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Health Care Costs
                   Presented to the:
          Joint Commission on Health Care

                       October 26, 2007


                    Stephen W. Bowman
                  Senior Staff Attorney/Methodologist




Background: Health Care Costs Study
 Senate Joint Resolution 4 (Senator Reynolds) directed JCHC
 to ”study the derivative effects of increases in health care
 costs on health insurance premiums” and to examine:
    “Factors leading to rising health care costs in the Commonwealth”
    “Derivative effects of rising health care costs including increases in
    health insurance premiums and denial of coverage”
    “Ways to reduce health care costs in the Commonwealth and alleviate
    the burdens associated with the rising cost of health care.”

 A report was presented to JCHC on October 19, 2006
 however specific findings were delayed until 2007


                                                                         2
Health Care Costs Continue to Rise
       HC spending has increased at an average rate
       of 9.8% since 1970
              Annual HC spending
                     1970 - $75 billion
                     2005 - $2.0 trillion
                     2015 - $4.0 trillion




Source: Kaiser Family Foundation, How Changes in Medical Technology Affect Health Care Costs, March 2007
                                                                                                                   3




    2004 Total Health Care Expenditures
         in Virginia $35.8 Billion
      $609 , 2%            $629 , 2%
                                                 $951 , 3%
 $2,032 , 6%
                                                                                           Hospital Care

                                                                                           Physician and Other
                                                                                           Professional Services
  $2,449 , 7%                                                                              Drugs and Other
                                                              $13,106 , 36%                Medical Nondurables
                                                                                           Nursing Home Care

                                                                                           Dental Services
                                                                                           Home Health Care
 $5,651 , 16%                                                                              Medical Durables

                                                               (in millions)               Other Personal Health Care


                          $10,343 , 28%
                                                                                                                   4
   Source: Kaiser - Statehealthfacts.org, Virginia Expenditures, last accessed April 9, 2007
Health Care Costs Are Not Equally
      Distributed Across the Population
         Health Care Costs from 1970-96
               10% of the population accounts for 70% of the costs
               50% of population accounted for 3% of the costs


         Common conditions among the highest-cost 10%
         of the population
               Ischemic heart disease, cancer, diabetes, hypertension,
               pulmonary conditions, mental disorders, and trauma
               Repeated hospitalizations for same illness

        Bodenheimer and Fernandez, High and Rising Health Care Cost - Part 4: Can Costs be Controlled While   5
        Preserving Quality, Annals of Internal Medicine Vol . 143:1, July 2005.




                  Health Insurance Premiums
                       Continue to Rise

                                                                                          Premiums are
                                                                                          rising at a
                                                                                          slowing rate

                                                                                          Rate of increase
                                                                                          is still greater
                                                                                          than workers’
                                                                                          earning increases


Sources: Kaiser Family Foundation and Health Research Educational Trust, Employer Health Benefits (2007)      6
Catlin, et al., National Health Spending In 2005: The Slowdown Continues, Health Affairs 26 (1): 142 (2007)
Premium Growth Continue to Exceed
Increases in Inflation and Worker Earnings
                            2006
                                                                  Average Monthly Premiums
           Insurance premiums increased                           (Paid by Employer and Worker)
           6.1%
                 Lowest percentage increase in                               Single       Family
                 premiums since 1999                                        Coverage     Coverage
                                                              Plan Type
           Average annual premium for all                        PPO         $4,638      $12,443
           types of health insurance plans
                 Single coverage was $4,479                     HMO          $4,299      $11,879
                 Family coverage was $12,106

           Employee % of premium payment                         POS         $4,337      $11,588
                 16% for Single coverage
                 28% for Family coverage                      HDHP/SO        $3,869      $10,693

                                                                                                  7
Source: KFF/HRET 2007 Employer Health Benefits Survey.




     Employers Health Insurance Offerings
      In 2006, 60% of firms offered Health insurance down
         from 69% in 2000
                         2006                                                 % Offering
         Approximately 77% of                                 # Employees    Health Benefits
         covered employees that pay                                             in 2006
         0% - 50% of premium costs                               3 to 9            45%
         6% of covered workers are in                           10 to 24           76%
         firms that vary contribution                           25 to 49           83%
         based on worker wellness
         participation                                         50 to 199           94%
                                                              200 or more          99%
               3% in 2005.
                                                               All Firms           60%
     Source: KFF/HRET 2007 Employer Health Benefits Survey.                                       8
Virginia Has Some of the Least Expensive
 Small Group Health Plans in the Nation
      Virginia premiums for all small groups
            $246 for single monthly premium average
            $645 for family monthly premium average

