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Oh My God We're All Gonna Die
The Future of Webhosting...and What We Can Do About It




      Christian Dawson – COO, ServInt

     Christian Dawson - COO, ServInt
Christian Dawson - COO, ServInt
Prior to 1900...




    Christian Dawson - COO, ServInt
Prior to 1900...
•       There were hundreds of car manufacturers
        between 1800 and 1900
    •    Small, very profitable firms made custom motor
         “wagons” on a case by case basis




          Christian Dawson - COO, ServInt
Prior to 1900...
•       There were hundreds of car manufacturers
        between 1800 and 1900
    •    Small, very profitable firms made custom motor
         “wagons” on a case by case basis
•       No Standards for fuel
    •    Petroleum based/internal combustion engines,
         Steam, and Electric cars were prevalent.




          Christian Dawson - COO, ServInt
Prior to 1900...
•       There were hundreds of car manufacturers
        between 1800 and 1900
    •    Small, very profitable firms made custom motor
         “wagons” on a case by case basis
•       No Standards for fuel
    •    Petroleum based/internal combustion engines,
         Steam, and Electric cars were prevalent.
•       No Standards for roads
    •    Limited adoption to more developed regions

          Christian Dawson - COO, ServInt
Then there were 3




   Christian Dawson - COO, ServInt
Then there were 3




   Christian Dawson - COO, ServInt
What happened?




   Christian Dawson - COO, ServInt
What happened?
•   Before the assembly line, mass
    production wasn’t feasible.




     Christian Dawson - COO, ServInt
What happened?
•   Before the assembly line, mass
    production wasn’t feasible.
•   After the assembly line, parts were
    standardized and cars were made en
    masse.




     Christian Dawson - COO, ServInt
What happened?
•   Before the assembly line, mass
    production wasn’t feasible.
•   After the assembly line, parts were
    standardized and cars were made en
    masse.
•   Resulted in cheaper, more reliable
    products that could seriously compete
    with custom manufacturers.

     Christian Dawson - COO, ServInt
Sound Familiar?




   Christian Dawson - COO, ServInt
Sound Familiar?
•   Web Standards are finally being taken
    seriously




     Christian Dawson - COO, ServInt
Sound Familiar?
•   Web Standards are finally being taken
    seriously
•   Resource (bandwidth and hardware)
    demands are increasing




     Christian Dawson - COO, ServInt
Sound Familiar?
•   Web Standards are finally being taken
    seriously
•   Resource (bandwidth and hardware)
    demands are increasing
•   Broadband and wireless penetration is
    growing worldwide



     Christian Dawson - COO, ServInt
The Shift...




    Christian Dawson - COO, ServInt
The Shift...

•   Large companies could not handle the
    level of personal interaction necessary to
    support legacy products.




     Christian Dawson - COO, ServInt
The Shift...

•   Large companies could not handle the
    level of personal interaction necessary to
    support legacy products.
•   With the wide adoption of virtualization,
    that promptly changed.



     Christian Dawson - COO, ServInt
Enter the Big Guys




   Christian Dawson - COO, ServInt
Enter the Big Guys




   Christian Dawson - COO, ServInt
Rapid advances in hardware were
the last barrier keeping the hosting
         behemoths at bay.




    Christian Dawson - COO, ServInt
Rapid advances in hardware were
the last barrier keeping the hosting
         behemoths at bay.
 But virtualization provided a way in.




    Christian Dawson - COO, ServInt
There IS Good News!




Christian Dawson - COO, ServInt
There IS Good News!
                           ...But First the Bad.




Christian Dawson - COO, ServInt
Why Them? Why Now?




  Christian Dawson - COO, ServInt
Why Them? Why Now?
•   Using virtualization, the large players
    successfully commoditized cheap, easy
    to support products that are universally
    upgradable.




     Christian Dawson - COO, ServInt
Why Them? Why Now?
•   Using virtualization, the large players
    successfully commoditized cheap, easy
    to support products that are universally
    upgradable.
•   They have the resources to pick up
    significant volume because of price and
    ease of integration.



     Christian Dawson - COO, ServInt
Why Them? Why Now?
•   Using virtualization, the large players
    successfully commoditized cheap, easy
    to support products that are universally
    upgradable.
•   They have the resources to pick up
    significant volume because of price and
    ease of integration.
•   As a result, they don’t need to build two-
    way, longterm relationships with clients.

     Christian Dawson - COO, ServInt
Virtualization brought two key advantages:




     Christian Dawson - COO, ServInt
Virtualization brought two key advantages:

 1.The further decentralization of computing
 2.The abstraction of hardware




     Christian Dawson - COO, ServInt
The Aftermath




   Christian Dawson - COO, ServInt
The Aftermath
•   The large players will decimate the
    industry as we know it.




