issue of shares
Financial accounting project of issue of sharesFinancial accounting project of issue of shares
Financial accounting project of issue of shares
Deepali Mhatre
 
Winsem2012 13 cp1056-08-jan-2013_rm01_lecture-2--financing-the-corporate-venture
Winsem2012 13 cp1056-08-jan-2013_rm01_lecture-2--financing-the-corporate-ventureWinsem2012 13 cp1056-08-jan-2013_rm01_lecture-2--financing-the-corporate-venture
Winsem2012 13 cp1056-08-jan-2013_rm01_lecture-2--financing-the-corporate-venture
Rahul Kakodkar
 
Funding option for mergers & acquision
Funding option for mergers & acquisionFunding option for mergers & acquision
Funding option for mergers & acquision
hkhirani
 
share and debentures
share and debenturesshare and debentures
share and debentures
akanksha91
 
share and debentures
share and debenturesshare and debentures
share and debentures
akanksha91
 

Similar to Bba 2204 fin mgt week 7 stock valuation (20)

FIN Chapter 7.ppt
FIN  Chapter 7.pptFIN  Chapter 7.ppt
FIN Chapter 7.ppt
 
Ch6 finance feasibility study
Ch6 finance feasibility studyCh6 finance feasibility study
Ch6 finance feasibility study
 
Financial accounting project of issue of shares
Financial accounting project of issue of sharesFinancial accounting project of issue of shares
Financial accounting project of issue of shares
 
Source of Funds
Source of FundsSource of Funds
Source of Funds
 
Presentation 1.pdf
Presentation 1.pdfPresentation 1.pdf
Presentation 1.pdf
 
Project financing
Project financingProject financing
Project financing
 
Long term sources of finance
Long term sources of financeLong term sources of finance
Long term sources of finance
 
Capital market-instrument
Capital market-instrumentCapital market-instrument
Capital market-instrument
 
Capital market instrument
Capital market instrumentCapital market instrument
Capital market instrument
 
Sources of finance
Sources of financeSources of finance
Sources of finance
 
INDIAN CORPORATE: FINANCIAL OVERSEAS SOURCES
INDIAN CORPORATE: FINANCIAL OVERSEAS SOURCESINDIAN CORPORATE: FINANCIAL OVERSEAS SOURCES
INDIAN CORPORATE: FINANCIAL OVERSEAS SOURCES
 
Chapter 7
Chapter 7Chapter 7
Chapter 7
 
Chapter 14 corporate financing
Chapter 14 corporate financingChapter 14 corporate financing
Chapter 14 corporate financing
 
Chapter 14: Corporation Accounting
Chapter 14: Corporation Accounting Chapter 14: Corporation Accounting
Chapter 14: Corporation Accounting
 
Investment management chapter 6 investing in stocks and bonds
Investment management chapter 6 investing in stocks and bondsInvestment management chapter 6 investing in stocks and bonds
Investment management chapter 6 investing in stocks and bonds
 
Winsem2012 13 cp1056-08-jan-2013_rm01_lecture-2--financing-the-corporate-venture
Winsem2012 13 cp1056-08-jan-2013_rm01_lecture-2--financing-the-corporate-ventureWinsem2012 13 cp1056-08-jan-2013_rm01_lecture-2--financing-the-corporate-venture
Winsem2012 13 cp1056-08-jan-2013_rm01_lecture-2--financing-the-corporate-venture
 
Funding option for mergers & acquision
Funding option for mergers & acquisionFunding option for mergers & acquision
Funding option for mergers & acquision
 
Mutual fund
Mutual fundMutual fund
Mutual fund
 
share and debentures
share and debenturesshare and debentures
share and debentures
 
share and debentures
share and debenturesshare and debentures
share and debentures
 

More from Stephen Ong

More from Stephen Ong (20)

Tcm step 3 venture assessment
Tcm step 3 venture assessmentTcm step 3 venture assessment
Tcm step 3 venture assessment
 
Tcm step 2 market needs analysis
Tcm step 2 market needs analysisTcm step 2 market needs analysis
Tcm step 2 market needs analysis
 
Tcm step 1 technology analysis
Tcm step 1 technology analysisTcm step 1 technology analysis
Tcm step 1 technology analysis
 
Tcm Workshop 1 Technology analysis
Tcm Workshop 1 Technology analysisTcm Workshop 1 Technology analysis
Tcm Workshop 1 Technology analysis
 
Tcm step 3 venture assessment
Tcm step 3 venture assessmentTcm step 3 venture assessment
Tcm step 3 venture assessment
 
Tcm step 2 market needs analysis
Tcm step 2 market needs analysisTcm step 2 market needs analysis
Tcm step 2 market needs analysis
 
Tcm step 1 technology analysis
Tcm step 1 technology analysisTcm step 1 technology analysis
Tcm step 1 technology analysis
 
Tcm concept discovery stage introduction
Tcm concept discovery stage introductionTcm concept discovery stage introduction
Tcm concept discovery stage introduction
 
Mod001093 german sme hidden champions 120415
Mod001093 german sme hidden champions 120415Mod001093 german sme hidden champions 120415
Mod001093 german sme hidden champions 120415
 
Tbs910 linear programming
Tbs910 linear programmingTbs910 linear programming
Tbs910 linear programming
 
Mod001093 family businesses 050415
Mod001093 family businesses 050415Mod001093 family businesses 050415
Mod001093 family businesses 050415
 
Gs503 vcf lecture 8 innovation finance ii 060415
Gs503 vcf lecture 8 innovation finance ii 060415Gs503 vcf lecture 8 innovation finance ii 060415
Gs503 vcf lecture 8 innovation finance ii 060415
 
Gs503 vcf lecture 7 innovation finance i 300315
Gs503 vcf lecture 7 innovation finance i 300315Gs503 vcf lecture 7 innovation finance i 300315
Gs503 vcf lecture 7 innovation finance i 300315
 
Tbs910 regression models
Tbs910 regression modelsTbs910 regression models
Tbs910 regression models
 
Tbs910 sampling hypothesis regression
Tbs910 sampling hypothesis regressionTbs910 sampling hypothesis regression
Tbs910 sampling hypothesis regression
 
Mod001093 intrapreneurship 290315
Mod001093 intrapreneurship 290315Mod001093 intrapreneurship 290315
Mod001093 intrapreneurship 290315
 