      United States premiums for all small groups
            $311 for single monthly premium average
            $814 for family monthly premium average

      Virginia’s small group health plan premiums were
      ranked 3rd most inexpensive in the U.S.
 Source: American Health Insurance Plans’ Center for Policy and Research, Small Group Health Insurance in      9
 2006, September 2006.




     Rising Health Care Cost’s Effect on
                 the Market
      Consumer Directed Health Plans (CDHPs) are
      increasingly popular
            Combines a high-deductible health plans (HDHP) with a
            tax-advantaged health reimbursement account or health
            savings account (HSA)
            Offered more by employers
            Expected to lower health care utilization
            Have some drawbacks such as:
                   Reduced % of low-income adults who sought highly effective
                   care for acute conditions
                   Associated with worse blood-pressure control and less
                   preventative measures

 Sources: United States Government Accounting Office, Consumer-Directed Health Plans, 514, April 2006.
 Thomas H. Lee, M.D., and Kinga Zapert, Ph.D. , Do High-Deductible Health Plans Threaten Quality of Care?, New 10
 England Journal of Medicine, 353:12 September 22, 2005
HSA/HDHP Encourage the Uninsured
     to Purchase Health Insurance Policies

HSA/HDHP policies that were
  for previously uninsured:

 33% of small firms policies

 31% for individual plans




   Source: America’s Health Insurance Plans, HSAs and Account Based Health Plans, June 2006.                     11




                    Efforts to Reduce Costs
    Health Insurers                                Employers                                   Providers
       Disease                                     Encourage healthier                       Electronic medical
       management                                  lifestyles                                records
       Wellness programs                           Provide information                       Develop systems
       Information                                 about quality health                      to reduce medical
       technology                                  care to employees                         errors
       Identifying the                             Provide information                       Participate in
       chronically ill                             about generic drugs                       programs that
       Increased consumer                          Employees with                            reward efficiency
       responsibility                              unhealthy behaviors                       and quality
                                                   pay more


 -Sources: Kaiser Family Foundation, Comparing Projected Growth in Health Care Expenditures and the Economy,
                                                                                                                 12
 May 2006 & “Survey of Executives Finds Health Costs up 12 %, With Effects on Hiring, Pay” Health Care Policy,
 Volume 13, Number 30, July 25, 2005.
State Affordable Cost Strategies
 Virginia
                  1. Pooled purchasing
                                HB761(2006)- Health Group Cooperatives
                  2. Consumer driven plans -HSAs
                                Established in 2005
                  3. Examining insurance mandates
                                Special Advisory Commission on
                                Mandated Health Insurance Benefits
                                established in 1990
 Source: Slide 15, Health Care Costs & Spending: Latest State Strategies, Richard Cauchi, NCSL, September 19, 2007
                                                              Strategies,
                                                                                                                     13




             State Affordable Cost Strategies
      Virginia
              4. Decrease health care acquired infections
                                      Virginia Improving Patient Care and Safety
                                      (VIPCS) established in 2000
                                      July 1, 2008 hospitals will report certain
                                      types of infections
                        5. Cost transparency & disclosure
                                      Virginia Health Information (VHI)
                                      established in 1996

Source: Slide 15, Health Care Costs & Spending: Latest State Strategies, Richard Cauchi, NCSL, September 19, 2007 14
                                                             Strategies,
Other State Affordable Cost Strategies
      Mandating employers offer 125 plan with state
      insurance connector (Massachusetts)
                                                                                       With
                                                                            w/o Plan
                                                                                       Plan
                   Annual Income                                            $50,000    $50,000
125 plans offer
                   Annual pre-tax Employee Contribution                     $     0    $ 3,000
employees to
use pretax         Taxable Income                                           $50,000    $47,000
dollars toward
                   Estimated Taxes 38%*                                     $19,000    $17,860
health insurance
                   Annual After-Tax Employee Contribution                   $ 3,000    $      0
                   Net Take Home Pay                                        $28,000    $29,140
                   Annual Savings from Pre-Tax
                                                                            $0         $ 1,140
                   Contributions
                                                                                              15
                   *38% comprised of 25% Federal + 5% State + 8% FICA/Medicare