     Christian Dawson - COO, ServInt
The Aftermath
•   The large players will decimate the
    industry as we know it.
•   Small players won’t be able to compete at
    their volume and price point.




     Christian Dawson - COO, ServInt
The Aftermath
•   The large players will decimate the
    industry as we know it.
•   Small players won’t be able to compete at
    their volume and price point.
•   Most of the hosts at this conference won’t
    exist in a few years.




     Christian Dawson - COO, ServInt
The Good News




Christian Dawson - COO, ServInt
The Times They Are A-Changin’




   Christian Dawson - COO, ServInt
The Times They Are A-Changin’
•   The market will change drastically and
    reward small-scale innovation.




     Christian Dawson - COO, ServInt
The Times They Are A-Changin’
•   The market will change drastically and
    reward small-scale innovation.
•   Web access will define web content.




     Christian Dawson - COO, ServInt
The Times They Are A-Changin’
•   The market will change drastically and
    reward small-scale innovation.
•   Web access will define web content.
•   Virtualization is the vehicle that will drive
    this shift.




      Christian Dawson - COO, ServInt
The Times They Are A-Changin’
•   The market will change drastically and
    reward small-scale innovation.
•   Web access will define web content.
•   Virtualization is the vehicle that will drive
    this shift.
•   Success will come from a willingness for
    smaller hosts to tackle harder problems
    on a more personal basis.

     Christian Dawson - COO, ServInt
Trends that will shape the future




   Christian Dawson - COO, ServInt
Point of Access...It Matters




   Christian Dawson - COO, ServInt
Point of Access...It Matters
•     As the point of access
      changes, the hosting
      needs of content changes
      as well.




         Christian Dawson - COO, ServInt
Point of Access...It Matters
•     As the point of access
      changes, the hosting
      needs of content changes
      as well.
•     People expect different
      experiences based on how
      they access the web.




        Christian Dawson - COO, ServInt
Point of Access...It Matters
•     As the point of access
      changes, the hosting
      needs of content changes
      as well.
•     People expect different
      experiences based on how
      they access the web.
•     More personal, customer
      oriented hosting services
      are better suited to deliver
      those experiences than
      cookie-cutter clouds.

         Christian Dawson - COO, ServInt
The Cloud Is A Little Fluffy
•   The movement is still investor driven, not
    consumer driven.




                             Gartner Hype Cycle


     Christian Dawson - COO, ServInt
The Cloud Is A Little Fluffy
•   Practical applications can’t be ignored.




     Christian Dawson - COO, ServInt
The Cloud Is A Little Fluffy
•   Practical applications can’t be ignored.
•   Cloud products have tremendous value-
    add potential.




     Christian Dawson - COO, ServInt
The Cloud Is A Little Fluffy
•   Practical applications can’t be ignored.
•   Cloud products have tremendous value-
    add potential.
•   Integration with traditional hosting
    environments is still an opportunity.




     Christian Dawson - COO, ServInt
Mods are SO In right now

Modular webhosting, a
combination of
dedicated resources,
virtual environments,
and cloud storage, are
the most obvious short
term solution.


    Christian Dawson - COO, ServInt
Don’t Hate the Playaz




   Christian Dawson - COO, ServInt
Don’t Hate the Playaz
•   We must use virtualization and provide
    the same upgrade path as the big guys.




     Christian Dawson - COO, ServInt
Don’t Hate the Playaz
•   We must use virtualization and provide
    the same upgrade path as the big guys.
•   We have to work twice as hard as they
    do, but the relationships we build are
    worth far more than their transactions.




     Christian Dawson - COO, ServInt
Don’t Hate the Playaz
•   We must use virtualization and provide
    the same upgrade path as the big guys.
•   We have to work twice as hard as they
    do, but the relationships we build are
    worth far more than their transactions.
•   We have to play the game.




     Christian Dawson - COO, ServInt
Going Organic




   Christian Dawson - COO, ServInt
Going Organic

•    The big players will pick the low hanging
     fruit, so we must find our niche now.




        Christian Dawson - COO, ServInt
Going Organic

•    The big players will pick the low hanging
     fruit, so we must find our niche now.
•    Innovate quickly, intelligently, and affordably.




        Christian Dawson - COO, ServInt
Going Organic

•    The big players will pick the low hanging
     fruit, so we must find our niche now.
•    Innovate quickly, intelligently, and affordably.
•    We have to play the game to stay in
     business.