Gs503 vcf lecture 6 partial valuation ii 160315
Gs503 vcf lecture 6 partial valuation ii  160315Gs503 vcf lecture 6 partial valuation ii  160315
Gs503 vcf lecture 6 partial valuation ii 160315
 
Gs503 vcf lecture 5 partial valuation i 140315
Gs503 vcf lecture 5 partial valuation i  140315Gs503 vcf lecture 5 partial valuation i  140315
Gs503 vcf lecture 5 partial valuation i 140315
 
Mod001093 context of sme 220315
Mod001093 context of sme 220315Mod001093 context of sme 220315
Mod001093 context of sme 220315
 
Mod001093 from innovation business model to startup 140315
Mod001093 from innovation business model to startup 140315Mod001093 from innovation business model to startup 140315
Mod001093 from innovation business model to startup 140315
 

Recently uploaded

Call Girls In Noida 959961⊹3876 Independent Escort Service Noida
Call Girls In Noida 959961⊹3876 Independent Escort Service NoidaCall Girls In Noida 959961⊹3876 Independent Escort Service Noida
Call Girls In Noida 959961⊹3876 Independent Escort Service Noida
dlhescort
 
FULL ENJOY Call Girls In Majnu Ka Tilla, Delhi Contact Us 8377877756
FULL ENJOY Call Girls In Majnu Ka Tilla, Delhi Contact Us 8377877756FULL ENJOY Call Girls In Majnu Ka Tilla, Delhi Contact Us 8377877756
FULL ENJOY Call Girls In Majnu Ka Tilla, Delhi Contact Us 8377877756
dollysharma2066
 
Quick Doctor In Kuwait +2773`7758`557 Kuwait Doha Qatar Dubai Abu Dhabi Sharj...
Quick Doctor In Kuwait +2773`7758`557 Kuwait Doha Qatar Dubai Abu Dhabi Sharj...Quick Doctor In Kuwait +2773`7758`557 Kuwait Doha Qatar Dubai Abu Dhabi Sharj...
Quick Doctor In Kuwait +2773`7758`557 Kuwait Doha Qatar Dubai Abu Dhabi Sharj...
daisycvs
 
Call Girls In Majnu Ka Tilla 959961~3876 Shot 2000 Night 8000
Call Girls In Majnu Ka Tilla 959961~3876 Shot 2000 Night 8000Call Girls In Majnu Ka Tilla 959961~3876 Shot 2000 Night 8000
Call Girls In Majnu Ka Tilla 959961~3876 Shot 2000 Night 8000
dlhescort
 
Call Girls Jp Nagar Just Call 👗 7737669865 👗 Top Class Call Girl Service Bang...
Call Girls Jp Nagar Just Call 👗 7737669865 👗 Top Class Call Girl Service Bang...Call Girls Jp Nagar Just Call 👗 7737669865 👗 Top Class Call Girl Service Bang...
Call Girls Jp Nagar Just Call 👗 7737669865 👗 Top Class Call Girl Service Bang...
amitlee9823
 
Russian Call Girls In Gurgaon ❤️8448577510 ⊹Best Escorts Service In 24/7 Delh...
Russian Call Girls In Gurgaon ❤️8448577510 ⊹Best Escorts Service In 24/7 Delh...Russian Call Girls In Gurgaon ❤️8448577510 ⊹Best Escorts Service In 24/7 Delh...
Russian Call Girls In Gurgaon ❤️8448577510 ⊹Best Escorts Service In 24/7 Delh...
lizamodels9
 
Call Girls Electronic City Just Call 👗 7737669865 👗 Top Class Call Girl Servi...
Call Girls Electronic City Just Call 👗 7737669865 👗 Top Class Call Girl Servi...Call Girls Electronic City Just Call 👗 7737669865 👗 Top Class Call Girl Servi...
Call Girls Electronic City Just Call 👗 7737669865 👗 Top Class Call Girl Servi...
amitlee9823
 
Call Girls From Pari Chowk Greater Noida ❤️8448577510 ⊹Best Escorts Service I...
Call Girls From Pari Chowk Greater Noida ❤️8448577510 ⊹Best Escorts Service I...Call Girls From Pari Chowk Greater Noida ❤️8448577510 ⊹Best Escorts Service I...
Call Girls From Pari Chowk Greater Noida ❤️8448577510 ⊹Best Escorts Service I...
lizamodels9
 
Call Girls Hebbal Just Call 👗 7737669865 👗 Top Class Call Girl Service Bangalore
Call Girls Hebbal Just Call 👗 7737669865 👗 Top Class Call Girl Service BangaloreCall Girls Hebbal Just Call 👗 7737669865 👗 Top Class Call Girl Service Bangalore
Call Girls Hebbal Just Call 👗 7737669865 👗 Top Class Call Girl Service Bangalore
amitlee9823
 

Recently uploaded (20)

Value Proposition canvas- Customer needs and pains
Value Proposition canvas- Customer needs and painsValue Proposition canvas- Customer needs and pains
Value Proposition canvas- Customer needs and pains
 
👉Chandigarh Call Girls 👉9878799926👉Just Call👉Chandigarh Call Girl In Chandiga...
👉Chandigarh Call Girls 👉9878799926👉Just Call👉Chandigarh Call Girl In Chandiga...👉Chandigarh Call Girls 👉9878799926👉Just Call👉Chandigarh Call Girl In Chandiga...
👉Chandigarh Call Girls 👉9878799926👉Just Call👉Chandigarh Call Girl In Chandiga...
 
Cheap Rate Call Girls In Noida Sector 62 Metro 959961乂3876
Cheap Rate Call Girls In Noida Sector 62 Metro 959961乂3876Cheap Rate Call Girls In Noida Sector 62 Metro 959961乂3876
Cheap Rate Call Girls In Noida Sector 62 Metro 959961乂3876
 
JAYNAGAR CALL GIRL IN 98274*61493 ❤CALL GIRLS IN ESCORT SERVICE❤CALL GIRL
JAYNAGAR CALL GIRL IN 98274*61493 ❤CALL GIRLS IN ESCORT SERVICE❤CALL GIRLJAYNAGAR CALL GIRL IN 98274*61493 ❤CALL GIRLS IN ESCORT SERVICE❤CALL GIRL
JAYNAGAR CALL GIRL IN 98274*61493 ❤CALL GIRLS IN ESCORT SERVICE❤CALL GIRL
 
PHX May 2024 Corporate Presentation Final
PHX May 2024 Corporate Presentation FinalPHX May 2024 Corporate Presentation Final
PHX May 2024 Corporate Presentation Final
 
