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International Solar Energy
       Arena – STEAM

Renewable Energy: A Major Opportunity
       Solar Energy in Turkey



                                Ulrich Zachau
                              The World Bank
                             January 23, 2009
Energy Growth in Turkey

         Turkey's Primary Energy Growth 1990-2008

       120
       100
       80
mtoe




                                                                     Fossil
       60
                                                                     Fuels –
       40
                                                                     91%
       20
        0
        1990       1995   2000    2005     2006   2007(F) 2008 (F)

             Oil    Gas   Coal & Lignite   Renewable
High Fossil Fuel Use Drives
       Turkey’s GHG Emissions …


                                      Energy
                                      77%




LUCF – Land Use Change and Forestry
...and High GHG Emissions Growth
        Changes in GHG Emissions without LULUCF (% ) - 1990-2006

            Turkey


           Portugal


European Community


                UK


            Poland


          Romania


                      -60   -35     -10      15    40     65       90

 LULUCF – Land Use, Land Use Change and Forestry


... and High Energy Import Dependency
Opportunity: Turkey Can Scale Up
 Renewable Energy Dramatically
Solar Power:
Huge Global Potential, Largely Uncharted


             Total Solar energy potential:
                     120,000 TW


           Global energy demand: 15
                      TW



             Total Current Solar Energy
                Capacity: 0.009 TW
Solar Power: Both PV and CSP
   Applications Have Potential




Conventional PV Solar for             Solar PV – Serpa, Portugal
Residential Water Heating




                                     Concentrating Solar Power (CSP)
Solar Power Tower – Seville, Spain   Parabolic Troughs – Nevada USA
Global Solar Energy Use:
Small, but Growing Rapidly…
Turkey: High Solar Energy Potential …




Most favorable areas for
         CSP
… though Costs are Still High
           Capital cost of various technologies - 2005 (US$/
                                  kW)

8000
7000
6000
5000
4000
3000
2000
1000
  0
       Solar PV    CSP      Hydro      Wind      Coal    Combined
                                                         Cycle Gas



Commercial viability requires still high tariffs (US cents
30-40/ kWh) – which will fall as technology advances
Enabling Environment for Private
 Solar Power Investment in Turkey
• Basic Framework in Place:
  – Renewable Energy Law – feed-in tariff system,
    assured purchase arrangements
  – Regulatory framework

• Some Possible Next Steps:
  – Higher feed-in tariffs
  – Concessional finance
  – Clear and transparent framework for licensing,
    evaluation methodology etc.
Teşekkür Ederim!

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Renewable Energy A Major Opportunity Solar Energy In Turkey

  • 1. International Solar Energy Arena – STEAM Renewable Energy: A Major Opportunity Solar Energy in Turkey Ulrich Zachau The World Bank January 23, 2009
  • 2. Energy Growth in Turkey Turkey's Primary Energy Growth 1990-2008 120 100 80 mtoe Fossil 60 Fuels – 40 91% 20 0 1990 1995 2000 2005 2006 2007(F) 2008 (F) Oil Gas Coal & Lignite Renewable
  • 3. High Fossil Fuel Use Drives Turkey’s GHG Emissions … Energy 77% LUCF – Land Use Change and Forestry
  • 4. ...and High GHG Emissions Growth Changes in GHG Emissions without LULUCF (% ) - 1990-2006 Turkey Portugal European Community UK Poland Romania -60 -35 -10 15 40 65 90 LULUCF – Land Use, Land Use Change and Forestry ... and High Energy Import Dependency
  • 5. Opportunity: Turkey Can Scale Up Renewable Energy Dramatically
  • 6. Solar Power: Huge Global Potential, Largely Uncharted Total Solar energy potential: 120,000 TW Global energy demand: 15 TW Total Current Solar Energy Capacity: 0.009 TW
  • 7. Solar Power: Both PV and CSP Applications Have Potential Conventional PV Solar for Solar PV – Serpa, Portugal Residential Water Heating Concentrating Solar Power (CSP) Solar Power Tower – Seville, Spain Parabolic Troughs – Nevada USA
  • 8. Global Solar Energy Use: Small, but Growing Rapidly…
  • 9. Turkey: High Solar Energy Potential … Most favorable areas for CSP
  • 10. … though Costs are Still High Capital cost of various technologies - 2005 (US$/ kW) 8000 7000 6000 5000 4000 3000 2000 1000 0 Solar PV CSP Hydro Wind Coal Combined Cycle Gas Commercial viability requires still high tariffs (US cents 30-40/ kWh) – which will fall as technology advances
  • 11. Enabling Environment for Private Solar Power Investment in Turkey • Basic Framework in Place: – Renewable Energy Law – feed-in tariff system, assured purchase arrangements – Regulatory framework • Some Possible Next Steps: – Higher feed-in tariffs – Concessional finance – Clear and transparent framework for licensing, evaluation methodology etc.