        Christian Dawson - COO, ServInt
Thank You




Christian Dawson - COO, ServInt
Christian Dawson - ServInt.net

•    Follow me on Twitter @mrcjdawson
•    Email me at dawson@ServInt.com




       Christian Dawson - COO, ServInt

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Christian's HostingCon 2010 Presentation

  • 1. Oh My God We're All Gonna Die The Future of Webhosting...and What We Can Do About It Christian Dawson – COO, ServInt Christian Dawson - COO, ServInt
  • 2. Christian Dawson - COO, ServInt
  • 3. Prior to 1900... Christian Dawson - COO, ServInt
  • 4. Prior to 1900... • There were hundreds of car manufacturers between 1800 and 1900 • Small, very profitable firms made custom motor “wagons” on a case by case basis Christian Dawson - COO, ServInt
  • 5. Prior to 1900... • There were hundreds of car manufacturers between 1800 and 1900 • Small, very profitable firms made custom motor “wagons” on a case by case basis • No Standards for fuel • Petroleum based/internal combustion engines, Steam, and Electric cars were prevalent. Christian Dawson - COO, ServInt
  • 6. Prior to 1900... • There were hundreds of car manufacturers between 1800 and 1900 • Small, very profitable firms made custom motor “wagons” on a case by case basis • No Standards for fuel • Petroleum based/internal combustion engines, Steam, and Electric cars were prevalent. • No Standards for roads • Limited adoption to more developed regions Christian Dawson - COO, ServInt
  • 7. Then there were 3 Christian Dawson - COO, ServInt
  • 8. Then there were 3 Christian Dawson - COO, ServInt
  • 9. What happened? Christian Dawson - COO, ServInt
  • 10. What happened? • Before the assembly line, mass production wasn’t feasible. Christian Dawson - COO, ServInt
  • 11. What happened? • Before the assembly line, mass production wasn’t feasible. • After the assembly line, parts were standardized and cars were made en masse. Christian Dawson - COO, ServInt
  • 12. What happened? • Before the assembly line, mass production wasn’t feasible. • After the assembly line, parts were standardized and cars were made en masse. • Resulted in cheaper, more reliable products that could seriously compete with custom manufacturers. Christian Dawson - COO, ServInt
  • 13. Sound Familiar? Christian Dawson - COO, ServInt
  • 14. Sound Familiar? • Web Standards are finally being taken seriously Christian Dawson - COO, ServInt
  • 15. Sound Familiar? • Web Standards are finally being taken seriously • Resource (bandwidth and hardware) demands are increasing Christian Dawson - COO, ServInt
  • 16. Sound Familiar? • Web Standards are finally being taken seriously • Resource (bandwidth and hardware) demands are increasing • Broadband and wireless penetration is growing worldwide Christian Dawson - COO, ServInt
  • 17. The Shift... Christian Dawson - COO, ServInt
  • 18. The Shift... • Large companies could not handle the level of personal interaction necessary to support legacy products. Christian Dawson - COO, ServInt
  • 19. The Shift... • Large companies could not handle the level of personal interaction necessary to support legacy products. • With the wide adoption of virtualization, that promptly changed. Christian Dawson - COO, ServInt
  • 20. Enter the Big Guys Christian Dawson - COO, ServInt
  • 21. Enter the Big Guys Christian Dawson - COO, ServInt
  • 22. Rapid advances in hardware were the last barrier keeping the hosting behemoths at bay. Christian Dawson - COO, ServInt
  • 23. Rapid advances in hardware were the last barrier keeping the hosting behemoths at bay. But virtualization provided a way in. Christian Dawson - COO, ServInt
  • 24. There IS Good News! Christian Dawson - COO, ServInt
  • 25. There IS Good News! ...But First the Bad. Christian Dawson - COO, ServInt
  • 26. Why Them? Why Now? Christian Dawson - COO, ServInt
  • 27. Why Them? Why Now? • Using virtualization, the large players successfully commoditized cheap, easy to support products that are universally upgradable. Christian Dawson - COO, ServInt
  • 28. Why Them? Why Now? • Using virtualization, the large players successfully commoditized cheap, easy to support products that are universally upgradable. • They have the resources to pick up significant volume because of price and ease of integration. Christian Dawson - COO, ServInt
  • 29. Why Them? Why Now? • Using virtualization, the large players successfully commoditized cheap, easy to support products that are universally upgradable. • They have the resources to pick up significant volume because of price and ease of integration. • As a result, they don’t need to build two- way, longterm relationships with clients. Christian Dawson - COO, ServInt
  • 30. Virtualization brought two key advantages: Christian Dawson - COO, ServInt
  • 31. Virtualization brought two key advantages: 1.The further decentralization of computing 2.The abstraction of hardware Christian Dawson - COO, ServInt