Call Girls In Noida 959961⊹3876 Independent Escort Service Noida
Call Girls In Noida 959961⊹3876 Independent Escort Service NoidaCall Girls In Noida 959961⊹3876 Independent Escort Service Noida
Call Girls In Noida 959961⊹3876 Independent Escort Service Noida
 
RSA Conference Exhibitor List 2024 - Exhibitors Data
RSA Conference Exhibitor List 2024 - Exhibitors DataRSA Conference Exhibitor List 2024 - Exhibitors Data
RSA Conference Exhibitor List 2024 - Exhibitors Data
 
FULL ENJOY Call Girls In Majnu Ka Tilla, Delhi Contact Us 8377877756
FULL ENJOY Call Girls In Majnu Ka Tilla, Delhi Contact Us 8377877756FULL ENJOY Call Girls In Majnu Ka Tilla, Delhi Contact Us 8377877756
FULL ENJOY Call Girls In Majnu Ka Tilla, Delhi Contact Us 8377877756
 
Quick Doctor In Kuwait +2773`7758`557 Kuwait Doha Qatar Dubai Abu Dhabi Sharj...
Quick Doctor In Kuwait +2773`7758`557 Kuwait Doha Qatar Dubai Abu Dhabi Sharj...Quick Doctor In Kuwait +2773`7758`557 Kuwait Doha Qatar Dubai Abu Dhabi Sharj...
Quick Doctor In Kuwait +2773`7758`557 Kuwait Doha Qatar Dubai Abu Dhabi Sharj...
 
Call Girls In Majnu Ka Tilla 959961~3876 Shot 2000 Night 8000
Call Girls In Majnu Ka Tilla 959961~3876 Shot 2000 Night 8000Call Girls In Majnu Ka Tilla 959961~3876 Shot 2000 Night 8000
Call Girls In Majnu Ka Tilla 959961~3876 Shot 2000 Night 8000
 
Call Girls Jp Nagar Just Call 👗 7737669865 👗 Top Class Call Girl Service Bang...
Call Girls Jp Nagar Just Call 👗 7737669865 👗 Top Class Call Girl Service Bang...Call Girls Jp Nagar Just Call 👗 7737669865 👗 Top Class Call Girl Service Bang...
Call Girls Jp Nagar Just Call 👗 7737669865 👗 Top Class Call Girl Service Bang...
 
Russian Call Girls In Gurgaon ❤️8448577510 ⊹Best Escorts Service In 24/7 Delh...
Russian Call Girls In Gurgaon ❤️8448577510 ⊹Best Escorts Service In 24/7 Delh...Russian Call Girls In Gurgaon ❤️8448577510 ⊹Best Escorts Service In 24/7 Delh...
Russian Call Girls In Gurgaon ❤️8448577510 ⊹Best Escorts Service In 24/7 Delh...
 
(Anamika) VIP Call Girls Napur Call Now 8617697112 Napur Escorts 24x7
(Anamika) VIP Call Girls Napur Call Now 8617697112 Napur Escorts 24x7(Anamika) VIP Call Girls Napur Call Now 8617697112 Napur Escorts 24x7
(Anamika) VIP Call Girls Napur Call Now 8617697112 Napur Escorts 24x7
 
Call Girls Electronic City Just Call 👗 7737669865 👗 Top Class Call Girl Servi...
Call Girls Electronic City Just Call 👗 7737669865 👗 Top Class Call Girl Servi...Call Girls Electronic City Just Call 👗 7737669865 👗 Top Class Call Girl Servi...
Call Girls Electronic City Just Call 👗 7737669865 👗 Top Class Call Girl Servi...
 
Falcon Invoice Discounting: The best investment platform in india for investors
Falcon Invoice Discounting: The best investment platform in india for investorsFalcon Invoice Discounting: The best investment platform in india for investors
Falcon Invoice Discounting: The best investment platform in india for investors
 
Business Model Canvas (BMC)- A new venture concept
Business Model Canvas (BMC)-  A new venture conceptBusiness Model Canvas (BMC)-  A new venture concept
Business Model Canvas (BMC)- A new venture concept
 
Call Girls From Pari Chowk Greater Noida ❤️8448577510 ⊹Best Escorts Service I...
Call Girls From Pari Chowk Greater Noida ❤️8448577510 ⊹Best Escorts Service I...Call Girls From Pari Chowk Greater Noida ❤️8448577510 ⊹Best Escorts Service I...
Call Girls From Pari Chowk Greater Noida ❤️8448577510 ⊹Best Escorts Service I...
 
Call Girls Hebbal Just Call 👗 7737669865 👗 Top Class Call Girl Service Bangalore
Call Girls Hebbal Just Call 👗 7737669865 👗 Top Class Call Girl Service BangaloreCall Girls Hebbal Just Call 👗 7737669865 👗 Top Class Call Girl Service Bangalore
Call Girls Hebbal Just Call 👗 7737669865 👗 Top Class Call Girl Service Bangalore
 
It will be International Nurses' Day on 12 May
It will be International Nurses' Day on 12 MayIt will be International Nurses' Day on 12 May
It will be International Nurses' Day on 12 May
 
Famous Olympic Siblings from the 21st Century
Famous Olympic Siblings from the 21st CenturyFamous Olympic Siblings from the 21st Century
Famous Olympic Siblings from the 21st Century
 

