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IFRS® Conceptual FrameworkProject SummaryMarch 2018C.docx
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IFRS® Conceptual FrameworkProject SummaryMarch 2018C.docx
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IFRS® Conceptual FrameworkProject SummaryMarch 2018C.docx

  1. IFRS® Conceptual Framework Project Summary March 2018 Conceptual Framework for Financial Reporting 2 | Project Summary | Conceptual Framework | March 2018 Conceptual Framework at a glance Introduction The International Accounting Standards Board (Board) issued the revised Conceptual Framework for Financial Reporting (Conceptual Framework), a comprehensive set of concepts for financial reporting, in March 2018. It sets out: • the objective of financial reporting • the qualitative characteristics of useful financial information • a description of the reporting entity and its boundary • definitions of an asset, a liability, equity, income and expenses
  2. • criteria for including assets and liabilities in financial statements (recognition) and guidance on when to remove them (derecognition) • measurement bases and guidance on when to use them • concepts and guidance on presentation and disclosure This Project Summary summarises: • why the Board revised the Conceptual Framework • the main changes from the previous Conceptual Framework • the main concepts and guidance in each chapter of the Conceptual Framework Purpose • to assist the Board to develop IFRS Standards (Standards) based on consistent concepts, resulting in financial information that is useful to investors, lenders and other creditors • to assist preparers of financial reports to develop consistent accounting policies for transactions or other events when no Standard applies or a Standard allows a choice of accounting policies • to assist all parties to understand and interpret Standards Status • provides concepts and guidance that underpin the decisions the
  3. Board makes when developing Standards • not a Standard • does not override any Standard or any requirement in a Standard Effective date • immediately for the Board and the IFRS Interpretations Committee • annual periods beginning on or after 1 January 2020 for preparers who develop an accounting policy based on the Conceptual Framework Project Summary | Conceptual Framework | March 2018 | 3 Why have we revised the Conceptual Framework? Priority identified as a priority by stakeholders in the 2011 Agenda Consultation Filling gaps for example, guidance on measurement, presentation and disclosure Updating for example, the definitions of an asset and a liability Clarifying
  4. for example, the role of measurement uncertainty Previous Conceptual Framework Revised Conceptual Framework • issued in 1989 and partly revised in 2010 • useful, but incomplete and needed improvement • a comprehensive set of concepts for financial reporting Approach In revising the Conceptual Framework, the Board sought a balance between providing high-level concepts and providing enough detail for the Conceptual Framework to be useful to the Board and others. The Board views the Conceptual Framework as a practical tool to help it develop Standards. Hence, the Conceptual Framework includes concepts that help the Board develop Standards and also discusses the factors the Board needs to consider in making judgements when application of the concepts does not lead to a single answer. 4 | Project Summary | Conceptual Framework | March 2018 Main changes New
  5. Measurement concepts on measurement, including factors to be considered when selecting a measurement basis Presentation and disclosure concepts on presentation and disclosure, including when to classify income and expenses in other comprehensive income Derecognition guidance on when assets and liabilities are removed from financial statements Updated Definitions definitions of an asset and a liability Recognition criteria for including assets and liabilities in financial statements Clarified Prudence Stewardship Measurement uncertainty Substance over form The revised Conceptual Framework introduces the following main improvements: Project Summary | Conceptual Framework | March 2018 | 5 Chapter 1—The objective of financial reporting This chapter sets out the objective of general purpose financial reporting (financial reporting), what information is needed to achieve that objective and who the primary users (users) of financial reports are. Objective of financial reporting To provide financial information that is useful to users in
  6. making decisions relating to providing resources to the entity Stewardship Users of financial reports need information to help them assess management’s stewardship. The Conceptual Framework explicitly discusses this need as well as the need for information that helps users assess the prospects for future net cash inflows to the entity. Users’ decisions involve decisions about buying, selling or holding equity or debt instruments providing or settling loans and other forms of credit voting, or otherwise influencing management’s actions To make these decisions, users assess prospects for future net cash inflows to the entity management’s stewardship of the entity’s economic resources To make both these assessments, users need information about both
  7. the entity’s economic resources, claims against the entity and changes in those resources and claims how efficiently and effectively management has discharged its responsibilities to use the entity’s economic resources Summary of changes This chapter was issued in 2010 and went through extensive due process at that time. Therefore, in revising the Conceptual Framework, the Board did not fundamentally reconsider this chapter. However, it clarified why information used in assessing stewardship is needed to achieve the objective of financial reporting. Users of financial reports Users of financial reports are an entity’s existing and potential investors, lenders and other creditors. Those users must rely on financial reports for much of the financial information they need. 6 | Project Summary | Conceptual Framework | March 2018 Chapter 2—Qualitative characteristics of useful financial information This chapter discusses what makes financial information useful. Prudence Neutrality is supported by the exercise of prudence. Prudence is the exercise of caution when making