    Other State Affordable Cost Strategies
       Increasing the number of insured
            Uninsured health care costs are partially paid for
            by the insured
            Significant decrease of the uninsured is expected
            to decrease insured health care costs due to less
            subsidization of the uninsured




                                                                                              16
Virginia Reports Reviewed
   JLARC’s Options for Extending Health
   Insurance to Uninsured Virginians

   Governor’s Health Reform Commission’s
   Roadmap for Virginia’s Health




                                                                                                           17




                            JLARC Options
   Allow small employers to utilize State employee or
   Local Choice health plans
         Could make providing insurance more affordable and
         attractive by reducing premium and administrative costs

         Could lead to higher premiums for State and Local Choice
         employees, increased administrative burden and costs for
         the State
                Small employers would still incur substantial premium costs




                                                                                                           18
Source: JLARC slide 41 Options for Extending Health Insurance to Uninsured Virginians, December 11, 2006
JLARC Options
         Establish a market exchange that small
         employers could designate as employer plan
               Could encourage more small employers to offer
               health insurance because provides opportunity to
               offer pre-tax employer contribution without any
               administrative responsibilities

               Elimination of administrative burden may not
               provide sufficient incentive to offer health
               insurance
                                                                                                                 19
      Source: JLARC slide 42 Options for Extending Health Insurance to Uninsured Virginians, December 11, 2006




                                  JLARC Options
         Expand Medicaid/FAMIS eligibility
               Medicaid and FAMIS covered over 800,000 Virginians
               (2006); Expansion would:
                      Allow Virginia to cover more low-income individuals
                      Expand the use of federal matching funds
                      Add costs to the State


         Provide direct subsidies to low-income individuals
         to purchase health insurance
               Fills gap between what some individuals can afford and
               the price of insurance
               Requires substantial subsidy for individuals to engage
               Adds costs to State
                                                                                                                 20
Source: Options to Extend Health Insurance Coverage to Virginia’s Uninsured Population, JLARC, House Document 19 (2007)
JLARC Options
      Provide subsidies to small
      employers                                                                   36% of Virginia’s
                                                                                  uninsured adults
            Could provide tax through tax                                            are full-time
            incentive or direct payment                                             employees of
            Could require that employers                                         business with less
            contribute to employees health                                        than 100 people
            insurance
            Would require substantial subsidy
            for small employers to engage
            Would add costs to State
                                                                                                                21
Source: Options to Extend Health Insurance Coverage to Virginia’s Uninsured Population, JLARC, House Document 19 (2007)




                Governor’s Health Reform
              Commission Recommendations
      Create a private health insurance product for working
      uninsured Virginians and small businesses who have
      limited access to other health insurance options
            Available to uninsured individuals who work for small
            employers that have not offered health insurance for at least
            the last 6 months
                   $50,000 capped health care insurance policy
                   $135 estimated monthly premium
                   Those under 200% of the Federal Poverty Level
                         1/3 paid by employer
                         1/3 paid by employee
                         1/3 paid by Commonwealth
                   Individuals over 200% FPL can purchase w/o VA contribution
                   Estimated cost $20,000,000
                                                                                                                22
         Source: Governor’s Health Reform Commission, Roadmap for Virginia’s Health, September 2007.
Governor’s Health Reform
     Commission Recommendations
Health IT Council to assist VHI in developing a
consumer-friendly portal for all Virginians.