Bba 2204 fin mgt week 7 stock valuation

  • 1. BBA 2204 FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT Stock Valuation Stock Valuation by Stephen Ong Visiting Fellow, Birmingham City University Business School, UK Visiting Professor, Shenzhen
  • 3. Learning Goals 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7-3 Differentiate between debt and equity. Discuss the features of both common and preferred stock. Describe the process of issuing common stock, including venture capital, going public and the investment banker. Understand the concept of market efficiency and basic stock valuation using zero-growth, constant-growth, and variablegrowth models. Discuss the free cash flow valuation model and the book value, liquidation value, and price/earnings (P/E) multiple approaches. Explain the relationships among financial decisions, return, risk, and the firm’s value.
  • 4. Differences Between Debt and Equity 7-4 • Debt includes all borrowing incurred by a firm, including bonds, and is repaid according to a fixed schedule of payments. • Equity consists of funds provided by the firm’s owners (investors or stockholders) that are repaid subject to the firm’s performance. • Debt financing is obtained from creditors and equity financing is obtained from investors who then become part owners of the firm. • Creditors (lenders or debtholders) have a legal right to be repaid, whereas investors only have an expectation of being repaid.
  • 5. Table 7.1 Key Differences between Debt and Equity Capital 7-5
  • 6. Differences Between Debt and Equity: Voice in Management 7-6 • Unlike creditors, holders of equity (stockholders) are owners of the firm. • Stockholders generally have voting rights that permit them to select the firm’s directors and vote on special issues. • In contrast, debtholders do not receive voting privileges but instead rely on the firm’s contractual obligations to them to be their voice.
  • 7. Differences Between Debt and Equity: Claims on Income and Assets • Equity holders’ claims on income and assets are secondary to the claims of creditors. ∗ Their claims on income cannot be paid until the claims of all creditors, including both interest and scheduled principal payments, have been satisfied. • Because equity holders are the last to receive distributions, they expect greater returns to compensate them for the additional risk they bear. 7-7
  • 8. Matter of Fact ∗ How Are Assets Divided in Bankruptcy? ∗ According to the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, in bankruptcy assets are divided up as follows: 7-8 1. Secured Creditors – secured bank loans or secured bonds, are paid first. 2. Unsecured Creditors – unsecured bank loans or unsecured bonds, suppliers, or customers, have the next claim. 3. Equity holders – equity holders or the owners of the company have the last claim on assets, and they may not receive anything if the Secured and Unsecured Creditors’ claims are not fully rep aid.
  • 9. Differences Between Debt and Equity: Maturity • Unlike debt, equity capital is a permanent form of financing. • Equity has no maturity date and never has to be repaid by the firm. 7-9
  • 10. Differences Between Debt and Equity: Tax Treatment 7-10 • Interest payments to debtholders are treated as tax-deductible expenses by the issuing firm. • Dividend payments to a firm’s stockholders are not tax-deductible. • The tax deductibility of interest lowers the corporation’s cost of debt financing, further causing it to be lower than the cost of equity financing.
  • 11. Common and Preferred Stock: Common Stock • Common stockholders, who are sometimes referred to as residual owners or residual claimants, are the true owners of the firm. • As residual owners, common stockholders receive what is left—the residual—after all other claims on the firms income and assets have been satisfied. • They are assured of only one thing: that they cannot lose any more than they have invested in the firm. • Because of this uncertain position, common stockholders expect to be compensated with adequate dividends and ultimately, capital gains. 7-11
  • 12. Common Stock: Ownership • The common stock of a firm can be privately owned by an private investors, closely owned by an individual investor or a small group of investors, or publicly owned by a broad group of investors. • The shares of privately owned firms, which are typically small corporations, are generally not traded; if the shares are traded, the transactions are among private investors and often require the firm’s consent. • Large corporations are publicly owned, and their shares are generally actively traded in the broker or dealer markets . 7-12
  • 13. Common Stock: Par Value • The par value of common stock is an arbitrary value established for legal purposes in the firm’s corporate charter, and can be used to find the total number of shares outstanding by dividing it into the book value of common stock. • When a firm sells news shares of common stock, the par value of the shares sold is recorded in the capital section of the balance sheet as part of common stock. • At any time the total number of shares of common stock outstanding can be found by dividing the book value of common stock by the par value. 7-13
  • 14. Common Stock: Preemptive Rights • A preemptive right allows common stockholders to maintain their proportionate ownership in the corporation when new shares are issued, thus protecting them from dilution of their ownership. • Dilution of ownership is a reduction in each previous shareholder’s fractional ownership resulting from the issuance of additional shares of common stock. • Dilution of earnings is a reduction in each previous shareholder’s fractional claim on the firm’s earnings resulting from the issuance of additional shares of common stock. 7-14
  • 15. Common Stock: Preemptive Rights (cont.) • Rights are financial instruments that allow stockholders to purchase additional shares at a price below the market price, in direct proportion to their number of owned shares. • Rights are an important financing tool without which shareholders would run the risk of losing their proportionate control of the corporation. • From the firm’s viewpoint, the use of rights offerings to raise new equity capital may be less costly than a public offering of stock. 7-15
  • 16. Common Stock: Authorized, Outstanding, and Issued Shares • Authorized shares are the shares of common stock that a firm’s corporate charter allows it to issue. • Outstanding shares are issued shares of common stock held by investors, this includes private and public investors. • Treasury stock are issued shares of common stock held by the firm; often these shares have been repurchased by the firm. • Issued shares are shares of common stock that have been put into circulation. Issued shares = outstanding shares + treasury stock 7-16
  • 17. Common Stock: Authorized, Outstanding, and Issued Shares (cont.) ∗Golden Enterprises, a producer of medical pumps, has the following stockholder’s equity account on December 31st. 7-17
  • 18. Common Stock: Voting Rights • Generally, each share of common stock entitles its holder to one vote in the election of directors and on special issues. • Votes are generally assignable and may be cast at the annual stockholders’ meeting. • A proxy statement is a statement transferring the votes of a stockholder to another party. 7-18 ∗ Because most small stockholders do not attend the annual meeting to vote, they may sign a proxy statement transferring their votes to another party. ∗ Existing management generally receives the stockholders’ proxies, because it is able to solicit them at company expense.