  8. judgements under conditions of uncertainty. Prudence does not allow for overstatement or understatement of assets, liabilities, income or expenses. Measurement uncertainty Measurement uncertainty does not prevent information from being useful. However, in some cases the most relevant information may have such a high level of measurement uncertainty that the most useful information is information that is slightly less relevant but is subject to lower measurement uncertainty. Fundamental qualitative characteristics Relevance • information is relevant if it is capable of making a difference to the decisions made by users • financial information is capable of making a difference in decisions if it has predictive value or confirmatory value Faithful representation • information must faithfully represent the substance of what it purports to represent • a faithful representation is, to the maximum extent possible, complete, neutral and free from error • a faithful representation is affected by level of measurement uncertainty Enhancing qualitative characteristics
  9. Comparability Verifiability Timeliness Understandability • these four qualitative characteristics enhance the usefulness of information • but they cannot make non-useful information useful Cost constraint • the benefit of providing the information needs to justify the cost of providing and using the information Summary of changes This chapter was issued in 2010 and went through extensive due process at that time. Therefore, in revising the Conceptual Framework the Board did not fundamentally reconsider this chapter. However, the Board clarified the roles of prudence, measurement uncertainty and substance over form in assessing whether information is useful. For information to be useful it must both be relevant and provide a faithful representation of what it purports to represent. Relevance and faithful representation are the fundamental qualitative characteristics of useful financial information, and the guiding concepts that apply throughout the revised Conceptual Framework. Project Summary | Conceptual Framework | March 2018 | 7 Boundary of a reporting entity
  10. Determining the appropriate boundary of a reporting entity can be difficult if, for example, the entity is not a legal entity. In such cases, the boundary is determined by considering the information needs of the users of the entity’s financial statements. Those users need information that is relevant and that faithfully represents what it purports to represent. A reporting entity does not comprise an arbitrary or incomplete collection of assets, liabilities, equity, income and expenses. Financial statements a particular form of financial reports that provide information about the reporting entity’s assets, liabilities, equity, income and expenses Reporting entity • an entity that is required, or chooses, to prepare financial statements • not necessarily a legal entity—could be a portion of an entity or comprise more than one entity Consolidated financial statements Unconsolidated financial statements Combined financial statements provide information about assets, liabilities, equity, income and
  11. expenses of both the parent and its subsidiaries as a single reporting entity provide information about assets, liabilities, equity, income and expenses of the parent only provide information about assets, liabilities, equity, income and expenses of two or more entities that are not all linked by a parent-subsidiary relationship Summary of changes This chapter is new. Chapter 3—Financial statements and the reporting entity This chapter describes the objective and scope of financial statements and provides a description of the reporting entity. 8 | Project Summary | Conceptual Framework | March 2018 Chapter 4—The elements of financial statements continued ... This chapter defines the five elements of financial statements— an asset, a liability, equity, income and expenses. Previous definition of an asset
  12. A resource controlled by the entity as a result of past events and from which future economic benefits are expected to flow to the entity Revised definition of an asset A present economic resource controlled by the entity as a result of past events An economic resource is a right that has the potential to produce economic benefits Previous definition of a liability A present obligation of the entity arising from past events, the settlement of which is expected to result in an outflow from the entity of resources embodying economic benefits Revised definition of a liability A present obligation of the entity to transfer an economic resource as a result of past events An obligation is a duty or responsibility that the entity has no practical ability to avoid Main changes in the definition of an asset • separate definition of an economic resource—to clarify that an asset is the economic resource, not the ultimate inflow of economic benefits
  13. • deletion of ‘expected flow’—it does not need to be certain, or even likely, that economic benefits will arise • a low probability of economic benefits might affect recognition decisions and the measurement of the asset Main changes in the definition of a liability • separate definition of an economic resource—to clarify that a liability is the obligation to transfer the economic resource, not the ultimate outflow of economic benefits • deletion of ‘expected flow’—with the same implications as set out above for an asset • introduction of the ‘no practical ability to avoid’ criterion to the definition of obligation No practical ability to avoid The revised Conceptual Framework discusses how the ‘no practical ability to avoid’ criterion is applied in the following circumstances: (a) if a duty or responsibility arises from the entity’s customary practices, published policies or specific statements—the entity has an obligation if it has no practical ability to act in a manner inconsistent
  14. with those practices, policies or statements. (b) if a duty or responsibility is conditional on a particular future action that the entity itself may take—the entity has an obligation if it has no practical ability to avoid taking that action. Summary of changes The definitions of an asset and a liability have been refined and the definitions of income and expenses have been updated only to reflect that refinement. The definition of equity as the residual interest in the assets of the entity after deducting all its liabilities is unchanged. The Board’s research project on Financial Instruments with Characteristics of Equity is exploring the distinction between liabilities and equity. Project Summary | Conceptual Framework | March 2018 | 9 ... continued Executory contract An executory contract is a contract that is equally unperformed. It establishes a single asset or liability for the inseparable combined right and obligation to exchange economic resources. Substance of contracts To represent contractual rights and obligations