    VHI would be a health care information
    clearinghouse that includes information on:
          Quality
          Pricing
          Health Literacy

    Estimated cost to create the portal is $454,750 over
    a 3 year period
          Does not include marketing plan or insurer information
 Source: Governor’s Health Reform Commission, Roadmap for Virginia’s Health, September 2007.   23




             Policy Options
Policy Options
Option 1: Take no action

Option 2: Request by letter of the Chairman that the Joint
   Commission convene a workgroup to develop a plan i) for
   establishing a Virginia Health Insurance Exchange targeted for
   small businesses, ii) for increasing employer adoption of
   Section 125 plans, and iii) any other health insurance issues as
   deemed appropriate. A report to JCHC would be due by
   November 2008
       Workgroup will include:
           Bureau of Insurance
           Health insurance brokers
           Health insurers
           Small business employers                                      25




 Public Comments
     Written public comments on the proposed options may be submitted to
     JCHC by close of business on November 5, 2007. However, to ensure
     comments are included in the preliminary matrix draft that will be
     distributed to JCHC members prior to the meeting, the comments must be
     received by close of business November 1st.

     Comments may be submitted via:
         E-mail:   sareid@leg.state.va.us
         Fax:      804-786-5538
         Mail:     Joint Commission on Health Care
                   P.O. Box 1322
                   Richmond, Virginia 23218

     Comments will be summarized and presented to JCHC during its
     November 8th meeting.