  • 19. Common Stock: Voting Rights (cont.) • A proxy battle is an attempt by a nonmanagement group to gain control of the management of a firm by soliciting a sufficient number of proxy votes. • Supervoting shares is stock that carries with it multiple votes per share rather than the single vote per share typically given on regular shares of common stock. • Nonvoting common stock is common stock that carries no voting rights; issued when the firm wishes to raise capital through the sale of common stock but does not want to give up its voting control. 7-19
  • 20. Common Stock: Dividends • The payment of dividends to the firm’s shareholders is at the discretion of the company’s board of directors. • Dividends may be paid in cash, stock, or merchandise. • Common stockholders are not promised a dividend, but they come to expect certain payments on the basis of the historical dividend pattern of the firm. • Before dividends are paid to common stockholders any past due dividends owed to preferred stockholders must be paid. 7-20
  • 21. Common Stock: International Stock Issues • The international market for common stock is not as large as that for international debt. • However, cross-border issuance and trading of common stock have increased dramatically during the past 30 years. • Stock Issued in Foreign Markets 7-21 ∗ A growing number of firms are beginning to list their stocks on foreign markets. ∗ Issuing stock internationally both broadens the company’s ownership base and helps it to integrate itself in the local business environment. ∗ Locally traded stock can facilitate corporate acquisitions, because shares can be used as an acceptable method of payment.
  • 22. Common Stock: International Stock Issues (cont.) ∗ Foreign Stocks in U.S. Markets ∗ American depositary receipts (ADRs) are dollardenominated receipts for the stocks of foreign companies that are held by a U.S. financial institution overseas. ∗ American depositary shares (ADSs) are securities, backed by American depositary receipts (ADRs), that permit U.S. investors to hold shares of non-U.S. companies and trade them in U.S. markets. ∗ ADSs are issued in dollars to U.S. investors and are subject to U.S. securities laws. ∗ ADSs give investors the opportunity to diversify their portfolios internationally. 7-22
  • 23. Preferred Stock • Preferred stock gives its holders certain privileges that make them senior to common stockholders. • Preferred stockholders are promised a fixed periodic dividend, which is stated either as a percentage or as a dollar amount. • Par-value preferred stock is preferred stock with a stated face value that is used with the specified dividend percentage to determine the annual dollar dividend. • No-par preferred stock is preferred stock with no stated face value but with a stated annual dollar dividend. 7-23
  • 24. Preferred Stock: Basic Rights of Preferred Stockholders • Preferred stock is often considered quasi-debt because, much like interest on debt, it specifies a fixed periodic payment (dividend). • Preferred stock is unlike debt in that it has no maturity date. • Because they have a fixed claim on the firm’s income that takes precedence over the claim of common stockholders, preferred stockholders are exposed to less risk. • Preferred stockholders are not normally given a voting right, although preferred stockholders are sometimes allowed to elect one member of the board of directors. 7-24
  • 25. Preferred Stock: Features of Preferred Stock • Restrictive covenants including provisions about passing dividends, the sale of senior securities, mergers, sales of assets, minimum liquidity requirements, and repurchases of common stock. • Cumulative preferred stock is preferred stock for which all passed (unpaid) dividends in arrears, along with the current dividend, must be paid before dividends can be paid to common stockholders. • Noncumulative preferred stock is preferred stock for which passed (unpaid) dividends do not accumulate. 7-25
  • 26. Preferred Stock: Features of Preferred Stock (cont.) • A callable feature is a feature of callable preferred stock that allows the issuer to retire the shares within a certain period time and at a specified price. • A conversion feature is a feature of convertible preferred stock that allows holders to change each share into a stated number of shares of common stock. 7-26
  • 27. Issuing Common Stock • Initial financing for most firms typically comes from a firm’s original founders in the form of a common stock investment. • Early stage debt or equity investors are unlikely to make an investment in a firm unless the founders also have a personal stake in the business. • Initial non-founder financing usually comes first from private equity investors. • After establishing itself, a firm will often “go public” by issuing shares of stock to a much broader group. 7-27
  • 28. Issuing Common Stock: Venture Capital • Venture capital is privately raised external equity capital used to fund early-stage firms with attractive growth prospects. • Venture capitalists (VCs) are providers of venture capital; typically, formal businesses that maintain strong oversight over the firms they invest in and that have clearly defined exit strategies. • Angel capitalists (angels) are wealthy individual investors who do not operate as a business but invest in promising early-stage companies in exchange for a portion of the firm’s equity. 7-28
  • 29. Table 7.2 Organization of Institutional Venture Capital Investors 7-29
  • 30. Venture Capital: Deal Structure and Pricing • Venture capital investments are made under legal contracts that clearly allocate responsibilities and ownership interests between existing owners (founders) and the VC fund or limited partnership • Terms depend on factors related to the (a) original founders, (b) business structure, (c) stage of development, and (d) other market and timing issues. • Specific financial terms depend upon (a) the value of the enterprise, (b) the amount of funding required, and (c) the perceived risk of the investment. 7-30
  • 31. Venture Capital: Deal Structure and Pricing (cont.) • To control the VC’s risk, various covenants are included in agreements and the actual funding provided may be staggered based on the achievement of measurable milestones. • The contract will also have a defined exit strategy. • The amount of equity to which the VC is entitled depends on (a) the value of the firm, (b) the terms of the contract, (c) the exit terms, and (d) minimum compound annual rate of return required by the VC on its investment. 7-31
  • 32. Going Public ∗When a firm wishes to sell its stock in the primary market, it has three alternatives. 1. A public offering, in which it offers its shares for sale to the general public. 2. A rights offering, in which new shares are sold to existing shareholders. 3. A private placement, in which the firm sells new securities directly to an investor or a group of investors. ∗Here we focus on the initial public offering (IPO), which is the first public sale of a firm’s stock. 7-32
  • 33. Going Public (cont.) • IPOs are typically made by small, fast-growing companies that either: ∗ require additional capital to continue expanding, or ∗ have met a milestone for going public that was established in a contract to obtain VC funding. • The firm must obtain approval of current shareholders, and hire an investment bank to underwrite the offering. • The investment banker is responsible for promoting the stock and facilitating the sale of the company’s IPO shares. 7-33
  • 34. Going Public (cont.) • The company must file a registration statement with the SEC. • The prospectus is a portion of a security registration statement that describes the key aspects of the issue, the issuer, and its management and financial position. • A red herring is a preliminary prospectus made available to prospective investors during the waiting period between the registration statement’s filing with the SEC and its approval. 7-34