  15. faithfully, financial statements must report their substance. In some cases, the substance of such rights and obligations is clear from a contract’s legal form. But, in other cases, the terms of the contract, or of a group or series of contracts, may require analysis to identify the substance of the rights and obligations. Revised definition of expenses Decreases in assets, or increases in liabilities, that result in decreases in equity, other than those relating to distributions to holders of equity claims Revised definition of income Increases in assets, or decreases in liabilities, that result in increases in equity, other than those relating to contributions from holders of equity claims Although income and expenses are defined in terms of changes in assets and liabilities, information about income and expenses is just as important as information about assets and liabilities. Unit of account the right(s) or obligation(s), or group of rights and obligations, to which recognition criteria and measurement concepts are applied Selecting the unit of account Relevance
  16. • a unit of account is selected to provide relevant information about the asset or liability and any related income and expenses Faithful representation • a unit of account is selected to provide a faithful represention of the substance of the transaction or other event from which the asset, liability and any related income or expenses have arisen 10 | Project Summary | Conceptual Framework | March 2018 Chapter 5—Recognition and derecognition Recognition The process of capturing for inclusion in the statement of financial position or the statement(s) of financial performance an item that meets the definition of an asset, a liability, equity, income or expenses This chapter discusses criteria for including assets and liabilities in financial statements (recognition) and guidance on when to remove them (derecognition). Why recognition is important Recognising assets, liabilities, equity, income and expenses depicts an entity’s financial position and financial performance in structured summaries (the statements of financial position and financial performance). The amounts recognised in a statement are included in the totals and, if applicable, subtotals,
  17. in the statement. The statements are linked because income and expenses are linked to changes in assets and liabilities. Summary of changes The previous recognition criteria were that an entity should recognise an item that met the definition of an element if it was probable that economic benefits would flow to the entity and if the item had a cost or value that could be determined reliably. The revised recognition criteria refer explicitly to the qualitative characteristics of useful information. The Board’s aim was to develop a more coherent set of concepts, not to increase or decrease the range of assets and liabilities recognised. Cost constraint Cost constrains recognition decisions, just as it constrains other financial reporting decisions Recognition criteria Relevance • whether recognition of an item results in relevant information may be affected by, for example: Faithful representation • whether recognition of an item results in a
  18. faithful representation may be affected by, for example: measurement uncertainty presentation and disclosure recognition inconsistency (accounting mismatch)existence uncertainty low probability of a flow of economic benefits Recognition is appropriate if it results in both relevant information about assets, liabilities, equity, income and expenses and a faithful representation of those items, because the aim is to provide information that is useful to investors, lenders and other creditors continued ... Project Summary | Conceptual Framework | March 2018 | 11 Derecognition The removal of all or part of a recognised asset or liability from an entity’s statement of financial position Derecognition resulting from a transfer Normally, a faithful representation of a transfer of an asset or liability is achieved by derecognition of the asset or liability with appropriate presentation and disclosure.
  19. However, in limited cases, it may be necessary to continue to recognise a transferred component of an asset or liability together with a liability or asset for the proceeds received or paid, with appropriate presentation and disclosure. Summary of changes The guidance on derecognition is new. Derecognition normally occurs For an asset when the entity loses control of all or part of the recognised asset For a liability when the entity no longer has a present obligation for all or part of the recognised liability Derecognition aims to faithfully represent both • any assets and liabilities retained after the transaction that led to the derecognition • the change in the entity’s assets and liabilities as a result of that transaction ... continued 12 | Project Summary | Conceptual Framework | March 2018
  20. Chapter 6—Measurement This chapter describes various measurement bases and discusses factors to be considered when selecting a measurement basis. Summary of changes The previous version of the Conceptual Framework included little guidance on measurement. The revised Conceptual Framework describes what information measurement bases provide and explains the factors to consider when selecting a measurement basis. Current value measurement bases • current value provides information updated to reflect conditions at the measurement date • current value measurement bases include: fair value • the price that would be received to sell an asset, or paid to transfer a liability, in an orderly transaction between market participants at the measurement date • reflects market participants’ current expectations about the amount, timing and uncertainty of future cash flows value in use (for assets) fulfilment value (for liabilities) • reflects entity-specific current expectations about the amount, timing and uncertainty of future cash flows
  21. current cost • reflects the current amount that would be: � paid to acquire an equivalent asset � received to take on an equivalent liability Historical cost measurement bases • historical cost provides information derived, at least in part, from the price of the transaction or other event that gave rise to the item being measured • historical cost of assets is reduced if they become impaired and historical cost of liabilities is increased if they become onerous • one way to apply a historical cost measurement basis to financial assets and financial liabilities is to measure them at amortised cost continued ... Project Summary | Conceptual Framework | March 2018 | 13 Cost constraint Cost constrains the selection of a measurement basis, just as it constrains other financial reporting decisions The factors to be considered when selecting a measurement basis are relevance and faithful representation, because the aim is to provide information that is useful to investors, lenders and other creditors