                                                                         26

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Health Care Costs

  • 1. Health Care Costs Presented to the: Joint Commission on Health Care October 26, 2007 Stephen W. Bowman Senior Staff Attorney/Methodologist Background: Health Care Costs Study Senate Joint Resolution 4 (Senator Reynolds) directed JCHC to ”study the derivative effects of increases in health care costs on health insurance premiums” and to examine: “Factors leading to rising health care costs in the Commonwealth” “Derivative effects of rising health care costs including increases in health insurance premiums and denial of coverage” “Ways to reduce health care costs in the Commonwealth and alleviate the burdens associated with the rising cost of health care.” A report was presented to JCHC on October 19, 2006 however specific findings were delayed until 2007 2
  • 2. Health Care Costs Continue to Rise HC spending has increased at an average rate of 9.8% since 1970 Annual HC spending 1970 - $75 billion 2005 - $2.0 trillion 2015 - $4.0 trillion Source: Kaiser Family Foundation, How Changes in Medical Technology Affect Health Care Costs, March 2007 3 2004 Total Health Care Expenditures in Virginia $35.8 Billion $609 , 2% $629 , 2% $951 , 3% $2,032 , 6% Hospital Care Physician and Other Professional Services $2,449 , 7% Drugs and Other $13,106 , 36% Medical Nondurables Nursing Home Care Dental Services Home Health Care $5,651 , 16% Medical Durables (in millions) Other Personal Health Care $10,343 , 28% 4 Source: Kaiser - Statehealthfacts.org, Virginia Expenditures, last accessed April 9, 2007
  • 3. Health Care Costs Are Not Equally Distributed Across the Population Health Care Costs from 1970-96 10% of the population accounts for 70% of the costs 50% of population accounted for 3% of the costs Common conditions among the highest-cost 10% of the population Ischemic heart disease, cancer, diabetes, hypertension, pulmonary conditions, mental disorders, and trauma Repeated hospitalizations for same illness Bodenheimer and Fernandez, High and Rising Health Care Cost - Part 4: Can Costs be Controlled While 5 Preserving Quality, Annals of Internal Medicine Vol . 143:1, July 2005. Health Insurance Premiums Continue to Rise Premiums are rising at a slowing rate Rate of increase is still greater than workers’ earning increases Sources: Kaiser Family Foundation and Health Research Educational Trust, Employer Health Benefits (2007) 6 Catlin, et al., National Health Spending In 2005: The Slowdown Continues, Health Affairs 26 (1): 142 (2007)
  • 4. Premium Growth Continue to Exceed Increases in Inflation and Worker Earnings 2006 Average Monthly Premiums Insurance premiums increased (Paid by Employer and Worker) 6.1% Lowest percentage increase in Single Family premiums since 1999 Coverage Coverage Plan Type Average annual premium for all PPO $4,638 $12,443 types of health insurance plans Single coverage was $4,479 HMO $4,299 $11,879 Family coverage was $12,106 Employee % of premium payment POS $4,337 $11,588 16% for Single coverage 28% for Family coverage HDHP/SO $3,869 $10,693 7 Source: KFF/HRET 2007 Employer Health Benefits Survey. Employers Health Insurance Offerings In 2006, 60% of firms offered Health insurance down from 69% in 2000 2006 % Offering Approximately 77% of # Employees Health Benefits covered employees that pay in 2006 0% - 50% of premium costs 3 to 9 45% 6% of covered workers are in 10 to 24 76% firms that vary contribution 25 to 49 83% based on worker wellness participation 50 to 199 94% 200 or more 99% 3% in 2005. All Firms 60% Source: KFF/HRET 2007 Employer Health Benefits Survey. 8
  • 5. Virginia Has Some of the Least Expensive Small Group Health Plans in the Nation Virginia premiums for all small groups $246 for single monthly premium average $645 for family monthly premium average United States premiums for all small groups $311 for single monthly premium average $814 for family monthly premium average Virginia’s small group health plan premiums were ranked 3rd most inexpensive in the U.S. Source: American Health Insurance Plans’ Center for Policy and Research, Small Group Health Insurance in 9 2006, September 2006. Rising Health Care Cost’s Effect on the Market Consumer Directed Health Plans (CDHPs) are increasingly popular Combines a high-deductible health plans (HDHP) with a tax-advantaged health reimbursement account or health savings account (HSA) Offered more by employers Expected to lower health care utilization Have some drawbacks such as: Reduced % of low-income adults who sought highly effective care for acute conditions Associated with worse blood-pressure control and less preventative measures Sources: United States Government Accounting Office, Consumer-Directed Health Plans, 514, April 2006. Thomas H. Lee, M.D., and Kinga Zapert, Ph.D. , Do High-Deductible Health Plans Threaten Quality of Care?, New 10 England Journal of Medicine, 353:12 September 22, 2005
  • 6. HSA/HDHP Encourage the Uninsured to Purchase Health Insurance Policies HSA/HDHP policies that were for previously uninsured: 33% of small firms policies 31% for individual plans Source: America’s Health Insurance Plans, HSAs and Account Based Health Plans, June 2006. 11 Efforts to Reduce Costs Health Insurers Employers Providers Disease Encourage healthier Electronic medical management lifestyles records Wellness programs Provide information Develop systems Information about quality health to reduce medical technology care to employees errors Identifying the Provide information Participate in chronically ill about generic drugs programs that Increased consumer Employees with reward efficiency responsibility unhealthy behaviors and quality pay more -Sources: Kaiser Family Foundation, Comparing Projected Growth in Health Care Expenditures and the Economy, 12 May 2006 & “Survey of Executives Finds Health Costs up 12 %, With Effects on Hiring, Pay” Health Care Policy, Volume 13, Number 30, July 25, 2005.