  • 35. Figure 7.1 Cover of a Preliminary Prospectus for a Stock Issue 7-35
  • 36. Going Public (cont.) • Investment bankers and company officials promote the company through a road show, a series of presentations to potential investors around the country and sometimes overseas. • This helps investment bankers gauge the demand for the offering which helps them to set the initial offer price. • After the underwriter sets the terms, the SEC must approve the offering. 7-36
  • 37. Going Public: The Investment Banker’s Role • An investment banker is a financial intermediary that specializes in selling new security issues and advising firms with regard to major financial transactions. • Underwriting is the role of the investment banker in bearing the risk of reselling, at a profit, the securities purchased from an issuing corporation at an agreed-on price. • This process involves purchasing the security issue from the issuing corporation at an agreed-on price and bearing the risk of reselling it to the public at a profit. • The investment banker also provides the issuer with advice about pricing and other important aspects of the issue. 7-37
  • 38. Going Public: The Investment Banker’s Role (cont.) • An underwriting syndicate is a group of other bankers formed by an investment banker to share the financial risk associated with underwriting new securities. • The syndicate shares the financial risk associated with buying the entire issue from the issuer and reselling the new securities to the public. • The selling group is a large number of brokerage firms that join the originating investment banker(s); each accepts responsibility for selling a certain portion of a new security issue on a commission basis. 7-38
  • 39. Figure 7.2 The Selling Process for a Large Security Issue 7-39
  • 40. Going Public: The Investment Banker’s Role (cont.) ∗Compensation for underwriting and selling services typically comes in the form of a discount on the sale price of the securities. ∗ For example, an investment banker may pay the issuing firm $24 per share for stock that will be sold for $26 per share. ∗ The investment banker may then sell the shares to members of the selling group for $25.25 per share. In this case, the original investment banker earns $1.25 per share ($25.25 sale price – $24 purchase price). ∗ The members of the selling group earn 75 cents for each share they sell ($26 sale price – $25.25 purchase price). 7-40
  • 41. Common Stock Valuation • Common stockholders expect to be rewarded through periodic cash dividends and an increasing share value. • Some of these investors decide which stocks to buy and sell based on a plan to maintain a broadly diversified portfolio. • Other investors have a more speculative motive for trading. ∗ They try to spot companies whose shares are undervalued— meaning that the true value of the shares is greater than the current market price. ∗ These investors buy shares that they believe to be undervalued and sell shares that they think are overvalued (i.e., the market price is greater than the true value). 7-41
  • 42. Common Stock Valuation: Market Efficiency • Economically rational buyers and sellers use their assessment of an asset’s risk and return to determine its value. • In competitive markets with many active participants, the interactions of many buyers and sellers result in an equilibrium price—the market value—for each security. • Because the flow of new information is almost constant, stock prices fluctuate, continuously moving toward a new equilibrium that reflects the most recent information available. This general concept is known as market efficiency. 7-42
  • 43. Common Stock Valuation: Market Efficiency • The efficient-market hypothesis (EMH) is a theory describing the behavior of an assumed “perfect” market in which: 7-43 ∗ securities are in equilibrium, ∗ security prices fully reflect all available information and react swiftly to new information, and ∗ because stocks are fully and fairly priced, investors need not waste time looking for mispriced securities.
  • 44. Common Stock Valuation: Market Efficiency • Although considerable evidence supports the concept of market efficiency, a growing body of academic evidence has begun to cast doubt on the validity of this notion. • Behavioural finance is a growing body of research that focuses on investor behaviour and its impact on investment decisions and stock prices. Advocates are commonly referred to as “behaviourists.” 7-44
  • 45. Focus on Practice ∗Understanding Human Behaviour Helps Us Understand Investor Behaviour ∗ Regret theory deals with the emotional reaction people experience after realizing they have made an error in judgment. ∗ Some investors rationalize their decision to buy certain stocks with “everyone else is doing it.” (Herding) Herding ∗ People have a tendency to place particular events into mental compartments, and the difference between these compartments sometimes impacts behavior more than the events themselves. ∗ Prospect theory suggests that people express a different degree of emotion toward gains than losses. ∗ Anchoring is the tendency of investors to place more value on recent information. 7-45
  • 46. Common Stock Valuation: Basic Common Stock Valuation Equation ∗The value of a share of common stock is equal to the present value of all future cash flows (dividends) that it is expected to provide. ∗where P0 Dt ∗ 7-46 = value of common stock = per-share dividend expected at the end of year t Rs = required return on common stock P0 = value of common stock
  • 47. Common Stock Valuation: The Zero Growth Model ∗The zero dividend growth model assumes that the stock will pay the same dividend each year, year after year. ∗The equation shows that with zero growth, the value of a share of stock would equal the present value of a perpetuity of D1 dollars discounted at a 7-47
  • 48. Personal Finance Example • Chuck Swimmer estimates that the dividend of Denham Company, an established textile producer, is expected to remain constant at $3 per share indefinitely. • If his required return on its stock is 15%, the stock’s value is: ∗ $20 ($3 ÷ 0.15) per share 7-48
  • 49. Common Stock Valuation: Constant-Growth Model ∗The constant-growth model is a widely cited dividend valuation approach that assumes that dividends will grow at a constant rate, but a rate that is less than the required return. ∗The Gordon model is a common name for the constant-growth model that is widely cited in dividend valuation. 7-49
  • 50. Common Stock Valuation: Constant-Growth Model (cont.) ∗Lamar Company, a small cosmetics company, paid the following per share dividends: 7-50
  • 51. Common Stock Valuation: Constant-Growth Model (cont.) ∗Using a financial calculator or a spreadsheet, we find that the historical annual growth rate of Lamar Company dividends equals 7%. 7-51
  • 52. Common Stock Valuation: Variable-Growth Model • The zero- and constant-growth common stock models do not allow for any shift in expected growth rates. • The variable-growth model is a dividend valuation approach that allows for a change in the dividend growth rate. • To determine the value of a share of stock in the case of variable growth, we use a four-step procedure. 7-52
  • 53. Common Stock Valuation: Variable-Growth Model (cont.) ∗Step 1. Find the value of the cash dividends at the end of each year, Dt, during the initial growth period, years 1 though N. D ∗Dt = D0 × (1 + g1)t 7-53
  • 54. Common Stock Valuation: Variable-Growth Model (cont.) ∗Step 2. Find the present value of the dividends expected during the initial growth period. 7-54
  • 55. Common Stock Valuation: Variable-Growth Model (cont.) ∗Step 3. Find the value of the stock at the end of the initial growth period, PN = (DN+1)/(rs – g2), which is the present value of all dividends expected from year N + 1 to infinity, assuming a constant dividend growth rate, g2. 7-55