  22. Selecting a measurement basis In selecting a measurement basis, it is necessary to consider the nature of the information in both the statement of financial position and the statement(s) of financial performance. The relative importance of each factor to be considered (see boxes) depends upon the facts and circumstances of individual cases. Consideration of the factors and the cost constraint is likely to result in the selection of different measurement bases for different assets, liabilities, income and expenses. ... continued Factors to consider in selecting a measurement basis Relevance Relevance of information provided by a measurement basis is affected by: characteristics of the asset or liability • the variability of cash flows • sensitivity of the value to market factors or other risks • for example, amortised cost cannot provide relevant information about a deriviative
  23. contribution to future cash flows • whether cash flows are produced directly or indirectly in combination with other economic resources • the nature of the entity’s business activities • for example, if assets are used in combination to produce goods or services, historical cost can provide relevant information about margins achieved in a period Faithful representation Whether a measurement basis can provide a faithful representation is affected by: measurement inconsistency • if financial statements contain measurement inconsistencies (accounting mismatch), those financial statements may not faithfully represent some aspects of the entity’s financial position and financial performance measurement uncertainty • does not necessarily prevent the use of a measurement basis that provides relevant information • but if too high might make it necessary to consider selecting a different measurement basis 14 | Project Summary | Conceptual Framework | March 2018
  24. Chapter 7—Presentation and disclosure This chapter includes concepts on presentation and disclosure and guidance on including income and expenses in the statement of profit or loss and other comprehensive income. Better Communication Information about assets, liabilities, equity, income and expenses is communicated through presentation and disclosure in the financial statements. Effective communication of information in financial statements makes that information more relevant and contributes to a faithful representation of an entity’s assets, liabilities, equity, income and expenses. The revised Conceptual Framework includes concepts that describe how information should be presented and disclosed in financial statements. The Board is also working on several projects on the theme of Better Communication to make financial information more useful to investors, lenders and other creditors and to improve the communication of that information. Summary of changes This chapter is new. Other comprehensive income • In exceptional circumstances, the Board may decide to exclude
  25. from the statement of profit or loss income or expenses arising from a change in current value of an asset or liability and include those income and expenses in other comprehensive income • The Board may make such a decision when doing so would result in the statement of profit or loss providing more relevant information or a more faithful representation The statement of profit or loss • The statement of profit or loss is the primary source of information about an entity’s financial performance for the reporting period • Profit or loss could be a section of a single statement of financial performance or a separate statement • The statement(s) of financial performance include(s) a total (subtotal) for profit or loss • In principle, all income and expenses are classified and included in the statement of profit or loss Recycling • In principle, income and expenses included in other comprehensive income in one period are recycled to the statement of profit or loss in a future period when doing so results in the statement of profit or loss providing more relevant information or a more faithful representation • When recycling does not result in the statement of profit or loss providing more relevant information
  26. or a more faithful representation, the Board may decide income and expenses included in other comprehensive income are not to be subsequently recycled Project Summary | Conceptual Framework | March 2018 | 15 Exemptions • IFRS 3 Business Combinations To avoid unintended consequences, acquirers are required to apply the definitions of an asset and a liability and supporting concepts in the previous, rather than the revised, Conceptual Framework. The Board plans to assess how IFRS 3 can be updated without unintended consequences. • Regulatory account balances When developing accounting policies for regulatory account balances applying IAS 8 Accounting Policies, Changes in Accounting Estimates and Errors, entities are required to refer to the previous, rather than the revised, Conceptual Framework. This avoids entities revising those accounting policies twice within a short period: once for the revised Conceptual Framework and again when a revised Standard on rate-regulated activities is issued. Objective of the amendments • Some Standards include explicit references to previous versions of the
  27. Conceptual Framework • These amendments update those references so they refer to the revised Conceptual Framework Effects • The Board expects the amendments to references to the Conceptual Framework in Standards will not have a significant effect on users and preparers of financial statements Effective date and transition • The amendments are effective for annual periods beginning on or after 1 January 2020, with earlier application permitted • The amendments should be applied retrospectively unless retrospective application would be impracticable or involve undue cost or effort Amendments to References to the Conceptual Framework in IFRS Standards—a separate accompanying document That document sets out amendments to Standards to update references to the Conceptual Framework. 16 | Project Summary | Conceptual Framework | March 2018 Important information
  28. This Project Summary has been compiled by the staff of the IFRS Foundation for the convenience of interested parties. The views within this document are those of the staff who prepared this document and do not necessarily reflect the views or the opinions of the Board. The content of this Project Summary does not constitute any advice and is not to be considered as an authoritative document issued by the Board. Official pronouncements of the Board are available in electronic format to eIFRS subscribers. Publications are available for ordering from the IFRS Foundation website at www.ifrs.org. Other relevant documents Conceptual Framework for Financial Reporting—describes the objective of, and the concepts for, general purpose financial reporting. Basis for Conclusions on the Conceptual Framework for Financial Reporting—summarises the Board’s considerations in developing the Conceptual Framework. Amendments to References to the Conceptual Framework in IFRS Standards—sets out amendments to Standards, their accompanying documents and IFRS practice statements. Feedback Statement—summarises the feedback on the proposals that led to the revised Conceptual Framework.