  • 7. State Affordable Cost Strategies Virginia 1. Pooled purchasing HB761(2006)- Health Group Cooperatives 2. Consumer driven plans -HSAs Established in 2005 3. Examining insurance mandates Special Advisory Commission on Mandated Health Insurance Benefits established in 1990 Source: Slide 15, Health Care Costs & Spending: Latest State Strategies, Richard Cauchi, NCSL, September 19, 2007 Strategies, 13 State Affordable Cost Strategies Virginia 4. Decrease health care acquired infections Virginia Improving Patient Care and Safety (VIPCS) established in 2000 July 1, 2008 hospitals will report certain types of infections 5. Cost transparency & disclosure Virginia Health Information (VHI) established in 1996 Source: Slide 15, Health Care Costs & Spending: Latest State Strategies, Richard Cauchi, NCSL, September 19, 2007 14 Strategies,
  • 8. Other State Affordable Cost Strategies Mandating employers offer 125 plan with state insurance connector (Massachusetts) With w/o Plan Plan Annual Income $50,000 $50,000 125 plans offer Annual pre-tax Employee Contribution $ 0 $ 3,000 employees to use pretax Taxable Income $50,000 $47,000 dollars toward Estimated Taxes 38%* $19,000 $17,860 health insurance Annual After-Tax Employee Contribution $ 3,000 $ 0 Net Take Home Pay $28,000 $29,140 Annual Savings from Pre-Tax $0 $ 1,140 Contributions 15 *38% comprised of 25% Federal + 5% State + 8% FICA/Medicare Other State Affordable Cost Strategies Increasing the number of insured Uninsured health care costs are partially paid for by the insured Significant decrease of the uninsured is expected to decrease insured health care costs due to less subsidization of the uninsured 16
  • 9. Virginia Reports Reviewed JLARC’s Options for Extending Health Insurance to Uninsured Virginians Governor’s Health Reform Commission’s Roadmap for Virginia’s Health 17 JLARC Options Allow small employers to utilize State employee or Local Choice health plans Could make providing insurance more affordable and attractive by reducing premium and administrative costs Could lead to higher premiums for State and Local Choice employees, increased administrative burden and costs for the State Small employers would still incur substantial premium costs 18 Source: JLARC slide 41 Options for Extending Health Insurance to Uninsured Virginians, December 11, 2006
  • 10. JLARC Options Establish a market exchange that small employers could designate as employer plan Could encourage more small employers to offer health insurance because provides opportunity to offer pre-tax employer contribution without any administrative responsibilities Elimination of administrative burden may not provide sufficient incentive to offer health insurance 19 Source: JLARC slide 42 Options for Extending Health Insurance to Uninsured Virginians, December 11, 2006 JLARC Options Expand Medicaid/FAMIS eligibility Medicaid and FAMIS covered over 800,000 Virginians (2006); Expansion would: Allow Virginia to cover more low-income individuals Expand the use of federal matching funds Add costs to the State Provide direct subsidies to low-income individuals to purchase health insurance Fills gap between what some individuals can afford and the price of insurance Requires substantial subsidy for individuals to engage Adds costs to State 20 Source: Options to Extend Health Insurance Coverage to Virginia’s Uninsured Population, JLARC, House Document 19 (2007)
  • 11. JLARC Options Provide subsidies to small employers 36% of Virginia’s uninsured adults Could provide tax through tax are full-time incentive or direct payment employees of Could require that employers business with less contribute to employees health than 100 people insurance Would require substantial subsidy for small employers to engage Would add costs to State 21 Source: Options to Extend Health Insurance Coverage to Virginia’s Uninsured Population, JLARC, House Document 19 (2007) Governor’s Health Reform Commission Recommendations Create a private health insurance product for working uninsured Virginians and small businesses who have limited access to other health insurance options Available to uninsured individuals who work for small employers that have not offered health insurance for at least the last 6 months $50,000 capped health care insurance policy $135 estimated monthly premium Those under 200% of the Federal Poverty Level 1/3 paid by employer 1/3 paid by employee 1/3 paid by Commonwealth Individuals over 200% FPL can purchase w/o VA contribution Estimated cost $20,000,000 22 Source: Governor’s Health Reform Commission, Roadmap for Virginia’s Health, September 2007.
  • 12. Governor’s Health Reform Commission Recommendations Health IT Council to assist VHI in developing a consumer-friendly portal for all Virginians. VHI would be a health care information clearinghouse that includes information on: Quality Pricing Health Literacy Estimated cost to create the portal is $454,750 over a 3 year period Does not include marketing plan or insurer information Source: Governor’s Health Reform Commission, Roadmap for Virginia’s Health, September 2007. 23 Policy Options
  • 13. Policy Options Option 1: Take no action Option 2: Request by letter of the Chairman that the Joint Commission convene a workgroup to develop a plan i) for establishing a Virginia Health Insurance Exchange targeted for small businesses, ii) for increasing employer adoption of Section 125 plans, and iii) any other health insurance issues as deemed appropriate. A report to JCHC would be due by November 2008 Workgroup will include: Bureau of Insurance Health insurance brokers Health insurers Small business employers 25 Public Comments Written public comments on the proposed options may be submitted to JCHC by close of business on November 5, 2007. However, to ensure comments are included in the preliminary matrix draft that will be distributed to JCHC members prior to the meeting, the comments must be received by close of business November 1st. Comments may be submitted via: E-mail: sareid@leg.state.va.us Fax: 804-786-5538 Mail: Joint Commission on Health Care P.O. Box 1322 Richmond, Virginia 23218 Comments will be summarized and presented to JCHC during its November 8th meeting. 26