  • 56. Common Stock Valuation: Variable-Growth Model (cont.) ∗Step 4. Add the present value components found in Steps 2 and 3 to find the value of the stock, P0. 7-56
  • 57. Common Stock Valuation: Variable-Growth Model (cont.) ∗The most recent annual (2012) dividend payment of Warren Industries, a rapidly growing boat manufacturer, was $1.50 per share. The firm’s financial manager expects that these dividends will increase at a 10% annual rate, g1, over the next three years. At the end of three years (the end of 2015), the firm’s mature product line is expected to result in a slowing of the dividend growth rate to 5% per year, g2, for the foreseeable future. The firm’s required return, rs, is 15%. 7-57
  • 58. Table 7.3 Calculation of Present Value of Warren Industries Dividends (2013–2015) 7-58
  • 59. Common Stock Valuation: Variable-Growth Model (cont.) ∗Step 3. The value of the stock at the end of the initial growth period (N = 2015) can be found by first calculating DN+1 = D2016. ∗D2016 = D2015 × (1 + 0.05) = $2.00 × (1.05) = $2.10 ∗By using D2016 = $2.10, a 15% required return, and a 5% dividend growth rate, we can calculate the value of the stock at the end of 2015 as follows: ∗P2015 = D2016 / (rs – g2) = $2.10 / (.15 – .05) = $21.00 7-59
  • 60. Common Stock Valuation: Variable-Growth Model (cont.) ∗Step 3 (cont.) Finally, the share value of $21 at the end of 2015 must be converted into a present (end of 2012) value. ∗P2015 / (1 + rs)3 = $21 / (1 + 0.15)3 = $13.81 ∗Step 4. Adding the PV of the initial dividend stream (found in Step 2) to the PV of the stock at the end of the initial growth period (found in Step 3), we get: ∗P2012 = $4.14 + $13.82 = $17.93 per share 7-60
  • 61. Common Stock Valuation: Free Cash Flow Valuation Model ∗A free cash flow valuation model determines the value of an entire company as the present value of its expected free cash flows discounted at the firm’s weighted average cost of capital, which is its expected average future cost of funds over the long run. ∗where 7-61 VC = value of the entire company FCFt = free cash flow expected at the end of year t end of year t ra = the firm’s weighted average cost of capital
  • 62. Common Stock Valuation: Free Cash Flow Valuation Model (cont.) ∗Because the value of the entire company, VC, is the market value of the entire enterprise (that is, of all assets), to find common stock value, VS, we must subtract the market value of all of the firm’s debt, VD, and the market value of preferred stock, VP, from VC. 7-62 V ∗VS = VC – VD – VP
  • 63. Table 7.4 Dewhurst, Inc.’s Data for the Free Cash Flow Valuation Model 7-63
  • 64. Common Stock Valuation: Free Cash Flow Valuation Model (cont.) ∗Step 1. Calculate the present value of the free cash flow occurring from the end of 2018 to infinity, measured at the beginning of 2018. 7-64
  • 65. Common Stock Valuation: Free Cash Flow Valuation Model (cont.) ∗Step 2. Add the present value of the FCF from 2018 to infinity, which is measured at the end of 2017, to the 2017 FCF value to get the total FCF in 2017. ∗Total FCF2017 = $600,000 + $10,300,000 = $10,900,000 ∗Step 3. Find the sum of the present values of the FCFs for 2013 through 2017 to determine the value of the entire company, VC. This step is detailed in Table 7.5 on the following slide. 7-65
  • 66. Table 7.5 Calculation of the Value of the Entire Company for Dewhurst, Inc. 7-66
  • 67. Common Stock Valuation: Free Cash Flow Valuation Model (cont.) ∗Step 4. Calculate the value of the common stock. ∗VS = $8,626,426 – $3,100,000 – $800,000 = $4,726,426 ∗The value of Dewhurst’s common stock is therefore estimated to be $4,726,426. By dividing this total by the 300,000 shares of common stock that the firm has outstanding, we get a common stock value of $15.76 per share ($4,726,426 ÷ 300,000). 7-67
  • 68. Common Stock Valuation: Other Approaches to Stock Valuation • Book value per share is the amount per share of common stock that would be received if all of the firm’s assets were sold for their exact book (accounting) value and the proceeds remaining after paying all liabilities (including preferred stock) were divided among the common stockholders. • This method lacks sophistication and can be criticized on the basis of its reliance on historical balance sheet data. • It ignores the firm’s expected earnings potential and generally lacks any true relationship to the firm’s value in the marketplace. 7-68
  • 69. Common Stock Valuation: Other Approaches to Stock Valuation (cont.) ∗At year-end 2012, Lamar Company’s balance sheet shows total assets of $6 million, total liabilities (including preferred stock) of $4.5 million, and 100,000 shares of common stock outstanding. Its book value per share therefore would be 7-69
  • 70. Common Stock Valuation: Other Approaches to Stock Valuation (cont.) • Liquidation value per share is the actual amount per share of common stock that would be received if all of the firm’s assets were sold for their market value, liabilities (including preferred stock) were paid, and any remaining money were divided among the common stockholders. • This measure is more realistic than book value because it is based on current market values of the firm’s assets. • However, it still fails to consider the earning power of those assets. 7-70
  • 71. Common Stock Valuation: Other Approaches to Stock Valuation (cont.) ∗Lamar Company found upon investigation that it could obtain only $5.25 million if it sold its assets today. The firm’s liquidation value per share therefore would be 7-71
  • 72. Common Stock Valuation: Other Approaches to Stock Valuation (cont.) • The price/earnings (P/E) ratio reflects the amount investors are willing to pay for each dollar of earnings. • The price/earnings multiple approach is a popular technique used to estimate the firm’s share value; calculated by multiplying the firm’s expected earnings per share (EPS) by the average price/earnings (P/E) ratio for the industry. 7-72
  • 73. Common Stock Valuation: Other Approaches to Stock Valuation (cont.) ∗Lamar Company is expected to earn $2.60 per share next year (2013). Assuming a industry average P/E ratio of 7, the firms per share value would be ∗$2.60 × 7 = $18.20 per share 7-73
  • 74. Focus on Ethics ∗Psst—Have You Heard Any Good Quarterly Earnings Forecasts Lately? 7-74 ∗ Companies used earnings guidance to lower analysts’ estimates; when the actual numbers came in higher, their stock prices jumped. ∗ The practice reached a fever pitch during the late 1990s when companies that missed the consensus earnings estimate, even by just a penny, saw their stock prices tumble. ∗ In March 2007 the CFA Centre for Financial Market Integrity and the Business Roundtable Institute for Corporate Ethics proposed a template for quarterly earnings reports that would, in their view, obviate the need for earnings guidance. ∗ What are some of the real costs a company must face in preparing quarterly earnings guidance?
  • 75. Matter of Fact ∗ Problems with P/E Valuation 7-75 ∗ The P/E multiple approach is a fast and easy way to estimate a stock’s value. ∗ However, P/E ratios vary widely over time. ∗ Therefore, analysts using the P/E approach in the 1980s would have come up with much lower estimates of value than analysts using the model 20 years later. ∗ In other words, when using this approach to estimate stock values, the estimate will depend more on whether stock market valuations are high or low rather than on whether the particular company is doing well or not.
  • 76. Figure 7.3 Decision Making and Stock Value 7-76