  29. Project Summary | Conceptual Framework | March 2018 | 17 Notes 18 | Project Summary | Conceptual Framework | March 2018 Notes Project Summary | Conceptual Framework | March 2018 | 19 Notes Printed on 100 per cent recycled paper 100% Contact the IFRS Foundation for details of countries where its trade marks are in use or have been registered. International Financial Reporting Standards® IFRS Foundation® IFRS® IAS® IFRIC®
  30. SIC® IASB® International Accounting Standards Board® (Board) The Board is the independent standard-setting body of the IFRS® Foundation 30 Cannon Street | London EC4M 6XH | United Kingdom Telephone: +44 (0)20 7246 6410 Email: [email protected] | Web: www.ifrs.org Publications Department Telephone: +44 (0)20 7332 2730 Email: [email protected] Copyright © 2018 IFRS® Foundation All rights reserved. Reproduction and use rights are strictly limited. No part of this publication may be translated, reprinted, reproduced or used in any form either in whole or in part or by any electronic, mechanical or other means, now known or hereafter invented, including photocopying and recording, or in any information storage and retrieval system, without prior permission in writing from the IFRS Foundation. The Foundation has trade marks registered around the world (Marks) including ‘IAS®’, ‘IASB®’, ‘IFRIC®’, ‘IFRS®’, the IFRS® logo, ‘IFRS for SMEs®’, the IFRS for SMEs® logo, the ‘Hexagon Device’, ‘International Accounting Standards®’, ‘International Financial Reporting Standards®’, ‘NIIF®’ and ‘SIC®’. Further details of the Foundation’s Marks are available from the Foundation on request.
  31. The IFRS Foundation is a not-for-profit corporation under the General Corporation Law of the State of Delaware, USA and operates in England and Wales as an overseas company (Company number: FC023235) with its principal office in London. 2.4 EUR/USD: Jeremy Seetoh Heung Weng, s3834522 The Euro (EUR) is the second most used currency globally with an estimated amount of 341 million users daily. A total of 37 countries uses EUR. The European Central Bank (ECB) is the only central bank managing the EUR. 2.4.1 Past and Present Currency Analysis Over the past one year, the EUR has a depreciating trend against the USD. From 20 February onwards, the EUR started to appreciate against USD. The spot rate from 11 March 2019 to 10 March 2020 increased from 1.1247 to 1.1347, a total of 1000 pips. The highest recorded value of EUR against USD is 1.1447 on 9 March 2020, while the lowest recorded value is 1.07847 on 20 February 2020. Figure 1: EUR/USD Spot Rate 11 March 2019 – 10 March 2020 (Eikon, 2020) Brexit Brexit was an international event for the European Union (EU), where United Kingdom (UK) left the EU. The entire event lasted from 23 June 2016 to 31 January 2020. Figure 2 shows EUR against USD throughout the period of Brexit. Figure 2: EUR/USD Spot Rate 25 February 2015 to 24 February 2020 (XE, 2020) The EUR showed signs of depreciation against the USD when majority of the public voted UK to withdraw from the EU.