  • 32. The Aftermath Christian Dawson - COO, ServInt
  • 33. The Aftermath • The large players will decimate the industry as we know it. Christian Dawson - COO, ServInt
  • 34. The Aftermath • The large players will decimate the industry as we know it. • Small players won’t be able to compete at their volume and price point. Christian Dawson - COO, ServInt
  • 35. The Aftermath • The large players will decimate the industry as we know it. • Small players won’t be able to compete at their volume and price point. • Most of the hosts at this conference won’t exist in a few years. Christian Dawson - COO, ServInt
  • 36. The Good News Christian Dawson - COO, ServInt
  • 37. The Times They Are A-Changin’ Christian Dawson - COO, ServInt
  • 38. The Times They Are A-Changin’ • The market will change drastically and reward small-scale innovation. Christian Dawson - COO, ServInt
  • 39. The Times They Are A-Changin’ • The market will change drastically and reward small-scale innovation. • Web access will define web content. Christian Dawson - COO, ServInt
  • 40. The Times They Are A-Changin’ • The market will change drastically and reward small-scale innovation. • Web access will define web content. • Virtualization is the vehicle that will drive this shift. Christian Dawson - COO, ServInt
  • 41. The Times They Are A-Changin’ • The market will change drastically and reward small-scale innovation. • Web access will define web content. • Virtualization is the vehicle that will drive this shift. • Success will come from a willingness for smaller hosts to tackle harder problems on a more personal basis. Christian Dawson - COO, ServInt
  • 42. Trends that will shape the future Christian Dawson - COO, ServInt
  • 43. Point of Access...It Matters Christian Dawson - COO, ServInt
  • 44. Point of Access...It Matters • As the point of access changes, the hosting needs of content changes as well. Christian Dawson - COO, ServInt
  • 45. Point of Access...It Matters • As the point of access changes, the hosting needs of content changes as well. • People expect different experiences based on how they access the web. Christian Dawson - COO, ServInt
  • 46. Point of Access...It Matters • As the point of access changes, the hosting needs of content changes as well. • People expect different experiences based on how they access the web. • More personal, customer oriented hosting services are better suited to deliver those experiences than cookie-cutter clouds. Christian Dawson - COO, ServInt
  • 47. The Cloud Is A Little Fluffy • The movement is still investor driven, not consumer driven. Gartner Hype Cycle Christian Dawson - COO, ServInt
  • 48. The Cloud Is A Little Fluffy • Practical applications can’t be ignored. Christian Dawson - COO, ServInt
  • 49. The Cloud Is A Little Fluffy • Practical applications can’t be ignored. • Cloud products have tremendous value- add potential. Christian Dawson - COO, ServInt
  • 50. The Cloud Is A Little Fluffy • Practical applications can’t be ignored. • Cloud products have tremendous value- add potential. • Integration with traditional hosting environments is still an opportunity. Christian Dawson - COO, ServInt
  • 51. Mods are SO In right now Modular webhosting, a combination of dedicated resources, virtual environments, and cloud storage, are the most obvious short term solution. Christian Dawson - COO, ServInt
  • 52. Don’t Hate the Playaz Christian Dawson - COO, ServInt
  • 53. Don’t Hate the Playaz • We must use virtualization and provide the same upgrade path as the big guys. Christian Dawson - COO, ServInt
  • 54. Don’t Hate the Playaz • We must use virtualization and provide the same upgrade path as the big guys. • We have to work twice as hard as they do, but the relationships we build are worth far more than their transactions. Christian Dawson - COO, ServInt
  • 55. Don’t Hate the Playaz • We must use virtualization and provide the same upgrade path as the big guys. • We have to work twice as hard as they do, but the relationships we build are worth far more than their transactions. • We have to play the game. Christian Dawson - COO, ServInt
  • 56. Going Organic Christian Dawson - COO, ServInt
  • 57. Going Organic • The big players will pick the low hanging fruit, so we must find our niche now. Christian Dawson - COO, ServInt
  • 58. Going Organic • The big players will pick the low hanging fruit, so we must find our niche now. • Innovate quickly, intelligently, and affordably. Christian Dawson - COO, ServInt
  • 59. Going Organic • The big players will pick the low hanging fruit, so we must find our niche now. • Innovate quickly, intelligently, and affordably. • We have to play the game to stay in business. Christian Dawson - COO, ServInt
  • 60. Thank You Christian Dawson - COO, ServInt
  • 61. Christian Dawson - ServInt.net • Follow me on Twitter @mrcjdawson • Email me at dawson@ServInt.com Christian Dawson - COO, ServInt

Editor's Notes