  • 77. Decision Making and Common Stock Value: Changes in Expected Dividends • Assuming that economic conditions remain stable, any management action that would cause current and prospective stockholders to raise their dividend expectations should increase the firm’s value. • Therefore, any action of the financial manager that will increase the level of expected dividends without changing risk (the required return) should be undertaken, because it will positively affect owners’ wealth. 7-77
  • 78. Decision Making and Common Stock Value: Changes in Expected Dividends (cont.) ∗Assume that Lamar Company announced a major technological breakthrough that would revolutionize its industry. Current and prospective stockholders expect that although the dividend next year, D1, will remain at $1.50, the expected rate of growth thereafter will increase from 7% to 9%. 7-78
  • 79. Decision Making and Common Stock Value: Changes in Risk • Any measure of required return consists of two components: a risk-free rate and a risk premium. We expressed this relationship as in the previous chapter, which we repeat here in terms of rs: • Any action taken by the financial manager that increases the risk shareholders must bear will also increase the risk premium required by shareholders, and hence the required return. • Additionally, the required return can be affected by changes in the risk free rate—even if the risk premium 7-79
  • 80. Decision Making and Common Stock Value: Changes in Risk (cont.) ∗Assume that Lamar Company manager makes a decision that, without changing expected dividends, causes the firm’s risk premium to increase to 7%. Assuming that the risk-free rate remains at 9%, the new required return on Lamar stock will be 16% (9% + 7%). 7-80
  • 81. Decision Making and Common Stock Value: Combined Effect ∗If we assume that the two changes illustrated for Lamar Company in the preceding examples occur simultaneously, the key variable values would be D1 = $1.50, rs = 0.16, and g = 0.09. 7-81
  • 82. Review of Learning Goals Differentiate between debt and equity. ∗ Holders of equity capital (common and preferred stock) are owners of the firm. Typically, only common stockholders have a voice in management. Equity holders’ claims on income and assets are secondary to creditors’ claims, there is no maturity date, and dividends paid to stockholders are not tax-deductible. Discuss the features of both common and preferred stock. 7-82 ∗ The common stock of a firm can be privately owned, closely owned, or publicly owned. It can be sold with or without a par value. Preemptive rights allow common stockholders to avoid dilution of ownership when new shares are issued. Some firms have two or more classes of common stock that differ mainly in having unequal voting rights. Proxies transfer voting rights from one party to another. The decision to pay dividends to common stockholders is made by the firm’s board of directors. ∗ Preferred stockholders have preference over common stockholders with respect to the distribution of earnings and assets. They do not normally have voting privileges. Preferred stock issues may have certain restrictive covenants, cumulative dividends, a call feature, and a conversion feature.
  • 83. Review of Learning Goals (cont.) Describe the process of issuing common stock, including venture capital, going public, and the investment banker. ∗ The initial nonfounder financing for business startups with attractive growth prospects typically comes from private equity investors. These investors can be either angel capitalists or venture capitalists (VCs). ∗ The first public issue of a firm’s stock is called an initial public offering (IPO). The company selects an investment banker to advise it and to sell the securities. The lead investment banker may form a selling syndicate with other investment bankers. The IPO process includes getting SEC approval, promoting the offering to investors, and pricing the issue. 7-83
  • 84. Review of Learning Goals (cont.) Understand the concept of market efficiency and basic stock valuation using zero-growth, constantgrowth, and variable-growth models. ∗ Market efficiency assumes that the quick reactions of rational investors to new information cause the market value of common stock to adjust upward or downward quickly. ∗ The value of a share of stock is the present value of all future dividends it is expected to provide over an infinite time horizon. Three dividend growth models—zero-growth, constant-growth, and variable-growth— can be considered in common stock valuation. The most widely cited model is the constant-growth model. 7-84
  • 85. Review of Learning Goals (cont.) Discuss the free cash flow valuation model and the book value, liquidation value, and price/earnings (P/E) multiple approaches. 7-85 ∗ The free cash flow valuation model finds the value of the entire company by discounting the firm’s expected free cash flow at its weighted average cost of capital. The common stock value is found by subtracting the market values of the firm’s debt and preferred stock from the value of the entire company. ∗ Book value per share is the amount per share of common stock that would be received if all of the firm’s assets were sold for their exact book (accounting) value and the proceeds remaining after paying all liabilities (including preferred stock) were divided among the common stockholders. ∗ Liquidation value per share is the actual amount per share of common stock that would be received if all of the firm’s assets were sold for their market value, liabilities (including preferred stock) were paid, and the remaining money were divided among the common stockholders. ∗ The price/earnings (P/E) multiple approach estimates stock value by multiplying the firm’s expected earnings per share (EPS) by the average price/earnings (P/E) ratio for the industry.
  • 86. Review of Learning Goals (cont.) Explain the relationships among financial decisions, return, risk, and the firm’s value. ∗ In a stable economy, any action of the financial manager that increases the level of expected dividends without changing risk should increase share value; any action that reduces the level of expected dividends without changing risk should reduce share value. Similarly, any action that increases risk (required return) will reduce share value; any action that reduces risk will increase share value. An assessment of the combined effect of return and risk on stock value must be part of the financial decision-making process. 7-86
  • 88. a. b. c. d. e. f. 7-88 Integrative Case: Encore International What is the firm’s current book value per share? What is the firm’s current P/E ratio? What is the current required return for Encore stock? What will be the new required return for Encore stock assuming that they expand into European and Latin American markets as planned? If the securities analysts are correct and there is no growth in future dividends, what will be the value per share of the Encore stock? (Note: use the new required return on the company’s stock here) If Jordan Ellis’s predictions are correct, what will be the value per share of Encore stock if the firm maintains a constant annual 6% growth rate in future dividends? (Note: Continue to use the new required return here.) If Jordan Ellis’s predictions are correct, what will be the value per share of Encore stock if the firm maintains a constant annual 8% growth rate in dividends per share over the next 2 years and 6% thereafter? Compare the current (2012) price of the stock and the stock values found in parts a, d, and e. Discuss why these values may differ. Which valuation method do you believe most clearly represents the true value of the Encore stock?
  • 89. Further Reading ∗ Gitman, Lawrence J. and Zutter ,Chad J.(2013) Principles of Managerial Finance, Pearson,13th Edition ∗ Brooks,Raymond (2013) Financial Management: Core Concepts , Pearson, 2th edition 1 - 89