  32. However, the value of EUR appreciated when then Prime Minister of UK, Theresa May, announced that UK will still be part of the EU for two years. When UK agreed with the EU on the ‘divorced bill’ on 8 December 2017, the EUR can be seen having a depreciation trend against the USD. Moreover, the EUR continued to depreciate when UK officially left the EU on 31 January 2020 (Power, 2019). Brexit is one factor causing economic instability resulting in a decreasing economic growth of the EU as shown in Figure 3. Figure 3: Economic Growth of the EU (Europa, 2020) With a decrease in economic growth, a dealer will prefer to opt for a short position, which will result in an increase in supply of the EUR. This causes the exchange rate to decrease explained in Figure 4. Figure 4: S-D Model on Brexit effect on EUR EU-US Trade Relations In 2018, the EU is the largest exporter and second largest importer of US. From 2008 to 2018, the EU is seen having an increasing trend in trade surplus with US as shown in Figure 5. This means that the EU is exporting more products to US compared to their import. Figure 5: EU-US Trade 2008-2018 (Europa, 2019) There has been a trade tension between US and EU in recent years. This has been largely influenced by President of USA, Donald Trump, threatening to impose tariffs on multiple products from EU. One example is imposing 25% tariff on vehicles (Pramuk, 2020). However, negotiations between the
  33. two countries are still on-going to work out on a deal which will improve trading relationships. This will affect exports of the EU as vehicles are the second highest exports of EU to US in 2018 (Workman, 2019). With tariffs in place, manufacturers and companies will increase the price of the products. This means consumers will have to pay a higher price for the imported products, causing exports of EU to fall. With higher imports, there will be an increase in supply. This leads to the exchange rate to decrease, explained in Figure 6. Figure 6: S-D Model on EU-US Trade affecting EUR Monetary Policies The interest rate of EU is determined by the ECB while the Federal Reserve Board determines the interest rate of US. Due to the Coronavirus affecting global economies, numerous Central Banks have lowered their interest rate. Statistics on 4 March 2020 showed the interest rate of US has decreased from 1.75% to 1.25%. The ECB maintained at 0% but deposit rates were reduced to -0.5% (Lee, 2020). With the ECB having a negative deposit rate, it discourages deposit made to the ECB. This results in the ECB having lesser EUR. A decrease in supply leads to EUR appreciating against USD as shown in Figure 7. Figure 7: S-D Model on Monetary Policies affecting EUR 2.4.2 Future Market Conditions for EUR/USD In my opinion, the spot rate of EUR/USD will fluctuate in the next 6 months. With measures from the ECB, the early stages of the next 6 months will see the EUR generally appreciating against USD. However, the poor economic growth will see the EUR start depreciating against USD, but the spot rate will not hit a record low. This is because the exports of EU can still
  34. contribute to the economic growth and trade relationships between EU and US can be further improved on. References EUR/USD (Point form) Euro is the second most used currency worldwide with an estimated amount of 341 million users daily. (https://europa.eu/european-union/about-eu/euro/which- countries-use-euro_en). There is only one central bank managing the euro, the European Central Bank. (https://www.thebalance.com/what-is-the-euro- 3305928). The graph shows the exchange rate of EUR/USD. (https://www.xe.com/currencycharts/?from=EUR&to=USD&vie w=1Y) 37 countries uses Euro (https://www.thebalance.com/what-is- the-euro-3305928#countries-that-use-the-euro) Factor 1: Brexit The graph shows the exchange rate of EUR/USD throughout the whole period of Brexit. (https://www.xe.com/currencycharts/?from=EUR&to=USD&vie w=5Y). Reference for explanation (https://www.theweek.co.uk/100284/brexit-timeline-key-dates- in-the-uk-s-break-up-with-the-eu). As shown in the graph, the Euro depreciated when the UK voted to leave the EU in the third quarter of 2016. The value of the Euro appreciated when then Prime Minister of the UK, Theresa May, announced that the UK will still be part of the EU for the next two years in the first quarter of 2017. On 8 December 2017, the UK agreed a deal on the UK ‘divorced bill’ with the EU. This has caused the
  35. Euro to depreciate against USD since 2018. On 31 January 2020, the UK left the EU officially, resulting in a significant depreciation of the Euro where the value decreased from $1.11 on 1 February 2020 to $1.08 on 20 February 2020. The effect of Brexit has led to a decrease in economic growth of the EU, which could result in a recession for the EU in the near future. (https://www.nytimes.com/2020/01/31/business/economy/europe an-union-eurozone-economy.html). Brexit reference (https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-politics-32810887). Brexit can cause political instability (https://www.reuters.com/article/us-britain-eu-ecb/brexit-could- lead-to-political-instability-in-eu-ecbs-makuch- idUSKCN0Z60G1) Economic growth table (https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/documents/2995521/10159272/2- 31012020-BP-EN.pdf/435a608a-c9f9-9043-52a1-43ee8cb03d8f) Factor 2: Trade US-EU trade stats https://ustr.gov/countries-regions/europe-middle- east/europe/european-union US-EU trade tension https://www.cnbc.com/2018/08/21/trump-us-to-put-a-25percent- tariff-on-every-car-from-european-union.html https://www.cnbc.com/2019/12/13/ustr-weighing-100percent- tariffs-on-new-eu-products-including-whiskies.html https://www.cnbc.com/2019/10/03/us-eu-trade-fight-could-drag- on-after-victory-at-wto-clete-willems.html (favour US on tariff) https://www.politico.com/news/2020/01/16/eu-trade-chief- urges-reset-in-us-relationship-amid-tensions-099745 (negotiations) https://www.ft.com/content/ae259de2-57db-11ea-a528- dd0f971febbc (negotiation) https://lot.dhl.com/timeline-how-the-u-s-eu-trade-dispute-took- shape/ (timeline) https://www.cnbc.com/2020/01/21/trump-says-he-is-serious- about-tariffs-on-european-cars.html (threat)
  36. https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/products-eurostat-news/- /DDN-20190520-1 (stats) Factor 3: Interest Rate https://www.investopedia.com/ask/answers/who-determines- interest-rates/ https://europa.eu/european-union/about-eu/institutions- bodies/european-central-bank_en https://www.cnbc.com/2020/03/04/coronavirus-federal-reserve- other-central-banks-cut-interest-rates.html https://www.washingtonpost.com/business/2020/03/03/economy -coronavirus-rate-cuts/ Introduction Over the past year The EUR/USD currency exchange rate has been experiencing a downward trend in favor of USD being stronger compared with EUR. As of the first quarter of 2018 there was a sudden drop in the exchange rate between EUR/USD and henceforth till today there has been showing a gradual decreasing trend in the chart which can be shown in Fig.1. The major factors affecting these fluctuation in exchange rate will be inflation between the countries, their interest rates, and level of national debt. By comparing the factors between these 2 countries we will be able to forecast what the exchange rate be over the next 6 months Figure 1 EUR/USD Exchange rates, (Eikon 2019)
  37. 1. Inflation rate By comparing the inflation rate between the Eurozone and US we can show that the exchange rate follow the rules that with higher the inflation rate, it will lead to an eventual decline in exchange rate for that respective currency. For the span of 1 year from July 2018 to July 2019 there was there has been a downward trend on EUR/USD of 1.1742 to 1.1074 which was decrease of 668 pips which can be shown from Fig 1. This is highly influenced by the rate of inflation between the 2 zone of interest which can be then shown in Fig 2. By forecasting the inflation rate we can then forecast the EUR/USD exchange rate. Forecast wise, inflation in the United States is expected to raise by 1.70% by the end of this year quarter and the inflation rate of for Euro area will be at 1.20% (Trading Economy, 2019).This statement is also backed up by a news report by New Europe stating that from a 1.7% inflation rate will lead to the inflation to become 1.2% by the end of the quarter (New Europe, 2019). Hence US having a higher inflation rate will result in a weaker exchange rate this shows that by using just inflation there will be an increase in the EUR/USD exchange rate. Figure 2 United States & Euro area Inflation Rate (Trading economics 2019) 2. Commodities By having a higher commodity price it will lead to a raise in the exchange rate of that country due to an increase in export revenue (Emanuel, Fernando, & Andreas, 2016). The ongoing trade war between US and China is yet to stop and China is even introducing 2 new tariff on American exports that will hit about $75 million worth of agriculture products, cars
  38. and automotive products and oil exported from the U.S. These auto tariff could be as high as 25% but mostly will be around the range of 5% to 10% (Andrew, 2019). Due to the increase in the tariff due to my prediction it will lead to a decrease in the export in US goods out of the country, hence leading to a decline in USD currency rate. On Euro area side of the story, there has been a setback due to the fact that the White House agreed to delay new tariffs on imported automobiles and parts for six months as of May of 2019 (Bryce B. 2019). Hence before such tariffs are imposed over the next 6 months I speculate that there will be an increase in the export before the tariff by US is imposed. As such EUR will have a rise in their exchange rate. Below the graph will show an example of the forecast of Euro area and U.S. Figure 3. United States Exports Forecast (Trading economics 2019) Figure 4. European area Exports Forecast (Trading economics 2019) Conclusion After conducting all these research it is safe to say that by the end of 6 months which is on March 2020 there will be an increase in the strength of the US dollar and a decrease in the strength of the Euro at the rate in which both country inflation is going.
  39. Whereas we are able to capitalize and forecast that from September to November the Euro currency will appreciate in value due to its export increase of automobile before the tariff hits. So in summary my forecast will be to that from September to November there will be an increase in Euro currency on this period and eventually by the end of the 180 days period starting from early September, US will eventually catch up on its currency value which will then cause the rates of EUR/USD to be lower. Reference Andrew S. 2019, ‘China Unveils New Tariffs as Trade War Escalates’ viewed on 12 September 2019 <https://www.usnews.com/news/world/articles/2019-08- 23/china-targets-soybeans-automobiles-and-oil-in-latest- tariffs>Bryce B, 2019, ‘EU Trade Chief Says U.S. Car Tariff Threat ‘Not Based on Facts’ viewed on 12 September 2019 https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2019-09-04/eu-trade- chief-says-u-s-car-tariff-threat-not-based-on-facts Eikon EUR/USD Exhange rate, 2019, Thomson Reuters, viewed on 11 September 2019, https://apac1.apps.cp.thomsonreuters.com/web/Explorer/EVzCO RPxCHARTzEIKONCHART.aspx?s=EUR%3D&st=RIC Emanuel, Fernando, Andreas 2016 ‘BIS Working Papers No 551 When the Walk is not Random: Commodity Prices and Exchange Rates’ pp. 2Euro Area Export Rate, 2019, Trading Economics, viewed on 11 September 2019, https://tradingeconomics.com/euro-area/exports Euro Area Inflation Rate, 2019, Trading Economics, viewed on
  40. 11 September 2019, https://tradingeconomics.com/euro- area/inflation-cpiNew Europe, 2019 ‘Euro area annual inflation rate to lower’ viewed on 12 September 2019, https://www.neweurope.eu/article/euro-area-annual-inflation- rate-to-lower/United States Export Rate, 2019, Trading Economics, viewed on 11 September 2019, https://tradingeconomics.com/united-states/exports United States Inflation Rate, 2019, Trading Economics, viewed on 11 September 2019, https://tradingeconomics.com/united- states/inflation-cpi 1 With reference to the IASB Conceptual Framework Project website and associated resources, as well as the relevant accounting literature, explain why the IASB decided to revise the conceptual framework with specific reference to: a. Measurement, presentation and disclosure; It was identified by the IASB board that the previous conceptual framework did not possess a section for measurement, presentation and for disclosure issues.
  41. Further as per the general accepted guideline on measurement, presentation and disclosure were too rigid, lengthy and detailed. Therefore the IASB board decided to arrange a single measurement basis to be used in measurement.Therefore two measurement bases were identified namely historical and current value measurement (Conceptual framework — Presentation and disclosure; elements of financial statements; capital maintenance (IASB only), 2020). Earlier in order do measurements the historical cost, revaluation cost, relevant cost, fair value etc were used. Further when identifying presentation requirements new definitions for assets and liabilities were introduced to identify its economic exposure more than it was previously used (2020). Further with regard to disclosure requirements in explanatory notes were widened to make it useful for the users to understand the financial statements more and more. (Conceptual Framework Phase E — Presentation and disclosure, 2020) b. Definitions of an asset and liability and recognition criteria; Previous definition of assets In the previous definition an asset is viewed as just a resource controlled by the entity and this asset has been arised or occured as a result of a past event and further it was stated that an asset would bring in future economic benefits or positive financial outcomes to the entity. New definition on assets. Within the new definition on assets which were introduced by the IASB (international Accounting Standards Board) board in March 2018, they have recognised an
  42. asset as a economic resource which would be controlled by the entity and further this asset is existing within the business as a result of a past event which has taken place. Further, a definition on economic resources has also been highlighted as an element which possesses the potential to produce economic benefits. Previous definition on liabilities Within the previous definition a liability was recognised as a present obligation or a present loan of the entity, further this obligation has arisen as a result of a past event which has occured within the entity and this obligation would result in future outflow of economic resources from the entity. New definition on liabilities Within the new definition on liability which were introduced by the IASB (international Accounting Standards Board) board in March 2018, they have recognised a liability as a present or currently available obligation of the entity to transfer an economic resource or an economic benefit to another party. Further this economic liability exists as a result of a past event. Subsequently a definition has been identified for an obligation as a responsibility that cannot be avoided by the entity. (Revised Conceptual Framework for Financial Reporting | Crowe Maldives LLP, 2020) c. The roles of stewardship and prudence in financial reporting
  43. Stewardship could be viewed as an element which could be used as a useful tool when making decisions and professional judgements to identify tolerable levels of uncertainty measurement when denoting faithful representation when preparing financial statements. The newly introduced Conceptual Framework highlights specifically the importance of providing accurate information to the management’s to identify their stewardship in preparing and presenting financial statements and specifically states that faithful representation maintained when recording a transaction reports its economic substance and its legal substance. Prudence identified that when measuring financial statement elements namely the assets, liabilities, income, expenses and capital components that those needs to be reflected at their actual values to abide by all the qualitative characteristics of financial statements. In other words these elements cannot be overstated or understated. The full effort needs to be exerted to identify the actual value to faithfully represent them in financial statements. To align the qualitative characteristics to stewardship and prudence concepts the qualitative characteristics are mainly divided into two sections namely fundamental characteristics and enhancing characteristics. Fundamental characteristics comprises relevance and faithful representation and further the enhancing qualitative characteristics comprises comparability, verifiability, timeliness and understandability.
  44. (IFRS, 2020) References. Iasplus.com. 2020. Conceptual Framework — Presentation And Disclosure; Elements Of Financial Statements; Capital Maintenance (IASB Only). [online] Available at: <https://www.iasplus.com/en/meeting-notes/iasb/2013/march/cf- 2> [Accessed 9 March 2020]. Grantthornton.global. 2020. [online] Available at: <https://www.grantthornton.global/globalassets/1.-member- firms/global/insights/article-pdfs/2018/ifrs-new s---a-revised-conceptual-framework-for-financial- reporting.pdf> [Accessed 9 March 2020]. Iasplus.com. 2020. Conceptual Framework Phase E — Presentation And Disclosure. [online] Available at: <https://www.iasplus.com/en/projects/completed/framework/fra mework-e> [Accessed 9 March 2020]. Crowe.com. 2020. Revised Conceptual Framework For Financial Reporting | Crowe Maldives LLP. [online] Available at: <https://www.crowe.com/mv/insights/revised-conceptual- framework-for-financial-reporting> [Accessed 9 March 2020]. Ifrs.org. 2020. IFRS. [online] Available at: <https://www.ifrs.org/projects/2018/conceptual-framework/>
  45. [Accessed 9 March 2020].
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